application of the cropgro-soybean model to predict

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Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict Soybean Yield P. Pedersen and J.G. Lauer Department of Agronomy University of Wisconsin-Madison

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Page 1: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Application of the CROPGRO-SoybeanModel to Predict Soybean Yield

P. Pedersen and J.G. Lauer

Department of AgronomyUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison

Page 2: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Background

• Soybean production has increased tremendously in WI the last 20 years

• Yield goals are increasing year after year

• Few published studies have measured growth processes during the season to understand how high yields are achieved

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 3: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

• To determine current yield potential of soybean under various management systems

• To determine if growth pattern differs between older and newer cultivars under various management systems

• Analyze yield improvements among older and newer cultivars using the CROPGRO-soybean model

Objectives

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 4: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Materials and MethodsStudies in 1997-2000 for five different management systems

Irrigation

1 2 3 4 5

No-till Conv. tillage

Irrigation Irrigation

Silt Loam Soil Sandy Loam

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 5: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Materials and Methods

• Each management systems consisted of a RCBD in a split plot arrangement with 4 replications – Main plots

• Two planting dates (early and late May)

– Split plots• Three different cultivars (two new cultivars-

DeKalb CX232 and Spansoy 250, and one old cultivar – Hardin)

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 6: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Growth Measurements• Triweekly

– Plant density – Leaf area index– Lodging– Height– Biomass (leaf, stem,

pod, and seed proportions)

– Pod and seed counts– Growth and

reproductive stages (V & R stage)

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 7: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Environmental Measurements

• Triweekly– Soil moisture

• (0-15, 15-30, 30-60, and 60-90 cm)

• Daily– Solar radiation– Precipitation– Soil temperature– Air temperature

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 8: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

CROPGRO – Soybean Model

“A mechanistic crop growth model that predicts daily photosynthesis, growth, and partitioning in response to daily

weather inputs, soil traits, crop management, and genetic traits”

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 9: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

CROPGRO-Model

Observed Data& Site Description

SoilDescription

Weather

Management

Database of Grid-Search Results

Crop Model

Data Conversion

Grid-Search Driver

Obs. Yield &Phenology

M.G. CultivarCoefficients

Cultivar-Specific Coefficients

Page 10: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Observed vs. Simulated Phenology

113.94112.74

78.4477.79

70.2269.83

50.4449.94

2.5Spansoy 250

111.15111.38

78.3378.02

72.0172.33

49.1849.27

2.3CX232

107.68107.88

72.0273.00

66.1365.91

48.7948.77

1.9Hardin

--------------Days--------------R7R5R3R1MGCultivar

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 11: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Simulated Yields Across 34 Management Systems

0.53

7121

5.7

2.6

2979

0.13

3799

5036

Spansoy

41268766398Biomass at R8 (kg ha-1)

0.020.560.60Seed HI (kg kg-1)

0.35.85.3Max LAI (m2 m-2)

0.22.52.3Seeds per pod

28126552805Seed no. (per m2)

0.20.150.14Weight per seed (g;dry)

NS38873818Seed yield (kg ha-1)

13451764991Pod yield (kg ha-1)

LSD (0.05)CX232Hardin

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 12: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

1998 CX232 (Arlington, Late, CT)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Days After Planting

Bio

mas

s (k

g h

a-1)

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Biomass

PodGrain

StemLeaf

Page 13: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Spansoy 250, 2000 - Biomass and Grain Yield (Early vs. Late Planting)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Days After Planting

Bio

mas

s (k

g h

a-1)

Grain

BiomassEarly

Late

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 14: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Seed HI - 2000 (Late, CT, Irrigated)

00.10.20.30.40.50.60.7

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Days After Planting

See

d H

arve

st In

dex

Hardin

Spansoy 250

CX232

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 15: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

LAI 1998 (Early, CT)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Days After Planting

LAI (

m2 m

-2)

Hardin

CX232Spansoy 250

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 16: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Biomass and Grain Yield, Sandy 1998

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Days After Planting

Bio

mas

s (k

g h

a-1)

HardinCX232

Spansoy 250

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Biomass

Grain

Page 17: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

CX232 Biomass and Grain Yield, 1999(CT vs. NT)

02000400060008000

10000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Days After Planting

Bio

mas

s (k

g h

a-1)

NT

CT

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Biomass

Grain

Page 18: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Summary

• CROPGRO-Soybean model could be used to quantify attainable soybean yields for the three cultivars in different management systems

• Simulated yield responses for the three cultivars were variable and ranged from 39 to 85 bu acre-1 across years and management systemsUW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 19: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

Summary

• New soybean cultivars for the Upper Midwest are associated with traits of:– Higher total canopy biomass and LAI– Lower seed harvest index– More seeds per pod– Higher leaf photosynthesis– Longer seed fill duration and pod

addition

UW MADISON AGRONOMY

Page 20: Application of the CROPGRO-Soybean Model to Predict

• Iowa and Illinois Soybean Promotion Boards

• Wisconsin Soybean Marketing Board• College of Agricultural Life Sciences,

University of Wisconsin-Madison

Acknowledgements