apresentação do powerpoint€¦ · short summary on brasilagro 4 company created to implement the...
TRANSCRIPT
December, 2013
2
BrasilAgro
Brazil Competitive Advantages
Farmland Investment
Download
BrasilAgro
Presentation
BrasilAgro
Short Summary on BrasilAgro
4
Company created to implement the Cresud’s successful business model in Brazil:
capable of profiting from the commodities production and from the land appreciation.
BrasilAgro went public in 2006 at BMF&Bovespa Stock Exchange (“Novo Mercado”)
as a business plan (BM&FBOVESPA: AGRO3).
Launch of the Level I ADR Program in 2010 and the Level II ADR Program in 2012,
listed at NYSE (Ticker: LND).
We have accumulated a portfolio of 248 thousand hectares until now, all in cerrado
region faraway from Amazon biome.
Until now we have sold 24,116 hectares with high levels of appreciation.
We have started our farming operations in 2007/08 crop , since then we have
developed 87.3 thousand ha and we cultivated 76.0 thousand ha during 2012/13 crop
representing a CAGR of 28%.
On June 30, 2013, the market value of our portfolio, including period sales, was
R$1.1* billion, 23% more than at the end of June 2012.
*do not include Paraguay properties
Timeline
5
Beginning of
the
sugarcane
project with
Brenco
Reserva
Nova Buriti
farm
acquisition
Preferência
farm
acquisition
Engenho
farm sale
More than
33,000 ha
cultivated
More than
15,000 ha
developed
Company
foundation
and
business
plan
creation
IPO
(Bovespa –
Novo
Mercado)
Raised R$
584 million
São Pedro
farm
acquisition
Cremaq
farm
acquisition
Engenho
farm
acquisition
Jatobá farm
acquisition
Araucária
farm
acquisition
Alto Taquari
farm
acquisition
Chaparral
farm
acquisition
Nova Buriti
farm
acquisition
First
BrasilAgro’s
fully
operational
year with
more than 20
thousand
hectares
cultivated
SAP
implementat
ion
More than
46 thousand
ha
cultivated
More than
17 thousand
ha
developed
Lauch of
ADR level I
program
Horizontina
Leste farm
acquisition
More than
58 thousand
ha
cultivated
More than
20 thousand
ha
developed
Celebration
of a lease
agreement
with a call
option of 7.7
thousand ha
in Bahia
São Pedro
farm sale
More than
67 thousand
ha
cultivated
More than
13 thousand
ha
developed
First year of
positive
EBITDA
Lauch of
ADR level II
program
NYSE listing
Acquisition
of Maeda’s
stake in
Jaborandi
LTDA. and
S.A.
Horizontina
farm sale
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
More than
76 thousand
ha
cultivated
More than
12 thousand
ha
developed
Sale of 394
ha of
Araucaria’s
Farm
Sale of
4,895 ha of
Cremaq’s
Farm
Acquisition
of 71
thousand
ha in
Paraguay(1)
FASE I
Acquisitions
FASE II
Investments / Developments
FASE III
Positive Cash Flow
FASE IV
Positive Earnings
1Brasilagro holds 50% of Cresca S.A., which detains 141,931 ha in Paraguay
BrasilAgro Business Model
6
The company has a unique business model that creates value through real state
appreciation and agricultural production
Management
Expertise
Land Transformation
The land development creates
value by itself, regardless the
farmland price appreciation
Value generation
Cash flow operations
The state of art agriculture allow
us to generate a strong
operational cash flow
Baseline appreciation
Any farmland price appreciation
should generate a positive
impact
1 2
3
Raw Land
Pasture
Forestry Grains
Sugarcane
Lan
d v
alu
e
BrasilAgro Business Model
7
The land development creates value by itself, regardless the farmland price appreciation
$
∆ t α + β β
$
IRR
Ideal point of sale
α – land development
β – baseline appreciation
$
∆ t
$
IRR
α + β β
Robust and Consistent Growth
8
Land acquisition(1)
(thousand ha)
Developed area(2)
(thousand ha)
Planted area
(thousand ha)
248,200(1) ha of land acquired and 87,300 ha transformed and 76,000 ha planted in
12/13 harvest year
¹ not included 7,699 ha “Parceria I” Farm which BrasilAgro has purchase option with fixed price; 2 accumulated
7.8
23.1
41.1
61.8
75.5
87.3
07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13
22.1
35.5
46.1
58.2
67.5
75.8
07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13
78.5
66.1
17.8 14.4
0 0 0
71.0
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14
Operational Capabilities
9
• State of the art producing
technology
• Strongly skilled team capable of
making the best strategic decision
regarding the crop
• Management model based on a
strong leadership on site
• We operate our farms by
outsourcing all machinery
processes
• Access to subsidized credit lines
to finance the Company’s working
capital
• Sophistication and efficiency in
products commercialization
• Benefits from gains of scale
• Deep understanding of the
commodities markets gives us the
ability of developing pricing
strategies capable of benefiting
from market trends and volatility
• The monitoring of the hedging
position and exposure is made
through advanced controlling
tools
Diversification Operational Commercialization
A unique combination of diversification, operational skills and commercialization
capabilities…
12%
67%
7%
9% 5%
Sugarcane Soybean
Corn Pasture
Corn - 2nd crop
2012/13 crop planted area
breakdown
Operational Capabilities
10
Our operational controlling toll comprehend all
agricultural operational process: (i) planting, (ii)
soil fertilizing, (iii) chemical spray and (iv) harvest
Operational control and management
BrasilAgro management team consolidate
sophistication, technology and field knowledge:
efficient control tool and integrated process
through SAP that reaches the farm level
Operational and financial control
Deep Knowledge of Brazilian Farmland
Landscape
11
Undisputed leadership in the rural real estate scenario with a proven track record
BrasilAgro’s rigorous acquisition process confers a unique competitive advantage to quickly
deploy the capital
Number of visited farms
Total area of the farms for sale (thousand ha)
Number of farms for sale
MM ha
Primary analysis 25.0
Site visit 3.5
Detailed due diligence 1.7
0 230 6
0
3 111 6
0
14 6,533 250
4
0 21 4
0
0 2,500
11
0
0 230 6
0
12 1,000 128
3
20 1,190
93
5
0 2,6 2
0 2
156 44
0
0 2,2 1
0
0 1,8 1
0
14 1,300
62
4
56 4,060
95
16
10 851 38
1
8 1,000 126
2
0 230 6
0 0
230 6
0
3 111 6
0 3
111 6
0
14 6,533 250
4 16
7,759 255
6
0 21 4
0 0 157 2
0
0 2,500
11
0 0
2,536 11
0
0 230 6
0 1
749 98
0
12 1,000 128
3 12
1,020 128
4
20 1,190
93
5 23
1,261 119
8
0 2,6 2
0 0
2,6 2
0 2
156 44
0 2
156 44
0
0 2,2 1
0 0
2,2 1
0
0 1,8 1
0
14 1,300
62
4 21
1,510 54
9
56 4,060
95
16 57
4,167 158
17
10 851 38
1 12 955 42
2
8 1,000 126
2 10
1,231 87
2
0 18,7 5
0
Deep knowledge on Brazil´s farmland scenario
Experienced team to select the best acquisition opportunities.
Number of farm where we performed technical due diligence
Shareholders Structure
Free Float
60.36%
• Cresud was founded in 1935, went public in Buenos Aires stock exchange in 1960 and on Nasdaq in 1997
• Over 850 thousand hectares under management in Argentina, Bolivia and Paraguay
• 30 plus years of track record in the agribusiness sector/rural real state. Sold 18 farms in the last 8 years with appreciation over 100%
• Value drivers: agricultural activities and complementary rural real estate operations
IPO: May, 2006
58,422,400 shares
R$ 584 mm
12
39.63%
Portfolio Evolution
13
(ha)
(R$ mm)
248,197
387.4
24,116
170.7
Acquisitions (ha)
(R$ mm)
Sales 2,022
22.0
-
-
-
-
2,447
26.0
19,647
122.7
-
-
-
-
66,616
102.0
17,799
10.0
14,358
38.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
78,459
155.4
¹ not included 7,699 ha “Parceria I” Farm which BrasilAgro has purchase option with fixed price.
145,075
106,646
160,852
119,303
175,210
127,870
175,210
127,870
Total area (ha)
Arable area (ha) 78,459
56,562
172,763
126,170
153,116(1)
114,092
224.081(1)
149.092
70,965
82.0
-
-
94%
84% 76%
68%
55% 48% 45%
60%
13%
19% 25%
38%
41%
36%
29%
6% 3% 5% 7% 7% 11% 19%
12%
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14
developed under development undeveloped
14 14
A BrasilAgro possui um portfólio diversificado reduzindo o risco operacional e financeiro
Grains and Cotton
Sugarcane
Pasture
Forestry
Paraguay Grains / Pasture
Total area: 70,965 ha
Production area: 35,000
Location: Boquerón
231,780 ha
Total area (1): 104,295 ha
Production area (2): 76,015 ha
Location: Piauí e Bahia
Total area: 14,474 ha
Production area (2): 10,561 ha
Location: Goiás, Mato Grosso
Total area: 17,799 ha
Production area (2): 14,237 ha
Location: Bahia
Total area: 24,247 ha
Production area (2): 19,004 ha
Location: Minas Gerais
Farmland Portfolio of 231 Thousand ha
Potentially productive
67%
Environmental reserve
33%
PRODUCTION CAPACITY (Ha)
1 7.699 ha is a partnership for agriculture exploration with a purchase option on properties in the state of Bahia 2 Potential production area for BrasilAgro as estimated by the Company
Grains and Cotton 76%
Sugarcane 6%
Forestry 10%
Pasture 8%
BrasilAgro’s Farmland Portfolio
15
Value already
captured:
R$ 82.6 MM
¹ Considers the net investment in area development, restructuring and roads up to 06/30/13
² As of 06/30/13
³ BrasilAgro has purchase option in the “Parceria I Farm” with fixed price 4 Considers the net investment in area development, restructuring, and roads up to the sale date 5 Brasilagro holds 50% of Cresca S.A., which detains 141,931 ha in Paraguay
Total value created:
R$ 767 MM
7
1
2
3
5
6
4
9
10
8
11
3
1
12
Farms Location Acquisition
Date Project
Total Area Acquisiton
Value Capex¹
Acquisition + Capex
Internal Valuation²
ha R$'MM R$'MM R$'MM R$'MM
Cremaq PI Oct/06 Grains 27,807 35.9 20.3 56.2 231.6
Jatobá BA Mar/07 Grains 31,606 33.1 25.6 58.7 227.7
Araucária GO Apr/07 Sugarcane 9,288 66.9 - 66.9 168.3
Alto Taquari MT Aug/07 Sugarcane 5,186 33.2 - 33.2 107.3
Chaparral BA Nov/07 Grains 37,183 47.9 9.6 57.5 196,5
Nova Buriti MG Dec/07 Forestry 24,247 21.6 - 21.6 28.7
Preferência BA Sep/08 Pasture and
Grains 17,799 9.6 11.6 21.2 39.6
Parceria I (3) BA Sep/11 Grains 7,699 - - - -
Cresca S.A. Paraguay Dec/13 Pasture and
Grains 70,966 82 - - -
Sub-Total 231,781 330.2 67.1 315.3 999.7
Farms Already Sold Location Acquisition
Date Project
Total Area Acquisiton
Value Capex4
Acquisition + Capex
Sale Value Sale Date
ha R$'MM R$'MM R$'MM R$MM
Engenho MS Jan/07 Sugarcane 2,022 10.1 - 10.1 22.0 Jun/08
São Pedro GO Sep/06 Sugarcane 2,447 10.3 - 10.3 26.0 Oct/11
Horizontina MA Apr/10 Grains 14,358 37.7 15.2 52.9 75.0 Oct/12
Araucária GO Apr/07 Sugarcane 394 3.8 - 3.8 10.3 May/13
Cremaq PI Oct/06 Grains 4,895 6.3 4.7 11.0 37.4 May/13
Sub-Total 24,116 68.2 19.9 88.1 170.7
Total 255,897 398.4 87.0 403.4 1,170.4
4 3
1
2 5
6
7
11
9 10
12
Brazil
Paraguay
Case Study – Horizontina Farm
16
• 7.5 thousand ha of
grains
• 60 Km of internal
roads
• 80 - 110 direct and
indirect employees
Location: Tasso Fragoso / MA
Total area: 14,359 ha
Arable area: 8,567 ha
Acquisition Value: R$ 37.7 million
Acquisition value (Apr/10)
R$ 37.7 MM
Capex (Up to Sep/12)
R$ 15.2 MM
Sale value (Sep/12)
R$ 75.0 MM
Real estate value created
R$ 22.1 MM
Appreciation = 142% IRR = 27%
At acquisiton Current MA
Tasso Fragoso
Case Study – Araucária Farm
17
Location: Mineiros / Go
Area: 9.682 ha
Arable area: 7.205 ha
Acquisition value: R$ 70 million
Acquisition + CAPEX (Apr/07)
Sale Nominal Value (Apr/13)
R$ 3.8 MM R$ 10.3 MM
Real estate value created
R$ 6.5 MM
Sold Area (Apr/13)
Total: 394 ha Arable: 310 ha
(1)internal rate of return (real estate + production) from the first disbursement to the expected receipt of the last installment in accordance with soybean futures curves (CBOT) and the exchange rate
Appreciation = 271% IRR = 20.2%(1)
• 100% with
sugarcane
• 226 Km of
internal roads
• 220 – 280
direct jobs
Current At acquisiton
GO
Mineiros
Case Study – Cremaq Farm
18
• 21.3 thousand ha
planted with
grains
• Warehouse
facility with a
storage capacity
of 1.2 million
bags of
soybean/corn
• 120 Km of
internal roads
• 120-180 direct
and indirect
employees
Acquisition + CAPEX (Oct/06)
R$ 11.1 MM
Real estate value created
R$ 26.3 MM
Sold Area (May/13)
Total: 4,895 ha
Arable: 3,201 ha
Sale Nominal Value (Apr/13)
R$ 37,4 MM
Appreciation = 337% IRR = 23.8%(1)
(1)internal rate of return (real estate + production) from the first disbursement to the expected receipt of the last installment in accordance with soybean futures curves (CBOT) and the exchange rate
Location: Baixa Grande do Ribeiro/ PI
Total Area: 32.702 ha
Arable Area: 21.823 ha
Acquisition Value: R$ 42 million
At acquisition Current
Baixa Grande do Ribeiro
PI
Financial Results
19
Adjusted EBITDA (R$’000)
EBITDA (R$’000)
Year ended June 30th, 2013 and 2012
(1) A Adjusted EBITDA includes depreciation made of grains and sugar cane harvested from Nova Buriti and Preferencia and administrative.
2013 2012 Change
Gross profit 73.767 19.678 275%
Selling expenses (14.028) (4.015) 249%
General and administrative (29.233) (28.892) 1%
Other operating revenues/expenses (3.539) 10 n.a.
Depreciations 27.997 27.398 2%
EBITDA 54.964 14.179 288%
2013 2012 Change
Gross profit 73.767 19.678 275%
Elimination of gains on biological assets (grains and sugarcane planted) (15.342) 5.068 n.a.
Selling expenses (14.028) (4.015) 249%
General and administrative (29.233) (28.892) 1%
Other operating revenues/expenses 204 10 1940%
Hedge results (17.998) (8.350) 116%
Adjusted Depreciations (1) 26.343 25.693 3%
Adjusted EBITDA 23.713 9.192 158%
Financial Results
20
Net Revenues
(R$ million)
Adjusted EBITDA
(R$ million)
36.7
79.5
172.3
185.6(2)
122.8(1)
09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13
308.4
-29.8
22.3
9.2
23.7
09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13
(1) Farm sale. (2) Agricultural products sale.
Brazil Competitive Advantages
Agricultural Products Ranking
22
Brazil is among the leading countries in several different agricultural activities, figuring among the top
producers and exporters for most of the agricultural products
Soy Corn Coffee
Country Production Net Exports Country Production Net Exports Country Production Net Exports
Brazil 1st 1st USA 1st 1st Brazil 1st 1st
USA 2nd 2nd China 2nd Vietnam 2nd 2nd
Argentina 3rd 3rd Brazil 3rd 3rd Indonesia 3rd 3rd
China 4th E.U. 4th Colombia 4th 4th
India 5th Argentina 5th 2nd Ethiopia 5th
Paraguay 6th 4th Mexico 6th Honduras 6th 5th
Canada 7th 5th India 7th 5th India 7th 7th
Sugar Meat* Orange Juice
Country Production Net Exports Country Production Net Exports Country Production Net Exports
Brazil 1st 1st China 1st Brazil 1st 1st
India 2nd 3rd USA 2nd 2nd USA 2nd 2nd
E.U. 3rd 5th Brazil 3rd 1st E.U. 3rd 4th
China 4th Germany 4th 3rd Mexico 4th 3rd
Thailand 5th 2nd Russia 5th China 5th
USA 6th India 6th South Africa 6th 5th
Russia 7th Mexico 7th Australia 7th
Source: USDA, 2012
*FAO, 2010
Agricultural Farmland Potential in Brazil
23
The great amount of available arable land along a great rainfall level gives Brazil an unbeatable combination. Brazil has the potential to more than double its grain area only by converting pastures alone
BRAZILIAN TOTAL AREA BREAKDOWN (In million ha ) BRAZILIAN TOTAL AREA BREAKDOWN (In million ha )
¹ According to our estimates, roughly 70% of total raw land area have to destined to legal reserves and can not be used for
agriculture
Source: Embrapa and FNP 2007
851
420
15 84
29
304
Total Area AmazonForestry
Pantanal Dry Land Indian reserveand consevation
units
Available Lands
119,9
78,8
104,9
Raw Land Arable Area Pastures
World Supply of Fresh Water
24
8,233
4,507
3,051
2,902
2,838
2,830
2,132
1,913
1,897
23,563
Source: FAO
Renewable Water Resources
(bn m³/yr)
Total = 55,149
NY004JD1NY004JD1NY004JD1
% World's North
America
South
America Europe Africa Asia
Australia &
Oceania
Water 15% 26% 8% 11% 36% 5%
Population 8% 6% 13% 13% 60% 1%
Ratio 1,9x 4,3x 0,6x 0,8x 0,6x 5,0x
Regions with abundance of fresh water in excess of population needs have a favorable position by
exporting water in the form of commodities
Others
Farmland Investments
Farmland Investment
Farmland, as an asset class, distinguishes itself among other alternatives as having an
outstanding risk/return profile
Source: Bloomberg, USDA, Damodaran and BrasilAgro analysis
NOTE 5: Data on Farmland – USA considers only the land prices from 1990 until 2010.
NOTE 6: Data on Farmland (TR – Total Return) – USA considers the land prices and an hypothetical
leasing from 1990 until 2010
NOTE 7: Data on S&P 500 (TR – Total Return): 1936-2010.
NOTE 1: Data on Agricultural, Metals and Energy Index: 1999-2010.
NOTE 2: Data on T-bill 10Y: 1927-2010.
NOTE 3: Data on Debt Bonds 7-10 y: 1992-2010.
NOTE 4: Data on Housing Prices: 1988-2010.
RISK & RETURN
Farmland - USA
Farmland (TR) - USA
T-bill 10Y
Debt Bond 7-10Y
Housing Prices - USA
S&P 500 (TR)
Agricultural Index
Energy Index
Metals Index
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0%
Retu
rn
Risk
26
Farmland Prices
27
LAND APPRECIATION PER REGION
Last 12 months
Average: +15.2%
Average: +27.8%
Average: +13.3%
Average: +15.0%
Average: +13.3%
Source: FNP
HISTORICAL FARMLAND PRICES
In R$ / ha
Source: FNP
-
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
Mar
-Ap
r 2
00
6
Jul-
Au
g 2
00
6
No
v-D
ec 2
00
6
Mar
-Ap
r 2
00
7
Jul-
Au
g 2
00
7
No
v-D
ec 2
00
7
Mar
-Ap
r 2
00
8
Jul-
Au
g 2
00
8
No
v-d
ec
20
08
Mar
-Ap
r 2
00
9
Jul-
Au
g 2
00
9
No
v-D
ec 2
00
9
Mar
-Ap
r 2
01
0
Sep
-Oct
20
10
Jan
-Feb
20
11
Jul-
Au
g 2
01
1
No
v -
Dez
20
11
Mar
- A
br
20
12
Jul -
Ago
20
12
No
v -
Dez
20
12
Mineiros (grain area) Roda Velha (native vegetation)
Roda Velha (grain area) Balsas (native vegetation)
Sorriso (grain area)
AC
AM
RO
MT
PA
RR AP
RS
SC
PR
SP RJ
ES MG
MS
GO
TO
MA
PI CE
RN
PB
PE
AL
SE BA
: Federal District
Farmland Prices
28
Source: USDA, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
US CORN BELT FARMLAND PRICES IN REAL TERMS
Mature farmland prices have increased in real terms over time
Given that there has not been any
transformational change in the
farms, why is there a “baseline”
appreciation?
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
US$/Acre
Farmland Price Value Drivers
29
Commodity price is not the value driver for farmland price appreciation
Source: Bloomberg, USDA
SOYBEAN PRICES & US CORN BELT FARMLAND PRICES IN REAL TERMS (1992 = 100)
Historically, farmland prices have consistently outperformed soybean prices
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
Soybean Price
US Corn Belt Value
Farmland Price Value Drivers
30
The high correlation between soybean and fertilizers indicates that higher soybean prices does not reflect on
higher cash flow per hectare and vice versa
SOYBEAN PRICE & FERTILIZERS PRICE
Source: Bloomberg
450
650
850
1050
1250
1450
1650
1850
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
cts/bu US$/ ton
NPK (US$ / ton.) Soybeam price (cents / bushel)
Farmland Investments
31
The main driver pushing farmland prices upward is the increasing world grain area
Higher demand
for grains
Not enough
growth in
productivity
New areas in
production
Productivity
Producing cost
Commodity price
Combination of factors to make the
new areas economically viable
Higher cash flow
to all agricultural
area
New production
areas have
higher
producing cost
in $ per ton
Higher
farmland
prices
Farmland Price Value Drivers
32
The main factor pushing farmland prices upward is the world production area increase
WORLD PRODUCTION AREA & CORN BELT FARMLAND PRICES (US)
Source: USDA, FAO
Given that new areas have higher production cost (USD / Ton), the expansion on the world agricultural area requires a combination of factor (price, cost, productivity) capable to generate a positive cash flow to this newly opened areas. This same combination of factors should increase the earnings and, therefore, the farmland prices for agricultural area as a whole.
500.000
520.000
540.000
560.000
580.000
600.000
620.000
640.000
660.000
680.000
700
1.200
1.700
2.200
2.700
3.200
3.700
4.200
4.700
5.200
US$ per hectare World Production Area (Ha '000)
Higher Demand for Food
33
Meat demand¹ is highly correlated with per capita GDP – higher levels of income provides richer protein diets
¹ I’s worth notice that approximately: 1.3 and 5.4 kilogram of soybean and corn, respectively, are needed to produce 1 kg of beef; 0.7 and 2.5 kilogram of soybean and corn, respectively, are needed to produce 1
kg of pork; 0.6 and 1.1 kilogram of soybean and corn, respectively, are needed to produce 1 kg of poultry.
MEAT PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION IN 2009
In kg / capita / year and US$ per capita / year
Source: FAO, USDA and BrasilAgro analysis
y = 16,378ln(x) - 96,548 R² = 0,7219
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000
Higher Food Demand
34
Food demand will remain rising as developing countries drive the world economic growth
According to IMF projections, countries with GDP per capita of less than US$10,000 will be responsible for more than 51% of world GDP growth for the next 6 years;
WORLD GDP GROWTH BREAKDOWN (In %)
Source: IMF
22% 25%
54% 51%
78% 75%
46% 49%
1980-1990 1991-2000 2001-2010 2011-2017(E)
Countries with GDP per capita < US$10.000 Countries with GDP per capita > US$10.000
Productivity growth vs. Demand growth
35
Productivity growth has not been enough to offset the increasing demand. This shortage is expected to increase within the next ten years
Source: FAO, USDA and BrasilAgro analysis
NOTE 1: 2022 scenario is based on USDA projections
40%
-1%
22%
51%
46%
60%
101%
78%
49%
54%
Total area growth
(millions of ha) Production Growth
(% p.y.)
Productivity Gains
(% p.y.)
How this growth will
occur?
Productivity Gains
Growth Area
65.9
-3.5
23.5
75.4
52.0
Land appreciation in real
terms in the Corn Belt USA
7,20%
-7,05%
2,87%
6,68%
???
1,86%
1,84%
1,35%
1,40%
0,91%
3,14%
1,77%
1,76%
2,64%
1,61%
From 1971 to 1981
From 1981 to 1991
From 1991 to 2001
From 2001 to 2011
From 2011 to 2022
Productivity growth vs. Social development
36
Literacy rate¹ Extreme rural poverty²
Million % Average (%) Average (%)
Low 1.372 12,4 41,5% 74,2% 35,3%
Regular 1.373 8,5 28,4% 82,4% 17,5%
Average 1.371 5,0 16,7% 90,8% 4,9%
High 1.373 4,0 13,4% 93,1% 1,8%
Total 5.489 29,9 100,0% 85,1% 15,5%
Rural
development
level (IDR)
Number of
cities
Rural resident population
PRODUCTION vs. INPUTS
(Index = 100)
The increase in productivity made a huge social impact in the country. The higher the rural development
level the lower the literacy and poverty rate.
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
Production Inputs (labor force, land and capital)
Productivity
SOURCE: CNA, Gasques, J.G, E.T.; Valdez, C.; Bacchi, M.R. “Produtividade da Agricultura brasileira e os efeitos de algumas políticas
1 Persons over ten years
2 Proportion of people in poverty conditions
RURAL DEVELOPMENT INDEX
Contacts
37
Investor Relations
BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas
Avenida Brigadeiro Faria Lima, 1.309
5o. Andar - CEP 01452-002
São Paulo - SP – Brazil
Telephone: +55 (11) 3035-5374
Fax: +55 (11) 3035-5366
www.brasil-agro.com
Disclaimer – Forward Looking Statements
38
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements and information relating to BrasilAgro – Companhia
Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas (“BrasilAgro” or the “Company”) that reflect the current views and/or expectations of the
Company and its management with respect to its business plans. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, any
statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like
“believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “envisage”, “will likely result”, or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are
subject to a number of significant risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We caution that a number of important factors could cause
actual results to a differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in this presentation. In
any event, neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers, agents or employees shall be liable before any third party
(including investors) for any investment or business decision made or action taken in reliance on the information and statements
contained in this presentation or for any consequential, special or similar damages. The Company does not intend to provide eventual
holders of shares with any revised forward-looking statements of analysis of the differences between any forward-looking statements
and actual results.
This presentation ad its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in
whole or in part without BrasilAgro’s prior written consent.