background report al-qaida’s fatal terrorism … report al-qaida’s fatal terrorism under osama...
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START Background Report © START, May 2012 1
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5
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1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Al-‐Qaida Terrorist A/acks by Year, 1998-‐2010
Source: Global Terrorism Database
BACKGROUND REPORT
Al-Qaida’s fatal terrorism under Osama bin Laden May 2, 2012, marks the first anniversary of the death of al-Qaida founder Osama bin Laden. Under his leadership, the terrorist organization was responsible for thousands of deaths and injuries. This report summarizes the terrorist activity of al-Qaida and its network of affiliates. T H E F A T A L T E R R O R S I M O F A L - Q A I D A Al-Qaida central1, under the direction of Osama bin Laden, was responsible for—or suspected to be responsible for—60 terrorist attacks around the world between 19982 and 2010, an average of six attacks per year of activity. These attacks resulted in the deaths of at least 3,625 individuals. In addition, more than 5,000 people were wounded in al-Qaida attacks. In 2009 and 2010, there were no attacks attributed to al-Qaida. Almost 3,000 people were killed in the al-Qaida attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
More than 600 individuals were killed in fatal al-Qaida attacks in:
• Afghanistan • Kenya • Pakistan • Saudi Arabia • Somalia • Tanzania • Tunisia • Turkey • Yemen
1 References in this report to “al-Qaida” refer to al-Qaida central, and not to their affiliates (al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula, al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb, al-Qaida in Iraq, and others). The figures reported here reflect recent work START has done to improve the accuracy of this disambiguation in the Global Terrorism Database. 2 Osama bin Laden and a nascent al-Qaida have also been loosely linked to terrorist attacks on hotels in Yemen in 1992, in which three people died, and the 1993 World Trade Center Bombing, in which six people died and more than 1,000 were injured. However, the 1998 African Embassies Bombings were the first attacks directly attributable to them.
Year
Al -Qaida Terrorism Fatal it ies
1998 235 2000 19 2001 2,996 2002 89 2003 111 2004 35 2005 29 2006 20 2007 50 2008 41 2009 0 2010 0 TOTAL 3,625
START Background Report © START, May 2012 2
al-Qaeda Central
Iraqi Jihadist
Chechens
Pakistani/Kashmiri
Palestinian/Lebanese
Iraqi Shia
Bangladesh
Ulster Loyalist
Corsican Separatist
Venezuelan Marxist
European Anarchist
Himalayan Maoist
European Marxist
Anti-Indian Ethnonationalist
Right-Wing Latin American
Latin AmericanMarxist
Mexican Marxists
Greek Marxist +
Anarchist +
Anti-Globalization
Turkish/Central AsianEuropean Ethnonationalist
Southeast Asian Marxist
FARC
ELN
GRAPO
Tupamaro RevolutionaryMovement Jan. 23
FLNCRHD
LVFUVF
CPI-M PWG
CPN-M
NSCN-IM
ULFA
NDFB
KYKL
PRA
Jamatul Mujahedin Bangladesh
AUC
RO-N17
PKK
DHKP-C
Black Star
InternationalSolidarity
Informal AnarchistFederation
Group of Carlo GiulianiGroup of Carlo Giuliani
ETA
IRA
MahdiArmy
Movsar Baryayev GangRiyad us-Saliheyn
Martyrs' Brigade
Abu Sayyaf Group
al-Qaeda Organization in the Land of the Two Rivers
Ansar al-Sunnah Army
Mujahideen Shura Council
Ansar al-Islam
al-Qaeda
GAI
EIJ
al-Fatah
HAMAS
PFLP
PIJ
Hezbollah
Armed IslamicGroup
Takfir wa Hijra
Asbat al-AnsarPULO
Moro Islamic Liberation Front(MILF)
Jemaah Islamiya (JI)
Taliban
Hizbul Mujahideen(HM)
Lashkar-e-Taiba(LeT)
Lashkar-e-Jhangvi(LeJ)
Lashkar-I-Omar
Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM)
Harakat ul-Mudjahidin (HuM)
Islamic GreatEastern RaidersFront
New People’sArmy (NPA)
C O M P A R I N G A L - Q A I D A W I T H O T H E R G R O U P S More than 600 other groups have been engaged in terrorism worldwide since 1998. From 1998 to 2008, al-Qaida was responsible for only 0.3 percent of more than 21,000 total terrorist attacks. However, al-Qaida was responsible for 5.4 percent of terrorism fatalities during this same period, indicative of the intensely deadly nature of al-Qaida operations and efforts. Al-Qaida’s operations were especially deadly even in comparison to other notorious, long-standing terrorist organizations:
• ETA, the Basque nationalist terrorist group in Spain, was responsible for approximately 820 deaths from 1972 to 2009. • The Irish Republican Army (IRA) was responsible for more than 1,800 fatalities dating back to 1970—less than half of
the number of people killed by al-Qaida. • The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) is responsible for nearly 5,000 terrorism fatalities in its history.
While FARC has imposed this bloodshed over the course of more than 30 years, al-Qaida’s casualties were concentrated in just a 10-year period.
A L - Q A I D A A S A N O D E O F D E A D L Y T E R R O R I S T O R G A N I Z A T I O N S Al-Qaida has also become a crucial “node” in a network of deadly terrorist organizations—some created in the hopes of replicating al-Qaida, others aligning with al-Qaida for ideological or practical reasons. Research by Victor Asal and R. Karl Rethemeyer at the University at Albany (SUNY) has identified 33 different terrorist organizations with direct links and alliances to al-Qaida. Several of these AQ-allies have adopted al-Qaida’s practice of trying to inflict mass casualties. Since 1998, there have been 482 incidents of mass-casualty terrorism—single events in which more than 25 people are killed. Al-Qaida and its affiliates have carr ied out more than 140 mass-casualty terrorism attacks—nearly one-third of all that occurred during this period. Together, this network with al-Qaida at the core is responsible for the deaths of thousands of civilians around the world.
Al-‐Qaida and Selected Affiliated Groups Number of Attacks
Number of Fatalities
Taliban 1779 4710 Al-‐Qaida 60 3625 Al-‐Qaida in Iraq 175 2544 Islamic State of Iraq (ISI) 174 1821 Tehrik-‐i-‐Taliban Pakistan (TTP) 130 1125 Al-‐Shabaab 156 614 Salafist Group for Preaching and Fighting (GSPC) 214 580 Al-‐Qaida in the Lands of the Islamic Maghreb (AQLIM) 140 598 Jemaah Islamiya (JI) 73 339 Al-‐Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) 56 234 Ansar al-‐Sunna 16 164 Ansar al-‐Islam 25 88
* This network map depicts al-‐Qaida at its peak and not in its current status.
START Background Report © START, May 2012 3
Mujahedeen Shura Council 8 67 Al-‐Qaida in Yemen 12 49 Al-‐Qaida Organization for Jihad in Sweden 1 0 Al-‐Qaida in Lebanon 1 0 Al-‐Qaida Network for Southwestern Khulna Division 2 0
ABOUT THIS REPORT
The data presented here are drawn from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD). The GTD contains information on more than 98,000 terrorist incidents that have occurred around the world from 1970 to 2010. For more information about the GTD, visit www.start.umd.edu/gtd. The GTD is a project of the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START). START aims to provide timely guidance on how to reduce the incidence of terrorism and disrupt terrorism networks, as well as enhance the resilience of society in the face of terrorist threats at home and abroad. Additional information about START is available at www.start.umd.edu.
The National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) is supported in part by the Science and Technology Directorate of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security through a Center of Excellence program based at the University of Maryland. START uses state-‐of-‐the-‐art theories, methods and data from the social and behavioral sciences to improve understanding of the origins, dynamics and social and psychological impacts of terrorism. For more information, contact START at [email protected] or visit www.start.umd.edu.