area totals - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/note_sep16.pdf · year on year...

14
Reference series Composite leading indicators OECD Composite Leading Indicators AREA TOTALS 08-09-2016 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 OECD Total 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 OECD + Major 6 Non Member Countries 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Major Seven 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Major Five Asia 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Euro area 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 NAFTA 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Major Four Europe 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 OECD Europe

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Page 1: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

AREA TOTALS

08-09-2016

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

OECD Total

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

OECD + Major 6 Non Member Countries

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Major Seven

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Major Five Asia

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Euro area

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

NAFTA

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Major Four Europe

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

OECD Europe

Page 2: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

OECD Total

OECD + Major

6 Non Member

Countries

Major

Seven

Major Five

AsiaEuro Area NAFTA

Major Four

Europe

OECD

Europe

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 100.06 99.62 100.06 99.33 100.50 99.77 100.33 100.28

September 2015 99.98 99.53 99.94 99.25 100.52 99.60 100.31 100.28

October 2015 99.92 99.46 99.84 99.20 100.54 99.47 100.29 100.28

November 2015 99.87 99.42 99.75 99.17 100.56 99.37 100.27 100.28

December 2015 99.82 99.38 99.68 99.16 100.56 99.30 100.24 100.27

January 2016 99.79 99.37 99.62 99.17 100.54 99.26 100.20 100.23

February 2016 99.76 99.39 99.57 99.21 100.49 99.25 100.15 100.17

March 2016 99.74 99.44 99.55 99.27 100.44 99.27 100.10 100.12

April 2016 99.74 99.50 99.53 99.36 100.39 99.29 100.05 100.08

May 2016 99.74 99.58 99.51 99.46 100.33 99.31 100.01 100.05

June 2016 99.72 99.65 99.48 99.57 100.27 99.31 99.97 100.03

July 2016 99.69 99.72 99.42 99.70 100.19 99.27 99.90 99.98

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.10 -0.10 -0.12 -0.10 0.00 -0.19 -0.03 -0.01

September 2015 -0.08 -0.09 -0.12 -0.08 0.02 -0.17 -0.02 0.00

October 2015 -0.06 -0.07 -0.10 -0.05 0.02 -0.13 -0.02 0.01

November 2015 -0.05 -0.05 -0.09 -0.03 0.02 -0.10 -0.02 0.00

December 2015 -0.04 -0.03 -0.07 -0.01 0.00 -0.07 -0.03 -0.02

January 2016 -0.04 -0.01 -0.06 0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04

February 2016 -0.03 0.02 -0.04 0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.05 -0.05

March 2016 -0.02 0.05 -0.02 0.07 -0.05 0.01 -0.05 -0.05

April 2016 0.00 0.07 -0.02 0.09 -0.05 0.03 -0.05 -0.04

May 2016 0.00 0.08 -0.02 0.10 -0.06 0.02 -0.04 -0.03

June 2016 -0.01 0.07 -0.04 0.12 -0.06 0.00 -0.04 -0.03

July 2016 -0.04 0.07 -0.06 0.13 -0.08 -0.04 -0.07 -0.05

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.36 -0.62 -0.49 -0.56 0.36 -0.91 0.10 -0.06

September 2015 -0.44 -0.67 -0.57 -0.59 0.42 -1.10 0.15 -0.02

October 2015 -0.51 -0.70 -0.65 -0.61 0.44 -1.24 0.17 -0.01

November 2015 -0.58 -0.72 -0.72 -0.60 0.42 -1.34 0.14 -0.01

December 2015 -0.64 -0.71 -0.79 -0.58 0.35 -1.39 0.06 -0.05

January 2016 -0.69 -0.69 -0.85 -0.54 0.24 -1.39 -0.05 -0.11

February 2016 -0.71 -0.64 -0.87 -0.47 0.12 -1.34 -0.16 -0.18

March 2016 -0.70 -0.56 -0.87 -0.39 0.00 -1.24 -0.26 -0.23

April 2016 -0.65 -0.45 -0.85 -0.28 -0.09 -1.11 -0.33 -0.26

May 2016 -0.59 -0.32 -0.83 -0.13 -0.16 -0.96 -0.38 -0.28

June 2016 -0.53 -0.17 -0.79 0.05 -0.23 -0.82 -0.42 -0.28

July 2016 -0.47 0.00 -0.75 0.28 -0.30 -0.68 -0.46 -0.31

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016

Page 3: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

MAJOR SEVEN OECD COUNTRIES

08-09-2016

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

United States

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Japan

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Germany

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

France

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Italy

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

United Kingdom

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Canada

Page 4: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Canada United States Japan France Germany ItalyUnited

Kingdom

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 99.61 99.86 100.23 100.39 100.10 100.78 100.24

September 2015 99.52 99.68 100.12 100.50 100.06 100.83 100.05

October 2015 99.45 99.53 100.01 100.59 100.02 100.90 99.87

November 2015 99.39 99.40 99.91 100.68 99.99 100.93 99.70

December 2015 99.34 99.30 99.82 100.75 99.96 100.94 99.57

January 2016 99.32 99.22 99.75 100.78 99.91 100.91 99.46

February 2016 99.35 99.18 99.70 100.76 99.87 100.84 99.37

March 2016 99.42 99.16 99.67 100.70 99.85 100.76 99.31

April 2016 99.53 99.16 99.63 100.62 99.85 100.66 99.28

May 2016 99.64 99.15 99.59 100.54 99.85 100.55 99.27

June 2016 99.74 99.10 99.57 100.44 99.84 100.43 99.29

July 2016 99.81 99.03 99.55 100.33 99.82 100.21 99.32

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.08 -0.19 -0.09 0.09 -0.04 0.02 -0.18

September 2015 -0.08 -0.19 -0.11 0.10 -0.04 0.05 -0.19

October 2015 -0.07 -0.15 -0.11 0.10 -0.04 0.06 -0.18

November 2015 -0.06 -0.13 -0.11 0.09 -0.03 0.04 -0.16

December 2015 -0.05 -0.10 -0.09 0.07 -0.03 0.00 -0.13

January 2016 -0.02 -0.08 -0.07 0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.11

February 2016 0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.04 -0.07 -0.09

March 2016 0.07 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.02 -0.08 -0.06

April 2016 0.10 0.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.01 -0.09 -0.04

May 2016 0.11 -0.01 -0.04 -0.09 0.00 -0.11 -0.01

June 2016 0.10 -0.04 -0.02 -0.10 0.00 -0.12 0.02

July 2016 0.07 -0.07 -0.02 -0.11 -0.02 -0.22 0.04

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.78 -1.00 0.09 1.03 0.02 0.48 -1.05

September 2015 -0.85 -1.18 0.05 1.10 0.10 0.62 -1.12

October 2015 -0.87 -1.32 -0.04 1.13 0.13 0.74 -1.21

November 2015 -0.86 -1.41 -0.16 1.10 0.11 0.77 -1.31

December 2015 -0.83 -1.47 -0.29 1.04 0.04 0.69 -1.41

January 2016 -0.75 -1.49 -0.41 0.94 -0.06 0.54 -1.49

February 2016 -0.64 -1.45 -0.51 0.81 -0.17 0.34 -1.54

March 2016 -0.49 -1.37 -0.61 0.67 -0.25 0.13 -1.53

April 2016 -0.33 -1.28 -0.70 0.53 -0.30 -0.04 -1.49

May 2016 -0.17 -1.19 -0.77 0.38 -0.32 -0.19 -1.41

June 2016 -0.02 -1.11 -0.79 0.22 -0.32 -0.32 -1.27

July 2016 0.12 -1.02 -0.76 0.03 -0.32 -0.54 -1.09

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016

Page 5: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

OTHER OECD COUNTRIES

08-09-2016

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Chile

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Mexico

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Korea

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Australia

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

New Zealand

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Israel

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Austria

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Belgium

Page 6: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Chile Mexico Korea AustraliaNew

ZealandIsrael Austria Belgium

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 99.33 99.03 100.79 100.04 99.10 99.71 100.00 100.30

September 2015 99.31 98.95 100.81 99.96 99.29 99.58 100.05 100.26

October 2015 99.37 98.97 100.83 99.91 99.49 99.47 100.09 100.25

November 2015 99.50 99.03 100.83 99.88 99.66 99.45 100.12 100.25

December 2015 99.63 99.21 100.83 99.88 99.80 99.50 100.12 100.25

January 2016 99.75 99.48 100.82 99.91 99.96 99.58 100.11 100.22

February 2016 99.81 99.71 100.82 99.97 100.20 99.70 100.10 100.20

March 2016 99.77 99.90 100.83 100.02 100.59 99.82 100.13 100.21

April 2016 99.71 100.12 100.84 100.05 101.11 99.88 100.18 100.26

May 2016 99.70 100.35 100.83 100.07 101.68 99.93 100.27 100.32

June 2016 99.76 100.62 100.81 100.07 102.18 99.96 100.37 100.37

July 2016 99.90 100.77 100.80 100.09 102.69 99.98 100.46 100.40

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.16 -0.28 0.00 -0.10 0.10 -0.11 0.08 -0.03

September 2015 -0.02 -0.08 0.02 -0.07 0.19 -0.13 0.06 -0.04

October 2015 0.07 0.02 0.02 -0.05 0.20 -0.11 0.04 -0.01

November 2015 0.13 0.06 0.01 -0.03 0.18 -0.02 0.02 0.01

December 2015 0.13 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.05 0.01 0.00

January 2016 0.12 0.27 -0.01 0.03 0.15 0.08 -0.01 -0.03

February 2016 0.06 0.23 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.12 -0.01 -0.02

March 2016 -0.04 0.19 0.01 0.05 0.39 0.12 0.02 0.01

April 2016 -0.06 0.22 0.00 0.03 0.51 0.06 0.06 0.05

May 2016 -0.01 0.24 -0.01 0.01 0.57 0.05 0.09 0.06

June 2016 0.06 0.26 -0.01 0.01 0.49 0.03 0.10 0.05

July 2016 0.14 0.15 -0.01 0.02 0.50 0.02 0.09 0.03

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 0.04 -0.22 1.22 0.21 -1.04 -0.17 0.02 0.33

September 2015 0.04 -0.63 1.07 -0.04 -0.71 -0.37 0.21 0.38

October 2015 0.05 -0.94 0.87 -0.31 -0.43 -0.54 0.37 0.43

November 2015 0.03 -1.10 0.62 -0.57 -0.22 -0.57 0.50 0.47

December 2015 -0.07 -1.13 0.38 -0.77 -0.02 -0.50 0.58 0.46

January 2016 -0.16 -1.10 0.18 -0.87 0.23 -0.40 0.62 0.36

February 2016 -0.23 -1.01 0.05 -0.85 0.61 -0.27 0.62 0.22

March 2016 -0.31 -0.77 -0.02 -0.74 1.17 -0.16 0.61 0.11

April 2016 -0.34 -0.29 -0.03 -0.57 1.88 -0.10 0.59 0.04

May 2016 -0.23 0.28 -0.02 -0.38 2.62 -0.03 0.57 0.02

June 2016 0.03 0.92 0.01 -0.20 3.21 0.06 0.56 0.04

July 2016 0.41 1.47 0.02 -0.05 3.73 0.16 0.54 0.07

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016

Page 7: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

OTHER OECD COUNTRIES

08-09-2016

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Czech Republic

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Denmark

86889092949698

100102104106108110112

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Estonia

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Finland

90

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Greece

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Hungary

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

110

112

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Ireland

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

1

13

25

37

49

61

73

85

97

109

121

133

145

157

169

181

193

205

217

229

Luxembourg

Page 8: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Czech

RepublicDenmark Estonia Finland Greece Hungary Ireland Luxembourg

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 100.56 100.62 101.00 100.54 98.96 100.31 102.20 n.a

September 2015 100.61 100.53 101.34 100.58 99.51 100.30 101.82 n.a

October 2015 100.65 100.41 101.80 100.65 100.22 100.27 101.46 n.a

November 2015 100.67 100.26 102.21 100.72 100.98 100.22 101.12 n.a

December 2015 100.64 100.08 102.45 100.80 101.66 100.13 100.81 n.a

January 2016 100.59 99.91 102.47 100.87 102.12 100.01 100.52 n.a

February 2016 100.50 99.76 102.35 100.92 102.28 99.87 100.19 n.a

March 2016 100.40 99.68 102.16 100.96 102.21 99.71 99.88 n.a

April 2016 100.28 99.66 101.94 100.99 101.97 99.53 99.63 n.a

May 2016 100.13 99.68 101.65 101.01 101.70 99.40 99.50 n.a

June 2016 99.91 99.70 101.32 101.05 101.54 99.25 99.51 n.a

July 2016 99.66 99.71 100.95 101.13 101.48 99.08 99.60 n.a

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 0.04 -0.06 0.23 0.03 0.22 -0.02 -0.31 -

September 2015 0.06 -0.09 0.33 0.05 0.55 -0.02 -0.36 -

October 2015 0.04 -0.12 0.45 0.06 0.72 -0.03 -0.36 -

November 2015 0.01 -0.15 0.40 0.08 0.76 -0.05 -0.33 -

December 2015 -0.03 -0.18 0.24 0.08 0.67 -0.09 -0.31 -

January 2016 -0.05 -0.17 0.02 0.07 0.44 -0.12 -0.29 -

February 2016 -0.08 -0.14 -0.12 0.05 0.16 -0.14 -0.32 -

March 2016 -0.10 -0.09 -0.18 0.04 -0.07 -0.16 -0.32 -

April 2016 -0.12 -0.01 -0.22 0.02 -0.23 -0.18 -0.25 -

May 2016 -0.15 0.02 -0.28 0.02 -0.27 -0.13 -0.13 -

June 2016 -0.22 0.02 -0.32 0.04 -0.16 -0.15 0.02 -

July 2016 -0.25 0.00 -0.37 0.07 -0.06 -0.17 0.08 -

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.05 0.68 1.03 0.68 -1.66 0.81 1.96 -

September 2015 -0.11 0.61 1.09 0.84 -1.18 0.81 1.50 -

October 2015 -0.21 0.45 1.26 0.94 -0.57 0.75 0.98 -

November 2015 -0.33 0.23 1.44 0.96 0.12 0.62 0.35 -

December 2015 -0.43 -0.04 1.65 0.93 0.84 0.41 -0.36 -

January 2016 -0.47 -0.32 1.64 0.84 1.44 0.14 -1.12 -

February 2016 -0.45 -0.58 1.57 0.74 1.86 -0.18 -1.91 -

March 2016 -0.41 -0.78 1.39 0.65 2.16 -0.49 -2.59 -

April 2016 -0.38 -0.90 1.18 0.59 2.38 -0.77 -3.05 -

May 2016 -0.42 -0.95 0.96 0.57 2.52 -0.94 -3.21 -

June 2016 -0.59 -0.97 0.65 0.58 2.68 -1.09 -3.12 -

July 2016 -0.85 -0.97 0.17 0.62 2.76 -1.25 -2.85 -

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016

Page 9: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

OTHER OECD COUNTRIES

08-09-2016

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Netherlands

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Norway

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Poland

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Portugal

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Slovak Republic

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Slovenia

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Spain

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Sweden

Page 10: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Netherlands Norway Poland PortugalSlovak

RepublicSlovenia Spain Sweden

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 100.47 99.42 100.73 100.72 99.95 102.45 101.51 100.14

September 2015 100.39 99.47 100.76 100.62 100.08 102.41 101.49 100.27

October 2015 100.30 99.52 100.80 100.50 100.20 102.31 101.47 100.39

November 2015 100.21 99.56 100.81 100.33 100.31 102.16 101.45 100.48

December 2015 100.11 99.57 100.76 100.19 100.42 101.93 101.41 100.51

January 2016 100.02 99.57 100.65 100.17 100.49 101.60 101.34 100.48

February 2016 99.96 99.58 100.48 100.22 100.54 101.16 101.25 100.36

March 2016 99.93 99.61 100.30 100.32 100.56 100.67 101.13 100.22

April 2016 99.92 99.64 100.17 100.44 100.58 100.20 101.01 100.05

May 2016 99.91 99.66 100.11 100.54 100.60 99.77 100.87 99.89

June 2016 99.88 99.66 100.06 100.61 100.61 99.40 100.73 99.74

July 2016 99.81 99.67 100.00 100.64 100.60 99.07 100.59 99.59

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.06 0.03 0.02 -0.09 0.08 0.02 -0.04 0.10

September 2015 -0.08 0.05 0.03 -0.10 0.12 -0.05 -0.02 0.13

October 2015 -0.09 0.05 0.04 -0.12 0.13 -0.10 -0.01 0.12

November 2015 -0.09 0.03 0.01 -0.17 0.11 -0.14 -0.02 0.09

December 2015 -0.10 0.01 -0.05 -0.14 0.10 -0.22 -0.04 0.03

January 2016 -0.09 0.00 -0.11 -0.03 0.07 -0.32 -0.07 -0.03

February 2016 -0.07 0.01 -0.16 0.06 0.05 -0.44 -0.09 -0.11

March 2016 -0.03 0.03 -0.18 0.10 0.02 -0.48 -0.11 -0.15

April 2016 -0.01 0.03 -0.13 0.12 0.02 -0.47 -0.12 -0.16

May 2016 -0.01 0.02 -0.06 0.10 0.02 -0.43 -0.13 -0.16

June 2016 -0.03 0.01 -0.04 0.07 0.01 -0.37 -0.14 -0.16

July 2016 -0.07 0.01 -0.07 0.03 -0.01 -0.33 -0.14 -0.15

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 0.17 -1.10 0.51 0.08 -0.27 1.38 0.25 0.76

September 2015 0.11 -0.92 0.46 0.00 -0.14 1.19 0.12 0.78

October 2015 0.02 -0.73 0.47 -0.12 -0.04 1.04 -0.01 0.78

November 2015 -0.08 -0.56 0.49 -0.29 0.03 0.83 -0.15 0.76

December 2015 -0.20 -0.40 0.47 -0.41 0.10 0.51 -0.27 0.70

January 2016 -0.33 -0.26 0.36 -0.45 0.19 0.02 -0.40 0.61

February 2016 -0.44 -0.11 0.14 -0.44 0.29 -0.58 -0.51 0.46

March 2016 -0.53 0.03 -0.16 -0.40 0.42 -1.23 -0.61 0.30

April 2016 -0.60 0.16 -0.41 -0.34 0.57 -1.86 -0.70 0.12

May 2016 -0.64 0.24 -0.55 -0.30 0.70 -2.41 -0.77 -0.05

June 2016 -0.68 0.28 -0.63 -0.24 0.76 -2.88 -0.85 -0.24

July 2016 -0.72 0.29 -0.71 -0.17 0.73 -3.28 -0.93 -0.45

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016

Page 11: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

May 2016

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

OTHER OECD COUNTRIES

08-09-2016

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Switzerland

88

90

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Turkey

Page 12: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Switzerland Turkey

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 99.24 98.62

September 2015 99.28 98.73

October 2015 99.32 98.84

November 2015 99.37 98.94

December 2015 99.42 98.98

January 2016 99.48 98.95

February 2016 99.57 98.93

March 2016 99.69 98.98

April 2016 99.81 99.13

May 2016 99.97 99.32

June 2016 100.14 99.48

July 2016 100.33 99.55

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 0.06 0.06

September 2015 0.04 0.10

October 2015 0.05 0.12

November 2015 0.05 0.10

December 2015 0.05 0.04

January 2016 0.06 -0.03

February 2016 0.09 -0.02

March 2016 0.12 0.06

April 2016 0.13 0.15

May 2016 0.15 0.19

June 2016 0.18 0.16

July 2016 0.18 0.07

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 -1.05 -2.31

September 2015 -0.87 -2.26

October 2015 -0.64 -2.11

November 2015 -0.37 -1.88

December 2015 -0.06 -1.59

January 2016 0.26 -1.29

February 2016 0.56 -0.92

March 2016 0.77 -0.44

April 2016 0.89 0.08

May 2016 0.98 0.56

June 2016 1.07 0.90

July 2016 1.15 1.00

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016

Page 13: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Reference series Composite leading indicators

April 2016

May 2016

June 2016

July 2016

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015

September 2015

October 2015

November 2015

December 2015

January 2016

February 2016

March 2016

April 2016

* The reference series for China is the value added of industry ,at 1995 constant prices,100 million Yuan.

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

MAJOR NON MEMBER COUNTRIES

08-09-2016

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Brazil

90

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

China *

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

India

889092949698

100102104106108110

199

7

199

8

199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

Indonesia

889092949698

100102104106108110

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Russia

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

South Africa

Page 14: AREA TOTALS - search.oecd.orgsearch.oecd.org/sdd/leading-indicators/Note_Sep16.pdf · Year on Year growth rate (%) August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015

Brasil China India Indonnesia Russia South Africa

Amplitude adjusted (long term average =100)

August 2015 97.32 99.02 99.34 98.61 99.21 100.05

September 2015 97.32 98.88 99.42 98.47 98.94 99.95

October 2015 97.33 98.77 99.50 98.45 98.67 99.88

November 2015 97.34 98.69 99.59 98.52 98.41 99.83

December 2015 97.39 98.63 99.68 98.69 98.21 99.76

January 2016 97.52 98.59 99.79 98.93 98.14 99.67

February 2016 97.80 98.59 99.91 99.17 98.24 99.56

March 2016 98.22 98.64 100.05 99.36 98.50 99.44

April 2016 98.74 98.73 100.21 99.47 98.84 99.32

May 2016 99.29 98.85 100.38 99.49 99.18 99.21

June 2016 99.84 99.02 100.56 99.41 99.48 99.11

July 2016 100.34 99.22 100.75 99.26 99.87 99.02

Month on Month growth rate (%)

August 2015 -0.02 -0.16 0.07 -0.21 -0.25 -0.12

September 2015 0.00 -0.14 0.08 -0.14 -0.27 -0.10

October 2015 0.01 -0.11 0.08 -0.03 -0.27 -0.07

November 2015 0.02 -0.08 0.09 0.08 -0.26 -0.05

December 2015 0.05 -0.07 0.10 0.17 -0.20 -0.06

January 2016 0.13 -0.04 0.11 0.24 -0.08 -0.09

February 2016 0.28 0.00 0.12 0.24 0.10 -0.11

March 2016 0.43 0.05 0.14 0.19 0.26 -0.12

April 2016 0.53 0.09 0.16 0.11 0.34 -0.12

May 2016 0.56 0.13 0.17 0.02 0.35 -0.12

June 2016 0.55 0.17 0.18 -0.08 0.30 -0.10

July 2016 0.50 0.20 0.19 -0.15 0.39 -0.09

Year on Year growth rate (%)

August 2015 -1.32 -1.26 0.62 -1.45 -2.21 -0.35

September 2015 -1.25 -1.29 0.64 -1.63 -2.24 -0.55

October 2015 -1.09 -1.27 0.67 -1.69 -2.17 -0.68

November 2015 -0.86 -1.24 0.72 -1.62 -2.02 -0.73

December 2015 -0.57 -1.19 0.77 -1.44 -1.84 -0.74

January 2016 -0.21 -1.12 0.84 -1.18 -1.64 -0.77

February 2016 0.24 -1.03 0.93 -0.85 -1.42 -0.83

March 2016 0.78 -0.94 1.03 -0.50 -1.16 -0.93

April 2016 1.37 -0.80 1.14 -0.14 -0.87 -1.04

May 2016 1.97 -0.60 1.25 0.15 -0.53 -1.14

June 2016 2.55 -0.32 1.37 0.34 -0.15 -1.17

July 2016 3.09 0.04 1.49 0.45 0.42 -1.15

OECD Composite Leading Indicators 08-09-2016