beyond the cycle - cbre/media/files/events...cbre valuation & advisory services appraisal &...

14
CBRE CAPITAL MARKETS CBRE 2017 MULTIFAMILY CONFERENCE BEYOND THE CYCLE

Upload: others

Post on 11-Oct-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

CBRE CAPITAL MARKETS

CBRE 2017 MULTIFAMILY CONFERENCE B E Y O N D T H E C Y C L E

Page 2: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

THE QUIET GIANTS: A NEW TAKE ON THE SUBURBS

MATT VANCE CBRE

LESLEY L ISSER

Invesco

DANIEL MAHONEY LaSal le Investment Management

Page 3: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

3

THANK YOU TO OUR SPONSOR!

CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING

Page 4: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

Let’s Talk About the Trends

Page 5: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS BETHESDA (WASHINGTON, D.C.)

Source: Invesco

Page 6: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS BETHESDA (WASHINGTON, D.C.)

Source: Invesco

Page 7: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

SOME SUBURBS LOOKING MORE LIKE THE CBD ON BOTH AMENITIES AND NEW SUPPLY

Downtown L.A. Apartment Pipeline in Tysons Corner VA –

10 Miles from Downtown Washington

Apartment construction is ~20% of existing inventory in both submarkets. Source: LaSalle

Page 8: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

WHAT IT REALLY MEANS TO BE URBAN (BOSTON’S NORTH END)

Live

Work Play Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors

Page 9: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

THE LWP (LIVE, WORK, PLAY) INDEX FROM CBRE ECONOMETRIC ADVISORS

Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors

Page 10: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

RENTS BY DENSITY LEVEL (DALLAS)

Nominal Apartment Rent ($/unit)

Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors, Axiometrics, Inc.; Q1 2017

Page 11: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

RENTS BY DENSITY LEVEL (BOSTON)

Nominal Apartment Rent ($/unit)

Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors, Axiometrics, Inc.; Q1 2017

Page 12: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

PRIVATE INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS ARE TARGETING URBAN LOCATIONS (BUT NOT JUST DOWNTOWN CBD’S) NCREIF INDEX APARTMENTS BY LOCATION

18%

35%

47%

25%

38% 37%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

CBRE-EA Office CBDs Other Infill Zip Codes(Top 20% by Population Density)

Lower Density Suburban Zip Codes(Bottom 80% by Density)

% of Total NCREIF Apartment Value Five Years Ago Q4 2016

Source: LaSalle, NCREIF, CBRE-EA (definitions), US Census and ESRI (zip code density)

Page 13: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

THANK YOU!

Page 14: BEYOND THE CYCLE - CBRE/media/files/events...CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING . Let’s Talk About the Trends . BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS . BETHESDA

CBRE CAPITAL MARKETS

CBRE 2017 MULTIFAMILY CONFERENCE B E Y O N D T H E C Y C L E