balle beganton - littoral 2010 (education centre)

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    Managing the microbiologicalcontamination of the Thau

    lagoon

    SPICOSA study site SSA13 Thau lagoonJ. Ball-Bganton1, T. Laugier2, V. Derolez2, A. Fiandrino2,M. Lample5, R. Mongruel1, J. A. Prez Agndez1, A. Vanhoutte-Brunier1,

    H. Rey-Valette3, F. Valette3 and G. Brocard4

    1Ifremer, UMR Amure, Marine Economics Departement, BP70 F-29280 Plouzan2Ifremer, LER-LR, Environmental and Resource Laboratory, BP171 F-34203 Ste cedex3LAMETA, Universit de Montpellier 1,C.S. 79606 F-34960 Montpellier cedex 24SMBT, Syndicat Mixte du Bassin de Thau, Route de Ste, BP18 F-34540 Balaruc les Bains5UBO, UMR Amure, Marine Economics Departement, BP70 F-29280 Plouzan

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    The Thau lagoon microbiological issue

    Microbiological contamination

    The lagoon sees its water quality strongly

    impacted by a rapid demographic growth and by

    an important seasonal influx due to tourism and

    failures in the water treatment system,

    leading to commercial bans for the shell fish

    farming activity.

    SSA13

    The Thau Lagoon

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    Local Management of the area

    The local policy framework, which has been set up during the

    preparation of the SCoT defines the general objectives of Thau

    lagoon management :

    Economic development, including tourism and thermalism

    Environment preservation, including water quality andecosystems protection

    The SAGE defines several specific objectives related to the

    environment policy. One specific objective is the reduction of

    microbiological contamination.

    Maintaining the culturalpatrimony, including traditional

    activities (shellfish farming, fisheries activities in the lagoon,

    recreational activities).

    Territorial Management Plan SCoT

    Local Water Management Plan SAGE

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    Stakeholder Involvement and Policy issue of the Thau Lagoonstudy site

    ManagersScience

    How and how farmitigate the microbiological contamination ofthe Thau Lagoon, taking into account local development needs ?

    How can this objective of contamination mitigation can be

    translated into operational management options ?

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    Stakeholder Involvement and Policy issue of the Thau Lagoonstudy site

    What technical improvement of the water treatment system

    should be made in priority with the objective of:

    Lagoon sanitary classificationA with an allowed number of commercial bans

    Lagoon sanitary classification B with no commercial bans

    Lagoon sanitary classification B with an allowed number of commercial bans

    and what would be the cost ?

    OMEGA-THAU

    Assessment and hierarchy of

    contamination sources andtheir impact on the lagoon,

    and estimate the cost of

    improving their treatment.

    An integrated view and

    model with the watertreatment system imbedded

    in the regional economy and

    impact analysis to the

    shellfish farming industry.

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    A system view of microbiological contamination of the lagoon

    contamination

    sources

    lagoon

    reputation

    -+

    Water policy:

    quality improvement

    -technical options

    -operational objectives

    Relationships depending onstrategic decisions of localmanagersThe model is built to explore the ecological and economic impacts of different

    combinations of technical options and operational objectives. The strategic

    decisions made by local managers should reflect social preferences.

    -

    +

    water

    treatmentsystem

    efficiency

    microbiological

    contamination

    -

    +

    Climate:

    rain & wind

    Population

    + +

    + closures ofbeaches

    lagoon sanitary

    classification

    bans of

    shellfish sales

    ++

    -

    shellfish

    farming

    -

    -

    recreative

    activities

    External MEPP model

    Regional

    economy+

    +

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    The ExtendSim model

    The model was developed using ExtendSim modelling software and

    following a top-down Ecological-Social-Economical analysis.

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    Watershed E.coli sources, flux treatment and transfer

    Thau lagoon

    E.Coli fluxes

    at watershedoutlets

    The model uses the detailed

    database from the OMEGA-THAU

    assessment to simulate for19

    sub-catchments :

    the watershed E.coli sources theirtreatment theiroutlet fluxes in the lagoon

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    Microbiological contamination of the lagoon

    Low S-SE winds100 m x 100 m grid10 level along verticaldirection

    In the Thau lagoon, the IFREMER 3D

    hydrodynamic model MARS (Model for

    Applications at Regional Scale) has been

    coupled to a biological model simulating

    the transport, dispersion and mortality of

    E.Coli cells in the lagoon waters.

    This model has been used to simulatethe impact of E.Coli load discharge into

    the lagoon by each local stream for

    specific rain events. Calibration and

    validation of this 3D model has been

    achieved in the framework of the

    OMEGA-THAU project.

    Fiandrino, A., Martin,Y., Got, P., Bonnefont, J.L., Troussellier, M., Bacterial contamination of

    Mediterranean coastal seawater as affected by riverine inputs: simulation approach appliedto a shellfish breeding area (Thau lagoon, France). Water Research, 37, 1711- 1722, 2003

    N

    S E

    O

    5

    10

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    20

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    Waterflow-Pallas(m

    3/s)

    hour

    C = 1913*[E.coli].100mL-1

    Flux = Q * C

    E.Coli load from a rain event

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    Microbiological contamination of the lagoon

    [E.coli] concentration at REMI

    monitoring Station

    The contribution of watershed outlets

    fluxes to microbiological concentration

    are additive and allowed us to usetransport functions to simulate the

    impact of E.coli discharge at each REMI

    monitoring station.

    Daily E.coliload from eachwatershed outlet

    For a fixed wind condition and a fixed meteorologicalcondition, the transfer function depends on 4 parameters

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    Waterflow

    hour

    E.Coli load from a rain

    event

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    Monitoring and commercial bans regulation

    The lagoon sanitary

    classification (currently B) gives

    the allowed E.Coli concentration

    thresholds at defined monitoring

    stations.

    For various lagoon sanitary

    classifications (A or B), the model

    simulates the occurrence of

    commercial bans according to the

    different water treatmentscenarios planned by local

    agencies.

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    Shellfish farming vulnerability

    The model calculates two economic indicators for shellfish

    farms:

    The global revenue losses of companies potentially impacted by

    commercial bans. The distribution of companies depending on theirdegree of

    vulnerability to commercial closures. Vulnerability is a multi-factorial

    status, which refers to the whole different shocks than individuals

    may support depending on exposure, sensibility and coping

    capacity.

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    Regional economy

    MEPP

    EXTEND

    0

    Population

    Specification of demographic scenariosaccording to the evolution of the regional

    economy : successive 5 years runs

    5 years

    Shellfish farming development

    and environmental amenities ,

    according the most efficient

    water treatment systems

    Forcing variables

    into EXTEND

    Interactive use : calibration ofsuccessive complex 5-years scenarios

    10 years 15 years 20 years

    Partially constrained

    trajectory of the

    forcing variables

    MEPP -EXTEND

    INTERFACE

    MEPP

    EXTEND

    0

    Population

    Specification of demographic scenariosaccording to the evolution of the regional

    economy : successive 5 years runs

    5 years

    Shellfish farming development

    and environmental amenities ,

    according the most efficient

    water treatment systems

    Forcing variables

    into EXTEND

    Interactive use : calibration ofsuccessive complex 5-years scenarios

    10 years 15 years 20 years

    Partially constrained

    trajectory of the

    forcing variables

    MEPP -EXTEND

    INTERFACE

    The regional economy dynamics

    is represented using the outputs of

    a Prospective Macro-EconomicModel (MEPP) developed by the

    LAMETA under the Excel

    software.

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    Model status today

    contamination

    sources

    lagoon

    reputation

    -+

    Water policy:

    quality improvement

    -technical options

    -operational objectives

    Relationships depending onstrategic decisions of localmanagers

    -

    +

    water

    treatmentsystem

    efficiency

    microbiological

    contamination

    -

    +

    Climate:

    rain & wind

    Population

    + +

    + closures ofbeaches

    lagoon sanitary

    classification

    bans of

    shellfish sales

    ++

    -

    shellfish

    farming

    -

    -

    recreative

    activities

    External MEPP model

    Regional

    economy+

    +

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    Stakeholder Feedbacks

    OMEGA-THAU

    Assessment and hierarchy of

    contamination sources and

    their impact on the lagoon,

    and estimate the cost of

    improving their treatment.

    Stakeholder feedback :

    The cost to reach the

    objectives are not

    sustainable for the policy

    makers. The project gives a

    better view of priorities butdoes not offer a tool to test

    the necessary compromises.

    The managers expect from

    the SPICOSA project a

    decision support tool to test

    the various options

    diagnosed by OMEGA Thau.

    This demands a highly

    complex modelling tool to

    test the cost/efficiency of all

    the possible technical

    options at the detailed scale

    of towns and counties.

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    System Approach Framework Process

    A first SPICOSA SAF cycle hasbeen run. The SPICOSA-Thau

    experiment has built the basis of anintegrated model that simulates the actualcontamination and commercial bans in the

    lagoon and their short-terms impacts.

    To answer broader concernsof local water management

    bodies, the next cycle consists in:

    However, it does not supply the localplanning agencies with a complete

    decision support-tool for watertreatment management.

    developing a tool able to testnew water treatment options

    also for other pollution sources

    integrating the dynamics ofshellfishfarming industry and regionaleconomy in order to reconcile

    the SAGE and SCoT

    E-S-E objectives.

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    In conclusion

    In the Thau lagoon study site, the dynamics of the lagoon allowed us to build

    and use transfer function in the integrated Ecological-Social-Economical model.

    But what if.

    Opened question : Integrated model versus model integration

    Thank you for your attention

    SPICOSA

    www.spicosa.eu

    Johanna Ball-Bganton

    [email protected]

    Rmi Mongruel

    [email protected]