behind international rankings of infant mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • some...

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Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: How the United States Compares with Europe Marian MacDorman and T.J. Mathews Division of Vital Statistics National Center for Health Statistics Acknowledgements: Sam Notzon and Jennifer Madans, NCHS International Health Rankings: A Look Behind the Numbers National Conference on Health Statistics August 16-18, 2010

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Page 1: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: How the United

States Compares with Europe

Marian MacDorman and T.J. MathewsDivision of Vital Statistics

National Center for Health Statistics

Acknowledgements: Sam Notzon and Jennifer Madans, NCHS

International Health Rankings: A Look Behind the Numbers National Conference on Health Statistics

August 16-18, 2010

Page 2: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Infant mortality rate, United States, 2000-2007

6.89 6.84 6.95 6.84 6.78 6.86 6.68 6.75

0

2

4

6

8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Rat

e pe

r 1,0

00 li

ve b

irths

Source: 2000-2006 data are from the linked birth/infant death data sets. 2007 data are from the main mortality file.

Page 3: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences
Page 4: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Infant mortality rates, selected countries, 2005

7.26.9

6.46.3

6.26.2

5.45.2

5.15.05.0

4.94.7

4.64.4

4.24.2

4.14.0

3.93.8

3.73.6

3.53.4

3.13.0

2.82.42.4

2.1

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

SlovakiaUnited States

PolandNorthern Ireland

Cuba HungaryCanada

ScotlandNew Zealand

AustraliaEngland and Wales

NetherlandsItaly

IsraelDenmark

AustriaSwitzerland

SpainIreland

GermanyGreece

BelgiumFrance

PortugalCzech Republic

NorwayFinland

JapanHong Kong

SwedenSingapore

Rate per 1,000 live birthsSource: Health, United States, 2008

Page 5: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences
Page 6: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Table 1. Requirements for reporting a live birth, United States and selected European countries, 2004

Reporting requirement Country

All live births Austria, Denmark., England and Wales, Finland, Gennany, Hungary, Italy, Northern Ireland, Portugal, Scotland, Slovak RepubliC, Spain, Sweden, United States

Live births at 12 weeks of gestation Of more -ay

Live births at 500 gmms birthweight or more, and less than 500 grams if the infant survives fO( 24 hours Czech Republic

Live births at 22 weeks of gestation or more, or SOD gmms birthweight ()( more Fmnce

All live births for civil registration, births at 500 gmms birthweight or more for the natiooal perinatal register Ireland

Live births at 22 weeks of gestation or more, 500 grams birthweight or more if gestational age is unknown Netherlands

Live births at 500 or more gmms birthweight Poland

SOURCE: NCI-IS/N3U:n;II VUI Statistics System b' us lbI3 ani EUIllC)e<IIl PeriroUIliealh Report, p_ 40 lor E~o.1 c13t1: htlpJIwww~I3t_oomt WI doci8l.flll)earl1)em..taHll!aIItHewt.pdi!.

Page 7: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Infant mortality rates excluding births at <22 weeks of gestation, US and selected European countries, 2004

7.06.8

6.65.8

4.94.9

4.64.6

4.44.14.1

4.04.04.04.0

3.93.9

3.73.4

3.03.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

SlovakiaPoland

HungaryUnited States

ScotlandEngland and Wales

NetherlandsIreland

DenmarkGermany

AustriaSpain

Northern IrelandItaly

GreecePortugal

FranceCzech Republic

FinlandSwedenNorway

Rate per 1,000 live births

Source: NCHS linked birth/infant death data set (for US data), and European Perinatal Health Report (for European data).

Page 8: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Infant mortality can be partitioned into two key components:

1. Gestational age-specific infant mortality rates (i.e. the mortality rate for infants at a given gestational age).

2. Distribution of births by gestational age.

Page 9: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Table 2. Gestational age-specific infant mortality rates, United States and selected European countries, 2004

Selected countries

United States

Austria

Denmark

England and Wales2

Finland

Northern Ireland

Norway

Poland

Scotland

Sweden

22-23 weeks1

707.7

8889

947.4

880.5

9000

1,000.0

555.6

921 .1

1,000.0

515.2

24-27 weeks

236.9

319.6

301.2

298.2

315.8

268.3

220.2

530.6

377.0

197.7

28-31 weeks

45.0

43.8

42.2

52.2

585

54.5

56.4

147.7

60.8

41.3

32- 36 weeks

8.6

5.8

10.3

10.6

9.7

13.1

7.2

23.1

8.8

12.8

37 weeks or more

2.4

1.5

2.3

1.8

1.4

1.6

1.5

2.3

1.7

1.5

'Infant mortality rates at 22-23 weeks of gestation may be unreliable due to reporting differences. 'England and wales provided 2005 data.

NOTE: Infant mortality rates are per 1,000 live births in specified group.

SOURCE: NCHS linked birthlinfan\ death data set (for U.S. data), and European Perinatal Health Report (for European data).

Page 10: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Percentage of preterm births, United States and selected European countries, 2004

12.411.4

8.98.6

8.07.67.57.4

7.17.06.96.86.86.8

6.66.36.36.3

6.05.65.5

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

United StatesAustria

GermanyHungary

SpainScotland

England and WalesNetherlands

NorwayCzech Republic

DenmarkItaly

PolandPortugal

Northern IrelandFrance

SlovakiaSwedenGreeceFinlandIreland

Note: Excludes births at <22 weeks of gestation to promote comparability between countries. Preterm births are those from 22 to 36 weeks of gestation. Source: NCHS linked birth/infant death data set (for US data), and European Perinatal Health Report (for European data).

Page 11: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Infant mortality rate for the US and Sweden, and the US infant mortality rate standardized for

Sweden’s gestational age distribution, 2004

3.0

5.8

3.9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Sweden IMR US IMR US IMR if the US had Sweden's gestational age

distribution

Infa

nt m

orta

lity

rate

33% lower

Note: Excludes births at <22 weeks of gestation

Page 12: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Conclusions• In 2005, the United States ranked 30th in the world in infant

mortality.

• Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants.

• These reporting differences are not the primary explanation for the United States’ relatively low international ranking.

• In 2005, 22 countries had infant mortality rates of 5.0 or below.

• One would have to assume that these countries did not report more than 1/3 of their infant deaths for their infant mortality rates to equal or exceed the US rate.

• This level of underreporting appears unlikely for most developed countries.

Page 13: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

Conclusions (cont.)

• Infant mortality rates for preterm infants are lower and rates for full-term infants are higher in the US than in Europe.

• In 2004, 1 in 8 US infants were born preterm compared to 1 in 16 in France and Sweden and 1 in 18 in Ireland and Finland.

• If the United States had Sweden’s distribution of births by gestational age, nearly 8,000 infant deaths in the US would be averted each year, and the US infant mortality rate would be 1/3 lower.

• The main cause of the US’ high infant mortality rate when compared to Europe is the very high percentage of preterm births in the US, the period when infant mortality is greatest.

Page 14: Behind International Rankings of Infant Mortality: …in the world in infant mortality. • Some differences exist in reporting of very small infants. • These reporting differences

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db23.pdf

Full report available at:

Questions?

Marian [email protected]