ben anderson “using time use data to trace energy practices through time.”
TRANSCRIPT
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
Ben Anderson @dataknut
Energy & Climate ChangeFaculty of Engineering & EnvironmentUniversity of Southampton, UK
'Energy Practices’ Through Time
Using Time Use Data
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
1. Conceptions of DEMAND
2. Researching DEMAND using time use data
3. Activity classes: overall trends
4. Selected Activities: detailed trends
5. Concluding thoughts
Today’s menu
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
1. Conceptions of DEMAND
2. Researching DEMAND using time use data
3. Activity classes: overall trends
4. Selected Activities: detailed trends
5. Concluding thoughts
Today’s menu
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
Conceptions of DEMAND
Demanding
Practices
Variation
Normality & Need
?
Infrastructures
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The timing of practices matter…
% respondents reporting activity per half hour in winter (November 2000 - February 2001, 1031 households)
Source: Author’s calculations using UK Time Use Survey 2000/1 [http://discover.ukdataservice.ac.uk/catalogue/?sn=4504], weighted)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0:0
0
1:0
0
2:0
0
3:0
0
4:0
0
5:0
0
6:0
0
7:0
0
8:0
0
9:0
0
10:
00
11:
00
12:
00
13:
00
14:
00
15:
00
16:
00
17:
00
18:
00
19:
00
20:
00
21:
00
22:
00
23:
00
% r
esp
on
de
nts
Wash/dress self Cooking Dish washing Cleaning Laundry
Ironing Computer Reading TV Audio
Source: https://www.flickr.com/photos/stevendepolo/3761877701Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/Rush_Hour_on_London_Bridge.jpg
"Drip Coffee Bangkok" by Takeaway - Own work. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons -https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Drip_Coffee_Bangkok.jpg
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/fa/Laundry_room_%28tv%C3%A4ttstuga%29.JPG
UK Housing Energy Fact File
65
Graph 7a: HES average 24-hour electricity use profile for owner-occupied
homes, England 2010-11
Gas consumption
The amount of gas consumed in the UK varies dramatically between
households. The top 10% of households consume at least four times as
much gas as the bottom 10%.60
Modelling to predict households’ en ergy
consumption – based on the property, household income and tenure – has
so far been able to explain less than 40% of this variation.
Households with especially high or low consumption do not have particular
behaviours that make them easy to identify. Instead they tend to have a
cluster of very ordinary behaviours that happen to culminate in high or low
gas use. There are, it seems, many different ways to be a high or low gas
user. The behaviours in question can be clustered under three broad
headings:
• physical properties of the home – the particular physical environment
in which people live
• temperature management – how people manage the temperature in
their homes and their awareness of the energy implications of their
actions
• people in the home – who is in the home, and when, and what they are
doing. 60
Physical properties of the home
Many UK homes have been modified by extensions, conservatories,
conversions and/or open plan spaces. These modifications have the
potential to affect the thermal properties of a home. But, typically, these
have not been included in existing quantitative modelling of domestic
energy consumption.
Gas use varies enormously from
household to household, and the
variation has more to do with
behaviour than how dwellings are
built.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
00:00 02:00 04:00 06:00 08:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00
Heating
Water heating
Electric showers
Washing/drying
Cooking
Lighting
Cold appliances
ICT
Audiovisual
Other
Unknown
Wat
ts
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
1. Conceptions of DEMAND
2. Researching DEMAND using time use data
3. Activity classes: overall trends
4. Selected Activities: detailed trends
5. Concluding thoughts
Today’s menu
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
What’s a time use survey?
BBC 1961
ONS 2005
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@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
‘Episodes’ data availabilityMultinational Time
Use Study
www.timeuse.org/m
tus
Gershuny, Jonathan, Kimberly Fisher, Evrim Altintas, Alyssa Borkosky, Donna Dosman, Cara Fedick, Tyler Frederick, et al. 2012. ‘Multinational Time Use Study, Versions World 5.5.3,
5.80 and 6.0 (released October 2012)’. Oxford.
http://www.eijtur.org/pdf/volumes/eIJTUR-10-1-6_Time_Pieces.pdf#page=90
Year survey began
(survey id) Au
str
alia
Au
str
ia
Fra
nce
Germ
an
y
Isra
el
Italy
Neth
erl
an
d
s
So
uth
Afr
ica
Sp
ain
Un
ited
Kin
gd
om
US
A
No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No.
1965 221
1974 1491 14898
1975 81 788
1980 16667
1983 945
1985 2776 2921
1987 1533
1989 29973
1990 2299
1991 22554 4223
1992 2236 494 7514
1994 1199
1995 2692 1962
1997 4931
1998 14631 2351
2000 11851 1142 17248
2002 47381
2003 1361
2005 13265 4854
2008 6272
2009 17859
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@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
‘1985’
Availability
UK 2014-15 available soon!
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And what do they tell us?Duration & sequences
Clusters & co-presence
Anderson,B(2016)DEMANDingTimes,PaperpreparedforDEMANDCentreConference,Lancaster,13-15April2016
Page 6 of 17
Table2:Exampletime-usedata(MTUS,1974and2000samples)
1974
ID Date Dayofweek Episodestart Episodeend Main Secondary Location Modeoftravel Childpresent Partnerpresent1 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 04:00 05:30 sleepandnaps norecordedact atownhome nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded
2 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 05:30 06:00 wash,dress norecordedact atownhome nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded3 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 06:00 06:30 wash,dress listentoradio atownhome nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded4 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 06:30 07:00 mealsordrinks listentoradio atownhome nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded5 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 07:00 07:30 traveltowork norecordedact travelling other/unknown couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded6 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 07:30 10:00 paidwork norecordedact atworkplace nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded7 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 10:00 10:30 mealsatwork norecordedact atworkplace nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded8 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 10:30 13:30 paidwork norecordedact atworkplace nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded
9 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 13:30 14:00 mealsatwork norecordedact atworkplace nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded10 301279 14-Aug-74 Wednesday 14:00 16:30 paidwork norecordedact atworkplace nottravelling couldnotbecoded couldnotbecoded
2005
ID Date Dayofweek Episodestart Episodeend Main Secondary Location Modeoftravel Childpresent Partnerpresent1 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 04:00 08:00 sleepandnaps norecordedact atownhome nottravelling no no2 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 08:00 08:20 wash,dress norecordedact atownhome nottravelling no yes
3 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 08:20 08:30 petcare norecordedact atownhome nottravelling no yes4 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 08:30 08:40 foodprep conversation atownhome nottravelling no yes5 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 08:40 09:10 foodprep norecordedact atownhome nottravelling no yes6 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 09:10 09:20 mealsordrinking conversation atownhome nottravelling no yes7 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 09:20 09:50 mealsordrinking norecordedact atownhome nottravelling no yes8 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 09:50 10:00 Set/cleartable norecordedact atownhome nottravelling no yes9 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 10:00 10:20 Voluntary norecordedact travelling walk/other no yes
10 338122 25-Jun-05 Sunday 10:20 11:20 Worship norecordedact atplaceofworship nottravelling no yes
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@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
But we have to be careful…1974
1983/7
1995
2001
2005
Co
de
Har
mo
nis
atio
n
MTUS:
69 ‘harmonised’ activity codes
1974:
73 codes
‘1985’:
188 codes
1995:
190 codes2001:
265 codes
2005:
30 codes
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@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
•73 codes
1974
•188 codes
1983/7
•190 codes
1995
•265 codes
2001
•30 codes
2005
But we have to be careful…
Co
de
Har
mo
nis
atio
n
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@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
But we have to be careful II
• 30 minutes
1974
• 15 minutes
1983/7
• 15 minutes
1995
• 10 minutes
2001
• 10 minutes
2005
Tim
e H
arm
on
isat
ion
“Recorded at least once in a half hour”
DEMAND Time:
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
1. Conceptions of DEMAND
2. Researching DEMAND using time use data
3. Activity classes: overall trends
4. Selected Activities: detailed trends
5. Concluding thoughts
Today’s menu
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
10 Activity ‘classes’1. Travel2. Media use3. Sport/exercise4. Voluntary, civic or leisure5. Shopping/service use6. Education related7. Work related8. Cooking & eating9. Personal, child or adult care,
domestic work10. Sleep% of respondents – 1974
Source: MTUS 1974, author’s calculations, weighted
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What’s changed?% of respondents – 1974
% of respondents – ‘1985’
% of respondents – 2000
% of respondents – 2005
Source: MTUS 1974-2005, author’s calculations, primary activities, weighted
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% point change 1974 – 2005 - primary
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
150:0
0
1:0
0
2:0
0
3:0
0
4:0
0
5:0
0
6:0
0
7:0
0
8:0
0
9:0
0
10
:00
11
:00
12
:00
13
:00
14
:00
15
:00
16
:00
17
:00
18
:00
19
:00
20
:00
21
:00
22
:00
23
:00
% p
oin
t ch
an
ge 1
974 -
2005 Travel
Media use incl. TV, radio, PC, internet
Voluntary, civic, watching sport, leisureor social activities
Shopping/service use
Work or work related
Cooking or eating
Source: MTUS 1974-2005, author’s calculations, primary activities, weighted
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
1. Conceptions of DEMAND
2. Researching DEMAND using time use data
3. Activity classes: overall trends
4. Selected Activities: detailed trends
5. Concluding thoughts
Today’s menu
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
0:0
0
1:3
0
3:0
0
4:3
0
6:0
0
7:3
0
9:0
0
10
:30
12
:00
13
:30
15
:00
16
:30
18
:00
19
:30
21
:00
22
:30
2005
2000
1995
1985
1974
In detail: Food preparation
Source: MTUS 1974-2005, author’s calculations, weighted
As a primary or secondary activity
As a % of all acts
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0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
0:0
0
1:3
0
3:0
0
4:3
0
6:0
0
7:3
0
9:0
0
10
:30
12
:00
13
:30
15
:00
16
:30
18
:00
19
:30
21
:00
22
:30
2005
2000
1995
1985
1974
In detail: Food preparation
Source: MTUS 1974-2005, author’s calculations, weighted
As a primary or secondary activity
As a % of food prep
-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0:0
0
1:0
0
2:0
0
3:0
0
4:0
0
5:0
0
6:0
0
7:0
0
8:0
0
9:0
0
10
:00
11
:00
12
:00
13
:00
14
:00
15
:00
16
:00
17
:00
18
:00
19
:00
20
:00
21
:00
22
:00
23
:00
Weekdays (average) Saturday Sunday
% point change 1974 - 2005
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@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
In detail: Sunday lunchtime food preparation
Source: MTUS 1974-2005, author’s calculations, weighted
Anderson,B(2016)DEMANDingTimes,PaperpreparedforDEMANDCentreConference,Lancaster,13-15April2016
Page 10 of 17
Figure3:Percentagepointchangeinfoodpreparationreportedineachhalfhourbydayoftheweek(MTUS1974-2005,weighted)
Furtheranalysisfocusingon‘Sundaylunch’(foodpreparation11:00–14:00onaSunday)suggests
thatpreparing‘Sundaylunch’hasdeclinedformostagegroupsandespeciallyforthoseagedunder
64(Figure4).PreparingSundaylunchhasalsomarkedlydeclinedforthemiddleandhighestincome
groupsbutlesssoforthelowestincomegroupwhoarealsomorelikelytobeoverretirementage.
Thisdoesnotimply,ofcourse,thatlesseatingisdoneonSunday–justthatsomeofit,particularly
forhigherincomegroups,maynowbedoneoutsidethehomeorlaterintheday(c.f.Figure3and
also(Chengetal.2007)).
Figure4:Meannumberofhalfhoursinwhich‘foodpreparation’athomeonSunday11:00-14:00wasreportedineachsurveybyagegroup(left)andincomegroup(right)(MTUS1974-2005,weighted,errorbarsare+/-95%confidenceintervalforthe45-54agegrouporthemiddleincomegrouponly)
-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
00:0
0
01:0
0
02:0
0
03:0
0
04:0
0
05:0
0
06:0
0
07:0
0
08:0
0
09:0
0
10:0
0
11:0
0
12:0
0
13:0
0
14:0
0
15:0
0
16:0
0
17:0
0
18:0
0
19:0
0
20:0
0
21:0
0
22:0
0
23:0
0
Weekdays(average) Saturday Sunday
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
1974 1985 1995 2000 2005
16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54
55-64 65-74 75+
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
1974 1985 1995 2000 2005
lowest25% middle50%
highest25%
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
1974 1985 1995 2000 2005
lowest 25% middle 50%
highest 25%
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-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%0:0
0
1:3
0
3:0
0
4:3
0
6:0
0
7:3
0
9:0
0
10
:30
12
:00
13
:30
15
:00
16
:30
18
:00
19
:30
21
:00
22
:30%
of
half
ho
urs
in
wh
ich
reco
rded
Weekday Saturday Sunday
In detail: domestic laundry
% point change laundry 1985 – 2005 in relative distribution within year
Source: MTUS 1985-2005, author’s calculations, weighted
1985:
• 98% of recorded laundry =
women
• 24% of women < 60 in full
time paid work
% point change 1985- 2005
% half hours where laundry reported by income group 1985-2005
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1985 1995 2000 2005
lowest 25% middle 50% highest 25%
2005:
• 87% of recorded laundry =
women
• 41% of women < 60 in full time
paid work
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In detail: Car use
Source: MTUS 1985-2005, author’s calculations, weighted
Comparing time of car travel within the
year 1985-2005
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0:0
01:0
02:0
03:0
04:0
05:0
06:0
07:0
08:0
09:0
010
:00
11
:00
12
:00
13
:00
14
:00
15
:00
16
:00
17
:00
18
:00
19
:00
20
:00
21
:00
22
:00
23
:00
% o
f re
co
rded
car
trav
el
1985 2000 2005
Car use in 1974 = to/from work/school only
-0.3%
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.1%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0:0
0
1:0
0
2:0
0
3:0
0
4:0
0
5:0
0
6:0
0
7:0
0
8:0
0
9:0
0
10
:00
11
:00
12
:00
13
:00
14
:00
15
:00
16
:00
17
:00
18
:00
19
:00
20
:00
21
:00
22
:00
23
:00
Saturday Sunday Weekdays (average)
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Car trips ending at home in 2005
Insight: When might people charge EVs?
Source: MTUS 2005, author’s calculations, weighted
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
1.60%
% o
f h
alf
ho
urs
wh
ere
car
trip
en
ds a
t h
om
e
Sunday Weekdays (average) Saturday
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
1. Conceptions of DEMAND
2. Researching DEMAND using time use data
3. Activity classes: overall trends
4. Selected Activities: detailed trends
5. Concluding thoughts
Today’s menu
@DEMAND_CENTRE
@dataknut: ‘Energy Practices’ Through Time Energy Cultures 2016, Wellington, NZ, 6/7/2016
Key messages I: Dynamism
How do we ‘meet’
DEMAND?
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
0:0
0
1:3
0
3:0
0
4:3
0
6:0
0
7:3
0
9:0
0
10
:30
12
:00
13
:30
15
:00
16
:30
18
:00
19
:30
21
:00
22
:30
% p
oin
t ch
an
ge 1
974 -
2005 Travel
Media use incl. TV, radio, PC, internet
Sport or exercise
Voluntary, civic, watching sport, leisureor social activities
Shopping/service use
Education or related
Work or work related
Cooking or eating
When it keeps
changing?
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Key messages II: Constrained evolution
Practices
Infrastructures
Social trends
Evolving demand
Non-energy energy policy
Labour market policies
Working hours
School hours
(Sub)Urban planning
Transport options
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1
To be fi lled in from 4am on day one, which is
Day Date
all through day two, which is
Day Date
until 4am on day three, which is
Day Date
Time Use Survey Diary
Confi dentiality of information suppliedThe information you provide in this diary will be used only for statistical purposes. Your information
remains confi dential to Statistics New Zealand and is protected by the Statistics Act 1975.
Appointment time
As Government Statistician I thank you for completing this survey.
Your information contributes to statistics available for planning and
decision-making. To fi nd out more about Statistics New Zealand
contact our information centre on 0508 525 525.
Geoff Bascand Government Statistician
Appointment timeAppointment timePlease record approximately how much time you spent completing this diary
(include the time it took you to read the instructions and write in the diary)
hours minutes
Time taken
Appointment time:
yes
no
Offi ce Use Only
Reference number
Person number
Interview start Interview end
Diary by proxy? Interview by proxy?
no no
Offi ce time mins
yesyes
W
Region: 1 2 3 5 6 7 (circle one)
2-Sec1:1
Before you start
Please read the instructions on page 1 and look at the example on pages 2 and 3
before starting your diary.
How to do your time use diary
Please write in the columns to show what you were doing, where you were, and who you
were with. An example is shown on page 2 and 3.
What were you doing?
• It is important to write down when you start and fi nish things – you don’t have to write
something for every fi ve minutes. It doesn’t matter how uninteresting or routine you think
something is, please write it down.
• If you were doing paid work, write down what you did in your lunch break, tea breaks or
any other breaks, if you have them. You don’t need to write down things you do at work
(just put “at work”).
• If you are on the Internet or computer, write down, in general terms, what you were
doing – for example, playing games, emailing, shopping, downloading, chatting etc.
What else were you doing at the same time?
• If you were doing more than one thing at the same time, please use the second column
to write down the other activities.
Where were you or how were you travelling?
• Write down where you were – for example, at home, work, school, shops, beach.
• If you were travelling, write down how you were travelling – for example, walking, car, bus,
taxi.
Who else was with you?
• Use an arrow to show how long you were alone or with other people.
• To be with someone means that you are in the same place – for example, in the same
house or shop, or on the same bus. You don’t have to be doing the same thing together.
• You may fi ll in more than one category for the same time.
Please record how much time you spend reading and fi lling in this diary in the space
provided on the front cover.
Please complete the diary for the whole time, even if you are away from home
for one or both days.
1
Thank you
@dataknut
www.demand.ac.uk
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