artikel entrepreneur thinking and acting
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HOW DO ENTREPRENEURS THINK AND ACT?
SESSION 2 (out of 10)ENTREPRENEURIAL
THINKING AND
ACTING
This session is part of a 10-weeks coursegiven to master students of the SOLVAYBRUSSELS SCHOOL OF ECONOMICSAND MANAGEMENT by professor OlivierWITMEUR.
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR 2
• How do entrepreneurs think
and act?
• Are they different from
“managers”?
• The difference between risk
and uncertainty.
QUESTIONS AGENDA RESOURCES
• Introduction to Effectuation
•
Wafels & Dinges case
• What makes entrepreneurs
entrepreneurial (Sarasvathy)
Desired Outcomes of the Session
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
How To Navigate In Turbulent Times?
3
VOLATILITY
Nature, dynamics and speed of change.
A
U
C
V
AMBIGUITY
Haziness of reality, potential for misreads, and the
mixed meanings of conditions.
COMPLEXITY
Multiplex of forces, confounding of issues and
causes-and-effects confusion.
UNCERTAINTY
Lack of predictability and prospects for surprises.
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
ELEMENTS OF ENTREPRENEURIAL LOGIC: INTRODUCTION TO EFFECTUATION
#1
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Managerial Approach based on optimization Selecting between given means to achieve a predefined goal
5
How to optimize the use of the resources?
GivenGoal
Resource 1
Resource 2
Resource 3
Resource 4
Resource 5
Typical tools & techniques: project management, leadership, controlling, quantitative methods…
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
A more creative approach based on planningGenerating new means to achieve pre-determined goals
6
How to write a ‘case’ or a plan toask for more resources.
Resource 1
Resource 2
Resource 3
(needed)
(needed)
Typical tools & techniques: strategic and financial planning
GivenGoals
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Entrepreneurial Thinking Imagining possible new ends using a given set of means
7
How to exploit one opportunity inside theopportunity space?
Resource 1
Resource 2
Resource 3
Resource 4
Resource 5
Possible goal 1
Possible goal 2
Possible goal 3
…
…
Opportunity Space
Typical tools & techniques: co-creation, creativity, enrolment, lean entrepreneurship, bootstrapping….
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Introducing Effectuation:The logic of expert entrepreneurs
8
The word effectual (entrepreneurial approach) is the inverse of causal (managerial
approach).
In general, in MBA programs across the world, students are taught causal or
predictive reasoning in every functional area of business.
Saras Sarasvathy, India
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Causation vs. Effectuation
9
CAUSATION EFFECTUATION (Cre-Action)
Planned approach
Top-Down
Managerial logic
Prediction based: To the extent we can predict
the future, we can control it.
Emergent approach
Bottom-up
Entrepreneurial logic
Control based: To the extent we can control
the future, we don’t need to predict it.
Effects arepredicted
Need tomanage the
causes
Causes aregiven
Need tomanage the
effects
For predictable situations For uncertain situations
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“The test of a first-rate intelligence is the abilityto hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the
same time, and still retain the ability to function.“
- F. Scott Fitzgerald
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Principle #1: Bird in Hand
11
Start with who you are, what you know and whom you know
… Not with pre-set/given goals (based on prediction)
Typical entrepreneurial resources
• Expertize, skills…
• Social capital
• Psychological capital: hope, optimism, self efficacy and resilience
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Principle #2: Affordable loss
12
Invest what you can afford to lose extreme case = 0 )
… Not expected (risk adjusted) return
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Principle #3: Crazy Quilt
13
Build a network of self-selected stakeholders
… Not competitive analysis and transactional relationships with first-best partners.
Co-Creation Customers
Suppliers
Channels
Financial partners
EmployeesSponsors
…
Committedstakeholders network
Crazy quilt, not puzzle.
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Principle #4: Lemonade principle
14
Embrace and leverage surprises they can present new opportunities)
…Not avoid them
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Nils Bergvist
15
Question• What would you do?
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
About Nils
16
Swedish
Environmental engineer
Worked 8 years in the mining industry in Kiruna (in Northern
Sweden)
Passion for wildlife and sports
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Ice Hotel
17
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Principle #5: Pilot-in-the-plane
18
The future comes from what people do
… No inevitable trends
! Control vs Plan
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
The Dynamics of the Entrepreneurial Network
19
Who I am? WhatI can do? Whom
I know?
My affordableloss?
Who may beinvolved?
Additionalresources
Iterative opportunityco-construction
New GoalsThe venture grows
step by step.
Dead end
My Goals?
Multiple techniques help to deal with these cycles: Design Thinking, Lean Startup,Business Model Generation, Staged Financing…
To be continued.
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Managerial vs. Entrepreneurial Thinking(stylized facts)
20
Effectual
Causal
LowLow High
High Expert
Entrepreneurs
Experienced VCs
Angels
CorporateManagers
Novice VCs
Bankers
Noviceentrepreneurs
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
From Causation to Effectuation…and vice-versa
21
TIME AND EXPERIENCE
LOGIC
Causal
Effectual
Noviceentrepreneur
Expert
entrepreneur
Start-up
firm
Largefirm
Shift in logicnecessitated byfirm growth
Entrepreneurs
do not alwaysmanage tobridge this gap
Moderating
effect ofresources
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Wafels Dinges
22
Question• What would you do next?
• What is your logic?
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR 23
Don’t wait/look for the
perfect opportunity.
Just start!
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR 24
NEVER STOP
WONDERING &
ASKING!
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
A real passion for entrepreneurship education and entrepreneurs.
• Student entrepreneurs: 2x
• Full time entrepreneur: once, in a team of 5
• Coach: 500+ projects over the last 20 years
•
(Advisory) Board member in multiple new ventures• Policy making: 2x
• Director of Solvay Entrepreneurs
• PhD in entrepreneurship in 2008
•
… never as an investor
My wife (as Colombo), no kids, one dog (Vicky).
25
Olivier Witmeur (Belgian, 46)
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Entrepreneurship Course – Session 2 - 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Solvay entrepreneurs is the entrepreneurship center of the Université Libre de
Bruxelles. We support entrepreneurs through the development of their venture, from
an idea to a successful and sustainable business.
26
Solvay Entrepreneurs
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Entrepreneurship Course Session 2 2014 © Olivier WITMEUR
Let’s keep in touch!
27
LinkedIn.com/company/
Solvay-Entrepreneurs
inFacebook.com/
SolvayEntrepreneurs
f Twitter.com/
SolvayStart
t
SolvayEntrepreneurs.be
www YouTube.com/user/
SolvayEntrepreneurs
Foursquare.com/
SolvayStart