best bet: groundwater groundwater governance for poverty … · 2016. 10. 6. · groundwater...
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Best Bet: Groundwater Groundwater governance for poverty alleviation and livelihods seucrity
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Best Bet: Groundwater
Groundwater governance for poverty alleviation and livelihoods
security
Vision of success Successful implementation of this best bet will reduce the number of areas and people that
currently face unsustainable use of groundwater and its related consequences (some 200
million people mostly located in northwest India, Pakistan and north China) by 50%; while at
the same time, it will give opportunities to another 250 million5 people living in Sub-Saharan
Africa and other regions where groundwater potential is vastly under-used to make more
intensive, but more sustainable use of groundwater to emerge from poverty and expand
their livelihood choices.
Problem statement Of the range of issues that confront water management in the developing world, intensive
use of groundwater and its positive and negative externalities ranks high on the research
and policy agenda (Kinzelbach et al., 2003; CA, 2007; World Bank, 2006 and 2010). It is well
known that assured access to groundwater across South Asia can provide the water needed
to produce more and higher valued crops, important for food security and income gains
(Repetto, 1994; Moench & Burke, 2002). Moreover, groundwater in these rural settings
serves a range of uses including drinking water and washing, providing opportunities for
better health. Those who use groundwater, particularly small and marginal farmers, are
most vulnerable to losing access due to increasing competition over scarce resources. Costs
of drilling and pumping will become prohibitive if water levels continue to decline. Issues of
seawater intrusion in areas and the general deterioration of water quality from salts and
other constituents can be the downside of poor groundwater management. Good
groundwater governance can help reduce these vulnerabilities.
Unsustainable management of groundwater affects developing countries due to the
complex and intractable nature of the problem. There are also important implications for
poverty. When left unmanaged, groundwater can negatively affect the livelihood and food
security of those dependent upon it because overexploitation leads to cycles of boom and
bust (Moench, 2003; Janakarajan & Moench, 2006; Giordano, 2009). Most of those affected
live within the densely populated and agriculturally productive plains of South Asia and
North China.
5 This assumes that 50% of rural population in Bangladesh and eastern India (eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar,
West Bengal, Assam and Orissa); 30% of rural population in Nepal and seven countries of Southeast Asia
(Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam); 20% of rural population in 33
Sub-Saharan African countries and 10% of rural population in four Central Asian countries (Kazakhstan,
Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistani and Uzbekistan). The combined rural population of these regions and countries is 850
million (World Development Report, 2009).
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Equally important, albeit less understood, is the problem of “under-development” of
groundwater resources and the opportunities for productivity gains and poverty alleviation
lost thereof. There are two dimensions of the “under-development” issue. First, there are
vast areas such as in eastern India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Southeast Asia and Central Asia
where there is high groundwater potential and high recharge potential. Here groundwater
can be geared towards poverty alleviation without significantly stressing the resource base
or creating excessive environmental impacts. However, the current policy environment and
investment regimes do not support such use (Mukherji et al., 2009, Shah, 2009a). Second,
there are locations mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa where very little is known about the
resource and as a result, uncertainties and misconceptions emerge about the development
potential (Carter & Howsam, 1994). But there is emerging evidence that farmers are
increasingly resorting to groundwater for irrigating high value crops (Regassa, 2010). Here,
there is much optimism among the policy and developmental professionals that
groundwater can play an important role in enhancing productivity and alleviate poverty
(Postel et al., 2001).
Climate change adds a third dimension to this problem by affecting both the supply of
groundwater – through changes in rainfall and recharge regimes and demand for
groundwater – through changes in the crop water requirement and greater dependence on
groundwater during years of drought (Shah, 2009b). Groundwater supplies are less prone to
drought than surface water and thus could provide a more reliable source of agricultural
water.
Most surface water bodies, be they rivers, lakes, reservoirs, wetlands, and estuaries,
hydraulically interact with groundwater to varying degrees. Rivers and wetlands are
intrinsically connected to groundwater, and thus excessive groundwater use impacts on
these groundwater-dependent ecosystems.
Justification Groundwater constitutes by far the major share of the world’s freshwater resources (Gleick,
1996) and has been an important source of drinking water serving over 2 billion people
worldwide. But over the last 40 years or so, it has also emerged as a main source of
irrigation. Globally, almost 40% (114 M ha) of all irrigated lands are serviced by 545 km3 of
groundwater every year. Of this, India and China alone account for half of all groundwater-
based irrigation (Siebert et al., 2010). In India, 60% of the 60 million ha of net irrigated area
is served by groundwater, whilst for north China the corresponding figure is 70%.
Thus last 40 years have heralded the emergence of an agricultural groundwater revolution,
dubbed a “silent revolution” by Llamas & Martinez-Santos (2006). This is because inherent
advantages that groundwater offers to farmers and which other sources of irrigation water
find hard to match – advantages stemming from reliability, flexibility and independence.
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Cheaper pumping technologies since 1960s have significantly contributed to this boom. It is
now well documented that groundwater irrigation created more wealth than any source of
irrigation in South Asia and north China (Dains & Pawar, 1987; Deb Roy & Shah, 2003; Zhang
et al., 2009). There is also emerging evidence that groundwater irrigation is booming in
deltaic and other parts of Southeast Asia (Johnston et al., 2010) and there is increasing use
of groundwater for both pastoral and crop enterprises in SSA (Giordano, 2006; Regassa,
2010).
Despite all the productivity and livelihood benefits of groundwater irrigation, this runaway
growth in northwestern and southern parts of India and north China presents a frightening
prospect because it will magnify many-fold the negative externalities of groundwater over-
development viz., the rising cost of chasing a perennially declining water table, lost wetlands
and biodiversity, reduced base flows to rivers, and water quality degradation. Runaway
growth without any kind of governance will eventually weaken this vibrant economy.
Two types of approaches have been considered for managing the negative externalities of
groundwater use in such areas of intensive use. One is supply oriented technical approaches
that enable effective use of recharge and retention. Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) has
been an important technical supply augmentation strategy used increasingly in India and
elsewhere (Dillon, 2005; Sakthivadivel, 2007; Shah, 2008). Alternatively, direct demand
management measures such as irrigation efficiency improvements, restrictions on cropping
patterns are also employed (Zhang et al., 2003).
Underuse is an interesting contrast to overuse in much of eastern India, Nepal, and
Bangladesh, parts of Southeast Asia and pockets of Central Asia. In such cases, highest rates
of poverty coincide with regions where there is high groundwater potential and high
recharge capacity, but due to a number of policy and institutional barriers, groundwater is
not used intensively and therefore its potential for poverty alleviation is not realized.
A stark example is the case of eastern India. Eastern India supports one of the most
productive alluvial aquifers in the world, but lack of rural electrification and high diesel
prices coupled with poor food procurement policies and rural infrastructure hinders
groundwater development (Mukherji, 2007). The second type of “under-development”
problem is faced by much of SSA where not much is known about the groundwater
resources. Yet, there is emerging evidence that farmers and pastoralists rely on
groundwater for their livelihoods, often to a great extent as in the case of Nigerian fadimas.
Given that most groundwater is often used to supplement surface water supplies,
conjunctive use is becoming increasingly important and common, although much of this is
unplanned. Considerable benefits in irrigation efficiency and water productivity arise where
groundwater is used to strategically supplement surface water. By using aquifers as both
short and long term storage, conjunctive use strategies will become essential in the face of
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droughts and floods. With increasing climate variability and climate, the role and
dependence of groundwater will develop to become one of the primary mechanisms for
coping with water scarcity, drought and rainfall variability.
Groundwater quality hazards such as fluoride and arsenic that may be naturally occurring
and heterogeneously distributed within aquifers is another challenge. It is also important
that any major increase in groundwater development for agriculture takes into account the
threat posed by diffuse groundwater pollution to aquifers from fertilizer and pesticide
inputs. A distinguishable form of groundwater overuse is that of groundwater ‘mining’, or
irreversible depletion of non-renewable (fossil) or poorly renewed groundwater. This is
mainly limited to North Africa and the Middle East and sometimes occurs in a strategic
manner (Abderrahman, 2003), but more often it happens in an unplanned manner.
Lessons learned There are five types of approaches combining demand and supply strategies have been tried
for managing the externalities of groundwater use (COMMAN, 2005). These are:
Direct approaches, e.g. groundwater laws, administrative and legal bans or limits
on groundwater extraction in over-developed zones, restrictions on cropping
patterns, efficient on farm irrigation technologies etc.
Indirect approaches, e.g. agricultural subsidies, energy pricing (electricity pricing,
diesel subsidy), food procurement policies, rural employment policies,
agricultural trade and tariff policies etc.
Technical approaches including supply augmentation (e.g. water
harvesting/aquifer recharge) and demand management involving community
participation.
Adaptive approaches at the farmer level in response to changes in the local or
wider political economy.
Awareness and education-based approaches that highlight groundwater’s
importance at the grassroots level and provide the basis for local decisions, such
as cropping patterns.
IWMI, along with its CG and other partners have been at the forefront of research aimed at
understanding what works and does not work in the field of groundwater governance (Shah,
2009a, Mukherji et al., 2009; Giordano and Villholth, 2007; Llamas and Custodio, 2003).
The three major countries of South Asia, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh have tried some or
all of these approaches to manage the externalities of groundwater use. In India, almost all
state governments have promulgated groundwater laws. Similarly, Pakistan and more
recently, some Indian states have undertaken major reforms in the electricity sector which
have had far reaching impacts on the groundwater sector (Shah and Verma, 2008; Mukherji
et al., 2009). Bangladesh, after the recent food shock, has decided to aim for food self
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sufficiency and extraordinary measures such as dedicated power supplies for agriculture
have been taken to ensure that farmers’ access to groundwater supplies are improved.
A number of community-based approaches such as FAO and local NGO initiated community
management of groundwater are been carried out in southern India and have been studied
rigorously by IWMI and its partners (Rama Mohan, 2009; FAO, 2008; Gardena et al., 2009).
Meanwhile, wider changes in the political economy are also affecting the way groundwater
users respond to groundwater stress. These have been referred to as adaptive strategies
and more and more communities dependent on groundwater are adapting in a myriad
different ways such as through changes in cropping patterns and long-term livelihood
activities (Moench, 2007). For example, gender selective migration in Asia and Africa often
leave women and youth to manage farming. In Gujarat, the gender impact of migration on
groundwater irrigation has been documented by Parkas (2006).
From these experiences, we know things that work, things that do not work and several
things that may work under one set of conditions and not another.
We know, for example, that all encompassing groundwater laws, when formulated in a void,
do not work; but when they address a well defined objective, such as postponing the sowing
date of paddy through regulation as in the Indian Punjab, it works when the state has the
will and the power of to enforce such laws (Sharma and Amble, 2009). Direct regulations,
such as bans on groundwater pumping or enforcing a quota on pumping do not work in
most cases. Notable exceptions include command and control types of groundwater
governance structures prevalent in Israel and Oman (Zero, 2009).
In contrast, indirect regulation through energy policies works in South Asia. For example, we
know that rationing electricity supply helps in reducing groundwater over-draft; while
subsidized electricity (or diesel) without rationing, encourages farmers to use groundwater
more intensively, not only on their own fields, but also to sell water to their neighbors
(Shah, 1993, Mukherji, 2004). We also know that, in the absence of market distortion in the
form of subsidies and taxes on both inputs and farm outputs, intensive groundwater
development would have been a self terminating problem because farmers would abandon
pumping as soon as marginal costs of pumping exceeded marginal benefits. But, we also
know that groundwater sustainability issues are not simply a problem related to the physical
resource and economics, it is a political problem requiring well thought out political
solutions (Dubach, 2007).
We know that farmers resist any attempts to curtail their access to groundwater, especially
so in South Asia, where they form formidable lobby groups, but at the same time, we know
that they are enthusiastic about supply augmentation strategies and are willing to come
together for collective action involving managed aquifer recharge (MAR). We know that
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MAR works, but do not how much and where. But we do know that supply augmentation
strategies are more politically acceptable than demand management ones.
We also know that farmers respond to scarcity, be it physical scarcity of groundwater in
areas of overdraft or economic scarcity of groundwater in regions of under development. In
regions of physical scarcity of water, but without serious output price distortions (as in
Gujarat, but not Punjab), farmers shift to crops that give them higher returns per drop of
water; while in regions of abundant groundwater, but poor infrastructure, farmers tend to
increase cropping intensity by growing two to three cereal crops in a year (as in eastern
India).
We also know that, action in the field of groundwater management takes place on the
farmers’ field, far and away removed from the formal groundwater governance structures
erected by the state. Where farmers are given the chance to understand the nature and
constraints of aquifer systems through the support of NGOs and the state, they can come
together to make sensible planning decisions that best utilize the available resource within
its limits, as evidenced in Andhra Pradesh through the APFAMGS initiative (World Bank,
2010). Similarly, we do know that good quality groundwater data is conspicuous by its
absence, though some countries like China do have a system of sound groundwater data
collection. Lack of data hampers both research and sound policy formulation based on
research.
These are all lessons that can be applied to other parts of the world.
However, what we know less about is the potential impact of climate change on
groundwater. We understand the physical processes that relate climate to groundwater
availability and use reasonably well (Callow and MacDonald, 2009), but have little
knowledge on the magnitude of the impacts. We also have much less clarity on the long
term impacts of policies aimed at both restricting and encouraging groundwater use,
especially as it affects the poorer and more marginal sections of the rural population. We do
not yet know enough about the potential role that formal groundwater agencies in the
countries faced with dire groundwater problems can play in the future. We do know that
formal governance structures need to change, but we do not yet know the main ingredients
of such a change.
Across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), small-scale groundwater irrigation, which offers a more
food-secure alternative to subsistence farming, is a greatly underutilized, whilst per-capita
groundwater availability is many times higher than India or China where irrigation is more
widely practiced (Giordano, 2006). Very little is currently known about the physical extent,
accessibility and development potential of the aquifers, but interest and knowledge is
emerging (Ngami, 2009; Regassa, 2010). The low aquifer yields across many hard rock
regions, combined with the high cost of drilling, equipping and servicing wells and high
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incidences of well failure, give a misleading impression that groundwater potential is low.
However, across the continent, 75% of the population relies for the provision of rural and
urban drinking supplies, as well as for livestock watering. Successful examples of agricultural
groundwater development, often using rudimentary abstraction technologies include the
White Volta Basin in northern Ghana of the Fadiman systems along the inland valley areas
of Nigeria, offering hope for greater expansion if technical, technological and policy related
barriers can be overcome. Another positive sign is the lower cost (traditional) drilling
alternatives that have recently emerged from Ethiopia and Ghana, but little is known about
them and whether they have widespread applications. Strategies and technologies for
overcoming the economic water scarcity evident over much of SSA and generally promoting
groundwater irrigation in a sustainable manner are urgently needed.
Overall, we understand that one-sided solutions will not work; that groundwater buffers
need to be considered and managed at a sufficiently large scale (van Steenbergen and
Tuinhof, 2010) and solutions have to be technically sound and politically acceptable.
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Potential target areas Map 2.2 Areas of intesive groundwater use (circled) together with longterm average
groundwater recharge (millimeters per year) (Döll aned Flörke, 2005)
There would be two distinguishable target areas.
1. Areas facing problems of intensive groundwater development: northwestern and
southern India, Pakistan, and north China
2. Areas of under utilization: large parts of Sub-Saharan Africa, eastern India, Nepal and
Bangladesh, Central Asia, and Southeast Asia.
Theory of change The overarching theory of change is that the conventional text book solutions such as
groundwater laws, quotas and permits do not work as well as does the less traditional
second-best indirect solutions. These indirect policy levers often lie outside the
groundwater sector and include energy, trade, food policies and access to financial credit
among others. Identifying the one or more best levers, unraveling their inter-linkages and
offering practical action plans that are not only technically feasible, but also politically
acceptable will be one of the main pathways of change.
This change theory is also valid in areas of underutilization, where growth in groundwater
use can be stimulated by practices and policies outside the groundwater arena. In these a
thorough analysis of constraints and opportunities to more groundwater use is a
prerequisite to knowing which levers to pull. For example, there may be technical
opportunities to pump more water, but micro-finance, high drilling costs, high tariffs on
imported pumpsets, or just lack of pumps on the shelf may be the major constraint to
uptake.
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The second lever of change is greater political acceptance of supply augmentation strategies
for managing groundwater. The changing discourse offers opportunities for direct
intervention within the groundwater sector for augmenting supply, examples being
managed aquifer recharge schemes and community management of such recharge.
Providing scientific evidence on what works where and how with regards to these supply
augmentation strategies and a best practice toolkit for groundwater managers and policy
makers will provide the second window of opportunity for change. The pathway for this
change would be greater understanding of groundwater and hydrologic balance that will in
turn open the door for dialogue and interventions on demand management strategies.
The third lever of change stems from the fact that most groundwater management agencies
tend to have a narrow focusing on hydrogeology and engineering, when current
groundwater realities entails and that there is a large scope for bridging the gap with
governance issues. It is possible to reorient groundwater agencies to focus more on
management, and in areas of underutilization to consider tapping the opportunities of more
groundwater use, while at the same time developing strategies for sustainable use.
Research questions Based on our theory of change and the main research issues as documented in the previous
sections, we propose three main research questions and several research sub-questions:
1. What kind of indirect policy levers outside the groundwater sector can be used to
minimize negative externalities of groundwater use in problem areas, while at the same
can induce more intensive groundwater use in regions where it is currently underused?
a. What role can electricity reforms (such as metering, decoupling of agricultural
and domestic supplies, and innovative approaches such as pre-paid vouchers)
play in controlling areas of intensive groundwater development and encouraging
groundwater use elsewhere?
b. What role can food policy, agricultural trade, financial credit and tariff policies
play in both controlling as well as offering incentives for agricultural groundwater
use?
c. What is the relative importance of the various drivers (technical knowledge,
institutional arrangements, level of development etc) to viably intensify
groundwater use in underdeveloped or water abundant regions at the local and
regional scale?
d. What are the institutional and policy changes necessary to enable more intensive
groundwater development to flourish sustainably?
e. How can we measure heterogeneity of impacts on poor men and women (who
loses and who gains) in regions of “over-use” and in regions of
“underdevelopment?
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2. What kind of direct demand and supply management strategies within the groundwater
sector can be used to minimize negative externalities of groundwater use in problem
areas, while at the same can intensify groundwater use, sans the problems, in regions of
“under-developed” groundwater use?
a. How much recharge enhancement (MAR) would be required to stabilize
groundwater levels in areas of intensive groundwater use (such as northwestern
India) and how can this be achieved?
b. What are the socio-economic impacts (tradeoffs) on downstream surface water and groundwater
resources and users, especially the poor and small farmers?
c. What role can larger and more pro-active user engagement in groundwater management play and
how to promote this effectively at scale?
d. How can the formal groundwater agencies be encouraged to act as a catalyst for change and
play a more effective role in groundwater management?
3. From the context of climate variability and climate change (CC), how can the role of,
and benefits from, groundwater (and conjunctive use in general) be maximized?
a. To what extent will agricultural groundwater development be enhanced as a
response strategy to CC and how will it impact the poor and the vulnerable?
b. As a result of such development, what level of CC-induced stress will be
placed upon groundwater systems?
c. How can groundwater and surface water in small or large irrigation areas be
put to best use in a way that recognizes and accounts for the connectivity
and interdependencies between these two sources?
Implementation plan Research will be conducted in a selected number of countries and regions (as noted above)
that represent different poverty levels, agro-ecological regions, hydro-geological conditions,
and levels of groundwater development. By conducting studies across a wide geographic
range (an extrapolation domain) there are opportunities for scientists and decisions makers
from relevant CG centers to participate, and partnerships with relevant international
research institutes and academic institutions to emerge. For best possible impact, we will
work closely with our partners throughout and embark on a journey of mutual capacity
building and creation of knowledge and impact.
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Research outputs This Best Bet will deliver science based policy, investment and management options that
include levers outside of the groundwater and water resource sector. These will include
analyses of groundwater systems and how they would be relied upon and affected by
climate change and training modules for formal groundwater management agencies
covering an array of social and technical issues beyond monitoring the resource base.
Outputs delivered in three years are based mainly on existing projects aligned with this Best
Bet. Partners currently responsible for these projects have commitments to donors that
must be fulfilled. During the transition phase we will conduct a detailed analysis of all
project outputs in terms of how they contribute to this Best Bet and formulate more specific
output descriptions.
Outputs delivered in 3 years
Outputs delivered in three years are based mainly on existing projects aligned with this Best
Bet. Partners currently responsible for these projects have commitments to donors that
must be fulfilled. During the transition phase we will conduct a detailed analysis of all
project outputs in terms of how they contribute to this Best Bet and formulate more specific
output descriptions.
Development of strategies and investment plans
Strategies to reduce India’s energy footprint, including opportunities to scale up
micro-irrigation.
Development of national groundwater use investment strategies based on analysis
of groundwater development interventions Mali, Ghana, Kenya, and Tanzania.
Assessment of impact of potential groundwater development in Fergana Valley on
downstream uses in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.
Global “Framework of Action” (FA), consisting of a menu of country specific policy,
institutional and investment options, that are representative of international best
practices. (FAO project)
Crafting institutions for enhanced use of groundwater, including groundwater
markets in Bihar India.
Development of tools and methods
Development of community tools to assess the carrying capacity of alluvial aquifers
setting ecological threshold levels for sustainable use for cultivation; assessing the
hydrological characteristics of inland wetland ecosystems and the environmental and
social impacts on the utilization options of wetlands in groundwater areas. These are
based from field experiences in the White Volta area of Burkina Faso and Ghana.
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Research outcomes Research outputs are essential to the change toward greater management of the
groundwater resource that will lead to:
Greater and more equitable access to adequate quantities of good quality
groundwater for agricultural water supplies and resultant poverty alleviation
Stabilization or reduction in levels of intensive groundwater development through a
combination of supply-enhancement and demand-reduction technical- and policy
related innovations
Expanded provision of cheap, accessible, low-cost water supplies in regions of the
world where groundwater is underutilized to boost food production and alleviate
poverty
Expanding opportunities for conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater in a
planned manner that boosts agricultural productivity and minimizes inefficient use
Impact pathway Based on our theory of change and anticipated outputs, there would be two major impact
pathways (Figure 2.3). One would be through the creation of knowledge products of high
scientific value with clear messages that will help pull the two most important levers
required for desired change in groundwater management – namely the indirect lever of
policies outside the groundwater sector and direct lever of program implementation within
sector. The second will be through changes in the discourse surrounding the formal
groundwater management agencies from their current mode of resource monitoring to a
mode of natural resource management.
The prime target audience will be key policy makers in the sector so that they can institute
the required changes that would be needed to meeting our overarching goals of better
groundwater governance for poverty alleviation and livelihoods security.
Figure 2.3 Impact pathways for Sustainable use of groundwater
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Research partners The following list is indicative of the types of partners we are currently working or plan to
work with. More detailed partnership arrangements by country and region will be
developed during the transition phase of the program. Refer to our section on Partners and
Partner Networks.
CGIAR Institutions International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Sri Lanka; International Crop Research Institute for the Semi Arid Tropics (ICRISAT), Hyderabad, India; International Center for Agricultural Research in Dry Areas (ICARDA), Aleppo, Syria; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Washington DC, USA NARES & ARIs Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR), N Delhi, India; National Geophysical Research Institute (NGRI), Hyderabad, India; Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), Beijing, China; Relevant NARS and ARIs in other countries; Arab Center for the Studies of Arid Zones and dry lands (ACSAD) Statal & Para-Statal Bodies Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), India; Department of Groundwater Resources, Bangkok, Thailand; Ministry of Water Resources (Ethiopia); Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO), Australia Universities & Academia Technical University of Berlin, Germany; Utah State University, Utah, USA; University of Melbourne, Australia; Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain; Delhi School of Economics, India; Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, India; IHE Delft, Netherlands; Wageningen University, Netherlands; International Association of Hydrologists; Other relevant local Universities NGOs Professional Assistance for Development Action (PRADAN), N Delhi, India; Samaj Pragati Sahyog (SPS), India; Centre for World Solidarity; All India Krishak Sangh, India; All Bengal Electricity Consumers Association, Kolkata, India; Aga Khan Foundation