bank efficiency ataullan cockrill le
TRANSCRIPT
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Financial liberalization and bank efficiency:
a comparative analysis of India and
Pakistan
A L I A T A U L LA H * , T O N Y C O C K E R IL L and H A N G L Ey
Durham Business School, University of Durham, Mill Hill Lane,
Durham DH1 3LB, UK and yDepartment of Economics and Politics,
Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham, NG1 4BU
This paper provides a comparative analysis of the evolution of the technical
efficiency of commercial banks in India and Pakistan during 19881998, a periodcharacterized by far-reaching changes in the banking industry brought about by
financial liberalization. Data Envelopment Analysis is applied to two alternative
inputoutput specifications to measure technical efficiency, and to decompose
technical efficiency into its two components, pure technical efficiency and scale
efficiency. The consistency of the estimated efficiency scores are checked by examin-
ing their relationship with three traditional non-frontier measures of bank perfor-
mance. In addition, the relationship between bank size and technical efficiency is
examined. It is found that the overall technical efficiency of the banking industry of
both countries improved gradually over the years, especially after 1995. Unlike
public sector banks in India, public sector banks in Pakistan witnessed improvement
in scale efficiency only. It is also found that banks are relatively more efficient in
generating earning assets than in generating income. This is attributed to the
presence of high non-performing loans. In addition, it is found that the gap betweenthe pure technical efficiency of different size groups has declined over the years.
I . I N T R O D U C T I O N
After decades of excessive government regulations and
restrictions, the implementation of financial liberalization
has brought substantial changes in the banking sector of
developing countries: The sector has become relatively
less state-directed, more competitive, and open to foreign
banks and non-bank financial institutions.
1
While consid-erable research has gone into the macroeconomic impacts
of these changes, only a handful of studies have empirically
examined the impact of financial liberalization on the
efficiency of banks in developing countries. Until recently,
the empirical studies on the efficiency of banks have
primarily concentrated on the banking industry of devel-
oped countries, especially of the USA (see Berger and
Humphrey, 1997; Isik and Hassan, 2003). This paper con-
tributes to the burgeoning literature on the efficiency of
banks in developing countries by providing a comparative
analysis of the evolution of the technical efficiency of
commercial banks in two South Asian economies, namely
India and Pakistan, before and after the implementationof financial liberalization in the early 1990s.
Financial liberalization is an integral element of the on-
going Economic and Structural Reforms (ESRs) in India
and Pakistan (see Ahluwalia, 1999; Zaidi, 1999). Financial
liberalization includes, inter alia, a gradual deregulation
*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] See Fry (1995) for changes in the financial sector in developing countries after the implementation of financial liberalizationprogrammes.
Applied Economics ISSN 00036846 print/ISSN 14664283 online # 2004 Taylor & Francis Ltd 1915
http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals
DOI: 10.1080/000368404200068638
Applied Economics, 2004, 36, 19151924
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of interest rates and state-directed credit policies, reduction
in banks reserve requirements, entry of non-bank financial
institutions, reduced restrictions on entry and operations
of private (domestic and foreign) banks, and privatization
of public sector banks2 (see SBP, 2000; Arun and Turner,
2002). Prior to the financial liberalization, the governments
of India and Pakistan followed a policy of social control
that emphasized controlling banks operations eitherthrough state directives or through nationalization. In
India, the 14 largest commercial banks were nationalized
in 1969, and six more banks in 1980. In Pakistan, all
domestic private banks were nationalized and merged dur-
ing the mid 1970s to form five large public sector banks.
By the late 1980s, these nationalized banks controlled more
than 90% of the total deposits and the earning assets of the
banking industry (see SBP, 2000; Arun and Turner, 2002).
Operations of private sector banks, especially foreign
banks, were restricted to a few large cities only. In addition,
the governments stipulated lending targets to priority
sectors (e.g. agriculture), imposed low ceilings on interestrates on loans and deposits, directed public sector banks
to open branches in rural and semi-urban areas, and made
it mandatory for banks to hold government securities
in their asset portfolios in order to finance growing fiscal
deficits (see Sen and Vaidya, 1998; Zaidi, 1999). Under
this policy of social control, the governments determined
the direction and prices of financial services provided by the
banking industry; banks themselves had little control over
their inputs and outputs.
This policy of social control, though augmented
deposit mobilization and provision of loans to the prior-
ity sectors, resulted in a deterioration of banks profit-
ability and capital base and in an unsustainableaccumulation of non-performing loans in public sector
banks asset portfolios. In both countries, on average
the share of non-performing loans in total loans and
advances in public sector banks was above 20% (see
SBP, 2000; Arun and Turner, 2003). In this context, a
key objective of the financial liberalization of the early
1990s was to revive the banking industry by reducing
government regulations and restrictions, underpinning
on-site and off-site bank supervision, strengthening the
capital base of public sector banks, privatizing public
sector banks, and elevating competition through entry
of new foreign and domestic private banks. These meas-ures are expected to enable and encourage banks to
enhance their efficiency, i.e. their ability to transform
inputs into outputs, which, in turn, is expected to
enhance economic growth by increasing the volume of
funds intermediated in the economy.
Although some studies have examined the performance
of commercial banks in India, only a recent study
by Kumbhakar and Sarkar (2003), by using econometric
technique to measure the total factor productivity of
domestic banks, has analysed a time period long enough
to shed some light on the impact of financial liberalization.
In the case of Pakistan, only one study has measured
the efficiency of commercial banks by using aparametric Distribution Free Approach (DFA). These
studies are extended by employing non-parametric Data
Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to calculate the efficiency
of commercial banks in India and Pakistan before and
after the liberalization. Following Bauer et al. (1998), the
consistency of the DEA-based efficiency scores are checked
by examining their relationship with three traditional non-
frontier based performance indicators. In addition, the
relationship between size and the pure technical efficiency
of banks is examined.The comparative analysis of Indian
and Pakistani banking industries suggests that a similar
financial liberalization programme in two developing coun-
tries may lead to different outcomes in terms of its success
in fostering the technical efficiency of banks operating in
those countries.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. Section II
briefly reviews some recent studies on financial liberali-
zation and the efficiency and productivity of banks in
developing countries. Section III provides an overview
of the measurement of technical efficiency using DEA.
Section IV presents empirical findings. Section V concludes.
I I . F I NANCI AL L I B E RAL I Z AT I ON
AND T HE E F F I CI E NCY OF B ANKSI N DE VE L OP I NG COUNT RI E S
Although many developing countries initiated financial
liberalization in the early 1980s, only recently have a few
studies examined its impact on the efficiency and produc-
tivity of banks operating in these countries. These studies
postulate that financial liberalization enhances the effi-
ciency and productivity of banks by creating a competitive
and flexible environment in which banks have more control
over their operations. For example, financial liberalization
allows banks to set interest rates on their assets and liabil-
ities that were previously determined by the government.
The empirical evidence on the impact of financial liberal-ization on the efficiency of banks is mixed. Leightner and
Lovell (1998) measure the total factor productivity growth
of Thai banks during 19891994 to evaluate the financial
liberalization of the late 1980s. Using two alternative
inputoutput models, one based on commercial banks
2 During the sample period used in this study, the legislative changes in India allowed public sector banks to tap the capital market to theextent of 49% of their total capital (see Bhide et al., 2002). In Pakistan in contrast, a major portion of two public sector banks, MuslimCommercial Bank and Allied Bank of Pakistan, was sold to private investors (see SBP, 2000).
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objective to generate revenue and the other based on
central banks objective to intermediate funds, they
construct a Malmquist total factor productivity index for
Thai banks. Leightner and Lovell find that the productivity
of banks improved after the liberalization. Using a similar
approach, Gilbert and Wilson (1998) also find that finan-
cial liberalization in Korea had positive impacts on the
productivity of the Korean banking industry during theearly 1990s. In contrast, Hao et al. (2001) use a parametric
Stochastic Frontier Approach (SFA) to measure the
efficiency of Korean banks, and do not find any positive
relationship between the measured efficiency and financial
liberalization. Isik and Hassan (2003) employ DEA to
construct a Malmquist total factor productivity index for
Turkish banks during 19801990, and suggest that the
performance of banks improved after the implementation
of financial liberalization. In contrast, Yildirim (2002)
analyses the technical efficiency of Turkish banks between
1988 and 1999 using non-parametric DEA, and finds that
the Turkish banks did not achieve any sustained efficiencygains over the sample period.
Although some recent studies have measured the effi-
ciency of Indian banks, their analysis is restricted either
to the pre-liberalization period (see Bhattacharyya et al.,
1997) or to a single year in the post-liberalization period
(see Sathye, 2003). Only a recent study by Kumbhakar and
Sarkar (2003) investigates the impact of financial liberal-
ization by calculating growth in the total factor produc-
tivity (TFP) of 23 public sector banks and 27 private
domestic banks during 19851996 (their study excludes
foreign banks). Kumbhakar and Sarkar (2003) measure
TFP growth by estimating a translog cost function, and
decompose TFP growth into a technological change, ascale, and a miscellaneous component. They find consider-
able over-employment of labour in Indian banks and find
little evidence to suggest that the liberalization enhanced
the productivity of banks, especially that of public sector
banks. Kumbhakar and Sarkar suggest that public sector
banks in India have become too dominant to feel the
impact of changes in the economic environment brought
about by financial liberalization.
Hardy and de Patti (2001) examined the cost and
revenue efficiency of 33 banks in Pakistan during
19811998 by utilizing DFA. They find that during the
post-liberalization period, both costs and revenues ofbanks increased, and therefore conclude that the benefits
of improvements in revenue efficiency were transferred to
customers, e.g. borrowers and depositors. However, it is
submitted here that during the post-liberalization period,
the interest rate margin of the banking industry in Pakistan
increased considerably (see SBP, 2000). That is, banks
charged higher interest rates on their loans, but did not
transfer the higher rates to their depositors. Moreover,
there has been constant criticism in the domestic media
on the quality of services provided by Pakistani banks,
especially by public sector banks. Therefore, it may be
difficult to justify Hardy and de Pattis conclusion that
benefits of improvement in banks performance, if any,
were transferred to customers.
I I I . M E AS URE M E NT OF T E CHNI CAL
E F F I CI E NCY US I NG DE A
The technical efficiency of a firm refers to its success/
failure in transforming its inputs into outputs. It is a rela-
tive concept as its measurement requires a standard
of performance against which the success/failure of the
firm is assessed. Broadly speaking, the contemporary
empirical studies employ parametric or non-parametricfrontier techniques to measure the efficiency of firms rela-
tive to an estimated best-practice frontier that represents
the optimal utilization of resources (see Berger and Mester,
1997).3
The parametric approaches usually involve econometric
estimation of a prespecified stochastic production, cost
or profit function (see Bauer et al., 1998, pp. 9396). In
contrast, non-parametric DEA does not require the speci-
fication of a particular functional form for the frontier.
Instead, the production frontier is constructed through
a piecewise linear combination of the actual inputoutput
correspondence set that envelops the inputoutput corre-
spondence of all the firms in the sample (see Thanassoulis,2001). Hence, efficiency measurement is not contaminated
by a possible misspecification of the production function
(see Bauer et al., 1998). The main weakness of the DEA is
that measurement error and statistical noise are assumed
to be non-existent (Berger andMester, 1997; Yildirim, 2002).
In this paper DEA is employed for two reasons. First, as
discussed above, the existing studies have already employed
parametric techniques to investigate the impact of financial
liberalization on the performance of banks in India and
Pakistan. Therefore, it is pertinent to examine whether
the efficiency scores obtained through DEA calculation
support the conclusions reached by the existing studies.Second, as Bhattacharyya et al. (1997, p. 335) point out,
regulations and other market imperfections in developing
countries (especially decades of excessive regulation in
the banking industry) may distort input/output prices,
and, therefore, may complicate the measurement cost
and/or profit function using parametric approaches.
3 Parametric techniques are: Stochastic Frontier Approach, Distribution Free Approach, and Thick Frontier Approach. Non-parametricapproaches are: Data Envelopment Analysis, and Free Disposal Hull (see Bauer et al., 1998).
Financial liberalization and bank efficiency 1917
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A simple DEA model
Consider N decision-making units (DMUs) (commercial
banks in the present case) producing J outputs using
I inputs (see Thanassoulis, 2001 for details). To measure
the efficiency of a DMU, Charnes et al. (1978) proposed the
use of the maximum of the ratio of weighted outputs to
weighted inputs for that DMU, subject to the condition
that similar ratios for all other DMUs in the sample be
less than or equal to 1. Mathematically,
max eo
PJj1 w
ojy
ojPI
i1 voix
oi
1
subject toPJ
j1 uo
j yn
jPIi1 v
oix
ni
1 n 1, . . . , N
voi , uo
j ! 0 i 1,2, . . . , I; j 1,2, . . . , J
where y
n
j and x
n
i are positive known outputs and inputs,respectively, of the nth DMU, and voi, uo
j are the variable
weights to be determined by solving linear problem 1. The
DMU being measured is indicated by the index o. The
optimization is defined for every DMU in the sample. If
the efficiency score eo 1, the DMUo is 100% efficient
within the sample; otherwise it is DEA inefficient.
Charnes et al. (1978) transformed the above into the fol-
lowing linear programming problem:
max ho XJ
j1uoj y
oj 2
subject to
XIi1
voixoi 1X
Jj1
uoj ynj X
Ii1
voi xni 0
n 1, . . . , N voi ! " uo
j ! "
i 1,2, . . . , I j 1,2, . . . , J
" is an arbitrary small positive number introduced in the
above problem to ensure that all of the known inputs
and outputs have positive weights. When h 1, DMU
is DEA efficient; otherwise it is DEA inefficient with respect
to other DMUs in the sample. The problem is solved N
times to obtain an efficiency score for each DMU in the
sample. The DEA is carried out by assuming either
Constant Returns to Scale (CRS) or Variable Returns toScale (VRS). The estimation with these two assumptions
allows the overall technical efficiency (OTE) to be decom-
posed into two collectively exhaustive components: pure
technical efficiency (PTE) and scale efficiency (SE) (see
Thanassoulis, 2001). PTE refers to managers capability
to utilize firms given resources, while SE refers to exploit-
ing scale economies by operating at a point where the
production frontier exhibits constant returns to scale.
Inputoutput specification and data source
The first step in measuring efficiency using DEA is to
specify the inputs and outputs of banks.4 Following
Leightner and Lovell (1998) two different, albeit comple-
mentary, inputoutput models for banks in India and
Pakistan are specified: Model A (loan-based model) postu-
lates that banks incur operating and interest expenses to
produce loans and advances, and investments; Model B
(income-based model) postulates that banks incur operat-
ing and interest expenses to produce interest and non-
interest income. The analysis covers the period from 1988
to 1998. The sample includes all the commercial banks in
India and Pakistan for which data for at least three years
are available. This will allow, to some extent, one to seewhether the efficiency of a bank is due to the capability of
managers or due to some random factors that cannot be
controlled for in the DEA calculations. In the case of both
the countries, the commercial banks included in the sample
control over 95% of total assets, deposits, and loans of the
commercial banking industry. Data for commercial banks
in Pakistan are obtained from various issues of Banking
Statistics of Pakistan published annually by the State
Bank of Pakistan. In the case of India, data from 1990 to
1998 are obtained from the recently uploaded data set on
the website of the Reserve Bank of India,5 and data from
1988 and 1989 are obtained from various issues of
Financial Analysis of Banks published by the IndianBanks Association. Banks having zero recorded values
for one or more outputs or inputs variables in any year
are excluded from the sample for that year in recog-
nition of the fact that the DEA is sensitive to outliers
(see Yildirim, 2002, p. 2294).
I V . E M P I RI C A L F I N D I NG S
Trends in the efficiency of commercial banks
in India and Pakistan
Tables 1 and 2 present the average annual efficiency
scores of commercial banks in India and Pakistan, respec-
tively, using output-oriented DEA calculated separately for
4 In the case of banks, there is no agreement on the inputs and outputs. This disagreement is due to dual nature of some of the servicesthat banks provide. For example, bank deposits can be regarded as banks inputs as they are the main inputs for loan production. On theother hand, high value added deposits, like integrated saving and checking accounts, can be regarded as banks outputs. See, for example,Berger and Humphrey (1997) for various approaches to specify banks inputs and outputs, especially the intermediation approach andthe production approach.5 Website: http://www.rbi.org.in/annualdata/index.html
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Table 1. Technical efficiency of commercial banks in India
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1
Loan-based model (model A)OTE ABs 67.0 67.3 70.2 67.0 68.7 71.0 70.5 79.1 80.4 78.0 82.1 6
PSBs 73.3 75.1 75.5 75.5 78.3 76.9 73.7 79.5 80.4 82.7 83.2 7DPBs 63.1 62.9 67.9 61.7 67.2 61.9 68.1 75.8 74.7 76.1 79.5 6FBs 64.7 64.1 67.2 63.7 60.6 74.2 69.7 82.1 86.1 75.1 83.4 6
PTE ABs 85.0 84.8 87.2 84.8 88.3 88.3 83.1 88.6 88.8 88.4 91.4 8PSBs 89.2 90.2 93.0 90.6 92.1 91.9 90.3 92.5 92.8 93.5 94.8 9DPBs 81.3 83.6 85.2 80.9 89.8 85.0 76.6 87.3 82.5 82.7 87.2 8FBs 84.6 80.6 83.5 82.7 83.0 87.9 82.5 85.9 91.1 89.0 92.2 8
SE ABs 78.8 79.3 80.4 78.8 77.6 80.3 85.0 89.4 90.6 88.3 89.8 7PSBs 82.1 83.2 81.2 83.3 85.0 83.7 81.6 85.9 86.6 88.5 87.8 8DPBs 77.6 75.2 79.6 76.2 74.8 72.8 88.9 86.8 90.6 92.0 91.2 7FBs 76.5 79.5 80.5 77.0 73.0 84.4 84.5 95.6 94.5 84.4 90.5 7
Income-based model (model B)OTE ABs 58.0 58.2 59.3 60.6 59.6 60.5 62.6 67.9 65.6 69.4 71.6 5
PSBs 49.9 52.5 52.5 53.8 57.2 52.0 54.3 57.1 54.6 60.8 66.2 5DPBs 59.3 57.3 58.3 61.2 57.7 61.6 64.7 64.4 70.7 70.8 72.2 5FBs 64.9 64.7 67.0 66.9 63.8 68.0 68.8 82.3 71.4 76.7 76.5 6
PTE ABs 80.1 79.1 81.4 81.8 81.1 82.6 83.7 86.4 84.7 86.7 87.8 8PSBs 81.0 81.5 83.5 82.1 84.2 84.3 86.1 87.3 89.1 89.0 90.1 8DPBs 79.9 75.7 79.3 80.1 77.6 81.4 79.6 82.3 81.9 85.5 86.0 7FBs 79.4 80.2 81.4 83.1 81.4 82.0 85.5 89.6 83.0 85.5 87.4 8
SE ABs 72.5 73.6 72.9 74.1 73.5 73.4 75.0 78.5 77.9 80.3 81.6 7PSBs 61.6 64.4 62.9 65.5 67.9 61.7 63.1 65.4 61.3 68.3 73.5 6DPBs 74.2 75.8 73.5 76.3 74.3 75.7 81.3 78.3 86.3 82.8 83.9 7FBs 81.7 80.7 82.3 80.5 78.4 82.9 80.5 91.9 86.0 89.7 87.5 8
Note: AbsAll banks; PSBspublic sector banks; DPBs domestic private banks. Foreign Banks: OTE overall technical effi
SE scale efficiency. Figures in parentheses are standard deviations.
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Table 2. Technical efficiency of banks in Pakistan
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 19
Loan-based model (model A)OTE ABs 41.1 37.9 35.6 40.2 44.1 35.9 37.6 39.9 42.4 53.9 57.4 38
PSBs 38.5 33.5 34.4 38.4 32.5 28.4 25.5 33.5 41.7 45.7 48.6 36DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 48.2 36.7 42.5 46.4 45 55.8 59.7 nFBs 43.7 42.3 36.8 42 51.7 42.5 44.9 39.8 40.4 60.3 63.9 4
PTE ABs 88.1 88.9 86.7 86.9 76 68.1 74.8 71.3 73.3 77.9 80.1 87PSBs 92.6 93.2 91.2 89.5 84 78.5 86.1 75.4 74.1 76.7 78.1 9DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 65.3 51.5 56.6 58.5 65.5 70 72.6 nFBs 83.7 84.6 82.1 84.3 78.7 74.3 81.6 79.9 80.2 87 89.6 83
SE ABs 46.9 43 41.2 46.4 59.4 54.9 53.2 57.8 58.4 69.6 71.9 44PSBs 41.6 35.9 37.7 43 38.6 36.1 29.6 44.4 56.2 59.6 62.2 39DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 73.8 71.3 75.1 79.3 68.7 79.7 82.3 nFBs 52.2 50 44.8 49.8 65.7 57.2 55 49.8 50.4 69.3 71.2 49
Income-based model (model B)OTE ABs 45.8 51.7 46 47.4 52.6 52.8 48.4 56.9 63.8 64.4 65.6 47
PSBs 33 37.5 31.6 37.3 37.4 37.7 37.2 37.3 34.5 35.3 40.9 34DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 61.8 55.2 45.4 60.3 80.9 82.4 79.3 nFBs 58.5 66 60.3 57.5 58.8 65.4 62.6 73.1 75.9 75.5 76.6 60
PTE ABs 83.7 87.5 84.3 84.5 78.5 82 76.8 79.3 84.9 86.4 85.2 85PSBs 85.6 89.3 86.2 88.5 76.7 79.4 79.1 80.5 75.8 81.2 79.6 87DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 80.1 80.3 69.1 72.2 88.9 86.4 87.5 nFBs 81.9 85.7 82.4 80.6 78.7 86.2 82.1 85.1 89.9 91.5 88.4 82
SE ABs 55 59.5 54.9 56.7 66.8 64 63 71.9 73.6 73.8 76.2 56PSBs 38.6 42 36.6 42.1 48.7 47.5 47 46.3 45.5 43.4 51.4 39DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 77.1 68.7 65.7 83.5 91 95.4 90.6 nFBs 71.4 77 73.2 71.4 74.7 75.9 76.3 85.9 84.4 82.5 86.6 73
Note: ABsAll banks; PSBspublic sector banks; DPBs domestic private banks. Foreign banks: OTE overall technical effi
SE scale efficiency. Figures in parentheses are standard deviations. n.a. refers to the time period when domestic private banks w
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each country using annual frontiers.6 The banking industry
has been divided into three groups according to ownership:
public, foreign, and domestic private. The whole period
(i.e. 19881998) is divided into three subperiods: 1988
1991 refers to the pre-liberalization period, 19921994 is
considered as the transition period, and 19951998 repre-
sents the post-liberalization period when the liberali-
zation programme is expected to have some impact onthe efficiency of banks.
The banking industry in both the countries exhibits very
low OTE, and witnessed little improvement until 1995.
In the case of India, this is consistent with Kumbhakar
and Sarkars (2003) findings. In both the countries, the
major source of low OTE was low SE, which has not
been examined by the previous empirical studies on
Indian and Pakistan banking industry. The low level of
SE could be attributed to governments restrictions on
private banks to extend their operations, and governments
direction to public sector banks to extend their branch
network to rural and suburban areas. These policies hin-dered banks ability to exploit scale economies. The limited
improvement in OTE until 1995, it is submitted, suggests
that banks adapted slowly and cautiously to the changes
brought about by the liberalization (see Bhattacharyya
et al., 1997).
The average OTE of the Indian banking industry
improved from 67.9% (Model A) and 59.0% (Model B)
in the pre-liberalization period to 79.9% (Model A) and
68.6% (Model B) in the post-liberalization period. In case
of Pakistan, the OTE of the banking industry increased
from 38.6% (Model A) and 47.7% (Model B) in the pre-
liberalization period to 47.8% (Model A) and 62.6%
(Model B) in the post-liberalization period. Unlike inIndia, where improvement in the OTE was due to improve-
ment in both PTE and SE, the improvement in the OTE of
the banking industry in Pakistan was due only to improve-
ment in SE, especially after 19951996 when the govern-
ment allowed public sector banks to reduce the number of
employees and close unprofitable branches in rural areas.
In Model A, the average PTE of the banking industry in
Pakistan declined from 87.6% during the pre-liberalization
period to 75.6% during the post-liberalization period,
while in Model B PTE declined from 85.0% (pre-liberal-
ization) to 83.9% (post-liberalization). This decline in PTE
in the banking industry was due to a sharp decline in thePTE of public sector banks even when the PTE of foreign
banks and private domestic banks improved during
this period. The PTE of public sector banks declined
from 91.6% (Model A) and 87.4% (Model B) in the pre-
liberalization to 76.6% (Model A) and 79.3% (Model B)
in the post-liberalization period. It could be argued that,
unlike in India, the financial liberalization process in
Pakistan failed to encourage the managers of public sector
banks to utilize their resources more efficiently. This could
be due to the fact that although both the countries
followed a similar financial liberalization programme, the
economic environment in Pakistan was marred by high
political instability during the 1990s. This high political
instability could have undermined the Pakistani govern-ments commitment to the liberalization process, and,
therefore, failed to encourage public sector banks to
enhance their resource utilization.
Like Kumbhakar and Sarkar (2003), it is found that,
unlike private sector banks, public sector banks in both
India and Pakistan were relatively slow in improving
their efficiency over the years. Following Kumbhakar
and Sarkar, it is suggested that this group has become
too dominant (controlling more than 90% of the assets
of the banking industry) to feel any need to quickly trans-
form itself in the face of competition from smaller foreign
and private domestic banks. Also, public sector banks
huge non-performing loans and extensive branch-networks
might have made them inflexible even if they wanted
to adapt to the changing environment. However,
after 19951996, public sector banks exhibit more improve-
ment in their efficiency. This could be due to a slight inten-
sification of competition as a result of adopting new
financial technology (e.g. computerization of bank
branches and Automated Teller Machines) and the intro-
duction of new financial products (e.g. credit cards and
car financing schemes) by private banks, especially foreign
banks. Private sector banks, especially foreign banks,
in both the countries witnessed improvement in both
PTE and SE.
Non-performing loans and the gap between
the two inputoutput models
As non-performing loans (NPLs) are a major problem
for the banking industry in India and Pakistan, it is crucial
to examine their impact on the evolution of technical effi-
ciency. This could be achieved by using NPLs as another
input, usually non-discretionary, that banks use (see Berger
and Humphrey, 1997). However, as the bank-level data on
NPLs are not available for India and Pakistan, an attempt
is made to examine their impact by taking a closer look
at the difference between the efficiency scores obtainedfrom the two models, i.e. the loan-based model and the
income-based model. Model A postulates that banks pro-
duce loans, advances and investments with given resources,
while Model B postulates that banks produce income with
given resources. Consequently, the outputs of Model B
(income) depend primarily on the outputs of Model A
6 For DEA estimation, we use DEAP 2.1 is used, developed by Tim Coelli of the University of New England, Australia.
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(loans, advances and investments).7 However, if banks
are unable to enhance their income-based efficiency even
when they are able to improve their loan-based efficiency,
this could be due to the presence of high NPLs in their
portfolios.
In the case of Indian public sector banks, at the start of
financial liberalization in 19911992, the NPLs as a percen-
tage of total advances were around 24% (see Bhide et al.,
2002). This percentage, however, gradually declined to
16% in 19971998. The gap between the efficiency scores
obtained from two inputoutput models follows a similar
trend: during the early years, public sector banks were
much more efficient in generating loans, advances and
investments than in generating income. During the post-
liberalization era, however, this gap gradually declined.
In the case of the public sector banks in Pakistan, the
level of NPLs increased after the implementation of the
financial liberalization from around 18% of total advances
to around 26% (see SBP, 2000). The gap in the efficiencyscores of Pakistani public sector banks also increased over
the years. A similar gap between the efficiency scores of
private sector banks also exists in the two countries.
However, as the level of NPLs of private banks is much
lower than in the public sector banks, the gap between the
efficiency scores obtained from the two models is also
lower. This gap in the efficiency scores from the two models
may reflect the impact of the presence of high NPLs. That
is, over the years, the presence of NPLs impeded banks
ability to generate income even when they were relatively
more efficient in generating earning assets.8 It could be
argued that if the liberalization programme fails to enhance
the efficiency of banks to generate income from theirresources, it could, in the medium- and long-run, impede
their ability to intermediate between savers and borrowers
and to enhance the quality of their services, which, in turn,
may negatively influence the process of economic growth.
Consistency of the DEA efficiency scores
As suggested by Bauer et al. (1998), for the frontier-
based efficiency scores to be useful, the estimated scores
should be positively correlated with the traditional non-
frontier based measures of performance used by regulators,
managers, and industry consultants: Positive rank-order
correlations with these measures would give assurance
that the frontier measures are not simply artificial products
of the assumptions made regarding the underlying optimi-
sation concept (Bauer et al., 1998, p. 108). Table 3 presents
the Spearman Rank correlations between the PTE and SE
of the banking industry in India and Pakistan generated
by DEA and three non-frontier based measures of bank
performance, namely return on assets (ROA), total operat-
ing and interest cost per rupee of assets (TC/TA), and total
cost per rupee of revenue (TC/TR). The first measure is
expected to have a positive correlation with the frontier-
based efficiency scores, while the latter two are expected to
have a negative correlation. The results in Table 3 suggest
that most of the DEA-based efficiency scores are consistent
with the three non-frontier based performance measures.
Only in case of Pakistan, ROA is not consistent with the
loan-based PTE of banks. That is, there is an unexpected
negative correlation between loan-based PTE and ROA
of banks. This could be due to the increasing NPLs of
public sector banks in Pakistan, which suggests that evenwhen banks were becoming more efficient in generating
7 This is especially the case for the commercial banks in developing countries where, unlike in developed countries, fee income is very lowfor commercial banks, and banks rely on traditional loans and government securities for income.8 Another possible explanation for this gap between the efficiency scores obtained from the two models could be that banks transferredthe benefits of improvement in their efficiency to their customers because though banks produced more loans, advances and investments(i.e. intermediated more funds) with given inputs, they did not extract more income from this intermediation process. However,increasing interest margins in both the countries, coupled with constant criticism in the domestic media about the quality of customerservices provided by banks, especially public sector banks, may cast some doubt on this interpretation.
Table 3. Correlation between frontier and non-frontier based measures
India Pakistan
Model A Model B Model A Model B
PTE SE PTE SE PTE SE PTE SE
ROA 0.075* 0.035* 0.304** 0.050* 0.014* 0.002 0.015** 0.094*
TC/TA 0.166* 0.060** 0.088* 0.046 0.019* 0.032** 0.096 0.032TC/TR 0.075** 0.055 0.321** 0.095** 0.099** 0.055* 0.264** 0.072**
Note: PTEpure technical efficiency; SE scale efficiency; ROA return on assets; TC/TA total costs/total assets;TC/TR total costs/total revenue.*Spearman Rank Correlation is statistically significant at 5% level.**Spearman Rank Correlation is statistically significant at 1% level.
1922 A. Ataullah et al.
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loans and advances, the profitability of banks (i.e. their
ROA) was deteriorating.
Bank size and pure technical efficiency
The evidence on the relationship between size and PTE of
banks is mixed. For example, in the context of Singaporeanbanking sector, Leong and Dollery (2002) find that larger
banks, due to complexity of their operations, exhibit higher
inefficiencies. In contrast, Yildirim (2002) find a positive rela-
tionship between size and PTE of Turkish banks. This posi-
tive relationship is attributed to larger banks market power
and their ability to diversify credit risk in an uncertain
macroeconomic environment. Berger and Humphrey (1997)
also find a positive relationship between size and efficiency
for the US banking industry.
To examine the relationship between size and PTE,
the banking industry in India and Pakistan was divided
into four quartiles according to their size, where the size
of each bank is determined by the total assets of that bankas a percentage of the total assets of the whole commercial
banking industry. Figure 1 presents the evolution of PTE
of different size groups. The figure suggests that in both the
countries, during the pre-liberalization period, the largest
banks outperformed the smaller ones. However, over the
years, the gap between the largest group and other groups
declined, and in case of Pakistan, the gap virtually disap-
peared. The catching-up of smaller banks could be due
to their higher flexibility, which allowed them to adapt
to changes in the banking industry brought about by
the financial liberalization programme. In contrast, the
declining efficiency of the largest group, which primarilyconstitute public sector banks, could be due to their
complex and politically-determined bureaucratic organi-
zational structure that impeded their ability to keep up
with smaller private domestic and foreign banks, which
were quicker to adopt new financial technology
(e.g. Automated Teller Machines) and to introduce new
financial products (e.g. car financing and credit cards)
(see SBP, 2000; RBI, various issues).
V . C O N C L U S I O N
This paper provides a comparative analysis of the evolu-
tion of the technical efficiency of the banking industry in
India and Pakistan before and after the implementation
of the financial liberalization programme of the early
1990s. Using non-parametric DEA, it is found that the
India
Model A Model B
Model A Model B
0
25
50
75
100
0
25
50
75
100
Pakistan
%E
fficiency
%E
fficiency
%E
fficiency
%E
fficiency
0
25
50
75
100
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
Year
Year Year
0
25
50
75
100
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 19981988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
Year
Largest 2nd Quartile
3rd Quartile Smallest
Fig. 1. PTE scores by size quartile for commercial banks
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overall technical efficiency of the banking industry
improved following the financial liberalization, especially
after 19951996. In the case of India, efficiency increased
due to improvement in both pure technical efficiency
and scale efficiency. In Pakistan, however, the increase in
overall technical efficiency was due primarily to an
improvement in scale efficiency.
The results suggest that the efficiency of commercialbanks is much higher in Model A, which uses earning
assets as outputs, than in Model B, which uses income
as output. This gap in efficiency scores obtained from the
two models could be due to the presence of high non-
performing loans in the asset portfolios of banks in the
two countries. It is argued that even when banks are
becoming more efficient in increasing the quantity of
loans, advances and investments, this efficiency is not
being translated into higher efficiency in generating income.
The results also suggest that the implementation of the
financial liberalization closed the efficiency gap between
large and small banks.
The results suggest that there is still room for improve-
ment in the efficiency of banks in both the countries. A major
problem, however, is the presence of high non-performing
loans. It should be noted that in developing countries the
non-performing loans accumulate not only due to the inef-
fectiveness of banks managers but also due to other factors,
such as economic downturns, politicians, pressure on banks,
managers to provide loans to clients who may not have
economically viable projects, or the weakness of legal sys-
tem to support the recovery of non-performing loans (see,
e.g. Bhide et al., 2002 for the limited success of Debt
Recovery Tribunals in India). A step forward for the liberal-
ization programme, therefore, is not only to deregulateinterest rates and enhance the level of competition but also
to strengthen the institutional structure to support good
practices in the banking industry.
ACKNOW L E DGE M E NT S
Helpful comments by Canan Yildirim and the participants
of the 4th Annual International Economics and Finance
Society Conference, London 2003, are gratefully acknowl-
edged. The usual disclaimer applies.
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