ashland september kickoff

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  • !Ashland, Wisconsin

    Planning Process and Comprehensive Plan !!!!!

    September 2015

  • Kennedy Smith Thomas Eddington, AICPCharles BukiDowntown Economics Planning and DesignStrategy

    Karen Pooley, PhDEconometrics

  • !Ashland, Wisconsin

    Planning Process and Comprehensive Plan !!!!!

    September 2015

  • Roles and Responsibilities and Timeline

  • Potential Schedule

  • SC PC CCczb

    Community

    Oct 1 - Apr 30 May 1 - Jun 30

  • Roles

    Provides Does

    City Staff Technical Expertise Analyzes approaches and data

    Steering Committee Informal AuthorityEngages the community

    Explains the process and emerging plans

    Plan Commission Review Advises the city council

    Council Formal Authority Adopts (or votes down) draft plan

    czb All the Above Guides the community + process

  • Community Engagement

  • Steering Committee Work

    1. Select Co-Chairs 2. Develop an off-month meeting schedule/calendar 3. Break into 11 groups of 1-2 persons

    Link ea a member of the city council 4. Plan for hosting (w city council person) 4 kitchen table

    conversation in the community of 6-12/13 ish people each 5. 11x4 = 44 outreach meetings

    Student support for each Notice + Scribing

    6. Big commitment for Phase 1 Analysis/Outreach (12 75 minute meetings through end of February)

    Meeting w Thomas avg 1/month now until February (4) Conducting outreach (4) Meeting in off month (4)

    7. Similar commitment for Phase 2 (Community Review)

  • Consultants

    Steering Committee

    Technical Staff

    Stakeholders

    Stakeholders

    Stakeholders

    Stakeholders

    Stakeholders

  • Steering CommitteePriorities Target Market

    Values

    Assets

  • Steering Committee + Staff together to hold kitchen table conversations together

    Each month, czb will meet w staff and steering committee !

    - In the off weeks between, staff and steering committee will meet with residents and business stakeholders in a series of facilitated, small kitchen table conversations held in Ashland homes, around the dining room table or in the living room or around the fireplace or BBQ.

    !- These will be about 75-90 min in length, and mostly listening to

    responses to the same pointed questions consultants are putting to staff and steering committee; students (if available and willing) will scribe; we will send talking points to your co-chairs

    !- Takeaways from these conversations will be communicate czb

  • October What are our core values?What assets can we not afford to squander?

    November What should be our very top priorities? Specifically.Who should be our target market?

    December Reaction to early/preliminary draft outline

    January Reaction to modified early draftImplementation Challenges

    Steering Committee + Staff together to hold kitchen table conversations together

  • NOT a to do list (plan)more of a how do we decide about ______ when we cant anticipate _______

  • NOT a to do list (plan)more of a how do we decide about ______ when we cant anticipate _______

  • NOT a to do list (plan)more of a how do we decide about ______ when we cant anticipate _______

  • NOT a to do list (plan)more of a how do we decide about ______ when we cant anticipate _______

  • NOT a to do list (plan)more of a how do we decide about ______ when we cant anticipate _______

  • All properties tell important stories !

    1. Who is moving in and out 2. Who is staying 3. Who is investing and disinvesting 4. What your retail dollars look like 5. What your economic base is 6. How well you govern 7. What your governing priorities are

  • Planning 101

  • Notes on Planning for Ashland, WisconsinFor Comprehensive Plans to be of any real value to a community,

    they must have three tightly choreographed components

    1. Get the Big Things Right 2. Anticipate What May Be Coming 3. Establish Guidelines for Making Decisions

  • 2016

    Together, OUR JOB is to Create This Document

    TRADITIONAL APPROACH

  • 2016

    Together, OUR JOB is to Create This Document

    xx xxTRADITIONAL APPROACHx

  • 1. Get the Big Things Right 2. Anticipate What May Be Coming 3. Establish Guidelines for Making Decisions

    2016

    A good comprehensive plan is your priorities in actionable form

    What are the core beliefs held by the Ashland community? What is the community willing to fight for and can agree on? What is the community to pay for itself ?

    These are your priorities

  • 1. Get the Big Things Right 2. Anticipate What May Be Coming 3. Establish Guidelines for Making Decisions

    2016

    A good comprehensive plan is your priorities in actionable form

    What are the core beliefs held by the Ashland community? What is the community willing to fight for and can agree on? What is the community to pay for itself ?

    These are your priorities

    What are the big things?

    What do we know?

    How will we decide?

  • 2016

    A good comprehensive plan is your priorities in actionable form

    So How Will We Create That?

  • 2016

    A good comprehensive plan is your priorities in actionable form

    Steering Committee +

    Consultant Team

    The Pulse of Ashland Through On-Going

    Dialogue

    Data and

    Expertise

    So How Will We Create That?

  • We will ask questions to help push the Ashland community to clarify

    What should Ashlands priorities be ? What to do and in what order

    Why are they your priorities ?How to implement what youve prioritized

    How to prioritize when the unexpected arises

    What are your core beliefs ? What planning principles will guide future decisions

    Who is your target market ? What do they want?

  • We will ask questions to help push the Ashland community to clarify

    What should Ashlands priorities be ? What to do and in what order

    Why are they your priorities ?How to implement what youve prioritized

    How to prioritize when the unexpected arises

    What are your core beliefs ? What planning principles will guide future decisions

    Who is your target market ? What do they want?

    The things to do - the housing strategy, the downtown strategy, the waterfront strategy, the roads strategy, etc

    Your decision-making guide when something out of the blue comes up

    Your North Star - what you are pointing towards - the basis of the community you want to build

    The future Ashlands stakeholders

  • Comprehensive Plan ASHLAND

    A Version of What We Are Going to Create

    A. History - Where we are - baseline conditions - How we got here - history - Do nothing differently strategy - business as usual

    B. Foundation - Communitys core values and vision - Principles that will guide our decisions - Target market

    C. Plan - Communitys priorities

    D. Regulatory Framework - Land use plan - Zoning

    E. Appendices - State requirements - Data

    - Housing - Parks - Roads - Fiscal - Economic

  • Comprehensive Plan ASHLAND

    What We Are Going to Create

    A. History - Where we are - baseline conditions - How we got here - history - Do nothing differently strategy - business as usual

    B. Foundation - Communitys core values and vision - Principles that will guide our decisions - Target market

    C. Plan - Communitys priorities

    D. Regulatory Framework - Land use plan - Zoning

    E. Appendices - State requirements Data

    - Housing - Parks - Roads - Fiscal - Economic

    Core

  • Comprehensive Plan ASHLAND

    What We Are Going to Create

    All About Choices + Tradeoffs

    What we in Ashland want to create and enjoy (get)

    and what we are willing to do to

    get it (give)

  • What We Are Going to Focus On

    1. Stay focused like a laser on relevant, real community issues 2. We will organize the plan the way YOU think and work

    - Traditional - Useless data followed by elements - Actions steps that may or may not get done

    - czb Approach - Values, principles, market, priorities - Projects that have to be tackled

    - Ashland approach - How you think and work - Your priorities

    3. Devise practical and workable recommendations 4. Build champions in the community and recruit partners

  • What We Are Going to Focus On

  • Not Just About Land Use

    What We Are Going to Focus On

  • What will go here? Who are future customers? How will our kids fare?

  • Values, Beliefs and Habits Priorities

  • Priorities Discussion

  • Priorities

    Where is Ashland on its curve of strength/decline/strength?

  • Priorities

    - Individual Work - Looking into the next 5 years, youve done good prioritization work. But we

    need to know more of a) housing, b) economic development/marketing, c) infrastructure, and d) city facilities

    - Please rank - Please note why !

    - In terms of meeting these priorities, as youve listed and reasoned them out - Please think about business as usual however you define that

    - Will these priorities be tackled and done well by business as usual - If so, GREAT! Tell us what to not try to change - If not, what needs to be changed?

    - Why? - Why hasnt it been changed yet? (whats been in the way?)

  • Priorities

    - Group Work !

    - Target Marketwho should it be? - Think about your possible target market?

    - Who? Why? What do they need, want, expect? !

    - Assets - What are the citys assets it cannot afford to squander?

    !

  • Neighborhood Economics 101

  • Is this your vision of Ashland?

  • $39,000 - $130,000

  • 1 Standard !SettersBest cared for properties in Ashland

    260 10%

    2Homes that are in really good condition

    A little work will 722 28%

    3Average quality care and maintenance

    Always at some risk depending on location

    1,065 42%

    4 Declining; not complete distress

    Will worsen without an intervention 436 17%

    5Distressed; valuable only to toxic owners

    66 3%

    2,549

  • 3%17%

    42%

    28%

    10%

  • 1 Where the community will cost effectively mobilize to reinvest in itself

    2,047 80%

    2

    3

    4 Where it can be expense, and where negativity can shape outcomes

    502 20%

    5

    2,549

    1 Properties whose owners are going to be shaped by what happens to 3s 4s 5s

    982 39%

    2

    3 Properties that are at disposition risk

    1,567 61%

    4

    5

    2,549

    1 The part of the market thats working well

    982 39%

    2

    3 The most @ risk part of the market

    1,065 42%

    4 The part of the market that's not working at all

    502 20%

    5

    2,549

  • Income x 3 = house buying power Income / 36 = monthly rent/mortgage payment capacity

    Income / 3 = discretionary spending Discretionary spending / 300 = estimated supportable retail square footage

    $39,000 - $130,000$110,000 (uh oh!)$101/mo $4.3M deprived from housing market annually

    !~$1.1 tax revenue deprived from county for public

    goods and services owning to diminished confidence in housing market

  • Last ten years, Ashland city housing market has about $40M

    less in ad valorem than it should have had, owing to owners withholding maintenance

    they CAN afford