asset-backed securities - cacttc

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Asset-Backed Securities Rick Phillips GIOA Founder & President of FTN Main Street Advisors CACTTC Area V Meeting March 7, 2018

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Page 1: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

Asset-Backed Securities

Rick PhillipsGIOA Founder &

President of FTN Main Street Advisors

CACTTC Area V MeetingMarch 7, 2018

Page 2: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

1

California Code 53601(o)

A mortgage passthrough security, collateralized mortgage obligation, mortgage-backed or other pay-through bond, equipment lease-backed certificate, consumer receivable passthrough certificate, or consumer receivable-backed bond of a maximum of five years’ maturity. Securities eligible for investment under this subdivision shall be issued by an issuer rated in a rating category of “A” or its equivalent or better for the issuer’s debt as provided by an NRSRO and rated in a rating category of “AA” or its equivalent or better by an NRSRO. Purchase of securities authorized by this subdivision shall not exceed 20 percent of the agency’s surplus moneys that may be invested pursuant to this section.

Source: California Legislative Information Website

Page 3: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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California Code 53601(o) – Proposed Change

Source: CACTTC 2018 Legislative Proposal Worksheet

Page 4: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS: What Are They and How Are They Different?

Generally Speaking:

• Bonds backed by many (or thousands) of borrowers.

• Credit worthiness is often independent of the issuer.

• Significant credit support at issuance that builds over time.

• Strong credit profile not reliant on asset valuations.

• Efficiently Achieve Greater Creditand Economic Diversity

Unique Advantages of ABS:

• Reduce or Eliminate the Event Risk Inherent in Single Credit Issues

• Gain Credit Stability Through Even the Worst of Market Conditions

• Attractive Yields vs. Other Types of Lower Rated Securities

Page 5: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS: The Basics

ABS Trust

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What are the Benefits of Securitization?

Allows investors to get a direct exposure to a portfolio of mortgages or other receivables without having a bank/company as an intermediary

Allows the creation of tradable securities with better liquidity than the original loans on the bank’s/company’s balance sheet

Allows banks/companies to use capital more efficiently

Page 7: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS: How the Typical Auto Structure Works

Two Types of Credit Support: Overcollateralization & Subordination

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ABS: How the Typical Auto Structure Works

Subordination Protects The Senior Note Holders 5 WaysC

red

it a

nd

Mat

uri

ty T

rau

nch

ing

Source: Atlanta Capital

Page 9: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Toyota ABS Recent Issue

Source: Bloomberg

Page 10: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS: How the Typical Auto Structure Works

Subordination Protects The Senior Note Holders 5 Ways

Source: Atlanta Capital

Page 11: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS During the Great Financial Crisis

Page 12: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Checklist for Investing in ABS…Initial

Factors to Analyze at Purchase (e.g., New Issue):

Page 13: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Checklist for Investing in ABS…Lots of Reading!

Source: Bloomberg

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Checklist for Investing in ABS…FICO

Source: Bloomberg

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Checklist for Investing in ABS…Diversification

Source: Bloomberg

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Checklist for Investing in ABS…Ongoing

Factors for Ongoing Analyze:

Page 17: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Ongoing Monitoring

Source: Bloomberg

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Are ABS Right for Your Portfolio?

There are three primary ways to structure an operating portfolio:

• Matching Cash Flows

• Matching an Index

• Optimizing Relative Value (timing duration risk and credit risk)

ABS Fits Mostly in the Relative Value Category

Page 19: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Cash Flow Matching

California County Pool Month-End Balances by Fiscal Year

Page 20: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Strategy Comparisons

Cash Flow Matching Index Matching Relative Value

Page 21: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Strategy Comparisons

Cash Flow Matching Index Matching Relative Value

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CA County Pool Comparisons as of Dec 2017

Source: Entities’ Websites

Risk and Return Relationship

Page 23: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS General Pros and Cons

• ABS Usually Have a Higher Yields Than Other AAA Rated Securities

• ABS Provide Monthly Cash Flows

• ABS Require More Accounting Effort

• ABS Require More Analysis Effort

Page 24: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS 0-5Y AAA vs. Corporates 1-3Y AA-AAA

Bas

is P

oin

t Sp

read

to

Tre

asu

rie

s

ABS

Corporates

Source: Bloomberg 3 AAA

Spreads to Treasuries

Page 25: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS 0-5Y AAA vs. Corporates 1-3Y AA-AAA

Effe

ctiv

e D

ura

tio

n

ABS

Corporates

Source: Bloomberg

Effective Duration

Page 26: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS 0-5Y AAA vs. Corporates 1-3Y AA-AAA: Returns

Ind

ex T

ota

l Re

turn

%

ABS

Corporates

Source: Bloomberg

Page 27: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS 0-5Y AAA vs. Agencies 1-3Y: Returns

Ind

ex T

ota

l Re

turn

%

ABS

Agencies

Source: Bloomberg

Page 28: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Toyota MTN vs Toyota ABS

Source: Bloomberg

Page 29: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Toyota MTN vs Toyota ABS

YTM

Source: Bloomberg

Page 30: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS Cash Flows – Toyota ABS

Eff Duration/WAL

BulletFloater

Source: Bloomberg

Bullet

BulletBullet

Page 31: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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ABS Cash Flows – Toyota ABS

Eff Duration/WAL

BulletFloater

Source: Bloomberg

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ABS Cash Flows

Credit Card ABS --- “Soft Bullet”

Source: Bloomberg

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ABS Accounting

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Final Questions or Comments

Page 35: Asset-Backed Securities - CACTTC

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Disclosure

The views expressed herein are those of the speaker and do not necessarily represent the views of FTN Financial Main Street

Advisors, LLC or its affiliates. Views are based on data available at the time of this presentation and are subject to change based

on market and other conditions. We cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any statements or data. The information

provided does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied upon as such. It is not a solicitation to with respect to

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