automated prediction
DESCRIPTION
Predictive AnalyticsTRANSCRIPT
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Automated Prediction
Perception, Law, and Policy
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Overview
• Author
• Introducing Automated Prediction
• The Case For AP
• Other Considerations & Challenges
• Take Aways
• Discussion
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Author
Dr. Tal Zarsky
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BIG DATAPredictive Analytics
Automated Prediction (AP)
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Automated Prediction (AP)
(Personal Information)
AP 3000
IN
OUTCRIME
PREDICTION
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Automated Prediction (AP)
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KEYWORD
IP ADDRESS WEBSITE
ASSOCIATION
PURCHASE
TARGET POOL
Probability
High
Automated Prediction (AP)
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War on Terror
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nctc.gov
-McKean, Virginia
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The Greater Good?
PrivacySafetyvs
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Cost & Efficiency
Human Driven Computer Driven
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Vast Amounts of Data
- Hard for humans to analyze- Easily analyzed by computers- Programmed by humans - Errors and Bias
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We Make Mistakes
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Hidden Biases
Values
Beliefs
Prejudice
Identity
Culture
Status
Emotion
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Equality & Fairness
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Take Aways
• AP will be hard to do right but the positives outweigh the negatives
• Good for some complex and costlyproblems - hopefully terrorism
• If done right, AP will increase equality & fairness
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Questions Comments
- Robot Fortune Teller London, England 1934