benjamin a. schenkel ([email protected]) 1,[email protected]) 1 lance f. bosart 1, daniel...

33
Benjamin A. Schenkel ([email protected] ) 1 , Lance F. Bosart 1 , Daniel Keyser 1 , and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany, SUNY 2 The Florida State University 2014 World Weather Open Science Conference The Role of Tropical Cyclones in Cross-Equatorial Total Energy Transport Research Sponsored by NSF Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences Postdoctoral Research Fellowship

Upload: roland-stokes

Post on 26-Dec-2015

217 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Benjamin A. Schenkel ([email protected])1,

Lance F. Bosart1, Daniel Keyser1, and Robert E. Hart2

1University at Albany, SUNY2The Florida State University

2014 World Weather Open Science Conference

The Role of Tropical Cyclones in Cross-Equatorial Total Energy Transport

Research Sponsored by NSF Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences Postdoctoral Research Fellowship

Page 2: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

How do TCs Transport Total Energy Meridionally?

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 2/18

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation

Background Results SummaryMotivation

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Page 3: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

How do TCs Transport Total Energy Meridionally?

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 2/18

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with Tropical Cyclone (TC)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

TC

• Three potential mechanisms whereby TCs can transport total energy meridionally:

1. Movement of TC from tropics into midlatitudes

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Page 4: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

How do TCs Transport Total Energy Meridionally?

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 2/18

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with Tropical Cyclone (TC)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

TC

• Three potential mechanisms whereby TCs can transport total energy meridionally:

1. Movement of TC from tropics into midlatitudes

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Page 5: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

How do TCs Transport Total Energy Meridionally?

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 2/18

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with Tropical Cyclone (TC)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

TC

• Three potential mechanisms whereby TCs can transport total energy meridionally:

1. Movement of TC from tropics into midlatitudes

2. Lower-tropospheric meridional transport of latent energy and sensible heat by TC inflow

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Page 6: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

How do TCs Transport Total Energy Meridionally?

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 2/18

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with Tropical Cyclone (TC)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Three potential mechanisms whereby TCs can transport total energy meridionally:

1. Movement of TC from tropics into midlatitudes

2. Lower-tropospheric meridional transport of latent energy and sensible heat by TC inflow

3. Upper-tropospheric meridional transport of potential energy and sensible heat by TC outflow

TC

Page 7: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

How do TCs Transport Total Energy Meridionally?

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 2/18

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with Tropical Cyclone (TC)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Three potential mechanisms whereby TCs can transport total energy meridionally:

1. Movement of TC from tropics into midlatitudes

2. Lower-tropospheric meridional transport of latent energy and sensible heat by TC inflow

3. Upper-tropospheric meridional transport of potential energy and sensible heat by TC outflow

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

TCGoal: To examine whether significant cross-equatorial total energy transport occurs due to western North Pacific TCs

Page 8: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

• Background

- Review of lower-tropospheric TC structure

- Review of upper-tropospheric TC structure

• Results

- Spatial structure of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

- Zonal integrals of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

• Summary and conclusions

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 3/18

Outline

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Page 9: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 3/18

Outline

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Background

- Review of lower-tropospheric TC structure

- Review of upper-tropospheric TC structure

• Results

- Spatial structure of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

- Zonal integrals of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

• Summary and conclusions

Page 10: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

• Composite anomalies for JTWC Best-Track western North Pacific TCs equatorward of 20°N from 1979–2010 created from NCEP CFSR

• Lower-tropospheric TC circulation is cyclonic and largely symmetric

• TC circulation extends ~1500 km south of TC center

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 4/18

Review of TC Structure: Lower Troposphere

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Page 11: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

• Weak northward total energy transport due to lower-tropospheric TC inflow across equator

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 4/18

Review of TC Structure: Lower Troposphere

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Page 12: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

• Upper-tropospheric TC circulation is anticyclonic and asymmetric

• TC circulation concentrated within two TC outflow jets

• Equatorward outflow jet extends ~3000 km to south of TC

• Strong southward total energy transport due to equatorward TC outflow jet across equator

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 5/18

Review of TC Structure: Upper Troposphere

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Page 13: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 6/18

Motivating Questions

Background Results SummaryMotivation

1. Are western North Pacific TCs responsible for significant cross-equatorial

transport of total energy?

2. How do western North Pacific TCs transport total energy across the

equator?

3. Does the large-scale environment compensate for cross-equatorial

transport of total energy by western North Pacific TCs?

4. Do western North Pacific TCs constitute a significant fraction of aggregate

cross-equatorial total energy transport during NH summer and fall?

Page 14: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Background

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 7/18

Outline

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Background

- Review of lower-tropospheric TC structure

- Review of upper-tropospheric TC structure

• Results

- Spatial structure of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

- Zonal integrals of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

• Summary and conclusions

Page 15: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Methodology: Quantifying Cross-Equatorial Total Energy Transport by TCs

• Three-dimensional composites centered on TC longitude are used

evaluate mean cross-equatorial total energy transport by TCs

• Composites are constructed using NCEP CFSR (Saha et al. 2010) for

Best-Track TCs (maximum 10-m wind speed ≥ 34 kt; Chu et al. 2002) over

the western North Pacific at or equatorward of 20°N during 1979–2010 (N

= 696 TCs)

• Composites of raw anomalies are used to isolate role of TCs in meridional

total energy transport

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 8/18

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Page 16: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

• Composite meridional total energy transport (Trenberth et al. 1997) used to

assess role of TCs in cross-equatorial total energy transport:

• Term 1: Vertically integrated meridional total energy transport

• Term 2: Vertically integrated meridional kinetic energy transport

• Term 3: Vertically integrated meridional latent energy transport

• Term 4: Vertically integrated meridional sensible heat transport

• Term 5: Vertically integrated meridional potential energy transport

Methodology: Quantifying Cross-Equatorial Total Energy Transport by TCs

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 9/18

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Page 17: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Vertically Integrated Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 10/18

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Meridional total energy transport anomalies due to TC results from:

1.00 x 109 W m−1 ≈ 0.25σ at equator

Northwardtransport

Southwardtransport

Page 18: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Vertically Integrated Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Meridional total energy transport anomalies due to TC results from:

1. Cyclonic circulation of TCNorthward

transport

Southwardtransport

1.00 x 109 W m−1 ≈ 0.25σ at equator

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 10/18

Page 19: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Vertically Integrated Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs

• Meridional total energy transport anomalies due to TC results from:

1. Cyclonic circulation of TC

2. Upper-tropospheric equatorward outflow jet on southeastern flank of anticyclonic circulation of TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Northwardtransport

Southwardtransport

1.00 x 109 W m−1 ≈ 0.25σ at equator

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 10/18

Page 20: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Vertically Integrated Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs

• Meridional total energy transport anomalies due to TC results from:

1. Cyclonic circulation of TC

2. Upper-tropospheric equatorward outflow jet on southeastern flank of anticyclonic circulation of TC

• Southward transport by outflow jet is dominant source of cross-equatorial flow by TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Northwardtransport

Southwardtransport

1.00 x 109 W m−1 ≈ 0.25σ at equator

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 10/18

Next, meridional total energy transport anomalies in environment outside of TC are examined using domain extending across all longitudes

Page 21: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Global Structure of Meridional Total Energy Transport Anomalies

• Equatorward outflow jet of TC is dominant source of anomalous cross-equatorial total energy transport

• Broad region of weak northward total energy transport anomalies to southwest of TC countering southward transport by TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Northward transport Southward transport

1.00 x 109 W m−1 ≈ 0.25σ at equator

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 11/18

Page 22: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Global Structure of Meridional Total Energy Transport Anomalies

• Absence of significant meridional transports outside of TC within composites suggesting TC is dominant feature

To quantify meridional total energy transport anomalies across equator by TC and its environment, composites are zonally integrated over three regions:

1. TC and its immediate environment (Near TC)

2. Environment outside of TC (Outside TC)

3. All longitudes including TC and its outer environment (Total)

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 11/18

Page 23: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Global Structure of Meridional Total Energy Transport Anomalies

• Absence of significant meridional transports outside of TC within composites suggesting TC is dominant feature

Background Results SummaryMotivation

To quantify meridional total energy transport anomalies across equator by TC and its environment, composites are zonally integrated over three regions:

1. TC and its immediate environment (Near TC)

2. Environment outside of TC (Outside TC)

3. All longitudes including TC and its outer environment (Total)

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 11/18

Page 24: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Quantifying Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs in a Global Context

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Significant anomalous southward total energy transport at equator due to equatorward outflow jet of TC

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 12/18

Page 25: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Global Structure of Meridional Total Energy Transport Anomalies

• Absence of significant meridional transports outside of TC within composites suggesting TC is dominant feature

Background Results SummaryMotivation

To quantify meridional total energy transport anomalies across equator by TC and its environment, composites are zonally integrated over three regions:

1. TC and its immediate environment (Near TC)

2. Environment outside of TC (Outside TC)

3. All longitudes including TC and its outer environment (Total)

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 13/18

Page 26: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Quantifying Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs in a Global Context

• Meridional total energy transport anomalies outside TC nearly balance meridional total energy transport anomalies by TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 14/18

Page 27: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Global Structure of Meridional Total Energy Transport Anomalies

• Absence of significant meridional transports outside of TC within composites suggesting TC is dominant feature

Background Results SummaryMotivation

To quantify meridional total energy transport anomalies across equator by TC and its environment, composites are zonally integrated over three regions:

1. TC and its immediate environment (Near TC)

2. Environment outside of TC (Outside TC)

3. All longitudes including TC and its outer environment (Total)

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 15/18

Page 28: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Quantifying Meridional Total Energy Transport by TCs in a Global Context

• Zonal integration over all longitudes yields significant southward transport anomalies of −0.5 PW near equator suggesting transport by TCs is dominant

• −0.5 PW southward energy transport anomalies by TC is large relative to −1.0 to −2.0 PW climatological southward energy transport near equator during NH summer and fall

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 16/18

Page 29: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Background

Outline

Background Results SummaryMotivation

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 17/18

• Background

- Review of lower-tropospheric TC structure

- Review of upper-tropospheric TC structure

• Results

- Spatial structure of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

- Zonal integrals of cross-equatorial total energy transports by TCs and their environment

• Summary and conclusions

Page 30: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Summary: TC Impacts on Meridional Total Energy Transport

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with a TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

TCp

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 18/18

Page 31: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Summary: TC Impacts on Meridional Total Energy Transport

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with a TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Southward upper-tropospheric total energy transport by TC outflow is dominant source of cross-equatorial transport by the TC

TCp

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 18/18

Page 32: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

TC

Summary: TC Impacts on Meridional Total Energy Transport

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with a TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Southward vertically integrated total energy transport across equator by TC

• Northward vertically integrated total energy transport across equator by environment outside of TC

Southward energy transport by TC

Northward energy transport by environment outside of TC

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 18/18

Page 33: Benjamin A. Schenkel (bschenkel@albany.edu) 1,bschenkel@albany.edu) 1 Lance F. Bosart 1, Daniel Keyser 1, and Robert E. Hart 2 1 University at Albany,

Summary: TC Impacts on Meridional Total Energy Transport

Late NH Summer Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation with a TC

Background Results SummaryMotivation

• Significantly enhanced southward vertically integrated total energy transport by zonal mean meridional circulation across equator due to TC

p

30°N15°S 0 15°N30°S

TC

Cross-Equatorial Energy Transport by TCs Benjamin A. Schenkel University at Albany, SUNY 18/18

Southward energy transport by TC

Northward energy transport by environment outside of TC

Can the average annual frequency of western North Pacific TCs be explained by the potential role of TCs in transporting total energy from the NH to the SH?