atlantic states marine fisheries commission · resume development of draft amendment 3 for public...
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The meeting will be held at the Portsmouth Public Library, 175 Parrott Ave, Portsmouth, NH 03801
Vision: Sustainably Managing Atlantic Coastal Fisheries
Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission
Northern Shrimp Section Meeting
June 3, 2016 9:30 a.m. ‐ 11:30 a.m.
Portsmouth, New Hampshire
Draft Agenda
The times listed are approximate; the order in which these items will be taken is subject to change; other items may be added as necessary.
1. Welcome/Call to Order (D. Abbott) 9:30 a.m.
2. Section Consent 9:30 a.m.
Approval of Agenda 3. Public Comment 9:35 a.m.
4. Review Summary of Maine’s Industry Meetings Held in March (T. Stockwell) 9:45 a.m.
5. Resume Development of Draft Amendment 3 for Public Comment (D. Abbott) 10:00 a.m. 6. Other Business/Adjourn 11:30 a.m.
MEETING OVERVIEW Northern Shrimp Management Section Meeting
Friday, June 3, 2016 9:30 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.
Portsmouth, New Hampshire
2. Section Consent
Approval of Agenda
3. Public Comment – At the beginning of the meeting, public comment will be taken on items not on the agenda. Individuals that wish to speak at this time must sign‐in at the beginning of the meeting. For agenda items that have already gone out for public hearing and/or have had a public comment period that has closed, the Board Chair may determine that additional public comment will not provide additional information. In this circumstance, the Chair will not allow additional public comment on an issue. For agenda items that the public has not had a chance to provide input, the Board Chair may allow limited opportunity for comment. The Board Chair has the discretion to limit the number of speakers and/or the length of each comment. 4. Review summary of Maine’s industry meetings held in March (9:45 – 10:00 a.m.)
Background
Draft Amendment 3 was initiated to address increased effort in the fishery through a variety of management options including limited entry.
Maine expressed concern regarding implementation of a limited entry program due to the high number of license holders in the fishery, and state regulatory procedures.
In September 2015, the Section postponed development of the amendment until summer 2016 based on a commitment from Maine to seek input from industry in the interim, and develop a proposal that adequately addresses over‐capacity in the fishery.
Accordingly, in March 2016, Maine DMR held three industry meetings to solicit input for the proposal.
5. Resume development of Draft Amendment 3 for Public Comment (10:00 – 11:30 a.m.)
Background
The questions below are proposed to facilitate discussion regarding resuming development of Draft Amendment 3 for public comment: ‐ Is a proposal from Maine to address over‐capacity in the fishery necessary to resume
development of Draft Amendment 3? ‐ Does the Section wish to remove limited entry from consideration? ‐ Does the Section wish to include only state‐by‐state allocation options as a means of
controlling effort in the fishery?
Board Actions for Consideration
Resume development of Draft Amendment 3 for Public Comment
6. Other Business/Adjourn
Chair: Dennis Abbott (NH) Assumed Chairmanship: 1/16
Technical Committee Chair: Kelly Whitmore (MA)
Law Enforcement Committee Rep: Michael Eastman (NH)
Vice Chair: Steve Train (ME)
Advisory Panel Chair:Gary Libby (ME)
Previous Board Meeting:December 7, 2015
Voting Members: ME, NH, MA (three votes)
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Supplemental Materials Northern Shrimp Section Meeting
June 3, 2016 Portsmouth, New Hampshire
(Repurposed from September 2015 Section meeting in Portsmouth, NH)
The following section was taken from Draft Addendum I to Amendment 2 of the FMP for Northern Shrimp. It explains the Northern Shrimp Plan Development Team’s (PDT) preliminary analysis for a limited entry program. PDT recommendations, and decisions that the Section must make have been bolded.
3.8 Issue: Limited Entry Programs
The Public Information Document (PID) for Amendment 2 initially notified the public of the Section’s intent to consider development of a limited entry program. Based on public comment received on the PID and the Section’s concern regarding continuing effort increases in this fishery, the Section established a control date of June 7, 2011. The intention of the control date was to notify potential new entrants to the fishery that there is a strong possibility they will be treated differently from participants in the fishery prior to the control date. It is important to note that this Addendum will not implement limited entry programs for the 2012/2013 fishing season, but does solicit feedback from the industry regarding potential limited entry programs that would be relevant to the northern shrimp fishery in the future. Option A. Status quo, the Northern shrimp fishery remains open access. Option B. Limited entry should be considered in the Northern shrimp fishery. If selecting Option B, the Section is looking for feedback on limited entry approaches in Section 3.8.1 and 3.8.2 3.8.1 Fixed Percentage Share Program (FPS)
To assess the efficacy of initiating a limited entry program for the Northern shrimp fisheries, addressing latent effort, and developing a historically based allocation program, the PDT queried Northern shrimp landings data for all state license and federal permit holders for the period of 2000 to 2011. Landings data were summarized by state license number and federal permit number for each year. This potentially would allow tracking landings history and a better understanding a vessel’s performance over time. However, several data quality assurance/quality control and analytical issues occurred, preventing the completion of the analysis. These issues include:
1.) Incomplete reporting in 2000 and 2001. All analyses will have to be from 2002 forward.
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2.) Inconsistent means of indentifying an individual’s landing history from 2002 to
2011. Some permit holders have multiple permits, including a mixture of active permits and inactive permits, state licenses only, federal permit only, and some with both state licenses and federal permits, in some years and not others. Additionally, some federal permits were fished on multiple vessels, and the permit holder may not be the same individual who reported on the VTR. There is also the potential for the history of an “owner” to change between an individual and corporation over time.
The PDT is working with NOAA Fisheries Service to develop a means to track Northern shrimp landings history over time. However, the Section needs to decide whether landings history will be assigned to the vessel permit or the individual, before limited entry can be analyzed further by the PDT. Option A. Assign landings history to a vessel permit. By default, unless otherwise specified, the current holder of the permit receives all of the Northern shrimp landings history associated with that permit’s fishing history. This could be tracked using the NOAA Fisheries permit history databases; it can also be tracked by a state’s license holder with the caveat that some vessels may be listed on more than one license. Option B. Assign landings history to an individual. As noted, vessel permit landing history is available for those permitted through NOAA Fisheries, and the PDT would have to further disseminate what vessel(s) an individual operated over specific fishing years. Defining an “individual” that should receive the landings history could be different depending on the type of license/permit being considered. The following scenarios explore the different license/permit type scenarios. If the Section selects Option B, Scenarios B1, B2 and B3 must also be considered. Scenario B1. State of Maine licensees who report to the State of Maine – the vessel ID is attached to a state license and license is attached to a person, so tracking individual landings history is relatively straight forward for this scenario, with some exceptions. Scenario B2. State of Maine licensees who report federally – for the Maine harvesters who report federally on the VTR there is a vessel ID; however, there are the following sub‐options:
Sub‐option 1. Assign history to the state license holder. Use Federal VTR records to track and attribute fishing history to a state license holder based on that licensee’s reported fishing activity. Sub‐option 2. Assign history to the individual/corporation who held the federal permit at the time of landing. This information is obtained from NOAA Fisheries permit system.
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Sub‐option 3. Assign history to the individual who is named on the VTR. This information is obtained from the VTRs.
Scenario B3. New Hampshire and Massachusetts participants who report federally – All landings would be reported through VTR. The VTR has a vessel ID and a permit number and an individual’s name. The individual’s name may not match the permit holder’s name. There are the following sub‐options:
Sub‐option 1. Assign history to the individual/corporation who held the federal permit at the time of landing. This information is obtained from the NOAA Fisheries permit system. Sub‐option 2. Assign history to the individual who is named on the VTR. This information is obtained from the VTRs.
In all cases, the PDT recommends that there be a process by which participants could review their data and appeal any allocations or entry limitations derived from those data. 3.8.2 License Cap Program (LCP) The Northern Shrimp PDT analyzed the empirical data to determine the number of active vessels in the fishery during years when biomass was estimated to be,
Scenario A: below the Biomass threshold, but above the Biomass limit (Table 2)
Scenario B: below the Biomass threshold and below the Biomass limit (Table 3)
Scenario C: over the stable period in the fishery 1985‐1994 (Table 4) In all of the three scenarios, the range in the number of active vessels overlaps significantly (see Tables 2‐4). The mean number of active vessels in Scenarios A and B are similar, whereas, the stable period supports the highest number of active vessels. The Section may consider a limited entry program that caps the number of licenses based on the mean number of active vessels in the three scenarios. License allocation to each state would then be determined based on the percent of active vessels in each state averaged over the timeframe sub‐options below. Note that these timeframes are equivalent to the timeframes used in the TAC allocation, including one additional timeframe from 2000‐08. It is important to note the Plan Development Team cautions that there are too many variables (e.g., varying effort, technological advances) that may limit the usefulness of a limited entry program based on capping the number of licenses. In other words, while this option limits the number of participants in the fishery, there are other factors (e.g., varying effort, technological advances) that may lead to overages in the fishery. Additionally, if moving forward with capping the number of licenses by state, assigning licenses to specific individuals would be the responsible of each respective state and not the ASMFC. Therefore, each state would have to go through an allocation process that thoroughly
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reviewed its participants and their respective landings history, before the state assigned licenses to individuals. The appeals process for the licenses would also be the responsibility of each respective state. Option A. Cap the number of licenses at 256 (Scenario A)
Sub‐options A Timeframes ME NH MA Total
A1 2001‐2009 224 22 9 256
A2 2001‐2011 226 21 9 256
A3 2003‐2008 226 22 8 256
A4 1998‐2006 213 26 17 256
A5 2000‐2008 223 23 10 256
Option B. Cap the number of licenses at 247 (Scenario B)
Sub‐options B Timeframes ME NH MA Total
B1 2001‐2009 216 22 9 247
B2 2001‐2011 218 20 9 247
B3 2003‐2008 218 21 8 247
B4 1998‐2006 206 25 16 247
B5 2000‐2008 215 22 10 247
Option C. Cap the number of licenses at 299 (Scenario C)
Sub‐options C Timeframes ME NH MA Total
C1 2001‐2009 262 26 11 299
C2 2001‐2011 264 24 10 299
C3 2003‐2008 264 25 10 299
C4 1998‐2006 249 30 20 299
C5 2000‐2008 260 26 12 299
For informational purposes, the table below has the percent of active vessels by state for the timeframes used to compute the tables above, along with the average number of active vessels over those timeframes. The table below also contains the average number of licenses issued (not necessarily active) by the state of Maine for the timeframes. It does not include New Hampshire or Massachusetts because they do not issue a specific northern shrimp license.
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Option Timeframes ME NH MA Average # Active Vessels Average # Issued ME Licenses1 2001-2009 87.6% 8.8% 3.6% 204 4392 2001-2011 88.4% 8.2% 3.5% 218 4633 2003-2008 88.3% 8.4% 3.3% 198 4184 1998-2006 83.3% 10.1% 6.6% 225 4755 2000-2008 87.1% 8.9% 4.1% 217 461
TABLES
Table 1. Estimated numbers of vessels in the Gulf of Maine Northern shrimp fishery by fishing season state and gear from 1980 to 2011.
Season Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Total
Trawl Trap Total
1980 15‐20 15‐20 30‐40
1981 ~75 ~20‐25 ~100
1982 >75 ~20‐25 >100
1983 ~164 ~25 ~5‐8 ~197
1984 239 43 6 288
1985 ~231 ~40 ~17 ~300
1986 ~300
1987 289 39 17 345
1988 ~290 ~70 ~30 ~390
1989 ~230 ~50 ~30 ~310
1990 ~220 ~250
1991 ~200 ~30 ~20 ~250
1992 ~259 ~50 16 ~325
1993 192 52 29 273
1994 178 40 29 247
1995
1996 275 43 29 347
1997 238 32 41 311
1998 195 33 32 260
1999 181 27 30 238
2000 249 15 23 287
2001 174 60 234 19 27 275
2002 117 52 168 7 23 198
2003 142 49 191 12 22 222
2004 114 56 170 7 15 192
2005 102 64 166 9 22 197
2006 68 62 129 4 11 144
2007 97 84 179 3 15 196
2008 121 94 215 4 15 234
2009 80 78 158 12 (MA and NH combined) 170
*2010 123 112 234 5 15 254
*2011 156 125 276 12 20 308
note that some boats reported both trapping and trawling
* preliminary
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Table 2. Summary statistics of active vessels when Biomass was estimated to be below the Bthreshold, but above the Blimit.
Year% below
BThresholdActive
Vessels1993 6% 2731994 23% 2471997 0% 3112004 31% 192
Range Mean Median192-311 256 260 Table 3. Summary statistics of active vessels when Biomass was estimated to be below the Bthreshold, and the Blimit.
Year% below
BlimitActive
Vessels1998 19% 2601999 34% 2382000 34% 2872001 42% 2752002 39% 1982003 23% 222
Range Mean Median198-287 247 249 Table 4. Summary statistics of active vessels over the stable period in the fishery 1985‐1994 (Note from 1985‐1992 the number of active vessels by year is approximate).
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Year% above (+) or below
(-) BThresholdActive
Vessels1985 11% 3001986 42% 3001987 45% 3451988 20% 3901989 6% 3101990 35% 2501991 39% 2501992 17% 3251993 -6% 2731994 -23% 247
Range Mean Median247-390 299 300
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Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission
PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT
for Amendment 3 to the
Interstate Fishery Management Plan For
NORTHERN SHRIMP
ASMFC Vision:
Sustainably Managing Atlantic Coastal Fisheries
February 2015
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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The Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission seeks your comments
on the Initiation of Amendment 3 to the Northern Shrimp Fishery Management Plan
The public is encouraged to submit comments regarding this document during the public
comment period. Comments will be accepted until 5:00 PM (EST) on April 15, 2015. Regardless
of when they were sent, comments received after that time will not be included in the official
record. The Northern Shrimp Section will consider public comment on this document when
developing the first draft of the Amendment 3.
You may submit public comment in one or more of the following ways:
1. Attend public hearings held in your state or jurisdiction, if applicable.
2. Refer comments to your state’s members on the Northern Shrimp Section or Northern
Shrimp Advisory Panel, if applicable.
3. Mail, fax, or email written comments to the following address:
Mike Waine
Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission
1005 North Highland Street, Suite 200A‐N
Arlington, Virginia 22201
Fax: (703) 842‐0741
[email protected] (subject line: Northern Shrimp Amendment 3)
If you have any questions please call Max Appelman at (703) 842‐0740.
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission Draft Public Information Document for Northern Shrimp Draft Amendment 3
Introduction The Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission (Commission) is developing an amendment to
revise the Interstate Fishery Management Plan for Northern Shrimp (FMP). The Commission,
through the coastal states of Maine, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts, is responsible for
managing northern shrimp.
This is your opportunity to inform the Commission about changes observed in the fisheries;
actions you feel should or should not be taken in terms of management, regulation,
enforcement, and research; and any other concerns you have about the resources or the
fisheries, as well as the reasons for your concerns.
Management Issues Amendment 2 to the FMP was approved in October 2011. Since implementation, the northern
shrimp fishery and population have experienced significant changes. There have also been
substantial changes in other fisheries in the northeast resulting in increased effort in the shrimp
fishery. For example, reductions in the groundfish fishery have caused fishermen to switch their
effort to the northern shrimp fishery to make up for the loss of opportunity in the groundfish
fishery.
Recently, the northern shrimp resource has experienced three successive years of recruitment
failure. In addition, abundance and stock biomass indices in recent years are the lowest on
record. Changing environmental conditions paired with fluctuating effort in the fishery have
resulted in uncertainties in the future status of the northern shrimp resource. Limited entry has
been used in other fisheries to control fishing effort which stabilizes fishing pressure on the
resource. An amendment to the plan is necessary to establish a limited entry program in the
northern shrimp fishery.
Purpose of the Public Information Document (PID)
The purpose of this document is to inform the public of the Commission’s intent to gather
information concerning the northern shrimp fishery and to provide an opportunity for the
public to identify major issues and alternatives related to the management of this species. Input
received at the start of the amendment development process can influence the final outcome
of the amendment. This document is intended to draw out observations and suggestions from
northern shrimp harvesters and industry, the public, and other interested parties, as well as any
supporting documentation and additional data sources.
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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To facilitate public input, this document provides a broad overview of the issues already
identified for consideration in the amendment; background information on the northern shrimp
population, fisheries, and management; and a series of questions for the public to consider on
the management of the species. In general, the Commission is seeking input on the following
question: “How would you like the northern shrimp fishery to be managed in the future?”
Commission’s Process and Timeline
The publication of this document and announcement of the Commission’s intent to amend the
existing FMP for northern shrimp is the first step of the formal amendment process. The
following motion was made at the Northern Shrimp Section meeting in November 2014 to
continue the amendment process:
Move to approve the Public Information Document (PID) for Amendment 3 to the Northern
Shrimp FMP for public comment, pending the changes discussed today [adding more
background information for the public to consider].
Following the initial phase of information gathering and public comment, the Commission will
evaluate potential management alternatives and the impacts of those alternatives. The
Commission will then develop Draft Amendment 3, incorporating the identified management
alternatives through the PID process, for public review. After the public comment process is
completed on Draft Amendment 3, the Commission will specify the management measures to
be included in a final version of Amendment 3, as well as a timeline for implementation.
As a note, Draft Amendment 3 may include additional issues identified through the public
comment period that were not initially included in the PID process.
The proposed timeline for completion of Amendment 3 is as follows:
June 2014 Northern Shrimp Section (Section) tasks the Plan Development Team (PDT) to develop Public Information Document
Fall 2014 Section receives the Public Information Document (PID) and considers approval for public comment
Spring 2015 Public Comment on the PID
Summer 2015 Section reviews PID for public comment, considers initiation of Draft Amendment. PDT will develop amendment with input from Technical Committee and Advisory Panel.
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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Fall 2015 Section reviews Draft Amendment for public comment
Fall 2015 Public comment on Draft Amendment
Winter 2016 Section reviews and approves Amendment
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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Description of the Resource Summary of Management
The Gulf of Maine fishery for northern shrimp is managed through an interstate agreement
between Maine, New Hampshire and Massachusetts. The management framework evolved
during 1972‐1979 under the auspices of the State/Federal Fisheries Management Program. In
1980, this program was restructured as the Interstate Fisheries Management Program (ISFMP)
of the Commission. The FMP for Northern Shrimp was approved under the ISFMP in October
1986.
The Commission approved Amendment 1 to the FMP in May 2004. Amendment 1, which
replaced the original FMP, established biological reference points for the first time in the
shrimp fishery and expanded the tools available to manage the fishery. Amendment 2, which
completely replaced Amendment 1 and was approved in October 2011, further expanded the
tools available to manage northern shrimp, including options to slow catch rates throughout
the season. It also established a threshold level for the fishing mortality reference points;
included a more timely and comprehensive reporting system; and allowed for the initiation of a
limited entry program to be pursued through the adaptive management addendum process.
The goal of Amendment 2 is “to manage the northern shrimp fishery in a manner that is
biologically, economically, and socially sound, while protecting the resource, its users, and
opportunities for participation.”
Addendum I to Amendment 2, approved in November 2012, refined the annual specification
process, and allocated the total allowable catch (TAC) to the trawl (87%) and trap (13%)
fisheries based on historical landings since 2001.
The Northern Shrimp Technical Committee (NSTC) provides annual stock assessments and
related information to the ASMFC Northern Shrimp Section (Section). Annually, the Section sets
specifications on management measures after considering the NSTC stock assessment, input
from the Northern Shrimp Advisory Panel, and comment from others knowledgeable about the
shrimp fishing industry. Management tools used under Amendment 2 were primarily TACs and
seasonal closures.
Summary of Stock Status
Stock assessments for northern shrimp are updated on an annual basis. The 2013 Stock
Assessment Update utilized the model which was accepted by peer reviewers in 2007. The 2014
Benchmark Stock Assessment explored new analytic methods, including a new model and
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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modifications to the accepted assessment model. The Benchmark Assessment went through
peer review in January 2014 and the new approaches were not approved for management use.
Due to uncertainties raised by the Benchmark Review, the 2014 assessment did not include
modeling results. Instead, the NSTC evaluated a suite of indicators that reflected fishery
performance, stock status, and environmental conditions. Abundance and biomass indices for
2012‐2014 were the lowest on record in the thirty‐one year survey time series (Figure 1).
Recruitment indices for the 2010‐2012 year classes were also well below average and included
the two smallest year classes on record. As a result, the 2014 index of fishable biomass was the
lowest on record. The recruitment index increased slightly in the 2014 survey, but was the ninth
lowest in the time series. Recruits from the 2013 year class are not expected to reach
exploitable size until 2017. Despite the marginal increase in recruitment, the NSTC concluded
that the northern shrimp stock has collapsed with little prospect of recovery in the near future.
Recruitment of northern shrimp is related to both spawning biomass and ocean temperatures,
with higher spawning biomass and colder temperatures producing stronger recruitment. Ocean
temperatures in the western Gulf of Maine have increased in recent years and reached
unprecedented highs in the past several years (Figure 2). While temperatures in 2014 were
cooler, in the longer term they are predicted to continue rising as a result of climate change.
This suggests an increasingly inhospitable environment for northern shrimp and the need for
strong conservation efforts to help sustain the stock.
Summary of the Fishery
Drastic fluctuations in landings have characterized the Gulf of Maine northern shrimp fishery
throughout its history. Annual landings of Gulf of Maine northern shrimp declined from an
average of 11,400 metric tons (mt) during 1969‐1972 to about 400 mt in 1977, resulting in a
closure of the fishery in 1978 (Table 1a, Figure 3). The fishery reopened in 1979 and landings
increased steadily to over 5,000 mt by 1987. Landings ranged from 2,300 to 6,400 mt during
1988‐1995, and then rose dramatically to 9,500 mt in 1996, exceeding the previous high in
1973. Landings subsequently declined from 1997 to 2002, only to increase again between 2003
and 2011, from 1,300 to 6,400 mt, with a slight drop in 2009.
In recent years (2010‐2012), the fishery has been closed early when landings approached the
TAC. In 2011, a year in which the fishery closed early because the TAC was exceeded, the
average price per pound was $0.75 and the estimated landed value of the catch was $10.6
million (Table 1b). Since then, the price per pound of shrimp has increased, but low landings
have kept the value of the fishery well below $10 million (Table 1b).
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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The Section considered several factors in setting the specifications for the 2015 shrimp fishery,
and ultimately implemented a moratorium to protect the limited number of spawning females.
The Section’s deliberation considered the biomass in 2014 (500 mt) that was the lowest value in
recent history, estimated at 5.2% of the biomass of the reference period (1985‐1994), and well
below the FMP biomass threshold of 9,000 mt and the biomass limit of 6,000 mt. Additionally,
there was recent recruitment failure of three consecutive year classes (2010‐2012).
Typically, Maine accounts for about 90% of the landings of northern shrimp. In 2013, the most
recent year with landings, Maine landed 83% (278.7 mt) of the season total, New Hampshire
followed with 11% (36.9 mt) and Massachusetts landed 6% (18.9 mt) of the season total
(preliminary data, Table 1a). The proportional distribution of landings among the states has
been similar between 2003 and 2013, though has shifted gradually since the 1980’s when
Massachusetts averaged about 34% of the catch (Table 1a).
Most northern shrimp fishing in the Gulf of Maine is conducted using otter trawls designed for
shrimp, although traps are also utilized off the central Maine coast. Trapping effort has
increased in recent years, accounting for 22% of Maine’s landings in 2010, but may have been
lower relative to trawling in 2011 (17%) and 2012 (9%) because of the early closure of the
fishing seasons which limited the trapper’s ability to harvest (Table 2). Preliminary dealer
reports indicate that trappers accounted for about 7% of Maine’s landings in 2013, which was a
season impacted by the low abundance of northern shrimp.
Size composition data from both the fishery and summer trawl surveys indicate that higher
landings have followed the recruitment of strong (dominant) year classes. Low biomass and
landings during 1998 – 2004 can be attributed in part to the below‐average recruitment of the
associated year classes. In 2014, the female population was comprised of the 2009 and 2010
year classes; the 2010 year class was the first of three successive year classes of recruitment
failure. The last two year classes failed to recruit into the fishery, therefore it is anticipated that
landings will be low even if the fishery reopens.
Issues for Public Comment
Public comment is sought on a series of issues being considered for inclusion in Draft
Amendment 3. The issues are intended to focus the public comment and provide the Section
with the necessary input to develop the Amendment. The public is encouraged to submit
comment on the issues listed below as well as other issues that may need to be addressed in
the management document.
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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ISSUE 1:
LIMITED ENTRY
INTO THE FISHERY
Background
The northern shrimp fishery is currently open access and has experienced
significant fluctuations in participation over the last 30 years (Table 3).
Interest and effort in the fishery generally increases as the season length or
price increases. As one of the last open access fisheries in the region, the
northern shrimp fishery has provided opportunities for harvesters to target an
alternative species when other fishing was unavailable or not economically
viable.
However, as the shrimp biomass has decreased, concern has been raised over
the influx of boats into the fishery when shrimp stocks and markets warrant.
Harvesters and managers have noted the reduced fishing opportunities in
other fisheries such as the New England groundfish fishery and are concerned
about the impact of shifting effort entering the shrimp fishery. More effort in
the fishery would result in increased pressure on the shrimp population. This
concern has led to the suggestion that access to the shrimp fishery should be
restricted.
Limited access has been used in a number of fisheries along the Atlantic coast
to control effort while maintaining access by harvesters who have
demonstrated a history and a vested interest in the fishery. Limited entry may
also moderate the boom and bust cycle for both harvesters and processors in
this relatively small fishery by ensuring more stable landings for northern
shrimp. The current status of the northern shrimp stock (lowest indices in the
time series) has increased the interest in exploring options to limit new
entrants into the fishery. Managers are seeking strategies to stabilize the
fishery and improve harvesters and processors’ ability to make informed
business decisions each year.
Addendum I also scoped the potential for limited entry programs and a
summary of public comment is presented below the management
questions.
Management Questions
Should limited entry be used in the northern shrimp fishery?
How should effort be capped (number of vessels, number of licenses)?
How should landings history be assigned (by vessel, by individual, by
state license holder [Maine only])?
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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What years should be used to determine the landings history?
Should the previously set control date of June 7, 2011 remain or be re‐
evaluated?
Should new participants be allowed to enter the fishery? If yes, how
and when would new participants enter the fishery?
Addendum I to Amendment 2 included preliminary options concerning
entrance into a limited entry program to the Section. Options that received
the most positive public comment from Addendum I are included below,
however, the Section welcomes comments on other options.
Potential options for entrance into the program include:
Assign landings history to a vessel, by default the current vessel owner gets landings history, unless specified.
Assign landings history to an individual.
In addition, Addendum I explored which years are appropriate to determine landings history. Options that are the most feasible given data availability and reliability are included below, however, the Section welcomes comments on other options:
Potential options for assigning landings history include:
Assign landings history based on average annual landings between 2001 and 2009. Logbook reporting requirements were initiated in 2000 for Maine, allowing for one year of quality assurance/quality control procedures to ensure full reporting. This time period includes the last season before emergency closures were implemented.
Assign landings history based on average annual landings between 2008 and 2012. These years reflect the more recent condition of the stock.
ISSUE 2:
STATE‐BY‐STATE
ALLOCATION
Background
Over the past five fishing seasons (2009‐2013), Maine has accounted for
approximately 90% of the northern shrimp landings. Maine is the only state
with a trap fishery for northern shrimp. Under a limited entry program, Maine
would be the only state in which a significant reduction in participation would
be necessary to achieve an effective limited entry program. An alternative to
limited entry (see Issue 1 above) would be to determine state‐by‐state
allocations of the TAC. Maine, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts could
implement measures to meet the needs of the state’s fishery, as long as the
state allocation was not exceeded. In other Commission‐managed species,
DRAFT PUBLIC INFORMATION DOCUMENT FOR PUBLIC COMMENT
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state allocations are based on average landings over a certain period of time.
Usually, this period of time represents a stable period in the fishery to ensure
equitable division of landings. It should be noted that state‐by‐state allocation
of the fishery may limit vessels seeking to enter the fishery and reduce growth
of the fishery in Massachusetts and New Hampshire. The managers are
investigating the most fair and equitable way to manage the fishery while
ensuring flexibility for the future.
Addendum I also scoped the potential for state‐by‐state allocations and a
summary of public comment is presented below the management
questions.
Management Questions
Should the northern shrimp TAC be allocated by state?
Should landings history be used to determine allocations? Which years
should be used to determine landings history?
How should historical landings be accounted for when a boat
permitted in one state lands shrimp in a different state?
Should a permitted harvester from one state be able to land in
another state? If yes, what state’s quota would the landings be
deducted from (permitted or landed state)?
Would quota transfers between states be allowed?
Are there other methods to set state allocations that the Section
should consider?
The Plan Development Team (PDT) has previously investigated which years
are appropriate for determining state‐by‐state allocation. Options that are
the most feasible given data availability and reliability are included below,
however, the Section welcomes comments on other options
Potential time frames for assigning landings history include:
Timeline 1 ‐ 2001 – 2009 ‐ This time period represents landings after new logbook reporting requirements for non‐federal permits were instituted in Maine in 2000, allowing for one year of quality assurance/quality control procedures to ensure full reporting. The time period includes the last season before emergency closures were implemented because the TAC was reached.
Timeline 2 ‐ 2001 – 2013 ‐ This time period represents the full range of data of new logbook reporting requirements in Maine
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ISSUE 3:
HOW SHOULD THE
SPECIFICATIONS
PROCESS OCCUR
UNDER
AMENDMENT 3?
for non‐federal permits, which were implemented in 2000, allowing for one year for quality assurance/quality control procedures to ensure full reporting and accountability. This includes management measures in 2010‐2012 that may have influenced landings history.
Timeline 3 ‐ 2003 – 2008 ‐ This time period represents data three years after new logbook reporting requirements for non‐federal permits were implemented in Maine in 2000, but before emergency closures were implemented in the 2010‐2012 seasons because the TAC was reached. It is similar to but shorter than Timeline 1.
Background
Northern shrimp specifications are based on a TAC for the entire fishery.
Typically, an annual stock assessment estimates values for the fishing
mortality target (Ftarget) and fishing mortality threshold (Fthreshold). The TAC is
set based on those estimates and 87% is allocated to the trawl fishery and
13% to the trap fishery. The Section may then specify various effort controls
such as fishing seasons, trip limits, days out of the fishery, trap limits, season
closure dates and a research set aside. These measures are based upon the
most recent stock status report and are revisited annually. Measures which
may be changed within seasons include trip limits, days out, and
transferability of the TAC between gear types.
Due to the uncertainties in the benchmark stock assessment (ASMFC 2014),
current estimates of fishing mortality are not usable for establishing a TAC.
The Section would like to explore flexibility in the specifications process so a
TAC can be set when (1) fishing mortality estimates are not usable (2) as the
stock recovers and/or (3) as environmental conditions change. For example,
the Section may use stock status indicators (e.g., catch rates, recruitment)
and/or empirical harvest levels (e.g., historical harvest levels that match
similar stock status conditions) to set the TAC. In addition, the Section would
like to consider including multi‐year specifications in the fishery to provide
stability to the market and processors.
Management Questions
How should the TAC be set under Amendment 3 (stock assessments,
other)?
How should overages/underages in the TAC be handled?
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ISSUE 4:
SHOULD THE GOALS
AND OBJECTIVE OF
THE FISHERY
MANAGEMENT
PLAN FOR
NOTHERN SHRIMP
BE REVISED?
Should the gear allocation of 87%/13% for trawl/trap be revisited?
Should target reference points (fishing mortality or biomass) be
determined for northern shrimp? How should they be determined?
Should the northern shrimp fishery have a defined season, or should
the season be set on an annual or multi‐annual basis?
Should there be trip limits in the northern shrimp fishery?
Should there be an option for research set asides? If so, what
maximum percentage of the TAC should be allocated for research set
asides?
Should multi‐year specifications be considered in the northern shrimp
fishery?
Background
The goal and objectives for this management program should be reviewed to
ensure they are consistent with the needs of the northern shrimp fishery. The
current goal and objectives are outlined in Amendment 2:
GOAL
“To manage the northern shrimp fishery in a manner that is biologically,
economically and socially sound, while protecting the resource, its users and
opportunities for participation.”
OBJECTIVES (as outlined in Amendment 2 to the FMP)
Protect and maintain the northern shrimp stock at levels that will support
a viable fishery
Optimize utilization of the resource within the constraints imposed by
distribution of the resource, available fishing areas, and harvesting,
processing and marketing capacity
Maintain the flexibility and timeliness of public involvement in the
northern shrimp management program
Maintain existing social and cultural features of the fishery to the extent
possible
Minimize the adverse impacts the shrimp fishery may have on other
natural resources
Minimize the adverse impacts of regulations, including increased cost to
the shrimp industry and the associated coastal communities
Promote research and improve the collection of information to better
understand northern shrimp biology, ecology, and population dynamics,
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ISSUE 5:
OTHER ISSUES
Achieve compatible and equitable management measures through
coordinated monitoring and law enforcement among jurisdictions
throughout the fishery management unit
Management Questions
Are the goals and objectives from Amendment 2 still appropriate for
the northern shrimp fishery?
What changes to the goals and objectives need to be made to reflect
the needs of the fishery?
Background
As stated earlier in this document, the goal of the PID is to solicit comments
on a broad range of issues for consideration as the next amendment to the
northern shrimp FMP is developed. The public comment should generally
focus on “How would you like the northern shrimp fishery to be managed in
the future?” The Section is interested in hearing from the public on all issues
associated with the fishery. Comments do not need to be limited to issues
included in this document.
A number of other issues have been discussed by stakeholders, scientists, and
managers regarding the future of the fishery. These topics include:
Implementation of area management
Individual fishing/transferable quotas (ITQ/IFQ)
Fleet or sector quotas
Days‐at‐sea restrictions
Vessel limits (size, horsepower, tonnage)
Catch limits by gear type and vessel category
Additional gear restrictions (mesh size, sweep length, roller size)
Monthly and seasonally divided catch
Bycatch of finfish species
Maximum count‐per‐pound limits
Size‐selective gear and research
Assessment methodology
Management reference points
Adapting to climate change
Management Questions
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What other changes should be made to the northern shrimp fishery
that is not covered by the topics included in this document?
References Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission, 2014. Stock Status Report for Northern Shrimp. http://www.asmfc.org/uploads/file/545cf3b5NShrimpStockStatusReport_2014.pdf
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Tables and Figures
Table 1a. U.S. Commercial landings (mt) of northern shrimp in the Gulf of Maine
Year Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Total
Annual Season Annual Season Annual Season Annual Season
1958 2.2 0.0 0.0 2.2
1959 5.5 2.3 0.0 7.8
1960 40.4 0.5 0.0 40.9
1961 30.5 0.3 0.0 30.8
1962 159.5 16.2 0.0 175.7
1963 244.3 10.4 0.0 254.7
1964 419.4 3.1 0.0 422.5
1965 941.3 8.0 0.0 949.3
1966 1,737.8 10.5 18.1 1,766.4
1967 3,141.2 10.0 20.0 3,171.2
1968 6,515.2 51.9 43.1 6,610.2
1969 10,993.1 1,773.1 58.1 12,824.3
1970 7,712.8 2,902.3 54.4 10,669.5
1971 8,354.8 2,724.0 50.8 11,129.6
1972 7,515.6 3,504.6 74.8 11,095.0
1973 5,476.6 3,868.2 59.9 9,404.7
1974 4,430.7 3,477.3 36.7 7,944.7
1975 3,177.2 2,080.0 29.4 5,286.6
1976 617.3 397.8 7.3 1,022.4
1977 142.1 236.9 2.2 381.2
1978 0.0 3.3 0.0 3.3
1979 32.8 405.9 0.0 438.7
1980 69.6 256.9 6.3 332.8
1981 530.0 539.4 4.5 1,073.9
1982 883.0 658.5 32.8 1,574.3
1983 1,029.2 508.2 36.5 1,573.9
1984 2,564.7 565.4 96.8 3,226.9
1985 2,957.0 2,946.4 1,030.5 968.8 207.4 216.7 4,194.9 4,131.9
1986 3,407.2 3,268.2 1,085.7 1,136.3 191.1 230.5 4,684.0 4,635.0
1987 3,534.2 3,680.2 1,338.7 1,427.9 152.5 157.9 5,025.4 5,266.0
1988 2,272.5 2,258.4 632.7 619.6 173.1 157.6 3,078.3 3,035.6
1989 2,544.8 2,384.0 751.6 699.9 314.3 231.5 3,610.7 3,315.4
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Table 1a continued – U.S. commercial landings of northern shrimp (*2013 data are
preliminary)
Year Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Total
Annual Season Annual Season Annual Season Annual Season
1990 2,962.1 3,236.3 993.4 974.9 447.3 451.3 4,402.8 4,662.5
1991 2,431.5 2,488.6 737.7 814.6 208.3 282.1 3,377.5 3,585.3
1992 2,990.4 3,070.6 291.7 289.3 100.1 100.1 3,382.2 3,460.0
1993 1,563.1 1,492.5 300.3 292.8 441.2 357.6 2,304.6 2,142.9
1994 2,815.4 2,239.7 381.9 247.5 521.0 428.0 3,718.3 2,915.2
1995 5,013.7 670.1 772.8 6,456.6
1996 8,107.1 660.6 771.7 9,539.4
1997 6,086.9 366.4 666.2 7,119.5
1998 3,481.3 240.3 445.2 4,166.8
1999 1,573.2 75.7 217.0 1,865.9
2000 2,516.2 124.1 214.7 2,855.0
2001 1,075.2 49.4 206.4 1,331.0
2002 391.6 8.1 53.0 452.7
2003 1,203.7 27.7 113.0 1,344.4
2004 1,926.9 21.3 183.2 2,131.4
2005 2,270.2 49.6 290.3 2,610.1
2006 2,201.6 30.0 91.1 2,322.7
2007 4,469.3 27.5 382.9 4,879.7
2008 4,515.8 29.9 416.8 4,962.4
2009 2,315.7 MA & NH combined 185.6 2,501.2
2010 5,604.3 35.1 501.4 6,140.8
2011 5,569.7 196.4 631.5 6,397.5
2012 2,219.9 77.8 187.8 2,485.4
*2013 278.7 18.9 36.9 334.5
2014 Moratorium in fishery
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Table 1b. Price and value of U.S. Commercial landings (mt) of northern shrimp in the Gulf of Maine. (*2013 data are preliminary.) Values are not adjusted for inflation.
Year Price Value Year Price Value
$/Lb $ $/Lb $
1958 0.32 1,532 1990 0.72 7,351,421
1959 0.29 5,002 1991 0.91 7,208,839
1960 0.23 20,714 1992 0.99 7,547,942
1961 0.2 13,754 1993 1.07 5,038,053
1962 0.15 57,382 1994 0.75 4,829,107
1963 0.12 66,840 1995 0.9 12,828,031
1964 0.12 112,528 1996 0.73 15,341,506
1965 0.12 245,469 1997 0.79 12,355,873
1966 0.14 549,466 1998 0.96 8,811,939
1967 0.12 871,924 1999 0.91 3,762,044
1968 0.11 1,611,425 2000 0.79 4,968,656
1969 0.12 3,478,910 2001 0.86 2,534,095
1970 0.2 4,697,418 2002 1.08 1,077,534
1971 0.19 4,653,202 2003 0.87 2,590,917
1972 0.19 4,586,484 2004 0.44 2,089,636
1973 0.27 5,657,347 2005 0.57 3,261,648
1974 0.32 5,577,465 2006 0.37 1,885,978
1975 0.26 3,062,721 2007 0.38 4,087,121
1976 0.34 764,094 2008 0.49 5,407,374
1977 0.55 458,198 2009 0.4 2,216,411
1978 0.24 1,758 2010 0.52 6,994,107
1979 0.33 320,361 2011 0.75 10,625,534
1980 0.65 478,883 2012 0.95 5,230,032
1981 0.64 1,516,521 *2013 1.81 1,332,150
1982 0.6 2,079,109 2014 NA moratorium
1983 0.67 2,312,073
1984 0.49 3,474,351
1985 0.44 3,984,563
1986 0.63 6,451,207
1987 1.1 12,740,583
1988 1.1 7,391,778
1989 0.98 7,177,660
19
Table 2. Distribution of landings (metric tons) in the Maine northern shrimp fishery by season, gear type, and month.
Season % of Season % ofDec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Other Total total Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Other Total total
2000 Season, 51 days, Jan 17 - M ar 15, Sundays off 2008 Season, 152 days, Dec 1 - Apr 30 Trawl 731.1 1,354.8 163.6 2,249.47 89% Trawl 408.5 989.6 1,680.8 603.4 42.6 0.1 3,724.9 82% Trap 28.9 179.6 58.3 266.7 11% Trap conf 64.1 339.6 380.4 6.7 790.8 18%Total 0.0 759.9 1,534.4 221.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,516.2 Total 408.5 1,053.7 2,020.4 983.8 49.3 0.0 0.1 4,515.8
2001 Season, 83 days, Jan 9 - Apr 30, M ar 18 - Apr 16 off, experimental o ffshore fishery in M ay 2009 Season, 180 days, Dec 1 - M ay 29 Trawl 533.0 360.1 30.9 29.8 0.3 954.0 89% Trawl 134.3 579.7 780.9 405.4 33.6 1.8 0.2 1,935.9 84% Trap 42.9 72.6 5.7 121.2 11% Trap 0.4 16.2 207.3 154.7 1.3 379.8 16%Total 0.0 575.8 432.8 36.6 29.8 0.3 0.0 1,075.2 Total 134.6 595.9 988.2 560.1 34.9 1.8 0.2 2,315.7
2002 Season, 25 days, Feb 15 - M ar 11 2010 Season, 156 days, Dec 1 - M ay 5 Trawl 263.6 77.2 340.8 87% Trawl 263.4 1,488.3 2,091.1 326.3 194.3 33.0 0.4 4,396.7 78% Trap 43.2 7.6 50.8 13% Trap conf 194.8 823.4 189.3 conf 1,207.6 22%Total 0.0 0.0 306.8 84.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 391.6 Total 263.4 1,683.1 2,914.5 515.6 194.3 33.0 0.4 5,604.3
2003 Season, 38 days, Jan 15 - Feb 27, Fridays off 2011 Season, 90 days, Dec 1 - Feb 28 Trawl 467.2 518.8 0.4 0.6 987.0 82% Trawl 720.8 2,194.5 1,728.5 0.5 4,644.4 83% Trap 67.5 149.2 216.7 18% Trap 1.9 377.7 545.8 925.3 17%Total 0.0 534.7 668.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 1,203.7 Total 722.7 2,572.2 2,274.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5,569.7
2004 Season, 40 days, Jan 19 - M ar 12, Saturdays and Sundays off 2012 Season, Trawling M on,Wed,Fri, Jan 2- Feb 17 (21 days); Trapping Feb 1-17 (17 days) Trawl 1.8 514.0 905.5 430.0 4.7 2.7 0.04 1858.7 96% Trawl 0.5 1,130.6 895.2 0.5 2,026.8 91% Trap 12.2 39.5 16.5 68.1 4% Trap 193.1 193.1 9%Total 1.8 526.2 945.1 446.4 4.7 2.7 0.04 1926.9 Total 0.5 1,130.6 1,088.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,219.9
2005 Season, 70 days, Dec 19 - 30, Fri-Sat o ff, Jan 3 - M ar 25, Sat-Sun off *2013 Season, Trawl 2-7 days/wk, Jan 23-Apr 12 (54 days); Trap 6-7 days/wk, Feb 5-Apr 12 (62 days) Trawl 75.0 369.4 770.6 663.6 0.01 1878.5 83% Trawl 63.0 155.6 37.4 2.4 258.3 93% Trap conf 132.6 259.0 391.6 17% Trap 15.2 4.9 0.2 20.4 7%Total 75.0 369.4 903.2 922.6 0.0 0.0 0.01 2270.2 Total 0.0 63.0 170.8 42.4 2.6 0.0 0.0 278.7
2006 Season, 140 days, Dec 12 - Apr 30 2014 Season was closed. Trawl 144.1 675.0 733.8 256.9 117.1 1927.0 88% Trap conf 16.7 163.1 93.9 0.9 274.6 12%Total 144.1 691.7 896.9 350.8 118.0 0.0 0.0 2201.6
2007 Season, 151 days, Dec 1 - Apr 30 Trawl 758.2 1,443.3 1,275.6 362.1 143.6 0.4 0.0 3,983.2 89% Trap 3.7 37.2 314.7 119.8 10.6 486.1 11% conf = Confidential data were combined with an adjacent month.Total 761.9 1,480.5 1,590.4 481.9 154.2 0.4 0.0 4,469.3 * Preliminary data
20
Table 3. Estimated numbers of active vessels in the Gulf of Maine northern shrimp fishery by fishing season
and state.
Season Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Total Trawl Trap Total
1980 15‐20 15‐20 30‐40 1981 ~75 ~20‐25 ~100 1982 >75 ~20‐25 >100 1983 ~164 ~25 ~5‐8 ~197 1984 239 43 6 288 1985 ~231 ~40 ~17 ~300 1986 ~300 1987 289 39 17 345 1988 ~290 ~70 ~30 ~390 1989 ~230 ~50 ~30 ~310 1990 ~220 ~250 1991 ~200 ~30 ~20 ~250 1992 ~259 ~50 16 ~325 1993 192 52 29 273 1994 178 40 29 247 1995 1996 275 43 29 347 1997 238 32 41 311 1998 195 33 32 260 1999 181 27 30 238 2000 249 15 23 287 2001 174 60 234 19 27 275 2002 117 52 168 7 23 198 2003 142 49 191 12 22 222 2004 114 56 170 7 15 192 2005 102 64 166 9 22 197 2006 68 62 129 4 11 144 2007 97 84 179 3 15 196 2008 121 94 215 4 15 234 2009 80 78 158 12 (MA and NH combined) 170 2010 124 112 236 6 14 256 2011 172 143 311 12 19 342 2012 164 132 295 15 17 327 *2013 109 72 181 13 14 207 2014 0 0 0 0 0 0
note that some boats reported both trapping and trawling
* preliminary
21
Figure 1. Biomass indices (kg/tow) from various northern shrimp surveys in the Gulf of Maine.
22
Figure 2. (A) Average annual sea surface temperature (SST) at Boothbay Harbor, Maine, during 1906‐2013
and (B) average SST during March‐April, 1906‐2013. (C) Spring sea surface temperature anomaly in shrimp
offshore habitat areas from NEFSC trawl surveys, 1968‐2013. (D) Spring bottom temperature anomaly in
shrimp offshore habitat areas from NEFSC trawl surveys, 1968‐2013.
y = 0.0228x + 7.4115R² = 0.41
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Sea Surface Temperature (o
C)
Annual MeanBoothbay Harbor Daily SST
y = 0.0234x + 2.3622R² = 0.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Sea Surface Temperature (o
C)
March‐April MeanBoothbay Harbor Daily SST
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
SST Anomaly o C
Spring Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
BT Anomaly oC
Spring Bottom Temperature Anomaly
B.A.
D.C.
23
Figure 3. Gulf of Maine northern shrimp landings by season and state. MA landings are combined with NH
landings in 2009 to preserve confidentiality.