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Table of Contents Page 1 Table 1 Page 1 Q1 Do you think the government should call a referendum on the border? Base: All Adults aged 18+ years Table 2 Page 6 Q2 If there was a referendum on the border would you: Base: All Adults aged 18+ years Table 3 Page 11 Q3a Has the recent decision for the UK to leave the European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base: All who would vote in a referendum Table 4 Page 15 Q3b Has the recent decision for the UK to leave the European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base: All who would not vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum Table 5 Page 20 Q4 If a future referendum resulted in Scotland voting to leave the UK, how if at all, would that affect how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ireland Base: All Adults aged 18+ years Table 6 Page 25 Analysis of Sample Base: All Adults aged 18+ years

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  • Table of Contents Page 1 Table 1 Page 1 Q1 Do you think the go vernment should call a referendum on the border? Base: All Adults aged 18+ years Table 2 Page 6 Q2 If there was a refe rendum on the border would you: Base: All Adults aged 18+ years Table 3 Page 11 Q3a Has the recent dec ision for the UK to leave the European Union change d your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer t han that? Base: All who would vo te in a referendum Table 4 Page 15 Q3b Has the recent dec ision for the UK to leave the European Union change d your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer t han that? Base: All who would no t vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum Table 5 Page 20 Q4 If a future referen dum resulted in Scotland voting to leave the UK, ho w if at all, would that affect how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ireland Base: All Adults aged 18+ years Table 6 Page 25 Analysis of Sample Base: All Adults aged 18+ years

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 1/1 Q1 Do you think the government should call a refer endum on the border? Base : All Adults aged 18+ years GENDER AGE AGE MARITIAL STATUS SOCIAL GRADE ---------- --- ----------------------------------------- - ------------------- -------------------- ------ --------------------- Wid/ 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Marr Sep/ Total Male Fem ale years years years years years years years years years ied Div. Single AB C1 C2 DE Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R UNWEIGHTED 979 481 498 130 161 164 172 146 206 291 336 352 557 136 286 193 267 192 327 WEIGHTED 979 466 513 135 170 178 163 135 198 305 341 333 544 138 298 184 244 212 339 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% Yes 321 150 171 46 49 **79 61 *33 *53 95 **140 **86 172 47 102 **76 69 66 110 33% 32% 33% 34% 29% 44% 37% 24% 27% 31% 41% 26% 32% 34% 34% 41 % 28% 31% 33% DGH gh iK Pqr No 511 **268 ** 243 69 81 **71 84 *82 **123 150 **155 **205 298 70 142 90 137 114 170 52% 58% 47% 51% 47% 40% 51% 61% 62% 49% 46% 62% 55% 51% 48% 49 % 56% 54% 50% B e dE DEf IJ Don't know 147 **47 ** 100 19 **40 28 18 20 22 **60 46 41 74 20 53 *18 39 32 58 15% 10% 19% 14% 24% 16% 11% 15% 11% 20% 13% 12% 14% 15% 18% 10 % 16% 15% 17% A cFgH jk o Columns Tested: A,B - C,D,E,F,G,H - I,J,K - L,M,N - O,P,Q,R Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 1

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 1/2 Q1 Do you think the government should call a refer endum on the border? Base : All Adults aged 18+ years WORKING SOCIAL GRADE STATUS ADULTS CHIL DREN U.16 CHILDREN U.16 TE NURE -------- ----- ------------- -------------------- ---- --------- --------------------------- --------- ----------- No ne Any None Three Owner Pri Empl At At At or Occu Re nted vate Total ABC1 C2DE oyed Other 1 2 3+ Ho me Home Home One Two more pier NIHE Renter Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P UNWEIGHTED 979 460 519 360 346 225 477 277 6 46 333 646 154 115 64 658 164 148 WEIGHTED 979 428 551 355 344 234 460 284 6 31 348 631 162 117 68 643 176 150 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Yes 321 145 177 114 105 68 157 96 **1 87 **134 **187 54 **53 28 205 52 *63 33% 34% 32% 32% 31% 29% 34% 34% 30% 39% 30% 33% 45% 40% 32% 30% 42% H J no No 511 226 285 192 191 125 236 150 **3 59 **152 **359 81 **44 28 *354 94 **57 52% 53% 52% 54% 55% 53% 51% 53% 57% 44% 57% 50% 37% 41% 55% 53% 38% I Lm l P P Don't know 147 57 90 49 48 42 68 38 86 61 86 28 21 13 *85 30 30 15% 13% 16% 14% 14% 18% 15% 13% 14% 18% 14% 17% 18% 19% 13% 17% 20% n Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G - H,I - J,K,L,M - N,O,P Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 2

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 1/3 Q1 Do you think the government should call a refer endum on the border? Base : All Adults aged 18+ years COMMUN ITY REGION BACKGR OUND SUMMARY REGION AREA ETHNICITY -------- ----- ------------- --------------------------- --------------------- ------------- ----------- -- Grtr Bel White fast Bel Grtr Tyrone UK/ Prote Cath incld Rest fast Bel /Ferm Ire Total stant olic BC NI City fast Down Armagh anagh Derry Antrim Urban Rural land Oth er Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O UNWEIGHTED 979 477 373 330 649 104 226 201 33 138 117 160 626 353 943 34 WEIGHTED 979 459 405 380 599 161 219 159 79 131 124 107 618 361 942 34 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% Yes 321 **82 **214 **88 **233 41 **47 58 37 *54 **56 28 190 131 313 9 33% 18% 53% 23% 39% 25% 22% 37% 47 % 41% 45% 26% 31% 36% 33% 25% A C eFk eFk eFK EFK No 511 **332 **124 **251 **260 **103 **148 74 33 **50 **41 63 **350 **161 **503 * *6 52% 72% 31% 66% 43% 64% 68% 46% 41 % 38% 33% 59% 57% 45% 53% 19% B D GhIJ GHIJ j gIJ M O Don't know 147 **46 67 **41 **106 17 *24 27 9 *27 *27 16 **77 **70 **126 ** 19 15% 10% 17% 11% 18% 11% 11% 17% 11 % 21% 22% 15% 13% 19% 13% 56% A C ef eF L N Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G,H,I,J,K - L,M - N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 3

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 1/4 Q1 Do you think the government should call a refer endum on the border? Base : All Adults aged 18+ years NATIONAL IDENTITY NATIONAL IDENTITY -------- ---------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------------------------- Brit ish Irish British Brit and and Irish North ish North North and Northe Brit ern and ern ern Northern Briti rn Engli Scotti ish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Total sh Irish Irish sh sh Welsh Other only only only only only only only Other Significance Level: 95% a b c *d *e *f g h i j *k l *m *n o Significance Level: 99% A B C *D *E *F G H I J *K L *M *N O UNWEIGHTED 979 474 274 310 15 4 1 31 373 238 208 9 73 14 13 51 WEIGHTED 979 457 294 294 12 5 1 35 367 258 201 9 64 16 12 54 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Yes 321 **76 **175 85 2 1 0 8 **61 **159 66 5 **8 *9 2 11 33% 17% 59% 29% 13% 24% - 24% 17% 62% 33% 54% 13% 61% 15% 21% ACG A HJLO HL No 511 **322 **80 165 *10 3 1 **3 **261 **66 106 2 **47 **2 *10 **17 52% 71% 27% 56% 82% 58% 100% 10% 71% 26% 53% 24% 73% 15% 80% 32% BCG g BG IJO IO IJO Don't know 147 58 39 43 1 1 0 **24 45 33 29 2 9 4 1 **25 15% 13% 13% 15% 5% 18% - 67% 12% 13% 14% 22% 14% 25% 5% 47% ABC HIJL Columns Tested: A,B,C,D,E,F,G - H,I,J,K,L,M,N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 4

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 1/5 Q1 Do you think the government should call a refer endum on the border? Base : All Adults aged 18+ years R EFERENDUM VOTE -------- -------------------- NI join Stay RoI Would in o utside not Total UK UK DK vote Significance Level: 95% a b c *d Significance Level: 99% A B C *D UNWEIGHTED 979 629 203 119 28 WEIGHTED 979 614 215 126 24 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Yes 321 **116 **169 34 **2 33% 19% 78% 27% 10% AC a No 511 **440 **39 **26 **6 52% 72% 18% 21% 25% BC Don't know 147 **58 **8 **66 **16 15% 9% 3% 52% 66% B AB Columns Tested: A,B,C,D Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 5

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 2/1 Q2 If there was a referendum on the border would y ou: Base : All Adults aged 18+ years GENDER AGE AGE MARITIAL STATUS SOCIAL GRADE ---------- --- ----------------------------------------- - ------------------- -------------------- ------ --------------------- Wid/ 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Marr Sep/ Total Male Fem ale years years years years years years years years years ied Div. Single AB C1 C2 DE Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R UNWEIGHTED 979 481 498 130 161 164 172 146 206 291 336 352 557 136 286 193 267 192 327 WEIGHTED 979 466 513 135 170 178 163 135 198 305 341 333 544 138 298 184 244 212 339 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% Vote to stay in the United 614 286 328 91 107 **90 93 81 **152 197 **183 **233 344 95 175 **98 143 *150 223 Kingdom 63% 61% 64% 67% 63% 51% 57% 60% 77% 65% 54% 70% 63% 69% 59% 53 % 59% 70% 66% E e DEFG J J Op O Vote for Northern Ireland to 215 *118 *97 26 33 **54 *46 29 **28 59 **99 **57 114 26 75 46 56 43 70 join the Republic of Ireland 22% 25% 19% 19% 19% 30% 28% 22% 14% 19% 29% 17% 21% 19% 25% 25 % 23% 20% 21% outside the United Kingdom b cdH H IK Don't know 126 50 75 16 25 *32 22 17 **14 42 53 *31 73 12 40 **34 39 *17 36 13% 11% 15% 12% 15% 18% 13% 13% 7% 14% 16% 9% 13% 9% 14% 19 % 16% 8% 11% h H h k Qr q Would not vote 24 11 13 2 5 3 3 **8 4 7 5 12 13 4 7 5 6 3 10 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 6% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3 % 3% 1% 3% ef Columns Tested: A,B - C,D,E,F,G,H - I,J,K - L,M,N - O,P,Q,R Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 6

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 2/2 Q2 If there was a referendum on the border would y ou: Base : All Adults aged 18+ years WORKING SOCIAL GRADE STATUS ADULTS CHIL DREN U.16 CHILDREN U.16 TE NURE -------- ----- ------------- -------------------- ---- --------- --------------------------- --------- ----------- No ne Any None Three Owner Pri Empl At At At or Occu Re nted vate Total ABC1 C2DE oyed Other 1 2 3+ Ho me Home Home One Two more pier NIHE Renter Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P UNWEIGHTED 979 460 519 360 346 225 477 277 6 46 333 646 154 115 64 658 164 148 WEIGHTED 979 428 551 355 344 234 460 284 6 31 348 631 162 117 68 643 176 150 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Vote to stay in the United 614 **241 **372 215 **239 149 284 181 *4 12 *202 *412 100 *61 40 407 117 86 Kingdom 63% 56% 68% 60% 70% 63% 62% 64% 65% 58% 65% 62% 52% 58% 63% 67% 57% A c i L Vote for Northern Ireland to 215 102 113 75 69 51 94 70 1 30 85 130 36 31 19 141 30 *43 join the Republic of Ireland 22% 24% 21% 21% 20% 22% 20% 25% 21% 25% 21% 22% 26% 27% 22% 17% 28% outside the United Kingdom o Don't know 126 **73 **53 *56 **27 29 *70 *27 * 71 *55 *71 24 *23 8 79 24 21 13% 17% 10% 16% 8% 12% 15% 9% 11% 16% 11% 15% 20% 12% 12% 13% 14% B D g h j Would not vote 24 11 13 9 9 6 12 7 18 6 18 2 2 2 17 5 1 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 3% 1% Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G - H,I - J,K,L,M - N,O,P Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 7

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 2/3 Q2 If there was a referendum on the border would y ou: Base : All Adults aged 18+ years COMMUN ITY REGION BACKGR OUND SUMMARY REGION AREA ETHNICITY -------- ----- ------------- --------------------------- --------------------- ------------- ----------- -- Grtr Bel White fast Bel Grtr Tyrone UK/ Prote Cath incld Rest fast Bel /Ferm Ire Total stant olic BC NI City fast Down Armagh anagh Derry Antrim Urban Rural land Oth er Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O UNWEIGHTED 979 477 373 330 649 104 226 201 33 138 117 160 626 353 943 34 WEIGHTED 979 459 405 380 599 161 219 159 79 131 124 107 618 361 942 34 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% Vote to stay in the United 614 **404 **151 **274 **340 105 **168 91 40 **66 *66 *77 **415 **199 **601 ** 12 Kingdom 63% 88% 37% 72% 57% 65% 77% 57% 50 % 51% 53% 72% 67% 55% 64% 35% B D i eGHIJ GhIJ M O Vote for Northern Ireland to 215 **22 **176 **51 **164 28 **23 43 **32 37 35 18 **115 **100 209 6 join the Republic of Ireland 22% 5% 43% 13% 27% 17% 10% 27% 41 % 28% 28% 17% 19% 28% 22% 19% outside the United Kingdom A C Fk EFK Fk Fk L Don't know 126 **21 **71 49 77 28 22 20 5 *25 20 **6 77 49 **110 ** 14 13% 5% 17% 13% 13% 17% 10% 13% 7 % 19% 16% 6% 13% 13% 12% 41% A K k fK K N Would not vote 24 11 8 6 18 0 6 4 2 3 3 **6 11 13 22 2 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% - 3% 3% 2 % 2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 2% 5% e Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G,H,I,J,K - L,M - N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 8

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 2/4 Q2 If there was a referendum on the border would y ou: Base : All Adults aged 18+ years NATIONAL IDENTITY NATIONAL IDENTITY -------- ---------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------------------------- Brit ish Irish British Brit and and Irish North ish North North and Northe Brit ern and ern ern Northern Briti rn Engli Scotti ish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Total sh Irish Irish sh sh Welsh Other only only only only only only only Other Significance Level: 95% a b c *d *e *f g h i j *k l *m *n o Significance Level: 99% A B C *D *E *F G H I J *K L *M *N O UNWEIGHTED 979 474 274 310 15 4 1 31 373 238 208 9 73 14 13 51 WEIGHTED 979 457 294 294 12 5 1 35 367 258 201 9 64 16 12 54 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Vote to stay in the United 614 **388 **100 193 *11 **0 1 **8 **316 **81 124 4 **54 **3 **12 **20 Kingdom 63% 85% 34% 66% 89% - 100% 24% 86% 31% 62% 43% 85% 22% 100% 38% BCG BG IJO IO IJO Vote for Northern Ireland to 215 **20 **150 **44 *0 **5 0 6 **16 **144 35 1 **3 5 0 11 join the Republic of Ireland 22% 4% 51% 15% - 100% - 18% 4% 56% 18% 10% 4% 34% - 21% outside the United Kingdom ACG A A HJLO HL HL Don't know 126 **36 39 *47 1 0 0 **19 **25 31 **37 **4 5 4 0 **19 13% 8% 13% 16% 5% - - 53% 7% 12% 18% 47% 8% 26% - 36% a A ABC h Hl HIJL Would not vote 24 12 6 9 1 0 0 2 9 3 5 0 2 **3 0 3 2% 3% 2% 3% 6% - - 5% 3% 1% 2% - 3% 18% - 5% Columns Tested: A,B,C,D,E,F,G - H,I,J,K,L,M,N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 9

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 2/5 Q2 If there was a referendum on the border would y ou: Base : All Adults aged 18+ years R EFERENDUM VOTE -------- -------------------- NI join Stay RoI Would in o utside not Total UK UK DK vote Significance Level: 95% a b c *d Significance Level: 99% A B C *D UNWEIGHTED 979 629 203 119 28 WEIGHTED 979 614 215 126 24 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Vote to stay in the United 614 614 **0 **0 **0 Kingdom 63% 100% - - - BC Vote for Northern Ireland to 215 **0 215 **0 **0 join the Republic of Ireland 22% - 100% - - outside the United Kingdom AC Don't know 126 **0 **0 126 *0 13% - - 100% - AB Would not vote 24 **0 *0 0 24 2% - - - 100% Columns Tested: A,B,C,D Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 10

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 3/1 Q3a Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would vote in a referendum GENDER AGE AGE MARITIAL STATUS SOCIAL GRADE ---------- --- ----------------------------------------- - ------------------- -------------------- ------ --------------------- Wid/ 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Marr Sep/ Total Male Fem ale years years years years years years years years years ied Div. Single AB C1 C2 DE Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R UNWEIGHTED 832 419 413 112 133 133 146 121 187 245 279 308 474 120 238 154 220 174 284 WEIGHTED 829 404 425 117 140 143 139 110 180 256 282 290 458 121 250 144 199 192 293 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% The EU referendum decision 138 *56 *82 19 25 25 29 16 23 45 54 40 78 16 44 **37 28 29 44 changed my view 17% 14% 19% 17% 18% 18% 21% 15% 13% 17% 19% 14% 17% 13% 18% 25 % 14% 15% 15% a PqR The EU referendum decision did 691 *348 * 343 97 114 118 110 94 156 212 228 251 380 105 206 **108 171 163 249 not change my view 83% 86% 81% 83% 82% 82% 79% 85% 87% 83% 81% 86% 83% 87% 82% 75 % 86% 85% 85% b O o O Columns Tested: A,B - C,D,E,F,G,H - I,J,K - L,M,N - O,P,Q,R Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 11

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 3/2 Q3a Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would vote in a referendum WORKING SOCIAL GRADE STATUS ADULTS CHIL DREN U.16 CHILDREN U.16 TE NURE -------- ----- ------------- -------------------- ---- --------- --------------------------- --------- ----------- No ne Any None Three Owner Pri Empl At At At or Occu Re nted vate Total ABC1 C2DE oyed Other 1 2 3+ Ho me Home Home One Two more pier NIHE Renter Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P UNWEIGHTED 832 374 458 297 309 190 397 245 5 60 272 560 126 91 55 563 137 127 WEIGHTED 829 344 485 290 308 199 378 251 5 42 287 542 136 92 59 548 147 128 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% The EU referendum decision 138 65 73 44 47 29 68 41 92 47 92 18 18 10 95 19 23 changed my view 17% 19% 15% 15% 15% 15% 18% 16% 17% 16% 17% 13% 20% 17% 17% 13% 18% The EU referendum decision did 691 278 412 246 261 170 310 210 4 50 240 450 118 74 48 453 128 105 not change my view 83% 81% 85% 85% 85% 85% 82% 84% 83% 84% 83% 87% 80% 83% 83% 87% 82% Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G - H,I - J,K,L,M - N,O,P Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 12

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 3/3 Q3a Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would vote in a referendum COMMUN ITY REGION BACKGR OUND SUMMARY REGION AREA ETHNICITY -------- ----- ------------- --------------------------- --------------------- ------------- ----------- -- Grtr Bel White fast Bel Grtr Tyrone UK/ Prote Cath incld Rest fast Bel /Ferm Ire Total stant olic BC NI City fast Down Armagh anagh Derry Antrim Urban Rural land Oth er Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n *o Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N *O UNWEIGHTED 832 439 299 283 549 87 196 171 30 110 96 142 543 289 811 20 WEIGHTED 829 427 327 325 504 134 191 134 72 103 101 95 529 299 809 18 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% The EU referendum decision 138 **47 **78 45 93 22 23 26 *2 19 *24 21 93 46 133 5 changed my view 17% 11% 24% 14% 18% 17% 12% 19% 3 % 19% 24% 22% 17% 15% 16% 27% A h h Fh fh The EU referendum decision did 691 **380 **249 279 411 111 168 108 *70 84 *76 74 437 254 676 13 not change my view 83% 89% 76% 86% 82% 83% 88% 81% 97 % 81% 76% 78% 83% 85% 84% 73% B Jk gijk Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G,H,I,J,K - L,M - N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 13

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 3/4 Q3a Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would vote in a referendum REFERENDUM NATIONAL IDENTITY NATIONAL IDENTITY VOTE -------- ---------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------------------------- -------------- Brit ish Irish British Brit and and Irish NI North ish North North and join Northe Brit ern and ern ern Northern Stay RoI Briti rn Engli Scotti ish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish in outside Total sh Irish Irish sh sh Welsh Other only only only only only only only Other UK UK Significance Level: 95% a b c *d *e *f *g h i j *k l *m *n o p q Significance Level: 99% A B C *D *E *F *G H I J *K L *M *N O P Q UNWEIGHTED 832 423 231 254 13 4 1 15 336 204 168 6 64 8 13 33 629 203 WEIGHTED 829 409 250 237 11 5 1 15 332 224 159 5 57 9 12 32 614 215 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% The EU referendum decision 138 **45 **64 44 0 0 0 *6 **33 **56 27 0 8 **5 3 6 **69 **69 changed my view 17% 11% 26% 19% - - - 38% 10% 25% 17% - 15% 60% 29% 18% 11% 32% A A H h P The EU referendum decision did 691 **364 **185 193 11 5 1 *9 **299 **169 132 5 48 **3 9 26 **544 **146 not change my view 83% 89% 74% 81% 100% 100% 100% 62% 90% 75% 83% 100% 85% 40% 71% 82% 89% 68% BC Ij Q Columns Tested: A,B,C,D,E,F,G - H,I,J,K,L,M,N,O - P,Q Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 14

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 4/1 Q3b Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would not vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum GENDER AGE AGE MARITIAL STATUS SOCIAL GRADE ---------- --- ----------------------------------------- - ------------------- -------------------- ------ --------------------- Wid/ 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Marr Sep/ Total Male Fem ale years years years years years years years years years ied Div. Single AB C1 C2 DE Significance Level: 95% a b *c *d e *f *g *h i j k l *m n o p *q r Significance Level: 99% A B *C *D E *F *G *H I J K L *M N O P *Q R UNWEIGHTED 147 62 85 18 28 31 26 25 19 46 57 44 83 16 48 39 47 18 43 WEIGHTED 150 61 89 18 30 34 24 25 18 49 59 43 86 17 48 39 45 20 46 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% The EU referendum has changed 14 5 9 2 2 5 2 2 0 4 8 2 10 0 5 5 5 3 1 my view: I used to support 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 16% 10% 8% - 8% 14% 5% 11% - 10% 13 % 10% 16% 2% Northern Ireland staying in the UK The EU referendum has changed 6 4 3 1 0 3 1 0 1 1 4 1 3 0 3 2 4 0 1 my view: I used to support 4% 6% 3% 4% - 9% 6% - 6% 2% 8% 2% 4% - 6% 4 % 8% - 2% Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland The EU referendum decision did 66 29 37 7 13 14 11 15 6 20 25 21 36 9 22 22 *13 8 24 not change my view 44% 47% 42% 39% 43% 41% 44% 60% 34% 42% 42% 49% 42% 51% 46% 55 % 28% 42% 51% p p Don't know 64 24 40 9 15 12 10 8 11 24 21 19 37 8 18 *11 24 8 20 42% 38% 45% 47% 49% 34% 40% 31% 60% 48% 37% 43% 43% 49% 39% 28 % 54% 42% 44% o Columns Tested: A,B - C,D,E,F,G,H - I,J,K - L,M,N - O,P,Q,R Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 15

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 4/2 Q3b Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would not vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum WORKING SOCIAL GRADE STATUS ADULTS CHIL DREN U.16 CHILDREN U.16 TE NURE -------- ----- ------------- -------------------- ---- --------- --------------------------- --------- ----------- No ne Any None Three Owner Pri Empl At At At or Occu Re nted vate Total ABC1 C2DE oyed Other 1 2 3+ Ho me Home Home One Two more pier NIHE Renter Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j *k *l *m n *o *p Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J *K *L *M N *O *P UNWEIGHTED 147 86 61 63 37 35 80 32 86 61 86 28 24 9 95 27 21 WEIGHTED 150 84 66 65 36 35 82 33 89 61 89 26 25 10 95 29 21 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% The EU referendum has changed 14 10 4 8 1 3 8 3 6 8 6 2 4 2 12 0 2 my view: I used to support 9% 12% 6% 12% 2% 8% 10% 9% 6% 14% 6% 9% 15% 22% 13% - 8% Northern Ireland staying in the UK The EU referendum has changed 6 5 1 4 1 2 3 2 3 4 3 **4 0 0 5 0 1 my view: I used to support 4% 6% 2% 7% 3% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% 3% 14% - - 5% - 5% Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland The EU referendum decision did 66 34 32 27 15 15 32 *20 42 24 42 12 11 *1 39 16 7 not change my view 44% 41% 48% 41% 42% 42% 39% 60% 47% 40% 47% 46% 45% 10% 41% 56% 33% f Don't know 64 35 29 26 19 16 39 *9 39 25 39 8 10 7 38 13 12 42% 41% 44% 40% 54% 44% 48% 26% 44% 40% 44% 31% 39% 67% 40% 44% 54% g Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G - H,I - J,K,L,M - N,O,P Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 16

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 4/3 Q3b Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would not vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum COMMUN ITY REGION BACKGR OUND SUMMARY REGION AREA ETHNICITY -------- ----- ------------- --------------------------- --------------------- ------------- ----------- -- Grtr Bel White fast Bel Grtr Tyrone UK/ Prote Cath incld Rest fast Bel /Ferm Ire Total stant olic BC NI City fast Down Armagh anagh Derry Antrim Urban Rural land Oth er Significance Level: 95% a b c d *e f g *h *i *j *k l m n *o Significance Level: 99% A B C D *E F G *H *I *J *K L M N *O UNWEIGHTED 147 38 74 47 100 17 30 30 3 28 21 18 83 64 132 14 WEIGHTED 150 32 78 56 95 28 28 25 7 28 23 12 88 62 133 16 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% The EU referendum has changed 14 4 7 8 6 3 5 3 0 0 2 1 8 6 12 2 my view: I used to support 9% 14% 9% 14% 7% 10% 17% 14% - - 10% 5% 9% 10% 9% 12% Northern Ireland staying in the UK The EU referendum has changed 6 3 3 2 4 0 2 0 0 3 1 1 4 2 6 0 my view: I used to support 4% 9% 4% 4% 5% - 7% - - 9% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% - Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland The EU referendum decision did 66 15 38 19 47 9 10 14 *7 12 7 6 37 29 **64 * *2 not change my view 44% 47% 48% 35% 49% 33% 37% 58% 100 % 44% 31% 48% 42% 47% 48% 11% Don't know 64 10 29 26 37 16 11 7 0 13 13 5 39 25 **50 ** 12 42% 30% 38% 47% 39% 57% 38% 28% - 46% 54% 42% 44% 40% 38% 77% Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G,H,I,J,K - L,M - N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 17

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 4/4 Q3b Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would not vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum NATIONAL IDENTITY NATIONAL IDENTITY -------- ---------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------------------------- Brit ish Irish British Brit and and Irish North ish North North and Northe Brit ern and ern ern Northern Briti rn Engli Scotti ish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Total sh Irish Irish sh sh Welsh Other only only only only only only only Other Significance Level: 95% a b c *d *e *f *g h i j *k *l *m *n *o Significance Level: 99% A B C *D *E *F *G H I J *K *L *M *N *O UNWEIGHTED 147 51 43 56 2 0 0 16 37 34 40 3 9 6 0 18 WEIGHTED 150 48 45 57 1 0 0 21 35 34 42 4 7 7 0 22 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - - 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - 100% The EU referendum has changed 14 3 5 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 1 0 0 0 1 my view: I used to support 9% 6% 12% 10% - - - 6% 5% 11% 14% 36% - - - 5% Northern Ireland staying in the UK The EU referendum has changed 6 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 0 1 0 0 0 my view: I used to support 4% 4% 6% 5% - - - - 2% 8% 4% - 13% - - - Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland The EU referendum decision did 66 22 18 *33 1 0 0 **3 15 13 *25 2 5 4 0 *4 not change my view 44% 45% 41% 57% 100% - - 12% 42% 39% 59% 38% 65% 51% - 18% Don't know 64 21 18 **15 0 0 0 **17 18 14 **9 1 1 3 0 **17 42% 45% 41% 27% - - - 82% 51% 41% 22% 26% 21% 49% - 77% j Columns Tested: A,B,C,D,E,F,G - H,I,J,K,L,M,N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 18

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 4/5 Q3b Has the recent decision for the UK to leave th e European Union changed your mind on this issue or has that been your view for longer than that? Base : All who would not vote/ don't know if would vote in a referendum R EFERENDUM VOTE -------- -------------------- NI join Stay RoI Would in o utside not Total UK UK DK vote Significance Level: 95% *a *b c *d Significance Level: 99% *A *B C *D UNWEIGHTED 147 0 0 119 28 WEIGHTED 150 0 0 126 24 100% - - 100% 100% The EU referendum has changed 14 0 0 14 0 my view: I used to support 9% - - 11% - Northern Ireland staying in the UK The EU referendum has changed 6 0 0 6 0 my view: I used to support 4% - - 5% - Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland The EU referendum decision did 66 0 0 54 13 not change my view 44% - - 43% 52% Don't know 64 0 0 52 12 42% - - 41% 48% Columns Tested: A,B,C,D Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 19

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 5/1 Q4 If a future referendum resulted in Scotland vot ing to leave the UK, how if at all, would that affe ct how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ir eland Base : All Adults aged 18+ years GENDER AGE AGE MARITIAL STATUS SOCIAL GRADE ---------- --- ----------------------------------------- - ------------------- -------------------- ------ --------------------- Wid/ 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Marr Sep/ Total Male Fem ale years years years years years years years years years ied Div. Single AB C1 C2 DE Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R UNWEIGHTED 979 481 498 130 161 164 172 146 206 291 336 352 557 136 286 193 267 192 327 WEIGHTED 979 466 513 135 170 178 163 135 198 305 341 333 544 138 298 184 244 212 339 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% More likely to vote to stay in 178 82 96 29 32 25 30 19 43 61 55 62 89 31 58 25 43 39 71 the United Kingdom 18% 18% 19% 22% 19% 14% 18% 14% 22% 20% 16% 19% 16% 22% 20% 14 % 18% 18% 21% o More likely to vote for 152 67 84 27 27 33 27 22 **15 54 61 **37 77 15 **60 **47 39 28 **38 Northern Ireland to join the 15% 14% 16% 20% 16% 19% 17% 16% 8% 18% 18% 11% 14% 11% 20% 26 % 16% 13% 11% Republic of Ireland outside H h H H h k k lm pQR the United Kingdom Not changed your view 550 *279 * 271 71 88 96 92 80 123 158 188 *203 **327 75 **147 96 137 126 191 56% 60% 53% 53% 52% 54% 56% 59% 62% 52% 55% 61% 60% 54% 49% 52 % 56% 59% 56% b d i N Don't know 88 *32 *56 7 19 *24 13 10 15 26 37 25 46 15 27 13 25 17 33 9% 7% 11% 5% 11% 13% 8% 8% 7% 9% 11% 7% 9% 11% 9% 7 % 10% 8% 10% a c Would not vote 11 5 6 0 *5 0 1 4 2 5 1 6 4 2 6 2 1 2 6 1% 1% 1% - 3% - 1% 3% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 1% 2% 1 % * 1% 2% e e j Columns Tested: A,B - C,D,E,F,G,H - I,J,K - L,M,N - O,P,Q,R Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 20

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 5/2 Q4 If a future referendum resulted in Scotland vot ing to leave the UK, how if at all, would that affe ct how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ir eland Base : All Adults aged 18+ years WORKING SOCIAL GRADE STATUS ADULTS CHIL DREN U.16 CHILDREN U.16 TE NURE -------- ----- ------------- -------------------- ---- --------- --------------------------- --------- ----------- No ne Any None Three Owner Pri Empl At At At or Occu Re nted vate Total ABC1 C2DE oyed Other 1 2 3+ Ho me Home Home One Two more pier NIHE Renter Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P UNWEIGHTED 979 460 519 360 346 225 477 277 6 46 333 646 154 115 64 658 164 148 WEIGHTED 979 428 551 355 344 234 460 284 6 31 348 631 162 117 68 643 176 150 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% More likely to vote to stay in 178 68 110 64 **83 49 80 48 1 13 65 113 37 15 13 107 41 30 the United Kingdom 18% 16% 20% 18% 24% 21% 17% 17% 18% 19% 18% 23% 13% 19% 17% 23% 20% c l n More likely to vote for 152 **85 **66 52 **34 27 69 *55 93 59 93 26 23 10 105 *17 28 Northern Ireland to join the 15% 20% 12% 15% 10% 12% 15% 19% 15% 17% 15% 16% 20% 14% 16% 10% 19% Republic of Ireland outside B e o o the United Kingdom Not changed your view 550 233 317 204 191 125 258 166 3 61 189 361 85 67 37 375 93 76 56% 54% 57% 57% 55% 54% 56% 58% 57% 54% 57% 52% 57% 53% 58% 53% 51% Don't know 88 38 50 31 29 28 46 **15 57 31 57 14 9 9 50 19 15 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 12% 10% 5% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 13% 8% 11% 10% G g Would not vote 11 3 8 4 *7 5 7 *0 8 4 8 1 3 0 6 *5 1 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% * 3% - 1% 3% 1% g g Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G - H,I - J,K,L,M - N,O,P Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 21

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 5/3 Q4 If a future referendum resulted in Scotland vot ing to leave the UK, how if at all, would that affe ct how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ir eland Base : All Adults aged 18+ years COMMUN ITY REGION BACKGR OUND SUMMARY REGION AREA ETHNICITY -------- ----- ------------- --------------------------- --------------------- ------------- ----------- -- Grtr Bel White fast Bel Grtr Tyrone UK/ Prote Cath incld Rest fast Bel /Ferm Ire Total stant olic BC NI City fast Down Armagh anagh Derry Antrim Urban Rural land Oth er Significance Level: 95% a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Significance Level: 99% A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O UNWEIGHTED 979 477 373 330 649 104 226 201 33 138 117 160 626 353 943 34 WEIGHTED 979 459 405 380 599 161 219 159 79 131 124 107 618 361 942 34 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1 00% More likely to vote to stay in 178 **120 **42 **95 **83 29 **66 **16 5 24 27 **11 **137 **41 172 5 the United Kingdom 18% 26% 10% 25% 14% 18% 30% 10% 6 % 18% 22% 10% 22% 11% 18% 14% B D eGHiK gk GhK M More likely to vote for 152 **22 **114 57 95 28 28 27 9 22 27 *10 103 48 144 7 Northern Ireland to join the 15% 5% 28% 15% 16% 18% 13% 17% 11 % 17% 22% 10% 17% 13% 15% 21% Republic of Ireland outside A k fK the United Kingdom Not changed your view 550 **293 **203 **189 **361 82 *107 **105 **63 *62 **54 **77 **321 **229 **538 * 12 56% 64% 50% 50% 60% 51% 49% 66% 80 % 48% 44% 72% 52% 63% 57% 35% B C EFIJ EFIJ EFIJ L o Don't know 88 **19 42 37 51 22 15 9 0 **22 13 7 52 37 **77 ** 10 9% 4% 10% 10% 9% 14% 7% 6% - 17% 10% 7% 8% 10% 8% 30% A gh FGhK N Would not vote 11 5 3 3 9 0 3 1 2 1 3 2 5 6 11 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2 % 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% - Columns Tested: A,B - C,D - E,F,G,H,I,J,K - L,M - N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 22

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 5/4 Q4 If a future referendum resulted in Scotland vot ing to leave the UK, how if at all, would that affe ct how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ir eland Base : All Adults aged 18+ years NATIONAL IDENTITY NATIONAL IDENTITY -------- ---------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------------------------- Brit ish Irish British Brit and and Irish North ish North North and Northe Brit ern and ern ern Northern Briti rn Engli Scotti ish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Irish Total sh Irish Irish sh sh Welsh Other only only only only only only only Other Significance Level: 95% a b c *d *e *f g h i j *k l *m *n o Significance Level: 99% A B C *D *E *F G H I J *K L *M *N O UNWEIGHTED 979 474 274 310 15 4 1 31 373 238 208 9 73 14 13 51 WEIGHTED 979 457 294 294 12 5 1 35 367 258 201 9 64 16 12 54 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% More likely to vote to stay in 178 **119 **24 *40 3 0 0 3 **110 **23 32 0 7 0 2 6 the United Kingdom 18% 26% 8% 14% 20% - - 9% 30% 9% 16% - 11% - 14% 11% BCg b IJLO i More likely to vote for 152 **20 **96 38 0 1 0 7 **17 **87 31 2 **0 **7 * 8 Northern Ireland to join the 15% 4% 33% 13% - 18% - 19% 5% 34% 16% 29% - 41% 4% 14% Republic of Ireland outside AC A A HJLO HL HL the United Kingdom Not changed your view 550 **283 **141 *182 9 4 1 **10 217 **121 118 5 **48 5 10 25 56% 62% 48% 62% 73% 82% 100% 29% 59% 47% 59% 53% 76% 33% 82% 46% BG BG I i HIjO Don't know 88 **28 30 27 0 0 0 **15 **18 28 18 2 7 1 0 **15 9% 6% 10% 9% - - - 42% 5% 11% 9% 18% 11% 7% - 28% a ABC H h HIJl Would not vote 11 7 3 6 1 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 1 **3 0 1 1% 2% 1% 2% 6% - - - 1% - 1% - 2% 18% - 1% i Columns Tested: A,B,C,D,E,F,G - H,I,J,K,L,M,N,O Fieldwork: August 2016 Page 23

  • (16-051658) PROJECT BORDER Table 5/5 Q4 If a future referendum resulted in Scotland vot ing to leave the UK, how if at all, would that affe ct how you may vote in a border poll in Northern Ir eland Base : All Adults aged 18+ years R EFERENDUM VOTE -------- -------------------- NI join Stay RoI Would in o utside not Total UK UK DK vote Significance Level: 95% a b c *d Significance Level: 99% A B C *D UNWEIGHTED 979 629 203 119 28 WEIGHTED 979 614 215 126 24 100% 100% 100% 100%