bernie hogan - amec - the outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the nt and across australia

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EXPLORATION AND MINING IN AUSTRALIA Bernie Hogan Regional Manager Association of Mining & Exploration Companies

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Bernie Hogan delivered the presentation at the 2014 Mining the Territory Conference. With record year on year investment in mining developments and exploration in the Northern Territory, the 8th Annual Mining the Territory Conference is perfectly placed to hear latest information on this booming region. For more information about the event, please visit: http://bit.ly/MiningtheNT2014

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

EXPLORATION AND MINING IN

AUSTRALIA

Bernie Hogan

Regional Manager

Association of Mining & Exploration Companies

Page 2: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

About AMEC

• Established over years ago

• Over 300 company members and growing

• Members include explorers, producers, and service industries

• National coverage – offices in Brisbane, Perth and Sydney

• Policy development and advocacy

AMEC is totally committed to obtaining the best business

environment for the mining and exploration industry across

Australia

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Page 3: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

After 12 months…

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Page 4: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

This is what we have…

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Page 5: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

Australia’s challenge unchanged

• Australia is losing exploration market share

• Continued global competition

• Costs spiralling

• Certainty and regulation affecting investment

• Scarce capital

• EDI, ESS, 457

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Page 6: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

More capital in the system

• Exploration Development Incentive

• AMEC policy leading into 2013 election

• Tax deduction for investors – rewards risk takers

• $100M over 3 years

• Australian projects

• Australian Company (tax rate)

• Australian Investor

• Still with Dept of Industry

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Page 7: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

Helping start-ups

• Employee Share Schemes

• Ruined as a Long Term Incentive

• Difficult for explorers to compete

• Discussions with Government to return to 2009 legislation

• Opportunity for cross-bench “heroes”

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Page 8: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

Developing Northern Australia

• Opportunity must be grasped

• Committee has conducted wide ranging interviews

• Infrastructure and stranded assets

• Planned growth and incentives

• Funding options

• Remove legislative barriers to land access.

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Page 9: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

457

• Important debate for Northern Territory

• AMEC policy to support where labour supply is short – particularly skilled labour

• In some instances, skilled migration will be a valuable HR alternative

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Page 10: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

Estimated Remaining life for Major Australian Mines (based on all operations mining >1 Mt ore in 2010. Excludes Bulk Minerals)

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2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Closure Date based on current

Reserves

Estimated Mine Lives are approximate only and are based on dividing the current

P&P Reserves and MI&I Resources by the production rate reported for 2011

Half of Australia’s existing

mines could close down

within 7 to 18 years

Closure Date based on current Resources

Source: MinEx

Consulting © August

2012

Page 11: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

Brownfield vs Greenfield

Exploration in Australia

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Percentage of Total Metres

Drilled

% Green % BrownSource: ABS 8412.0

Page 12: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

81%

64%

47%

61%

49%

33%

19%

36%

53%

39%

51%

67%

0%

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percentage

% Australian Projects % Global ProjectsSource:

To 31 October 2013

* Exploration includes Greenfields and Brownfields Exploration

Destination of Exploration Funds

Raised on ASX

12

ASX raised funds

for overseas

projects

More ASX raised

funds still heading

overseas!!

Page 13: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

13

Australia’s Share of Worldwide

Exploration Expenditure (non-ferrous)

13 Source: Metals Economics Group

Source: Metals Economics Group

Australia 12%

Canada 16%

USA 8%

Latin America 18%

Pacific/SE Asia 16%

Rest of World 14%

Africa 16%

2012 Australia

20%

Canada 14%

USA 11%

Latin America 27%

Pacific/SE Asia 11%

Rest of World 6%

Africa 11%

1996

Page 14: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

How to stifle exploration…

• Constant tinkering with regulation in all forms has

undermine investor confidence

• Land Access is major hurdle for Northern Territory

• Environmental Approvals has been highest profile battle

ground

• Uncertain taxation and transfer duties

• Overly prescriptive legislation. Regulatory creep.

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Page 15: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

Remove the barriers

• Cost recovery mantra from governments Territory and

Federal. Provide core services.

• Cultural and Heritage Surveys (estimated at over

$1Billion). Cannot become another opportunity to delay

• Infrastructure – capacity needs to build and access needs

to be assured for junior entrants.

• Senate uncertainties to key reforms

Remove obstructions to exploration and development with

outcome based policy. Gov’t to focus on compliance

instead of regulation

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Page 16: Bernie Hogan - AMEC - The outlook for mid-tier miners and explorers in the NT and across Australia

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THANK YOU

Visit www.amec.org.au for more information

Bernie Hogan

[email protected]