au2014 powerpoint presentation

81
© 2016 Autodesk © 2016 Autodesk Join the conversation #AU2016 The Future of BIM Will Not Be BIM, and It’s Coming Faster Than You Think! Bill Allen Partner, Chief Technology Officer Twitter Handle – @Evolve_LAB

Upload: buinhan

Post on 02-Jan-2017

220 views

Category:

Documents


4 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk Join the conversation #AU2016

The Future of BIM Will Not Be BIM, and It’s Coming Faster Than You Think!

Bill AllenPartner, Chief Technology Officer

Twitter Handle – @Evolve_LAB

Page 2: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

About Me…

Autodesk University 2012 “A Case Study on the Strategic Implementation of BIM”

Central States Revit Workshop 2012 “The Progressional Process of Pushing Information”

Central States Revit Workshop 2013 “It’s the Process Stupid”

BIM Workshop 2014 “The Process of Pushing Parametric Information

“Back to the Future: Integrating Phasing

BIM Workshop 2015 “The Great Dynamo Discovery”

“Developing and Implementing the LOD”

Denver Design Symposium 2015 “Data Driven Design”

Autodesk University 2016 “The Future of BIM is not BIM,

and it’s coming faster than you think”

“Do you want to change the Industry Status Quo?”

Bill Allen-EvolveLAB CTO

-National Speaker

Page 3: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

In this discussion, I will be so bold as to make predictions as to where I believe our industry is going in the next 3 to 10 years. With advancements in generative design, software algorithms, and robotic construction, our current processes are going to be changing quite a bit. We will see more and more done by computers and machines than we have ever seen. Rather than Building Information Modeling (BIM), we are going to see Building Information Optimization. In contrast, rather than manually drawing walls, doors, and columns for what we think is a good design, we will feed the computer "rules" instructing it to give us a building’s optimal footprint, structural load capacity, and thermal performance. Things that took months will be done in a day. What does this mean for you? How do you play a part in this changing process? Come to find out how. This is sure to be an exciting and enlightening discussion.

Class summary

Page 4: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

At the end of this class, you will be able to:

Know what trends and technologies are coming to our industry

Know how algorithms and robotics will drastically change the design/build process

Understand how these new processes will affect you directly and indirectly

Know how to best prepare yourself and your firm for these changing processes

Key learning objectives

Page 5: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Technology Compounding

Page 6: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Technology Compounding

CAD

BIM

Algorithmic Modeling

Generative Design

Interoperability

Hand Drawings

Robotic Construction

AI BIM

Internet of Things

Parametricsim

Photogrammetry

<-1950 1970 1980 20001960 2010 2020

Accelerating Growth inAEC Technology

Page 7: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

There will be haters…

Page 8: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Can a Robot Write a Symphony?

In Slate.com Chris Wilson states

“Cope has been writing software to

help him compose music for 30

years, and he long ago reached the

point where most people can't tell

the difference between real Bach

and the Bach-like compositions his

computer can produce. Audiences

have been moved to tears by

melodies created by algorithms”

Page 9: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Can a Robot turn a canvas into a beautiful masterpiece?Pindar Van Arman, a technology

artist and software engineer, has

built a robot that can paint art.

Page 10: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Can algorithms design a building? Can a Robot build a structure?

Page 11: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Data gathering Data Manipulation Data Optimization

Where we’ve been Where we are Where we are going

Bridging the Gap

Page 12: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

How Do I Know Where We Are Going?

It’s already happening…

A few more years before it is mainstream

Page 13: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Where Have We Been?

Page 14: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Hunters and [Data] Gathers

Page 15: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Hunting] Assessing | [Manually] Re-model

Page 16: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

I can only design a few options with the timeline and budget allocated

Page 17: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Data] Gathering

Page 18: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Static Modeling vs Parametricism and [Algorithmic] Modeling

Page 19: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Next step is [Co-Creation]

Image curtesy of Redshift

Page 20: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Using Data to [inform] buildings

Earliest signs of this in my own work

Rigid and not intuitive to edit Form

Page 21: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Using [Data] + [Algorithmic editors] to [inform] buildings

Algorithmic modeling much easier and intuitive to edit

Panels planar and Rationalized

Page 22: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

“Dynamo extends building information modeling with the

data and logic environment of a graphical algorithm editor”

Page 23: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Tool Building] Age…

Page 24: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Static Modeling vs [Algorithmic] Modeling

vs

Page 25: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Computer Assisted Craftsmanship

Page 26: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

Multiple Options created very quickly

Page 27: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

Algorithm created 2D template for fabrication

Algorithm numbered each template

Page 28: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

Page 29: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

Augmented Efficiency in Design

Page 30: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

Augment Efficiency in Documentation

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57

Page 31: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

Same labor cost whether straight or curved

Page 32: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Computer] Assisted [Craftsmanship]

CNC (Computer Numerical Control) Computer converts the design produced by Computer software into numbers for fabrication

HDR Architecture Design Credit

Page 33: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Greater Interoperability

Page 34: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Construction Waste

Excess building material destroyed = $

Page 35: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

[Data] Drops = [Data] Waste = $

Page 36: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

//: Data [Interoperability]

Parametric Office Proof of Concept

Page 37: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

//: Data [Interoperability]

Breckenridge Parking Garage

Page 38: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

//:Data [Interoperability]

Created Algorithmic model to replicate the mountains

Page 39: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

//: Data [Interoperability]

Algorithm pushes model into Revit as native adaptive compnents

Page 40: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM

Page 41: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Algorithmic Optimization Age

Page 42: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Integrated [Team]

Image curtesy of Redshift

Project Thesis Curtesy of Nate Holland

Page 43: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [Affinity]

Project Thesis Curtesy of Nate Holland

Page 44: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [Real Estate]

Project Thesis Curtesy of Nate Holland

Page 45: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [Footprint]

Project Thesis Curtesy of Nate Holland

Page 46: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [Solutions]

Project Thesis Curtesy of Nate Holland

Page 47: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [Benefit]

Project Thesis Curtesy of Nate Holland

Page 48: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

What about Optimization for Dynamo?

Page 49: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Optimization Algorithms Exist for [Dynamo] too

Page 50: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

The problem with algorithmic modeling is Intuitiveness (or lack thereof)

Page 51: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Option Engineering [Intuitive]

Project Fractal

Page 52: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Option Engineering [Intuitive] – Optimized Seating

Project Fractal

Page 53: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Task [Automation]

AI BIM will execute mundane tasks

Frees up Designer and General Contractor

Automates Reports

Page 54: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Task [Automation]

AI BIM will execute mundane tasks

Frees up Designer and General Contractor

Page 55: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [3D Coordination]

Future: Feed the computer the load requirements, room types, etc. and the computer algorithm autonomously designs, routes, and models the MEP information

Page 56: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimized [Structure]

Manual analysis and modeling is going away

Design-driven reinforcement calculation program for 3D cage modeling

Automates documentation production for reinforced concrete columns, beams and footings

Page 57: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM will process international codes

Page 58: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

AI BIM = Optimal [Daylighting]

Page 59: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Virtual Reality vs Mixed Reality

Page 60: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Virtual Reality/Mixed Reality

Virtual Reality and Mixed Reality is currently an either or technology

Heavy/Tethered

Page 61: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

One Headset

One pair of glasses that will give us an AR/VR experience

Light and Comfortable

Page 62: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

How will robots drastically change theconstruction industry?

Page 63: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

3D Print Roads with a “Road Printer”

Page 64: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Robotic Fabrication of Structures Zurich, Switzerland

Not 2D Path

40 Axis Robotic Array

Page 65: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

SAM (Semi Automatic Mason)

$500,000

Skilled Human=500/Day Max

SAM=800-1,200/Day

Page 66: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Fastbrick Robotics

Skilled Human=500/Day Max

Hadrian=1,000 Bricks/hour

Page 67: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

3D Printers leaving the office

Building on Site to Scale

Page 68: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

3D Printing Drones

Page 69: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

The IoT (Internet of Things)

Page 70: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

The internetworking of physical devices, vehicles (also referred to as "connected devices" and "smart devices"), buildings and other

items—embedded with electronics, software, sensors, actuators, and network connectivity that enable these objects to collect and

exchange data.

Page 71: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

IOT [Internet of Things]

Page 72: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Immersion and the [IoT]

Page 73: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

“With All This Automation, What Will We Do?”

Page 74: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Jobless Future?

Fast Food Workers

Writers

Legal Professionals

Architects?

Contractors?

Fabricators?

What about….

Page 75: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Jobless Future?

Fast Food Workers

Writers

Legal Professionals

Architects?

Contractors?

Fabricators?

What about….

Page 76: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

How to best prepare yourself and your firm for these changing processes?

Page 77: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

How to best prepare yourself?

Page 78: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

1.Buy a drone

2.Learn some code

3.Take a class on digital fabrication and robotics

4.Take your knowledge back to your firm and become the expert

5.Don’t wait for someone else to ask you

How to best prepare yourself and your firm?

Page 79: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Questions?

Page 80: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

© 2016 Autodesk© 2016 Autodesk

Please feel out Survey! Opportunity to win a $50 Visa Gift Card!

Email me at [email protected]

Page 81: AU2014 PowerPoint Presentation

Autodesk is a registered trademark of Autodesk, Inc., and/or its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in the USA and/or other countries. All other brand names, product names, or trademarks belong to their respective holders. Autodesk reserves the right to alter product and services offerings, and specifications and pricing at any time without notice, and is not responsible for typographical or graphical errors that may appear in this document. © 2016 Autodesk, Inc. All rights reserved.

© 2016 Autodesk. All rights reserved.