b the future of transportation melanie zauscher sio 209
TRANSCRIPT
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Future of Transportation Technologies
Maglev Bus Rapid Transport
Zero-Fare Transport Hasselt, Belgium Paris Bicycle Program
Shipping
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Introduction In developing countries,
demand for private vehicles is outpacing the supply of infrastructure
Global transport energy use is forecast to increase 2% per year
Goods transport uses 35% of all transport energy
Ribeiro, Kahn (2007) Transport and its Infrastructure. In Climate Change 2007: Mitigation, Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report
for IPCC. Cambridge University Press
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Introduction
Ribeiro, Kahn (2007) Transport and its Infrastructure. In Climate Change 2007: Mitigation, Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report
for IPCC. Cambridge University Press
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Maglev Trains Powered by electromagnetic force
not compatible with traditional train infrastructure
low energy consumption and maintenance
Potentially faster than traditional trains fastest recorded speed is 361 mph
Higher cost per mile, but can climb up 10% gradient making it economically feasible sometimes
James, Alan (2006) The Engineer. 293, 16
Yan, Luguang (2004) IEEE Trans on Applied Superconductivity. Vol. 14, No. 2
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Maglev Trains Only current high-speed commercial Maglev is in
Shanghai, China operational since 2003 18.6 miles to airport at 150 mph in 7.2 minutes
Work is underway to extend line 812 miles from Shanghai to Beijing only a 3-hour trip (half the distance between LA & SF)!
James, Alan (2006) “Magnetic Attraction”. The Engineer. 293, 16
Yan, Luguang (2004) IEEE Trans on Applied Superconductivity. Vol. 14, No. 2
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Bus Rapid Transit High-capacity buses running on dedicated lanes
convenient off-board payment collection buses are easy and quick to board service is frequent and reliable
BRT should be implemented in conjunction with other planning measures
Patankar, Vaishali (2007), J. Urban Plng. and Devel., Volume 133, Issue 2
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Bus Rapid Transit Lower capital and operating costs
Cost per mile comparison from LA: subway $258M light rail $44M BRT $24M
San Diego is preparing for BRT Escondido to Downtown via I-15 Fully completed in 2012, but in phases beginning 2008
Patankar, Vaishali (2007), J. Urban Plng. and Devel., Volume 133, Issue 2
http://www.sandag.cog.ca.us/index.asp?projectid=34&fuseaction=projects.detail
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Zero-Fare Transport Funded by other means than a transport fare
taxes or corporate sponsorships Ferries, buses, shuttles, bike programs Provider has incentives to:
reduce air pollution and congestion service their customers, employees, or students save $$ by not building or having to maintain bridges,
parking, and streets Examples
National parks, ski resorts, college campuses, downtown areas, and whole towns!
Olson, Dave (2007) The Tyee. “No Hassle Transit? Try Hasselt” 10/7/07
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Hasselt, Belgium Between 1987-1999, population rose 3%, but
number of cars 25% 70,000 residents and 300,000 commuters Improved bus system along with pedestrian and
bicycle infrastructure first Zero-fare started in 1997 Can borrow a bicycle, tandem, scooter,
wheelchair, stroller for free Saved millions of Euros on transportation
infrastructure costs
Olson, Dave (2007) The Tyee. “No Hassle Transit? Try Hasselt” 10/7/07
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Paris Bicycle Program Paris got the bikes in exchange for exclusive
rights to 1000+ billboards in the city For a weekly or yearly fee, users can ride bikes
for free up to 30 minutes Over 10,000 bikes in over 750 locations! In 2 months 3.7 million rides! Goal was to reduce air pollution and traffic Successful because this is one of several
modes of transit available in Paris
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=14429468
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Shipping ~90% of global merchandise
is transported by sea Because of the bottom line,
shipping companies are more conscious of energy efficiency
As economic growth and integration continues, shipping will continue to increase
Last unregulated source of air pollution
Ribeiro, Kahn (2007) Transport and its Infrastructure. In Climate Change 2007: Mitigation, Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report
for IPCC. Cambridge University Press
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Shipping
Eyring, V. (2004). Emissions from international shipping: 2 Impact of future technologies on scenarios until 2050. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol 110
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Port of LA Largest port in the country Have a 5 year plan to reduce 45% of air pollution
Replace or retrofit 16,000 trucks Alternative Maritime Power Program
plug-in to grid instead of running on diesel power when docked
available since 2004 and growing ships must be retrofitted to AMP specifications
Have a RPF out for zero emissions container mover systems
maglev blimp
http://www.portoflosangeles.org
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So, what will be the future of transportation?
Why do we prefer to buy something from across the world?
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Bonus: real or science fiction?
M200G volantor by Moller International
2 passenger Flies 10 feet off the
ground, avoiding FAA regulation
Up to 50 mph $90,000 to $125,000
Flying car
http://www.moller.com/files/M200_Production_starts.pdf