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    Financial liberalization and bank efficiency:

    a comparative analysis of India and

    Pakistan

    A L I A T A U L LA H * , T O N Y C O C K E R IL L and H A N G L Ey

    Durham Business School, University of Durham, Mill Hill Lane,

    Durham DH1 3LB, UK and yDepartment of Economics and Politics,

    Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham, NG1 4BU

    This paper provides a comparative analysis of the evolution of the technical

    efficiency of commercial banks in India and Pakistan during 19881998, a periodcharacterized by far-reaching changes in the banking industry brought about by

    financial liberalization. Data Envelopment Analysis is applied to two alternative

    inputoutput specifications to measure technical efficiency, and to decompose

    technical efficiency into its two components, pure technical efficiency and scale

    efficiency. The consistency of the estimated efficiency scores are checked by examin-

    ing their relationship with three traditional non-frontier measures of bank perfor-

    mance. In addition, the relationship between bank size and technical efficiency is

    examined. It is found that the overall technical efficiency of the banking industry of

    both countries improved gradually over the years, especially after 1995. Unlike

    public sector banks in India, public sector banks in Pakistan witnessed improvement

    in scale efficiency only. It is also found that banks are relatively more efficient in

    generating earning assets than in generating income. This is attributed to the

    presence of high non-performing loans. In addition, it is found that the gap betweenthe pure technical efficiency of different size groups has declined over the years.

    I . I N T R O D U C T I O N

    After decades of excessive government regulations and

    restrictions, the implementation of financial liberalization

    has brought substantial changes in the banking sector of

    developing countries: The sector has become relatively

    less state-directed, more competitive, and open to foreign

    banks and non-bank financial institutions.

    1

    While consid-erable research has gone into the macroeconomic impacts

    of these changes, only a handful of studies have empirically

    examined the impact of financial liberalization on the

    efficiency of banks in developing countries. Until recently,

    the empirical studies on the efficiency of banks have

    primarily concentrated on the banking industry of devel-

    oped countries, especially of the USA (see Berger and

    Humphrey, 1997; Isik and Hassan, 2003). This paper con-

    tributes to the burgeoning literature on the efficiency of

    banks in developing countries by providing a comparative

    analysis of the evolution of the technical efficiency of

    commercial banks in two South Asian economies, namely

    India and Pakistan, before and after the implementationof financial liberalization in the early 1990s.

    Financial liberalization is an integral element of the on-

    going Economic and Structural Reforms (ESRs) in India

    and Pakistan (see Ahluwalia, 1999; Zaidi, 1999). Financial

    liberalization includes, inter alia, a gradual deregulation

    *Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] See Fry (1995) for changes in the financial sector in developing countries after the implementation of financial liberalizationprogrammes.

    Applied Economics ISSN 00036846 print/ISSN 14664283 online # 2004 Taylor & Francis Ltd 1915

    http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals

    DOI: 10.1080/000368404200068638

    Applied Economics, 2004, 36, 19151924

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    of interest rates and state-directed credit policies, reduction

    in banks reserve requirements, entry of non-bank financial

    institutions, reduced restrictions on entry and operations

    of private (domestic and foreign) banks, and privatization

    of public sector banks2 (see SBP, 2000; Arun and Turner,

    2002). Prior to the financial liberalization, the governments

    of India and Pakistan followed a policy of social control

    that emphasized controlling banks operations eitherthrough state directives or through nationalization. In

    India, the 14 largest commercial banks were nationalized

    in 1969, and six more banks in 1980. In Pakistan, all

    domestic private banks were nationalized and merged dur-

    ing the mid 1970s to form five large public sector banks.

    By the late 1980s, these nationalized banks controlled more

    than 90% of the total deposits and the earning assets of the

    banking industry (see SBP, 2000; Arun and Turner, 2002).

    Operations of private sector banks, especially foreign

    banks, were restricted to a few large cities only. In addition,

    the governments stipulated lending targets to priority

    sectors (e.g. agriculture), imposed low ceilings on interestrates on loans and deposits, directed public sector banks

    to open branches in rural and semi-urban areas, and made

    it mandatory for banks to hold government securities

    in their asset portfolios in order to finance growing fiscal

    deficits (see Sen and Vaidya, 1998; Zaidi, 1999). Under

    this policy of social control, the governments determined

    the direction and prices of financial services provided by the

    banking industry; banks themselves had little control over

    their inputs and outputs.

    This policy of social control, though augmented

    deposit mobilization and provision of loans to the prior-

    ity sectors, resulted in a deterioration of banks profit-

    ability and capital base and in an unsustainableaccumulation of non-performing loans in public sector

    banks asset portfolios. In both countries, on average

    the share of non-performing loans in total loans and

    advances in public sector banks was above 20% (see

    SBP, 2000; Arun and Turner, 2003). In this context, a

    key objective of the financial liberalization of the early

    1990s was to revive the banking industry by reducing

    government regulations and restrictions, underpinning

    on-site and off-site bank supervision, strengthening the

    capital base of public sector banks, privatizing public

    sector banks, and elevating competition through entry

    of new foreign and domestic private banks. These meas-ures are expected to enable and encourage banks to

    enhance their efficiency, i.e. their ability to transform

    inputs into outputs, which, in turn, is expected to

    enhance economic growth by increasing the volume of

    funds intermediated in the economy.

    Although some studies have examined the performance

    of commercial banks in India, only a recent study

    by Kumbhakar and Sarkar (2003), by using econometric

    technique to measure the total factor productivity of

    domestic banks, has analysed a time period long enough

    to shed some light on the impact of financial liberalization.

    In the case of Pakistan, only one study has measured

    the efficiency of commercial banks by using aparametric Distribution Free Approach (DFA). These

    studies are extended by employing non-parametric Data

    Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to calculate the efficiency

    of commercial banks in India and Pakistan before and

    after the liberalization. Following Bauer et al. (1998), the

    consistency of the DEA-based efficiency scores are checked

    by examining their relationship with three traditional non-

    frontier based performance indicators. In addition, the

    relationship between size and the pure technical efficiency

    of banks is examined.The comparative analysis of Indian

    and Pakistani banking industries suggests that a similar

    financial liberalization programme in two developing coun-

    tries may lead to different outcomes in terms of its success

    in fostering the technical efficiency of banks operating in

    those countries.

    The rest of the paper is structured as follows. Section II

    briefly reviews some recent studies on financial liberali-

    zation and the efficiency and productivity of banks in

    developing countries. Section III provides an overview

    of the measurement of technical efficiency using DEA.

    Section IV presents empirical findings. Section V concludes.

    I I . F I NANCI AL L I B E RAL I Z AT I ON

    AND T HE E F F I CI E NCY OF B ANKSI N DE VE L OP I NG COUNT RI E S

    Although many developing countries initiated financial

    liberalization in the early 1980s, only recently have a few

    studies examined its impact on the efficiency and produc-

    tivity of banks operating in these countries. These studies

    postulate that financial liberalization enhances the effi-

    ciency and productivity of banks by creating a competitive

    and flexible environment in which banks have more control

    over their operations. For example, financial liberalization

    allows banks to set interest rates on their assets and liabil-

    ities that were previously determined by the government.

    The empirical evidence on the impact of financial liberal-ization on the efficiency of banks is mixed. Leightner and

    Lovell (1998) measure the total factor productivity growth

    of Thai banks during 19891994 to evaluate the financial

    liberalization of the late 1980s. Using two alternative

    inputoutput models, one based on commercial banks

    2 During the sample period used in this study, the legislative changes in India allowed public sector banks to tap the capital market to theextent of 49% of their total capital (see Bhide et al., 2002). In Pakistan in contrast, a major portion of two public sector banks, MuslimCommercial Bank and Allied Bank of Pakistan, was sold to private investors (see SBP, 2000).

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    objective to generate revenue and the other based on

    central banks objective to intermediate funds, they

    construct a Malmquist total factor productivity index for

    Thai banks. Leightner and Lovell find that the productivity

    of banks improved after the liberalization. Using a similar

    approach, Gilbert and Wilson (1998) also find that finan-

    cial liberalization in Korea had positive impacts on the

    productivity of the Korean banking industry during theearly 1990s. In contrast, Hao et al. (2001) use a parametric

    Stochastic Frontier Approach (SFA) to measure the

    efficiency of Korean banks, and do not find any positive

    relationship between the measured efficiency and financial

    liberalization. Isik and Hassan (2003) employ DEA to

    construct a Malmquist total factor productivity index for

    Turkish banks during 19801990, and suggest that the

    performance of banks improved after the implementation

    of financial liberalization. In contrast, Yildirim (2002)

    analyses the technical efficiency of Turkish banks between

    1988 and 1999 using non-parametric DEA, and finds that

    the Turkish banks did not achieve any sustained efficiencygains over the sample period.

    Although some recent studies have measured the effi-

    ciency of Indian banks, their analysis is restricted either

    to the pre-liberalization period (see Bhattacharyya et al.,

    1997) or to a single year in the post-liberalization period

    (see Sathye, 2003). Only a recent study by Kumbhakar and

    Sarkar (2003) investigates the impact of financial liberal-

    ization by calculating growth in the total factor produc-

    tivity (TFP) of 23 public sector banks and 27 private

    domestic banks during 19851996 (their study excludes

    foreign banks). Kumbhakar and Sarkar (2003) measure

    TFP growth by estimating a translog cost function, and

    decompose TFP growth into a technological change, ascale, and a miscellaneous component. They find consider-

    able over-employment of labour in Indian banks and find

    little evidence to suggest that the liberalization enhanced

    the productivity of banks, especially that of public sector

    banks. Kumbhakar and Sarkar suggest that public sector

    banks in India have become too dominant to feel the

    impact of changes in the economic environment brought

    about by financial liberalization.

    Hardy and de Patti (2001) examined the cost and

    revenue efficiency of 33 banks in Pakistan during

    19811998 by utilizing DFA. They find that during the

    post-liberalization period, both costs and revenues ofbanks increased, and therefore conclude that the benefits

    of improvements in revenue efficiency were transferred to

    customers, e.g. borrowers and depositors. However, it is

    submitted here that during the post-liberalization period,

    the interest rate margin of the banking industry in Pakistan

    increased considerably (see SBP, 2000). That is, banks

    charged higher interest rates on their loans, but did not

    transfer the higher rates to their depositors. Moreover,

    there has been constant criticism in the domestic media

    on the quality of services provided by Pakistani banks,

    especially by public sector banks. Therefore, it may be

    difficult to justify Hardy and de Pattis conclusion that

    benefits of improvement in banks performance, if any,

    were transferred to customers.

    I I I . M E AS URE M E NT OF T E CHNI CAL

    E F F I CI E NCY US I NG DE A

    The technical efficiency of a firm refers to its success/

    failure in transforming its inputs into outputs. It is a rela-

    tive concept as its measurement requires a standard

    of performance against which the success/failure of the

    firm is assessed. Broadly speaking, the contemporary

    empirical studies employ parametric or non-parametricfrontier techniques to measure the efficiency of firms rela-

    tive to an estimated best-practice frontier that represents

    the optimal utilization of resources (see Berger and Mester,

    1997).3

    The parametric approaches usually involve econometric

    estimation of a prespecified stochastic production, cost

    or profit function (see Bauer et al., 1998, pp. 9396). In

    contrast, non-parametric DEA does not require the speci-

    fication of a particular functional form for the frontier.

    Instead, the production frontier is constructed through

    a piecewise linear combination of the actual inputoutput

    correspondence set that envelops the inputoutput corre-

    spondence of all the firms in the sample (see Thanassoulis,2001). Hence, efficiency measurement is not contaminated

    by a possible misspecification of the production function

    (see Bauer et al., 1998). The main weakness of the DEA is

    that measurement error and statistical noise are assumed

    to be non-existent (Berger andMester, 1997; Yildirim, 2002).

    In this paper DEA is employed for two reasons. First, as

    discussed above, the existing studies have already employed

    parametric techniques to investigate the impact of financial

    liberalization on the performance of banks in India and

    Pakistan. Therefore, it is pertinent to examine whether

    the efficiency scores obtained through DEA calculation

    support the conclusions reached by the existing studies.Second, as Bhattacharyya et al. (1997, p. 335) point out,

    regulations and other market imperfections in developing

    countries (especially decades of excessive regulation in

    the banking industry) may distort input/output prices,

    and, therefore, may complicate the measurement cost

    and/or profit function using parametric approaches.

    3 Parametric techniques are: Stochastic Frontier Approach, Distribution Free Approach, and Thick Frontier Approach. Non-parametricapproaches are: Data Envelopment Analysis, and Free Disposal Hull (see Bauer et al., 1998).

    Financial liberalization and bank efficiency 1917

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    A simple DEA model

    Consider N decision-making units (DMUs) (commercial

    banks in the present case) producing J outputs using

    I inputs (see Thanassoulis, 2001 for details). To measure

    the efficiency of a DMU, Charnes et al. (1978) proposed the

    use of the maximum of the ratio of weighted outputs to

    weighted inputs for that DMU, subject to the condition

    that similar ratios for all other DMUs in the sample be

    less than or equal to 1. Mathematically,

    max eo

    PJj1 w

    ojy

    ojPI

    i1 voix

    oi

    1

    subject toPJ

    j1 uo

    j yn

    jPIi1 v

    oix

    ni

    1 n 1, . . . , N

    voi , uo

    j ! 0 i 1,2, . . . , I; j 1,2, . . . , J

    where y

    n

    j and x

    n

    i are positive known outputs and inputs,respectively, of the nth DMU, and voi, uo

    j are the variable

    weights to be determined by solving linear problem 1. The

    DMU being measured is indicated by the index o. The

    optimization is defined for every DMU in the sample. If

    the efficiency score eo 1, the DMUo is 100% efficient

    within the sample; otherwise it is DEA inefficient.

    Charnes et al. (1978) transformed the above into the fol-

    lowing linear programming problem:

    max ho XJ

    j1uoj y

    oj 2

    subject to

    XIi1

    voixoi 1X

    Jj1

    uoj ynj X

    Ii1

    voi xni 0

    n 1, . . . , N voi ! " uo

    j ! "

    i 1,2, . . . , I j 1,2, . . . , J

    " is an arbitrary small positive number introduced in the

    above problem to ensure that all of the known inputs

    and outputs have positive weights. When h 1, DMU

    is DEA efficient; otherwise it is DEA inefficient with respect

    to other DMUs in the sample. The problem is solved N

    times to obtain an efficiency score for each DMU in the

    sample. The DEA is carried out by assuming either

    Constant Returns to Scale (CRS) or Variable Returns toScale (VRS). The estimation with these two assumptions

    allows the overall technical efficiency (OTE) to be decom-

    posed into two collectively exhaustive components: pure

    technical efficiency (PTE) and scale efficiency (SE) (see

    Thanassoulis, 2001). PTE refers to managers capability

    to utilize firms given resources, while SE refers to exploit-

    ing scale economies by operating at a point where the

    production frontier exhibits constant returns to scale.

    Inputoutput specification and data source

    The first step in measuring efficiency using DEA is to

    specify the inputs and outputs of banks.4 Following

    Leightner and Lovell (1998) two different, albeit comple-

    mentary, inputoutput models for banks in India and

    Pakistan are specified: Model A (loan-based model) postu-

    lates that banks incur operating and interest expenses to

    produce loans and advances, and investments; Model B

    (income-based model) postulates that banks incur operat-

    ing and interest expenses to produce interest and non-

    interest income. The analysis covers the period from 1988

    to 1998. The sample includes all the commercial banks in

    India and Pakistan for which data for at least three years

    are available. This will allow, to some extent, one to seewhether the efficiency of a bank is due to the capability of

    managers or due to some random factors that cannot be

    controlled for in the DEA calculations. In the case of both

    the countries, the commercial banks included in the sample

    control over 95% of total assets, deposits, and loans of the

    commercial banking industry. Data for commercial banks

    in Pakistan are obtained from various issues of Banking

    Statistics of Pakistan published annually by the State

    Bank of Pakistan. In the case of India, data from 1990 to

    1998 are obtained from the recently uploaded data set on

    the website of the Reserve Bank of India,5 and data from

    1988 and 1989 are obtained from various issues of

    Financial Analysis of Banks published by the IndianBanks Association. Banks having zero recorded values

    for one or more outputs or inputs variables in any year

    are excluded from the sample for that year in recog-

    nition of the fact that the DEA is sensitive to outliers

    (see Yildirim, 2002, p. 2294).

    I V . E M P I RI C A L F I N D I NG S

    Trends in the efficiency of commercial banks

    in India and Pakistan

    Tables 1 and 2 present the average annual efficiency

    scores of commercial banks in India and Pakistan, respec-

    tively, using output-oriented DEA calculated separately for

    4 In the case of banks, there is no agreement on the inputs and outputs. This disagreement is due to dual nature of some of the servicesthat banks provide. For example, bank deposits can be regarded as banks inputs as they are the main inputs for loan production. On theother hand, high value added deposits, like integrated saving and checking accounts, can be regarded as banks outputs. See, for example,Berger and Humphrey (1997) for various approaches to specify banks inputs and outputs, especially the intermediation approach andthe production approach.5 Website: http://www.rbi.org.in/annualdata/index.html

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    Table 1. Technical efficiency of commercial banks in India

    1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1

    Loan-based model (model A)OTE ABs 67.0 67.3 70.2 67.0 68.7 71.0 70.5 79.1 80.4 78.0 82.1 6

    PSBs 73.3 75.1 75.5 75.5 78.3 76.9 73.7 79.5 80.4 82.7 83.2 7DPBs 63.1 62.9 67.9 61.7 67.2 61.9 68.1 75.8 74.7 76.1 79.5 6FBs 64.7 64.1 67.2 63.7 60.6 74.2 69.7 82.1 86.1 75.1 83.4 6

    PTE ABs 85.0 84.8 87.2 84.8 88.3 88.3 83.1 88.6 88.8 88.4 91.4 8PSBs 89.2 90.2 93.0 90.6 92.1 91.9 90.3 92.5 92.8 93.5 94.8 9DPBs 81.3 83.6 85.2 80.9 89.8 85.0 76.6 87.3 82.5 82.7 87.2 8FBs 84.6 80.6 83.5 82.7 83.0 87.9 82.5 85.9 91.1 89.0 92.2 8

    SE ABs 78.8 79.3 80.4 78.8 77.6 80.3 85.0 89.4 90.6 88.3 89.8 7PSBs 82.1 83.2 81.2 83.3 85.0 83.7 81.6 85.9 86.6 88.5 87.8 8DPBs 77.6 75.2 79.6 76.2 74.8 72.8 88.9 86.8 90.6 92.0 91.2 7FBs 76.5 79.5 80.5 77.0 73.0 84.4 84.5 95.6 94.5 84.4 90.5 7

    Income-based model (model B)OTE ABs 58.0 58.2 59.3 60.6 59.6 60.5 62.6 67.9 65.6 69.4 71.6 5

    PSBs 49.9 52.5 52.5 53.8 57.2 52.0 54.3 57.1 54.6 60.8 66.2 5DPBs 59.3 57.3 58.3 61.2 57.7 61.6 64.7 64.4 70.7 70.8 72.2 5FBs 64.9 64.7 67.0 66.9 63.8 68.0 68.8 82.3 71.4 76.7 76.5 6

    PTE ABs 80.1 79.1 81.4 81.8 81.1 82.6 83.7 86.4 84.7 86.7 87.8 8PSBs 81.0 81.5 83.5 82.1 84.2 84.3 86.1 87.3 89.1 89.0 90.1 8DPBs 79.9 75.7 79.3 80.1 77.6 81.4 79.6 82.3 81.9 85.5 86.0 7FBs 79.4 80.2 81.4 83.1 81.4 82.0 85.5 89.6 83.0 85.5 87.4 8

    SE ABs 72.5 73.6 72.9 74.1 73.5 73.4 75.0 78.5 77.9 80.3 81.6 7PSBs 61.6 64.4 62.9 65.5 67.9 61.7 63.1 65.4 61.3 68.3 73.5 6DPBs 74.2 75.8 73.5 76.3 74.3 75.7 81.3 78.3 86.3 82.8 83.9 7FBs 81.7 80.7 82.3 80.5 78.4 82.9 80.5 91.9 86.0 89.7 87.5 8

    Note: AbsAll banks; PSBspublic sector banks; DPBs domestic private banks. Foreign Banks: OTE overall technical effi

    SE scale efficiency. Figures in parentheses are standard deviations.

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    Table 2. Technical efficiency of banks in Pakistan

    1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 19

    Loan-based model (model A)OTE ABs 41.1 37.9 35.6 40.2 44.1 35.9 37.6 39.9 42.4 53.9 57.4 38

    PSBs 38.5 33.5 34.4 38.4 32.5 28.4 25.5 33.5 41.7 45.7 48.6 36DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 48.2 36.7 42.5 46.4 45 55.8 59.7 nFBs 43.7 42.3 36.8 42 51.7 42.5 44.9 39.8 40.4 60.3 63.9 4

    PTE ABs 88.1 88.9 86.7 86.9 76 68.1 74.8 71.3 73.3 77.9 80.1 87PSBs 92.6 93.2 91.2 89.5 84 78.5 86.1 75.4 74.1 76.7 78.1 9DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 65.3 51.5 56.6 58.5 65.5 70 72.6 nFBs 83.7 84.6 82.1 84.3 78.7 74.3 81.6 79.9 80.2 87 89.6 83

    SE ABs 46.9 43 41.2 46.4 59.4 54.9 53.2 57.8 58.4 69.6 71.9 44PSBs 41.6 35.9 37.7 43 38.6 36.1 29.6 44.4 56.2 59.6 62.2 39DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 73.8 71.3 75.1 79.3 68.7 79.7 82.3 nFBs 52.2 50 44.8 49.8 65.7 57.2 55 49.8 50.4 69.3 71.2 49

    Income-based model (model B)OTE ABs 45.8 51.7 46 47.4 52.6 52.8 48.4 56.9 63.8 64.4 65.6 47

    PSBs 33 37.5 31.6 37.3 37.4 37.7 37.2 37.3 34.5 35.3 40.9 34DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 61.8 55.2 45.4 60.3 80.9 82.4 79.3 nFBs 58.5 66 60.3 57.5 58.8 65.4 62.6 73.1 75.9 75.5 76.6 60

    PTE ABs 83.7 87.5 84.3 84.5 78.5 82 76.8 79.3 84.9 86.4 85.2 85PSBs 85.6 89.3 86.2 88.5 76.7 79.4 79.1 80.5 75.8 81.2 79.6 87DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 80.1 80.3 69.1 72.2 88.9 86.4 87.5 nFBs 81.9 85.7 82.4 80.6 78.7 86.2 82.1 85.1 89.9 91.5 88.4 82

    SE ABs 55 59.5 54.9 56.7 66.8 64 63 71.9 73.6 73.8 76.2 56PSBs 38.6 42 36.6 42.1 48.7 47.5 47 46.3 45.5 43.4 51.4 39DPBs n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 77.1 68.7 65.7 83.5 91 95.4 90.6 nFBs 71.4 77 73.2 71.4 74.7 75.9 76.3 85.9 84.4 82.5 86.6 73

    Note: ABsAll banks; PSBspublic sector banks; DPBs domestic private banks. Foreign banks: OTE overall technical effi

    SE scale efficiency. Figures in parentheses are standard deviations. n.a. refers to the time period when domestic private banks w

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    each country using annual frontiers.6 The banking industry

    has been divided into three groups according to ownership:

    public, foreign, and domestic private. The whole period

    (i.e. 19881998) is divided into three subperiods: 1988

    1991 refers to the pre-liberalization period, 19921994 is

    considered as the transition period, and 19951998 repre-

    sents the post-liberalization period when the liberali-

    zation programme is expected to have some impact onthe efficiency of banks.

    The banking industry in both the countries exhibits very

    low OTE, and witnessed little improvement until 1995.

    In the case of India, this is consistent with Kumbhakar

    and Sarkars (2003) findings. In both the countries, the

    major source of low OTE was low SE, which has not

    been examined by the previous empirical studies on

    Indian and Pakistan banking industry. The low level of

    SE could be attributed to governments restrictions on

    private banks to extend their operations, and governments

    direction to public sector banks to extend their branch

    network to rural and suburban areas. These policies hin-dered banks ability to exploit scale economies. The limited

    improvement in OTE until 1995, it is submitted, suggests

    that banks adapted slowly and cautiously to the changes

    brought about by the liberalization (see Bhattacharyya

    et al., 1997).

    The average OTE of the Indian banking industry

    improved from 67.9% (Model A) and 59.0% (Model B)

    in the pre-liberalization period to 79.9% (Model A) and

    68.6% (Model B) in the post-liberalization period. In case

    of Pakistan, the OTE of the banking industry increased

    from 38.6% (Model A) and 47.7% (Model B) in the pre-

    liberalization period to 47.8% (Model A) and 62.6%

    (Model B) in the post-liberalization period. Unlike inIndia, where improvement in the OTE was due to improve-

    ment in both PTE and SE, the improvement in the OTE of

    the banking industry in Pakistan was due only to improve-

    ment in SE, especially after 19951996 when the govern-

    ment allowed public sector banks to reduce the number of

    employees and close unprofitable branches in rural areas.

    In Model A, the average PTE of the banking industry in

    Pakistan declined from 87.6% during the pre-liberalization

    period to 75.6% during the post-liberalization period,

    while in Model B PTE declined from 85.0% (pre-liberal-

    ization) to 83.9% (post-liberalization). This decline in PTE

    in the banking industry was due to a sharp decline in thePTE of public sector banks even when the PTE of foreign

    banks and private domestic banks improved during

    this period. The PTE of public sector banks declined

    from 91.6% (Model A) and 87.4% (Model B) in the pre-

    liberalization to 76.6% (Model A) and 79.3% (Model B)

    in the post-liberalization period. It could be argued that,

    unlike in India, the financial liberalization process in

    Pakistan failed to encourage the managers of public sector

    banks to utilize their resources more efficiently. This could

    be due to the fact that although both the countries

    followed a similar financial liberalization programme, the

    economic environment in Pakistan was marred by high

    political instability during the 1990s. This high political

    instability could have undermined the Pakistani govern-ments commitment to the liberalization process, and,

    therefore, failed to encourage public sector banks to

    enhance their resource utilization.

    Like Kumbhakar and Sarkar (2003), it is found that,

    unlike private sector banks, public sector banks in both

    India and Pakistan were relatively slow in improving

    their efficiency over the years. Following Kumbhakar

    and Sarkar, it is suggested that this group has become

    too dominant (controlling more than 90% of the assets

    of the banking industry) to feel any need to quickly trans-

    form itself in the face of competition from smaller foreign

    and private domestic banks. Also, public sector banks

    huge non-performing loans and extensive branch-networks

    might have made them inflexible even if they wanted

    to adapt to the changing environment. However,

    after 19951996, public sector banks exhibit more improve-

    ment in their efficiency. This could be due to a slight inten-

    sification of competition as a result of adopting new

    financial technology (e.g. computerization of bank

    branches and Automated Teller Machines) and the intro-

    duction of new financial products (e.g. credit cards and

    car financing schemes) by private banks, especially foreign

    banks. Private sector banks, especially foreign banks,

    in both the countries witnessed improvement in both

    PTE and SE.

    Non-performing loans and the gap between

    the two inputoutput models

    As non-performing loans (NPLs) are a major problem

    for the banking industry in India and Pakistan, it is crucial

    to examine their impact on the evolution of technical effi-

    ciency. This could be achieved by using NPLs as another

    input, usually non-discretionary, that banks use (see Berger

    and Humphrey, 1997). However, as the bank-level data on

    NPLs are not available for India and Pakistan, an attempt

    is made to examine their impact by taking a closer look

    at the difference between the efficiency scores obtainedfrom the two models, i.e. the loan-based model and the

    income-based model. Model A postulates that banks pro-

    duce loans, advances and investments with given resources,

    while Model B postulates that banks produce income with

    given resources. Consequently, the outputs of Model B

    (income) depend primarily on the outputs of Model A

    6 For DEA estimation, we use DEAP 2.1 is used, developed by Tim Coelli of the University of New England, Australia.

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    (loans, advances and investments).7 However, if banks

    are unable to enhance their income-based efficiency even

    when they are able to improve their loan-based efficiency,

    this could be due to the presence of high NPLs in their

    portfolios.

    In the case of Indian public sector banks, at the start of

    financial liberalization in 19911992, the NPLs as a percen-

    tage of total advances were around 24% (see Bhide et al.,

    2002). This percentage, however, gradually declined to

    16% in 19971998. The gap between the efficiency scores

    obtained from two inputoutput models follows a similar

    trend: during the early years, public sector banks were

    much more efficient in generating loans, advances and

    investments than in generating income. During the post-

    liberalization era, however, this gap gradually declined.

    In the case of the public sector banks in Pakistan, the

    level of NPLs increased after the implementation of the

    financial liberalization from around 18% of total advances

    to around 26% (see SBP, 2000). The gap in the efficiencyscores of Pakistani public sector banks also increased over

    the years. A similar gap between the efficiency scores of

    private sector banks also exists in the two countries.

    However, as the level of NPLs of private banks is much

    lower than in the public sector banks, the gap between the

    efficiency scores obtained from the two models is also

    lower. This gap in the efficiency scores from the two models

    may reflect the impact of the presence of high NPLs. That

    is, over the years, the presence of NPLs impeded banks

    ability to generate income even when they were relatively

    more efficient in generating earning assets.8 It could be

    argued that if the liberalization programme fails to enhance

    the efficiency of banks to generate income from theirresources, it could, in the medium- and long-run, impede

    their ability to intermediate between savers and borrowers

    and to enhance the quality of their services, which, in turn,

    may negatively influence the process of economic growth.

    Consistency of the DEA efficiency scores

    As suggested by Bauer et al. (1998), for the frontier-

    based efficiency scores to be useful, the estimated scores

    should be positively correlated with the traditional non-

    frontier based measures of performance used by regulators,

    managers, and industry consultants: Positive rank-order

    correlations with these measures would give assurance

    that the frontier measures are not simply artificial products

    of the assumptions made regarding the underlying optimi-

    sation concept (Bauer et al., 1998, p. 108). Table 3 presents

    the Spearman Rank correlations between the PTE and SE

    of the banking industry in India and Pakistan generated

    by DEA and three non-frontier based measures of bank

    performance, namely return on assets (ROA), total operat-

    ing and interest cost per rupee of assets (TC/TA), and total

    cost per rupee of revenue (TC/TR). The first measure is

    expected to have a positive correlation with the frontier-

    based efficiency scores, while the latter two are expected to

    have a negative correlation. The results in Table 3 suggest

    that most of the DEA-based efficiency scores are consistent

    with the three non-frontier based performance measures.

    Only in case of Pakistan, ROA is not consistent with the

    loan-based PTE of banks. That is, there is an unexpected

    negative correlation between loan-based PTE and ROA

    of banks. This could be due to the increasing NPLs of

    public sector banks in Pakistan, which suggests that evenwhen banks were becoming more efficient in generating

    7 This is especially the case for the commercial banks in developing countries where, unlike in developed countries, fee income is very lowfor commercial banks, and banks rely on traditional loans and government securities for income.8 Another possible explanation for this gap between the efficiency scores obtained from the two models could be that banks transferredthe benefits of improvement in their efficiency to their customers because though banks produced more loans, advances and investments(i.e. intermediated more funds) with given inputs, they did not extract more income from this intermediation process. However,increasing interest margins in both the countries, coupled with constant criticism in the domestic media about the quality of customerservices provided by banks, especially public sector banks, may cast some doubt on this interpretation.

    Table 3. Correlation between frontier and non-frontier based measures

    India Pakistan

    Model A Model B Model A Model B

    PTE SE PTE SE PTE SE PTE SE

    ROA 0.075* 0.035* 0.304** 0.050* 0.014* 0.002 0.015** 0.094*

    TC/TA 0.166* 0.060** 0.088* 0.046 0.019* 0.032** 0.096 0.032TC/TR 0.075** 0.055 0.321** 0.095** 0.099** 0.055* 0.264** 0.072**

    Note: PTEpure technical efficiency; SE scale efficiency; ROA return on assets; TC/TA total costs/total assets;TC/TR total costs/total revenue.*Spearman Rank Correlation is statistically significant at 5% level.**Spearman Rank Correlation is statistically significant at 1% level.

    1922 A. Ataullah et al.

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    loans and advances, the profitability of banks (i.e. their

    ROA) was deteriorating.

    Bank size and pure technical efficiency

    The evidence on the relationship between size and PTE of

    banks is mixed. For example, in the context of Singaporeanbanking sector, Leong and Dollery (2002) find that larger

    banks, due to complexity of their operations, exhibit higher

    inefficiencies. In contrast, Yildirim (2002) find a positive rela-

    tionship between size and PTE of Turkish banks. This posi-

    tive relationship is attributed to larger banks market power

    and their ability to diversify credit risk in an uncertain

    macroeconomic environment. Berger and Humphrey (1997)

    also find a positive relationship between size and efficiency

    for the US banking industry.

    To examine the relationship between size and PTE,

    the banking industry in India and Pakistan was divided

    into four quartiles according to their size, where the size

    of each bank is determined by the total assets of that bankas a percentage of the total assets of the whole commercial

    banking industry. Figure 1 presents the evolution of PTE

    of different size groups. The figure suggests that in both the

    countries, during the pre-liberalization period, the largest

    banks outperformed the smaller ones. However, over the

    years, the gap between the largest group and other groups

    declined, and in case of Pakistan, the gap virtually disap-

    peared. The catching-up of smaller banks could be due

    to their higher flexibility, which allowed them to adapt

    to changes in the banking industry brought about by

    the financial liberalization programme. In contrast, the

    declining efficiency of the largest group, which primarilyconstitute public sector banks, could be due to their

    complex and politically-determined bureaucratic organi-

    zational structure that impeded their ability to keep up

    with smaller private domestic and foreign banks, which

    were quicker to adopt new financial technology

    (e.g. Automated Teller Machines) and to introduce new

    financial products (e.g. car financing and credit cards)

    (see SBP, 2000; RBI, various issues).

    V . C O N C L U S I O N

    This paper provides a comparative analysis of the evolu-

    tion of the technical efficiency of the banking industry in

    India and Pakistan before and after the implementation

    of the financial liberalization programme of the early

    1990s. Using non-parametric DEA, it is found that the

    India

    Model A Model B

    Model A Model B

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    Pakistan

    %E

    fficiency

    %E

    fficiency

    %E

    fficiency

    %E

    fficiency

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998

    Year

    Year Year

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998

    1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 19981988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998

    Year

    Largest 2nd Quartile

    3rd Quartile Smallest

    Fig. 1. PTE scores by size quartile for commercial banks

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    overall technical efficiency of the banking industry

    improved following the financial liberalization, especially

    after 19951996. In the case of India, efficiency increased

    due to improvement in both pure technical efficiency

    and scale efficiency. In Pakistan, however, the increase in

    overall technical efficiency was due primarily to an

    improvement in scale efficiency.

    The results suggest that the efficiency of commercialbanks is much higher in Model A, which uses earning

    assets as outputs, than in Model B, which uses income

    as output. This gap in efficiency scores obtained from the

    two models could be due to the presence of high non-

    performing loans in the asset portfolios of banks in the

    two countries. It is argued that even when banks are

    becoming more efficient in increasing the quantity of

    loans, advances and investments, this efficiency is not

    being translated into higher efficiency in generating income.

    The results also suggest that the implementation of the

    financial liberalization closed the efficiency gap between

    large and small banks.

    The results suggest that there is still room for improve-

    ment in the efficiency of banks in both the countries. A major

    problem, however, is the presence of high non-performing

    loans. It should be noted that in developing countries the

    non-performing loans accumulate not only due to the inef-

    fectiveness of banks managers but also due to other factors,

    such as economic downturns, politicians, pressure on banks,

    managers to provide loans to clients who may not have

    economically viable projects, or the weakness of legal sys-

    tem to support the recovery of non-performing loans (see,

    e.g. Bhide et al., 2002 for the limited success of Debt

    Recovery Tribunals in India). A step forward for the liberal-

    ization programme, therefore, is not only to deregulateinterest rates and enhance the level of competition but also

    to strengthen the institutional structure to support good

    practices in the banking industry.

    ACKNOW L E DGE M E NT S

    Helpful comments by Canan Yildirim and the participants

    of the 4th Annual International Economics and Finance

    Society Conference, London 2003, are gratefully acknowl-

    edged. The usual disclaimer applies.

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