axa: uk & ireland · 2 definitions unless specifically indicated, figures given do not include...
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1
Cautionary statements concerning forward-looking statements
Certain statements contained herein are forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans or objectives (including statements herein with respect to AXA's Ambition 2012 project and the objectives, financial and other, associated with that project, and to the integration of Winterthur).
Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by numerous factors that could cause actual results and AXA’s plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking statements (or from past results). These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, the risk that the AXA and Winterthur businesses will not be integrated successfully, our inability to achieve anticipated synergies from the Winterthur acquisition, the risk of future catastrophic events (including possible future pandemic and/or weather-related catastrophic events and/or terrorist related incidents), economic and market developments, legislative developments, regulatory actions or investigations, as well as litigations and/or other proceedings.
Please refer to AXA’s Document de Référence for the year ended December 31, 2006 and Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2005, for a description of certain important factors, risks and uncertainties that may affect AXA’s business.
Given the inherently unpredictable and uncertain nature of these assumptions and factors, these estimates and projections should not be relied on as predictions of actual results, but should be viewed as estimates and projections based on assumptions which may or may not be correct or achieved. There can be no assurance that we will be able to meet our targets, including those with respect to AXA's Ambition 2012 project.
AXA undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information, future events or circumstances or otherwise.
2
Definitions
Unless specifically indicated, figures given do not include Winterthur which was acquired on 22 December 2006. Combined figures relating to AXA and Winterthur are unaudited.
Adjusted earnings, underlying earnings, Life & Saving EEV, Group EV and NBV are non-GAAP measures and as such are not audited, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies and should be read together with our GAAP measures. Management uses these non-GAAP measures as key indicators of performance in assessing AXA’s various businesses and believes that the presentation of these measures provides useful and important information to shareholders and investors as measures of AXA’s financial performance. For a reconciliation of underlying and adjusted earnings to net income see AXA press release dated February 22, 2007.
AXA Life & Savings EEV consists of the following elements: (i)Life & Savings Adjusted Net Assets Value (ANAV) which represents the tangible net assets. It is derived by aggregating the local regulatory (statutory) balance sheets of the life companies and reconcile with the Life & Savings IFRS shareholders’ equity (ii) Life & Savings Value of Inforce (VIF) which represents the discounted value of the local regulatory (statutory) profits projected over the entire future duration of existing liabilities.
Life & Savings New Business Value (NBV) is the value of the new business sold during the calendar year. The new business value includes both the initial cost (or strain) to sell new business and the future earnings and return of capital to the shareholder.
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Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
4
Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
5
The UK insurance market is the third largest in the world and has further growth potential
Source: Swiss Re Sigma No 5/2006
Growing stable economy
Greying affluent population
Savings and protection gap
Changing customer demands
Worldwide Combined Insurance Premium Income ($bn)
517
376
200154
92 9059 49 39 35
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
US
Japa
n
UK
Fran
ce Italy
Ger
man
y
Sou
th K
orea
PR
Chi
na
Taiw
an
Can
ada
Growth drivers
6
AXA UK and Ireland is a core part of the AXA Group…
2006 Revenues 2006 Underlying Earnings
18%
82%
7%
93%
24%
76%
27%
73%
Total AXA Group Life – EUR 2.3bn
Total AXA Group P&C – EUR 1.5bn
Total AXA Group Life APE – EUR 6.2bn
Total AXA Group P&C GWP – EUR 19.8bn
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…with solid positions in different market segments
6th 3rd
The 2nd to 6th
ranking within £100m APE
spread
Life Non-life
UK P&C Healthcare Ireland
4th
2nd SME` 2nd
Large risks are written by AXA
Corporate Solutions outside of AXA UK
entity
8
AXA UK has demonstrated growing momentum in Life…
+43%+44%£83mNBV
+21%+35%£1,036mAPE
05/04 growth06/05 growth2006
…although NBV margin at 8% still needs to be improved
+38%+39%£68mNBV+16%+38%£785mAPE
05/04 growth06/05 growth2006
Including Winterthur1
Excluding Winterthur
1 Figures not audited
9
AXA UK has also demonstrated growing momentum in Non-life…
-1.0 pts+0.2 pts96.5%Combined ratio
+1%1+7%£3,231mRevenues
05/04 growth06/05 growth2006
1 Excludes AXA direct business sold to RAC in 2004
…with a stable combined ratio
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AXA UK 2012 Ambition
Strategic Objectives
Financial Targets 2006-2012
1. To improve Life profitability
• £250m NBV (18% average growth p.a.)
• Return on EEV c.12%
2. To profitably grow Non-life
• 5 to 10% average revenue growth p.a.
• Stable combined ratio in range of 96-98%
1. To become the preferred company for our customers and employees
2. To become the top three in all the business segments in which we operate
3. To play an increasing role in distribution
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Our strategy is aligned with market drivers
1) Optimising distribution
2) Enriching customer and distribution proposition
3) Building an entrepreneurial organisation structure
4) Delivering an efficient operating model
AXA UK Strategic AgendaMarket Drivers
Fragmented distribution market
Pressure on manufacturer margins
Economic power is increasingly with those closer to the customer
Changing customer preferences
New business models emerging
12
• Acquire and develop distribution capabilities:
• Thinc Group
• Smart & Cook, Layton Blackham, Stuart Alexander
• AXA Sun Life Direct
• SME Direct
• Swiftcover (Internet distribution)
1) Optimised distribution
Actions Benefits• Bring AXA closer to the customer and ensure:
• client insight
• innovation
• access to distribution
• While capturing distribution margin
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2) Enriched customer and distribution proposition
Actions Benefits• Invest in technology and services that support
distribution:
• Wrap
• online underwriting tools
• Launch new At Retirement products
• Design new investment solution
• Expand the product offer in Non-life
• Strengthen brand values
• Add value to the customer with:
• more sophisticated solutions
• more powerful brand
• Capitalise on segment with strong footprint
• While improving manufacturing margin and positioning
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Care
Competence Reliability
Focus on brand values: positioning AXA as the ‘trusted market leader’
Trust
“Relevant expertise, offers and behaviours through understanding our customers”
“Consistently doing what we say we are going to
do, on time and well”
“Genuinely having the best interests of our customers at heart”
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3) Entrepreneurial organisation structure
Actions Benefits• Deliver strategic business unit structure
• Embed cultural change programme
• Improve:
• entrepreneurial behaviours and agility
• market focus
• profit awareness
• While capturing economies of scale
16
Strategic Business Unit (‘SBU’) structure
Focus on strategic business unit structure: increase market focus
Central control over risk management, capital allocation, brand management and performance management
SBU own proposition design, sales, marketing and service modelNon-lifeLife
Wealth management
Corporate pension Protection
Mature book Wrap
Personal Commercial
Ireland Health
Owned distribution
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Focus on cultural change programme: Creating a strong leadershipand customer-centric culture
To increase market focus and improve
employee engagement
Align remuneration structure with new
organisation
Transform the leadership behaviours
Improve employee advocacy
Intensive communication with
all employees
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4) Efficient operating model
Actions• Build competitive cost structure
• Benefit from dedicated management team for closed book
• Simplify IT architecture
• Deliver best in class claims management
• Optimise capital efficiency and investment return
Benefits• Increased profitability while improving:
• quality of service
• operational efficiency
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AXA UK has built the foundation to achieve its targets organically
• We believe that AXA UK can deliver its strategy without any major acquisitions
• We favour:
• widening our distribution reach, including bancassurance partnerships
• widening our product range and expertise with ‘bolt on’ capability
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Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
21
AXA 2006 UK Results1
• Non-life business well positioned with ROE of 17%
• Life business well positioned in terms of size and growth but key issue is profitability (8% NBV margin and 6% return on EEV)
• Owned distribution business is still in its infancy and will contribute positively to future earnings
1 Winterthur APE included for 2005 to show proportionate return
2004 2005 2006
Life P&C
AXA UK Underlying Earnings (£m)
CAGR +20%
+ 0.2%96.5%Group COR+6.1%£3.3bnLife EEV
+0.6pts18%Life NBV margin+ 44%1£83mLife NBV+ 16%£308mIFRS Earnings+ 7%£3,231mNon-life GWP
+35%1£1,036mLife APE% on 20052006
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AXA UK has a strong capital base and reserve position across allbusinesses
• ASL and SLAS among most capitalised companies
• Free Asset Ratios of respectively 19% and 14% (market average at 5.6%)
• Coverage ratios on various solvency basis over 200%
• ICG excess assets well above Solvency I
• Good development, particularly on long tail business
• Reserves to premium ratios (net of reinsurance) high compared to competitors at 120% for UK and 250% for Ireland
• Medium cohort for annuity business• Built in margin in reserves with lock-in
mechanism allowing absorption of shocks
Solvency Position Reserves
Life
P&C
* Source: Ernst & Young 2006 Capital and Solvency Flash report
*
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2012 Non-Life Ambition
Non-life Financial Levers
Financial Targets 2006-2012
To profitably grow Non-life
• 5 to 10% average revenue growth p.a.
• Stable combined ratio in range of 96-98%
1. Selective growth, notably into direct
2. Channel mix
3. Claims management and expense control
4. Build on Health and Irish market positions
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96.5%96.3%
97.3%
95%96%97%98%99%
100%
2004 2005 2006
2,990 3,019
3,231
2004 2005 2006
We are selectively pursuing profitable growth in our P&C business across UK and Ireland
Financial Performance
Combined Ratio 2004-2006 (%)2GWP 2004-2006 (£m)1
CAGR +3%
1 GWP excluding AXA Direct business sold to RAC in 20042 For combined Group Insurance businesses (P&C, Ireland, Healthcare)
25
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2004 2005 2006 2012Target
GW
P (£
m)
AXA Intermediary Swiftcover
2012 Private Motor ambition combines intermediary turnaround andSwiftcover expansion
Private Motor Performance
• AXA intermediary account declined sharply until 2004 due to portfolio cleansing and lack of scale
• Intermediary turnaround plan put in place in 2005 to grow to £300m GWP based on complete re-pricing, opening of underwriting window, rate optimisation, claims and process improvements
• Swiftcover to deliver £300m GWP
COR122%
COR112%
COR108%
2012 total Private Motor
COR 99%
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2012 Life Ambition
Life Financial Levers
To improve Life profitability
• £250m NBV (18% average growth p.a.), with a 12-15% NBV margin
• Return on EEV c.12%
1. Revenue growth
2. Product mix
3. Expense efficiency
4. Managing retention
5. Capital optimisation
Financial Targets 2006-2012
27
Life business has grown significantly over the past three years but NBV margin needs to be improved
1 Excluding Winterthur Growth 04-06 APE growth 20% and NBV 38%2 NBV margin excludes wholesale cash products in 2006
835841
2004 2005 2006
NBV (£m)CAGR +43% 1
AXA AXA Wholesale Cash products Winterthur
APE (£m)CAGR +27% 1 1,036
769638
2004 2005 2006
7% 9% 10%
4% 5% 6%NBV Margin2 (%)
2004 2005 2006
28
Moving beyond 12% NBV margin depends on our appetite for higher margin risk products
Financial levers to deliver core business improvement• Expense efficiency
• Selected growth in risk products
Increase appetite for risk participation
Mar
gin
5%
10%
15%
Current profitability Target
8%
15%
12%
Core business improvement
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Management actions will deliver a return on Life EEV of circa 12% in 2012
11-13%6%
• Major re-development of Life propositions largely delivered
(1%)(2%)Strategic discretionary investment
• Target £250m NBV4-5%2%New business
• Capital optimisation
• Increase investment return
• Financial reengineering
8-9%6%Expected
Drivers20122006
30
Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
31
We have built a scale business with a strong platform for profitable growth
AXA and Winterthur New Business, 2004-61
Combined strength
CAGR 27%
• Scale business with 7.9% market share
• Top 3 Wealth Management business
• Winterthur accelerates our strategies
• Open architecture focus and investment-led reputation
• Distribution to HNW clients through fee based advisers
• 5* service
• Well positioned to win in the emerging Wrap market
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2004 2005 2006
AP
E £
m
AXA Winterthur
1 Figures not audited
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The Winterthur integration will accelerate our strategies, diversify our distribution and increase productivity
• Run the AXA and Winterthur wealth management businesses in parallel, each maintaining its own brand and distribution segmentation proposition
• Corporate Pension businesses combined into ‘Best of Breed’ proposition
• Legacy books combined and managed for value
Our focus is on extracting strategic benefits –cost synergies (15% annualised cost savings by 2009) are a secondary focus
Key Decisions Made
33
24%
5% 3%
68%
Wealth Management Corporate Pensions Protection Annuity
Profitability will be improved by achieving higher margins in our core scale businesses and scale in higher margin segments
AXA Business Mix, FY 2006
Increase scale
Increase margins Increase
margins
34
Improving profitability in our UK Life business
Financial Levers Operational Levers
Enhancing core businesses
Moving along the
value chain
Broadening retirement
income offer
• Corporate Pensions• Protection• Wealth Management
• Wealth Management• Wrap• Advice
• Investment Guarantees• Annuities
1. Revenue growth
2. Product mix
3. Expense efficiency
4. Managing retention
5. Capital optimisation
35
Improving core businesses – Corporate Pensions
Large and Growing Market AXA’s Position
Corporate Pensions Market APE • 7.9% market share
• £6.9bn funds under management
• 61% of new scheme APE written on a nil commission basis
Corporate Pensions FuM
02468
2005 2006
£bn
AXA Winterthur
+24%
Source: ABI
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2005 2006
+35%
APE
£bn
36
• Deliver ‘Best of Breed’ Group Pension platform from integration with Winterthur
• Leverage refreshed individual SIPP platform to offer Group SIPP
• Target selected distributors – Employee Benefit Consultants, Corporate IFA
• Improve margins through:
• Rationalising legacy platforms (four to one)
• Risk management – pricing model based on scheme characteristics introduced in 2006
• Leveraging leading workplace marketing team
• Investing in self service administration
• Increasing proportion of nil commission/ trail commission business
Improving core businesses – Corporate Pensions
AXA’s Strategy
37
40%36%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2005 2006
AP
E £
000
Single tie Rest of market
Improving core businesses – Protection
Mature and Competitive Market Which Offers Stronger Margins AXA’s Position
• 4.6% market share
• Strong direct marketing offer
• Launched with IFA market in 2005
• Leading Critical Illness provider growing fast
• Sub-scale, but applications for IFA channel grew +65% YTD May
Best Life Insurance ProviderLife or Earlier Critical Illness
Life or Earlier Critical Illness (Level and Decreasing)
Protection Market
38
Improving core businesses – Protection
AXA’s StrategyInnovate to improve adviser efficiency:
• Point of sale solutions: ‘Menu Product’
• Tele-underwriting
• Increasing investment in e-trading
Flexible underwriting approach:
• 80% of cases accepted at standard terms
• Only 1.6% of applications declined
• Piloting non-disclosure guarantees
Further develop strength in business assurance
39
Improving core businesses – Wealth Management
Fast growing, highly intermediated market AXA’s Position
• 8.8% market share
• Leading offshore bond manufacturer
• Strong Pensions and Distribution bond heritage
• Strong self-invested heritage
• Benefit from strong Personal Pension business following A-Day
• Winterthur a complementary fit with AXA’s refreshed wealth management proposition
Wealth Management Market
Onshore and Offshore Bonds
Source: ABI
+36%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
APE
(£bn
)
2005 2006
40
Improving profitability in our UK Life business
Operational Levers
Enhancing core businesses
Moving along the
value chain
Broadening retirement
income offer
• Corporate Pensions• Protection• Wealth Management
• Wealth Management• Wrap• Advice
• Investment Guarantees• Annuities
Financial Levers
1. Revenue growth
2. Product mix
3. Expense efficiency
4. Managing retention
5. Capital optimisation
41
Management of the end to end value chain is key to enhancing profitability in Wealth Management
Investment Management
Product Design andAdministration
Distribution Management
ServicesAdvice and SalesTraditional
Evolution
Actions
PlatformsRevolution
Build investment office proposition
Target the AXA and Winterthur brands at separate distributor
segments
Leverage our platform experience to launch a full Wrap
platform
Build a scale advisory business which harnesses
value through Wrap
Advice and SalesInvestment Management
Advice and SalesDistribution
Management Services
Product Design andAdministration
Investment Management
42
The Investment Office will underpin Wrap, Advice and Wealth Management businesses
Winterthur’s expertise is an accelerator of AXA’s guided open architecture strategy
c30
Investment Office
Fund supermarket
Scale
Distinct sales team
c5Investment analyst resource
Bespoke solutions for distributors
Multi-manager offering1
Open architecture expertise
Current position
BenefitsInnovative investment solutions
Improve margin
More attractive to fund management partners
Help distributors to manage the complexities of open architecture
Launch date Q1 08
1 Multi-manager – creation of a new fund through either blending existing retail funds or through new segregated mandates to fund managers
Build investment office proposition
43
£0
£50
£100
£150
£200
£250
£300
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Wra
pped
Ass
ets
(£bn
)
The wrap market is expected to develop rapidly
Forecast growth over the next three years reaching £250bn assets under management
AXA Wrap platform will give us the opportunity to:
Help IFAs transform their business models to become more efficient, customer focused and capture the value of their customer base
Be a significant player as IFAs move towards a new Wrap model
Respond to the growth of mutual funds market
Maximise value from ownership of distribution
Source: Datamonitor
Leverage our platform experience to launch a full Wrap
platform
44
Our combined SIPP and offshore platform experience provides a strong foundation for Wrap
Self investment experience Offshore platform experience
• Over 27 years experience in the self invested pensions arena
• Funds under management:
• AXA self invested plans - £3.0 billion
• Winterthur SIPP – £2.0 billion
• Refreshed AXA SIPP launched July 2006
• Launch of wide range of retirement options under SIPP, including income drawdown enhancements, planned for Q4 2007
• Market leading provider (26% market share)
• £4.6 billion funds under management (31 Dec 2006)
• Full open architecture (over 10,000 funds)
• Full e-commerce capability. Not just a product, but a platform
Awards
Leverage our platform experience to launch a full Wrap
platform
45
Building on this strong foundation will enable AXA UK to succeed in the emerging Wrap market
• Partnerships with leading technology providers
Leverage our platform experience to launch a full Wrap
platform
Open Architecture
Business Support Services
AXA’s building blocks Why we will succeed
Building on experience learned from AXA’s significant Australian wrap business
• Recognised business consultancy practice supporting IFA transformation
Technology
• Winterthur fee-based HNW advisors • Thinc partnership• AXA Offshore platform distributors
TechnologyThe right IFA relationships
• Leveraging Investment Office
46
We are well advanced to launch our full Wrap proposition in 2008
Building
Pilot phase
Q2 2006Launch SIPP
platform
Q1 2007Wrap business
unit formed
Q4 2007Limited
functionality pilot
H1 2008Wrap
functionality pilot
2005Enhance offshore platform
2008 Full market
launch
Launching
Leverage our platform experience to launch a full Wrap
platform
47
AXA entered the independent advice segment of the value chain with the acquisition of Thinc Group in 2006
Key metrics for Advice
Thinc Group
c£300m
c£15bn
c3,000
2012
£1.5bnFuM
£44mRevenue
600Advisers
Today
Build a scale advisory business which harnesses
value through Wrap
• Top 15 IFA, corporate and private clients
• Choice of advice models
• Single tie, multi-tie, whole of market
• Employed or self employed
• Thinc national business ‘owns’ the clients, not its advisers
• Commenced journey to a trail commission model
Strategy
• To create a market leading trusted financial advice business
• Aggressive growth – organic and acquisition
• Convert to fee-based and trail commission models
• Integrate AXA’s tied advice network into Thinc
• AXA and Thinc work in partnership to develop wrap-enabled investment model
• Common front and back office platforms where appropriate
48
Improving profitability in our UK Life business
Operational Levers
Enhancing core businesses
Moving along the
value chain
Broadening retirement
income offer
• Corporate Pensions• Protection• Wealth Management
• Wealth Management• Wrap• Advice
• Investment Guarantees• Annuities
Financial Levers
1. Revenue growth
2. Product mix
3. Expense efficiency
4. Managing retention
5. Capital optimisation
49
Demographics will drive significant growth in the Retirement Income market
Wealth Accumulation phase
Transition phase
Retirement phase
• SIPP Core Strength
• IHT planning• Drawdown
Core Strength
• Guaranteed Income Riders• Impaired Annuity• Enhanced Annuity• Standard Annuity
Opportunity
50
We are broadening our range of retirement solutions and taking increased investment and longevity risk
Market leading offshore IHT planning - 26% share
IHT Planning
Market leading drawdown – 19% share
SIPP Drawdown Impaired/Enhanced Annuity
Market leading heavily impaired annuity – 25% share
CoreStrengths
Launched GMDB/GMWB guarantees - Q3 2006
Launch refreshed SIPP Drawdown with GMIB guarantees - Q3 2007
Enter impaired and enhanced annuity market – Q4 2007
Draw on our past Open Market Option experience to develop re-entry opportunities –2008/9
Expand annuity rangeExpand investment guarantees
Opportunities
51
Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
52
To profitably grow our Non-life business
Financial levers Operational Levers
1. Selective growth (notably into Direct)
2. Channel mix
3. Claims management and expense control
4. Build on Health and Irish market positions
1. Re-entry into direct motor
2. Electronic Trading
3. Advice
4. Claims and Service
53
£8bn £14bn£5bn£5bn£8bn£12bn
£19bn
£22bn£4bn
£4bn
£5bn
£1bn
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006 2012
£bn
UK
GA
AP
GW
P
Personal Direct Personal intermediaryPersonal affinity and banks Commercial DirectCommercial intermediary Healthcare
The UK P&C market is steadily growing in an evolving distribution dynamic mix
Sources: Synthesys, Datamonitor and AXA
£45bn
£63bn
Personal Lines CAGR 6%
Commercial LinesCAGR 6%
Healthcare CAGR 3%
• Growth: Both Personal Lines and Commercial Lines markets to grow steadily to 2012, while Healthcare growth remains inflationary
• Distribution mix: Personal Lines and Healthcare to move further toward Direct and Affinities. Commercial Lines Direct to increase, while Commercial and Healthcare Brokers are still consolidating
• UK underwriting cycle: Private Motor rates hardening in 2007. Property and Liability rates still depressed and not expected to harden until 2008
UK Market Growth 2006-2012: 6% CAGR Market Cycle 2006-2012
96%
5%38%24%37%
82%
18%18%40%45%
-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%
10%12%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Mar
ket r
ates
(per
cent
)
Private Motor Comm. Property Casualty
54
AXA has built a leadership position in the UK SME Market, which is being enhanced through further investment in Direct capabilities
Intermediated business• ‘Best in class’ auto-rated capabilities, underwriting
expertise and relationship management
• Market leading efficiency based on e-trading technology and connectivity with brokers
• AXA brokers to be leveraged through back office synergies and unique customer insight
Direct business• Market leading SME direct proposition, selling online, by
telephone, through Corporate Partnerships and our field force
• Ambitious technology and marketing investment programme to deliver 20% p.a. growth
Sources: Synthesys, Datamonitor and AXA. SME Market assumed to be 50% of total Commercial Market
AXA 2006 Market Share 15% and ranking 2nd in Commercial SME Market
Commercial casualty£342m31%
Commercial motor£162m15%
Commercial property£598m54%
Commercial lines
55
AXA is 7th in the market for Personal Lines despite having no direct capability since 2004
• Corporate partners: Leadership position in particular across financial services, retail and travel industries
• Non Motor products: AXA well positioned on Household, Travel, Creditor and Pet
• Private Motor: Plan in place to grow intermediary Motor book while addressing profitability
• Process efficiency: Operating model predominantly based on full cycle electronic trading
• Swiftcover acquisition: Bridges gap to grow to leadership position
AXA 2006 Market Share 3.9% and Position 7th
Creditor and other
£253m28%
Private Motor£212m23%
Travel £155m17%
Household£299m33%
Sources: Synthesys, Datamonitor and AXA
Share 2.4%
Position 9th
Share 2.9%
Position 10th
Share 3.6%
Position 6th
Share 26.7%
Position 1st
Personal lines
56
Swiftcover enables greater control over end customer and accelerated growth
• A fast growing, profitable model:
• 100k policies in force in 2006, to grow to 300k in 2007 and up to 800k by 2012
• Delivering long term combined ratio below 100%
• A differentiated proposition:
• Innovative, online only customer proposition
• Low cost business model with flexible IT platform
• Expert management team (ex Churchill)
• A partnership that will deliver synergies:
• IT platform and expertise
• Claims and underwriting
• Product proposition and business development
AXA Personal Lines’ Motor Distribution
Source: AXA Insurance
Personal lines
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Intermediary Corporate Partner Direct
Swiftcover Growth to deliver 20% CAGR
2007-12
Intermediated Channel CAGR8.9% 2007-12
57
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
AXA PPP AXA PPP and Denplan
Our strong Healthcare proposition and capabilities will be expanded to reinforce our leadership
• Number 2 UK PMI provider
• Largest dental capitation provider (c80% share)
• Individual segment: extension of customer proposition to lower cost products
• SME segment: leverage of acquired broker (SecureHealth) and infrastructure investment
• Large Corporate segment: expanding value chain to integrated health and wellbeing proposition
• International segment: strong growth supported by infrastructure investment
Annual growth rate in total subscriber numbers
3.2%100WPA
6.3%200SLH1
Movement 2004-2006
9.3%
22.3%1
42.2%
Market share 2005
724AXA PPP
290Norwich Union
1,335BUPA
API 2005£mCompany
1: Including Trust income AXA PPP market share is 24.5%Source: Laing & Buisson, Health & Care Cover Market Report 2006
Healthcare
58
In a softening market, AXA Ireland has delivered continued strong performance
• Number three in Property and Casualty Market and Number two in Core Motor insurance market in Ireland
• Focus on pricing discipline and growing scale in direct business to offset decline in intermediated business
• Strong brand leveraged through extension of customer proposition – Commercial non-motor/ Creditor/ Other financial protection
• Expansion of distribution reach through further development of branch network, affinities and online proposition
Irish Motor Market GWP
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
£m G
WP
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Percent
Total AXA Market share
Source: AXA
Ireland
59
Across our non life businesses we continue to invest in claims and service
• We are investing in enhancing the proposition
• Rehabilitation linking to AXA PPP
• Partnerships with third party providers
• Streamlining processes to reduce cycle times
• We are improving service proposition
• Improving core processes across the business
• Building on the excellent customer feedback scores in Ireland and AXA PPP
• Web enabling the value chain
• We are building a strong underlying foundation
• One platform for P&C across personal business across UK and Ireland
• One Web architecture
• One telephony platform
…Whilst indemnity savings and fraud benefits have continued to grow
60
• Background: Our acquired brokers control £400m of GWP and generate commission income of circa £80m from a comprehensive geographical footprint
• Acquisition platform: Our brokers give us an ideal platform for further broker consolidation
• Governance: Underwriting placement is independently managed but we will seek tactical single-tie opportunities
• Synergies: We will deliver operational synergies in back office processes, proposition development and customer insight
We are increasing our presence in Non life distribution
Stuart Alexander Offices
Layton Blackham Offices
Smart & Cook Offices
EdinburghGlasgow
Carlisle
Penrith
WelshpoolLudlow
Worcester
Bath
Bournemouth
Swindon
West Wickham
LondonChelmsford
Tonbridge
Norwich
Lincoln
Hull
Scarborough
Newcastle
Stockton-on-Tees
Harrogate
York
1716
31
15
28
29
32Northallerton
25 24
14
Grimsby2726Skipton
19
35Cleckheaton
Leeds18
23
Horwich21
12
13
6
5
22 Northampton
9 Milton Keynes
1 43430
11
8Farnham
10
33
32 Southampton
20
Coventry7
We have built the 2nd largest SME brokerage in the UK
61
Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
62
Efficient operating model
Financial Levers Operational Levers
2. Capital efficiency
1. Risk management
2. Capital management
3. Investment management
1. Life expense ratio
2. Back book management
3. P&C expense ratio
4. Claims management
5. Offshoring
1. Expense efficiency
63
• 15-20%1 room for improvement in distribution efficiencies:
• Proposition redeveloped
• Leveraging sales infrastructure
• 10-15%1 improvement in operational efficiencies:
• Systems rationalisation
• Improvement in operational processes
• Back book management focus
Financial impact
2% improvement in EEV (£100m)
2pts improvement in NBV margin
Expense efficiency will drive improvement in NBV margin and EEV growth
1: McKinsey – UK Life and Pensions Benchmarking 2006
0.3%
0.5%0.5%0.4%0.4%
2004 2005 2006 2012
15%
24%25%22%
18%
2004 2005 2006 2012
New Business Expense Ratio (APE)
Maintenance Expense Ratio (Reserves)
New business expense ratio including ASLD
Maintenance expense ratio is costs excluding new business
Winterthur included from 2006
64
• Back book consists of products not actively marketed anymore:
• 3m policies and 470 products
• Multiple platforms, mainly in-house administration
• £40bn FuM:
• Four With Profits funds (£24bn)
• Non Profit business (£4bn)
• Unit Linked business (£13bn)
Life expenses: focus on back book management
A new business unit to maximise value Action plan
• Focus on value through retention, cost management, product lifecycle and effective use of capital
• Renewed focus on retention through Customer Value Management (targeted activity)
• Further sustainable cost reduction (including a well established offshoring programme)
• Strategic options being reviewed
Limited strategic focus
Retention, Cost Management Value creation
Where we have been Where we are going
65
Efficiency savings of 2% pa will come from:
• Improving cost ratio trend for AXAI and AXA PPP through a combination of:
• more self service by customers and intermediaries
• leveraging the benefits of systems automation
• offshoring to our AXA Business Services operation in India
AXA Non-life expense ratio stabilising at right level
AXA Ireland increase 2005-6 due to 40% reduction in average premiums as a result of competitive pressure
Source: AXA accounts
Management expenses vs GWP (percent)
10%
11.1%11.9%
13%
16.9%
13.7%13%
15.0%
16.3%
11%
12.7%13.2%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
2004
2005
2006
2012
AXA I AXA IrelandAXA PPP Non-life
66
• Market leading leakage assessment processes and savings in UK
• Upper quartile fraud management in UK and Ireland1:
• Conversation management
• Systems flags
• Training
• AXA Ireland ranked 3rd by consumers for claims handling
• Market leading claims handling and medical procurement capability in Healthcare
Market leading claims management improvements supported by concrete action plans
1 Source: ABI
5.0%3.3%2.6%
1.5%
1.0%0.5%0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2012
Frau
d ra
te
AXA Fraud Savings (Recovery and Avoidance)
10.0%
7.0%4.5%
3.5% 3.3%2.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2012
Leak
age
rate
AXA claims leakage rate
AXA Fraud Management
Market average = 5%
1
Maximum = 8.5%
67
Offshoring is an opportunity to optimise processes and create cost advantage
Proportion of AXA UK Headcount Offshore
• Average savings of £15k per person have delivered £30m of annual value
• Operating model delivering strong service levels
0%
5%
10%
15%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
15% of staff work offshore in mature state
68
Strong risk management capabilities
Cont
rol p
rofita
bility
of g
rowt
h
Business enabler
Optimise balance sheet
Overview
• AXA UK has well developed risk-management capabilities that allows enhanced risk capacity
• Historically innovative eg orphan estate attribution in 2001
• AXA Group Risk Management capabilities rated Excellent by S&P
• Benefits from combining expertise in Life, P&C and Health insurance
Implications
• Profitability control
• Value creation/ risk adjusted profitability framework
• Product approval process
• Business Enabler
• E.g. investment guarantees
• Optimise balance sheet
• Capital management
• Asset liability management
• Financial restructuring
69
Capital Management – AXA UK actively manages its strong capital base
• Reinsurance arbitrage
• Self financing new business
• Dividends
• Self financing bolt on acquisitions or Group strategic assets
• Economic capital
• Pillar II - ICA / ICG
• Pillar I
• Business diversification
• Financial engineering e.g. attributed estate
• Life companies restructuring
Strong Capital Base
Ability to create value
Optimise capital
efficiency
70
A less conservative stance regarding acceptable levels of investment risk will drive an additional 75 – 100bps investment return
• Increased risk appetite
• Actively targeting illiquidity premium for certain asset classes
• Better diversification of investment returns being sought through wider asset base exposure.
• Fixed income portfolios above single A presently will move to single A when credit spreads improved
Target increase in Underlying Earnings of 15 to 20% from 2006 to 2012 and an impact of 1% on EEV growth p.a.
71
Today’s agenda
1 Strategic overview Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
6 Conclusion Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive
2 Financial review Philippe MasoGroup Finance Director
3 Life manufacturing and advisory strategy
Paul EvansCEO, AXA Life
5 Business efficiency Philippe Maso Group Finance Director
4 Non-life manufacturing and distribution strategy
Peter HubbardCEO, AXA Insurance
72
Conclusion
The UK market is an exciting opportunity for AXA
We have set ourselves challenging targets
We have a clear plan and a great team to achieve our ambition
We believe that AXA UK can deliver its strategy without any major acquisitions
We are fully engaged and confident!
75
AXA UK and Ireland organisational chart
Senior moves• Creation of the Marketing function with the appointment of
Oliver Mariee1 (internal to the AXA Group promotion)• Appointment of Sonia Wolsey-Cooper1 as Human Resources director
(internal to AXA UK promotion)• Appointment of Ian Pinnock1 as IT director (internal to AXA UK
promotion)• Appointment of Mike Kellard1 as Wealth Management director
(CEO of Winterthur)• Appointment of John Simmonds to Advice managing director • Chris Blackam, Stuart Reid and Paul Meehan brought on board
following the brokers acquisitions• Andrew Blowers brought on board following the acquisition of
Swiftcover
AXA UK & IrelandNicolas Moreau1
Finance - Philippe Maso1
Marketing and Communication – Olivier Mariee1
Information Technology – Ian Pinnock1
Business Risk – Ian Richardson1
HR – Sonia Wolsey-Cooper1
LifePaul Evans1
Ireland General InsuranceJohn O’Neill1
HealthcareKeith Gibbs1
UK General InsurancePeter Hubbard1
Wealth Management Personal lines
Advice Commercial lines
Protection Distribution
Wrap
Group Pension
Mature Book
1: Executive committee member
76
Executive members – Biographies
Nicolas Moreau was appointed to the Board in July 2006. He is Group Chief Executive of AXA UK and Ireland, and a member of the AXA Executive Committee.
Nicolas Moreau joined AXA in 1991 as Vice-President of the Finance Department and was appointed Senior Vice-President of the AXA Group Finance Department in 1994. In 1997 Nicolas Moreau joined AXA Investment Managers and in March 2000 he became Chief Operating Officer of AXA Investment Managers, and Vice-Chairman of AXA Rosenberg in January 2001. He also co-ordinated the private equity business as well as the relationship between AXA Investment Managers and the insurance companies of the AXA Group. In April 2002, he was promoted to Chief Executive of AXA Investment Managers and, following his appointment as Group Chief Executive of AXA UK, Nicolas Moreau became Non-Executive Chairman of the Board of AXA Investment Managers.
Nicolas Moreau is an ABI Board member and the Chairman of the ABI Health Commission.
Philippe Maso was appointed Group Finance Director of AXA UK in May 2003, responsible for finance, strategy, risk management and asset management. A member of the Board since June 2003, he is also a member of the AXA Executive Committee.
Previously, he was head of Group Corporate Finance and Risk Management for AXA in Paris. He joined the Group in 1997 following the merger with UAP.
He is a member of the Financial Regulation and Taxation Committee for the Association of British Insurers.
Phillipe Maso y Guell Rivet Group Finance Director, AXA UK
Nicolas MoreauGroup Chief Executive, AXA UK
77
Executive members – Biographies
Paul Evans was appointed Chief Executive of AXA Life in May 2003. Previously he was the Group Finance Director of AXA UK, responsible for finance, strategy, treasury and taxation.
Paul Evans joined AXA in January 2000 from PricewaterhouseCoopers and was appointed to the Board in November 2001. He is also a member of the AXA UK Executive Committee. Paul Evans is a member of the Association of British Insurers (ABI) Life Insurance Committee and Chairman of the West of England leadership team for Business in the Community.
Peter Hubbard was appointed to the Board in November 2001 and is Chief Executive of AXA Insurance.
He was previously Director, Strategy and Planning, UK Retail Banking at Lloyds TSB. Peter Hubbard is a member of the Association of British Insurers (ABI) General Insurance Council and Chairman of the ABI Property Committee.
Peter Hubbard Chief Executive Officer, AXA Insurance
Paul Evans Chief Executive Officer, AXA Life
78
Executive members – Biographies
Keith Gibbs was appointed to the AXA UK Board in February 2004. He is Chief Executive of AXA PPP healthcare being appointed in November 2001 and also has responsibility for the direct life business (AXA Sun Life Direct). He is also a member of the AXA UK Executive Committee.
He formerly held a wide range of senior positions at Sun Life of Canada, Sentinel Life, Citibank and Lloyds TSB.
John O’Neill was appointed to the Board in February 2004 and is Chief Executive of AXA Ireland (previously Guardian PMPA Insurance) and a member of the AXA UK Executive Committee.
He has worked for Guardian PMPA Insurance since 1990. His career also includes several years with Guardian Royal Exchange (GRE), Coyle Hamilton and AIB Insurance Services.
John O'NeillChief Executive Officer, AXA Ireland
Keith Gibbs Chief Executive Officer, AXA PPP healthcare
79
Executive members – Biographies
Mike Kellard joined Winterthur Life in 1999 before becoming CEO in June 2003. Mike Kellard was appointed to the Executive Committee of AXA UK on 22 December 2006 when AXA completed its acquisition of Winterthur Group. Mike Kellard is also responsible for implementing a new fund management proposition for AXA Life and Pensions.
Ian Richardson was appointed to the AXA UK Board as Group Business Risk Director in August 2004, responsible for Legal, Internal Audit, Compliance, Operational Risk and Company Secretarial matters.
Before then, he had been Group Company Secretary of AXA UK plc since its formation (as Sun Life and Provincial Holdings) in 1995. He remains a member of the AXA UK Executive Committee.
Ian Richardson is a Fellow of the Institute of Chartered Secretaries and Administrators (FCIS) and an Adviser to that Institute.
Ian RichardsonGroup Business Risk Director, AXA UK
Mike Kellard Chief Executive Officer, Winterthur Life
80
Executive members – Biographies
Sonia Wolsey-Cooper was appointed Group HR Director in 2006, following a four year period where she headed up the customer service division at AXA PPP healthcare.
Prior to joining AXA PPP healthcare in 2002, Sonia Wolsey-Cooper held various senior roles at Lloyds TSB Group including Executive Assistant to the Group Chief Executive, Head of Direct Insurance, Head of Direct Operations and Call Centre Manager.
Ian Pinnock was appointed Group Chief Information Officer of AXA UK in 2006, after having managed the AXA UK IT Shared Services.
Ian Pinnock started working in 1978 at Guardian Royal Exchange (GRE) in 1978, where he held a wide range of positions. He joined AXA when GRE was acquired in May 1999.
Ian PinnockGroup Chief Information Officer, AXA UK
Sonia Wolsey-CooperGroup HR Director, AXA UK
81
Executive members – Biographies
Olivier Mariee was appointed Group Marketing & Communication Director in 2006 from his role as Senior Vice President and Head of AXA Group customer care & distribution.
Olivier Mariee joined the AXA Group in 1992. He has worked in various companies of the AXA Group including AXA Investment Managers, AXA Japan and AXA Headquarters.
Olivier MarieeGroup Marketing & Communication Director