bdo international 2013 natural resources study: mining

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This is the BDO 2013 International Natural Resources Study, with an emphasis on the mining industry. The research was conducted among senior management executives representing a broad mix of companies and geographic areas, including Australia, Canada, South Africa, U.K. and U.S. Topic coverage was highly diverse including, but not limited to: key drivers of growth for the global mining industry, access to capital and credit, strategies for enhancing profitability, impact of regulations, key targets for geographic expansion and the identification of important threats facing the global mining industry. The survey was independently managed by Market Measurement, Inc., a market research consulting firm who fielded the survey during December 2012 through February 2013. For more information on BDO’s service offerings to this industry vertical, please contact one of the regional service leaders below: CONTACT: SHERIF ANDRAWES, Australia +61 8 6382 4763 [email protected] CHARLES DEWHURST, United States +1 713-986-3127 [email protected] SCOTT KNIGHT, United Kingdom +44 20 7486 5888 [email protected] MICHAEL MADSEN, Canada +1 604-443-4732 [email protected] URSULA VAN ECK, South Africa +27 10 060 5068 [email protected] MINING EXECUTIVES REMAIN WARY OF ECONOMIC DISRUPTION International mining executives cite global economic disruptions as the leading risk impacting their organisation in 2013. Read more T his concern has left mining executives with mixed feelings about their ability to access capital and credit in 2013. Despite financial pressures, international mining executives plan to invest in technology to drive profitability and supplement a diminishing workforce. From December 2012 to February 2013, BDO conducted its inaugural study of 130 C-Level and senior financial executives at mining companies in the United States (U.S.), South Africa, United Kingdom (U.K.), Australia and Canada. The survey sought their opinions on the challenges and opportunities their companies faced in 2012 as well as their predictions for the industry in 2013. DEMAND FOR RESOURCES DRIVING MINING INDUSTRY GROWTH Short and long-term demand for resources is driving industry growth around the globe, according to 42 percent of surveyed executives. The demand from maturing marketplaces like India and Brazil will help the mining industry maintain momentum as China begins to slow its demand. Deviating from the survey norm, the U.K. ranked ‘access to capital or credit’ as its primary industry growth factor (47 percent among U.K. executives; 37 percent among all survey participants). Across all surveyed countries, increased commodity prices (13 percent) rounded out the top three factors for growth. SPRING 2013

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Page 1: BDO International 2013 Natural Resources Study: Mining

This is the BDO 2013 International Natural Resources Study, with an emphasis on the mining industry. The research was conducted among senior management executives representing a broad mix of companies and geographic areas, including Australia, Canada, South Africa, U.K. and U.S. Topic coverage was highly diverse including, but not limited to: key drivers of growth for the global mining industry, access to capital and credit, strategies for enhancing profitability, impact of regulations, key targets for geographic expansion and the identification of important threats facing the global mining industry. The survey was independently managed by Market Measurement, Inc., a market research consulting firm who fielded the survey during December 2012 through February 2013.

For more information on BDO’s service offerings to this industry vertical, please contact one of the regional service leaders below:

ContaCt:

SheRIf ANDRAweS, Australia+61 8 6382 [email protected]

ChARleS DewhuRSt, United States+1 713-986-3127 [email protected]

SCOtt KNIght, United Kingdom+44 20 7486 [email protected]

MIChAel MADSeN, Canada+1 [email protected]

uRSulA vAN eCK, South Africa+27 10 060 [email protected]

Mining ExECutivEs REMain WaRy of EConoMiC DisRuption International mining executives cite global economic disruptions as the leading risk impacting their organisation in 2013.

Read more

this concern has left mining executives with mixed feelings about their ability to access capital and credit

in 2013. Despite financial pressures, international mining executives plan to invest in technology to drive profitability and supplement a diminishing workforce.

From December 2012 to February 2013, BDO conducted its inaugural study of 130 C-Level and senior financial executives at mining companies in the United States (U.S.), South Africa, United Kingdom (U.K.), Australia and Canada. The survey sought their opinions on the challenges and opportunities their companies faced in 2012 as well as their predictions for the industry in 2013.

 DEManD foR REsouRCEs DRiving Mining inDustRy gRoWthShort and long-term demand for resources is driving industry growth around the globe, according to 42 percent of surveyed executives. The demand from maturing marketplaces like India and Brazil will help the mining industry maintain momentum as China begins to slow its demand. Deviating from the survey norm, the U.K. ranked ‘access to capital or credit’ as its primary industry growth factor (47 percent among U.K. executives; 37 percent among all survey participants). Across all surveyed countries, increased commodity prices (13 percent) rounded out the top three factors for growth.

spRing 2013

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2 BDO 2013 InternatIOnal natural resOurces stuDy: Mining

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“While most commodity prices continue to be near record levels, macroeconomic

issues around the globe continue to impact the mining community at large. As mining companies ride the ebb and flow of commodity prices, they should remain aware that other risks, including the high cost of infrastructure, geopolitical unrest and regulatory issues, challenge the profitability and long-term sustainability of their operations.” – Charles Dewhurst, Global Natural Resources Leader, Natural Resources industry group at BDO

factors Driving growth in the Mining Industry

42%

37%

13%

5%

2%

Demand for resources

Access to capital or credit

Increased commodity prices

New production technologies

Geographical expansion

top Risks by Country

40%

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%Total Australia Canada South Africa UK U.S.

Environmental restrictions and regulations 0.18 0.21 0.16 0.06 - 0.36

Geopolitical unrest 0.18 0.08 0.10 0.38 0.33 0.18

Global economic disruption 0.44 0.42 0.58 0.44 0.50 0.32

Inability to expand reserves 0.08 0.17 0.07 - 0.11 0.04

Supply chain interruption 0.06 0.08 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.07

Infrastructure 0.06 0.04 0.07 0.06 - 0.04

 global EConoMiC DisRuption lEaDing Risk faCing thE Mining inDustRyDespite positive factors allowing the mining industry to grow, executives cited a myriad of risks facing the industry. Of surveyed executives, 44 percent cited ‘global economic disruption,’ followed by ‘environmental and regulatory issues’ and ‘geopolitical unrest’ at 18 percent each, as top risks. Executives from the U.S., however, list ‘environmental and regulatory issues’ as their top concern. This is predictable, as

the U.S. government is contemplating new environmental and regulatory programmes, parts of which have not been updated since 1872.

 MixED sEntiMEnt on ability to aCCEss Capital anD CREDitThe concern over global economic disruptions has left mining executives across all countries with mixed feelings about their ability to access capital and credit in 2013. While 37 percent feel that 2013 will mirror

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3BDO 2013 InternatIOnal natural resOurces stuDy: Mining

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establishing operations (24 percent). While their strategies for entry into a foreign market differ, there are some commonalities. For example: South Africa (36 percent), the U.S. (50 percent) and Australia (48 percent) prefer joint partnerships, while Canada (40 percent) and the U.K. (44 percent) favour acquiring a company in their target region.

“Political and sovereign risks are still outweighed by the benefits in the eyes of investors.

Increasingly, other African countries are overtaking South Africa in creating favourable conditions for investment. In South Africa, there is talk of further taxes on mining companies while in contrast many African countries are implementing investor-friendly legislation, in terms of tax regimes.” – Ursula van Eck, head of Mining for Natural Resources industry group at BDO South Africa

 MajoRity of CoMpaniEs opERatE intERnationally; looking to afRiCa to ExpanDCollectively, 76 percent of mining companies surveyed currently have international operations, with an additional 5 percent planning to expand internationally in the next six to twelve months. Those surveyed cite Africa (32 percent) as their primary target for expansion, followed by North America (23 percent) and Latin America (17 percent). Interestingly, each country notes some domestic expansion activity, yet motivations for international development differ between countries.

For instance, South African companies are exclusively looking to expand further into Africa in 2013, while Canadian companies (56 percent) anticipate that North America will be a key component of expansion plans, suggesting that an expansive geographic footprint is a challenge for mining companies. One-third (33 percent) of all executives from the U.S. are eyeing Latin America for future development, almost double the study average of 17 percent.

Mining executives are employing a variety of tactics to enter foreign markets, including joint ventures with local companies (39 percent), acquisitions in the country of interest (31 percent) and independently

2012, 31 percent feel their ability to access capital or credit will improve, and 32 percent feel it will be worse.

 intERnational Expansion pRiMaRy taCtiC foR futuRE gRoWthWith the ability to access capital and credit, mining organisations are looking to grow their businesses. To expand, 40 percent of executives plan further international expansion, followed by domestic expansion (27 percent) and merger and acquisition activity (23 percent). With limited resources on their shores, the U.K. has the largest focus on international expansion, with 71 percent of U.K.-based mining executives looking overseas for growth. The U.S. deviates from the collective trend, with 25 percent citing research and development as a preferred means to grow their organisation compared to an average of only 10 percent across all countries.

“A company’s ability to expand internationally will be a competitive advantage

as resources become more challenging to mine around the globe. Yet, expansion without properly managing the financial risk and exposure can seriously impact a company’s success. As countries around the globe consider new tax regulations and royalty requirements, it is critical they weigh the risk and reward of expanding operations.” – Michael Madsen, leader of the Energy & Natural Resources practice at BDO Canada

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 finanCing options vaRy aRounD thE globEOf those surveyed, 28 percent note private equity as a means to aid business growth across all countries. This is a positive indicator for the private equity market after natural resources funds experienced a slow year in investments in 2012.

The U.S and South Africa are embracing project financing, with 39 percent of U.S. executives and 29 percent South African executives citing this as a key financing option. The results follow a recent trend of U.S. banks increasing their project financing transactions.

 inDustRy bRaCing foR iMpaCt of thE inCREasing laCk of a skillED WoRkfoRCE Of the surveyed mining executives, 79 percent feel the lack of a skilled workforce will have a negative impact on their business in 2013. While environmental policy tops executives’ domestic regulatory concerns, with 34 percent citing it as a potential issue in the year ahead, labour and employment issues are a close second, with 30 percent of executives noting it as a major concern.

While executives around the globe grapple with labour and employment issues, 63 percent of South African executives note this as their primary concern - twice the survey average - due in large part to high regional unemployment rates and sustained labour unrest driven by working conditions related to wages and social issues.

Despite their broader concerns surrounding labour and employment, 42 percent of mining executives believe that their total number of employees in 2013 will remain about the same, and 38 percent feel the size of their workforce will increase throughout the year.

 tEChnology suppoRting labouR nEEDs anD pRofitabilityMining executives are facing labour shortages head-on with technology. The industry has an opportunity to be at the forefront of innovation, improving both production and prospecting with new technologies that will increase efficiency and produce greater returns. In fact, 50 percent of executives believe that substituting technology for labour will have a positive impact on their business in 2013, creating a new intersection in the industry of old and new techniques.

As commodity prices continue to rise, mining executives desire to increase production to maximize revenues. With 30 percent of executives noting that new technology will improve profitability in 2013, many are reinvesting their profits into technology that will improve and sustain their business in the future.

Across the board, mining executives are placing a stronger focus on the development of internal business processes (65 percent) to drive profitability in 2013. Although new technologies are the second most popular strategy overall at 30 percent, U.S. executives are more heavily focused on investments in technology, with 50 percent of executives anticipating that it will improve their bottom line.

“We are in the midst of a transition in the mining industry from a blue collar to a white collar

workforce. With advancements in technology – from new software that makes prospecting easier, to advancements in mineral transportation – the industry is at a critical juncture. Technology and the individuals who are skilled in developing and utilising these tools are now more important than ever, as demands for greater returns and increased productivity are forcing the industry to innovate.” – Sherif Andrawes, chairman and leader of the Natural Resources Industry Group at BDO Australia

 Mining ExECutivEs split on EnviRonMEntal pRioRitiEsWhile 34 percent of international mining executives are concerned about domestic environmental policies, the way they will direct their resources to address these concerns varies. Water pollution, including acid mine drainage and runoff, is the most-funded environmental concern at 48

Primary financing Options worldwide

Private equity Project financing

Debt restructuring

Foreign direct investment

Pre-production

offtake agreements

Asset sales Metals streaming

arrangements

Sovereign wealth funds

28%24%

12% 11% 11%9%

2% 2%

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Preferred Strategy to Improve Profitabilitypercent. Australia bucks this trend, with only a quarter of its executives citing it as a major project (25 percent). Instead, 38 percent of Australian executives indicate that they are focused on ecosystem disruption, the second most prominent area of funding globally (23 percent). Carbon dioxide emissions round out the top three environmental concerns for mining executives, with one in five citing it as a major issue. In fact, South Africa recently began discussions on taxing carbon emissions, potentially making it one of the largest sources of tax revenue in the country.

 anti-bRibERy/CoRRuption lEgislation a top DoMEstiC REgulatoRy ConCERnOf executives surveyed in the U.K., 23 percent cite this legislation as a worry; triple the survey average of 7 percent. This reflects the fact that the U.K. implemented strict new anti-bribery laws with extra-territorial reach in late 2010. With much of the U.K.’s mining operations occurring beyond its borders, executives are closely monitoring regulatory developments that may impact the way they do business.

 CoRpoRatE soCial REsponsibility pRogRaMMEs foCus on EMployEEs anD loCal CoMMunitiEs Forty-six percent of surveyed mining executives say that their corporate social responsibility plans invest most heavily in employee health and safety programmes. Community outreach (30 percent) and environmental stewardship (18 percent) rank second and third amongst investment areas for the industry.

 REsouRCE nationalisM iMpaCting Mining CoMpaniEs aRounD thE globE Of executives surveyed, 61 percent note that resource nationalism will have an impact on their businesses in 2013. Their concern also extends to tax imposition and increases: 67 percent anticipate an impact on their business this year as Australia’s ‘super tax’ takes shape and countries like South Africa plan for similar tax burdens.

“As of 2010, the U.K. Bribery Bill brought into law new offences that impacted nearly every international organisation with a U.K. trading arm. This was the most radical revision to anti-corruption law the U.K. had seen for over 100 years with. Since most U.K. listed mining

companies operate in Africa and the former Soviet Union they have had to put in place controls programmes to mitigate their bribery risks and be able to demonstrate they have done so, or risk potential criminal prosecution. It would be bold for executives to risk a bribery charge due to the lack of necessary controls to identify bribery and corruption throughout their entire organisation.” – Scott Knight, head of the Natural Resources practice at BDO United Kingdom

65%

12%30%

9%

26%

7%

22% A stronger focus on internal business processes

Cutting back on exploration

New technologies

Outsourcing

Reducing staff levels

Reducing the scale of mining activities

Vertical integration through acquisitions

top environmental Concerns where executives Are Directing Resources

Water pollution (i.e.: acid mine drainage, runoff)

Ecosystem disruption as a result of exploration and production activities

CO2 emissions

Environmental impact of hydraulic fracturing

Deforestation

48%

23%

21%

4%

3%

Page 6: BDO International 2013 Natural Resources Study: Mining

BDO INteRNAtIONAl NAtuRAl ReSOuRCeS

BDO’s international natural resources professionals combine deep industry knowledge and technical expertise to help you navigate this tumultuous landscape both at home and abroad. Our experienced partners and directors are trusted advisors to oil & gas, mining and alternative energy companies. When you need guidance on complex matters, including mergers and acquisitions, revenue recognition or reserve estimations, our professionals provide swift resolution of technical issues and questions through partner-led client service teams, direct access to technical leaders and the resources of our global network in more than 120 countries.

ABOut the INteRNAtIONAl BDO NetwORK

BDO refers to one or more members of BDO International Limited, which form part of the international BDO network of independent member firms (the ‘BDO network’).

Service provision within the BDO network is coordinated by Brussels Worldwide Services BVBA, a limited liability company incorporated in Belgium with its statutory seat in Brussels.

Each of BDO International Limited (the governing entity of the BDO network), Brussels Worldwide Services BVBA and the member firms is a separate legal entity and has no liability for another such entity’s acts or omissions. Nothing in the arrangements or rules of the BDO network shall constitute or imply an agency relationship or a partnership between BDO International Limited, Brussels Worldwide Services BVBA and/or the member firms of the BDO network.

BDO is the brand name for the BDO network and for each of the BDO member firms.

The combined fee income of all the BDO Member Firms, including the members of their exclusive alliances, was $6.02 billion in 2012. The global network provides advisory services in 138 countries, with almost 55,000 people working out of 1,204 offices worldwide.

© 2013 BDO. All rights reserved.

Material discussed is meant to provide general information and should not be acted on without professional advice tailored to your firm’s individual needs.

MEthoDology statEMEnt

This is the BDO 2013 International Natural Resources Study, with an emphasis on the mining industry.The research was conducted among senior management executives representing a broad mix of companies and geographic areas. Topic coverage was highly diverse including, but not limited to, key drivers of growth for the global mining industry, access to capital and credit, strategies for enhancing profitability, impact of regulations, key targets for geographic expansion and the identification of important threats facing the global mining industry.

This multi-country executive survey was designed and managed by Market Measurement, Inc. in close consultation with BDO. Questionnaire content was in the native language of each country.

The study findings are based upon attitudes, behaviors and perceptions among 132 mining executives with similar levels of representation in the study data across the U.S., Australia, Canada, South Africa, Russia, and the United Kingdom. Study participants were identified through major trade and professional associations, subscribers to industry publications and similar sources. Additional characteristics of this important research initiative include:

• Job titles: More than one-third (35 percent) are the chairman, CEO, president or managing director of the organisation, with a similar level of representation from CFOs/controllers/directors of finance (28 percent).

• geographic coverage: More than three-quarters (76 percent) have international operations.

• Sales revenue: Almost one-half (45 percent) of the participating companies report annual worldwide revenues in excess of $50 million.