assessing impacts and benefits - relevance of co-benefits for namas and indcs
TRANSCRIPT
Assessing impacts and benefits – relevance of co-benefits for NAMAs and INDCs
Frauke Roeser, [email protected]
Thomas Day, [email protected]
MitigationMomentum Side Event
1 December 2015, Paris COP 21
NAMAs – The challenge of implementation
Sustainable development key characteristic of NAMAs
Mitigation is co-benefit in many sectors
However, this is not reflected in NAMA development practice where co-benefits are still often afterthoughts
Key challenge for NAMAs: moving from planning to implementation
Sectors and line ministries play a fundamental role
Structured co-benefits assessment can support transition to implementation
INDCs – The challenge of ambition
Demonstrate how co-benefits could be used to incentivise ambitious GHG reductions
Assessment of missed benefits that could have been achieved if INDC in line with 2°C pathway: 100% renewables by 2050 compared to current policies
Illustrative results for USA, China, EU, Canada, Japan, Chile, South Africa, India
Methodology
Co- benefits consideredReduced fossil fuel imports – savings in US$
Reduced air pollution – human health: number of premature deaths per year
Creating green jobs – number of jobs in energy sector
Results only illustrative – due to complexity and uncertainty associated with quantification of co-benefits
Use of three scenarios for each country:Current policies
INDC – assumptions on sector implications
100% renewables by 2050 – inline with below 2°C
Example – EU Natural gas demand
Example – China job creation
Illustrative results – Fossil fuel imports
Illustrative results – air pollution
Illustrative results – job creation
Key conclusions
Highlighting co-benefits in the design of INDCs & NAMAs could increase the willingness to undertake and implement ambitious mitigation actions
The joint consideration of mitigation actions and co-benefits could increase the cost-effectiveness of policies
Consideration of co-benefits could speed up the implementation of mitigation actions and thereby reduce the costs of climate change mitigation.