biases in decision making
TRANSCRIPT
BY BHAVESHBRUNICADEEPAK
KANEKIRAN
LISETTEMONICA
GROUP - 3
MANAGERIAL BIASES
OUR TOPICS . . .
Escalation of Commitment Bias
Hindsight Bias
Self Serving Bias
Sunk Costs Bias
Randomness Bias
Escalation of Commitment Bias
Definition Tendency to invest additional resources in an
apparently losing proposition, influenced by effort, money, and time already invested
The term is also used to describe poor decision-making in business, government, information systems in general, software project management in particular, politics, and gambling
Ex-1 United States commitment to military conflicts
Ex-2 when parties engage in a bidding war
Hindsight Bias
Definition It is the inclination to see events that have
occurred as more predictable than they in fact were before they took place.
It has been shown that examining possible alternatives may reduce the effects of this bias.
Self Serving Bias
DefinitionIt occurs when people attribute their successes to internal or personal factors but attribute their failures to situational factors beyond their control
The term "self-serving bias" is most often used to describe a pattern of biased causal inference, in which praise or blame depend on whether success or failure was achieved
Ex-1 A student who gets a good gradeEx-2 In Workplace
Sunk Costs Bias
DefinitionThese are costs that cannot be recovered once they have been incurred
Sunk Costs greatly affect the decisions, because humans are inherently loss aversive and thus normally act irrationally when making economic decisions
Ex-1 Pre-ordering movie tickets
Overly optimistic probability bias
Randomness Bias
It’s the tendency people have to seek patterns where none exist and to invent the existence of unjustified causal relationships.
In simple terms, it’s the tendency of people to make sense out of events which are so random in nature that not enough should be read into them.
THANK YOU