big change trends

Information, trends, considerations and questions

about the future of the non profit sector and its workforce.

About the SectorAbout the SectorRevenue SourcesRevenue Sources

Key TrendsKey TrendsImplications & QuestionsImplications & Questions

Will there be a labour shortage?Will there be a labour shortage?

Strategies - ConsiderationsStrategies - Considerations

OverviewOverview

ABOUT THE ABOUT THE SECTORSECTOR

111.6 billion$Non Profit Revenues in Canada

Compare...Alberta Government 2010 revenues: $34 billion

About the Sector in AlbertaAbout the Sector in Alberta

INDUSTRY REVENUES (BILLIONS)

Energy Products $22.5

Agri-foods $12.7

NonProfit Sector $10.0

Industrial Machinery $ 9.1

ICT $ 8.3

Forest Products $3.4

Non Profit Workforce | AlbertaNon Profit Workforce | Alberta

54% of Non Profit organizations

do not have paid staff

175,000 employees19,000 non profit organizations


NOW CONSIDER...

Hospitals, Universities and Colleges make up 1% of Alberta organizations but employ 40% of

all paid staff.

8,740


BUT ALSO...

64% of staff are employed by 5% of non-profits.

Excluding Hospitals, Universities, Colleges

8,550105,000

67,200 staff are employed by 856

non profits.

77% of therevenue.

23,100 staff are employed by 7,000

non profits

23% of therevenue split

between those aboveand the 10,300 that

have no staff.


Primary Activity Alberta Canada

Sports and Recreation 26% 21%Religion 19% 19%Grantmaking, Fundraising & Voluntarism Promotion

11% 10%

Arts and Culture 10% 9%Social Services 9% 12%Education and Research 8% 5%Development & Housing 5% 8%Business, Professional Associations and Unions

3% 5%

Health 2% 3%Environment 2% 3%Law, Advocacy and Politics 2% 2%Hospitals, Universities and Colleges

1% 1%

Other 2.4% 3%

We need to know more about the various subsectors

Is there data?Is there data?

What are the differences between the 5% that have most the staff and the rest of the non profits?

What are the differences across sub-sectors?

What are the challenges for organizations of different sizes, revenues, geographic locations and missions?

Are the challenges for small non profits more about filling capacity gaps than recruiting staff?

Revenue Revenue SourcesSources

The Sector’s Resource EngineThe Sector’s Resource Engine

33% of their funding from governments.

The national average is 49%.

User Fees/Earned Income is 49%.

The national average of 35%.

Fundraising and other income make up the remainder of income (18%) in Alberta.

What will fuel the sector?What will fuel the sector?

Government funding? Earned Income/User Fees? Fundraising? Consolidations and Mergers? Social Innovation? Social Enterprise? Efficiencies? Fewer NPOs?

Key Key TrendsTrends

PopulationPopulation

BY 2031

All of the Boomers will have retired

Seniors out number children by 2015

Seniors up 110% (2006-2031)

0-24 year olds down 15% (2006-2031)

Everyone else: up 5%

ImmigrationImmigration

Immigration to drive pop. growth

In 2003, one in ten immigrants spoke English or French (compared to one in three in 1980)

By 2017, 19 to 23% of the population will be a visible minority.

In 2031, 50% of the population in Vancouver and Toronto will be immigrants.

WorkforceWorkforce

LabourForce

Participation

In 20 yearsthe

participation rate in the

Alberta workforce will fall from 72%

to 63%

1981One Senior

Five Workers

2005One Senior

FourWorkers

2031One Senior

TwoWorkers

ImplicationsImplicationsandand

Questions?Questions?

Implications & QuestionsImplications & Questions

Tax revenues will decrease unless there are significant new revenues or cost savings found.

Payments to Seniors will increase.

Health Spending will increase.

Payments to children's benefits, child-care allowances and education funding will decrease.

Implications & QuestionsImplications & Questions

Competition will drive wages up in some professions.

Work will become more flexible and employee focused.

Workplaces will be increasingly multicultural.

Boomers will be in demand to offset workforce shortages, but to what extent?

Will education keep pace with talent requirements of employers?

Will there be Will there be a shortage or a shortage or won’t there?won’t there?

Sounds like there will beSounds like there will be

Past 50 years: Canada’s workforce grew by 200%

Next 50 years: 11 percent

http://www.working.com

Or maybe not...Or maybe not...

2/3rds of job openings over the next 10 years will require post-secondary education.

HRSDC projects the labour supply will be adequate to meet the demand.

“

Anticipated Shortages, 10 yearsAnticipated Shortages, 10 years

Senior managers, HR managers, human resource and business services professionals

Managers in health, education, social and community services.

Health care professionals

Managers in Public Administration

University Professorshrsdc.gc.ca

ChallengesChallengesand and

StrategiesStrategies

Attraction/Retention StrategiesAttraction/Retention Strategies

Affiliation with a good cause.

Status as community leader.

Connections to larger networks.

Recognition.

Altruism.

Attraction/Retention StrategiesAttraction/Retention Strategies

Optimal Salaries & Benefits

Flexible Work Hours and Days

Work from Home

Access to Technology Tools

Extra Perks

Aging of leadership and the lack of succession

plans, resulting inthe dissipation of entire networks and the loss of

sector knowledge

Leadership Crisis?Leadership Crisis?

Sector-wide strategies are likely not sufficient. Specific strategies for

specific segments could make more sense.

Issues are bigger than workforce.

Targeted Strategies NeededTargeted Strategies Needed

Results –based fundingRethinking thin funding

Sector InvestmentInvesting in innovation and change

Core funding is criticalSo is project funding

Funding/FundersFunding/Funders

Fund full costsPay market wagesIncrease flexibility

Lighten admin burdens

GovernmentsGovernments

Do more of less

Get organized to address sustainability issues & promote

sector value

Shared space, shared services, shared staff, consolidations,

mergers, and social innovations ....

NonProfitsNonProfits

Major SourcesMajor Sources

Statistics CanadaImagine CanadaGovernment of AlbertaCentre for Public PolicyVolunteer AlbertaUnited WayGlobe and MailHRSDC