balle beganton - littoral 2010 (education centre)
TRANSCRIPT
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Managing the microbiologicalcontamination of the Thau
lagoon
SPICOSA study site SSA13 Thau lagoonJ. Ball-Bganton1, T. Laugier2, V. Derolez2, A. Fiandrino2,M. Lample5, R. Mongruel1, J. A. Prez Agndez1, A. Vanhoutte-Brunier1,
H. Rey-Valette3, F. Valette3 and G. Brocard4
1Ifremer, UMR Amure, Marine Economics Departement, BP70 F-29280 Plouzan2Ifremer, LER-LR, Environmental and Resource Laboratory, BP171 F-34203 Ste cedex3LAMETA, Universit de Montpellier 1,C.S. 79606 F-34960 Montpellier cedex 24SMBT, Syndicat Mixte du Bassin de Thau, Route de Ste, BP18 F-34540 Balaruc les Bains5UBO, UMR Amure, Marine Economics Departement, BP70 F-29280 Plouzan
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The Thau lagoon microbiological issue
Microbiological contamination
The lagoon sees its water quality strongly
impacted by a rapid demographic growth and by
an important seasonal influx due to tourism and
failures in the water treatment system,
leading to commercial bans for the shell fish
farming activity.
SSA13
The Thau Lagoon
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Local Management of the area
The local policy framework, which has been set up during the
preparation of the SCoT defines the general objectives of Thau
lagoon management :
Economic development, including tourism and thermalism
Environment preservation, including water quality andecosystems protection
The SAGE defines several specific objectives related to the
environment policy. One specific objective is the reduction of
microbiological contamination.
Maintaining the culturalpatrimony, including traditional
activities (shellfish farming, fisheries activities in the lagoon,
recreational activities).
Territorial Management Plan SCoT
Local Water Management Plan SAGE
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Stakeholder Involvement and Policy issue of the Thau Lagoonstudy site
ManagersScience
How and how farmitigate the microbiological contamination ofthe Thau Lagoon, taking into account local development needs ?
How can this objective of contamination mitigation can be
translated into operational management options ?
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Stakeholder Involvement and Policy issue of the Thau Lagoonstudy site
What technical improvement of the water treatment system
should be made in priority with the objective of:
Lagoon sanitary classificationA with an allowed number of commercial bans
Lagoon sanitary classification B with no commercial bans
Lagoon sanitary classification B with an allowed number of commercial bans
and what would be the cost ?
OMEGA-THAU
Assessment and hierarchy of
contamination sources andtheir impact on the lagoon,
and estimate the cost of
improving their treatment.
An integrated view and
model with the watertreatment system imbedded
in the regional economy and
impact analysis to the
shellfish farming industry.
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A system view of microbiological contamination of the lagoon
contamination
sources
lagoon
reputation
-+
Water policy:
quality improvement
-technical options
-operational objectives
Relationships depending onstrategic decisions of localmanagersThe model is built to explore the ecological and economic impacts of different
combinations of technical options and operational objectives. The strategic
decisions made by local managers should reflect social preferences.
-
+
water
treatmentsystem
efficiency
microbiological
contamination
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+
Climate:
rain & wind
Population
+ +
+ closures ofbeaches
lagoon sanitary
classification
bans of
shellfish sales
++
-
shellfish
farming
-
-
recreative
activities
External MEPP model
Regional
economy+
+
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The ExtendSim model
The model was developed using ExtendSim modelling software and
following a top-down Ecological-Social-Economical analysis.
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Watershed E.coli sources, flux treatment and transfer
Thau lagoon
E.Coli fluxes
at watershedoutlets
The model uses the detailed
database from the OMEGA-THAU
assessment to simulate for19
sub-catchments :
the watershed E.coli sources theirtreatment theiroutlet fluxes in the lagoon
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Microbiological contamination of the lagoon
Low S-SE winds100 m x 100 m grid10 level along verticaldirection
In the Thau lagoon, the IFREMER 3D
hydrodynamic model MARS (Model for
Applications at Regional Scale) has been
coupled to a biological model simulating
the transport, dispersion and mortality of
E.Coli cells in the lagoon waters.
This model has been used to simulatethe impact of E.Coli load discharge into
the lagoon by each local stream for
specific rain events. Calibration and
validation of this 3D model has been
achieved in the framework of the
OMEGA-THAU project.
Fiandrino, A., Martin,Y., Got, P., Bonnefont, J.L., Troussellier, M., Bacterial contamination of
Mediterranean coastal seawater as affected by riverine inputs: simulation approach appliedto a shellfish breeding area (Thau lagoon, France). Water Research, 37, 1711- 1722, 2003
N
S E
O
5
10
15
20
25
Waterflow-Pallas(m
3/s)
hour
C = 1913*[E.coli].100mL-1
Flux = Q * C
E.Coli load from a rain event
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Microbiological contamination of the lagoon
[E.coli] concentration at REMI
monitoring Station
The contribution of watershed outlets
fluxes to microbiological concentration
are additive and allowed us to usetransport functions to simulate the
impact of E.coli discharge at each REMI
monitoring station.
Daily E.coliload from eachwatershed outlet
For a fixed wind condition and a fixed meteorologicalcondition, the transfer function depends on 4 parameters
5
10
15
20
25
Waterflow
hour
E.Coli load from a rain
event
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Monitoring and commercial bans regulation
The lagoon sanitary
classification (currently B) gives
the allowed E.Coli concentration
thresholds at defined monitoring
stations.
For various lagoon sanitary
classifications (A or B), the model
simulates the occurrence of
commercial bans according to the
different water treatmentscenarios planned by local
agencies.
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Shellfish farming vulnerability
The model calculates two economic indicators for shellfish
farms:
The global revenue losses of companies potentially impacted by
commercial bans. The distribution of companies depending on theirdegree of
vulnerability to commercial closures. Vulnerability is a multi-factorial
status, which refers to the whole different shocks than individuals
may support depending on exposure, sensibility and coping
capacity.
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Regional economy
MEPP
EXTEND
0
Population
Specification of demographic scenariosaccording to the evolution of the regional
economy : successive 5 years runs
5 years
Shellfish farming development
and environmental amenities ,
according the most efficient
water treatment systems
Forcing variables
into EXTEND
Interactive use : calibration ofsuccessive complex 5-years scenarios
10 years 15 years 20 years
Partially constrained
trajectory of the
forcing variables
MEPP -EXTEND
INTERFACE
MEPP
EXTEND
0
Population
Specification of demographic scenariosaccording to the evolution of the regional
economy : successive 5 years runs
5 years
Shellfish farming development
and environmental amenities ,
according the most efficient
water treatment systems
Forcing variables
into EXTEND
Interactive use : calibration ofsuccessive complex 5-years scenarios
10 years 15 years 20 years
Partially constrained
trajectory of the
forcing variables
MEPP -EXTEND
INTERFACE
The regional economy dynamics
is represented using the outputs of
a Prospective Macro-EconomicModel (MEPP) developed by the
LAMETA under the Excel
software.
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Model status today
contamination
sources
lagoon
reputation
-+
Water policy:
quality improvement
-technical options
-operational objectives
Relationships depending onstrategic decisions of localmanagers
-
+
water
treatmentsystem
efficiency
microbiological
contamination
-
+
Climate:
rain & wind
Population
+ +
+ closures ofbeaches
lagoon sanitary
classification
bans of
shellfish sales
++
-
shellfish
farming
-
-
recreative
activities
External MEPP model
Regional
economy+
+
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Stakeholder Feedbacks
OMEGA-THAU
Assessment and hierarchy of
contamination sources and
their impact on the lagoon,
and estimate the cost of
improving their treatment.
Stakeholder feedback :
The cost to reach the
objectives are not
sustainable for the policy
makers. The project gives a
better view of priorities butdoes not offer a tool to test
the necessary compromises.
The managers expect from
the SPICOSA project a
decision support tool to test
the various options
diagnosed by OMEGA Thau.
This demands a highly
complex modelling tool to
test the cost/efficiency of all
the possible technical
options at the detailed scale
of towns and counties.
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System Approach Framework Process
A first SPICOSA SAF cycle hasbeen run. The SPICOSA-Thau
experiment has built the basis of anintegrated model that simulates the actualcontamination and commercial bans in the
lagoon and their short-terms impacts.
To answer broader concernsof local water management
bodies, the next cycle consists in:
However, it does not supply the localplanning agencies with a complete
decision support-tool for watertreatment management.
developing a tool able to testnew water treatment options
also for other pollution sources
integrating the dynamics ofshellfishfarming industry and regionaleconomy in order to reconcile
the SAGE and SCoT
E-S-E objectives.
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In conclusion
In the Thau lagoon study site, the dynamics of the lagoon allowed us to build
and use transfer function in the integrated Ecological-Social-Economical model.
But what if.
Opened question : Integrated model versus model integration
Thank you for your attention
SPICOSA
www.spicosa.eu
Johanna Ball-Bganton
Rmi Mongruel