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ATTACHMENT I Calculation 32-2400569-00, WAircraft Hazard Risk Determination'

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Page 1: ATTACHMENT I Calculation 32-2400569-00, WAircraft · 2020. 1. 5. · 20697P-6 (2fOO2) A '=RAMATOME ANP CALCULATION SUMMARY SHEET (CSS) Document Identifier 32 -2400569 -00 Title Aircraft

ATTACHMENT I

Calculation 32-2400569-00,WAircraft Hazard Risk Determination'

Page 2: ATTACHMENT I Calculation 32-2400569-00, WAircraft · 2020. 1. 5. · 20697P-6 (2fOO2) A '=RAMATOME ANP CALCULATION SUMMARY SHEET (CSS) Document Identifier 32 -2400569 -00 Title Aircraft

20697P-6 (2fOO2)

A'=RAMATOME ANP

CALCULATION SUMMARY SHEET (CSS)

Document Identifier 32 - 2400569 -00

Title Aircraft Hazard Risk Determination

PREPARED BY:REVIEWED BY:

METHOD: 0 DETAILED.CHECK El INDEPENDENT CALCULATION

NAME W.S. YELNG. I

SIGNATURE \ I

A' a

Is IA .ItIU C~LA_ ~. --/

TITLE Advisory En4 P 1DATE\I /

COST CENTER REF. PAGE(S) 10 TM STATEMENT: REVIEWER INDEPENDENCE

This document including the information contained herein and any associated drawings, is the property of FramatomeANP, inc. It contains confidential information and may not be reproduced or copied in whole or in part nor may It befurnished to others without the expressed written permission of Framatome ANP, Inc., nor may any use be made of Itthat is or may be injurious to Framatome ANP, Inc. This document and any associated drawings and any copies thatmay have been made must be returned upon request.

PURPOSE AND SUMMARY OF RESULTS:

*Is calculation evaluates the yearly probability of aircraft hazard for an uranium enrichment facility, to-be built near Eunice,i Mexico. The probability of aircraft crashing onto the proposed site was determined to be less than 1 04 per year. Based

_., this result, it is concluded that aircraft crashing onto the proposed site Is not a credible event in accordance with 10 CFR Part70.

THE FOLLOWING COMPUTER CODES HAVE BEEN USED IN THIS DOCUMENT: THE DOCUMENT CONTAINS ASSUMPTIONS THATMUST BE VERIFIED PRIOR TO USE ON SAFETY-

RELATED WORK

CODENVERSION/REV CODENERSIONREV .

_ _ YES NO

* Page 1 of 36

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Record of Revision

Revision

0

Description

Original Release

Change Pages

All

Page 2 of 36

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.0 PURPOSE .................................. 42.0 METHOD OF ANALYSIS .43.0 ACCEPTANCE CRiTERIA .44.0 ANALYTICAL INPUT SUMMARY (AIS).. .4-..

5.0 ANALYSIS AND RESULTS .65.1 Evaluation of Nearby Airports .65.3 Evaluation of Military Training Route .75.4 Holding Patterns .75.5 Evaluation of Airway Traffic .7

6.0 CONCLUSIONS................................................................................................... 107.0 REFERENCES .108.0 LIST OF ATTACHMENTS .10Attachment A: FOIA Transmittal from FAA in Response to FANP 1COIA Request .. 13Attachment B: Reduction of Right Data .. 25Attachment C: Airport Master Records .. 28Attachment D: NTSB Commercial Aircraft Accident Rate Data 1987-1997 .. 35Attachment E: Geographical Coordinates of Proposed NEF Site . .36

Page 3 of 36

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1.0 PURPOSE

The purpose of this calculation is to evaluate the hazard at the proposed NationalEnrichment Facility (NEF) in Eunice, New Mexico due to potential aircraft transits pastthe site. This analysis is done as part of the Integrated Safety Assessment (ISA) for theproposed site, as required by 10 CFR Part 70 (Reference 1). The results of this analysiswill be used in the Integrated Safety Assessment (ISA).

2.0 METHOD OF ANALYSIS

This analysis follows the methodology as described in Standard Review Plan (SRP)Section 3.5.1.6 for aircraft hazards evaluation (Reference 2). SRP 3.5.1.6 methodology isaccepted by the USNRC to assess the probability of hazards due to aircraft transits atnuclear facilities.

3.0 ACCEPTANCE CRITERIA

Aircraft accident is an external event. In accordance with 10 CFR Part 70 (70.61), anexternal event is considered not credible if the probability of the event initiation is lessthan 106 per year. If the probability is greater than 106 per year, the event is consideredcredible, and must be considered further.

4.0 ANALYTICAL INPUT SUMMARY (AIS)

The major analysis and input assumptions are given here. Specific assumptionsassociated with the methodology as described in Reference 2 will be stated in the analysissection (Section 5.0).

1. The critical facility area consists of the Tails Storage Pad, the SeparationsBuilding, the Centrifuge Assembly Building (CAB), and the TechnicalServices Building (TSB). Figure I (Reference 3) shows the site plan for theproposed enrichment plant. The Tails Storage Pad is about 480 ft by 2240 ft,the Separations Building including the CAB is about 800 ft by 880 ft. and thearea where the TSB is located is about 240 ft by 320 ft. The total target areais therefore (480x2240 + 800x880 + 240x320) = 1,856,000 sq.ft, or about 40acres. For conservatism, this analysis added approximately 25% margin andused 50 acres as the target area.

2. Accident data for commercial traffic defined under 14 CFR 121 operation (seeReference 4) was assumed when evaluating the crash probability associatedwith air traffic along federal airways. This assumption yielded crashprobability that is higher than the value recommended by SRP 3.5.16, and is

Page 4 of 36

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therefore justified. Note that Reference 4 gives data from 1987 to 1997. Themost recent data available from the National Transportation Safety Board(NTSB) covers up to 1999 (Reference 9). In addition, NTSB no longerpresents accident rate data based on miles thrown. Hence Reference 9 is notdirectly usable in this evaluation. Examination of Reference 9 graphical datashows that the number of accidents for 14 CFR 121 operation for years 1998and 1999 are both bounded by that for 1997. Thus, data from Reference 4 areacceptable, and reflect the most current data available from NTSB.

3. The target area has been conservatively estimated at 50 acres (see Item Iabove). Therefore, there is no need to additionally account for any shadowand skid area in the evaluation of the effective target area.

4. There is one low-level airway that passes within about 5 nautical miles of thecenter of the proposed sites. This is V68 (see Figure 2 adapted fromReference 5). Air traffic data along individual airways are not generallymaintained by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Instead, air trafficdata in the sector in which the proposed site is located is available and hasbeen obtained from the FAA (Reference 6, also in Attachment A). Theapplicable sector is Sector 40 (MAF-L). Figure A-4 shows the Sector map.Since most aircraft presently navigate on direct routes or radar vectors, it isreasonable to assume that the flights are randomly distributed over the Sectorarea. The area of Sector 40 has been estimated from Figure A-1 inAttachment A to be about 10000 square nautical miles (see Attachment B).This is equivalent to a circle of radius (10000Iir)'1 or 56 nautical miles (about64 statue miles). The analysis assumes Sector MAF-L 40 can beapproximated as a circle of radius 64 statue miles. The number of flights onan average day for 2002 is 134, and the number of flights for a busy day is178 (Reference 6). This analysis conservatively used the busy day data for thesite. Similar data for 2003 is not yet available. However, in light of theconservatism in using the busy day data, any potential increase in air trafficfrom 2002 to 2003 will be accommodated by the conservatism.

5. The proposed site is also near Sector LBB-LREE-L (Sector 43/64) as shownin Figure A-I. Hence the air traffic in this Sector can have an impact on theanalysis. From Reference 6, the busy day traffic for Sector 43/64 is 170 in2002. Therefore, it is concluded that air traffic in Sector 43/64 will notadversely impact the calculation, and use of Sector 40 data alone is adequate.

6. The geographical center of the proposed site is assumed to be 32°26'1.74" Nand 103°04'43.47" W (see Attachment E).

Page 5 of 36

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5.0 ANALYSIS AND RESULTS

5.1 Evaluation of Nearby Airports

There are six (6) airports within 20 to 25 nautical miles of the proposed site. Figure 2,taken from the L4 IFR Enroute Aeronautical Chart, shows the location of these airports.The largest international airport nearest to the site is the Midland International Airport inTexas, which is about 50 nautical miles east-southeast of the site. This is judgedsufficiently far from the site to have any significant impact.

Table I lists the six airports and their approximate distances from the site, together withthe total number of operations as allowed under SRP 3.6.1.5 and as reported in the FAA-5010 reports (Reference 7, in Attachment C). Per SRP 3.6.1.5, Item 11l(a), theprobability of aircraft accidents is less than about 10 per year if the annual number ofoperations is less than 1000 D2 for airport located beyond 10 miles, where D is the plant-to-airport distance in miles. Since all the airports identified in Table 1 are located morethan 10 miles from the proposed site, this SRP guidance is applicable. From Table 1, it isconcluded that the presence of these airports is not significant to plant safety. No furtheranalysis is required with regard to the impact of nearby airports.

Table 1Evaluation of Risk Posed by Nearby Airports

Airport D (mile), Location No. Operatin SRP Limit'direction

Hobbs/Lea 25, NW Hobbs, NM 18,572 625,000CountyRegionalAirport

Eunice Airport 15, W Eunice, NM 480 225,000Lea County/JAL 25, SSW Jal, NM 4,200 625,000Andrews 30, E Andrews, 1X 6,000 900,000County AirportGaines County 30, NE Seminole, TX 12,250 900,000AirportSeminole 30, NE Seminole, TX 2,000 900,000SprayingService (private)0 distance (converted to statue mile from nautical mile) and direction are estimated basedon Figure 2b from FAA-5010 reports (Attachment C), including military operationsC 1000 D2, per SRP 3.5.1.6

Page 6 of 36

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5.3 Evaluation of Military Training Route

There are no military facilities within 20 miles of the proposed site. There is militaryoperation out of the Lea County Regional Airport only (see FAA-5010 report for thisairport in Attachment C). As shown in Table 1, the number of operations is far below theSRP allowable limit. .There three military routes, IR-128 (maximum altitude of 13000feet), IR-178 (maximum altitude of 15000 feet) and IR-180 (maximum altitude of 17000feet) within a 30 nautical mile radius of the proposed site (see Figure 2 and Reference 5).The closest approach (by LR-128 and IR-180) is about 14 nautical miles southwest fromthe site geographical center. This is not expected to pose any hazard to the proposedfacility, since the routes are more than 5 statute miles from the site, per SRP3.6.1.511.1(b). Note that Reference 6 indicates both ]R-128 and IR-180 are located within8 miles of the site. However, it is concluded that the FAA information is onlyapproximate, and the closest approach is about 14 nautical miles as determined fromReference 5. Military operations in nearby airports have already been included in theevaluation given in Section 5.2. Hence, no further analysis is required with regard to theimpact of military training route.

5A Holding Patterns

Per SRP 3.5.1.6 Item IL I(c) (Reference 2), holding patterns within 2 statue miles of thesite need to be evaluated. From Table 1, the airports nearest to the site are, in order,Eunice Airport, Hobbs/Lea County Regional Airport, Lea County/JAL Airport, AndrewsCounty Airport, Gaines County Airport, and Seminole Spraying Service. All but EuniceAirport are more than 20 miles away from the site, and landing procedure is not usuallyinitiated until the aircraft is within 20 miles (the approach charts for the nearest majorairport, Hobbs/Lea County show that landing procedure is usually initiated within 10nautical miles. See Reference 6 in Attachment A, Figures A-2 through A-8). Therefore,there is no need to evaluate these airports for holding patterns. For Eunice and Lea/JALairports, there are no specific holding patterns according to FAA (Reference 6). Since ithas been determined in Section 5.2 that air traffic at both Eunice and Lea/JAL airportspose no concern per SRP guidelines, and Reference 6 indicates that no specific holdingpatterns exist for either airport, the issue of holding patterns is not relevant to eitherairport. No further analysis is required with regard to the impact of holding patterns.

5.5 Evaluation of Airway Traffic

A low-level federal airway (V-68) passes within 5 nautical miles, northeast of theproposed site center (see Figure 2). The probability, P. of an aircraft flying along eitherairway crashing onto the proposed site can be conservatively estimated from thefollowing expression, as given in SRP 3.5.1.6:

P=CxNxA/w (Eq. 1)

where: .

Page 7 of 36

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C = inflight crash rate per mile for aircraft using the airway,N = number of flights per year along the airway,A = effective target area (square miles), andW = width of airway (miles) [plus twice the distance from the airway edge to the sitewhen the site is outside the airway]

SRP 3.5.1.6 mentioned a value of C=4x 1010 per mile flown for commercial aircrafts.The published values for fatal accident rate from 1987 to 1997, according to the NationalTransportation Safety Board (NTSB) (Reference 4, Attachment D) are within 2.0x101'°and 2.4x 10'9. This analysis uses the maximum value of 2.4x 10Y9 for conservatism. Asdiscussed in Section 5.2, Item 2, the accident data for 1997 bounds the data for 1998 and1999. Hence, the information used in this analysis represents the most currentinformation publicly available from the NTSB official website. Note also that this valueis higher than the SRP recommended value of 4x 10"'.

The FAA has provided air traffic count data for the peak day, one busy day and anaverage day for 2002 for Sector 40 (MAF-L) in which the site is located. For 2003, FAAalso transmitted air traffic data for two random days. Unfortunately, the 2003 data areonly for a limited time period (one set of data is for 2 hours and the other for 41/2 hours).Therefore, the 2003 data was not used in this analysis. Table 2 summarizes the 2002 datafrom FAA (Reference 2 and Attachment A).

Table 2Number of Flights in Sector 40 MAF-L

Date Total Number of- Flights

Peak Day 46Busy Day 178

Random Day . 134-

The data for peak day is unexpectedly low, probably due to the fact that Sector 40 wasnot open for traffic count during the chosen peak day in 2002. For conservatism, thisanalysis uses the busy day data. Hence the number of flights per day in Sector 40 isconservatively taken to be 178. Note that the data is applicable to thc entire Sector 40.

Not all of these flights fly over the site. It is reasonable to assume that these flights arerandomly distributed within the entire Sector area (Assumption 4). Therefore, a flightdensity can be defined as

F = N/IR 2

where N is the number of flights in the sector and R is 64 miles (see Assumption 4).Thus the number of flights within 10 miles is

Page 8 of 36

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a = F X r' = N(r/R)2

where r is 10 miles. The remaining are outside the 10 mile radius, and is

b = N j I-(r/R) 21

The fraction of flights that will intersect the 10 mile area is calculated to be 0.1, (seeAttachment B). Hence the total number of flights that falls within the 10 mile radius is

a +0.lb = N { (rIR) 2 +0.l[-(rIR)2] ) =0.12N, say 0.2 N

Hence only about 20% of the flights will fall within the 10 mile radius. The number offlights over Sector 40 is conservatively taken as 178. Therefore, the number of flightsper day, in the vicinity of the site, is given by

N = 0.20 (178) = 36, say 40

Hence 40x365 or 14,600 flights per year are expected. The low traffic count is a directresult of the relatively light air traffic for Sector 40 (178 flights over a Sector area of10,000 sq. nautical miles).

The effective target area includes a skid area and a shadow area in addition to thephysical area. The proposed facility is not expected to have any tall structures. Thus theshadow area is insignificant. Also the assumed input of 50 acres for the physical area isconservative. Therefore, no provision is given to the skid area (see Assumption 3). Theeffective target area is thus 50 acres, or 50x4840x9/52802 or 0.078125 sq. miles.

The airway passes about 5 nautical miles from the site center. The width of a federalairway is generally taken as 8 miles (Reference 8). The minimum distance between theedge of the airway and site boundary is conservatively ignored. Hence W is given by

W = 8 miles

Substituting C, N, A and W into Eq. 1, one gets

P = 2.4x IO (14600) (0.078125)/8 = 3.4 x 10< 104

The maximum number of flights that will satisfy the acceptance criteria can be calculatedby setting the yearly probability to 106. The result is

N., = 8 (106) 12.4 x I09 / 0.078125 = 42,666

which corresponds to about 116 flights per day over the vicinity of the site. This issignificantly higher than the estimate based on FAA data. Hence the present analysis isexpected to bound future increase in air traffic in the Midland sector.

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6.0 CONCLUSIONS

An aircraft hazard analysis has been performed for the proposed NEF uraniumenrichment plant site, following the methodology of SRP 3.5.1.6 applicable to aircrafthazard assessment for nuclear power plants. Airports and airways in the vicinity of theproposed site (Eunice, New Mexico) have been identified. Based on the publishednumber of operations and distance to the proposed site, it is concluded that the presenceof these airports does not pose any risk to site with regard to aircraft hazard. For theidentified airways, the probability of aircraft along these airways crashing onto theproposed site has been calculated to be 3.4x 107 per year. Based on this, it is concludedthat aircraft crashing onto the proposed site is not a credible event in accordance with 10CFR Part 70, and need not be considered further in the Integrated Safety Assessment.

The objective of this calculation has been met.

7.0 REFERENCES

1. 10 CFR Part 70, Domestic Licensing of Special Nuclear Material, U.S.Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC, September 2000.

2. Standard Review Plan, NUREG-0800, Section 3.5.1.6, Aircraft Hazards, U.S.Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC, Office of Nuclear ReactorRegulation, Rev. 2, July 1981. 0! YI a I' o3

3. FANP Document 02-5034503BQ; Lockwood Greene Drawing No. C-I,gt4 tOb3 Rev.o "Site Plan (Without Contours)"

4. FAA Publication, Annual Review of Accident Data, PB 2002-106890,NTSB/ARC-02/01. Available from www.ntsb.gov website.

5. L-A IFR Enroute Low Altitude Aeronautical Chart, Effective July 10, 2003 toSeptember 4, 2003, published by U.S. Department of Transportation.

6. FOIA Transmittal from Douglas R. Murphy (FAA) to George Harper (FANP),dated 10/9/03 (Attachment A).

7. FAA Form 5010-1, Airport Master Record (Attachment C). Available fromwww.grcl.comI5010WEB website.

8. 14 CFR Chapter I, Section 71.75, "Extent of Federal Airways".9. FAA Publication, Annual Review of Accident Data, PB2002-109241,

NTSBIARC-02/03. Available from www.ntsb.gov website.

8.0 LIST OF ATTAC[IMENTS

A. FOIA transmittal from FAAB. Reduction of flight dataC. Airport Master Records (5010 Reports)D. NTSB Accident Rate DataE. Email regarding geographical location of NEF site

Page 10 of 36

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Page 1L1 of 3 6

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Figure 2: Aeronautical Chart in the vicinity-ofthe" proposed site

Page 12 of 36

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Attachment A: FOJA Transmittal from FAA in Response to FANP FOLA Request

Attachment A contains the portion of FOIA transmittal from the FAA that was used in thiscalculation. Specifically, it contains the cover letter from FAA to FANP, a sheet summarizinginformation on military routes, jet routes and victor airways, and nearby airports, a sheetsummarizing the air traffic data for 2002, a sector map, and seven approach charts for Hobbs/LeaCounty Regional airport.

Page 13 of 36

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OCT 09 203

FEDERAL. EXPRESS

Mr. George A. Harper, P.E.Framatome ANP# Inc.Solomon Pond Park400 Donald Lynch BoulevardHarlborough, MA 01752

Dear Mr. Harper:

This is in further response to your Freedom of Information Act (F0XIArequest dated August 15, 2003, asking for copies of the following:

a. Information regarding the approximate number of flightspassing through V68 either per day or per year, in the vicinity of theEunice site near Eunice, New Mexico, for 2002 and 2003.

b. Information regarding whether there exists military routes,military operations areas, or any special use airspace that mayoverlie the proposed Eunice site.

c. Holding patterns in nearby airports within 20 to 30 nauticalmiles of the proposed Eunice site.

We are enclosing 22 pages of contLnuous-print computer output data,a 3.5-inch disk containing computer data, 13 approach charts, 2 pagesof printed data, and a sectional aeronautical chart from Fort WorthAir Route Traffic Control Center.

Thank you for your check in the amount of 52,750.

Should you have any questions concerning this matter, you may callMs. Avanelle Dawson. Air Traffic Division FOrA Coordinator, at917-222-5566, and refer to Document Request Number 2003-008045SW.

Sincerely,

Manager, Air Tue Division

5 Enclosures

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FOIA REQUEST2003-00045SSW

Existing military routes:

IR 128 Is located within e milesiR 180' 8 moesSR 178' 12 milos

Jet Routes and Victor Ainays (Measurements are closest proximity to the centerline of She route anddo not take Into account espace to be protected):

J4 centerline is wilhin 30 milesJ15 - 28mblesJ50 ' ' 30 miosJ66 ' 28 missJ85 * ' ' 38 mlessJ108 ' 35 milesV16 26 milesV68 dir'ectly over the proposed sideV94 * widhhn 31 mlesV102 *18 milesV291 i- la maesV546 31 milbs

MOAs:BRONCO 3 is within 25 milesBRONCO4' * t0 miles

Midland TRACOWs airspace Is within 17 miles

Airports with approacheslholdlng patterns potentially affected:

HobbslLea County. Hobbs. NM (H08) (7 Approach Charts hdcluded)Andrews County. Andrews, Texas (Ell) (2 Approach Charts included)Gamnes County. Seminole. Texas (31F) (2 Approach Chails Included)LovhgltorLea County.Zp Frankin Memorial, Lovinhton, NM (E06) (2 Approach Charts included)Oonver City, Texas (E57) (no approaches)Eunice. NM (204) (no approaches)Lea County, Jail. NM (226) (no approaches)Midland Intemiaonat. Midland. Texas (W) (Outside 20 miles)Odessa-Schlemeyer Field, Odessa. Texas (ODO) (Outside 20 mles)WhWeir County. Wink. Texas (INK) (Outside 20 mies)

Page 1 5 of 36

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Page 19: ATTACHMENT I Calculation 32-2400569-00, WAircraft · 2020. 1. 5. · 20697P-6 (2fOO2) A '=RAMATOME ANP CALCULATION SUMMARY SHEET (CSS) Document Identifier 32 -2400569 -00 Title Aircraft

Framatome ANP AttachmentA 32-2400569-00

Figure A-2: Approach Chart for Hobbs/Lea County Airport (1 of 7)

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Page 18 of 36

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Framatome ANP - AttachmentA 32-2400569.00

Figure A-3: Approach Chart for Hobbs/Lea County Airport (2 of 7)

ur l l g 33 l-DDME B6CRW.Y.2I

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Page I19 of 36

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Framatome ANP . AttachmentA 32-2400569-00

Figure A-4: Approach Chart for Hobbs/Lea County Airport (3 of 7)

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Page 20 of 36

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Framatome ANAP A _L _ .. A . . , I __- -

Franiatn.m _ AlPA.HacnmentA JX-2Z4U(L69-UU

Figure A-5: Approach Chart for HobbsALea County Airport (4 of 7)

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Page 21 of 36

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Framatome ANP AftachmentA 32-2400569-00

Figure A-6: Approach Chart for Hobbs/Lea County Airport (5 of 7)

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Page 22 of 36

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Framatome ANP Attachment A 32-2400569.00

Figure A-7: Approach Chart for HobbsfLea County Airport (6 of 7)

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Page 23 of 36

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FramatomeANP- AttachmentA 32-2400569.00

Figure A-8: Approach Chart for Hobbs/Lea County Airport (7 of 7)

I l am GPSR '30All ShasuW ctW*lEGotM(HOB)

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Page 24 of 36

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FrnmrttA AMN Affnelmorif P 11-1,dBACKI7v wma - ----- e --- P A JVflVV

Attachment B: Reduction of Flight Data

Refer to Figure B-1. The Sector area is represented by the area with radius R, and the area ofconcern is denoted by that with radius r,. Consider a concentric strip of width dr, and at adistance r (r>r1) from the center. The probability of an aircraft crossing this strip and has a paththat intersects -with the area of concern is simply

dP = 20/27n = 01x (B.1)

where 0 is half the angle subtended by the tangent from r to the area of concern (see Figure B-I).The number of flights in the circular strip is given by

dN = (Nj/hR2 ) 2ardr (13.2)

Hence the number of flights that intersects the-area of concern is

dN0 = dN x dP = (NAR2) 2 0 rdr (B.3)

The relationship between r and 0 is found as follows. From Figure B-I,

r = rdsin0 (B.4)

and hence

dr = - r1 cosO /sin20 dO (B.5)

Substitute (B.4) and (B.5) into (B.3) and get

dNa = -(N5 ri2/aR2) 2 0 cosO dO /sin3O (13.6)

The total number of flights from outside the area of concern that will intersect the area ofconcern can be obtained by integrating Eq.(B.6) from r--r to r-R, which correspond to 0=a/2 to0=sin'(rj/R). Thus

N. ViO sin (B.7),l2 sin'

The definite integral in Eq.(B.7) has been determined numerically in Table B-1, usingTrapezoidal Rule for the case where rj/R = 10/64= 0.156. Hence the upper limit is sin'(0. 156) or0.1568929 radian. The result is -5.7 (negative denotes dO is decreasing), say -6.0. Hence Eq.(B.7) becomes

N, = 12.0(r.2/R2)/k N, (B.8)

Page 25 of 36

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From-ntnmp A ]P Attarhment R 32-24005W.-00FrnmntnmANP Aftadinz�nt R A2-2400569.OO

Multiply both side of (B.8) by the factor (1- r,2/R 2), one finally obtains the fraction of flightsoutside the area of concern that will intersect the area of concern as

N.1Nj(I- r,2fR2) = 12.0(r12/R2)/[lr(- r12/R2)] = 0.096, say 0.1

Table B- I Trapezoidal Rule evaluation of integral in Eq. (B.7)

e Oc6se/sin8A3 -Area'1.570796 5.13328E-07 01.500101 0.106760089 0.0037741.429406 0.207584573 0.014885

1.35871 0.306127524 0.0330441.288015 0.405853923 0.05821

1.21732 0.51030697 0.0905941.146625 0.623393092 0.130668

1.07593 0.749727683 0.1792051.005235 0.895100479 0.2373450.934539 1.067152943 0.3067060.863844 1.276424871 0.3895460.793149 1.538054488 0.4890310.722454 1.874674679 0.6096630.651759 2.321601552 0.7579910.581064 2.936676011 0.9438580.510368 3.820243363 1.1826990.439673 5.15925817 1.5001030.368978 7.335640117 1.9417670.298283 11.23330265 2.5981350.227588 19.30293671 3.6775170.156893 40.62353454 5.795773

a Area is calculated by the trapezoidal rule based on the current and previous functional value,and a step of dO = (1.570796-0.156893)/20 = 0.070695 radian. For instance, the second entry inthe area column is obtained from 0+(5.1332&e-7 + 0.106760089)(0.070695)/2 = 0.003774.

Note that the site is not centrally located within Sector 40 (see Figure A-1). However, themethod proposed here is expected to yield a conservative estimate of the fraction of flight thatwill fall within the vicinity of the site. This is because the geometry in Figure B-i maximizes theprobability of any flight outside the region to interest passing over the region of interest.

Eguivalent Sector Area

Figure A-I in Attachment A shows the boundaries for Sector MAF-L 40. The areaapproximately consists of two triangles, as shown. The scale of the figure can be obtained fromthe distance between HOB and MAF shown in Figure A-1. The actual distance is 68 nm (can beinferred from Figure 2). Based on this, the dimensions of the triangles were obtained as: 85 by182 nm, and 76 by 76 nm. Thus the total sector area is about (the answer is rounded down forconservatism)

A.,mt(, = 0.5(85 x 182) + 0.5(76 x 76) = 10623, say 10000 sq. nm.

Page 26 of 36

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Framatome ANP Attachment B 32-2400569 00

Figure B-I: Geometrical notations used in the fraction of flights analysis

Page 27 of 36

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F~rnmnftnme A VP A~ftzzhment7 C _72.2400569.00. -, gm.n s . P ... 24flf_-_4vfv

Attachment C: Airport Master Records

This attachment reproduces the Airport Master Records for those airports listed in Table 1.

Page 28 of 36

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Frnmw, yei AP)P Attachment C 32-2400569-00A a II.flGnflU& JL A-

a

US. DEPARTMENT OF 11118PORTATIO9 AIRPORTA MASTER RECORD-FmmALAN1A11014 ADMNWIAISRON AROTMSE EODADI mo

Pom Appmw O'.4 03&1 1200 II ASSOC CITY: EUIIOCK2AN4501THAMI GUNICE

COD TO AMPO" fMn 04 W

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6 REGIMNA0O& ASW1NOIM

LOCD: 104 FAAIFENt 14406VA6O00uNTV. WAD NmP S!CTMAROcIIT XMJEOLRO

29= L&)

10OWNLISHM PLISVZ" 1 OJIN Nu STATE NMY~ IZCORSS: P060)K 1149

SAWIAP!. WA 81104-1149* I PHOW OR 805.470492*14 MAMAGCR' . yen BUIMOO

.SASO=SS: 060 W 1140SANIA VS.NM #WA3-1112

* 16 P1404 $015.476-0941* 17 ATVINOAM4 SCIIEOItLS:limas EMYS HOURSIM4IO=

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ii SEOUMMTE c44ML VESas CONTIM11WR. wnO)as FM& ALSEUCRIOUE17MP!ONlARP! NO7IS ES Ft*0) uk 8154434404911OLLFREEMl 04009-SxR"~

TOTAL'13 IELCOPllM!94 GLICERS!33 MILITARY.se ILTR44JIGH1.

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TOTAL!

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Page 29 of 36

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Framatome ANP Attachment C 32-2400569-00

LV-IWP.kTAA~" W T AN IPCTAT" UNLAAL. WTV2ZQJ1Mat. 1NT"AiaPUfTIATION AIRPORT MASTER RECORD Amuvv Mosmu .

PIys Appowd CUB 2130-COS.o 4300Cflry. MA. 4 STfTE km tmv : K2m gm SITE "LI 14632rA,"2AffZP= MMIA WSCOUNIMT.AL 50CMY'h LEA. NU

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1IIDEEcf-Tl~I a aPAL anS1O-I potjsLeRSCSpolviIs' 1UX FUREC3:W;Sn

Page 30 of 36

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"_- - -A MTD A Htrthment C 32-2400569.00r rcm"1ru^1 nvr

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I AS3=CIh1T AI4ORWn 4 8TATS: M LOGO- III FM £Im W 2323&A'ADRPII NAMQ ANOREWO COLN4TY SCUNM*IY AM0REWS TX300CM TO &S ta 0N1~ ME I FECI014A00 ASW94ONE IN MAGA CHT: AL.SL1UIEOIUE

10 001ERSHI4P PIumc'I 11CAW ANORMW COUNTY* 12 ADDRES& MIDOws to COMYNOM4US

ANOpmTNX 14* 13 p11014 NM 432424,140l* id MANAGER: LO1GYMULAN* 15 WOAI.W8 COUNTY 411103ORT

ANDREWS. TX 796114*1laPHONE Imt 4324924-lU?1

IArIITNCANCIE 80EmULZ±MONTIG DAYS ROURSALL MON-FR 4080-1?

.?0FqXL IOMLA71 AIR131FIRAMR3

o 12 PINS PKANT RPRS:* 12 301TI.5 ccXIGC

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4 II PO17! USE: Pulat9 ARPT tAE: 32-ti1M2AAM4.W4G 102-ISARPTIBAY 317422 ACR94A&S no22URIGHT IrAFFIG: 62.2

*2 ii N4MhOIW LANINGWO NO39 IO'IASJFED AGREEME4T&A3GY36 FARM 191

'30 MUJWAY CENT.

'132 Wm~T*W33 WJlrrTCOD'134 SLOW TREATMENTT,

*5 OROCWT: SWl

37 V1W36 0Wm

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u4T 1CAOssING NMO45 VISUALCO GLID ANLIZ

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'53 OSTW MARKE01LGTO

150is FMRoM O? INC

W6OLOSEw4 03WW

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LIM

WIDARPTIUwt co'51 ARPI LGTSINM W6331)AVWNv.620410OI 1212JO1393 %DIO WICCATM VEI-I

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931 MLLITIE4O.62 JOT,

TOTAL;

12 POUCOPTSIM:34 GLIORm:SS MILTARY3

100 AIR CAMREftl0t COkoAUTRm142 AIR TAIt103 SAtOCAL:1040a A NYsiWEWSMILIVARr.

TOTAL,

OPERAT1IDNSPORMO! 12401

10

11

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23

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ASS fRW IS44 FT 112G04 CM 150 FU1IZFT 7FM HO T7"L5T.AG8 1WY 34 4-C11 PT BRLISHO40 PT FM THLD. I30-Z0 PT RIO&I.A041 ACIV MMIRLYS G A 16134 -CW. VASI RVY S 1634. PAR RY 2O&S IMLNRYS 375OM017.AIlo TMI AUMAT WAS BER XUR'VMD UY THE KAT"NA GECODE= SURVT.

"2s1MmdIrm2.a aFVAWD. Fsau 3 810 I(C4 11 3 W 0S 0 5 PR W 4.jjw A d:g

Page 31 of 36

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_X~f"A sMP Attachment C 32-2400569-00Fr FIulLLuulf~cr IVI Az

.rU.L EPARUMENT OF lF%~Q~AW AIRPORT MASTER RECORD VANS ELF: Magi

- A fit.4M,*.

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NSA P 101 11415 £WSRSEOES PREVIOUS 1OUNT _lFQ:&

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A ft i fsj ' T dflIKO-Ofilfred~~~ % __ _ 7st

tramaromeeAlyr J-- -

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a IWOG014MM AsV~kt40E

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'17 ATTENDANCE 6COEWUULTmomin OAvg HOURS

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'24HOWW ILANOWGIO NOU5 IWSJFE AGEWM0WSNCY28 PAR 20M4INDE AU W2USS

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*U TAM OF~F RN AVDL(T00A1'61 TAK~E OFF D6STAV3L flOOAjJ 2ALYST1OP 0T AVJL

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b?0FUSu, 100LI.A.31t ARIVRA&CRPM31 UAMIblo,7 WRO PLANT7 PO= &MAO

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1 1 1 tsI S P C T O R I I I i I Y I L 9 * b 1 ¶FAA law lo6-I (415 WUPUS30U PREVU5S ... ENS, ,_ . W

Page 33 of 36

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Fr.n nnnn1 A AID Atnphrm,"t r' 12_2d1fifl.4Q.flfia- I "foi6 ...... .....

" OW~tTK~f O - -AIRPORT MASTER RECORDAMP WX

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20 OvICASI4P I'RZAI*11 OrVWcm WSfl~dOU 3RAYROGSERVICE*famo~le55: RI a OX 1d

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55 T3NTTORAAfj MMflO4lr IERYM6:

18 AIRIKKI WM:I9ARP1LAT:

21 AW'TELLV.22A013A06.

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'36 R IfAY 1A44?

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ECILAREDOWANCES

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PRIWATE!37.44e3luN10 ZSTIMAMo02.J4.1?16ApW11W SURWYEO

noNdo

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Ill 63SIECTOC(N~ 112 LAS? INSP' 113 LAST INFOR~ft 4?1203155FAA Foku 039-115411 24U 121 301!PRE VIOUS

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h~rnnsfr"DA NPD dts~hmnt w:27-nnsICo-fifa u A19 _ ALD A .JA,,.vu f 9. l uVJ

Attachment D: NTSB Commercial Aircraft Accident Rate Data 1987-1997

Table 2 - ACCIDENT RATES14 CFR 121 OPERATIONS

1987 - 1997(Excerpted from page 4 of Reference 4)

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997Accidents Rates

Miles Flown' .0076 .0064 .0061 .0049 .0054 .0036 .0044 .0040 .0064 .0063 .0073Hours Fiown' .310 .260 .248 .198 .21 .146 .181 .168 .267 .269 .309Departures .434 .376 .366 .297 333 .228 .285 .267 .426 .450 .475

Fatal Accident Rates'

Miles Flown' .0009 .0004 .0024 .0012 .0008 .0008 .0002 .0007 .0005 .0009 .0006Hours Flown' .038 .018 .098 .049 .034 .032 .008 .030 .022 .036 .025Oepartures .053 .026 .i44 .074 .051 .05t .012 .049 .035 .061 .039

Per Killion Miles FlownPer Hundred Thousand Hours and Departures Flown

'A nonfatal accident, occurring 4/7/94, that involved criminal activity is excluded fromaccident rates. The 12/21/88 sabotage involving a Pan Am 8747-100 and the 12/7/87suicide/sabotage involving a PSA BAe-146e are also excluded from accident ratecomputations.

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Framirtom A IP Affachment E 32-2400S69-00Franw1nm� ANP Attachment E 32-2400569-00

Attachment E: Geographical Coordinates of Proposed NEF Site

From: HARPER George ASent: Wednesday, October 15, 2003 11:40 AMTo: YEUNG MosesSubject: FW: Lat-Long for NEF

George A. Harper, P.E.Manager, Regulatory Compliance ProgramsFramatome ANP400 Donald Lynch BoulevardMarlborough, MA 01752Office: 978.568.2728Cell: 508.795.9420Fax: 978.568.3731Email: [email protected] Original Message-From: HARPER George ASent: Thursday, September 04, 2003 11:47 AMTo: MARKOVICH Ronald 3; MAHER Edward FSubject: Lat-Long for NEF

As of yesterday, the "officiar lat-long for the site as measured at the Centerline of the door into the TSBis:

32 deg, 26 min, 1.74 sec N-103 deg, 4 min, 43.47 sec W

This will change slightly as plant is moved around, but should suffice for our work. It agrees closely withwhat I used for the tornado study and seismic.

Please distribute to you team as required.

George

George A. Harper, P.E.Manager, Regulatory Compliance ProgramsFramatome ANP400 Donald Lynch BoulevardMarlborough, MA 01752Office: 978.568.2728Cell: 508.795.9420Fax: 978.568.3731Email: george.harper~framatome-anp.com

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