aurix™ 32-bit microcontrollers as the basis for adas
TRANSCRIPT
Infineon AURIX™ 32-bit microcontrollers as the basis for ADAS / Automated Driving Deutsche Bank AutoTech Conference San Francisco, 11 May 2017
Dr. Jürgen Rebel Corporate Vice President, Investor Relations
Market share trend
Infineon’s position in the automotive semiconductor universe
* Divestiture of NXP’s Standard Product business (“Nexperia”) closed on 16 Feb 2017; hence included in the 2016 ranking.
Source: Strategy Analytics, “Automotive Semiconductor Vendor Market Shares”, April 2017
Sensors
7.3%
7.3%
8.3%
Allegro
Mele…
NXP
Infin…
Bosch
Microcontrollers Power
5.7%
8.7%
9.7%
Microchip
Infineon
Texas Instr.
NXP
Renesas
5.7%
8.2%
9.2%
Bosch
NXP*
Infineon
7.4%
7.8%
9.8%
10.7%
14.0%
STMicro
Texas…
Renesas
Infineon
NXP*
Automotive semiconductors 2016 total market size: $30.2bn
– ADAS/AD
– Powertrain
– 24 / 77 GHz radar
– REAL3™ sensor
– xEV penetration – EPS – Lighting m
.s.
trend
– Infineon benefits disproportionately
from the two mega trends
– clean cars
– ADAS/AD
m.s
. tr
end
m.s
. tr
end
+0.3%-pt
+0.1
+0.6%-pt
+0.4%-pt
2 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
25.6%
13.4%
30.9%
27.0%
16.3%
12.5%
Connectivity/security
Key market trends significantly drive increasing semiconductor content per car
ADAS/AD Clean cars
› Advanced connectivity is driven by making the car part of the internet
› Connectivity must be secure
› ADAS and AD are critical
enabler to reduce the
number of fatalities and
serious injuries (“Vision
Zero”)
› To reach CO2 emission goals, the automotive industry has to focus on
a higher efficiency of the classic ICE, and
the electrification of the drivetrain (xEV)
ADAS/AD and clean cars will generate half of the 8% trendline growth of ATV
3 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
Ultrasonic Interior camera
V2X***
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4/5
≥ 1
Any next automation level requires more assistance systems and thus ECUs
≥ 2 ≥ 8
≥ 3 ≥ 6 ≥ 10 Radar
# of modules**
Others
Level of automation
* Source: VDA (German Association of the Automotive Industry), Society of Automotive Engineers ** Market assumption; *** See glossary
Ultrasonic Ultrasonic
Interior camera
Highway & Traffic Jam Assist Highway pilot Urban pilot / Robot Taxi
Valet Parking Parking assist
Application*
0 ≥ 1 1
Camera
# of modules**
Lidar
# of modules**
4 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
$40
$60 $100 $180
$140 $0
$50 $30 $400
$195
$165 $25
$240
$55 $680
ADAS/AD semi growth driven by radar and camera sensor modules over the next 5 years
Average semiconductor content per car by level of automation*
* Source: Strategy Analytics, IHS Markit, Infineon; ** e.g. radar includes µC BOM roughly estimated for around 10m vehicles in each level – Next Update planned in H2 2017
Level 2 (2020) Level 3 (~2025) Level 4/5 (2030+)
Sense Compute Actuate
Bill of material estimates include all type of semiconductors**
Radar
m
odule
s
Cam
era
m
odule
s
Tota
l
BO
M*
Actu
ato
rs
Sensor
Fusio
n
Lid
ar
m
odule
s
Lid
ar
m
odule
s
Radar
m
odule
s
Cam
era
m
odule
s
Tota
l
BO
M*
Actu
ato
rs
Sensor
Fusio
n
Tota
l
BO
M*
Sensor
Fusio
n
Lid
ar
m
odule
s
Radar
m
odule
s
Cam
era
m
odule
s
5 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
Tomorrow’s car system architecture will be much different from today
Today Tomorrow
Lid
ar
Cam
era
Radar
…
ADAS Domain
…
Connectivity Gateway
Data Fusion
Dynamics Control
Energy Management
Torque Control
…
Lighting
Theft protection
HVAC
Body & Comfort Domain
HMI
Entertainm.
Navigation
…
Infotainment Domain
Driving Domain
› “Democratic” structure: Systems are connected to one another
› In the future, systems will be clustered in domains and organized hierarchically
6 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
human acts
Introduction of central computers triggers demand for high-performance, fail operational microcontrollers (MCUs)
basic
car
functions
decis
ion m
akin
g
› temperature
› pressure
› position
› speed
› MOSFETs
› IGBTs
› power ICs
L3 / L4 / L5 vehicles L0 / L1 / L2 vehicles
› MCUs, e.g. AURIX™
classic ECU future ECU = classic ECU + higher performance
+ fail operational
+ secure
fail operational systems require redundancy in
› power switches, power supply
› sensors
› MCUs
central computer
camera
radar
lidar
GPS MCU (AURIX™)
CPU / GPU
central computer triggers car operations
car security is achieved through
› discrete security controller (OPTIGA™)
› integrated security modules in MCUs (AURIX™)
+
7 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
0 5 9
2016 2020 2025
total thereof L3+ cars
Demand for MCUs is driven by a rising average number of ECUs in the mid-range and central computing platforms
luxury/premium
mid-range
Light vehicle production
up to 20 MCUs
up to 110 MCUs
2 CPUs
+ 1 MCU
1-2 CPUs
+ 1 MCU
up to 60 MCUs
Source: Strategy Analytics, Infineon estimates
vehicle segments
0 CPU
0 MCU
[units m] [MCUs per car,
today / trend]
[CPU/MCUs per L3+ car]
0 0 6
2016 2020 2025
total thereof L3+ cars
0 0 0
2016 2020 2025
total thereof L3+ cars
10 12 14
71 77
17 19 21
65
ECU Central
Computing
8 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
economy/low-end
„slightly
down“
„up“
„same“
AURIX™ microcontroller complements CPU/GPU to make the central computer robust and fail operational
9 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
Pictures: Courtesy of Nvidia, Intel
Examples of central computing platforms
› ISO 26262 ASIL-D safety host monitoring operation of the data fusion ECU
› Safe and secure gateway to the vehicle network
› Fallback operation in case of a GPU/CPU fail
› Safe communication to actuator control units
› Data processing for applications (e.g. parking)
› Fusion of object data, deep learning algorithms
› Environmental model calculation (road, objects)
› Trajectory planning
› Modelling of driver behaviour
AURIX™ as real-time main controller or host controller
› AURIX™ is the market reference as host controller in central computing platforms
Functionality
Featured in leading OEM platforms
AURIX™ microcontroller is the safety controller of choice for current and upcoming data fusion platforms
High-profile Tier 1 customer base
+
SOP 2015 - 2016 SOP 2017 - 2018 SOP 2019 - 2020 SOP 2021 - 2022
? ?
› 2x Europe › 2x Europe
› 2x US
› 3x Europe
› 2x US
› 2 in discussion
› 4 in discussion
? ?
10 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
32-bit microcontrollers capture the lion share of $-opportunity in automotive applications
8-bit
8-bit
16-bit
16-bit
32-bit
32-bit
by unit by value
8-bit 16-bit 32-bit
› AURIX™ microcontrollers fit basically to all 32-bit use cases (except infotainment) and is clearly gaining market share in 32-bit automotive market.
Example:
A premium car with ~110 MCUs
839 824
1,464 1,204
3,570 5,116
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
8-bit 16-bit 32-bit 32-bit on CC
Source: Strategy Analytics, „Automotive Semiconductor Demand Forecast 2014 – 2023“, January 2017; Infineon estimates
CAGR(16-23) for 32-bit:
+5.3%
32-bit MCU market is the place to be
[USD m]
= 61% market
size
= 72% market
size
25%
30%
45% 25%
60%
11 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
in data fusion boxes
Infineon AURIX™ microcontroller family covers the majority of 32-bit use cases
Powertrain Chassis / Safety / ADAS / AD Body / advanced connectivity
engine management
transmission
starter generator
DC-DC converter
BEVs HEVs, PHEVs
power steering
vehicle stability control
domain control
airbag and safety
24 GHz radar 77 GHz radar
sensor fusion
advanced lighting
driver monitoring
chassis suspension
vision safe host controller
electric parking brake
connected gateway
advanced body control module
online control module
over-the-air update
infrastructure controller for V2V/V2X
battery management
onboard charger
ICE
xEVs
gro
wth
dri
ver
AU
RIX
™ u
se c
ases
› unit production
› xEV penetration
› ADAS/AD penetration
› evolution from L0 towards L5
› comfort penetration
› connectivity
12 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
Key takeaways
› The hierarchical system architecture of the car of the future will require an increasing number of high-performing and fail operational 32-bit microcontrollers
› The demand for microcontrollers will be driven mainly by a higher average number of ECUs in mid-range cars and on top central computing platforms for level 3+ beyond 2020
› Infineon AURIX™ family is the microcontroller of choice in more than 80% of current and upcoming data fusion platforms
› By 2023, about 72% of automotive MCU $-value will stem from 32-bit
› AURIX™ microcontrollers fit basically to all 32-bit use cases (except infotainment) and represent the most comprehensive portfolio in the industry
› Strong multi-billion-$ design-win pipeline drives revenue growth and continuous market share gains in automotive microcontrollers
13 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
ADAS*/AD* semi BoM* growth is driven by radar and camera sensor modules
Market penetration per level of automation
2015 up to 20m vehicles p.a.
2020 up to 10m vehicles p.a.
2035 up to 10m vehicles p.a.
L1 Assisted
L2 Partly automated
L3 Highly automated
L4 Fully automated
L5 Driverless
tomorrow
2025 up to 10m vehicles p.a.
2030 up to 10m vehicles p.a.
2015
Auto
mate
d d
rivin
g
AD
AS
*
* See glossary Source: IHS Markit, McKinsey, UBS, Infineon
No driver
temporary
15 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
The 5 levels of increased automation (VDA* definition)
* see Glossary
Source: VDA, BMW
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5
Assisted System assists longitudinal OR lateral movements
E. g.: Automatic Emergency Brake, Turning Assistant, Lane Keep Assist, Stop & Go
Partial Automation System performs longitudinal AND lateral driving task in defined use case
E. g.: Traffic Jam Assist (with steering intervention), Combination of Adaptive Cruise Control and Lane Keep Assist, Parking Assist
High Automation System performs longitudinal AND lateral driving task in defined use case, but gives back control when outside of defined parameters
E. g.: Highway Pilot
Amendments of current regulations are necessary (e.g. Vienna StVO, ECE-R79)
Permanent monitoring by the driver
Full Automation Driver can hand over entire task of driving to the system in specific use cases
E. g.: Urban Pilot, Valet Parking
Autonomous Driving/Driverless System can handle all driving situations. No Driver necessary from start to destination.
E. g.: Robot Taxi
System is driving, with more or less backup by the driver. In case of failure, the system must run for a certain time on a backup.
No driver
16 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
Infineon's product portfolio fosters revenue growth in ADAS/AD for the next decade
Today 2020 2025
SiGe* 77 GHz $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
SiGe* 24 GHz $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
RF CMOS $ $ $
Driver Monitoring
$ $ $ $ $
Front $ $ $ $ $
Rear/surround $
Others
Actuators $ $
Lidar $ $ $
Sensor fusion $ $ $ $
Sense Compute Actuate
$ $
17 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.
Glossary
› ADAS: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
› AD: Automated Driving
› AI: Artificial Intelligence
› BCM: Body Control Module
› CC: Central Computer
› CPU: Central Processing Unit
› ECU: Electronic Control Unit
› FOTA: Firmware Over-The-Air
› GPU: Graphics Processing Unit
› MCU: Microcontroller Unit
› SoC: System-on-Chip
› VDA: German Association of Automobile Manufacturers
› V2V: Vehicle-To-Vehicle
› V2X: Vehicle-To-Everything
18 2017-05-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2017. All rights reserved.