Assessment of Large Scale Land Cover Change Classification and Drivers of

Deforestation in Indonesia

Contributors: Arief Wijaya, Ruandha Agung Sugardiman, Budiharto, Anna Tosiani, Lou Verchot, Daniel Murdiyarso, Martin Herold, Erika Romijn

36th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of EnvironmentBerlin, 10 – 15 May 2015

CIFOR Global Comparative Study on REDD+

GCS Module 3: REDD+ MRV and Carbon Emissions measurement

– Assessment of major deforestation drivers

– Setting national reference emission levels (RELs)

– Monitoring, reporting, verification (MRV) for REDD+

– Six case study countries: Brazil, Peru, Indonesia, Vietnam, Tanzania and Cameroon

Further information: www.cifor.org/gcs/

Outline of Presentation

Common problems of national forest mapping in Indonesia

Satellite data classification and approaches

Comparison of available maps of forest loss/deforestation

Needs for systematic accuracy assessment

Drivers of deforestation analysis

One Landsat scenecover 185 x 185 km

Indonesia is covered by 218 scenes

Source: Ministry of Forestry of Indonesia

Highly rapid vegetation dynamics in Indonesia

Source: Ministry of Forestry of Indonesia

Satellite data availability and approaches

Source: Ministry of Forestry of Indonesia

Available datasets

Land cover map of MOF (1990 - 2013)

WRI Global Forest Watch data/GFW (2000 – 2013)

Annual primary forest loss map of University of Maryland – from Margono study (annually, from 2000 - 2012)

Indonesian National Carbon Accounting System (INCAS), LCCA project by Indonesian National Aerospace Agency (LAPAN) (annually, from 2000 – 2012)

Comparison of deforestation/forest loss maps

2 00 1 2 00 2 2 00 3 2 00 4 2 00 5 2 00 6 2 00 7 2 00 8 2 00 9 2 01 0 2 01 1 2 01 2 2 01 30

500

1000

1500

2000

2500GFW (Outside and inside primary forest)GFW (Inside primary forest)MOF - CIFOR (Natural forest)Margono, et.al (Primary forest)

Annu

al tr

ee c

over

loss

/def

ores

tatio

n(0

00 h

ecta

re)

What causes discrepancies in 2013?

Agreement and disagreement of forest loss / deforestation during 2000 – 2010- MOF (orange

polygon)- Margono (black)- INCAS (other

colors)

Systematic accuracy assessment exercise- Fine resolution Google Earth footprints imagery- Mosaic cloud free Landsat data 2000, 2005, 2010- Stratified random sampling points of verified forest loss 2000 – 2010- To verify Margono, INCAS, MOF forest loss data- Observe maps differences, Why? When?- Improve forest loss estimate 2000 - 2012

Deforestation estimate across main Islands

Contributions of CO2 Emissions by Islands

Kalimantan and Sumatera contribute to ~80% of CO2 deforestation emissions between 1990 – 2012

CO2 Emissions from Deforestation, Peat Drainage and Peat Fires in Indonesia

Peatlands contribute to 30 – 50% of total carbon emissions from forestry sector between 1990 and 2012

Land Use Types Following Forest Conversion

1990-2000

Forest definitions matter!

Distribution of deforestation drivers in Indonesia from 2000 to 2009 based on analysis of follow-up land cover/land use type

Source: Romijn, et al (2013)

Supporting Donors :