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1 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014 BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS 2014 ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING 20 MAY 2014 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC

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Page 1: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

1 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS 2014 ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

20 MAY 2014 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC

Page 2: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

2 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

DEFINITIONS & CAUTIONARY NOTE

Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves.

Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions.

Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-average pricing impact.

Resources plays: our use of the term ‘resources plays’ refers to tight, shale and coal bed methane oil and gas acreage.

The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Companies over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to “joint ventures” and companies over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. In this presentation, joint ventures and associates may also be referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2013 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward looking statements contained in this presentation and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this presentation that United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.

Page 3: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

3 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS

JORMA OLLILA CHAIRMAN ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC

Page 4: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

4 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

THE WORLD IN 2050

Rising energy demand, supply pressure, climate change

7 9 billion people, 75% living in cities

1 2 billion vehicles

Higher living standards means more energy use

Energy demand double 2000 levels…with lower CO2 emissions

Need to become twice as efficient

3 times more energy from renewable sources

THE WORLD EXPECTS:

Page 5: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

5 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

SHELL IN 2013

Shell produces 3% of world’s gas

Shell produces 2% of world’s oil OIL AND GAS PROVIDE 50% OF WORLDS ENERGY

CCS earnings: $17 billion

Taxes & royalties paid: $24.4 billion, a 51% tax rate

R&D: $1.3 billion

Social investment: $0.2 billion

Total capital investment: $46 billion

Dividends declared and buybacks: $16 billion

43,000 retail sites

Salaries: $16 billion

Collected $81 billion in sales tax for government

92,000 EMPLOYEES; RECRUITED ~1200 GRADUATES

Page 6: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

6 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

ENERGY IN 2050

Energy demand outlook

million boe/d

2000 2050

Energy demand doubling Gas demand +160% Short-term volatility in prices

Oil Gas Biomass Wind Coal Nuclear Other Renewables Solar

Shell activities

0

100

200

300

400

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Page 7: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

7 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

CLIMATE CHALLENGE

Future progress more difficult CCS key role in future

Natural Gas

Biofuels Energy Efficiency

Carbon Capture & Storage

Page 8: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

8 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

UNRELENTING FOCUS ON HSSE

‘Goal Zero’ on safety

Injuries – TRCF/million working hours Million working hours

400

500

600

700

800

900

0

1

2

3

4

5

'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

TRCF Working hours

Performance and transparency

Page 9: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

9 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

SUSTAINABILITY

www.shell.com/esg

Helping to shape a more sustainable energy future

Sharing wider benefits where we operate

Running a safe, efficient, responsible and profitable business

Page 10: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

10 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

TRANSPARENCY

Sustainability reporting

Revenue transparency

Nigeria Spills website

Oil sands performance report

Nigeria briefing notes

Carbon Disclosure Project

Sustainability report

1997 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Page 11: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

11 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

-15

0

15

30

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE COMPETITIVE POSITION

EPS on reported CCS basis

Earnings per share growth – 3 years % growth 2010-2013

Cash flow per share growth – 3 years

Total shareholder return – 3 years 2013 ROACE

ROACE: earnings on reported local GAAP basis

Shell Competitors 0

20

40

60

0%

20%

40%

60%

0%

10%

20%

% growth 2010-2013

% growth 2010-2013

Page 12: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

12 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS

BEN VAN BEURDEN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC

Page 13: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

13 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

EXECUTING A CONSISTENT, LONG-TERM STRATEGY

Unrelenting focus on HSSE

Technology, integration and scale

Disciplined capital investment by strategic theme

Growth in cash flow through-cycle

Competitive shareholder returns

Shearwater platform North Sea, UK

Page 14: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

14 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES

RESOURCES PLAYS

DEEP-WATER INTEGRATED GAS

UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM

INVESTMENT PRIORITIES + STRATEGIC INTENT

1 Iraq, Nigeria onshore (SPDC), Kazakhstan, heavy oil, Arctic

Engines Free cash flow businesses

Maintain competitiveness Asset integrity + selective growth Growth Priority Global leadership established

High-grading our rich opportunity set

Longer Term Major potential; managing non-technical risks

Slower pace + capital allocation

Credible, competitive, affordable Investment choices driven on a global thematic basis

1

Page 15: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

15 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

Changing emphasis in 2014

2014 PRIORITIES

Returns and cash flow

Competitive returns for shareholders

Take hard choices on new options

Increase asset sales

Reduce pace of growth investment

Major deep-water start-ups in 2014

Integrate 2013 acquisitions

Deliver new projects

Enhance our capital efficiency

Improve our financial performance

Page 16: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

16 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

IMPROVE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: RESPONDING TO NEW MARKET DYNAMICS

North America resources plays Oil Products

Geelong refinery, Australia Groundbirch, Canada

Priorities: Portfolio restructuring + potential write-downs Cost reduction + margin improvement Invest for financial resilience + selective growth

Page 17: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

17 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

ENHANCE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY MAKING OUR PLANS CREDIBLE, COMPETITIVE, AFFORDABLE

Resilience

Attr

activ

enes

s

Keep and grow

Fix or divest

Exit

Strong performance management

Increase asset sales

Page 18: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

18 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

Exploration + pre-FID

Key growth projects

Care + maintain

Smaller growth projects

0

10

20

30

40

INVESTMENT PRIORITIES

Organic capital investment 2014

Future opportunities

Resources plays

Deep-water

Integrated gas

Upstream engine

Downstream (incl. Corporate)

25% Preparing new options

30% Driving new upstream growth

45% Maintaining competitive cash generation

Longer term

Growth priorities

Engines

Credible, competitive, affordable Investment choices driven on a global thematic basis

$ billion

Page 19: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

19 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

DELIVER NEW PROJECTS: TOP 4 START-UPS 2014

Mars-B Started Q1

Gumusut-Kakap Subsea systems tie-in

completed. H2 ‘14 start-up

Cardamom Auger facility upgrades

ongoing. H2 ’14 start-up

Repsol LNG Transaction completed

Jan’14, integration ongoing

Gumusut-Kakap FPS, 135 kboe/d, Shell 33% Cardamom, 50 kboe/d, Shell 100%

Mars-B, 100 kboe/d, Shell 72%

Page 20: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

20 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

NIGERIA: SPDC JOINT VENTURE OVERVIEW

*SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis unless stated

2013 overview

Substantial increase in theft

NIMASA LNG blockade

Decision to sell assets in East onshore

16 kidnaps, no fatalities

Production impact of crude oil theft (SPDC)

k boe/day

Illegal theft and refining Niger Delta, 2013 0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Oct

-09

Jan-

10

Apr

-10

Jul-1

0

Oct

-10

Jan-

11

Apr

-11

Jul-1

1

Oct

-11

Jan-

12

Apr

-12

Jul-1

2

Oct

-12

Jan-

13

Apr

-13

Jul-1

3

Oct

-13

Oil theft allocated to SPDC Theft related deferment on export lines

Page 21: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

21 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

0

5

10

15

20

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

NIGERIA: SHELL ENVIRONMENTAL PERFORMANCE

All data on 100% basis

SPDC JV flare volumes

SPDC spills Thousand tonnes

Remediation # of spills sites*

Illegal tapping point at Ogidigben, 2013

*includes 125 sites from 1969-1993 in Ogoniland confirmed during decommissioning in 2013

All data on a Shell operated basis

Million tonnes hydrocarbon flared

volume of operational spills number of operational spills (RHS) volume of sabotage spills number of sabotage spills (RHS)

#

0

5

10

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

-83%

Sites requiring remediation Number of spills in year (all causes)

Page 22: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

22 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

Onshore portfolio

NIGERIA: SPDC FOOTPRINT REFOCUS

Portfolio development

2010 – 2012

Divested 8 OMLs

Proceeds $1.8bn (Shell)

Selective growth projects

2014+

Asset sales in Eastern Delta

Concentrate on gas value chain

Selected growth investment 2010-12 divestments

SPDC licenses

Gbaran Ubie Phase 2

TNPL

Selective growth

Forcados Yokri Integrated project

Southern Swamp Associated Gas

20 mi

Page 23: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

23 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GRONINGEN GAS – THE NETHERLANDS

NAM JV: 50% Shell, 50% Exxon

Groningen gas field operated by NAM (60%), Dutch state interest 40% (EBN)

Government proposals:

Restrict overall production (42.5bn m3 2014)

€1.2bn made available over 5 years

Includes continued preventative strengthening + repair

Groningen production and profit €bn bn m3

Profit Profit attributable to state Profit attributable to NAM Groningen volume (RHS)

10km

Locations with reduced production

Other production sites Source: Letter from the Minister for Economic Affairs, 5 February 2014

Page 24: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

24 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

SHELL ARCTIC & NEAR ARCTIC

CANADA

RUSSIA

KAZAKHSTAN

NORWAY

GREENLAND

UNITED STATES

SALYM

KASHAGAN

SAKHALIN

NORTH POLE

ORMEN LANGE

BAFFIN BAY

NIGLINTGAK

CHUKCHI

BEAUFORT

KANUMAS

NORWAY BARENTS

Alaska, Chukchi

Greenland, Baffin Bay

Norway, Ormen Lange

Russia, Sakhalin

Russia, Salym

Kazakhstan, Kashagan

Page 25: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

25 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

0

4

8

12

LEADING DIVIDEND RECORD

Competitive payout Dividend $ billion

2009 2010 2012 2011 2013 2014E

~4% rise in 2014 dividend 2013 buybacks, $5 billion

Shell Major IOC Competitors

Page 26: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

26 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

2014 PRIORITIES

Returns and cash flow

Competitive returns for shareholders

Take hard choices on new options

Increase asset sales

Reduce pace of growth investment

Major deep-water start-ups in 2014

Integrate 2013 acquisitions

Deliver new projects

Enhance our capital efficiency

Improve our financial performance

Page 27: BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS - s04.static-shell.com · considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 20 May 2014. Neither

27 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 20 May, 2014

BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS 2014 ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

20 MAY 2014 ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC