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Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post †* Vijit Shah Alan Mislove Northeastern University MPI-SWS/Rice University * Now at Google March 31, 2011, NSDI’11

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Page 1: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces

Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡

‡Northeastern University †MPI-SWS/Rice University *Now at Google

March 31, 2011, NSDI’11

Page 2: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove 2

Online marketplaces

Online marketplaces:Sites allowing users to buy/sell goods

Among most successful Web sitesE.g., eBay, Overstock, Amazon MarketplaceeBay alone: $60B in 2009

Allows buyers and sellers to connectRegardless of locationEnable esoteric products to find a marketDemocratized commerce

But, known to suffer from fraudAuctions

Marketplace

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Identities and reputations

Sites support reputations for identitiesFeedback from others interacted with

Buyers use reputationsReputable sellers get better prices

Complicating detail:Accounts often “free” to createRequires only solving CAPTCHACan be used to defraud...

3

Feedback profile

Feedback profile

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Manipulating reputations for fraudCan create identities to

Whitewash (erase bad behavior)Collude (with other attackers)Sybil attacks (create multiple accounts)

Can observe fraud taking placeSearch for “positive feedback guaranteed”Undermines usefulness of marketplace

Significant monetary losses Recent arrest of malicious user Stole $717K from 5,000 usersUsed >250 accounts

4

Feedback profile

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Manipulating reputations for fraudCan create identities to

Whitewash (erase bad behavior)Collude (with other attackers)Sybil attacks (create multiple accounts)

Can observe fraud taking placeSearch for “positive feedback guaranteed”Undermines usefulness of marketplace

Significant monetary losses Recent arrest of malicious user Stole $717K from 5,000 usersUsed >250 accounts

4

Feedback profile

Page 6: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Manipulating reputations for fraudCan create identities to

Whitewash (erase bad behavior)Collude (with other attackers)Sybil attacks (create multiple accounts)

Can observe fraud taking placeSearch for “positive feedback guaranteed”Undermines usefulness of marketplace

Significant monetary losses Recent arrest of malicious user Stole $717K from 5,000 usersUsed >250 accounts

4

Feedback profile

Page 7: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Alternate approaches

Make joining difficultLimits applicability, usefulness

Using brokers, escrowOnly feasible for expensive items

Requiring in-person transactionRestricts buyer/seller population

Providing insuranceSpreads cost of fraud to all users

Others in paper...

5

Marketplace

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Bazaar: A new approach

New approach to strengthening user reputationsProvides strong bounds on fraud

Works in conjunction with existing marketplaceAssumes same feedback system as todayNo additional monetary costNo strong identities

Insight: Successful transactions represent shared riskBuyer and seller more likely to enter into future transactions

6

Page 9: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Outline

1. Motivation

2. Bazaar design

3. Challenges faced

4. Evaluation

7

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Risk network

Reputations calculated using risk network

Buyer satisfied → two identities linkedWeighted by amount of transactionMultiple transactions additive

Risk network automatically generatedUsers need not even know about itSite operator maintains risk network

Can be used to gauge risk between identitiesModel: Query Bazaar before purchase

8

$5

$25$1

$7$45

$4 $10$3

$50$10

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Fraud detection with max-flow

9

Site operator queries Bazaar before purchaseBazaar calculates max-flow between buyer and seller

If max-flow lower than potential transaction, flag as fraudulentOtherwise, wait for feedback from buyer

$5

$50

$200

$100

Buyer

Seller

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Fraud detection with max-flow

9

Site operator queries Bazaar before purchaseBazaar calculates max-flow between buyer and seller

If max-flow lower than potential transaction, flag as fraudulentOtherwise, wait for feedback from buyer

$5

$50

$200

$100

Max-flow: $5

Buyer

Seller

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Fraud detection with max-flow

9

Site operator queries Bazaar before purchaseBazaar calculates max-flow between buyer and seller

If max-flow lower than potential transaction, flag as fraudulentOtherwise, wait for feedback from buyer

$5$300

$4000

$50

$200

$100

Max-flow: $5

Buyer

Seller

Page 14: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Fraud detection with max-flow

9

Site operator queries Bazaar before purchaseBazaar calculates max-flow between buyer and seller

If max-flow lower than potential transaction, flag as fraudulentOtherwise, wait for feedback from buyer

$5$300

$4000

$50

$200

$100

Max-flow: $5

Buyer

Seller

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Handling feedback

Modify risk network when buyer provides feedbackPositive: Create new linkNeutral: Make no changesNegative: Remove flow from network

Malicious sellers punished if they defraud10

$5 $100Original state

Transaction amount: $4

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Handling feedback

Modify risk network when buyer provides feedbackPositive: Create new linkNeutral: Make no changesNegative: Remove flow from network

Malicious sellers punished if they defraud10

$5 $100Original state$5

$100

$4

Positive feedback

Transaction amount: $4

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Handling feedback

Modify risk network when buyer provides feedbackPositive: Create new linkNeutral: Make no changesNegative: Remove flow from network

Malicious sellers punished if they defraud10

$5 $100Original state

$5 $100Neutral feedback

$5

$100

$4

Positive feedback

Transaction amount: $4

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Handling feedback

Modify risk network when buyer provides feedbackPositive: Create new linkNeutral: Make no changesNegative: Remove flow from network

Malicious sellers punished if they defraud10

$5 $100Original state

$5 $100Neutral feedback

$5

$100

$4

Positive feedback

Transaction amount: $4

$96Negative feedback

$1

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Guarantees

11

What is the per-user bound on defrauding?

Set of risk network links

Link weight�

l∈L

wl

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Guarantees for groups

Analysis is same for any subgraph

Only way to defraud more: Participate in real transactionsProvides bound on fraud

Result: Collusion, Sybil attacks, white-washing doesn’t help

12

l∈N

wl

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Guarantees for groups

Analysis is same for any subgraph

Only way to defraud more: Participate in real transactionsProvides bound on fraud

Result: Collusion, Sybil attacks, white-washing doesn’t help

12

{N}

l∈N

wl

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Outline

1. Motivation

2. Bazaar design

3. Challenges faced

4. Evaluation

13

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 1: Feedback delay

Buyer cannot immediately determine if fraudulent

Could be used as “window of vulnerability”Malicious seller could defraud many users quickly

Address by putting credit “on hold”Set of paths with flow equal to transaction amountCannot be used by any other transactionsRestore if positive/neutral feedback received

14

$5 $100Transaction amount: $4

BuyerSeller

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 1: Feedback delay

Buyer cannot immediately determine if fraudulent

Could be used as “window of vulnerability”Malicious seller could defraud many users quickly

Address by putting credit “on hold”Set of paths with flow equal to transaction amountCannot be used by any other transactionsRestore if positive/neutral feedback received

14

$5 $100Transaction amount: $4$1 $96 BuyerSeller

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 2: Bootstrapping

New users have zero max-flowHow to securely bootstrap new users?

Option 1: Use social networkUsers can “vouch” for friends, create linksPut their own links at risk

Option 2: Provide link escrow serviceNew user “escrows” for linksCan later ask for escrow back

Links removed; no money returned if lost

15

New user

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 2: Bootstrapping

New users have zero max-flowHow to securely bootstrap new users?

Option 1: Use social networkUsers can “vouch” for friends, create linksPut their own links at risk

Option 2: Provide link escrow serviceNew user “escrows” for linksCan later ask for escrow back

Links removed; no money returned if lost

15

New user

$15

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 2: Bootstrapping

New users have zero max-flowHow to securely bootstrap new users?

Option 1: Use social networkUsers can “vouch” for friends, create linksPut their own links at risk

Option 2: Provide link escrow serviceNew user “escrows” for linksCan later ask for escrow back

Links removed; no money returned if lost

15

New user $15

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 2: Bootstrapping

New users have zero max-flowHow to securely bootstrap new users?

Option 1: Use social networkUsers can “vouch” for friends, create linksPut their own links at risk

Option 2: Provide link escrow serviceNew user “escrows” for linksCan later ask for escrow back

Links removed; no money returned if lost

15

New user

$5 $5$5

$15

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 3: Scaling max-flow

Computing max-flow is expensiveEspecially on large, dense graphsStandard approaches (Gomery-Hu, Goldman-Rao) are poor fit

But, can leverage two observations:

16

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 3: Scaling max-flow

Computing max-flow is expensiveEspecially on large, dense graphsStandard approaches (Gomery-Hu, Goldman-Rao) are poor fit

But, can leverage two observations:

16

1. Risk networks tend to have a dense coreHigh-weight links form mostly-connected subgraph

Page 31: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 3: Scaling max-flow

Computing max-flow is expensiveEspecially on large, dense graphsStandard approaches (Gomery-Hu, Goldman-Rao) are poor fit

But, can leverage two observations:

16

1. Risk networks tend to have a dense coreHigh-weight links form mostly-connected subgraph

2. Don’t need actual max-flow valueOnly need to know if higher than potential transaction amount

Page 32: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Challenge 3: Scaling max-flow

Computing max-flow is expensiveEspecially on large, dense graphsStandard approaches (Gomery-Hu, Goldman-Rao) are poor fit

But, can leverage two observations:

16

1. Risk networks tend to have a dense coreHigh-weight links form mostly-connected subgraph

2. Don’t need actual max-flow valueOnly need to know if higher than potential transaction amount

Leverage observations with multi-graphs

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

$2

$1

$4

$4

$4

$1$1

$4

$1$2

$1

$2

$2

$4

$2

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

$2

$1

$4

$4

$4

$1$1

$4

$1$2

$1

$2

$2

$4

$2

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

Normal graph Multi-graph

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

Normal graph Multi-graph

Page 38: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

Normal graph Multi-graph

Level 0

Page 39: Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces · Bazaar: Strengthening user reputations in online marketplaces Ansley Post†* Vijit Shah‡ Alan Mislove‡ ‡Northeastern

31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

Normal graph Multi-graph

Level 0

Level 1

we ≥ 21

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Multi-graph construction

Normal graph Multi-graph

Level 0

Level 2

we ≥ 22

Level 1

we ≥ 21

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Max-flow with multi-graphs

Check for sufficient flow in each levelStarting with the highest

Sufficient flow found → successSince each level is a subset of the next

Insufficient flow found in all levels → failureSince Level 0 is entire graph

Possibility of ending quicklyHigher levels have bigger linksHigher levels are smaller networks

18

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Outline

1. Motivation

2. Bazaar design

3. Challenges faced

4. Evaluation

19

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Evaluating Bazaar

Goal: Determine how Bazaar would work in practiceDoes it prevent fraud?How much does it “cost”?Does it incorrectly flag honest transactions?

Implemented Bazaar in CUse multi-graph representation to store risk networkRun simulations on single processor

How to simulate?Need real-world data

20

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Data from eBay

Crawled eBay UK siteCollected 90-day traceFocused on five of the most popular categories

Total: Over 8M pieces of feedback

21

Category Purchases Users Avg. Price (£)

Clothes

Collectibles

Computing

Electronics

Home/Garden

3,311,878 1,436,059 9.74

940,815 454,773 8.90

964,925 661,285 21.31

861,108 652,350 20.67

2,795,795 1,426,785 16.57

.co.uk

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Does Bazaar prevent fraud?

Simulated Bazaar on each eBay category 80% of data creates risk network, remaining is simulatedRandom “malicious” users conduct as much fraud as possible

Bazaar bounds malicious users as expected

22

1

10

100

1000

1 10 100 1000

Tota

l Fra

ud P

ossib

leBe

fore

Det

ectio

n (£

)

Total of Previous Successful Transactions (£)

Expected

clothescollectables

computingelectronics

home

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

How expensive is Bazaar?

What is the time taken to run max-flow?Practical with a few servers provided by siteCan use additional tricks to lower average time

23

CategoryCategoryTime (s)Time (s)

Single Multi-graph Speedup

Clothes

Collectibles

Computing

Electronics

Home/Garden

18.0 6.29 2.86 ×

2.53 1.18 2.14 ×

3.78 1.66 2.27 ×

2.71 1.41 1.92 ×

11.6 5.34 2.15 ×

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

What is the impact on good users?

What is Bazaar’s false positive rate?Assumes mechanism for “bootstrapping” new usersLess than 5% false positive rate

24

CategoryFraction of honest transactions

incorrectly flagged

Clothes

Collectibles

Computing

Electronics

Home/Garden

1.11%

1.12%

3.23%

4.68%

2.43%

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Summary

Online marketplaces very successfulDemocratized commerce, many billions $ per year

But, known to have significant fraudPartially due to “free” nature of accounts, reputation manipulation

Bazaar: A new approach to strengthening reputationsLeverages risk network between participantsDeployable on sites of today

Were Bazaar deployed during traceWould have prevented £164K of negative feedback

25

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31.03.2011 NSDI’11 Alan Mislove

Questions?

26