believing the evidence

38
Believing the Evidence Page 1 of 38 PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright British Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the licence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for details see: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015 University Press Scholarship Online British Academy Scholarship Online Evidence, Inference and Enquiry Philip Dawid, William Twining, and Mimi Vasilaki Print publication date: 2011 Print ISBN-13: 9780197264843 Published to British Academy Scholarship Online: January 2013 DOI: 10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.001.0001 Believing the Evidence JASON DAVIES DOI:10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.003.0015 Abstract and Keywords The study of ancient religion, partly in response to anthropology, moved in recent decades away from thinking in terms of ‘belief’ to studying ‘ritual’: this has a fundamental effect on how we treat the evidence (or decide what evidence is, and what it is evidence of). This chapter argues that the transition is incomplete and explores some of the deeper implications of thinking in terms of ‘belief’. It argues that these continue to hamper our perspective on ancient religion. The ‘otherness’ of ancient religion does not reside in the ‘rationality’ of their thinking, rather, it is axiomatic (their crediting ritual with power to effect changes in the wider world). Keywords: ancient religion, belief, ritual, evidence Abstract The study of ancient religion, partly in response to anthropology, moved in recent

Upload: diego-alonso-collantes

Post on 16-Dec-2015

224 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Prueba y Evidencia

TRANSCRIPT

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 1 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    UniversityPressScholarshipOnlineBritishAcademyScholarshipOnline

    Evidence,InferenceandEnquiryPhilipDawid,WilliamTwining,andMimiVasilaki

    Printpublicationdate:2011PrintISBN-13:9780197264843PublishedtoBritishAcademyScholarshipOnline:January2013DOI:10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.001.0001

    BelievingtheEvidenceJASONDAVIES

    DOI:10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.003.0015

    AbstractandKeywords

    Thestudyofancientreligion,partlyinresponsetoanthropology,movedinrecentdecadesawayfromthinkingintermsofbelieftostudyingritual:thishasafundamentaleffectonhowwetreattheevidence(ordecidewhatevidenceis,andwhatitisevidenceof).Thischapterarguesthatthetransitionisincompleteandexploressomeofthedeeperimplicationsofthinkingintermsofbelief.Itarguesthatthesecontinuetohamperourperspectiveonancientreligion.Theothernessofancientreligiondoesnotresideintherationalityoftheirthinking,rather,itisaxiomatic(theircreditingritualwithpowertoeffectchangesinthewiderworld).

    Keywords:ancientreligion,belief,ritual,evidence

    AbstractThestudyofancientreligion,partlyinresponsetoanthropology,movedinrecent

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 2 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    decadesawayfromthinkingintermsofbelieftostudyingritual:thishasafundamentaleffectonhowwetreattheevidence(ordecidewhatevidenceis,andwhatitisevidenceof).Iargueherethatthetransitionisincompleteandexploresomeofthedeeperimplicationsofthinkingintermsofbelief(whetherimplicitlyorexplicitly)andarguethatthesecontinuetohamperourperspectiveonancientreligion.Theothernessofancientreligiondoesnotresideintherationalityoftheirthinking:rather,itisaxiomatic(theircreditingritualwithpowertoeffectchangesinthewiderworld).

    1.ThenaturalnessofbeliefSOMEWHEREAROUND2000,therewasaninternationalmovementwhichencouragedpeopletoputJediastheirreligionincensuses.ThehomepageoftheJediChurchsays:

    TheJediChurchbelievesthatthereisoneallpowerfulforcethatbindsallthingsintheuniversetogetherSoquietyourmindandlistentotheforcewithinyou!

    Theinterestingaspectofthisforourpurposesistheprominenceofthewordbelieves,whichframeseverythingthatfollows.Apparently,ifyouwanttostartareligion,evenasajoke,youtalkaboutbeliefs.1Toamodernreader,itseemsabsurdeventonotethis:howcanareligionnotbeaboutbelief?Amoreinterestingquestionforourpurposesiswhetheritisausefulhistorical(p.396) categorywhentalkingaboutancientreligionsorindeedanyreligionthatdoesnotresidewithabroadlysecularframework.2

    ModernscholarshipofreligionisbuiltontheattemptssincetheendoftheVictorianeratoformadiscourseofreligionthatstruggledwiththeculturaleffectsofEuropeanempire,namelytheconfrontationwithprimitivereligions:typicallythequestionwasbuiltaroundtheassumptionofEuropeansuperiority.Thuswhatneededtobeexplainedwashowwegotfromtheretohere,sowehadschemaspositedwheremagichadevolvedintoreligion,whichhad(inourcase)beensupersededbyscience.Tobeassociatednowwithsuchschemes(thechiefculpritsareFrazerandTylor)3isnowacademicdeath:ifwecentreourdiscussionsonsomekindofevolutionfromreligiontoscienceastheydid,anthropologyandhistorybecometheexhaustivecataloguingofothersfallibility.ItwasEmileDurkheimwhobroughtlightwheretherehadbeendarkness,delvedintothemysteriesandtriumphantlyreturnedwiththelawsforanthropology,andlikeallhero-founders,hasfoundhiswordsusedforcontrastingpositionseversince.TheprinciplethatpersiststhemostpowerfullywasthatofreligionasaprojectionofagrouporsocietyfromDurkheimonwardsinsistenceonthesocialastheprimaryareaofanalysishasbeenacommonplaceinanthropologyandnowalsoinmodernhistory.4Freedfromansweringthequestionhowcouldtheybesowrong?,religionbecomesabroadpointofaccesstohowasocietyfunctions,sinceforthemostpart,religionandpoliticsareimpossibletodisentangle.5

    Thatisnottosaythattheanthropologyandhistoryofreligionnowhasasecureandagreedbasis:itmightbesaidthatwearestillgrappling(albeitwithgreatersophistication)withtheoriginaldifficulty,namelytheshockthatunderliestheexperienceofconfrontingforthefirsttimeaculturewhotakeitforgrantedthatthecosmosisaverydifferent

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 3 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    placefromtheonethatweareconvinceditis(andwhenIsayweImeanatypicalWesternintellectualwith(p.397) asecularoutlook).6OfcourseImightusefullyexplorenon-secularperspectivesbutspacedoesnotpermitthatand,secondly,thoseperspectiveswouldhavetheirowndistinctivelyorchestratedblind-spots.Myprojecthereistoextendseculardiscourse,nottocircumventit.

    Oneoftheresultsofthisongoingdiscourseisthatwehavebecomefarmoresensitivetowhatwearebringingtotheevidence:whenwetalkaboutreligionandbeliefwearegenerallydrawingonapredominantlyChristianisedperspectivethatemphasisedinnerexperience,spirituality,thewell-beingofthesoul(asmoreimportantthanthebody)andsomekindofcorebelief(whichissuspiciouslysimilarstructurallytotheCatholiccreed).7Ifwelookforthese,wefrequentlylookinvain(oftenevenwhenwearelookingatChristianity).8Thatisnotindispute:thedifficultyisthattheexpectationsareoftenunconsciousorunacknowledged.

    ThestudyofRomanreligionhasasimilarhistory:mosttwentieth-centuryscholarshipfoundRomanreligionwantingbecauseitdidnotfitthebill.Theirapparentobsessionwithritual,theimpossibilityofagreeingwiththepropositionsthatweinferredunderlaytheirreligiouspracticeandadistinctlackofrecognisablespiritualityledtotheimpressionthattheoriginal,morevibrantandaltogethermorespiritualRomanreligionhadbecomeossifiedtothepointofmeaninglessnessbythetimewereachthehistorical(i.e.decipherable)period.Thuswewerelookingforspirituality,richinnerconvictionandapreoccupationwiththewell-beingofthesoul,butallwefoundwasfastidiouslegalismandanattachmenttostickingtohowthingshavealwaysbeendone.

    Thepersistenceofthiswell-preservedcorpseofRomanreligionwasaccountedforbythesuggestionthattheelite,moreintelligentanddiscerningthanthecredulousmasses(thatis,coincidentallyunwillingtobelievewhatmodernscholarshappennottobelieveeither),hadkeptupapretenceforpoliticalreasonsbutclearlysignalledtothosethatcouldreadbetweenthelinestheirdisapprovalofallthenonsense.Thispositionwasreasonablyconsistentwithitself:itaccountedforratheralotoftheevidencewehad.Sowhena(p.398) changebeganitwasnotsomuchintheevidenceasawholesalequestioningwhetherthepositionwasplausibleasawhole.9

    Movingourfocusbacktoanthropology,amajorlandmarkwasthepublicationin1972ofRodneyNeedhamsBelief,LanguageandExperience.Asystematicsynthesisofphilosophicalandanthropologicalscrutiniesledhimtoconcludethatweshouldabandonalluseofthewordbeliefindiscussingreligion:

    Anythingthatwemightpleasetosay,andwhichincommonspeechisusuallyhungontothehandypegofbelief,willbebettersaidbyrecoursetosomeotherword;andifweareclearaboutwhatwewanttosay,weshallfindthatitcanbesaidclearlyonlybyanotherword.10

    Thus,asLindquistandColeman(2008)putit,wearedrawntothinkagainstbeliefratherthanwithit.

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 4 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    BuildingpartlyonNeedhamslegacyandtheresultinganthropology,ancienthistoryalsoturneditsattentionawayfromaspectsofbelief,experienceandspiritualitytowardsritual.11TheadvantagesofstudyingRomanreligionfromthepointofviewofritualinsteadofsome(usuallyinferred)beliefispreciselythatmostoftheevidencethatwehaveisalreadyintenselyfocusedaroundritualactions.

    ThemarchofritualmeantthatFeeney(1998)couldrhetoricallyderailtheexpectationthatweshouldorganiseouranalysisbybelief:itseemeddeadinthewater.

    AdynamicallychangingpolytheisticsystemisanexceedinglyproblematicplaceinwhichtofindthegroundingforaquestionlikewhatwerethereligiousbeliefsofAugustus?ThismanwasparticipantinanobjectofvariousnewandtraditionalcultsatRomeandthroughouttheempire,andinitiateintothemysteriesofEleusissincetheageof32.Hewasacclaimedinmarble,bronze,papyrusandsongasthedescendantofVenusandthesonofdivusJulius.HewastheviceregentofJupiter,founderofanewtempleofJupitersfounder,andalways(p.399) carriedasealskinwithhimasprotectionagainstthunderstorms.Inwhichofthesecontextsisthecoreofbelieftobefound?(1314)

    Theabandonmentofbeliefasanorganisingprinciplealsoledtotheacknowledgementthatwestillhavedifficultiesifwesearchforacoreelsewhere.WhenwespeakofRomanreligion,itisnotasimple(single)entity:shouldwedescribeofficialreligion(asorganisedoratleastsanctionedbythestate)?Ortheconstellationofpracticesatotherlevels(suchasfamily)?Thereisperhapsonepersistentfeatureritualtogetthegods(back,ifnecessary)onyourside(astateofaffairsknowninRomeasthepaxdeum,peaceofthegods).12Butbeyondthatgeneralfeature(whichRomesharedwithalmosteveryancientEuropeanculturethatweknowof),wecannotbrieflypresentanydefinitiveexamples,imageoressence.WeknowthatRomeembeddedritualpracticedeeplyintociviclifeviaarichcalendarofsacrificesandseveralcollegesofpriestswhoreportedtotheSenateratherlikeexpertcommitteesessentially,aninstitutionalisedhabitofgettingthegodsontheirsideasoftenaspossible.13InRepublicanRome,atstatelevel,akeypartofwhatwecallreligiouspracticewasconcernedwithprodigies,adversesignsthatwarnedoffutureproblemsbecausetheywereevidenceofaruptureofthepeaceofthegods(iradeorum,theangerofthegods).14Aprodigyessentiallymeantthatsomethinghadbeguntogoamisswiththecosmosbuttherewasusuallytimetoputitrightthroughritualappeasement.15Sacrificeallowedforthepracticeofcertainkindsofdivination(theentrailsoftheanimalwereexaminedforsignsbyspecialistdiviners,theharuspices)16thoughthatisonlyasubsetoftheenormousrangeofdivinatorypracticeswefindinantiquity.Thepointaboutritualisthatitnotonlygaveaccesstothegodsmood,itwasalsotheremedyfortheiranger:ifthesignscontinuedtobeadverse,onecouldcontinuemakingofferingsuntiltheywereappeased(aprocessknownasperlitatio).

    (p.400) Inastatethatplacedgreatemphasisondivinesupport,gettingritualsrightwasaseriousmatter:apiousnationinantiquitywasonethatdiligentlylookedforadversesignsandappeasedthegodspromptly.Soifwetakealookatoneofourbest(and,weassume,fairlyrepresentative)sourcesforRomanreligion,theannalsofthe

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 5 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    ArvalBrethren(aminorpriesthood)weseenotdebateaboutonesinnerrelationshipwithanydivinitybutratherwhatappearstobeatechnologyofsupplication.17WhateverRomanreligionwas,itseemstohaveputagreatemphasisforthemostpartonexpectingpracticalresults:thegodshadanoverweeninginfluenceontheoutcomeofeventsandifyoufailedandcouldnotfindaplausiblecauseinthehumanrealmtherewasagoodchanceitwasdowntoritualerror.18

    TheRomanstatedidnotattemptpersonalconversioninthemodernsensenorevenenforceparticipationincivicritual(toourknowledge)forcenturiesuntilaperceivedcrisisinAD249.19Noneofthisistosaythatindividualshadnopersonalinputorpractices,justthatritualpracticeappearstobethebestplacetostartourenquiries.Theritualturncreatesadifferentmapofancientreligionfrombelief.Whatbecomesimportantiswhosegods,whichgods:theywerenotuniversalorpersonalinthesamewaythattheyareinmonotheismandtheycouldbeinducedtojoin(orchange)sides.Romehadahistoryofbringingforeigngodsintotheirfold,thusobtaininggreatersupport(andalsodeprivingtheirenemiesoftheirprotectingdeities).20Andthoughwehadputapersonalfocusonreligion,itbecameobviousthatitwasoftenmoreusefultothinkofitatastatelevelthuswenowspeakofcivicpaganism.21

    Thusinrecentdecades,Romanreligionhasseenamassiveexpansionofinterest,andthevastmajorityofstudiesfocusonidentity(whatdoesitmeantobeRoman/notRoman?)22Needhamsargumentwontheday,itseems.Allofwhichmakesarecentresurgenceofinterestinsomequartersinbeliefallthemorechallenging.23

    (p.401) 2.ThereturnofbeliefKings(2003)TheorganisationofRomanreligiousbeliefsisoneofthemostsustainedattemptstorestorebeliefexplicitlyasaframeofreferenceforstudyingancientreligion:itisthereforeworthexaminingtheargumentsbothforspecificpoints,butalsoasopportunitiestoexploreotherissuesthatarerelevant,butperhapslessexplicit,elsewhere.

    Itwillbearguedherethattheargumentsthathavebeenemployedagainsttheuseofthewordbeliefarenotself-consistent,andthecallstobanishthetermfromRomanstudiesseempremature,forthetermbeliefisappropriateandusefulfordescribingsomeaspectsoftheRomanreligiousexperience.

    HeassertsfirstlythatNeedhamrejectedthetermbeliefonthegroundsthatitcouldnotbetranslatedintothelanguageoftheNuerpeopleofSudan.Second,hearguesthatthewordbeliefhasawiderangeofdefinitionsthelackofaconsistentmeaningmakesthetermuselessforanalysis.Hecontinuesbysayingthatthesetwoargumentscontradicteachother,onthegroundsthatoneneedsaspecificdefinitiontoknowwhetherornotitcanberenderedintoNuer.Needhamsargument,sothelogicgoes,isthusdisabledandwemustdiscardhisclaimthatbeliefshouldbeabandoned.24

    Thisobjectionseemsunconvincingtomeontwocounts:inordertoestablishthatbeliefisparticular(indeed,peculiar)tothemodernWest,Needhamexaminesfarmore

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 6 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    languagesthanjustNuer25butevenifhehadlimitedhimselftoonelanguageandculture,Ialsoseenologicalproblemwithassertingthatsomethingsvacuityorlackofspecificitymakesitimpossibleforittobetranslated.ThereisnocontradictioninassertingthattheEnglishwordthinghassomanymeaningsandallusionsthatitdoesnothaveasingleLatinequivalentandthatwearethereforewelladvisedtoavoidusingthewordintranslationfromLatinsinceadifferentwordcanalwaysbeusedwithmoreaccuracy.ThisispreciselyanalogoustowhatNeedhamsaidofbelief.

    Kinggoesontonoterhetoricallythatthetermritualcanalsobesaidtohavetoomanymeaningstobeofusebuthasnotbeendiscarded.26Thereby(p.402) discountingtheargumentthatalackofanagreedunifiedmeaninginvalidatestheuseofbelief,King(278)proposeswetestaredefinedversionofthetermagainsttheRomanevidence:

    beliefisaconvictionthattheindividual(orgroupofindividuals)holdsindependentlyoftheneedforempiricalsupport.

    Hecitesanexample,aninscriptionbyamothergrievingforherdaughterwhichhetranslatesasIbelieve(credo)thatsomedeityoranotherwasjealousofher.27Herewesurelyhaveacircularargumenttheactoftranslatingthiswayissupposedtoprovethatthetroublesomeconcepthasrelevance.Thecasemightbemorepersuasiveifwehadmoreexamplesofthistypethatallowedforcomparison.Thirdly,andevenmoredamagingly,Kingseemstohavepromotedcredotoahigherstatusinthesentencethanitdeserves:Iwouldprefersomegod,Isuppose(credo),begrudgedherexistence.28

    Isbeliefthemostappropriatetranslationhere,andifitis,isthissufficientevidencetorestoreitsgeneraluse?Evenwithinthistinytext,vastlydivergentreadingsarepossible:doweseealmostimpossiblyheartbreakingacquiescencetowhateveryonewassayingtoadistraughtmotherwhohasfinallycometoagreethatthereisnootherexplanationthatmakessenseofasenselessnightmare?29Or,attheotherextreme,doescredoindicateaflippantdisdainforwhateverthecauseofdeathwas,anirritationwiththebotherofdecipheringadiagnosis?Wesimplycannottellsincethisexamplecouldbeusedforeitherposition(thoughmypreferenceisforpathos).Buttomakethisstatementpositiveevidenceforoneparticularframeofmindthatispreciselytheoneundersuspicionisunconvincing:sinceelsewherecredoisusedofacceptinganinferencefromvisibleevidence,30weshouldprobablysettlenearertoIsuppose/Iconclude/Iaccept/Irealise/Ideduce/Icannotavoidwhatseemsevident.Itseemswecouldnotwishforabetterexampleoftheplasticityofapparentlystraightforwardstatements:thisevidenceisalmostentirelyatourmethodologicalmercy.

    (p.403) Thestatementthataconvictionwasheldwithouttheneedforempiricalsupportissurelyareasonablerepresentationofwhatmostpeopleunderstandbelievetorefertobutitisonethatcanonlybemeaningfulifwemakecertainlimitingassumptionsaboutitsinterpretationandapplication.Atfacevalue,itpermitsnotjustanythinggoesbuteverythinggoes(aslongasweignoreevidence).Itonlybecomesmeaningfulwhenweuseitofconclusionsthatothershavealreadycometowhichwecannotacceptatfacevalueandthereforecallbeliefsratherthandeductionsorconclusions(andsoon).It

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 7 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    cannotrefertotheprocessbywhichtheyarrivedattheirbeliefsbecausetheyhaveappliedsomeprocessofdiscriminationtoarriveataparticularproposition.Wemustdistinguishfirstly,theirgatheringofevidenceandonlysecondlyitsuseinareasonedargumentandtheirformulationofconclusions(beliefs).

    Tobeginwith,theRomanswouldhavevigorouslycontestedtheclaimthattheyhadnoevidenceforreligiousdeductions:thehistoriansofancientRome(i.e.historianswholivedandwroteinantiquity)wenttogreatlengthstodisplayprocessesofcheckingthereligiousfactsateverystepoftheprocessverification(ifpossible)ofsigns,scrutinyofwitnessesandtheweighingoftestimony.Theywerecertainlysensitivetohowevidencewasmoreorlessplausibleindifferentpoliticalandsocialcontexts(e.g.adversesignsweremorelikelytobenoticedduringtimesofcrisis).Beyondthat,theywereatpainstoenshrinethedeductiveprocessintheirreporting,clearlydistinguishingobservationofphenomenafromthedeductionsderivedfromthosephenomena(foregroundinglanguagesuchasuideri(toappeartobe/tobeevident),fromwhichwegetevidence).31

    IdonotwishtoimplythatKingdoesnotknowallthis(indeedIhaveratherunfairlyusedhimasaspokesmanforamoregeneralposition).Hemustmeannotthattheythoughttheyhadnoevidencebutthattheconclusionstheycameto(thegodswereangry)aresofarfromourownthatfromourperspectivetheymightaswellhavehadnoempiricalevidence.Ourinterpretationoflightningstrikingatemplearegularprodigyisutterlydifferentfromtheirs(routineexpiationofthegodswraththroughsacrifice).Inotherwords,hisdefinitionamountstosayingtheyweremistaken,becausetherearenogodsandweroutinelyusebelievetosignalthisparadoxtheyacceptedthatJupiterwaskingofthegodsbutwedonot(andfindithardtoimaginehowtheydid).Atthispointanon-historianmightwellacerbicallyremarkweknewthat,asindeedtheydidtomeduringtheEvidenceprogramme.Isthatthebeginningorendofourenquiry?Usingbeliefinthis(p.404) wayseemstomemoreaboutexplainingreligionawaythanexploringtheirepistemologicalworld.

    Somethingdoessurelyhavetobeexplaineditisjustthatthiscannotbedoneatthelevelofevidenceorevidentialreasoning:itisattheleveloftheaxiomsuponwhichtheidentificationofmeaningfulevidenceandthesubsequentevidentialreasoningwerebased.Oursecularrejectionoftheexistenceofgodsintheformthatwethinktheyconceivedthemindoesnotneedtobeprovenorrepeatedlyhighlighted.Wecandisregardanyseriousdiscussionoftruth-contentbecausewealreadyknowthatwedonotagreewiththeancientRomans.Theirdifferencewhichiswhatmakesthemhistoricallyinterestingispreciselywhatisavoidedbydefinitionsthatamountto(simply)reassertingthatthattheywerenotlikeus(theyacceptedthingswithalackofempiricalevidence).Thedrawbackofthissweeping(andprofoundlydisorientating,whenyouthinkitthrough)approachisthatwenevergetneartoseeingthecontoursoftheirthinking.

    CanwethenadaptKingsstrategyandredefinebelief(butdifferently)?Afterall,historiansareaccustomedtoproblematisingalmosteverytermthattheyusestate,society,theselfbutthecrucialdifference,itseemstome,isthatwithalittlepractice

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 8 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    theseproblematisethemselves.Itdoesnottakemuchstudyofhistorytorealisehowdifficultnotionssuchasstateareinpractice.Suchtermsrefusetobereductiveandinsist,bytheirveryusage,onevokingarangeofpossibilitiesthatmustbeconstantlyrenegotiatedbythewriter.Belief,ontheotherhand,isutterlyreductive(requiringtheanswersyes,noandhavingonlyonegreyareadontknow);ratherthandemandingenquiry,itconflatesclosure(thereasonableceasingofenquiry)withconclusion(anexhaustionofenquiry).Thus,usingbeliefcannotbehistoricallyuseful.Themostcarefullyfactualaccount,whenframedintermsofbelief,becomesanextendedconfirmationoftheircollectiveinsanitybutourpurposeistomakeancientRomemoreintelligible.Theprojectofrehabilitatingbeliefasasubtlelensofenquirymustdefeatitselfveryrapidlysimplybecausebeliefisasimplifyingdesignation.32

    ThisisinfactwhathappensinKingsanalysis.HeproposesthatweusebeliefsasareferencepointinconsideringRomanpaganismandChristianpaganbeliefsbutthattheformerbetreatedasapolytheticset,highlytolerantofvariationandincontrasttothehighlyorganisedandregulatedChristianbeliefs.Hereferstoananthropologicalcommonplacethatadifferentinterpretation(p.405) ofthesameritualcanunproblematicallyandsimultaneouslybeheldbydifferentpeopleaboutthesameritual.33Paradoxically,hispersistentapplicationtotheevidenceforalackofcohesionatthelevelofinterpretationmeansheisineluctablydrawnintoarguingthatritualisthesinglemostreliableorganisingprinciple:

    Insteadofattemptingtoreconcilethecontradictionsofthosebeliefsandassertanorthodoxtheology,thestatepriestsinsteadfocusedonencouragingconformityinritualpractice[orthopraxy]Thesameritualscouldbeemployedbythosewhohelddifferentbeliefswithinthecontextofstate-encouragedritualconformity.(298)

    ItseemstomethatthisisequivalenttosayingthatthedefiningdifferencebetweenpaganismandChristianityisthatoneorganiseditselfaroundritualandtheotheraroundbelief,eventhoughhesetouttosaythattheyarebothorganisedaroundbeliefsbutdifferently.Arguingthatweshouldseereligiousorganisationasorganisedonthebasisoflargelyunregulatedassumptions/interpretations(whicharehighlyvariable,thereforeunpredictable,thereforenotthemostusefulfocusfororganisation)ratherthantheritual(whoseformwasstrenuouslymaintainedandalteredwiththegreatestofreluctanceinancientRome)seemstometoinvertanorderofpriority.Itwastheverylackofimportanceplacedonbeliefthatallowedittobesoutterlyvariable,whereasritualshowsanextremelyhighlevelofregulationandconformityinitsperformance.34

    ImplicitbeliefThusfarwehavedealtwithexplicituseofbeliefbyroundingonKingsexpressionofmorewidelyheldpositionsbutitalsocausesdifficultieswhenimplicit:eveninthescholarshipthatorientatesitselfaroundritualratherthanbelief,thereisatendencyfortheoccasionalbuttrenchantuseofdeprecatoryorsneeringremarks,asifthewriterwishestosignaltheirdistaste,albeitdiscreetly.Thoughfarfromuniversal,suchremarksarenotuncommonevenin(p.406) studiesthatbeginbyclaimingtoofferamore

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 9 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    sympatheticandnuancedpictureofreligion.Iwillarguethattheresurgenceofbeliefandtheapparentlyinnocuousoccurrenceofdeprecatoryremarksaredifferentresponsestothesameunderlyingphenomenon.Toappreciatethestickinessofbeliefwemustmovenextbeyondafocusontheinnerandpersonalaspectstothebroadersocialimplications.

    3.Theutilityofbelief:thefiduciarycontractTheusefulness(andthereforewhatliesbehindtheimpulsetorehabilitateit)ofbelieflies,Isuggest,initsinvocationofafiduciarycontract(almostanappeasementgesture,inasecularsociety).Inanutshell,Ibelieveencapsulates(andpermits)bothmycertaintybutalsoyourdoubt.Ifyoudidnotdoubt(orIdidnotcareintheslightestwhetheryoudid),IwouldsayIknoworotherwisetreatmypositionasrealandself-evident.Inotherwords,whentwoorthreearegatheredtogetherwhobelievethesamething,thewordbelieveisatlibertytodisappearfromtheirlanguage.ChristiansknowthatJesusisrisen,andsoon.Conversely,fromthepointofviewofthesecularhegemony,todeclaresomethingtobeabeliefeffectivelysaysthatthetruthclaimsarebracketedoutofsecular(normal)discourse:asWittgenstein,citedbyNeedham(1972:73),putititisntaquestionofmybeinganywherenearhim[areligiousbeliever],butonanentirelydifferentplane.35Asamodernsecularist,Imight(toputthepositionatitsbluntest)thinkyouremadbutIwillgrudginglyallowyoutobelievewhatyouwantaslongasyousayand/oractasifitsabeliefandtherebykeepitprivate(whichcarriestheimplicationofinnocuoustosociety).ThoughNeedhamdiscussesthisregularly,hefocusesontheinnerstateratherthanthesocialcompromiseinvolvedand(moretomypoint)thefactthatthiscompromiseisessentialforthecontinuedhegemonyofsecularism.

    LindquistandColeman(2008)offerananecdoteaboutanacupuncturist,calledtotreataparticipantintheirworkshopwhodescribedhisownpracticesasbeliefs.36Theydrawourattentiontosomeofthedynamicsofthefiduciary(p.407) contractofbeliefbutimplicitlydealwithitasifitwerethespontaneouspositionofthereligiouswithoutmuchexternalpressure.Itseemstomethattheself-positioninginasecular(possiblycritical)environmentofthereligiousasbelieverswhoareacutelyawarethattheyaremarginal,isbetterviewedasanunequalcompromisewhoseviolationbybelieverswouldbemetwithgreatresistancebynon-believers.37

    IshouldemphasisethatIamavoidinganyattempttodescribewhatreligiouspeopledowithbelief.38Iamspecificallyinterestedinthewaythatitisdeployedinseculardiscussionofreligiouspeople,oftenundertheimpressionthatthetermcanbeunproblematicallyborrowedfromthosepeopletowhomitbelongs.WhenaChristiansaysIbelieveinGodtoanotherChristian,itmeanssomethingverydifferentinpracticefromwhentheysayittoasecularaudience,anditmeanssomethingdifferentagainwhenanon-believersaysofanotherpersontheybelieveinGod.Inthesecondcase,theyare(liketheacupuncturist)positioningthemselvesonWittgensteinsotherplanealtogether,andfrequentlydosoasadefensivemove(toprotecttheirdiscoursefrominterrogationonwhattheywouldconsiderinappropriatecriteria,suchasmaterialevidence).Inthethirdcase,while(obviously)awholerangeofmeaningsarepossible,thesituationwill

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 10 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    generallyinvolveanelementofabandoningnormaldiscussion.Iwillbrieflydiscussthesecondbeforefocusingmorefullyonmythirddistinction.

    Ifwethinkthatthesecularconceptionsofbeliefandreligion,whatevertheirorigins(myfirstdistinction),areintheircurrentusagesomehowspontaneousandnatural,wemightaswellalsoconcludethatmostmembersofethnicminoritiesinthemodernWestareinstinctivelyhard-workingandnaturallypolite(especiallytohigh-statuswhitenativeAnglophonemen)andthatwomen,instinctivelyhappytoberoutinelyinterruptedandputstraightbymenindiscussion,justprefertodothelionsshareofthehousework(theyevenenjoygrumblingaboutitthatsjustwhatwomendo).39

    Weshouldnotthenbesosurprisedbytheacupuncturistsproclamationofhispracticeasasetofbeliefs.Heappearstobeundernoillusionsaboutwheretheboundarieslie,andhekeptthemdutifullyevenwhilepractisinghisart.(p.408) Hadhebeguntoattempttoconverthispatientoraudience(merelyreportinghispracticesasfactuallybasedratherthanasbeliefswouldprobablyhavesufficed),thebreachingoftheboundarywouldnodoubthavebeenmadeverycleartohim.

    Focusingnowonmythirddistinction,theascriptionofbeliefbyanon-believer,anythingcircumscribedasabeliefbecomesadeliberatelyconstructedepistemologicalblackbox,impenetrablebyusualmethodsandpubliclyacknowledgedtobeidiosyncraticandnon-hegemonic.40Thus,whereasadiscussionframedentirelywithinasharedparadigmcanpotentiallyendwithmutualagreementandunderstandingbetweenpeers,whenreligionandbeliefentertheframe,toleration(admittedly,oftenimpatient)istheonlyrealisticformofclosureortruce(unlessonewantsaninsolubleargument).

    Wecannowbegintoappreciatemorefullythepropensitytoinvokebelief:sincetheboundarymustbeongoingredrawnandreaffirmedinseculardiscourse,andsincethescholarofreligionisconstantlyconfrontedbyalienmaterial,anenactmentofsecularidentityisasmuchanecessarypartofthehistoriographicalartasisfootnotingsourcesresponsibly.Putdifferently,beliefingdiscerningexplicitorinferredpropositionsandtherebyconstitutingstrangepracticesorstatementsasbeliefsistheprimarywaythatwemanagetheotheranditsnormalityissuchthatitwouldbeconspicuousifabsent,raisingsuspicionsthatthehistorianoranthropologisthadgonenative.Putratherforciblyintoanutshell,ifitdoesntmakesensetous,itsbestcalledabelief.Sincethefunctionofcallingthingsbeliefsisprotectivelytodefinesecularitysmodesandaxioms,itisnotsurprisingthatitbecomesahandicaptoasympathetictreatmentofthepastitisnotsupposedtobesympatheticbutrathertoestablishunequalpositions.Thusexplainingancientreligionintermsofbeliefarefusaltobedrawnintoadiscussionisaself-defeatingventure.Thefollowingdiscussionisthereforemoreanexplorationofourhistoricising,beliefinggazethanaboutthehistoricalobjectsofouranalysisitisaboutwhatweriskdoingtoevidenceratherthanwithit.

    4.BeyondNeedhamThereisaparticularconsequenceofbeliefingwhichmakeshistoricaldescriptionverydifficult:framinganyknowledgesystemorthoughtsystemwithin(p.409) beliefhas

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 11 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    aflattening,homogenisingandunifyingeffectonitspropositions,dilemmasandepistemologicalfunctioningwhichiseasytodemonstratewithanexample.

    IfIweretomentionRomanknowledge,mysenseisthatitwouldevokeanexpansivesenseofpossibilityinthereader:theywouldexpectsomethingnuanced,nodoubtratherhit-and-misscomparedtomodernunderstanding(butintherightsortofarea)complexifsomewhatmuddledandoperatingbyrecognisableoratleastdiscerniblerules.If,however,IspeakofRomanreligion,Iinsteadevokeaboundedjumbleofbeliefs,allofequalvaluetous(none)andofequalinterest(asoddities).Thus,ifsomeoneaskedmewhatdidtheRomansknow?itwouldbeanoddquestionthattheywouldsurelynotexpectacompleteanswerto(myresponsewouldbesomethinglikepullupachairandbringrefreshments).YetIamroutinelyaskedwhatdidtheRomansbelieve?withthenaturalexpectationthatIcansomehowidentifyandbrieflyrendersomethingintelligible.Mygreatestdifficultyisthat,apartfromthefactthatwehaveextensiveinformationthatcanbecalledreligious(whichbynomeanslendsitselftogreatbrevity),theirrelationshipwiththeirpracticeswasnotreligious.BythisImeanitwasnotaprivaterelationshipwithoneortwosimplisticandbizarrepropositionsthatwereviewedwithgreatsuspicionbymainstreamsociety:theyweremainstreamsociety.

    Thus,bringingbeliefinimpliesapreferencetoconstituteitsobjectsofinterestasasingleentityorsetofconjoinedandvirtuallyinseparableentitiessothattheboundaryofrationalitycanbedrawn.Whatgainsmorefromthisprocessinoursocietyissecularrationalityratherthanreligion(whichgainsnothingfromthetransactionapartfromknowingwheretheghettobeginsandends).Byidentifyingwhatwecannotorwillnotacceptorengagewithasequals(thatsabelief,soisthatandthattooIdonthavetoworkthemout)wearealsodefiningwhatwecan.Intellectually,thereisnowusandthem.Sincewhattheyhaveincommonisthattheyarenotus,weleantowardsgroupingthemintoonecategoryandcanthenactasiftheyareallthesame.

    Thisisaninevitableaspectofidentity-buildingand(Istress)oneIwishtoexplore(ratherthandecry).TheparticulardrawbackforthehistorianthatIwishtodrawattentiontoisthatthisflatteningandgroupingperspectivedoesnotequipustofindoutwhatisabroadinanydetail.41Imagineaworldtravellerreturninghometriumphantwithdiscoverytheyreallforeign!(p.410) Needhammighthavechallengedsuchatravellertoattemptadescriptionoftheplacesvisitedwithoutmentioningforeignnessasanexercisenotintruth(buttheyareforeign)buttowardsamoreinformativedescription.Wewouldtireofadescriptionthatrantheyhadforeignbuildingsfortheforeignpeople,withforeignanimalsyetweareaccustomedtoaccountsofothercultures(orsubcultures)thatrepeatedlyinvokebelief(preferablyinafamiliarlymonotheisticdivinity).42Thesheerembeddednessofthefiduciarycontractmeansthattheimpactofthistaxonomicgestureonhowweseetheevidenceisvirtuallyinvisibletous.

    Asaresultofthisunifyingprocessthatmakesallreligionsequal(orperhapsequallyunequal),distinctionsmadewithinthereligiousrealmaremeaninglesstousallthefoodwasequallyforeign.Inaddition,beliefsbinaryovertonestronglypredisposesusto

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 12 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    lookactivelyforitsshadow,completescepticism.Withallpracticesandpropositionssingularisedanysingle(evenisolated)criticismofareligiousjudgementoractionbyitspractitionerscaneasily(almostautomatically)thereforetakentobedismissingallreligiousjudgements.Anyancientwriterwhocriticisesaparticularinstance(e.g.amis-diagnosedprodigythatwasjustacoincidence)isindangerofbeingheldupasa(suspiciouslymodern-sounding)scepticasifasingleexampleofless-than-totalaffiliationwithasinglepropositionactslikeaneedletoaballoon.43TheanthropologistMaryDouglasusedtotellananecdoteaboutatribaleldershehadspenttimewithwholaughedashesaidifitsreallyimportant,weconsulttheoracleagainthenextday,justtocheckitgotthingsright.Thisisunscholarlysinceitcannotbereferencedbutthemostnoteworthypointisthatsheaddedthatsheusuallyrefrainedfromintroducingitintodiscussionbecausepeoplewouldntunderstand:shewasconcernedthatonceitwasconcededthattheywerenotunwaveringlyandcompletelysureabouttheirgreatestoracle,theentireedificeoftheirreligionwouldlookreadytotoppleover.Evenscholarshipthattalksofpluralbeliefsanddemonstratesacomplexsetofreasoningsstrugglestoescapethisunifyingandflatteningtendencymultiplyingblackboxesdoesnotchangethefactthatalltheideasarestillofanequalorderintheirimpenetrability.Withthisgaze,itisvirtuallyimpossibleforustoseeanydistinctionbetweenthedifferentordersofreasoningorappreciatewhatcanandcannotbecriticised.Atbest,thedescriptionweendupwithlacksanynuanceordepth:inanarrative(whetherfictiveor(p.411) factual)writteninancientRome,theremightbementionofaprodigyinpassingbutwecannottellwhetherthisisatrivialdetailoradeeplysignificantcluetotheancientreaderabouthoweventslooklikeunfolding.44Withregardtoreligiouscues,oursensitivitytoancientnarrativesisprobablyakintoamodernchildwatchingadisasterfilmwhobarelyregisters,letaloneunderstands,thescenewherethehydraulicbrakelinesonacarenteringtheuninhabiteddesertareaccidentallyrupturedortheboltworksloosefromtheaeroplaneswingontake-off.Eveniftheydo,theycannotseeitssignificanceforlatereventsorthedifferentmagnitudeofanother,trivial,sceneintheorderingofevents.

    Ifthisiswhatbeliefactuallymeansinthewayweuseit,isitpossibletoworkhistoricallywiththismeaning,ofthissingularisinggaze?Thisseemspointlesstome,aswellasself-defeating.Firstly(pointless),itabandonsthemainadvantageofusingtheterm(drawingalinebetweenusandthembyinsteadassertingthattheyweredrawingalinebetweenthemselvesandanotherthem).Secondly(self-defeating),ifwearemovedtoredefinebelief,wemusttakeresponsibilityforthefactthatweareprojectingitseffectbackintime:thatistosay,ifweweretosaythatgroupXbelievedinY/believedYthenwewouldbeconcludingthatagroupinantiquitytookupapositioncomparabletoamodernreligiousgroupdeclaringtheirallegiancetoaframeworkorsetofpropositionsthattheyknewtookthemoutofstepwithmainstreamsociety,towhomtheirdiscoursewasratherimpenetrableandalsorathertrivial.Insuchascenario,someslippageofdetailsasweapplythetermwouldbetolerable(asitisinnotionslikestate,powerandsociety).Butsuchaprojectisdoomed:itwouldpresentevenmoreconvolutedproblemsthanourcurrentconcerns,asasimpleexamplewillshow.

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 13 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    OnegroupthatsetitselfapartinsuchawayintheearlyRomanEmpirewasthesectthatwouldeventuallyestablishitsownhegemonyChristianity.IfwesaythatearlyChristiansbelievedintheirGod,ourproblematisedandnuancedmeaningwouldbethatbydoingso,theyvehementlyassertedtheiradherencetoasingularisedpropositionandtherebyestablishedtheircontraryidentityandmutualsolidarity.Butbecausewearesoaccustomedtousingthewordunproblematically,oursubtletybecomescompletelyinvisible,anditreadslikeanunproblematisedandunreconstructedversionwhosere-dundancyisobviousofcourseearlyChristiansbelievedinGod(otherwise(p.412)theywouldnotbeChristians).Thereisnowaytousebelieftoindicatethatthiswastheirforginga(oreveninventingthe)fiduciarycontractinaparticularcontextratherthanourenactingafiduciarycontractinresponsetothem.Itismucheasier(asNeedhampointedout)touseadifferentexpression.Thuseventhisattempttorescuethetermbeliefcollapsesinonitself.45

    Theinsistenceonbelievingispartlywhathasmadedefiningreligionitselfsuchanotoriouslyinsolubleproblemasafamily,religionandreligiousthings(thingstobelieve,evenwhentheyareactionsratherthanpropositions)areunitedonlybythatwhichtheyarenotintelligibleandmeaningfultoseculardiscourse.ThusitisonlywhenworkingtowardsananthropologyofsecularismarticulatingourmeansofjudgementthatAsadcangiveusamoremeaningfulandnegativedescriptionofreligiousbeliefsaseverythingthemodernstatecanaffordtoletgo.46Forourpurposes,beliefsaccordinglybecomeanythingthatsecularthinkingcannot(anddoesnotwishto,andcanaffordnotto)meaningfullyengagewithandisanactivelyattributedstatusratherthananeutralandinnocuousdescription.TheimplicationisthatthefullrangeofepistemologicalhandicapsthatNeedhamsopainstakinglydocumentedassomethingaccidentalandlargelyunconsciousactuallyrevealavaluablepurposetodeclarethatwecandowithoutcertainthings.47Itisthereforetheelasticityofthecriteriaratherthanthenatureofthepropositionsthatallowsalmostanythingwechooseintothecategoryofbelief.Thus,thoughNeedhamcansay,afterdiscussingtheissueofconvictionasadefiningaspectofbelief,thatinthefinalanalysisevidentiallyitcouldnotpossiblybe(p.413) saidthatthemembersofasocietybelievedanythingincommon(1972:92),hedoesnotseethatitmightbesupremelyconvenientforustospeakasiftheydid.Given,then,thatseculardiscourseroutinely(ideologically)discardsthereligiousasmeaningfulinitself(whilenonethelessnotingtheexistenceofreligion),couldwenotsimplydiscardthereligiousasanobjectofserioushistoricalstudy?Itisprofoundlyalientous,whynotjustadmititandspendourtimeonmorepromisingareas?

    ThemostobviousdifficultyisthatreligionandpoliticsareusuallyinseparableoutsidethemodernWest,whichmeansthatavoidingreligionisnotreallyanoption.Wemustmaketheattemptinallhistoriography,thereisaconstanttensionasweendeavourtomaketheunfamiliarasaccessibleaswecanwithoutdisguisingtheirparticulardifferenceandthisshouldbenoexception.Butequally,wecannotacceptablyequateallknowledge-systemsthatwouldleadtoacatastrophiclossofmeaning.Secularismhasprobablyreachedthepointwherecallingeveryoneelseaforeignerisnolongerenoughitmustexploremorenuancedwaysofdealingwithalterityonitsown(butnecessarilyexpanded)

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 14 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    terms(andthebestopportunityforthisisthecurrentinterestinreflexivity).48

    Butthisproject(whichgoeswellbeyondHistory)isnotservedbycontinuingtoenactthefiduciarycontract:beliefhascontinuedtoappearinouraccountsbecausethelinemustbedrawnandpointingouttheinadequacies(asNeedhamdid)oftheonlytoolwehaveforthejobdoesnothingtocompletethetaskthatmustbedone.Inasense,Needhamsadmirablestudyjustmadeeverythingharderbymakingthetermbeliefillegitimate(oratleast,contested).49Asaresult,whenmodernsdescribeancientreligiontheyeitherinsert(orarguefortherighttoinsert)beliefdeliberatelyortheyfollowtheletteroftheZeitgeist(butmissthespirit)byavoidingthetermbutnonethelessfindthemselvesineluctablytemptedtosignaltotheircolleaguesthattheyhavenotbeeninfectedbytheirmaterialbytheuseoftrenchantlyplacedandmildly(mildwillusuallysuffice)derogatoryremarks.Paradoxically,Needhamslegacyhasunderminedoneofhisconclusionsthatweareonlydealingwith(p.414) beliefifsomeoneactuallybringsthewordintotheconversation:wenowhaveabeliefthatdarenotspeakitsname.50

    Tosumupsofar,beforewemovetothesecondpartofmyargument,beliefcreatesfarmoreproblemsthanitsolvesforhistoricalenquiry.Tobeginwith,itforcesthereadertoconfrontandholdintheirmindthecomplexities,difficulties,anddistortionsoftheattachedframeworkratherthanrequiringtheauthortodothatpartofthework.Moreprogrammatically,itshiftstheemphasisofourstudy,ashasbeensaid,topropositionsweinferunderlietheirpracticesratherthanthosethingswhichwecanidentify(namelyrituals)aswhattheyseemtohaveconsideredcentraltotheirpractice.Crucially,evenanalertreaderwillstrugglenottoreduceancientreligiontoaseriesofbinaryrelationshipstheybelieved,ortheydidnt.Butthemosttellingobjectionisthatenactingthefiduciarycontract(evenwithacknowledgementofitsdifficulties)cementstheothernessthatwearetryingtodemystifybywritingabouttheminthefirstplace.Weareeffectivelyabandoningtheattempttofamiliariseassoonaswestartthinkingintermsofbeliefs.Aligningourselveswiththesecularprojectdoesnotrequireustoinvokebeliefindeedthetemptationtodososhouldsoundawarningbellthatwehaveslippedintoanachronism.AnditisnotjustourunderstandingofreligionthatwillsufferwecannotgraspthehistoryofRomewithoutaddressingtheircultusdeorum(roughly,thecultivationofthegods).Thisisstillonlyapartialexplanation,bothfortheexplicitcallsfortherefurbishmentofbeliefandtheperceivedneedfordistancing(asasubstituteforevokingbelief)throughdismissiveremarks.DeprecatingbeliefbycataloguingitsdrawbacksislikecuttingofftheheadsoftheHydraithasnotyetachieveditspurposeeveninthecaseofmanywhoendeavourtoheedit.Wehavetodigabitdeeper.

    5.SincerityManydiscussionsofbeliefhavenotedthatonecannotwilloneselftobelieve.51Butthediscussionhastendedtoendatthatpoint,thusonlyalludingtoashadowynegativeaspect.Itcomesmoreintofocusifweinvertit:abelievercannotwillthemselvesnottobelieveandbeliefcouldbedescribedasthe(p.415) absenceofwill(automony)betweenthebelieverandthebelieved.52Iwouldsuggestwerefertothisidentificationassincerityanditismycontentionherethatisactuallytheblockthatwestumbleover

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 15 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    mostofallinconnectionwithbelief.

    Ifweprovisionallydefinesincerityastheidentificationoftheselfwithabelief,53manyofNeedhamsconfusinglydisparatequalitiesareeasiertogroup.Wemightredescribehisprojectasananalysisoftheexpectationswehaveofbelief:itisthesincerityimplicitininvokingbeliefthatbringstheexpectationoftotalconviction,lackofcontradictionandlong-termandunwaveringcommitment(transienceimpliesshallownessofsincerity)amongstreligiousbelievers.Thisdemandsthesingularisationofthebelievedalreadytoucheduponhowelsecouldonebesincereaboutit?Itisalsosinceritythatimpliesthataction(basedonbelief)isrequiredbythebeliever.54Putdifferently,thoughbeliefisfairlyreasonablyassumedtohavebegunlifeamongthereligiousasanexpectationtheyhaveofthemselves,inseculardiscourseitisappropriatedasastandardtowhichweintendtoholdreligiouspeopleto:anaspirationofonegroupforthemselvestherebybecomesamorerigiddemandandexpectationthatonegrouphasofanother.Thatistoocomplextoexploreherebutitdoesnothelpmatterswhenonereligionfunctionsverydifferentlyfromanother,whichisthesituationwehavehere.Withtheseexpectationsofsincerity,theoldermodelsofRomanreligionassertedvehemently(inlanguagethatdeniedbelief)thattheelitewereinsincere(scepticalbutstillperformingtheirrituals).Asitbecameobviousthatthiswasinsufficientfortheevidence,wedriftedtowardsthepolaroppositeaconclusionofinsincerewasreplacedbyoneofyes,sincere.55Thishascausedusalmostasmanyproblemsastheoldchargeofinsincerityanddisbelief.

    Itiseasytoseehowthesubtleunifyingperspectiveofbeliefingasocietyorgroupleadstoaperceivedneedforsincerityratherthan(e.g.)criticalreflection.Sinceseculardiscoursepermitstheexistenceofbelief-systemsyetcannotmakefine-tunedjudgementswithinthoseworlds,itmusttakethewordofadherentsasitstandsastheonlyhopeofengagingmeaningfullywiththem.Insincerebeliefisthereforeacontradictioninterms:wemightsay,for(p.416) rhetoricaleffect,thatifonemusthaveabelief,itreallyoughttobeoneworthdyingfororcertainlygoingtosometroublefor.Beliefsthatareconvenientorapparentlysuperficialareratherunconvincing.WhatwouldLindquistandColemanhavemadeoftheacupuncturistifhehadsaidasheleftYouknow,Imnevercompletelysurewhetheritwillworkasitssupposedto!?WouldwethinklessoftheArchbishopofCanterburyifheadmittedthatheonlyjoinedtheChurchbecausehehadnothingbettertodoandhadjustmuddledalongeversince?Thoseseemunlikelytogainanunderstandingindulgence,yetamoderncomputerspecialist(engineer,lawyer,teacher)mightsaythesethingswithrelativeimpunitybecausewewouldjustunderstandthemwithoutitnecessarilyunderminingouropinionoftheirpractice.Wetakeitforgrantedthatsincerityisagoodthingthatmakessomesmallcompensationforthewrongheadednessofbeingreligiousinthefirstplace,asitwere.56Butthehighvalueplacedonsincerityinreligionisnotspontaneousandnatural:deliberatelycultivatedwithinmanyreligiousmovementsfortheirownpurposes,sincerityisthenimplicitlydemandedbythesecularworldastheguaranteeofmeaningfulandpredictabledealingswithpeoplewhodonotoperatebythesamerules.Ifyouaregoingtohavedifferentaxioms(andthereforedeductions)fromthemainstream,thenpleaseatleastbepredictablesoweknowhowtorelatetoyou.This,Isuggest,iswhy

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 16 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    sincerityissoimportantinreligion,andweareuncomfortableinitsabsence.

    Thehighvalueofsincerityissoimportantthatitisprotectedfromharmfulscenarios:insituationswhereevengrudgingacceptanceseemsinappropriate,sincerityisavoided(thepreferredalternativeissomethinglikefanatic)becausethecategoryofsincerewouldbedamagedbysuchanassociation.Thussincere(thepraiseworthyguaranteethatthebusinessoftheotherwillbekeptaway)mustpertainonlytowhatisconstructedasprivatereligiousfanaticsarethereforecharacterisedbythefactthattheyhavecrossedthelineintothepublicsphere(thatisonewaywecantelltheyarefanatics).57Sincerityandbeliefaresointertwinedastomakeitimpossibletohavemeaningfulbeliefwithoutsincerity(althoughtheoppositeisnottrue).

    (p.417) Icanthereforeextendmyearliercontentionandsaythattheprojecttorestorebeliefisactuallyasympatheticbutflawedprojecttorehabilitateancientreligionbyrestoringthisimplicitsinceritytooursubjects,becauseinthebinarychoiceimposedbybelief,theonlyalternativeseemstobetodenyit,andwe(historiansandanthropologists)nowadaysfindthatdistastefulandunconvincing.Ontheotherhand,deprecatoryremarksmaythenreflectourdisappointmentthattheydoseemtohavesincerelybelievedsomeratherstrangethings(andwehadbeenthinkingtheyweresorational).

    Canweperhapsusesincerityasthebasisofenquiry(ashasbeenattemptedwithbelief)?Todososeemstomehopelessandinappropriate:arguingforhopelessisfairlystraightforwardNeedhamconcludedhisstudywiththeassertionthatthesolitarycomprehensiblefactabouthumanexperienceisthatitisincomprehensiblewhichisnotapromisingplacetostart.Eventakingtextualstatementsatfacevalue(sincerity)ismethodologicallysuspect:classicists(whoarenotthesameasancienthistorians)aremoreinterestedintheopposite(irony)and,giventhatanimportantmovementofrecentdecadesintheexplorationoftheauthorialpersona(asopposedtoperson)sincerityisapointofreferencethatisbeingfurtherandfurtherleftbehind.58Statementsarestrategic(rhetoricalandpersuasive)ratherthanenactmentsofsincerity,becausewehavebecomeattunedtothefactthatevenaphraselikemeanwhatyousayisfarfromtransparent.Asacorrectivetothedayswhentextualanalysisconsistedofassemblingstatementsthatcouldberepresentedaswhattheauthorreallythought,thisisentirelyappropriatenoonewouldargueforsuchpositioninamodernauthor(especiallyoffictivematerial).Theintractabledifficultyisthatmeaningrequirescontexttobeusefullyintelligibleandthiscontextwillchange,oftenrapidly.AstatementlikeIamanacademichasavastlychangedmeaninginthemoderndayfromthirtyyearsago.Makingitintelligibletoanoutsiderdemandsanextendedandnuancedcommentary.Soitseemsthattextualapproachesthedisciplinesthatspecificallyaddressexplicitstatementswarnsusagainstthisproject.

    Aretherethenothermethodologieswecanapplytoconsiderthesincerityofoursubjects?ThereisadiscourseaboutsinceritycentredaroundthewritingsofthephilosopherHabermas,but(frommylimitedforaysintoit)thatisorganisedaroundthenotionofanidealspeechcommunityofequals(p.418) emphaticallynotapplicable

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 17 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    here.ThehistoricalandtextualaccountofsincerityandauthenticitygivenbyTrilling(1972)(anddrawingontextualapproaches)isatoncemoreandlessthanweneedhere.Buthissituatingsincerity(andmovetoauthenticity)inarangeofhistoricalandliterarycontextsdoespermitustobroadlycommentthatsincerityonlyexistsasanaturalandunproblematisedstateuntilweactuallybegintoexamineit:itsunitaryandnaturalness(i.e.implicitclaimofbeingunchangingandcommontoallhumanity)dissolvesasitbecomesclearthat,likevirtuallyeveryotherobjectofhistoricalenquiry,itsparticularrelevanceandmeaningbecomesdifferentiateddependingonwhichspecifictimeandplaceweareinterestedin.Morethanever,then,weshouldbewaryofassigningsinceritytohistoricalindividuals.

    Thelackofsuitablemethodologyshouldnotsurpriseus:sincerityissimplynotanappropriatemodeofenquiryforhistory.Evenifwedidhaveawayofassessingthetotalaffiliationofaperson(a),historiansmustmarginaliseit.WecouldsayCicerogenuinelywantedtheRomanRepublictosurvivewithouttoomuchcontroversy,butwhatisofmorehistoricalinterestisthatheformedanopinionaboutthisinthefirstplace.ItwasonlyanissuebecauseofthethreatstothepoliticalorderandevenifweweretobeginwiththispropositionaboutCicerossincerity,ourhistoricalgazewouldslideoffitratherrapidlyastheassertionpromptsmoreusefullyhistoricalquestionssuchaswhoexactlywasCicerotowantthis?(anideologicallycommittedoligarch?merelysomeonewhohadsucceededinthatsystem?thephilosopher?themanwhoknewnothingdifferent?).Assessingsincerity(andinteriorstate)cannotbeavalidpartofthehistoricalgazeitmustyieldtoother,moreappropriate,questions.

    Forallthesereasons,IdoubtverymuchthatmanyhistorianswouldexplicitlyaddresstheissueofsincerityandreligiousexperienceintheirsubjectsGreen(2007)strugglestoaddresssomeofitsimplicationsinconnectionwithaparticularcult,withmixedresults.Butallthereasonsthattheyinstinctivelyavoiditshouldapplyalsotobelief(includingtheimpliedsearchforbeliefthatIhavetentativelydiagnosed).Putbluntly,aslongasitisinahistoriansmind,howeverfarbackitispushed,itwillcolourtheenquiry.

    Ifweshifttoritualwithoutfullyproblematisingsinceritywethereforeruntheriskofmerelydisplacingthesearchforsincerityfrompropositionstopracticesbylookingforsomekindofunifyingorunifiedmeaningorparticipation,andthissearchgoesonevenwhentheevidencerefusestobeorganisedthisway.Thatis,muchofourcurrentexploration,ratherthanbeingalongthelinesofRomans(sincerely)believedthatJupiterwaskingofthegodsisnowimplicitlyinthedomainofRomans(sincerely)believedthatritualwouldgetthegodsontheirsideandthatfutureeventswouldthenplayoutasthey(p.419) wished.Wethereforereachthepointwheresinceritymust,likebelief,beunveiledandthenexcisedfromourgazeandIproposetodothatbythejudicioususeofirresponsibleopenquestionsthatdrawonourmodern(familiar)understandingofhowknowledge-systemsfunction(orrather,ofhowpeoplefunctionwithinknowledge-systems).Givenmyirresponsibilityinwhatfollows,Imustfirstofferadisclaimer.

    Byandlarge,historyisadisciplinecentredonhonouringthedistinctivenessandcontingencyofitssubjectmaterial,andbuilding(oftencreative)representationsofother

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 18 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    societies.59Tointroduceananalogyrisksgoingagainstthisethos:analogieshavealevellingeffectandmakingthingslookmoresimilaristoriskbeingnotjustun-buta-historical.Thishistoricalemphasisondistinctivenessmeansthattheintroductionofanalogysimplyprovidesmorematerialthatneedshistoricalexplanation.Thusanalogiesfromotherhistori-cisedsocieties(e.g.frommediaevalFrancetotheancientworld)runtheriskofmultiplyingratherthansolvingourproblems.Conversely,analogieswiththemoderndayruntheriskofappearingtoinviterelativismbyputtingmodernpropositionsonthesamefootingasthoseoftheancientworld.Ifthiswasnotproblematic,wewouldnotbediscussingbeliefinthefirstplace.Directcomparisonsofcontent(knowledge,beliefs)damnsuseithertoFrazersshadow(documentingthesteadyriseofhumanityfromthemurkybefuddle-mentofthepasttotheshiningenlightenmentofthepresent)or,dependingononesaudience,thecripplingchargeofrelativismonceinvoked,suchadescription(whenusedasanaccusation)utterlyobscuresenquiry.SoImustaskmyreaderactivelytowardofftheshadeofFrazerandTylerontheonehand,andthesuspicionofarelativisingargumentontheotherand,armedonlywiththemodernmagicalamuletofcarefulwording,makeastrictlylimitedforayintoanalogywiththemodernage.

    Istressthatmyinvocationofmodernknowledgeislimitedtoonepurposeonly(anditisnothingtodowithcontentorthetruthofpropositions):itistoevoketherelationshipthatwehavewithmodernknowledgeandsuggestthatitisclosertoaRomanrelationshipwiththeirreligiouspracticesthanthewaymodernsecularthinkersclaimthatmodernreligiouspeoplerelatetotheirreligion.Andmyintentionisstrictlylimitedtoanegativepurposetostripawaytheunconscioushabitofseeingancientreligiouseventsprogrammaticallythroughthefilterofsincerity(wecanstillchoosetoconsiderit,itjustlosesitsdefaultpriority).Imakenoclaimstocontributetothefieldof(p.420)anthropologymorewidely(thoughtheirhabitualdisinterestinRomanreligionisapuzzlingphenomenoninitself,asRpke(2007b:9)alsonotesinpassing):myarenaisstrictlyancientRome.

    Theseanalogiesarenotintroducedinamovetowardsgreaterknowledge,butgreaterignorance;towardsdiscardingamethodologythathandicapsourenquirybyconfrontingitwithrhetoricalcomparisonsintheformofsomesimplequestions.Itisaslightlyuncomfortableventure,butinthissituationitseemsinescapable:wealreadyhaveanimplicitanalogysincebeliefandsincerity,intheircomplexity,amounttoananalogyinthemselves.Thechoiceisthereforenotbetweennoanalogyandinappropriatemodernones,butofwhichflawedanalogytouse.

    Lengthydisclaimeraside,letmethereforeposesomeverybriefquestions.Areweinterestedinwhetherthelawyerswhodraftedthehumanrightsactweresincere?Doesajudgehavetobesinceretofulfilhisorherrole?Doweconsiderthatrocketscientistsshouldbesincereintheirwork?Philosophers?Engineers?Issinceretherightwordtousewhenqueryingamedicaboutadiagnosis?Doesitmakesensetoaskwhetherphysicistsaresincereaboutstringtheory?Ifthatoneseemsvaguelyplausible,giventheconfusionanddifficultiesofstringtheory,howmanyscientistswouldnotconsiderthe

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 19 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    followingquestionprovocative:doyoubelieveingravity?

    Itisastraintoanswerquestionslikethese.Sincerityisnoteasilyaccommodatedwithintherelationshipsthatwehavewiththesekindsofknowledgeandtointroduceithindersourunderstandingofthescientistsrelationshipwithphysics,oralawyersrelationshipwithwhatsheorheisdrafting(andsoon).Infact,wecanenvisageasituationwhereaprofessionaldoestheirdutywhilegrittingtheirteethinapersonalmaelstromofobjection,orconversely,ashoddyjobdonebysomeonewhoiswholeheartedlybehindaproject.Ofcoursesomekindofanswercanbegiventomyquestionsbutthesenseofdislocation(evenoffence)andinappropriatenessthataccompaniestheattemptispreciselymypoint:ifourinterestisinunderstandingsomethingratherthanprotectingourselvesfromit,sincerityandbeliefshouldbeavoided.

    Iintendtogaintwointerlinkedfreedomshere:firstly,toillustratethatsincerityissimplyirrelevanttoanyknowledge-systemsappropriateoperationifwearethinkingasorlikehistorians.Thisdoesnotmeanthatoursubjectsdonothavefeelings,opinionsandsoon:itactsasabackdroptogivethosepersonalmatterssomemeaning.Ininteractionwithourknowledgesystems,wethinkofaspectssuchasprofessionalism,integrity,consideredjudgementandperformanceofrolesratherthansincerity.Idonotwishtosuggestthattheancientworldwasanexactmirrorofthepresent,merelytoraisethepossibilitythatweshouldexpectapotentialspectrumnotunlikeours.

    (p.421) Experienceshowsthatanumberofmyreaderswillreacttotheveryideaofjudgingsincerityinmodernagentspreciselybecauseitisunfair,unknowable,irrelevant,divisiveandunprofessional.Theymayalsoobjecttotheimplicitcomparisonofalevelplayingfieldofmoderndiscoursesagainstancient,butagain,itseemstomewearejumpingatshadows.Letmebeclearthatfirstly,thisisanexperimentinperspective,intendedtohaveabearingonourunderstandingofantiquity(notthepresent)andsecondlythatbyexploringthis,Iaminfactextending(notdiminishing)thesecularproject.Ifsecularhistorycannotmeaningfullyexplainthereligious(theother)onitsownterms,thenithaseffectivelyfailed.

    Sincerityisavasttopic,largerthanbelief,andcouldeasilymeritafargreaterstudythanisofferedherebutthen,ourpurposewastounveilitjustenoughtoshooitaway.Ihavearguedthatweshouldactivelyrefusetoseekitinanaccountofancientreligionsinceitisbothirretrievableandwhenyougetdowntoitirrelevant.Weshouldbelookinginstead,withfewerpreconceptions,athowpeoplemanagedinsocieties(or,conversely,howsocietiesmanagedpeople).Forthemostpartweseepeopleinteractingwithcomplexthought-systemsandfindingtheirwaythroughlifeinrelationtothose,negotiatingunderstandings,toleratinguncertainties,makingjudgementswithintheexplanatoryframeworkstheyinhabited.

    6.BeyondBeliefOurenquiryhasbeenlessaboutwhatwecansayabouttheancientworldthanwhatweshouldnot.Whatthencanwetalkabout?Ihavesuggestedritualbut,havingclearedsomespace,weshouldconsiderwhetherthereareotherpotentiallyfruitfuloptions.A

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 20 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    firstencounter(throughtext,atleast)withtheancientworldconfrontsthemodernreaderperhapsmostofallwithwhatappearstobeapervasiveinterestinprediction(divination).Spacedoesnotpermitanydisentanglementofdivinationfromreligionbutthetwoarecloselylinkedinritualatleast.Butwecannotcharacterisetheancientworldassomehowobsessedwithpredictionifweareseekingwhatisgenuinelydifferentfromourown.Prediction(forecasting,guessing,planning)isjustaspervasiveinourlivesasitappearstohavebeenintheirs.Indeed,astheanthropologistRobinHortonfound,aninterestinprediction,controlandexplanationseemstobeauniversalconcern.60Onceagain,thoughweareconfrontedby(p.422) strangepractices,theyhaveacertainlogicthatderivesfromdeeperassumptions:iftherearegodswhodefinefuturetendenciesandwhocareabouttheworldofmen,itmakessensetotrytofindoutwhattheyintend.Sodivinationconfrontsuswithasimilarsituationasreligionaxiomaticdifferenceunderlyingcomplexlocalpractices.

    IfIweretogivethebriefestpossibleaccountofthemostchallengingquestionandthelocusofgenuinealterityinthestudyofancient(notjustRoman)religionitwouldbenotconcernedwiththethought-systemtheybuiltuparoundadifferentsetofaxioms(whichwerefertoinitstotalityastheirreligion(s)ortheirbeliefs)butratherwiththefactthatitwasalmostuniversallyaxiomaticthatonecouldinfluencegodsthroughritual,whichwasusuallyanimalsacrifice.61Iamunconvincedwearecurrentlyinapositiontoexplorethisbutmoreoptimisticthatifwetreatthepracticesandinterpretationsthatderivefromitasreasonablyintelligiblecorollaries,wecangainmoreinsightthanlocatingourperplexityatthelevelofthosedeductionsandpractices.Thisisnotaparticularlydistressingstateofaffairsitisuncleartomewhetherwewouldbenefitfromdirectlytacklingthequestionwhywasritualsacrificeanalmostuniversalfeatureinantiquity(nottomentionanextraordinarynumberofothercultures)?62Directionsforthatenquirymightemergeasotherstudiescontinuetomature.

    Theinterestingquestion,itseemstome,ishowtexturedourresponsecanbecomewhenweconsiderquestionsthat,sidesteppingthehugelydivergentaxioms,assumethattheirrelationshipwiththoseaxiomswasnotentirelyunlikeourswithoursecularones.Canwehaveanaccountofancientreligionthatembracesthefullspectrumofpossibleresponses?Antiquitywasrepletewithpeoplewhoweredeeplycommittedatapersonallevel,extraordinarilyadeptandknowledgeableasstateofficials,sceptical,iconoclastic,aversetoauthority,relativelyindifferent,particularlyinterested,pragmatic,cheeky,unconsciouslyoutofstepwitheverybodyelse,confused,addicted,competent,incompetent,opportunistic,ignorant,hyperbolic,anachronisticbutforthevastmajorityofthetimewhollywithintheparadigmoftheirsociety.Furthermore,wehavetendedtoprivilegetheextantvoicesofdissentersandcriticswhoaredistinctiveandcontrarybydefinitionbutweshouldnotunderestimatethepowerofbusinessasusual:thespeculativereligiousideasof[afew,mostlyaristocraticandidiosyncratic]individualscannotbeouryardstick(Rpke(2007b:12).

    (p.423) Atthispoint,itisonlyfairtomentiontheEpicureans,philosopherswhoseresistancetoorganisedreligioniswelldocumented:buttheexistenceofasmall(if

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 21 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    apparentlyvocal)subsetoficonoclasticintellectualsprovesnothingotherthantheexistenceofasmallsubsetofintellectualintellectuals.ThatinitselfdoesnotseemundulysurprisinginasocietyassophisticatedasRome.Theymayhavebeenthefiercestorganisedcriticsofreligioninantiquitybuttheirinfluencedoesnotseemtohaveledtoanydiscerniblechangesinancientpractice,eventhoughitisclearthatsomeefforthadtobemadetorespondtoitinawaythatdisableditsextremeclaimsbythetimeofthelateRepublic.Theywereemphaticallyaratherinevitableendofaspectrumratherthanthelastwordonwhetheroneshouldbelieve:anancientRomansrelationshipwithreligionwasnotayes/noscenario,wheretheexistenceofabetterargumentwouldbringdowntheentireedifice,anymorethanthepresenceofoneortwovocalleft-wingpoliticiansinapositionofmoderatebutgenuineinfluencemakesitimpossibleforaright-winggovernmenttofunction.

    BelievinginmedicineThereisaninterestingcomparisonthatcanbemade(fairlyfortuitously)withtheworldofancientmedicinethatpermitsonelastwarningagainstexpectingsincerityasanauthenticatingfeatureofbelievingstrangethingsintheancientworld.Thereisastrikingparallelbetweenthetreatmentofancientreligionandthetreatmentofancientmedicineinsofarasmuchscholarshipinbothspherescanbepepperedwithdeprecatoryremarks.63ThesetwoaretheareasinwhichtheancientRomansandGreeksseemmostdifferentandoftenincomprehensibletous.Thewordbelieveisclosetohandwhentalkingabouttheirmedicine.64WedonotsaythatthemedicGalenmadedeductionswithoutevidenceeventhoughwedonotagreewithanyitemofhisreasoningorhisprescriptions:indeedithasbeenarguedthat,withintheunderstandingofhisday,hedidthebestjobpossible(Hankinson(1989)).Whatisusefulforusisthatancientmedicineisbroadlydivided(byus)into(p.424) whatwecalltherational(Hippocratic/humour-based)andtheirrational(religious).65

    However,ancientmedicineisintelligibletousintwowaysthatreligionisnot:firstly,wecanfollow(withoutagreeingwith)theirhumoralreasoning,whichisextensivelydocumented,butalsobecausewegrantitaneasierhearingsinceitisorientatedaroundthebody(whichwegranttoexist)ratherthansupernaturalforces(whichwedonot).Theanalysisofthedeploymentoftermssuchasirrationaltodescribereligiousmedicinetheinconceivablewithintherealmofthemisguidedisaparticularformofthefiduciarycontractthatsitsuncomfortablybecausenosoonerhasthedistinctionbeenmadethanscholarspointouttheepistemologicalseamlessnessofthetwodomainsinancientthinking.vanderEijk(2004:18990)highlightsthisdifficultyinconnectionwiththeHippocratictextRegimenIV(DeVictuIV)whichdealswithmedicalinterpretationsofdreams:

    ontheonehand,thisworkhassometimesbeendismissedasoneofthemostprimitiveandunscientifictreatisesoftheCorpusHippocraticumontheotherhanditexpoundsacomprehensivemedicalphilosophyabouttheconnectionsbetweennature,man,theworldandthedivineassuch,perhapsparadoxically,theworkrepresentsGreekrational.i.e.philosophicallyinspired,medicinetoavery

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 22 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    highextent.

    Thedifferenceisthatthemedicalmaterialhasprovenfertilegroundforunderstandingancientcultureandthenegotiationofidentityinrecognisabletermsasanepistemologicalenactmentoftheirbroadervalues.66Inthatfieldthen,weareaccustomedtodetectingnuancesintheirthinking,eventhoughwewouldnotconsideritusefullyapplicable.Whatwouldhappenifweassumedthatreligiousthinkinghadthesame(orgreater)levelofinternalcoherenceandintegritywhoselandscapeisfarmoredifferentiatedandnuancedthatwehavehithertoconsidered,reflectingatrulysophisticatedandvariegatedengagementwithmattersreligious?Iwishtoclosewithsomespeculationandexperimentinthatvein.

    TroublewithdivinationFirstly,inthestudyofindividualtexts,especiallytroublesomeones,thechargeofscepticismhasbeenapersistentoneandIshallbrieflydiscusspossiblythemostinfluentialofthese,CicerosOnDivination.Cicerowroteagreat(p.425) dealacrossseveraldifferentgenresthatseemtorepresentdifferentpositions(theycanbebroadlyasapoliticalorator,philosopherandasletter-writer).OnDivinationbelongsfirmlyinhisphilosophicalworks,andisoftentreatedasthetextwherehespeakshismindmostobviously(sceptically)eventhoughitdiffersfromthepositionadoptedinmanyofhisotherwritings.

    Thistext,writtenin4544BCE(Wardle2006:423),hasattractedagreatdealofattentionovertheyears.ItiswrittenintheformofadiscussionbetweenhisbrotherQuintus(bookone)andCicerohimself(Marcus,booktwo):Quintusputsforwardacasefordivination,andMarcusthensetsoutarebuttal.ManyscholarshaveconsideredthesecondbooktohavethelastwordontheissuesandthenascribedthisconvictiontoCicerohimself.Butitisnotthatsimple:discussionofthistextssignificancehasbeensporadicbutintensesince1986andopinionsarestarklydivided.Thoughattemptshavebeenmadetocomplicatethereadingofthistextasastraightforwardrefutationofdivination,manyremainconvincedthatthetextrepresentsaclearstatementofscepticism.67Giventheinterwovenrelationshipofdivinationandreligion,itisashortsteptosaythathealsorejectedtheentirereligiousapparatus.

    Iamnotinapositiontoenterhereintothedebateabouthowtoreadthetextbeyondoutliningsomelinesofenquiry,thoughitwillbecomeobviousIfavouraversionthatprecludestheideathatasingle(albeiteminent)statesmanheldapositionsoprofoundlyoutofstepwithhiscontemporaries.Fornow,Ishalladdressthesowhatanyway?factor.

    Whatifhewassceptical?Whatisthatevidenceof?Treatinghimasscepticalwouldforceustopositallkindsofprofoundchangesinhisthinkingwhere(tosimplifygrossly)hispoliticalandlegalwritingsarebroadlyconservative,asupporterofreligiousinstitutions,buthisphilosophicalworksareutterlyunconventional.Hewouldbesomewherebetweenanarch-hypocriteandamanwhosingle-handedlythoughthiswayoutofhisentireculturalframe-workhardlyatypicalventureinanysociety.Comparisonsfromour

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 23 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    worldofayoungreligiousmanbecominganoldatheistareemphaticallynotdirectlyapplicable:itwouldbemorelikeaninternationallyrecognisedscientistbeingconvertedinourday.Thatwillappearplausibleasananalogybutonlywiththeassumptionthattheproportionofpeoplewhoundergosuchachangeis(p.426) roughlythesameinbothsocieties.Whatifsceptical(inoursense)philosophersthenwereevenrarer(ifprominentlyloquacious)thanreligiousconvertsinthemodernage?Whatsortofwitnesstonormalitywouldhebe,inthatcase?WecanbeadamantthatCicerowasnottypicalofhisage,evenjustbypointingathisvoluminousliteraryoutput.ThemorepositivewearethatCicerowasout-and-outsceptical,themoreweemphasisehisdifference.Bythusmarginalisinghimwedevaluehimasahistoricalwitnessofthemainstream.So,ifweworkonthisbasisthatheformulatedsuchaclearandextremeposition,weshouldalsominimisehishistoricalimpact.

    Thisisunfortunatelytheoppositeofwhathashappened.Rather,hehasbecomeanicontowardswhichourattentionhasgravitated,andsceptichasbecomethebiggestandmostclearlylabelledstickeronthemapofreligiousRome:thefactthatwearenotsosurewhattowriteontheotherlabelsdoesnothelp(andbelieved/pious/tookitseriouslydonotseizeourattentioninthesamewayassomethingfamiliar).68

    Iwouldprefertoarguethatevenifhewasanabsolutesceptic,itismoreinterestingtoseehisargumentsvirtuallyburiedinthecontext,tooffsettheeasewithwhichwediagnosebelief/disbelief:itisjusttooeasytofocus,notwithoutsomerelief,ontheonepositionwethinkwecanrelatetointhestrangeworldofRomanreligion.Ofcourse,itmightbeobjectedthatIamassumingthattherestofthearistocracydidnotshareascepticalpositionandcannotprovethis,eventhoughthatgeneralmodelhasbeendiscardedforthemostpart,butIbasemyassertionontwobriefobservations.Firstly,weknowthathedidnotdoawaywithRomanpractices,evenifthatwaswhathewastryingtodo:theRomanstateandpeoplecontinuedtoperformritualsforcenturiesuntilsacrificewasforciblystoppedbytheChristianemperors(Beardetal.(1998:375,3878)).Further,topickoneexampleofmany,argumentsfromanotherofhisphilosophicalworks(OntheNatureoftheGods)infavouroftraditionaldivinationarecitedoverfourcenturieslaterbythehistorianAmmianusMarcellinus(21.1.1314).Inotherwords,hedidnotconvincehiscontemporariestothrowthetowelinontheelitepretenceandabandondivination.Eitherhefailedtoconvincethemofthescepticalcaseortheyunderstoodthathewasnotmakingthatstraightforwardcase(asBeardandothershaveargued.)Secondly,ifanyoftheforegoingargumentisaccepted,thingsjustdidnotboildowntothesimpleyes/noanswersthatwe,conditionedbybeliefkeepexpecting:Ciceroexpectedafarmorenuancedresponsetohischallenges.

    (p.427) Ifwerefusetoapplyabinarybeliefingapproachandinsistonamorecontextualandcomplexone,otherpositionscancomeintobetterfocus.Thebroadhistoricalanswer(whythistext?whythen?whythatway?)canthenbelocatedinthesocialandpoliticaldomainandgiveusamorehistoricallysatisfactorycommentary.Thus,inthisvein,Krostenko(2000)arguesthatthoughthetextistakentoargueforintellectualreasonsagainsttheentireedificeofdivinationatalllevelstomodernfiduciary-minded

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 24 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    scholars,itisdrivenbyanurgentpoliticalagenda.Ciceroiscriticalofthepositiontakeninbothbooks,inresponsetotheextremeproblemofJuliusCaesarsmeteoricrisetopowerandattemptstoappropriatetheinfluenceavailablethroughdivinatorymeans.Hischosenmethodwastoproblematiseprofoundlythestatusofdivinationandcontextualiseallitsofferingswithinotherconsiderations(somethingIintendtoexploreinmoredetailonanotheroccasion.)HedidthisknowingfullwellthattheroleofdivinationwasdeeplyenmeshedinRomanlifeandwasnotgoingtodisappearbecausehewrotesomephilosophicalworksthatencouragedhispeerstobereflectiveandcritical(asopposedtosceptical,inthemodernsense.)

    Justforcomparison,severalacademicshavesaidtomeinrecentyearsthattheyareworriedaboutthefutureofscience,whichtheydescribeasbeingstalledanddeeplyproblematic:comicwebsitessuchashttp://www.phdcomics.com/andhttp://xkcd.com/lampoonsciencefromthemostdeeplycommittedscientificpositionandexpertise:theirinterestisnotindebunkingsciencebutinredeemingit.Thatdoesnotmeantheyknowwherethenextstepliesexcepttocarryongoing.ThuswhenCiceroexplicitlysaysthathisaccountisaimedateducatingtheyoungbyemancipatingphilosophyfromitsGreekorigins,weshouldnotdismisstheclaimevenifwefinditextremelyhardtocharttheassumptionsheisnegotiatingwithin.Weshouldnotassumethatourlackofunderstandingisproofofhisincoherenceormapthemethodologyofbeliefontohisdialogue,howeverwellitseemstofit:itisimpossibletosquarethisclaimwithhiscomplex,multivalentandundeniablycriticalaccountaslongaswethinksincerityshouldhaveanythingtodowithit.

    Ishouldnotoverstatethiscasemanysuchrichaccountsdoalreadyexist,thoughperhapsthemostsophisticated(suchasCicerostext)havenotyetbeengiventhefullesttreatmentthattheymightattract.Giventhepovertyofextanttextsthatexposetheinnerworkingsofdivinatoryandreligiousreasoning,tobehandedaseverecritiqueasastartingpointisquiteahandicappedbeginning.Butastimegoesby,moreandmoreauthorsareaccommodatedtoamethodologythatexplorestheirnegotiationofidentitycomplexthinkingwithintheirsystemthattakesusawayfromthesimplifyingmouldof(p.428) belief.Wearealsoretreatingfromgivingthegreaterprioritytowrittentextswhenitcomestounderstandingwhattheythought,sincesooftenindividualexaggerations,alternativesandmisunderstandingsconstitutetheruleratherthantheexception(Rpke2007a:5):whilebeliefpersistsasamethodology,werisktakingonestepforwardandtwoback.

    Amoredifficultareaisthebroaderone,ofancientsocietyasawhole.WeruntheriskofunnecessarilyalienatingthereaderwithalitanyofstrangepracticesaswedescribeRomanreligion(howeverfactually).Withthehistorio-graphicalshifttomoreironicandpolyvalentdescription,itbecomespossibletoexperimentmore:wearemovingawayfromprivilegingasinglemodelandbecomingmoreaccustomedtolookingtentativelyatsocietiesthroughmorethanoneparticularlens(justtoseehowitlooks)withoutthinkingthatthemodelexhauststhetruth,andthistentativenessis,inmyopinion,awayoutofsomeofourdifficulties.

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 25 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    So,forinstance,ifMaryDouglas,whenwritingNaturalSymbols,hadchosentodwellonRomanevidence,shemighthaveposited,asanexampleofahierarchy,theRomanRepublic(c.50931BCE)(highgrid/highgroup,touseherterms).69Itexhibitedastrictlyregulatedsocialhierarchyandahighdegreeofinternalisedexpectationsofmembersofthatsociety.TheDionysiaccultof186BCE,withitswildunkemptbehaviour,erosionofdifferences(gender,class,free/servilestatusandsoon)wouldrepresentasuddenirruptionofsect(lowgrid/highgroup)atatimeofstress.70TheEmpire(from31BCE),ontheotherhand,withitsgreaterculticaspectsacrossthepoliticalandsocialspectrum(highawarenessoftheothernessoftheoutsider,emphasisonthecontrastinggoodleaderwhopurifiesthegroupbyhischarismaandspecialqualities)wouldhavehadbeenasocietythatlaidlessstressontherigidityofahierarchy,becomemorearticulate,beenpronetofactionsandnot-infrequentlyviolentchangesofleadership.Gordon(1990)similarlythencomparestheRomanEmperortoabottleofVim.71

    Iaminformedthatthegrid/groupmodel(generallyknownasCulturalTheory)isamarginaloneinanthropology,andexhaustiveapplicationofRomanmaterialinthisframeworkwouldarguablydomoreforCulturalTheorythanforHistory(soitmustbeappliedonlylightly,andtoseewhatitprovokes).Butitdoesallowustogeneratemorequestionswithabroaderscopethanhitherto:allthereligiousbehaviourintheupheavalgoingfrom(p.429) RepublictoEmpirecanbepurposefullyexploredasafailedattempttoreasserthierarchyinfaceofcharismatoseewhatthatapproachyields.Wealreadyknewaboutthatasapoliticalchange,butifwefollowthelogicalextentofDouglassmodel,itpromptsustoconsidergroupingtheformerlydisparatereligiouschangestoseeifhistoricallylegitimatepatternsemerge(andpromptsquestionslikewasCicerosupportinghierarchyorunconsciouslygoingwiththetimesandaidingtheriseofcharismaticleadership?)

    Inaddition,manyodditieswhencomparingtheRepublictoEmpirecanberecast:thestrangetransitioninthestatusofhermaphroditesasprodigiesmakesmoresensewithinthisperspective,withachangetohighgroup/lowgrid.ForaperiodduringtheRepublic,hermaphroditesweretreatedashighlytoxicoccurrences(untypicallyforprodigies)intheirownrightthathadtobedisposedofandexpiatedwithgreaturgency.72YetundertheEmpire,Plinyinformsusthatthoughtheywereonceconsideredasprodigies(indicatingasignificantviolationofcosmicboundaries),theyareclassifiednowamongstexotictreats73(aninsignificantviolationofboundaries).Giventhatamajorconcernofhighgroup/highgridsocietiesisthepreservationofnorms,hermaphroditeswouldattractgreaterattentionthaninasocietywithlowgrid.Inthelattersociety,theywouldindeedjustbecuriosities.

    Thistentativeexplorationdoesnotexhausttheenquiryandindeednevercould(wewouldbegoingnativeinanthropology).Butitdoesallowustodetachourselvesfromourfirstimpulsivesenseofnon-sensebyrefusingtoprivilegeonemodel(especiallyananachronisticone).Perhapsinthemeantimemedicinehadaccommodatedthisstrangephenomenonjustaseclipseswentfromhavingapredictivevaluetobeingacceptedasaroutinepartoftheworkingsofthecosmos(andthereforebeingnon-significant).74

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 26 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    IdonotwishtoretrospectivelyturnRomanhistoryintoalostfootnote,albeitofagreatscholarandmyexampleshaveprovenwedontneedit(Gordon(1990),forinstance,doesnotciteDouglas).CulturalTheoryistooreductiveforourpurposes:themainvalueofintroducingitistobringtoourawarenessthatwecouldconfigureourapproachtoancientreligioninagreatnumberofwaysbeforesettlingononeexplicitlychosenratherthansuppliedasnatural.Thegreatestbenefitofsuchapolyvalentapproachwouldbethe(p.430) constantreminderoftheideologicalpowerofourchosenapproach:furthermore,multiplicityistheapproachthatanthropologyhastakentowardsritual,soatleastweareingoodcompany.75Itismoreinterestingtoseewhattheexperimentalapplicationofthatmodelprovokesasaresponsethantoestablishitasahegemonicmodelforancientreligion.AgeneralisingsyntheticmodelisnotlikelytobehelpfulinteasingouttheparticularityofancientRomeunlessitallowsustoidentifybetterwhichquestionsareuseful,thenappropriatethem,bytakingacuefromcomparativestudies.

    ResolutelyabandoningtalkofbeliefandthesympathetictaskofestablishingananachronisticsincerityforcesourattentionontodecipheringtheparticularconstellationofpowerthatRomanreligionreflectedandauthorised.Thatiscurrentlyahistoricaluniversal,andwecanworkwithitirrespectiveofthedegreeofourfamiliarityofculturalaxioms.Thediffusionandconcentrationofpowerissomethingweunderstandandareaccustomedtoworkingwith,andisapreferableoptiontore-enactingourownculture-shock.Forinstance,adoptingnon-secularperspectives,whichsomesuggestasasolutiontotheproblemofreligion,onlydisplacestheincommensurability(wemustchoosethoseweunderstand,i.e.thosethatwecanbuildarelationshipwithand/orfitintotheseculargazeintheprocess).

    Insteadofmaskingtheprivilegeofourdistinctivenessintheseways,weneedtounpackdeliberatelywhatweinstinctivelybrandasreligioussothatwecanexplorehoweachsocietys[religious]possibilitiesandauthoritativestatusgainedtheirparticularcharacterasproductsofhistoricallydistinctivedisciplinesandforces(Asad1993:534).Ihavearguedthatthebestsiteforthatinourcaseisritual,fortworeasons:firstly,itisvastlymoreappropriatethanpropositionalbeliefs,andsecondlybecauseanthropologyisalsobusyendeavouringtoexhaustwhatritual-centreddiscussionhastooffer.

    Manywillfeelthattheargumentpresentedhereistoolate:asIhavedocumented,thereareplentyofstudiesthatdosuccessfullyevadethetrapsofbelief:butmysenseisthatwehavenotfullyabandonedit,andcontinuetohaveanunconsciousfascinationthatquietlyhampersourunderstanding.Thetrueandcurrentlyinsolublealterityoftheancientworldisthepresumptionthatgods,andthereforetheworld,canbeinfluenced:therestfollowsfairlyintelligiblyfromthat.Ifwelooktherealothernessintheeyewithoutblinkingandwithoutbeingdrawnintoquestionsofhowtheycouldbesodifferentfromus,weareinapositiontowritebetterhistory,describingandredescribingtoourselvesanotherbunchofpeopledoingwhatpeopledo.

    (p.431) Note.ThesethoughtshavehadanextremelylonggestationandthereforeImustacknowledgefirstlytheWellcomeTrust(theHistoryofMedicineProgramme)forfundingapostdoctoralpositionatUCLduring20003,where

  • Believing the Evidence

    Page 27 of 38

    PRINTED FROM BRITISH ACADEMY SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) CopyrightBritish Academy, 2014. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the l icence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of asingle chapter of a monograph in BASO for personal use (for detailssee: http://britishacademy.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy/privacy-policy-and-legal-notice ). Subscriber: PontificiaUniversidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP); date: 30 April 2015

    someofthisbegantotakeclearershape.TheLeverhulmeEvidenceProgrammeallowedmetocontinuetheprocessofsimplifyingthemtothepointofbeingthisarticle,notleastbyallowingforasecondparticipationwiththeWellcomeTrust,attheirCentrefortheHistoryMedicineatUCL,whowerekindenoughtohostaseriesofseminarsonaninterdisciplinarystudyofancientdreams.Finally,Imustacknowledgetheguidanceofferedbytheanonymousreferees.

    References

    Bibliographyreferences: