billerud interim report q1 2011 presentation
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
1
INTERIM REPORT JANUARY-MARCH 2011
Per Lindberg, President and CEOBertil Carlsén, CFO20 April, 2011
2
AGENDA
• Highlights
• Development by Business Area
• Financials
• Outlook
3
HIGHLIGHTS IN Q1 2011
• Strong Q1 results » Operating profit of MSEK 332, margin 13%» Top line growth of 12% vs. Q4
• Sales volume record – 369 ktonnes
• Continued strong results for packaging paper» Strong order situation
• Good results in Market Pulp» Pulp market balance remained stable
2 2792 547
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
Oct-Dec 2010 Jan-Mar 2011
MSE
K
4
CONTINUED INCREASE IN NET SALES & EBIT
+12%
Net sales EBIT
+2%
332326
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Oct-Dec 2010 Jan-Mar 2011
MS
EK
5
PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPERKraft & Sack Paper
PACKAGING BOARDSS/C Fluting, Liner, Liquid Board
MARKET PULPNordic Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp
BUSINESS AREAS & SEGMENTS
Note: Graph shows sales breakdown per business area for Jan-Mar 2011.
6
PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPERMarket situation in Q1 2011
• Continued very good order situation for the season for sack paper and slightly below Q1 2010 level for kraft paper
• Increased price level in local currency for most products vs. Q4
• Additional price increases have been announced
Building & construction
Food
Consumer
7
PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPERFinancials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
• Operating profit up by MSEK 9
• +24% increase in sales volume
• Price improvements and higher sales compensated for a stronger SEK and higher variable costs
Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 FY 2010
Net sales, MSEK 1,217 1,020 1,052 4,166
Operating profit, MSEK 140 131 96 417
Operating margin, % 12 13 9 10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
EB
IT, M
SE
K
20112010
8
PACKAGING BOARDSMarket situation in Q1 2011
• Continued stable order situation throughout the quarter
• Increased price level in local currency for most products vs. Q4
• Additional price increases have been announced
9
PACKAGING BOARDSFinancials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
• Operating profit down by MSEK 25
• +12% increase in sales volume
• Price improvements and higher sales compensated partly for a stronger SEK and higher variable costs
Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 FY 2010
Net sales, MSEK 728 648 613 2,428
Operating profit, MSEK 97 122 56 271
Operating margin, % 13 19 9 11
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
EB
IT, M
SE
K
20112010
10
MARKET PULPMarket situation in Q1 2011
• Pulp market balance remained stable
• Price level in Europe increased during Q1
» 980 USD/ton end of Q1 vs. 950 USD/ton end of Q4
• An additional price increase has been announced
» 1 010 USD/ton as of April 1, 2011
11
MARKET PULPFinancials – Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
• Operating profit down by MSEK 15
• Stronger SEK and increased variable costs
Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 FY 2010
Net sales, MSEK 436 450 384 1,731
Operating profit, MSEK 38 53 31 276
Operating margin, % 9 12 8 16
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
EB
IT, M
SE
K
20112010
12
Q1 IN SUM
• Strong Q1 results» Both in terms of margin and net sales
growth » Sales volume record – 369 ktonnes
• Continued strong results for packaging paper
• Product and business development continues
13
FINANCIALS
14
QUARTERLY KEY FIGURES
Q1 2011 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 vs. Q4 2010
vs. Q1 2010
Sales volume (ktonnes) 369 323 343 +14% +8%
Net sales, MSEK 2,547 2,279 2,190 +12% +16%
Operating profit, MSEK 332 326 234 +2% +42%
Operating margin 13% 14% 11% -1 p.p. +2 p.p.
Profit/share, SEK 2.28 2.19 1.52 +4% +50%
Net debt/equity ratio 0.05 0.03 0.24 -0.02 +0.19
15
EBIT BRIDGE Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010
* Includes product mix.
332326
+51
+46
-75
-78
+49 +13
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
EBIT Q4 2010
Sales &productionvolumes*
Selling prices(in respective
salescurrency)
Effects ofexchange rate
fluctuations,incl. hedging
Change invariable costs
Change infixed costs
Change indepreciation
EBIT Q1 2011
MS
EK
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10
EB
IT m
argi
n, ro
lling
12 m
onth
s (%
)
16
CONTINUED STRONG MARGIN TREND
Financial target
17
1) Minus equals increase in net debt
CASH FLOW
MSEK Q1 2011 Q1 2010Operating surplus, etc 481 379
Change in working capital, etc. -301 -88
Net financial items, taxes, etc. -181 -30
Cash flow from operating activities -1 261
Current net investments -82 -50
Business combinations - -
Operating cash flow -83 211
Dividend - -
Other items, not affecting cash flow -6 -35
Change in net debt 1) -89 176
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WORKING CAPITAL KEY RATIOSDSO Overdue WC as % of quarterly sales
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0901
3109
0430
0907
3109
1031
1001
3110
0430
1007
3110
1031
1101
31
DSO
day
s
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
0901
3109
0430
0907
3109
1031
1001
3110
0430
1007
3110
1031
1101
31
% o
f tot
al re
ceiv
able
s
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0903
0906
0909
0912
1003
1006
1009
1012
1103
Wor
king
cap
ital (
excl
. IA
S)/q
uarte
ly n
et tu
rnov
er
19
8090
100110120130140150160
2004 Q32005
Q22006
Q12007
Q42007
Q32008
Q22009
Q12010
Q42010
MARKET PRICES AFFECTING RESULT
550600650700750800850900950
1 000
2004 Q32005
Q22006
Q12007
Q42007
Q32008
Q22009
Q12010
Q42010
9497
100103106109112115118
2004 Q3 2005
Q22006
Q12007
Q42007
Q32008
Q22009
Q12010
Q42010
80
120
160
200
240
280
2004 Q32005
Q22006
Q12007
Q42007
Q32008
Q22009
Q12010
Q42010
Electricity index (Sweden*) Wood price index
Market Pulp (USD/t) TCW indexSource: Nordpool. *Price area Sweden
Source: Riksbanken
Source: Billerud
Note: Average price for the quarter
20
CURRENCY EFFECT OF A STRONGER SEK
How do we manage?• Price increases
• Hedging in the short-run
• Customer and market mix to some extent
-3%
-4%
-4%
vs. Q4 2010
10.39
6.48
8.87
Average rateQ1 2011
Average rateQ4 2010
Spot rate17 Apr 2011
vs. 17 Apr 2011
EUR 9.22 8.96 -1%
USD 6.78 6.26 +4%
GBP 10.72 10.21 +2%
21
CURRENCY SITUATION
Apr-Jun 2011
Jul-Sep 2011
Oct-Dec 2011
Jan-Mar 2012
Total 12 months
Average hedged currency
rates(hedged net
flows)
Average hedged currency
rates(hedged net
flows)
Average hedged currency
rates(hedged net
flows)
Average hedged currency
rates(hedged net
flows)
Average hedged currency
rates(hedged net
flows)
9.23 9.19 9.41 9.48 9.31
(85%) (51%) (49%) (47%) (58%)
7.12 7.50 6.82 6.60 7.14
(88%) (61%) (35%) (16%) (50%)
10.79 10.77 10.74 10.64 10.76
(86%) (54%) (42%) (20%) (51%)
• Profit effect of net flow hedging MSEK 99 for Q1 2011 (117)
• Market value of outstanding contracts not relating to accounts receivables was MSEK 132 (as of 31/3-11)
• Hedge level 12 months forward:
Note: Data in table and graph are as of 31 March 2011
51%
50%
58%
GBP
USD
EUR
22
OUTLOOK
23
OUTLOOK FY 2011
• The order situation remains good or very good in most of Billerud’spackaging paper areas. This provides conditions for a stable development within Billerud’s packaging paper and packaging paper solutions segments.
• Price increases announced in the first quarter of 2011 are expected to have an impact in the coming quarters.
• The effects of a stronger SEK will be largely compensated by currency hedges.
24
Q&A