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    SUPREME COURT OF THE STATE OF NEW YORKNEW YORK COUNTY: CIVIL TERM: PART 39- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -XABN AMRO BANK NV, BARCLAYS BANK PLC,BNP PARIBAS, CALON, CANADIAN IMPERIAL BANK

    OF COMMERCE, CITIBANK NA, HSBC BANK USA NA,JP MORGAN CHASE BANK NA, KBC INVESTMENTSCAYMAN ISLANDS V LTD, MERRILL LYNCHINTERNATIONAL, BANK OF AMERICA NA,MORGAN STANLEY CAPITAL SERVICES INC,NATIXIS, NATIXIS FINANCIAL PRODUCTS INC,COOPERATIEVE CENTRALE RAIFFEISEN BOERENLEENBANKBA NEW YORK BRANCH,

    Petitioners,

    Index Number:- against - 601846-09

    ERIC DINALLO, in this capacity as Superintendentof the New York State Insurance Department, theNEW YORK STATE INSURANCE DEPARTMENT, MBIA INC,MBIA INSURANCE CORPORATION, and NATIONAL PUBLICFINANCE GUARANTEE CORPORATION (fka MBIAINSURANCE CORP OF ILLINOIS),

    Respondents.

    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -X

    Supreme Court60 Centre StreetNew York, New York 10007

    May 17, 2012

    BEFORE:

    HONORABLE BARBARA R. KAPNICK,Justice of the Supreme Court

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    1

    2

    APPEARANCES:3

    SULLIVAN & CROMWELL LLP4 Attorneys for the Petitioners125 Broad Street

    5 New York, New YorkBY: ROBERT J. GIUFFRA, ESQ.

    6

    7 KASOWITZ BENSON TORRES & FRIEDMAN LLPAttorneys for Respondents

    8 1633 BroadwayNew York, New York 10019-6799

    9 BY: MARC E. KASOWITZ, ESQ.10

    OFFICE OF THE ATTORNEY GENERAL11 Attorneys for the State Respondents

    120 Broadway12 New York, New York

    BY: DAVID HOLGADO, ESQ.13

    ------------------------------------------------------14

    Vicki Glover, Official Court ReporterClaudette Gumbs, Official Court Reporter15 60 Centre Street

    New York, New York 100716 646.386.369317

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    2 THE COURT: Good morning, everybody.

    3 PMR. GIUFFRA: Good morning, your Honor.

    4 MR. KASOWITZ: Good morning, your Honor.

    5 THE COURT: So I give you one day off and you get

    6 in all kinds of trouble. I don't know what I will do with

    7 you all. I am going to have to keep you here every day

    8 now. I don't want to spend too much time with the

    9 correspondence letters that I got, e-filed last night,

    10 yesterday afternoon and last night. Let's just spend a few

    11 minutes, otherwise it is like a pink elephant sitting in the

    12 courtroom, so Mr. Kasowitz, since you wrote the first

    13 letter, I will let you briefly address this issue and I will

    14 let Mr. Giuffra respond.

    15 Mr. Holgado, you have not chimed in on this yet but

    16

    I will certainly let you if you want to and we will try to17 move along.

    18 MR. KASOWITZ: Thank you, your Honor. I will be

    19 brief. It is in our letter but I just to have it amplified

    20 a little bit.

    21 We have all spent during the last three years an

    22 unprecedented amount of time and effort and money on all

    23 manner of discovery, all manner of hearings, all manner of

    24 litigation in this case and it has been an enormous amount

    25 of litigation in any case, let alone what is supposed to be

    26 a summary proceeding and the banks have taken enormous

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    2 amounts of discovery, expanded this into way beyond what it

    3 really probably should have been from the outset and it has

    4 been an enormous burden for our client and expense -- and

    5 for the State and for the Court.

    6 So we are entitled, I think, and the State is and

    7 the people are and the Court is entitled to know whether at

    8 this point, as this hearing commences, whether or not there

    9 is some effort by Bank of America and their lawyers and

    10 consultants and lobbyists and the like to undermine this

    11 process and you know, the Legislature certainly has the

    12 right to hold hearings and do whatever they do, but the

    13 question is, whether or not the banks and their counsel and

    14 their lobbyists and their agents have participated in that

    15 process in a way that could be improper under the Code of

    16

    Professional Responsibility and other things.17 And so, I think that from the facts here it seems

    18 inescapable that they have, your Honor.

    19 First, this is three years after transformation.

    20 There has been an enormous amount of publicity in the media

    21 about this case and yet, it seems just coincidentally at the

    22 time that this hearing, which is going to resolve the issue

    23 of whether or not the Superintendent's approval was

    24 arbitrary and capricious or whether it was appropriate,

    25 right then, all of a sudden, there is this public statement

    26 from the Legislature about this.

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    2 Secondly, that public statement was followed

    3 directly by the banks' counsel publicity people sending out

    4 a public release.

    5 And thirdly, when you look at the substance of the

    6 public statement, it is right on the banks' playbook, your

    7 Honor. The language looks like it is taken right out of

    8 their briefs.

    9 And so, I think we are entitled to know whether the

    10 banks or their counsel or their lobbyists or other agents

    11 had some role in preparing that release that made reference

    12 to the possibility of concealment of material information

    13 from the Department.

    14 And I am particularly -- I think we are also

    15 particularly entitled to know whether or not they had some

    16

    role in preparing this or participating in any way or knew17 about this proposition that there is going to be -- that the

    18 -- these committees are going to consider whether or not to

    19 do anything and they are going to monitor events in this

    20 case and then see how those events go and then, if

    21 appropriate, take necessary action.

    22 What does that mean, your Honor? What does that

    23 mean? Does that mean that if the banks don't prevail here,

    24 then there are going to be hearings up in Albany about this?

    25 I have never heard of such a thing. We are here today for

    26 the purpose -- and during this hearing -- of deciding

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    2 whether or not this transformation is going to be approved.

    3 All of a sudden, the Legislature is weighing in and saying

    4 they will hold hearings on the very same subject matter?

    5 If the banks or their counsel or their consultants and

    6 lobbyists have something to do with this, we are entitled to

    7 know that, your Honor.

    8 Look, I don't know why they would do it. I don't

    9 know whether it is because 16 of the 18 banks have already

    10 settled or have otherwise dismissed this case. I don't know

    11 whether it is because there is a $5 billion claim by MBIA

    12 proceeding against Bank of America for insurance fraud in a

    13 courtroom down the hall. I don't know.

    14 What I do know is that our client and the State and

    15 the Court and the people are entitled to know whether there

    16

    was some involvement there and I think that as a very simple17 and straightforward matter. Counsel should just directly

    18 answer the questions that we have presented in our letter

    19 and we can move on.

    20 Thank you, your Honor.

    21 MR. GIUFFRA: I agree, your Honor, that we should

    22 not spend a lot of time on this. I agree with Mr. Kasowitz

    23 that we should decide these issues in this courtroom,

    24 present the evidence in this courtroom and that is what we

    25 are prepared to do.

    26 I responded to Mr. Kasowitz' letter last night. I

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    2 learned that the issuance of this press release when a

    3 reporter called me about it. So we would like to just try

    4 the case, get moving today and just go forward.

    5 MR. KASOWITZ: Your Honor, that does not answer

    6 the question.

    7 I am sorry. That was a non answer answer. They

    8 learned about -- the letter says it learned about the

    9 issuance of the press release, does not go to whether they

    10 had knowledge of it, or whether any of the agents lobbyists

    11 knew about the preparation of it, whether they instigated

    12 it, and it was a complete non answer answer. We know they

    13 had some role in the dissemination of it because we, we got

    14 copies of the issuance by the banks own publicity people, so

    15 we would like those questions answered, your Honor.

    16

    Thank you.17 THE COURT: Mr. Holgado.

    18 MR. HOLGADO: Yes, your Honor.

    19 Very briefly, I think there are two points I would

    20 like to make. I don't know if I can be as brief as Mr.

    21 Giuffra was. However, he said we would like these issues

    22 to be decided in this courtroom. I would like to point out

    23 to your Honor what these issues are that he is referring to

    24 and he did in fact mention these issues that were referenced

    25 in this press release which we are not going to comment on

    26 on what questions need to be answered and anything about

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    2 that, as Mr. Kasowitz is suggesting, I think he is entitled

    3 to the position he is taking. But you know we are not

    4 taking a position on that.

    5 However, your Honor, you know, decided with respect

    6 to our motions in limine that we would go ahead and despite

    7 having told Mr. Giuffra at the April 20th conference and on

    8 other occasions including the morning of the first day that

    9 that was not what this case is about, these issues of

    10 concealment and what MBIA might have hid or not hid or said

    11 or not said, but rather, the rational basis for the

    12 Department's determination that that is what is at issue in

    13 this proceeding.

    14 He is saying let's have these issues decided in the

    15 courtroom. That is a little bothersome to me and I don't,

    16

    I think that this is part of why we tried to keep these17 things out in the first place, and keep us focused on what

    18 the actual issues to be decided are here is the side show

    19 that Mr. Giuffra creates in his oral argument, your Honor.

    20 It runs the risk of extending beyond this courtroom and we

    21 think that that is not helpful to your Honor to decide this

    22 case.

    23 The only other thing I want to reference, your

    24 Honor, in terms of just these issues having been public

    25 since long before the first couple of days of this hearing,

    26 is that I would just remind your Honor that there was a

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    2 letter sent by Mr. Giuffra to the current Superintendent of

    3 the Department of Financial Services that I was not copied

    4 on and we talked about this with your Honor briefly at a

    5 conference in the fall of last year, and in that letter, I

    6 was not copied on the letter even though he knew I was

    7 counsel and I found out about it in the Wall Street Journal

    8 and it was about these same types of issues and so I think,

    9 you know, I would just -- I think that is at least relevant

    10 to point out this had been in the Wall Street Journal and in

    11 the papers for sometime. It is a little bit interesting

    12 this is suddenly happening now and I think Mr. Kasowitz is

    13 certainly entitled to the position he is taking in his

    14 search for an answer to those questions, your Honor.

    15 THE COURT: Well, I guess the timing of all this

    16

    is what to some extent concerns people and there is the17 other issue that you both touched on in your letters about

    18 anybody trying to do something that is going to influence my

    19 determination, my ultimate determination in this case.

    20 We are trying in this courtroom the Article 78.

    21 That is it. I have a lot of decisions to make on that. I

    22 have made some. I will have a lot more to make as it goes

    23 on, and I am not here to do an investigation for State

    24 Insurance Fund or the State Senate or any of their

    25 committees or anything else. They look at what they look

    26 at. We look at the legal issues dealt with in this case.

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    2 So I don't think it helps anybody and I don't think

    3 it helps the process here to be trying everything outside --

    4 in an attempt to try something outside of this courtroom.

    5 The fact that things get outside of the courtroom is

    6 obvious. The Court is an open place. I don't know who is

    7 sitting in the room. I do know there is a lot of press

    8 people. We see things that are coming out and that is fine,

    9 that is what we do, but I think the concern is to

    10 affirmatively go and get -- be involved with lobbyists to

    11 try to do things outside to this extent would be of some

    12 concern.

    13 So I don't know if you have any answer further than

    14 what you have said Mr. Giuffra. I mean, I saw some of the

    15 e-mails that you attached to your letter last night; I

    16

    recognized some of the names and I don't know if that17 answers the question completely or not, but can you address

    18 anything else as to any involvement that you or any people

    19 that you are working with on this case have had in getting

    20 this all going?

    21 MR. GIUFFRA: Your Honor, I agree with you. We

    22 just should get going. I never saw the press release until

    23 the reporter sent it to me, so I think we just should get

    24 going and I agree that the case should be tried in this

    25 courtroom. And this is just, as Mr. Holgado said, a side

    26 show.

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    2 THE COURT: Yes.

    3 MR. KASOWITZ: Your Honor, if it is a side show,

    4 it is a side show they started and again, I note for the

    5 record that is no answer to these questions. I think that

    6 we are entitled to these answers and I don't want to hold up

    7 these proceedings, but if we are put in a position where we

    8 can't -- we don't have these answers and need to take

    9 discovery on them and the like and need to make a formal

    10 application for them. We will preserve our rights with

    11 respect to this.

    12 We think this is improper and as potentially has

    13 consequences so what would be easiest would be a straight

    14 out answer, would be a straight out answer now. The -- his

    15 letter does not deny it, he is not denying it, he just says

    16

    he didn't know about the issuance of the press release. We17 had questions that related to the time before the press

    18 release. I don't want to get bogged down here, but we are

    19 entitled to an answer.

    20 If he has nothing to hide, let him say it. If he

    21 has something he doesn't want to say and we need to serve

    22 discovery requests and the like so we don't hold this up, we

    23 are prepared to do that too, but I think his non answers

    24 here are speaking volumes about the questions that we

    25 present in our letter.

    26 Thank you, your Honor.

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    2 THE COURT: I think we should proceed. You

    3 certainly have the right to reserve any rights that you

    4 have. If there is any other kind of request or whatever,

    5 we will go on. I don't want to get bogged down all morning

    6 in this. I want to move this ahead as much as we can.

    7 So let's go now. I have your letters and we will

    8 see where it goes.

    9 MR. KASOWITZ: Thank you, your Honor.

    10 MR. GIUFFRA: Mr. Steinberg will lead off this

    11 morning for us.

    12 THE COURT: Good morning, Mr. Steinberg.

    13 MR. STEINBERG: Good morning, your Honor.

    14 Your Honor, this morning I will talk to you about

    15 the solvency analysis that was done by the -- in connection

    16

    with the review of the transformation transaction and we17 will talk about its importance to the transformation

    18 transaction and the analysis that the New York Insurance

    19 Department undertook.

    20 I am also going to talk about the two tests of

    21 Insurance Law Section 1309. 1309 has two different prongs

    22 which I will go through and show your Honor.

    23 One prong of 1309 and I will go through the slides

    24 which will give you a heads up of where we will go today

    25 relates to what is called the objective reinsurance test,

    26 that is how the Department Mr. Moriarty characterized it and

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    2 then, there is a second test which is more subjective, based

    3 on the ability to pay claims as they come due.

    4 Now, what we will show is there is no evidence in

    5 the record that the objective reinsurance test, that there

    6 was any analysis of it or that it even could be met and this

    7 is one of two prongs in the Insurance Law that must be met

    8 in order to determine solvency.

    9 Second, there is a subjective ability to pay claims

    10 test. The support in the record for that finding, for that

    11 determination is based exclusively on an opinion that was

    12 delivered to the New York Insurance Department by Bridge

    13 Associates. The Department, as we talked about on Tuesday

    14 and I will briefly remind your Honor, said that the

    15 Insurance Department did not do its own solvency exam. In

    16

    fact, it relied upon Bridge.17 The Bridge opinion was done in two and a half

    18 weeks. Now, that comes in with the evidence that it took

    19 over a year, at least a year is the evidence in the record

    20 about what the Department thought it would take.

    21 In connection with the Bridge analysis we will talk

    22 to your Honor about what Bridge did do and didn't do. And

    23 even though Bridge was supposed to be independent and

    24 looking at all of these questions that were being performed,

    25 Bridge missed a rather sizable error and we will talk about

    26 that.

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    2 Finally, Bridge submitted its original report which

    3 used numbers that MBIA supplied that were for the third

    4 quarter of 2008; the 9-30-08 quarter and as the transaction

    5 progressed was -- and was not being immediately acted upon

    6 those data contained in the 9-30 financial statements before

    7 the world had really started to change, became stale and we

    8 will talk about that and finally, we will show you what the

    9 Department, what Mr. Dinallo thought about the Bridge

    10 opinion, and what his experts in the Department thought

    11 about the Bridge opinion and its usefulness and we will show

    12 you there was quite a divergence.

    13 Now, I said I would start with solvency and its

    14 importance to the transaction and I would like to remind

    15 your Honor of Plaintiff's Exhibit 600, which is the 150

    16

    annual report of the superintendent and it is the "the core17 mission of the New York State Insurance Department to

    18 protect policyholders and make certain that insurers

    19 maintain their solvency. Seldom has achieving that mission

    20 been more critical than in 2008."

    21 Obviously, 2008 was quite a year, your Honor and

    22 so, it raises solvency to the forefront.

    23 In fact, if I can go to the next slide, MBIA's own

    24 sir reply discussed that the sine qua non, the entire

    25 underpinning of the approval letter was the New York

    26 Insurance Department finding that MBIA Insurance would be

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    2 solvent post transaction.

    3 Now, what is interesting is that in fact, there is

    4 no finding.

    5 So let's go to the answer that was filed in this

    6 proceeding, which is we have it also as Plaintiff's

    7 Exhibit 1083 and in their answer, they affirmatively aver we

    8 indicated that we didn't think they were solvent and they

    9 responded by affirmatively averring that the definition of

    10 insolvency stated by petitioners in our paragraphs is

    11 irrelevant in this proceeding, because critically, the

    12 Department's determination of MBIA Corp's post

    13 transformation solvency was based on the definition of

    14 insolvency provided for in Insurance Law 1309 which the

    15 Department was required, required your Honor to utilize in

    16

    making its determination.17 Now, in fact, we touched upon and I will move on,

    18 but we touched upon how in the very approval letter itself,

    19 your Honor, which is Petitioners' Exhibit -- I am sorry, it

    20 is not here, 6, this is the February 17th approval and when

    21 you look at it, it has again the application which describes

    22 on the first page what they are asking to do, and go to the

    23 next page, it describes the reinsurance transaction, it

    24 describes certain credit they wanted to have, it describes

    25 plaintiffs' reduced exposure and then it goes to the

    26 findings. Next page, Department Approvals.

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    2 So the Department on February 16th indicates that

    3 they have reviewed what they considered the requests, they

    4 note that they have seen the agreements and "In

    5 consideration of the foregoing the Department issues the

    6 following approval --" and the very first one, your Honor,

    7 is the MBIA Corp dividend which refers to Section 4105.

    8 And in the entirety of this letter, 4105 is as

    9 close as the Department gets to making a solvency finding.

    10 What they say is Insurance Law 4105 prevents an insurer

    11 within a 23-month period from paying dividends to

    12 shareholders in excess of ten percent of surplus.

    13 We had a discussion about that on Tuesday and then,

    14 it says that statute grants the Superintendent the

    15 discretion to permit an insurer to exceed such limitation

    16

    upon the finding that the insurer will retain sufficient17 surplus to support its obligations and writings.

    18 Now, that is in 4105. To support its obligations

    19 and writings. In other words, so they can continue to pay

    20 their policies. That determination, as we have discussed

    21 before, was based upon representations made, the

    22 Department's examination of the MBIA entities' financial

    23 condition and their analysis giving effect to the

    24 transformation.

    25 So in light of those three areas, the Department

    26 finds that MBIA Corp will retain sufficient surplus. In the

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    2 entire letter, that is as close as they get. There is no

    3 mention of 1309 at all in this letter.

    4 Now, why is it that there was not a finding under

    5 1309 in this letter? And the answer is sort of simple.

    6 One, the Department did not do a solvency review. They

    7 didn't have time. You recall that.

    8 (Whereupon the following was transcribed by Senior

    9 Court Reporter Vicki Glover.)

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    26

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    2 MR. STEINBERG: (Continuing) You'll recall that

    3 involved in the transaction was Mr. Moriarty, who was the

    4 31-year professional from the Department and who was

    5 dealing with this matter and was the sort of the person on

    6 the street, the Deputy Superintendent. In fact, he is the

    7 person signing this letter.

    8 And what does Mr. Moriarty say about whether or

    9 not there was going to be a full verification?

    10 "Was there any discussion" -- this is his

    11 testimony.

    12 "Was there any discussion of Mr. Buchmiller doing

    13 a verification of the financial statements; i.e., a full

    14 scope examination, prior to the approval of the

    15 transformation transaction?

    16

    "Answer: There was a discussion; however, that17 would have taken a year or more."

    18 Mr. Buchmiller also testified -- Mr. Buchmiller

    19 was asked these questions.

    20 "Did you perform a solvency analysis" -- I'm

    21 sorry, this is Buchmiller at 100, line 25 to 101, line 12.

    22 Starting at the top, I'm sorry.

    23 "Did you perform a solvency analysis of MBIA

    24 Insurance in connection with your work on the

    25 transformation transaction?"

    26 Objections.

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    2 "Answer: No, I wouldn't characterize it that

    3 way."

    4 He didn't do it. It would have taken a year or

    5 more.

    6 Now, in fact, let's go to 391 for Mr. Buchmiller.

    7 Mr. Buchmiller was asked questions about the 1309

    8 exam, whether or not he did this. And what did

    9 Mr. Buchmiller say about that? And that is

    10 Mr. Buchmiller's deposition at 391, 14 through 24. And so

    11 here's what he testified in September 2010.

    12 "Question: So did you do a solvency analysis for

    13 purposes of 1309 in connection with the review that you did

    14 for the transformation transaction?"

    15 Now, you'll recall, of course, this is the

    16

    question of -- that was crucial in their answer.17 "Answer: No, I did it with respect to the

    18 examination report."

    19 Now, the examination report, the examination, the

    20 evidence is, the examination started in September 2008.

    21 When did that examination conclude? That examination

    22 report was not completed until May 2010. It took 19 months

    23 for them to do that analysis, the 1309 analysis.

    24 Now, in view of all of this, what is the analysis

    25 that was going to be required? Now, we know the Department

    26 didn't do it. They say they didn't do it. So let's look

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    2 at what it is in section 1309 that they were supposed to

    3 do.

    4 So let's put up the language of the statute.

    5 1309 says that: Whenever the superintendent finds

    6 from a financial statement or report on examination that an

    7 authorized insurer is unable to pay its outstanding lawful

    8 obligations -- its policies, among other things -- as they

    9 mature in the ordinary course of business -- and then it

    10 sets two tests with an "or" -- it has to be both, as showed

    11 by number one, we've added these ones -- "by an excess of

    12 required reserves and other liabilities over admitted

    13 assets," whether there's a surplus, or "by its not having

    14 sufficient assets to reinsure all outstanding risks with

    15 other solvent authorized assuming insurers after paying all

    16

    accrued claims owed."17 Then it says -- this is sort of written in an odd

    18 way, but the superintendent is commanded to look at it.

    19 And if they find that there's either, number one, this

    20 excess of required reserves, or number two, by its not

    21 having sufficient assets to reinsure all its outstanding

    22 risks, such insurer shall be deemed insolvent. That's it.

    23 Right there. You fail either of those tests, you're deemed

    24 insolvent. And then the superintendent does have some

    25 discretion. And then the superintendent may proceed

    26 pursuant to the provisions of article 74 of the chapter.

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    2 Now, article 74, your Honor, relates to the

    3 rehabilitation, the liquidation, conservation and

    4 dissolution. Once you fall out of 1309, the Legislature is

    5 telling the superintendent you should do something. We'll

    6 give you the discretion about what to do, but no matter

    7 what, here's what the key prerequisites are. Here's what

    8 you have to look at.

    9 Now, we asked Mr. Moriarty about these two tests

    10 and to understand them. And with respect to the (2), the

    11 reinsurance test, we asked him whether or not this was an

    12 objective test. It's a market based test, right? You go

    13 out and you look to others to say, hey, can you reinsure my

    14 book? How much would it cost? And then I get a number.

    15 And if that number is what I have above what I'm able to

    16

    pay other folks, right, what's my obligations, I meet that17 test.

    18 And so we asked him:

    19 "Wouldn't you agree that the second prong of 1309

    20 is an objective test as to the solvency of an insurer?"

    21 They object to the form.

    22 THE COURT: Why are you standing up?

    23 MR. HOLGADO: We exchanged, you know, deposition

    24 designations back when we thought this was going to be a

    25 little bit more of a formal process, and there were counter

    26 designations. I would just like to see the next two

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    2 questions and answers after the one he's quoting.

    3 MR. STEINBERG: Your Honor, I'll talk about these,

    4 but this is in the record. This is Petitioner's Exhibit 15

    5 that's been in front of your Honor. I'm sorry.

    6 Mr. Moriarty's has been lodged with your Honor for quite a

    7 while. So he'll have his opportunity. I'm going to talk

    8 about -- I know what he wants to talk about and we're going

    9 to get to that. So if I can make my presentation, I'd

    10 appreciate it.

    11 MR. HOLGADO: Sure. I just want to make sure

    12 we're going to eventually see those next two questions and

    13 answers, your Honor.

    14 THE COURT: In a trial if they don't show, or in a

    15 proceeding, if they don't show everything that you want,

    16

    you have an opportunity to do that when you're up there.17 MR. HOLGADO: Of course, okay. I'll make a note

    18 of it. Thanks, your Honor.

    19 MR. STEINBERG: Now, let me go back from the

    20 interruption. I want to make sure because this is an

    21 important point and they have to acknowledge it.

    22 "Would you agree that the second prong is an

    23 objective test as to the solvency of the insurer?

    24 "Answer: It is a market test, an objective

    25 test."

    26 What a perfect thing to have in the statute as an

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    2 objective test.

    3 Now, we asked about the other prong, the setting

    4 the reserves prong. Mr. Moriarty a 31-year professional,

    5 was asked:

    6 "Question: Whereas the first prong of 1309 is a

    7 test that's based on the loss reserving judgments of the

    8 insurer, right?"

    9 Mr. Moriarty's answer: "In addition to the

    10 valuation of the assets, yes."

    11 So what is Mr. Moriarty saying?

    12 He's saying the reinsurance prong objective, the

    13 setting reserves subjective, and not only are -- and he

    14 correctly adds in the point that, not only is the insurer

    15 required to make subjective determinations about its

    16

    assets -- its liabilities, what it's going to pay the17 policyholders, but they also have to make subjective

    18 valuations about their assets. There may be illiquid

    19 investments that they're going to have to make subjective

    20 judgments about as well. And that's part of the disclosure

    21 process. That's what they tell the commissioner. That's

    22 what they tell the Insurance Department. They give them

    23 what their reserves are. But importantly, one is within

    24 the mind and the ability of the insurer, the other one

    25 looks to the market.

    26 Now, in this period, and I want to step back for a

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    2 minute. The information that was provided to the New York

    3 Insurance Department has been focused on the subjective

    4 test; whether the loss reserves were correct, whether or

    5 not sufficient information was, what was their valuation of

    6 these highly sophisticated financial instruments that they

    7 had agreed to insure. That is a highly -- you know,

    8 involves a more great amount of subjectivity than could you

    9 turn your book to the reinsurance market.

    10 Now, there's nothing in -- the facts are clear in

    11 the record that MBIA could not meet the reinsurance test.

    12 And in fact, they never looked at it. Never looked at that

    13 prong.

    14 Mr. Moriarty again at 343.

    15 And Mr. Moriarty submitted an affidavit. He

    16

    submitted it to your Honor in connection with the answer to17 the petition. That is dated November 24th, 2009. And in

    18 paragraph 39, Mr. Moriarty describes --

    19 Yeah, let's pull up 39.

    20 And this was submitted simultaneously with the

    21 submission of the record that was certified and he submits

    22 this. And what does Mr. Moriarty, whose testimony I've

    23 just shown you, say? He says that -- he describes what I

    24 told you. 1309 states an insurer is insolvent if the

    25 insurer has an excess of reserves and liabilities over

    26 admitted assets, the subjective test, and is unable to

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    2 reinsure all outstanding risks with other solvent

    3 authorized assuming insurers after paying its claims owed,

    4 the objective test.

    5 Now, in fact, you go to Mr. Moriarty. We asked

    6 him at his deposition at 343, line 7 through 344 line 17.

    7 "Let's turn to your affidavit.

    8 "Do you know" -- this is the person who signed the

    9 letter -- "whether MBIA Insurance could have reinsured all

    10 of its risk prior to the transformation transaction?

    11 "Answer: I do not.

    12 "Do you know whether MBIA Insurance could have

    13 reinsured all of its risk after the transformation

    14 transaction?

    15 "Answer: I do not."

    16

    I'm not sure why I have the other "I do not,"17 but --

    18 "Did the Department ever consider evaluating

    19 whether MBIA Insurance could have reinsured all of its risk

    20 prior to approving the transaction?

    21 "I do not."

    22 He didn't do it. There is nothing in the record

    23 right there on that provision. And in fact, they just

    24 never -- there is nothing in the administrative record at

    25 all where they analyzed the cost to MBIA of reinsuring this

    26 book.

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    2 Now, underneath the tests that the Department

    3 acknowledges in its binding answer, when it says "the

    4 required test of 1309," we win right there. The decision

    5 must be annulled under their own standard. There is no

    6 evidence in that administrative record.

    7 Now, of course, Mr. Holgado got up, you know, as

    8 he should, and said, but your Honor, I have another story.

    9 I can tell you something about this. I can tell you what

    10 Mr. Moriarty said.

    11 And what did Mr. Moriarty say about this? Well,

    12 before I go there, I want to say, what is it that MBIA knew

    13 about this? What did MBIA know about the second prong?

    14 Let's put up Mr. Chaplin's e-mail to Mr. Brown.

    15 Now, this is Exhibit 126, your Honor. This is

    16

    before your Honor. I want to talk with the bottom e-mail17 that's July 27, 2008. This is within the quarter leading

    18 to the 9/30. We're going to talk a lot about September 30,

    19 2008. In that quarter, Chuck Chaplin, the CFO, the chief

    20 financial officer of the parent, is writing Jay Brown, the

    21 CEO of the parent. And they're going to discuss an audit

    22 committee presentation on solvency. Undoubtedly, it was on

    23 their minds. And Fred is referred to Fred Pastore. In

    24 fact, if you go up to the top e-mail, Chuck Chaplin sends

    25 to Fred Pastore this e-mail.

    26 "Fred passed along to me your concerns about the

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    2 slide in this deck" -- and this is the deck being prepared

    3 for the audit committee -- "that asserts that the insurer

    4 is not insolvent under the reinsurance test of 1309. This

    5 was a slide suggested by the attorneys for our meeting with

    6 The New York State Insurance Department" -- "NYSID" --

    7 that's what I'm guessing it means. "The points I would

    8 have made" -- never actually got to the presentation --

    9 "would have been" -- and this is where Mr. Holgado might

    10 stand up a lot.

    11 He said, the esoteric -- this is their view --

    12 "This is an esoteric and never used test hardly seems

    13 relevant when we have all these other really good things."

    14 All their subjective judgments. They have lots of

    15 subjective judgments. They think that's really good.

    16

    That's not what the Legislature thinks, but that's okay.17 "In today's reinsurance market, we don't believe

    18 that there's capacity to reinsure our entire book at

    19 virtually any price, so any analysis of a required price is

    20 highly speculative."

    21 What are they saying? That their book has become

    22 so volatile that there are no other reinsurers out there

    23 for them. That is the nature of insolvency. When your

    24 book can change so fast, so rapidly and the reserves

    25 changing so quickly, that's what the insurance laws are

    26 meant to protect against.

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    2 Then it goes on to discuss Mr. Ackman who is

    3 making a run at them at the time, and they're criticizing

    4 his analysis because everybody was on to this. Everyone

    5 knew as we slipped into the depths of the financial crisis

    6 that reinsurance, because these esoteric instruments were

    7 becoming so volatile and creating such losses, they were,

    8 and I'm sure your Honor remembers the phrase at the time,

    9 called toxic. No one wanted to touch them. So, Ackman's

    10 analysis isn't based on transaction data so they're

    11 criticizing him. And so what they really had, they had a

    12 line in their audit committee papers which was, "We believe

    13 we can do it." So he goes on to say, "The belief that we

    14 have asset adequacy to reinsure in a theoretically open

    15 market" -- and this is what they were going to tell the

    16

    audit committee in the last bullet -- "is really based on17 my conviction that we're highly capital and liquid."

    18 No, no, no. My subjective views? We think we're

    19 great. Since we have a financial position that justifies

    20 our high investment grade, I believe that, you know, if and

    21 when there is a market for this type of reinsurance, it

    22 will be available to us.

    23 How does he, Mr. Chaplin, conclude to the CEO?

    24 "I wouldn't plan on telling the audit committee

    25 that we 'meet the second test of section 1309 in any direct

    26 way.'"

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    2 So the header on the page may be misleading.

    3 They, MBIA, knew, knew, they could not meet this test.

    4 Now, their experts in this case play that theme

    5 out. They play it out. Not surprisingly. That's their

    6 story. They say, hey, you couldn't reinsure it. It was

    7 highly speculative. I know the Legislature said it but,

    8 you know, and Mr. Moriarty said, in 31 years he doesn't

    9 recall ever having to use it, undoubtedly because we never

    10 had a market situation like in the -- over those 31 years.

    11 But they did consider using it once. They thought about

    12 it, and then when we asked about it we were shut down. We

    13 were shut down. We said, we'd like to know about that, and

    14 they said no. And I'm looking forward when he comes up

    15 here, your Honor, to show you about that because it goes to

    16

    a broader issue of their ability and desire to use things17 as a sword and as a shield. They'll let us know a little

    18 bit, but they won't let us know the whole story.

    19 So, the record in this case under this one prong,

    20 and then I'm going to move on to the subjective prong,

    21 there is nothing in the record to support that

    22 determination. Nothing.

    23 So when the reinsurance prong goes away, the focus

    24 has to be, therefore, on the subjective prong. And that's

    25 where Bridge comes in. Because the Department didn't do an

    26 analysis. They said it would take a year or more. It in

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    2 fact took 18, 19 months. It took a long time. Now, they

    3 didn't have that type of time. MBIA wanted to get it done

    4 fast. MBIA started this process and there was a discussion

    5 we had -- there was the discussion -- we had this

    6 discussion the other day.

    7 (Continued on next page.)

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    2 MR. STEINBERG: We had this discussion the other

    3 day where -- I am sorry, let me step back for a moment.

    4 The Department in the end of October changed its

    5 view around whether or not this was going to go forward and

    6 in the end of October, there was a discussion with the

    7 Department by members of MBIA and the Department and

    8 finally, they said we think we will get somewhere, and they

    9 decide that there is going to be an -- they will permit an

    10 application to be filed.

    11 And in connection with the original application,

    12 and this is October 30th of 2008, there is a discussion of

    13 what they will make in their ultimate application and let's

    14 go to the first page of this, Exhibit 242 and this is the

    15 application that gets made in October and they say they are

    16

    going to establish a highly rated finance platform to17 stabilize and assist in unfreezing the domestic market,

    18 increasing the value of the obligations and they say what

    19 they will provide and at the end of the presentation they

    20 preview to the Department how they will prove up that they

    21 should be permitted to do this, so let's go to -- at the

    22 Department in the presentation given, your Honor, one of the

    23 end point slides is sort of the next steps. You finish the

    24 meeting, the last slide is, what are my next steps? The

    25 next steps here are the legal analysis.

    26 Now, one of the issues, as I am sure you can

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    2 appreciate that was being discussed is legal analysis. No

    3 one has any recollection of what was discussed, but what

    4 MBIA tells the Department about what they are going to do

    5 when they come back next is, they are going to find an

    6 opinion of a reputable outside insurance consulting firm to

    7 opine on the reasonableness and fairness of the transaction,

    8 including the Ceding Commission and that will be talking

    9 about the reinsurance transaction and they will have an

    10 insurance consulting firm do that, but then they will get

    11 two other opinions and this is where ultimately it evolves

    12 into Bridge.

    13 They will get an opinion from a reputable

    14 investment bank as to the solvency of Corp, the insurance

    15 company and its ability to pay claims following the

    16

    transaction and they are going to get an opinion from a17 reputable investment bank that Corp, again the insurance

    18 company has reasonably sufficient capital subsequent to the

    19 transaction. They don't say anything there about that they

    20 can -- will show them that the reinsurance part of it works.

    21 But they do say we will get you an opinion from an

    22 investment bank on those two subjects.

    23 Now, in fact -- let me just find this, your Honor.

    24 In fact, they don't get an investment bank, and the

    25 Department announces to -- I am sorry, MBIA announces to the

    26 Department, to Hampton Finer and I will put the e-mail up,

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    2 Petitioners' Exhibit 58, your Honor and Hampton Finer is

    3 told by Bill Fallon, so this is Exhibit 58, bottom e-mail,

    4 this is and I want to walk through this, this is

    5 November 13, 2008, so approximately two weeks after their

    6 meeting with the Department, which happened in October, two

    7 weeks later they want to update regarding project

    8 transformation. "Our meeting two weeks ago which we just

    9 saw we indicated that we would obtain a solvency opinion and

    10 a fairness opinion. Now -- and this is Bill Fallon, who is

    11 from MBIA, he is writing to, you can see Hampton Finer and

    12 he is copying Ram Wertheim the general counsel, Chuck

    13 Chaplin, Mitch Sonkin and Mitch Sonkin and Laurence Larose.

    14 The lawyer from Dewey Leboeuf and they say we will

    15 consult -- and if you're following along, you will realize

    16

    that he switched. Bridge Associates is not an investment17 company, Raymond James is and Raymond James as the

    18 investment bank is providing the fairness opinion, not the

    19 solvency opinion. It is sort of switched.

    20 So nevertheless, they select Bridge, this is

    21 November 13, 2008, and you're going to see this e-mail from

    22 others, so I will just tell you about it, because you will

    23 see it in two different contexts in this case, your Honor.

    24 If you go up, Mr. Finer writes back to Mr. Fallon

    25 on the same day and since you know, they had, MBIA had

    26 raised the topic of third party analysis, third parties,

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    2 independent, he goes I think we might have a third party

    3 analysis of expected loss in the ABS and RMBS portfolios,

    4 the asset backed securities and the residential backed

    5 securities, and if you guys are getting experts, this will

    6 be really good, and he says this doesn't have to be an

    7 element -- have to be an element of the filing necessarily,

    8 but it would really help us in making that fair and

    9 equitable decision, and because you will hear a lot about

    10 Blackrock, I thought I would highlight it.

    11 We are not recommending a particular valuation

    12 provider, but others have used Blackrock with some success.

    13 So on November 13th, they have told the Department

    14 okay, we got Bridge lined up. Well, they sort of have

    15 Bridge lined up, but first things first, you have to get a

    16

    retention letter with Bridge and in fact, Bridge gets17 retained and this is in PX 1011, and the cover page is just

    18 on the final return copy which does not come back to them

    19 until December 11th.

    20 But let's go to the second page of it and this is a

    21 November 17th -- that is four days after the other e-mail,

    22 when they say they selected them and this is going to

    23 confirm the understanding between Dewey and Bridge, that

    24 Dewey has retained Bridge as an expert consultant to review

    25 the financial status. Now, Bridge, let me -- I will go to

    26 the next -- so they are going to, let's go down to the

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    2 services, they are going to identify classes of documents,

    3 to be provided to us and let's go back up to the top. This

    4 is us being Bridge, you're going to provide us the classes

    5 of documents to be provided to us by the client and assist

    6 us to inform ourselves. The lawyers will help them learn

    7 and they are going to appear if and when requested at

    8 administrative proceedings before the New York State

    9 Insurance Department.

    10 And then, in terms of work product, what do they

    11 say? We will provide a written opinion on corporation

    12 solvency as of the measurement date, the solvency opinion

    13 and then, what they say is, oh, by the way, we understand

    14 that any of the documents prepared by us or obtained by us

    15 are only for Dewey and Leboeuf, are the property of Dewey

    16

    and Leboeuf and are subject to Dewey's and -- prepared17 solely for Dewey and Leboeuf and are the property of Dewey

    18 and Leboeuf and are subject to Dewey and Leboeuf's right to

    19 require that they be delivered into their possession at any

    20 time, but you can keep one copy.

    21 And at Bridge, who will do this work and that is

    22 identified in the staffing provision in the next paragraph,

    23 which is Anthony Schnelling will be the managing director,

    24 he will be assisted by Fred Kraegel, a senior consultant,

    25 and to a director of Bridge. Mr. Schnelling passed away

    26 just a few days after this petition was filed, so you won't

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    2 be hearing from him in this case.

    3 But we are going to go in here a little bit, and it

    4 is in the record from Mr. Kraegel, the senior consultant.

    5 Now, for this engagement, for this engagement, they

    6 were going to be paid $1.15 million and they were going to

    7 be paid in installments, basically one week, one week, one

    8 week they will get different parts of this, and what are

    9 they going to -- when are they going to start?

    10 They have an agreement about that, when they will

    11 start and that is in Paragraph 5. Paragraph 5. Bridge is

    12 prepared to commence working on the engagement immediately

    13 following receipt of an executed copy of this agreement and

    14 receipt of the first installment payment.

    15 Now, in fact, in fact, they started to work when

    16

    they got the payment but they didn't necessarily get the17 document back but they did start to work. Now, how much

    18 time before when they started work on this project until

    19 they got it done?

    20 So let's go back to the front page. They started

    21 -- let's assume they got it back that very first day,

    22 November 17th. They submitted their solvency opinion on

    23 December 5th. So two and a half weeks where the Department

    24 said if they did the analysis it would take a year and in

    25 fact it took 18 months, so they will have to go really fast.

    26 And what does Bridge do? Well, they definitely start,

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    2 there is no doubt about it and to expedite things, let's

    3 have Exhibit 1190, to expedite things and this is Mr.

    4 Kraegel and let me go back one moment, your Honor.

    5 , on that engagement letter, we asked Mr. Kraegel

    6 about it and we said is this typical engagement letter?

    7 And he said it is not a typical engagement letter. That is

    8 not how these engagement letters are typically written.

    9 They are usually -- I am sure your Honor has seen them in

    10 many other cases in this part. It was a -- in Mr. Kraegel's

    11 words, not typical.

    12 Now, Appendix -- so they are starting on this

    13 project and they want to go fast. One of the ways in which

    14 they go fast is Mr. Kraegel to Mr. Schnelling, he is

    15 attaching a first draft, this is by November 26th, he is

    16

    attaching the first draft of the opinion and appendices A17 and B related to MBIA.

    18 And they are asking about comments, and he says

    19 please keep in mind as you review or have a desire to edit,

    20 that much of the text has come from other documents and not

    21 originally developed by Bridge and then, they are just --

    22 they want to go fast and I appreciate that, and first of all

    23 it is similar to another one being done, but they say

    24 Appendix A and other places which have a description of

    25 transformation are verbatim from what Dewey and Leboeuf sent

    26 us and again, your Honor this is Plaintiff's Exhibit 1190

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    2 and then he says Number Two, in their desire to go fast,

    3 95 percent of the text is verbatim from the 12- 31-200710-K

    4 for MBIA Inc, the parent and that is the first draft, fair

    5 enough and they want to go fast.

    6 We were sort of interested in the speed of this and

    7 so, because it is pretty remarkable, so we asked Mr. Kraegel

    8 at his deposition, Mr. Kraegel again, I don't think that I

    9 have mentioned this yet, but Mr. Kraegel is not in this

    10 jurisdiction any longer but his -- so his transcript, which

    11 is Plaintiff's Exhibit -- PX 15, we submitted this along

    12 with the Giuffra affidavit in March of 2011. So when your

    13 Honor wants to find that and read it, that is where it is.

    14 We asked Mr. Kraegel, as you sit here today, can

    15 you think of any other solvency work that Bridge did that

    16

    was done in a shorter time than the time spent on the MBIA17 engagement?

    18 What did Mr. Kraegel respond?

    19 I can't speak to all the various solvency opinions

    20 that Bridge has done over the life of its firm, so I can't

    21 answer the question.

    22 The question "But just in terms of your own

    23 recollection, do you recall providing any solvency opinion

    24 after doing less than four weeks of work on it?"

    25 ANSWER: I don't recall at this time."

    26 Two and a half weeks is pretty fast, your Honor.

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    2 When you finally got to the work that they in fact did, they

    3 are able to issue this opinion in early December and let's

    4 pull up -- and the Bridge opinion is part of the

    5 administrative record, your Honor, which was certified and

    6 is our 001 to 980 I believe in the record and so we have

    7 cited to the administrative part of the record for your

    8 Honor, and this came into the Department on December 5,

    9 2008, along with the application.

    10 So, it is not -- let's go to this page first, next

    11 page, so this is the opinion of Bridge Associates LLC

    12 concerning the solvency of MBIA, MBIA Insurance Corporation

    13 in connection with the structural transformation of MBIA

    14 Insurance Corporation.

    15 What I will start with, your Honor, is what were

    16

    the opinions that were given and then we will work backwards17 from there about how they got to those opinions.

    18 So the opinions that were given appear on Page 21

    19 of the document, R85 and we will see an old friend here your

    20 Honor, R85.

    21 You see this is the solvency opinion and the

    22 solvency opinion has several different parts. Let's just

    23 start with the -- let's go to the opinion first.

    24 "Bridge is of the opinion that as of September 30,

    25 2008 MBIA was solvent and not impaired as those terms are

    26 used in the New York State Insurance Law pursuant to Article

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    2 13 and Section 1309, 1310 and 4902(b)1.

    3 Again, what is the required test according to the

    4 New York State Insurance Department? 1309. And they say

    5 aye not only would it be solvent, but it would not be

    6 impaired on September 30th as those terms are used in these

    7 sections and then, they identify how they reach that

    8 opinion, and I will come back to that, your Honor, but I

    9 want you to see the first opinion.

    10 Bridge actually does not only deal with that

    11 opinion but on the next page, they deliver two other

    12 opinions as well. They say that based on their analysis

    13 which I will come back to, I promise, we believe that MBIA's

    14 -- and their knowledge about the underwriting practices we

    15 believe that MBIA's underwriting and surveillance policies

    16

    and practices appear reasonable and are similar to those17 followed by others in the financial guarantee insurance

    18 industry.

    19 They don't tell us who in the financial guarantee

    20 insurance industry, but certainly to others.

    21 And further, they indicate that based upon their

    22 Bridge's review, Bridge's review, the loss reserving

    23 methodologies used by MBIA both in the aggregate and the

    24 individual, appear reasonable for the stimulation of losses

    25 to be incurred by MBIA related to its exposure in structured

    26 and international finance portfolios.

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    2 So that is what Bridge said they did. Those are

    3 the opinions they reached in two and a half weeks. And now,

    4 let's ask ourselves how do you get to those opinions so

    5 quickly? And there is an answer. So if we look at the

    6 very beginning of the Bridge opinion and that is R00 --

    7 00067, again, all from the administrative record, Bridge

    8 starts by discussing what is the summary and scope of the

    9 assignment. Always a good place to start.

    10 So in this, we were a little curious about a couple

    11 of things. We were very curious, it talks about -- this is

    12 the opinion of Bridge Associates concerning the solvency of

    13 MBIA and I want to highlight for your Honor because we will

    14 come back to this for a minute, MBIA Insurance Company (MBIA

    15 or the company) in connection with a structural

    16

    transformation of MBIA, that has been prepared pursuant to17 the engagement of Bridge by Dewey and Leboeuf.

    18 Now, the engagement letter that we talked about,

    19 your Honor, that was never provided to the Department but

    20 they tell them that Dewey and Leboeuf had engaged them.

    21 Bridge was engaged to review MBIA's statutory financial

    22 results and operations and provide an opinion based on those

    23 statutory results as of September 30 of 2008 and so, looking

    24 at what in fact happened in September 30th of 2008 and pro

    25 forma September 30, 2008, having given effect to the

    26 proposed transaction.

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    2 So they are saying we will tell you at

    3 September 30th, were you solvent then and if we did the

    4 transaction as of that same date, even if they are not doing

    5 it that day, would you have been solvent there and we

    6 already saw the opinion they said you bet. Great job.

    7 In arriving at its conclusion and this is where we

    8 got a little flummoxed, your Honor, we didn't understand

    9 this, in arriving at its conclusions as to solvency Bridge

    10 reviewed, analyzed and considered publicly available

    11 documents and information provided by MBIA. Okay. So

    12 they looked at what was in the public domain, and MBIA gave

    13 them stuff.

    14 Now, here is what is curious. This opinion speaks

    15 to September 30th, but it is delivered on December 5th.

    16

    And so, Bridge tells the Department no worries, the solvency17 opinion is based on facts, conditions and circumstances

    18 known to Bridge as of September 5, 2008. I am sorry,

    19 December 5, 2008.

    20 So we wanted to find out. A lot had happened

    21 between September 30th and December 5th. So we asked Mr.

    22 Kraegel, the second in command, the second person on that

    23 staffing list what it was that he meant by that.

    24 So can I pull up -- this is from his video, his

    25 deposition which is in the record and this is Mr. Kraegel.

    26 This is from -- for the record, this is the deposition of

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    2 Mr. Kraegel from Page 50 Line 8 to Page 54 Line 20 and so

    3 this is his deposition on March 5, 2010, and we start by

    4 asking him about that, what do you mean by as of December 5.

    5 If we could see that.

    6 (Videotape played.)

    7 Your Honor, that opinion speaks to additional

    8 events up until December 5, 2008. That is what they told

    9 the Department. They don't know what they based it on.

    10 Now, that is not the only quandary we had in

    11 reviewing the solvency opinion. We go back to our R 67 and

    12 we saw the conclusion and we saw we don't know what they

    13 were taking into account after the financial statements were

    14 prepared, but what we do know is that they say what they did

    15 rely upon.

    16

    Now, what is it that Bridge did in these two and a17 half weeks to gauge? And so, it says in performing its

    18 work, Bridge is relying upon the integrity, accuracy and

    19 completeness of the statutory financial and other

    20 information made available by MBIA, its counsel and its

    21 advisors and MBIA's representations that the provided

    22 information -- provided to Bridge was one prepared in good

    23 faith, and second reflects MBIA's best available estimates

    24 and third, reflect the good faith judgments.

    25 (Whereupon the following was transcribed by Senior

    26 Court Reporter Vicki Glover.)

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    2 MR. STEINBERG: (Continuing) And if you turn to

    3 the next page, did they ask anybody else -- did they ask

    4 anyone other than MBIA, MBIA's advisers and MBIA's lawyers.

    5 For example, did they ask the auditors? Their opinion

    6 addresses that.

    7 Bridge has relied, again, on the information and

    8 employees and representatives of MBIA, but they go and they

    9 say, "Bridge has not conducted an independent validation of

    10 the information and data obtained as part of its work in

    11 conjunction with this solvency opinion, nor did it even

    12 request or obtain access to any audit, compilation or

    13 review work papers of PriceWaterhouseCoopers" -- their

    14 auditor -- "the independent registered public accounting

    15 firm for MBIA."

    16

    So, they didn't -- they rely on MBIA. They don't17 look at the auditors. These are not audited financials

    18 that they're getting. So we wanted to find out what Bridge

    19 did to test the subjective judgments instead of just

    20 relying upon them. And again, we asked Mr. Kraegel about

    21 this.

    22 Could we have Mr. Kraegel at 55:2 through 55:20?

    23 Let me -- one more point.

    24 They also disclaim -- let's go back to R 67.

    25 Bridge makes clear that their opinion is fairly

    26 limited, that they didn't ask the critical question. And

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    2 how do they tell the Department that? They say here:

    3 "The solvency opinion and the work completed to

    4 express such opinion does not constitute an audit, a

    5 review, a compilation, or any other type of financial

    6 reporting engagement that would be subject to the rules of

    7 the SEC, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, or any

    8 National regulatory or professional body which from time to

    9 time may promulgate or regulate those policies."

    10 They're not auditing, reviewing, checking the

    11 information.

    12 So we asked, what were you trying -- Mr. Kraegel,

    13 what were you trying to convey through that?

    14 Now let's play it from page 55 of his deposition,

    15 Mr. Kraegel.

    16

    (Whereupon, the above selected portion of17 Mr. Kraegel's videotaped deposition was played.)

    18 MR. STEINBERG: Your Honor, Mr. Kraegel took, and

    19 Bridge did not do any checking whatsoever of the financial

    20 statements of MBIA. They didn't question them. They

    21 didn't do anything to evaluate them. They accepted them

    22 100 percent.

    23 Now, your Honor, I'm about to go back through the

    24 opinion. I know we've been going for about an hour and a

    25 half. If it pleases the Court, maybe this is a convenient

    26 time for a break.

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    2 THE COURT: Perfect.

    3 MR. STEINBERG: Thank you, your Honor.

    4 THE COURT: Let's take a ten-minute break.

    5 (Recess taken.)

    6 THE COURT: Okay.

    7 MR. STEINBERG: Thank you, your Honor.

    8 Right before we broke, and we were talking about

    9 the Bridge opinion and we talked about the constraints and

    10 limitations of that, and I told you after talking about the

    11 opinion and constraints, I would go back and show you what

    12 was the data that was used to support Bridge's solvency

    13 analysis. And in connection with that analysis, I'll show

    14 you where it is in the record, in the administrative

    15 record. And so if we go to page R 85, there are -- and

    16

    again, sort of bringing us back, we're talking about the17 1309 determination. And so when Bridge gave its solvency

    18 opinion, it gave a lot of other -- it gave other statutory

    19 provisions, but we've been focusing on 1309 because that's

    20 what the Department's answer in this case says.

    21 So, Bridge gives three sort of supporting points

    22 for its solvency opinions. The first one, which is based

    23 upon a net admitted assets and other funds, that doesn't

    24 relate to 1309, and 1309 isn't mentioned in that first one,

    25 and so I'm not going to talk about it here today, your

    26 Honor.

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    2 The second analysis they give, they're going to

    3 focus on policyholder surplus. And that's on a pro forma

    4 basis. And that's under, again, not under 1309.

    5 But if we go to the next page, they actually --

    6 here's where they identify actually, and they don't

    7 identify 1309, but as your Honor will recall from our

    8 earlier discussion, "having sufficient funds to pay its

    9 current and outstanding obligations and claims when such

    10 amounts became due and payable pre-transformation."

    11 Now, that is based upon, as they say, two separate

    12 tables. Now, the tables, which we'll go to in a moment,

    13 are information that Bridge received from MBIA and that

    14 they incorporated into their opinion. And as we saw from

    15 Mr. Kraegel, they accepted it hook, line and sinker. They

    16

    accepted the accuracy of all of the information in the two-17 and-a-half weeks that they had to operate here. And so

    18 let's take a look at table 6.

    19 And table 6 is -- which is at R 82, four pages

    20 back. And if we look at the caption at the head, this is

    21 projected --

    22 Go to table 6. Prior page. Thank you. This is

    23 on page R 81.

    24 "Projected statutory loss coverage ratios as of

    25 September 30, 2008, pre-transformation." So this is not

    26 given effect yet. This is if it just stayed, what would be

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    2 the future. And the analysis that they've done, the

    3 analysis that Bridge did with the numbers that came from

    4 MBIA, is they've given sort of two ratios. And the ratios

    5 are located on the bottom of -- and let me explain what

    6 this chart does.

    7 What this chart does is start -- it's actually,

    8 although it has three lines, really if they had a long

    9 piece of paper it would be linear. It is taking their

    10 investment portfolio; how they were doing with their

    11 assets, and then their loss reserves; how they were doing

    12 with their losses, and how they were going to pay out those

    13 losses, the timing of those losses up until 12/31/2039. So

    14 actually, if you think about these, these are actually one

    15 long linear timeline. And so that's why at the very top it

    16

    says "Projected Q4."17 We can blow it up a little. I'm sorry, but this

    18 is the quality of the copy we received, so this is what we

    19 have.

    20 And so you see 12/31/08. And if we go all the way

    21 back down -- and 12/31/09. And if we go all the way down

    22 to the bottom, here we are, at 2039 and they have these

    23 ratios. Now, that's if you didn't give effect taking

    24 MBIA's numbers how it would be. Now that's fine. That's

    25 if you didn't do the transaction.

    26 Now, they also did an analysis, and now I'm going

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    2 to start to focus on the numbers in table 7, which is at

    3 page R 82, about what is the statutory loss coverage ratios

    4 post-transformation, giving effect to it. And this is

    5 table 7. And your Honor will recall in that bullet point

    6 where we mentioned table 6 and table 7, that's why we're

    7 here.

    8 So, for the projected statutory loss coverage

    9 ratio -- and now I'm going to need my glasses -- if you

    10 look at the investment portfolio, they say they've got 7.4

    11 billion in the investment portfolio, and then they -- this

    12 is Projected Q4. So this is the very first quarter after

    13 the 9/30/08s, right? This is the very first quarter. And

    14 the ratios that they're going to do, we have the investment

    15 portfolio which lines up with the 7 billion -- 7.4, a loss

    16

    reserve of 1.67 billion, and then we have qualified17 statutory capital. They have 5 billion. This is Projected

    18 Q4.

    19 Now, remember, Mr. Kraegel couldn't tell us what

    20 he did, what new information they took into account after

    21 September 30, '08. So, I don't know how they get there but

    22 we'll talk about that.

    23 And then they have a loss reserve analysis, $5

    24 billion. Statutory capital. And then they start doing

    25 ratios. And what the ratios do is they say there's this

    26 reserve coverage ratio, which takes the investment, the top

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    2 line, and it divides by the loss reserve balance. And that

    3 loss reserve is the third item. So, in this --

    4 No, you have the wrong one. Sorry. We have

    5 the -- right. The investment over loss. So you'll see the

    6 two top numbers. 7.4 billion, then you divide it by 1.671,

    7 and it's very simple, 4.4. So that's the ratio that Bridge

    8 looked at. And they also looked at, right, they divide the

    9 income with 4.4, and I think my math is roughly right. You

    10 get 4.4 times. That's the coverage ratio.

    11 Now, they have a different analysis that's the

    12 claims coverage ratio. And the claims coverage ratio,

    13 though, takes the beginning investments, again, looking to

    14 the investment portfolio, right, because that's the

    15 investment, and then the projected loss payout. And you

    16

    divide the two. And you actually do them in different17 quarters. So you take the beginning for the period so that

    18 you have it at the beginning, and then you have the losses

    19 that would be paid in that next year. So you're taking --

    20 for example, you would take the Q 3/1/08 for the assets,

    21 and the projected loss payout you wouldn't look in '08

    22 because that's the end of the year, you have to look to the

    23 beginning of the next year. And that's that ratio.

    24 Now, for most of those, the claims coverage ratio,

    25 if we go -- let's take the cutouts out of this exhibit. If

    26 we just look at it, for many of them they don't come up

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    2 with a number at all. There's an NMF. And either it's --

    3 we're not sure if it's either no meaningful finding, not

    4 meaningful, I don't know. We just don't know. But we know

    5 what they did have across the page is for each of these

    6 they had the reserve coverage ratio.

    7 Now, the reserve coverage ratio is meant to show,

    8 hey, look, this is going to be great after the

    9 transformation. And what they do is they take the numbers

    10 of that and in the first year there's going to be 4.4 times

    11 the coverage ratio. In the second year there's going to be

    12 10. In the third year there's going to be 17. In the

    13 fourth-year there's going to be 13.9. And they go out

    14 until 2039. And, you know, it either goes up or it goes

    15 down, but by the end of the period, which is important

    16

    because a lot of these obligations come due toward the17 end --

    18 Let's put that back up.

    19 In the later years they're saying that oh, you

    20 guys, you should relax, because in the later years it's

    21 like 43 times the coverage, and 41, 39, 36. That's going

    22 to be gravy in 2039. It's going to be wonderful when all

    23 of these obligations come due.

    24 So that's how Bridge comes to their conclusion.

    25 They say, okay, look, there's this cushion, it goes up and

    26 down over time but it stays pretty big.

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    2 So now you got to ask yourself, okay, I see that,

    3 that's how you did the math, but how did you get the

    4 numbers? And so, again, we sort of wanted to find that out

    5 too, because what really drew our attention very early was,

    6 if you look in the -- and let's blow up the very first two

    7 time periods, Q 12/31/08 and 12/31/09 -- in the midst of

    8 the financial crisis -- and if we can put up the header

    9 next to it so we can see which one's which. We're pretty

    10 close -- we wanted to find out, you know, loss reserves.

    11 They have 1.67 billion of loss reserves for that first

    12 year. What was the analysis that they had to get there?

    13 We asked Mr. Kraegel this.

    14 (Whereupon, a selected portion of Mr. Kraegel's

    15 videotaped deposition started to be played.)

    16

    MR. STEINBERG: Let's stop. I want to go back17 because there's two numbers he's going to talk about.

    18 Let's go back and show R 22.

    19 So there's two numbers that are sort of

    20 interesting in the first two years. This 1.6 as of

    21 12/31/08, and then the 12/31/09, and you'll notice that

    22 life's really good. It's going down. It's going down. In

    23 the middle of the financial crisis they're saying the

    24 numbers are going down. So the 611 you should -- you know,

    25 that's pretty honkey dory.

    26 So, now, we asked Mr. Kraegel how he got to those

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    2 numbers.

    3 (Whereupon, a selected portion of Mr. Kraegel's

    4 videotaped deposition was played.)

    5 (Continued on next page.)

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    26

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    2 MR. STEINBERG: What Mr. Kraegel is saying is that

    3 even though Bridge looked at their loss models --

    4 A, he can't tell you what those loss models

    5 produced.

    6 B, he can't tell you how they even got the first

    7 number, that first quarter out, where that number came from,

    8 and how it makes sense that in the end of 2008, when the

    9 financial crisis was upon them, that he thought things were

    10 going to be 300 times better in that second year and he

    11 can't tell us -- and we don't know, but that was his

    12 analysis.

    13 Now, it is actually even a little bit worse than

    14 that, because he can't even tell us and this is -- I will

    15 not show the clip again, you have seen him, he can't even

    16

    tell us the answer to the following question "Among the MBIA17 financials that you considered in your solvency opinions

    18 were loss projections, is that right?"

    19 His answer in the deposition, Page 54, "I don't

    20 recall specifically today."

    21 He could not even say that they reviewed the loss

    22 reserves, your Honor, so this opinion manufactured in two

    23 and a half weeks would not be really a deep dive into these

    24 figures. He accepted MBIA's numbers. They don't even

    25 understand what their opinion is based upon. They say it is

    26 based on events that are after 2000 -- after September 30,

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    2 2008 up to the date of the opinion, which by the way, is two

    3 full months of losses leading up to December 31st. They

    4 didn't adjust for it, don't know the basis for the numbers

    5 and these are the numbers that drive the model.

    6 So now, not only does this -- you have to question

    7 whether or not this meets the good faith subjective test

    8 either, and what is the value of this opinion.

    9 Now, I was reminded when I went back through my

    10 notes, I failed to tell you one other thing about the

    11 objective test and I would like to tell you about it, which

    12 is that while the respondents have an expert, Mr. Dudney,

    13 who will say oh, it could not be done but you're really

    14 looking at the wrong question, you know, the reinsurance, we

    15 are looking at the wrong question, that is what the statute

    16

    says, but we are looking at the wrong question and they say17 oh, it has never been applied, blah, blah, blah.

    18 We have Professor Stulz, and Professor Stulz is a

    19 finance professor and what he testifies is here is, look,

    20 what are these things, these financial instruments that are

    21 being insured? They are loans.

    22 How do people hedge loans? They have these things

    23 called credit default contracts, CDSs, credit default swaps,

    24 say Fred submits a mortgage and I say I think Fred is good,

    25 I will bet on Fred and someone says I don't think Fred is so

    26 good, I will bet against him and that is the nature of it

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    2 and the credit default swap market is an operating market

    3 that has trillions of dollars in it, and when they want to

    4 suggest there was no capacity for that, Professor Stulz will

    5 show there is no capacity for reinsurance?

    6 No, no, no, these are simple loans, they are

    7 aggregated, but Professor Stulz will show that in fact, they

    8 meet that obligation.

    9 I won't say that MBIA Corp, because their financial

    10 portfolio was not in good shape, so they could not sell all

    11 of their assets and thereby buy reinsurance that would allow

    12 them to buy it, so that is Professor Stulz who we have

    13 engaged and their professor says well, look the other way,

    14 that is not the test.

    15 So I want to talk a little bit now about after the

    16

    opinion was delivered in December, there was a fair amount17 of analysis that -- well, there was, I will say, analysis

    18 and there was analysis internally by MBIA and there was some

    19 review externally by Mr. Buchmiller and Mr. Buchmiller at

    20 the end of January of 2009, Mr. Buchmiller was talking to

    21 the people at MBIA and they all -- and MBIA came forward and

    22 said, we have to tell you something. We have to tell that

    23 you Bridge has -- there is a mistake in Bridge.

    24 Now, Mr. Buchmiller says okay, well, you know, tell

    25 me about it. And at the end of January, 2009 and this

    26 petitioners Exhibit 146, Mr. Buchmiller in writing to his

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    2 supervisor, Mr. Moriarty and colleague, he writes to Matti

    3 Peltonen and others, Scott Fischer, Hampton Finer and other

    4 people whose names we have talked about, Glenda Gallardo who

    5 was with him in some of the interviews, he writes the status

    6 of my MBIA review again, January 30, 2009.

    7 And he is describing what he is doing and we will

    8 go over the memos for other purposes, but he says "During

    9 our review, they identified an error in the data set given

    10 to Bridge --" and then, he is reporting that he conferred

    11 with them about that yesterday and they briefed me on the

    12 changes. And there was this error, there is, it is

    13 undisputed there was this error and he describes what the

    14 error was, and this related to a portion of the portfolio

    15 the multiple sector CDOs, the credit default obligations

    16

    that were in the multiple sectors, meaning different types17 of CDO combined and -- default obligations combined, and he

    18 said while present value, the losses -- but they plugged the

    19 present value amounts back in the out year cash flows

    20 instead of the undiscounted amounts.

    21 Your Honor does not have to understand that, I

    22 don't have to understand that, but all we have to do is say

    23 there was a mistake. I have seen the spread sheets, we are

    24 not going there, but if you look at the cash flows here is

    25 the conclusion that he goes through and he says if you look

    26 at the cash flows on Pages 19 and 20 of Bridge, the

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    2 penultimate line "reserve coverage ratio" that your Honor

    3 and I were talking about, the line that had the 4.4, 4.6 in

    4 the out years, the further out years and in the box where we

    5 are looking at before, it was at 33.7, right, things will be

    6 good in 2039, don't worry about it, he says they drop to

    7 about 5x, so they drop way down. One error.

    8 And still, in the ample solvency market, in

    9 conferring with MBIA on this, I realized that as many ABS

    10 and CDOs have legal finals, when are they all coming due,

    11 45 years out so they need to extend the cash flows to us at

    12 least to 2053, not the 2039 that is in the Bridge opinion.

    13 And so, what I thought -- they learn about it and

    14 what is interesting is that this was supposed to be Bridge's

    15 job. Bridge was supposed to review the modeling. Bridge

    16

    gave a modeling opinion. They said that again and when we17 go back to the solvency opinion, I will not put it up, but

    18 the solvency opinion said that we looked at their modeling

    19 and it appeared reasonable.

    20 So Bridge misses the error, two and a half weeks,

    21 okay, but MBIA does do this. They tell them.

    22 Now, because Bridge didn't have -- didn't discover

    23 the error, MBIA has to tell them about it and MBIA has to

    24 describe it. And so, let's put up the Fred Pastore -- PX,

    25 petitioners Exhibit 948 your Honor, and Mr. Pastore is an

    26 MBIA executive, I believe he is the treasurer and he is

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    2 writing Eric Glassman at Bridge and Fred Kraegel, who he has

    3 seen from Bridge and this is January 30, note the date, the

    4 date after the error gets discovered and so, Pastore sends

    5 them over a -- what -- how they made the mistake and so they

    6 write "As requested, attached are the summary of issues

    7 discovered with our original model", so making clear that

    8 this is, you know, the issue in their model and the steps

    9 taken to now properly reflect the timing of the securities

    10 and the calculation of the loss reserves and so, if you go

    11 to the next page, I will not spend a whole lot of time on

    12 it, but they have their analysis of what happened and they

    13 again, they say MBIA discovered we made an error in the cash

    14 and loss reserve for the long dated ABS CDOs, these were in

    15 the pro forma financial models used by Bridge to test