bilateral flows of remittances
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Bilateral flows of remittances. Agenda Item 2.3. Fabiana Cerasa OECD Statistics Directorate. International Technical Meeting on Measuring Remittances, June 11-12, 2009, World Bank. Introduction. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/SES/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/SES/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
Bilateral flows of remittancesBilateral flows of remittances
Fabiana Cerasa
OECD Statistics Directorate
AgendaAgendaItem 2.3Item 2.3AgendaAgendaItem 2.3Item 2.3
International Technical Meeting on Measuring Remittances, June 11-12, 2009, World Bank
STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
IntroductionIntroduction
• Update of the OECD paper “Working abroad – the benefits flowing from nationals working in other economies” (OECD 2003) by Anne Harrison, et al
• Data presented for reference year 2000 have been updated to 2005
• The present work is divided in two parts:
– Migration: a bilateral migration matrix is estimated starting from the matrix presented in the World Bank report South-South, Migration and Remittances
– Remittances: the bilateral migration matrix is used to obtain a global picture of the size of remittances flowing from one country to another
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STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
MigrationMigration
• Starting point:
the World Bank bilateral migration matrix www.worldbank.org/prospects/migrationandremittances
• Some transformations to improve the quality of data and to follow the original paper– Removal of refugees (UN) and of migrants who acquired citizenships
(OECD database 2007)
– Allocation of migrants living in middle/high income countries, whose countries of origin are totally unknown (Development Research Centre on Migration, Globalization and Poverty-University of Sussex-2000)
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STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
MigrationMigration
Millions 2000 2005
Total Migrants (UN) 175 191
Refugees (UN) 16 13
Acquisition citizenship (OECD database)
14 10
Total Unallocated 8 12
Total migrants allocated 137 155
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STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
RemittancesRemittances
• Source of data: IMF Balance of Payments Yearbook (2005) Additional sources for no declaring countries
World Bank Migration and Remittances Factbook
World Bank South-South Migration and Remittances
OECD Statistics on International Trade
National sources
• Remittances=Workers’ Remitt + Compensation of Employees
• We end up with a total amount of Remittances: Credit: $ 234.1 bn Debit: $ 187.1 bn
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STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
RemittancesRemittances
The Bilateral Remittances Matrix is built multiplying the remittance per capita sent from the destination country by the number of migrants living there grouped by country of origin
The final matrix shows remittances flowing between 60 countries and 18 regions
Assumptions of the model:Each migrant is supposed to send a fixed amount of money
home, regardless of the country of originOnly migrants send money to another countryThe country receiving the money sent is always and
exclusively the country of birth
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STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
Key findings Key findings MigrationMigration
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2000 Millions Percentage
Coming from:
Going to: OECD ROW Total OECD ROW Total
OECD 22.2 34.1 56.3 16.2 24.9 41.2
ROW 2.5 77.9 80.4 1.8 57 58.8
Total 24.7 112 136.7 18.1 81.9 100
2005 Millions Percentage
Coming from:
Going to: OECD ROW Total OECD ROW Total
OECD 37.8 42.8 80.6 24.4 27.6 51.9
ROW 4.4 70.2 74.6 2.9 45.2 48.1
Total 42.2 113 155.2 27.2 72.8 100
STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
Key findingsKey findingsRemittances’ flowsRemittances’ flows
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2000 $ Billion Percentage
Remittances To:
From: OECD ROW Total OECD ROW Total
OECD 38.9
29.3
68.2 35.1 26.4 61.5
ROW 0.7
42.0
42.7 0.6 37.9 38.5
Total 39.6
71.3 110.9
35.7 64.3 100.0
2005 $ Billion Percentage
Remittances To:
From: OECD ROW Total OECD ROW Total
OECD 74.9
43.3 118.3
40.1 23.2 63.2
ROW 4.4
64.4
68.8 2.3 34.4 36.8
Total 79.3 107.8
187.1
42.4 57.6 100.0
STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
ConclusionsConclusions
• With exceptions, contrast between the OECD and ROWOECD: source of remittancesROW: destination of remittances
• Confirming the results of the previous work:OECD are not the main destination for migrants coming
from ROWMigrants remain mainly in the continent in which they
were born
• Migrants from OECD countries command higher wages and remit more per head than migrants from ROW countries
• In line with conclusions for 2000
• The quality of the data limits the validity of these conclusions9
STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
Remittances questionnaire (1)Remittances questionnaire (1)
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Reporting country: Please complete as far as possible and return before 30 October 2008
Part A: Total remittances
(in million national currency or million USD) Credit (inflows) Debit (outflows)
Total (World) Total (World)
2007 Workers' remittances (item 391)
Compensation of employees (item 310)
Net compensation of employees*
2006 Workers' remittances (item 391)
Compensation of employees (item 310)
Net compensation of employees*
2005 Workers' remittances (item 391)
Compensation of employees (item 310)
Net compensation of employees*
Part B: Remittance transactions with five major** source and destination countries (in Mio USD)
Country name Country name Country name Country name Country name Country name Country name Country name Country name Country name
2007 Workers' remittances (item 391)
Compensation of employees (item 310)
Net compensation of employees*
2006 Workers' remittances (item 391)
Compensation of employees (item 310)
Net compensation of employees*
2005 Workers' remittances (item 391)
Compensation of employees (item 310)
Net compensation of employees*
* Net compensation of employees = compensation of employees minus taxes and social contributions related to CoE minus transport andtravel expenditures related to short term employment ** Five major partner countries in terms of (workers' remittances + net compensation of employees) in 2007. These should be the most important in terms of money flows. If you can provide more details (data for more partners or metadata): they would be greatly appreciated.
Debit (outflows)Credit (inflows)(in millions of national currency or million USD)
OECD ad-hoc survey: Balance of payments statistics on workers' remittances and compensation of employees
STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics
Remittances questionnaire (2)Remittances questionnaire (2)
• This questionnaire has been sent to: Canada, Japan, Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey, USA and Hong Kong.
– Japan, Turkey, USA replied providing bilateral data
– Switzerland and HK provided only data with partner WRD
• One of the most striking result
comes from US data, and confirms
expectations:
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Thank you!
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