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Avianca Holdings S.A.2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
Disclaimer
The present document consolidates information from Avianca Holdings S.A. and its
subsidiaries, including unaudited financial figures, operational managerial
indicators, financial indicators and managerial projections of future performance,
in line with Avianca Holdings S.A. and its subsidiaries’ business plans. References
to future behaviors are indicative and do not constitute a guarantee of compliance
by the Company, its Stakeholders or directors. Unaudited accounting and financial
information and projections presented in this document are based on internal data
and calculations made by the Company, which may be subject to changes or
adjustments. Any change in the current economic conditions, the aviation industry,
fuel prices, international markets and external events, among others, may affect
the ongoing business results and future projections.
Avianca Holdings S.A. herein after Avianca Holdings and its subsidiaries warn
investors and potential investors that future projections are not a guarantee of
performance and that actual results may differ materially. Every investor or
potential investor will be responsible for investment decisions taken or not taken
as a result of his or her assessment of the information contained herein. Avianca
Holdings S.A. is not responsible for any fourth parties’ content. Avianca Holdings
may make changes and updates to the information contained herein.
The information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be
reproduced without the consent of Avianca Holdings S.A.
TransformingAVH
New Board of Directors and Management Team
Managing Director at Caoba CapitalTalento & Talante – Expert in labour strategy
Roberto Kriete
20+ years in Financial Sector, founder of LaFise
Previous CEO during transformational period (2005-15)
26+ years in airline industry, co-founded VivaColombia
25+ years as commercial lawyer in the US & Europe
Juan Emilio Posada
James P. Leshaw
Oscar Darío Morales
Álvaro Jaramillo
Rodrigo Salcedo
Sergio Michelsen
Richard Schifter
Jairo Burgos de la Espriella
Fabio Villegas
Roberto ZamoraSenior advisor at TPG Capital
Partner at Brigard & Urrutia since 1994
Previous Partner & Board President for Deloitte in Colombia
President of Banco de Colombia (1994-96)
35+ years in Airline Industry (TACA, Avianca, Volaris)
Anko van der Werff Adrian Neuhauser
Bo
ard
of
Dir
ec
tors
Ma
na
ge
me
nt
CEO CFO
• ~20 years of experience in airline industry
• Previously Chief Commercial Officer at
Aeromexico
• Senior executive roles at Aeromexico,
Qatar Airways and KLM
• ~20 years of experience in Investment
Banking, focused on Aviation with strong
experience in Latin America
• Senior roles at Credit Suisse, Deutsche
Bank, and Bank of America Merrill Lynch
New Management kicks off “Avianca 2021” strategic plan
Slogan “We are an airline first” Focus on core business Passenger, Cargo and Loyalty
VisionBuild Bogotá into a super-focused, highly profitable hub
Privileged geographic location for international connectivity Strong domestic market (21 million local PAX)
Driving Mantra
Profitable and cost-efficientwhile deleveraging
Focus on margin expansion
Fleet Network drives the fleet plan 10 E190, 10 A318, 4 A320, 12 Cessna and 2 ATR 42 SaleTarget fleet for end of year 2019 ~ 155 Aircraft
Stakeholders Support
Kingsland & United support
Stakeholder financing of up to USD 250 Million
Avianca 2021
Avianca advances on the execution of the Avianca 2021 strategic plan
• On June 25th Avianca commences negotiation with financial stakeholders‒ Deferral of lease payments for 3 months
‒ Extension of maturity for near term maturities (~6 to 9 months)
‒ Target deferral of ~ USD 270 million
‒ Realign covenants where necessary, to reflect reprofiling
‒ Day-to-Day operation of AVH unaffected
‒ Converstaions with stakeholders to date have been constucive
Liquidity Preservation
Bond update • Avianca launches Exchange Offer for its outstanding 2020 notes
- Any and all $550 million of existing 8.375% Senior Notes due May 2020 on a par for par basis
- New $550 million Notes coupon remains at 8.375% with maturity in May 2020 but are collateralized by Avianca Brand, certain other IP and equity interest in AC
- Secured Note will automatically convert into new Secured note (Same collateral) with a 9.000% Coupon and May 2023 maturity if and when reception of stakeholder financing of $ 250 million by United Airlines and Kingsland Holding
One-time events on 2Q results
Embraer 190 ($152.7M) + $8M- $15M*
A318 + A320 ($52.9M) + $90M - $100M*
One time EventsTransformation fees
Rolls RoyceAeromar
($80.0M) ($9.7M)
Total ($285.6M) $90M - $100M*
P&L Impact Net cash Impact
*Note: Expected cash inflows expected throughout the second half of 2019
ExecutiveSummary
2Q 2019
Executive Summary
- Load Factor of 81.8% for 2Q19
- 7.5 million transported passengers for 2Q19 +2.7%
- Lifemiles’ Loyalty Company program reaches approximately 9.2 million members and increased its active commercial partners (537 ), +49.6% vs. 2Q’18
Operating updates
- Avianca launches Exchange Offer for its outstanding 2020 notes
- The company successfully executes it’s Liquidity Preservation program
- US$ 1.12 Billion in Revenues in 2Q19; -6.9% YoY
- CASK ex-fuel1 reached 6.1 US¢ a 6.7% reduction vs 2Q18
- CASK1 reached 8.5 US¢ a 4.8% reduction vs 2Q18
Financials
Network - Cancelled Routes (+25): Lima-Mendoza, Bogota-Montevideo, Bogota-Chicago, Bogota-Boston, El Salvador-Boston and Guatemala-Chicago.
- 13 routes with decreased frequencies (Weekly Routes): Bogotá-Cartagena -7X and Bogotá-Pereira -10X (65X)
- Increased frequencies (+34, Weekly Routes): Aruba-Bogotá +3X (14X), Bogotá-Curazao+4X (11X), Bogotá-Ezeiza +7X (14X), Bogotá-Nueva York +7X (21X), Dallas-Salvador +2X (7X) , Newark-Salvador +2X (7X), Guatemala-Miami +3X (5X), Habana-Salvador +1X (7X), Washington-Salvador +5X (19X), Houston-Salvador +2X (7X), Lima-Santiago +7X (14X) and Salvador-San Francisco +2X (14X).
Executive Summary
(1) When indicated the figures are adjusted by the following one-time items related to the company's transformation plan: USD 285 million
Financial And
Operational Results
2Q 2019
11
Embraer 190
ATR 72/42
Airbus 330
Boeing 787
Airbus 330F
Airbus 300F
Boeing 787F
Out In
Executing on our
fleet plan2Q 2019
Airbus 320
118
2*
15
9
13
6
5
2
170Total Fleet
*Note: Avianca plans to phase out its Embraer Fleet, Avianca has signed an agreement to sell (4) A320 and (10) A318.
• 6 Embraer 190 (AOG), 13Cessna 208 and 2 ATR42(Sale of Sansa and LaCosteña)
• +A300F• -A300F (AOG)• +A330F (ex O6)
12
2Q RPKs – Millions 2Q Load Factor
2Q ASKs – Millions 2Q Yield - US¢
+4.1%-46 bps
+5.3%
Quarterly Full Year
9.037 10.346 10.655 11.093
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19
21.303 22.434
6M18 6M19
78,1%
82,0% 82,3% 81,8%82,9%
82,0%
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 6M18 6M19
11.575 12.621 12.953 13.562
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19
25.687
27.373
6M18 6M19
8,2 8,5 9,3
8,4 9,2
8,5
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 6M18 6M19
+4.7%+6.6%
ASK growth rate decelerates as Avianca shifts from a growth to profit focused business model
Quarterly Full Year Non-passanger Revenues EBIT/EBITDAR Margin RASK13
2017
2016
2Q Revenues – US millions 2Q EBITDAR – US millions
2Q CASK and CASK ex Fuel - US¢ 2Q EBIT – US millions
Cask(1) When indicated the figures are adjusted by the following one-time items related to the company's transformation plan: USD 285 million
Cask1 and Cask Ex Fuel1 decrease by 4.8% and 6.7% respectively
8,1 8,6
9,3
8,2
741 875 988 934
197 217
211 176
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19
9,2 8,3
1.960 1.904
408 356
6M18 6M19
38 63
50
-36
4,0%5,7% 4,2%
-3,2%
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19
151
-18
6,4%
-0,8%
6M18 6M19
178
212
187
116
19,0% 19,4%
15,6%
10,5%
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19
437
286 18,4%
12,7%
6M18 6M19
7,8 8,2 8,9
8,5 8,6 8,3
6,1 6,3 6,6 6,1 6,4 6,1
2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 6M18 6M19
14
Aircraft fuel Fees and other expenses
OPEX Focus: drivers for the second quarter
Maintenance and repairs
296,0
312,1
2Q18 2Q19
44,5
63,4
2Q18 2Q19
69,1
107,0
2Q18 2Q19
49,0
44,9
2Q18 2Q19
200,3
179,9
2Q18 2Q19
Passenger services Salaries, wages and benefitsAir traffic
+5.4% +42.5% +54.8%
-10.2%-5.7%-8.3%
70,8
66,8
2Q18 2Q19
Region
Domestic*
Intra Home
Markets1
Home Markets to
North America2
Home Markets to
South America3
Central America &
Caribbean4
Home Markets
to Europe
Total
15
2Q19 RPK Growth 2Q19 ASK Growth
*Domestic Market: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador 1 Local Intra-Markets: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, Salvador, Costa Rica, Guatemala; 2 From Local Markets to North América including México 3 From Colombia, Perú, Ecuador and Costa Rica to Bolivia, Chile, Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay, 4 Belize, Cuba Curazao, Republica Dominicana, Panamá, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
2Q19 Load Factor
79.6%
76.9%
85.1%
80.5%
77.1%
83.5%
RPK 4.1% ASK 4.7% Load Factor 81.8%
3,10%
1,00%
-4,42%
12,93%
8,52%
1,42%
4,58%
-0,92%
-7,83%
14,33%
9,54%
-2,25%
Avianca Holdings S.A. achieves a 81.8% Load Factor
Copa1.6%
16
1%
Intra-HomeMarkets
Home Markets To North America
Home Markets To South America
Home MarketsTo Spain
Colombia Domestic1 Central America
Domestic2
Source: Aeronáutica Civil, MIDT
1: Jun-19; 2: Jun-19, Excluding flights from an to Panama; *Domestic Market: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador; Local Intra-Markets: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, Salvador, Costa Rica, Guatemala; From Local Markets to North América including México 3 From Colombia, Perú, Ecuador and Costa Rica to Bolivia, Chile, Argentina, Brazil ,Uruguay and Venezuela, 4 Belize, Cuba Curazao, Republica Dominicana, Panamá, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Avianca52.3%
Latam18.7%
VivaCo15.1%
Satena4.5%
Easyfly6.5%
Others1.3%
65.6% 25.0%
30.2% 33.3%
Avianca61.3%
Copa35.9%
Others2.8%
Avianca’s market share is stable regardless of the Domestic Capacity reduction
Business Units
2Q 2019
18Source: Company.(1) On a per trip basis. (2) Includes consolidated revenues from the cargo operation in Mexico and Deprisa (Other Business Unit) (3) Includes bellies and excludes Colombia domestic operations. Includes commercial agreements with OceanAir Linhas Aereas, not included in official statistics.
(4) International Cargo – Aeronáutica Civil de Colombia (as of June 2019) (5) Miami-Dade Aviation Statistics, by airline group (as of June 2019)
Segment Overview Key Metrics (Cargo and Courier)
Market Share Colombia (2Q19)4 Market Share Miami (2Q19)5
▪ Cargo performance:
• Despite global air cargo markets shrinking for 6M19, Avianca
Cargo’s performance is similar to 6M18 numbers,
• The company has taken actions to minimize the fall in
revenues: cancellation of some alliances and directly
operating own fleet, among others
• The stability of Avianca Cargo's business in a year where global
market volumes have fallen significantly has required a
balance between mobilized volumes and tariff reductions in
relevant markets
RTK (MM)(3)
Revenue (US$MM)(2)ATK (MM) (3)
Load Factor
7.2%
-1.0%
Avianca Cargo: financial and operational results
154
143
2Q18 2Q19
617,9611,6
2018 LTM
+7.8%
645,2 695,6
2Q18 2Q19
2.487 2.593
2018 LTM
366,6 392,8
2Q18 2Q19
1.424 1.470
2018 LTM
56,82% 56,48%
2Q18 2Q19
57,3% 56,7%
2018 LTM
38,3%
9,3% 8,5%6,6% 4,9%
32,3%
AVH At las Latam Skylease Cargolux Others
14,0% 14,1% 13,7%11,0%
8,8%
5,2%
33,3%
At las Latam AVH UPS Amerijet American
Airlines
Others
19
• 2Q’19 gross billings decreased 15.2% vs. 2Q´18
• Excluding non-recurring impacts, commercial gross billings grew +4.9% vs. 2Q’18 (1)
• Approximately 9.2 million members, +10.7% vs. 2Q’18
• Active members in core markets increased +18.7% vs. 2Q’18
• 537 active commercial partners, +49.6% vs. 2Q’18
• Launched new co-branded credit card with Itau for Gold and Signature segments in Colombia
New Commercial Partners
COLCAMNAM
SAM
(2)
(1) When indicated the figures are adjusted by the following one-time items related to the company's transformation plan: USD 285 m
(2) Signed-up via Kaligo.
LifeMiles: Loyalty Company
Flight Plan 2019
2Q 2019 2019 OUTLOOK
PAX
ASK
LF
2.7%
4.7% 0.0% - 2.0%
81.8% 81.0% – 83.0%
-28.8% 4.0% – 6.0%From 5.5% – 7.5%
EBIT
EBIT 1
0.0% - 2.0%
-3.2%
(1) When indicated the figures are adjusted by the following one-time items related to the company's transformation plan: USD 285 million
22
In Summary
Enhance operational efficiency
Adjusted fleet plan will decelerate growth
Divestiture of non-core assets
Re-prioritization of capex investments
Avianca’s transformation is based on moving from a
growth to a profitability focused business model and
we started this process by executing key drivers:
Enhance operational efficiency
Divestiture of non-core assets
Re-prioritization of capex investments
Strengthen the capital structure
Further capacity reductions will drive margin
expansion going forward
Strengthen the capital structure
Thank YouContact Information:
Investor Relations Office
T: (57) 1 – 5877700
www.aviancaholdings.com