apca importance of tennessee agriculture daryll e. ray university of tennessee agricultural policy...

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Importance ofImportance ofTennessee AgricultureTennessee Agriculture

Daryll E. RayUniversity of Tennessee

Agricultural Policy Analysis Center

2010 Tennessee Farmland Legacy ConferencePigeon Forge, TN

November 11, 2010

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Here Is What We Are Going To DoHere Is What We Are Going To Do

• Changes in population, per capita income and other characteristics

• Relative importance of TN Ag and Forestry• Changes in level and sources of Ag income• Changes in farm numbers and land in farms• Areas in TN with high quality farmland and its

relative rate of development• How does TN Ag land conversion compare

with other states?• Time lapse of Davidson County development

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Metro and Nonmetro CountiesMetro and Nonmetro Counties

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Population Growth Population Growth 2000-20092000-2009

Tennessee’s Population grew 10.7% between 2000 and 2009 to 6.3 million

(US Population grew 9.1% to 307 million)

Source: US Census Bureau

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2008 Poverty Rate2008 Poverty Rate

Tennessee had a 15.5% poverty rate in 2008

Source: US Census Bureau

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Retirement Destination CountiesRetirement Destination Counties

“Number of residents 60 and older grew by 15 percent or more between 1990 and 2000 due to in-migration” (ERS, USDA)

7 Metro

11 NonMetro

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Per Capita Income in the U.S. and Per Capita Income in the U.S. and Tennessee, 1969-2004 Tennessee, 1969-2004

(In 2004 Dollars)(In 2004 Dollars)

Map prepared by Rural Policy Institute (RUPRI)

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Per Capita Income in Metro and Per Capita Income in Metro and Nonmetro Counties, 1969-2004Nonmetro Counties, 1969-2004

(In 2004 Dollars)(In 2004 Dollars)

Map Prepared by RUPRI

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Direct Economic Activity Direct Economic Activity

Percentage of Economic Activity (Value of Production) from Direct Agriculture and Forestry, 2006

8.9% Statewide

Source: Data and map from Menard et al. March 2009, UT Dept of Ag. Econ.

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Total Economic Activity Total Economic Activity

Percentage of Total Economic Activity (direct and secondary) from Total Agriculture and Forestry, 2006

16.2% Statewide

Source: Data and map from Menard et al. March 2009, UT Dept of Ag. Econ.

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Crop and Livestock Crop and Livestock Shares of Cash ReceiptsShares of Cash Receipts

Livestock51.4%

Crops48.6%

Livestock40.0%

Crops60.0%

2000Crops $0.936 Bil.

Livestock $0.991 Bil.

2009Crops $1.704 Bil.

Livestock $1.137 Bil.Source: USDA ERS

Between 2000 and 2009 Total of Crop and

Livestock Cash Receipts increased

from $1.9 to $2.8 billion or 47%

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Percentage of Cash ReceiptsPercentage of Cash Receipts

2000

Cattle & Calves21.6%

Broilers11.9%

Dairy10.0%

Other Livestock

7.9%

Nursery10.6%

Soybeans6.4%

Cotton 4.2%

Corn 5.7%

Tobacco10.4%

Other Crops8.7%

Wheat 2.5%

2009

Cattle & Calves14.9%

Broilers15.6%

Dairy 4.5%

Other Livestock 5.0%Nursery10.3%

Soybeans19.9%

Cotton 5.1%

Corn 8.8%

Tobacco 3.8%

Other Crops8.4%

Wheat 3.7%

All Livestock51.4%

All Crops48.6%

All Livestock40.0%

All Crops60.0%

Source: USDA ERS

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Tennessee Net Farm IncomeTennessee Net Farm IncomeM

illio

n D

olla

rs

Net Farm Income Less Government Payments

Net Farm Income

Source: USDA ERS

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Percentage Change in Percentage Change in Number of FarmsNumber of FarmsPercentage Change between 2002 to 2007

Source: US Agricultural Census

Tennessee’s number of farms declined 10.5% between 2002 and 2007 to 79 thousand farms

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Percentage Change in Percentage Change in Land in FarmsLand in Farms

Percentage Change between 2002 to 2007


Tennessee’s land in farms declined by 6.5% between 2000 and 2009 to 11 million acres

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Percentage Change in Percentage Change in Land in FarmsLand in Farms

Percentage Change between 2002 to 2007


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High-Quality Farmland & High-Quality Farmland & Development AreasDevelopment Areas

Source: American Farmland Trust Using Data from USDA Natural Resources Inventory, 2006

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Where Does TN Rank?Where Does TN Rank?Acres of Ag Land ConvertedAcres of Ag Land Converted

2002 to 20072002 to 2007

1. Texas ( 658,700 acres)

2. Florida (322,800 acres)

3. California (312,400 acres)

4. Arizona (250,300 acres)

5. Colorado (139,000 acres)

6. Tennessee (125,600 acres)

North Carolina (10th); Georgia (13th)

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Where Does TN Rank?Where Does TN Rank?Percent of Ag Land ConvertedPercent of Ag Land Converted

2002 to 20072002 to 2007

1. Rhode Island ( 7.19%)

2. Delaware (3.51%)

3. Florida (3.28%)

4. New Jersey (2.79%)

5. Maryland (1.91%)

10. Tennessee (1.31%)

North Carolina (9th); Georgia (10th)

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Davidson County Development Through Davidson County Development Through TimeTime

Developed area in 1900Developed area in 1900

Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT

Dept. of Agr.

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Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-

Hoon, UT Dept. of Agr.

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Source: Summary Data and Map courtesy of Cho Seong-Hoon, UT Dept. of

Agr.

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Agricultural Policy Analysis Center The University of Tennessee 310 Morgan Hall 2621 Morgan Circle Knoxville, TN 37996-4519

www.agpolicy.org

Thank YouThank You

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apca importance of tennessee agriculture daryll e. ray university of tennessee agricultural policy...

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