at > hu pb 80 31.05.2017 70 covering: albania, bosnia & … · 2017-08-16 · full report...

Energy NEWS | Price forecasts | Country Reports | Analyses | Power and trading data | Auctions | Carbon market | Tenders

B a l k a n E n e r g y . c o m

Covering: Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Turkey

Market Arbitration Profits

SPOT Market Prices (all prices in EUR/MWh); Rise - Green, Drop - Red

*Day ahead prices - day ahead capacity

Current wholesale prices

MIN - AT MAX - HR

34.8 34.8 - 38 38 - 41 41 - 46 46 - 49 49 - 52 52 - 54.0 54.0

based on 2 last day-ahead average price

0

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25.05. 26.05. 27.05. 28.05. 29.05. 30.05. 31.05.

Trad

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HUPX, Hungary

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

560

580

600

620

640

660

680

700

720

740

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25.05. 26.05. 27.05. 28.05. 29.05. 30.05. 31.05.

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EEX, Germany


31.05. 30.05. 29.05. 28.05. 27.05.

WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change

Hungary 49.66 47.29 40.75 29.37 41.97 51.29 45.90 -10.5%

Germany 32.96 36.84 36.91 20.36 27.02 32.43 35.57 9.7%

Austria 34.10 35.55 36.77 18.48 26.61 31.38 35.47 13.1%

Slovenia 45.14 48.62 39.21 29.78 41.56 45.42 44.33 -2.4%

Romania 49.66 47.39 41.65 28.94 42.16 51.29 46.23 -9.9%

Bulgaria 44.64 37.72 37.12 27.36 31.60 44.63 39.83 -10.8%

Croatia 50.94 57.00 43.86 32.10 42.59 56.23 50.60 -10.0%

Serbia 48.49 46.51 42.91 29.29 41.84 47.56 45.97 -3.3%

Greece 51.12 47.96 45.78 42.45 42.31 47.77 48.29 1.1%

Turkey 41.17 40.33 40.79 35.18 41.32 41.05 40.76 -0.7%

Italy 48.29 49.34 41.90 32.59 39.45 45.17 46.51 3.0%

31.05. 30.05. 29.05. 28.05. 27.05.


Hungary 55.00 54.66 44.66 28.24 45.30 58.42 51.44 -11.9%

Germany 33.15 38.87 40.54 17.08 24.56 33.19 37.52 13.1%

Austria 34.98 36.63 38.70 15.89 23.51 31.85 36.77 15.5%

Slovenia 49.86 54.03 43.51 29.79 46.13 49.68 49.13 -1.1%

Romania 55.00 54.87 45.25 27.38 45.30 58.42 51.70 -11.5%

Bulgaria 47.17 40.01 43.66 26.81 33.38 49.73 43.61 -12.3%

Croatia 55.51 64.25 46.25 28.80 46.59 63.76 55.34 -13.2%

Serbia 53.33 51.23 47.45 29.88 44.32 52.97 50.67 -4.3%

Greece 52.16 51.42 50.03 41.80 45.90 50.18 51.20 2.0%

Turkey 49.16 44.99 49.98 35.39 46.19 48.68 48.05 -1.3%

31.05. 30.05. 29.05. 28.05. 27.05.


Hungary 44.32 39.92 36.84 30.49 38.63 44.16 40.36 -8.6%

Germany 32.77 34.80 33.27 23.64 29.48 31.68 33.61 6.1%

Austria 33.21 34.47 34.84 21.06 29.71 30.91 34.17 10.6%

Slovenia 40.43 43.21 34.91 29.76 36.98 41.15 39.52 -4.0%

Romania 44.32 39.92 38.04 30.49 39.02 44.16 40.76 -7.7%

Bulgaria 42.11 35.42 30.57 27.91 29.82 39.26 36.04 -8.2%

Croatia 46.37 49.75 41.47 35.40 38.59 48.54 45.87 -5.5%

Serbia 43.66 41.80 38.38 28.69 39.37 42.07 41.28 -1.9%

Greece 50.08 44.50 41.53 43.09 38.72 45.35 45.37 0.0%

Turkey 33.17 35.67 31.61 34.96 36.46 33.41 33.48 0.2%

BASEWorkweek average

PEAKWorkweek average

Workweek averageOFFPEAK

31.05. 30.05. 29.05. 28.05. 27.05.

WED TUE MON SUN SAT

B -0.87 -1.19 -2.75 3.19 -0.23

AT > HU P -1.87 0.75 -3.28 2.33 0.48

O 0.13 -3.14 -2.21 4.06 -0.94

B 0.27 -2.48 -2.88 1.31 -0.64

DE > HU P -0.04 -1.49 -5.12 1.14 -0.57

O 0.57 -3.46 -0.64 1.48 -0.71

B -5.57 -1.66 -3.42 -0.32 -4.83

HU > SI P -6.83 -5.15 -4.21 0.74 -5.23

O -4.32 1.83 -2.62 -1.38 -4.43

B 1.28 9.71 3.11 2.74 0.62

HU > HR P 0.51 9.60 1.59 0.56 1.28

O 2.05 9.83 4.63 4.91 -0.04

B -1.26 -0.88 2.15 -0.28 -0.25

HU > SR P -1.69 -3.47 2.79 1.42 -1.10

O -0.84 1.70 1.52 -1.98 0.61

B -6.86 -11.37 -6.53 -3.06 -5.45

HR > SI P -7.34 -14.74 -5.80 0.17 -6.52

O -6.37 -8.00 -7.26 -6.29 -4.39

BASE

* BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia)

Power and trading data

31.05.2017

Full report available in SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY

Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM

This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday

HUPX April 2017

forecast available

http://balkanenergy.com/

http://balkanenergy.com/order-trial/

http://balkanenergy.com/energy_news/

http://balkanenergy.com/files/HUPX_Price_Forecast-August_2016.pdf

http://balkanenergy.com/products-services/price-forecast-study/

Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication


2

Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info


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Futures (EEX Germany, HUPX Hungary)

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OPCOM, Romania


0.02.04.06.08.010.012.014.016.018.020.0

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25.05. 26.05. 27.05. 28.05. 29.05. 30.05. 31.05.

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IBEX, Bulgaria


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25.05. 26.05. 27.05. 28.05. 29.05. 30.05. 31.05.

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CROPEX, Croatia


0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.0

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60

25.05. 26.05. 27.05. 28.05. 29.05. 30.05. 31.05.

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SEEPEX, Serbia


134

136

138

140

142

144

146

148

150

152

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25.05. 26.05. 27.05. 28.05. 29.05. 30.05. 31.05.

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EPIAS, Turkey


-14.00

-13.00

-12.00

-11.00

-10.00

-9.00

22.05. 23.05. 24.05. 25.05. 26.05. 29.05. 30.05.

Spread EEX - HUPX | June 2017

Spread EEX - HUPX | June 2017 (AVG=-11.49)

B 16.43 252 12.93 275 6.73 297 7.69 288

AT > HU P 21.88 238 17.27 246 9.24 271 10.02 267

O 10.98 267 8.59 305 4.21 322 5.37 309

B 0.00 1,442 0.00 1,236 0.00 1,739 0.00 1,647

HU > HR P 0.00 1,427 0.00 1,225 0.00 1,718 0.00 1,596

O 0.00 1,458 0.00 1,247 0.00 1,759 0.00 1,703

B 0.00 1,678 0.00 1,672 0.00 1,442 0.00 1,236

HR > SI P 0.00 1,631 0.00 1,617 0.00 1,427 0.00 1,225

O 0.00 1,726 0.00 1,728 0.00 1,458 0.00 1,247

B 1.06 1,008 2.99 983 1.88 1,008 0.73 1,044

SI > HR P 1.69 1,008 4.52 983 3.06 1,008 0.82 1,044

O 0.43 1,008 1.46 983 0.70 1,008 0.64 1,043

B 0.01 874 0.01 879 0.00 898 0.00 865

BA > HR P 0.01 871 0.01 892 0.00 913 0.00 865

O 0.01 877 0.01 867 0.00 884 0.00 865

B 0.00 920 0.01 926 0.00 866 0.01 916

HR > BA P 0.00 917 0.00 951 0.00 864 0.01 883

O 0.00 922 0.01 902 0.00 868 0.00 950

B 0.01 457 0.01 445 0.01 440 0.06 405

BA > ME P 0.00 463 0.00 454 0.00 440 0.06 405

O 0.02 451 0.02 437 0.01 441 0.06 404

B 0.66 319 0.49 295 0.11 314 2.11 277

ME > AL P 0.04 351 0.09 312 0.05 342 2.09 287

O 1.29 288 0.88 278 0.18 286 2.12 268

B 0.86 181 0.70 176 0.07 192 2.55 167

AL > GR P 0.07 195 0.23 186 0.02 210 2.93 167

O 1.66 168 1.18 166 0.13 175 2.18 167

B 0.05 81 0.07 76 0.00 45 0.51 46

GR > TR P 0.08 70 0.09 66 0.00 49 1.01 51

O 0.02 92 0.04 86 0.00 41 0.00 41

B 3.46 135 2.32 140 1.65 134 0.76 129

TR > GR P 1.03 146 0.99 150 1.13 146 0.35 136

O 5.89 124 3.65 130 2.16 122 1.17 123

B 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

GR > IT P 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

O 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

B 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

IT > GR P 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

O 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

B 0.10 955 0.11 878 0.01 924 0.20 616

HU > SR P 0.02 1,095 0.04 930 0.00 955 0.23 619

O 0.18 816 0.18 827 0.01 893 0.18 613

B 0.44 1,043 0.21 1,121 0.59 909 0.00 1,124

SR > HU P 0.58 904 0.18 1,069 0.82 798 0.00 1,087

O 0.30 1,183 0.24 1,173 0.36 1,020 0.00 1,161

Auctions

Daily 31.05.

WED

30.05.

TUE

29.05.

MON

28.05.

SAT

Daily Auctions (all prices in EUR/MWh, volumes in MWh AVG)


http://www.balkanenergy.com/





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Danube level, relevant for hydro generation in 4 HPPs with 2,740 MW output: Djerdap 1 (SR), Djerdap 2 (SR), Iron

Gates 1 (RO), Iron Gates 2 (RO)

* Measurement location near Belgrade, taking into account Sava river and its tributaries

17 18 15 15 16

30 28 28 28 30

0

10

20

30

4031.5. 1.6. 2.6. 3.6. 4.6.

Budapest, Hungary

13 15 15 13 13

30 28 26 27 27

0

10

20

30

40

Bucharest, Romania

10 13

15 14 13

27 28 26 25 25

05

1015202530

Sofia,

Bulgaria

18 19 18 17 17

30 29 29 28 29

0

10

20

30

40

Belgrade, Serbia

16 16 15 15 15

30 29 29 29 30

0

10

20

30

40

Zagreb,

Croatia

17 17 19 20 20

27 29 29 29 29

0

10

20

30

40

Athens, Greece

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Danube water level (cm)

Current level Long term averageLong term MAX Forecast

10 13 15 15 14

30 30 29 28 28

0

10

20

30

40

Skopje, Maced.

-19.00

-14.00

-9.00

-4.00

22.05. 23.05. 24.05. 25.05. 26.05. 29.05. 30.05.

Spread: EEX Week 23 - HUPX Week 23

Spread: EEX Week 23 - HUPX Week 23 (AVG=-12.66)

Weather forecast (Celsius)

28.00

29.00

30.00

31.00

32.00

33.00

22.05. 23.05. 24.05. 25.05. 26.05. 29.05. 30.05.

EEX Week 23

EEX Week 23

39.00

41.00

43.00

45.00

22.05. 23.05. 24.05. 25.05. 26.05. 29.05. 30.05.

HUPX Week 23

HUPX Week 23

Off-peak Peak

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Bulgaria, Romania, Greece - 31.05.

Bulgaria Romania Greece

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60

70

80

90

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Croatia - 31.05.

Croatia







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Disclaimer: All rights reserved by the Publisher: Balkan Energy—SEE Energy Assessment d.o.o. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or in any other

way copied as a whole or partially without written permission of the Publisher. This includes internal distribution.

NEW: Price Forecast Study

HUPX Price Forecast 2017-2021-2026

SEE Electricity Markets Forecast 2017 - 2021 - 2026

Market Development Scenarios 2017 - 2021 - 2026

The first report with fundamental market price forecasts for

Balkan Energy - SEE Energy Assessment

Sloga 4, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia

Tel: +381 64 820 90 31

+41 44 586 98 55

Email: [email protected]

741

-1,000

-177

522

-212

-34

-69

972

261

-90

-84

-71

128

266

74

53

150

203

125

351

257

111

117

457

-161

-112

0

733

-1,183

-340

525

-85

-195

-65

962

273

-47

-82

-51

118

240

111

79

156

109

89

302

207

71

10

393

-149

-85

0

-1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500

AT > SI

HR > SI

IT > SI

AT > HU

HR > HU

HU > SR

BA > HR

SK > HU

UK > HU

RO > HU

SR > HR

BA > SR

BA > ME

RO > SR

BG > RO

BG > SR

BG > MK

SR > MK

SR > AL

SR > ME

ME > AL

AL > GR

MK > GR

BG > GR

BG > TR

GR > TR

GR > IT

Power flows (MW, last 7 days Hourly AVG, - D+1 schedules)

BASE PEAK

Energy NEWS service

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Energy news, data, analyses

PDFs, Excel and web access





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at > hu pb 80 31.05.2017 70 covering: albania, bosnia & … · 2017-08-16 · full report...

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