asean smart grid congress 2 - universiti teknologi … wind use during nighttime, boost for offshore...

An Analysis of Business Potential for Smart Residence Technology System in ASEAN

Economic Community : An academic perspective

Achara Jivacate1, Wattanapong Rakwichian1, Prapita Thanarak 2 ,Watchara Wongpanyo1, Boonyawat Vichanpol1 and Chatkaew Chailuecha1

,

ASGC2

1

1School of Energy and Environment, University of Phayao, Thailand, 2 School of Renewable Energy Technology, Naresuan University, Thailand

ASEAN Smart Grid Congress 2

UiTM Shah Alam

ASGC2World Population

Major AreaPopulation (millions)

2015 2030 2050 2100

World 7,349 8,501 9,725 11,213

Africa 1,186 1,679 2,478 4,387

Asia 4,393 4,923 5,276 4,889

(ASEAN 10 countries / thousands ) (632,282) (723,270) (789,976) (766,171)

Europe 738 734 707 646

Latin America and the Caribbean 634 721 784 721

Northern America 358 396 433 500

Oceania 39 47 57 71

Ref. : World Population Prospects : The 2015 Revision

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6,101 Mtoe Figure 5 : Total Global Primary

Energy Supply Fuel Sharing in 1973





46.2

1610.5

0.9 1.8 0.1 * *

24.5 *

31.1

21.4

10.2

4.8 2.4 1.2 * *

28.9 *

31.1

21.2

10.3

4.8 2.4 1.4 * *

28.6 *

Remark : *Coal (peat and oil shale) ** Other (geothermal, solar, wind, heat, etc.)

*

**

*

**

*

**

Energy Consumption

% %

%

3Ref. : Key World Energy Statistics 2015-2016


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6,131 TWh Figure 8 : Total Global Electricity

Production in 1973

23,322 TWh Figure 9 : Total Global

Electricity Production in 2013

23,816 TWh Figure 10 : Total Global Electricity Production in 2014

24.8

12.1

3.3

20.9

0.6 * *

38.3 *

4.421.7

10.6

16.35.7 * *

41.3 *

4.321.6

10.6

16.46.3 * *

41.3 *

Remark : *Coal (peat and oil shale) ** Other (geothermal, solar, wind, heat, etc.)

Energy Consumption

%

*

**

%

*

**

%

*

**

4Ref. : Key World Energy Statistics 2015-2016


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Global TemperatureASGC2

Ref. : Global Temperature Report 2015, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of United States

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ASGC2Problem Solution

• Distributed Generation all Electric Appliances (Smart Grid)

• Smart Grid System Smart Residence System

• Smart Residence System

• Smart Residence System Sustainable Smart Town System

• Eco & Smart Lifestyle Commercial Potentiality

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Distributed Generation all Electric Appliances (Smart Grid)ASGC2

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Ref. : https://www.clp.com.hk/en/about-clp-site/power-transmission-and-distribution-site/smart-grid-site/PublishingImages/2222222.jpg


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Smart

Residence

Monitor /

Forecast /

Manage /

Control ตา่งจาก Residence

ASGC2Smart Grid System Smart Residence System

Ref. : http://panasonic.net/es/fujisawasst/images/energy_panel1_photo.jpg

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ASGC2

Smart Residence SystemGator Tech. USA : From embedding ICT to adapting

to sustainability principles

9Ref. : The Gator Tech Smart House: A Programmable Pervasive Space


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ASGC2

Smart Residence SystemGator Tech. USA : A Programmable Pervasive Space

10Ref. : The Gator Tech Smart House: A Programmable Pervasive Space


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Smart Residence System Sustainable Smart Town SystemASGC2

Fujisawa Model

Smart Life

Smart Space Design

Smart Infrastructure Creation

Ref. : http://fujisawasst.com/EN/project/

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Eco & Smart Lifestyle Commercial PotentialityASGC2

Ref. : http://www.treehugger.com/sustainable-product-design/toyota-dream-house-includes-plug-in-prius.html

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ASGC2

Figure 1 : PopulationComparison

Figure 2 : GDP (PPP)Comparison

Ref. : Doing Business in ASEAN 2 nd edition, ASEAN+3 Business 2015

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ASGC2

Figure 3 : Internet PenetrationComparison

Figure 4 : Electricity / Capata Comparison

Ref. : Doing Business in ASEAN 2 nd edition, ASEAN+3 Business 2015

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Brunei Darussalam

ASGC2

Natural-resource-based economy, export of oil, gas and related products but the impact of falling oil price on its economy, attempt to conduct petrochemical hub promotion, high purchasing power, retail business, growing transportation, secure politics, inexpensive electricity price, boost for banking and tourism industries whereas the small market and workforce shortage

Summarized Country Information

Cambodia

The lowest wage in Asean, foreign investment promotion of road construction, natural resource abundance and diversity whereas the disadvantages ; underdeveloped infrastructure facilities, skilled work force shortage, unreliable banking and financial system, frequent changes on commercial regulations, insufficient electricity and needs to focus on solidifying its national grid, expensive electricity price due to electricity generated from diesel oil, potential in the renewable energy

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Indonesia

ASGC2

the largest economy in the South East Asian, large market, strong banking system, inexpensive workforce, natural resource abundance and diversity, and being coal exporter, however due to an archipelagic island country microgrid technology is required to reduce fuel transportation, underdeveloped infrastructure facilities, unclarity of laws and regulations


Laos PDRlow wage, abundance of biology, energy and natural resources, battery of ASEAN, hydro power plant for base and peak load, underdeveloped infrastructure facilities, instability of the national currency (the kip), unskilled workforce and no exit to the Sea (land - locked country), promote low- carbon growth and more sustainable future under Paris Agreement entered into force at the end of this year, goal for access to electricity at least 98% of population by the end of 2030 (at present, over 90% of people have enough electricity for use in homes + businesses_ Vientiane Times Website 24 Oct.16)

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ASGC2Malaysia

the third highest of oil reserves in the Asia-Pacific region, complete infrastructure system, various industries but small markets, high cost of capital, unclear rules and regulationsefficiency in Smart Grid leader due to official policy on RE, readiness for solar, wind, and biomass from palm, efficiency in Energy Hub due to close to primary resources such as gas, petrol, coal and RE resources, industrial country and need for peak power during the daytime and good opportunity for PV market

Myanmar

low wage, abundant oil and natural gas resources,border adjacent to China and India, the large sized market,more opportunity for RE, solar having Global Horizontal Irradiation (GHI) levels of between 1,600 and 2,000 kWh/m2/yr and average Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) levels of about 1,400 kWh/m2/yr, however undeveloped public utilities and insecure politics


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ASGC2Philippines

workers having skills in technology and English communication, import of diesel oil like Cambodia, considerable potential in wind and solar energy, but high risk for monsoon, strong labour union, frequent change in rules and regulations and high corruption, undeveloped public utilities, difficult in transportation due to countries with islands, policy of renewable energy, renewable energy mix such as solar, wind, biomass and microgrid to smart grid

Singapore

high per capita income, maritime and financial hub, readiness for information technology, policy of energy conservation, renewable energy, smart grid, smart devices, considerable potential in the first smart grid country via smart home, smart building, EV, relying on raw material import and low skilled workforce shortage, high operational expenditure


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ASGC2Thailand

role as hub linking to ASEAN mainland such as Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, Malaysia, etc., the sea connecting to the Philippines and Brunei, near to all country by air and by sea, major industrial production base of the world, secure financial institutions, official policy with RE, EE and smart grid, middle production technologies, but without strong intellectual property protection, potential for solar and capacity building of technology

Vietnamlow wage, crude oil reserve as the second-highest in the South East Asia-Pacific, with a coastline stretching over 3,200 km, focus on low carbon business and clean energy - wind energy and solar, solar use during daytime and wind use during nighttime, boost for offshore nuclear power plant plan, large number of population, high cost of land and office rental, undeveloped public facilities and unclarity of laws


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MethodASGC2

Tools Method Results

• Literature Review/ Journal

• In-depth Interview(AEC Energyacademic group)

• Questionnaires(AEC Energy academic group)

• SWOT Analysis

AEC's Smart Residence

Business Potential Analysis

Potential • Considerable• Moderate• Limited

Research Process

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Method

(INTERNAL) (EXTERNAL)

NEGA

TIVE

PO

SI

TIVE

STRENGHTS : secure politics, strong banking system, maritime + financial hub, low wage, complete infrastructure system, skill in technology and English communication, natural resource based economy, having official policy, and potential for RE (energy mix : solar, wind, biomass), energy conservation, ICT readiness, considerable potential in smart grid (via smart residence, smart building and EV

WEAKNESSES : frequent changes on commercial regulations, unclear laws and regulations, complex technology

OPPORTUNITIES : government policy to support investment in RE, high per capita income, high purchasing power, having taste of premium quality product consumption, rapid improvement in RE technology, market expanding due to AEC establishment, border adjacent to China and India, natural resource abundance and diversity, efficiency in energy hub due to close to primary resources (gas, petrol / coal / RE), very few competitors in smart residence business, having difficulty in some countries about transportation of fossil energy or electricity wiring (island country), realization of RE / smart residence / smart grid importance, good opportunity in capacity building in case of little knowledge, good opportunity for PV market

THREATS : very high cost of initial investment, having various rules (regulations, laws and taxes) in different countries, limited group of technology and equipment, inadequate readiness of supporting system for smart residence / smart grid making, lacking knowledge and understanding due to new concept of smart grid

Summarized

SWOT

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Results and DiscussionAEC Energy Academic Group In–Depth InterviewASGC2

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• AEC has potential for doing smart residencesystem business

• AEC has a good opportunity for business growth• AEC has policy, technologies, budget, purchasing power

and key players on the business of solar cells, electricaldevices, information and communication technologies

(ICT).• AEC has great future in renewable technology supporting

peak load during daytime with solar energy.


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Singapore shows its leadership in ICT, banking and financialhub, greatest purchasing power, high GDP per capita.

Singaporeans and Thais have taste of premium qualityproduct consumption. They are willing to buy for satisfactionand image no matter how high the price is.

Malaysia has diversified economy, business strength,converged infrastructures and modernization.

Indonesia has strengthening economic growth, bankingsystem, capital market, low cost workforce, abundantresources and energy policy promotion.

Philippines has considerable knowledge of technologies andthe ability to keep up in a rapidly changing world but internetspeed has to be improved.


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Vietnam promotes renewable energy : solar and hybridsystem development for remote areas, high mountain,isolated islands where the national grid system isunreachable.

Brunei Darussalam has purchasing power, lifestyle of luxuryshopping, growth in business and transportation but withoutenergy conservation.

Myanmar has abundant fuel oil and natural gas fields.Solar energy can be deployed for development since 36% oftotal areas in the country receive an annual average of solarradiation in the range of 18-19 MJ/m2/day.


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Laos PDR has biomass, hydro, solar, wind and geothermalenergy. The government promotes solar energies, provideslighting services through the installation of solar homesystems where the national grid system is unreachable. Thegovernment supports the solar energy business developmentin the country.

Cambodia has insufficient electricity (diesel, coal and hydro).The electricity price is very expensive. The governmentfocuses on solidifying its national grid and and transmissionlines before expanding into more costly renewable technology.


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Results and DiscussionAEC Energy Academic Group Marketing Survey QuestionnairesASGC2

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Smart residence system in AEC becomes welcome opportunity because : • 60% of the respondents considered smart residence

system very interesting• Sources of electricity consumption derive from electricity

provider and self-supply energy by renewables (solar).• The home automation systems are installed in the

residences, such as lighting system, television and audio.• Energy saving electric appliances are installed such as air

conditioning system, television, microwave and fridge.• Energy saving benefits are for environmental concerns,

quality of life, nation energy security and positive image.


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ConclusionASGC2

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The government should provide financial support andpromotion for business opportunity.

Capacity building or capacity development should befocused on users and consumers in demand ฤnd supplysides to strengthen their skills and visions.

ICT program design must be renovated or improved in thefuture to prove the feasibility, usefulness, safety, security inassistive and friendly environments and perceivedcompatibility.


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ConclusionASGC2

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ICT program design must be easy to use for the end users,especially for the old aged people.

personal data protection system should be integrated withICT security standard system to maximize efficiency inhome office and ensure workplace security and personalsecurity.

Finally, all of the benefits serve modern, active andcomfortable lifestyle.


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Thank You for Your Attention and See You in Vietnam Smart Grid Congress III

[email protected]

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asean smart grid congress 2 - universiti teknologi … wind use during nighttime, boost for offshore...

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