applications of the pmp. margin calculations
DESCRIPTION
AACIMP 2010 Summer School lecture by Dmitry Krushinsky. "Applied Mathematics" stream. "The p-Median Problem and Its Applications" course. Part 4. More info at http://summerschool.ssa.org.uaTRANSCRIPT
Applications of the PMP
Margin Calculations
Outline
• Introduction
• Possible models
• Possible impacts
Background: how the stocks are traded
cash securities
cash
client
broker
Buy on cash
Stock Market
full price
full price
Background: how the stocks are traded
cash securities
cash
client
broker
Buy on margin
Stock Market
full price
margin
Background: definitions
Margin – the amount of cash
that must be paid at the
moment of a buy-sell
transaction
Types of Securities
Simple:
-shares
-bonds
-etc.
Derivatives:
-options
-[futures]
Margin – the money that
are lying without use
Margin rate – percentage of the price that must be paid
at the moment of a buy-sell transaction
Background: options
Option – a contract that gives its owner a right to buy/sell a
specified amount of specified stock within a specified time
period for a specified price (exercise price)
call option put option
buyer
seller
right to buy
obligation to sell
right to sell
obligation to buy
good for
raising market
good for falling
market
Background: options
• A profit-loss diagram (acquired call)
market price of
the underlying
stock
exercise price
amount paid
for the option
PROFIT
LOSS
critical
point
Background: options
acquired call sold call
acquired put sold put
Margining and risk management
price
profit
lossprice
profit
lossprice
profit
loss
Simple securities
underlying
price
profit
loss
profit
loss
profit
loss
Options
Spreads (combinations)
underlying
priceunderlying
price
Motivation: Euronext Amsterdam stock
market
average daily turnover of options in January 2009
was 3,356,541 Euro
average margin rate is 40%
1,342,616 Euro were kept as margin daily
more that 1 million Euro are kept away from
investments every day
Motivation: World Crisis
World
economic
crisis
lack of
funds
search of
additional
sources
possible sources of monetary funds
…
Motivation: World Crisis
World
economic
crisis
lack of
funds
search of
additional
sources
possible sources of monetary funds
margins …
Zero Margin Rate: Cure or Disaster?
For clients:
• unlimited investments
For brokers:
• attractive for clients
• more money is lent −−> higher income
But:
Margining is the only mechanism that protects
brokers from clients’ default!
Optimal pairing and the AP
Securities that
bring profit
when the
(underlying)
price goes up
Securities that
bring profit
when the
(underlying)
price goes down
AP = Assignment Problem
bullish side bearish side
Optimal pairing and the AP
Securities that
bring profit
when the
(underlying)
price goes up
Securities that
bring profit
when the
(underlying)
price goes down
AP = Assignment Problem
bullish side bearish side
Optimal pairing and the AP
bullish side
I
bearish side
J
s.t.
- dummy stocks
N-tuples and the Multidimensional APp
airs
3D AP
structure of the cost
matrixobjective function
2D AP
…
trip
les
N-t
up
les
MAP
(ND AP)
MAP and PMPMAP = Multidimensional AP PMP = p-Median Problem
clusteringMAP PMP
bounded number of
components in a cluster
= N
bounded number of
clusters
= pno dummies !
Conclusions: a note on importance
• Existing tools use heuristic procedures and AP model
• Tools approved by stock exchanges can catch only two-
component spreads
• Tools capable of catching spreads with more than four
components do not exist
• If the number of components in a spread is doubled, the
margin is halved
Conclusions: impact
Euronext Amsterdam:
average daily turnover of options in
January 2009 was 3,356,541 Euro
average margin rate is 40%
1,342,616 Euro were kept as margin daily
If 4-component spreads are considered:
margin rate is halved
671,308 Euro are set free daily
additional ~200,000,000 Euro are available yearly
This amount
exceeds Dutch
Government gross
external debt in
2008
Conclusions
• A possible model based on the PMP
– fast
– flexible:
• no limit on spread size
• any margining rules can be “inserted”