biondoil biorefinery “business” case - fas europe€¦ · biondoil biorefinery approach...
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Third Transatlantic Joint Workshop
Biondoil Biorefinery “Business” Case
Hennie Zirkzee
Jos Kraaijeveld
March 19th 2018
Organized by: The Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate (EZK)
and the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Hosted by the Port of Amsterdam
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Setting the scene … The Netherlands and Europe
Back to “Zero” g CO2
emission in 2050:
Paris Agreement: Temperature increase reduction below 2 degrees C in 2050
The Netherlands: 49% CO2 emission reduction by 2030
European Energy directive RED II: 27% Renewable fuels in the EU by 2030
CLOSING THE CARBON CYCLE
• Need projects built in 2030 with CO2 avoidance from 80 to >100% • (Advanced) Biofuels first then chemicals • CCS and (more) CCU How can Bio Refinery projects help??
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Biondoil BioRefinery approach
Biondoil Vision: 1. Build a “Bio-Refinery plant”, starting with a Cellulosic Ethanol base configuration (80.000 ton/yr),
PHASE 1 in 2021 2. Develop and scale up disruptive technologies and implement “demo-plants” to prove commercially
valuable product-market combinations (Fuels and Chemicals) 3. Develop disruptive business concepts utilizing Bio Refinery and multi feedstock Solid Oxide Fuel Cells
Inspiration
New: SOFC for electric vehicles (instead of PEM)
‘Nissan unveils world's first Solid-Oxide Fuel Cell vehicle’ on ethanol
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Location O&M
Supply chain
Cellulosic Ethanol
Sewage sludge
Products
Lignin
100.000 mTon Green houses CCU utilization
Co-siting concept • Lignin to Uniper • Uniper Steam • Uniper Cooling Water • Demin water back • Uniper Electricity
Biondoil: Cellulosic Ethanol base configuration Phase I
80.000 mTon
Woodchips (wet) 575.000 mTon
±20.000.000 Nm3
± 260.000 mTon
±5.000 mTon
“Industrial proven” Technology
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Total investment 185,500,000 EUR
Timing investments 2018-2020 Period
Feedstock (full capacity)
Biomass (30% moisture content) 571,500 Mton p.a.
Production (full capacity)
Lignin Carbon dioxide
270,300 95,400
Mton p.a. Mton p.a.
2G ethanol 80,500 tonnes p.a.
BC period
Start production 2020 year
Full production capacity 2022 year
End production 2040 year
Finance
Interest rate debt 5,0% p.a.
Yearly indexation 2,0% p.a.
Production ramp-up from start-up: Year 1 30%, Year 2 80%, Year 3 100%
2G bio-ethanol production hours per year: 8000
FTE Human Resources: 60
Principal debt is amortising equally over a 10 year period
Discount rate: 12.5%
Financing ratio, Debt- Equity: 70-30
Price per ton woodchips: 80 Euro
Price per ton Ethanol: 1,100 Euro
Price per ton lignin: 120 Euro
Price per ton CO2 : 10 Euro
The model has been set up using input from Beta Renewables and SE&C.
Cellulosic Ethanol base configuration Phase I: Financial scenario
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Net present value @ 12,5% 29.600.000 EUR PV
Break even year 2034 year
Internal rate of return 15,0% %
Return on equity 12,4% %
OUTCOMES
Monte Carlo Simulation variables
Investment ISBL and BOP 135.300.000,00 180.500.000,00
Sales price 2G EtOH 800,00 1.400,00
Sales price lignin 50,00 140,00
Sales price CO2 10,00 40,00
Costs enzymes 80,00 120,00
Costs yeast 10,00 25,00
Price biomass for 2G EtOH 60,00 120,00
NPV
IRR curve Monte Carlo
Cellulosic Ethanol base configuration Phase I: Financial scenario
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Discount rate of 12,5% is reflection of technological and other risks
• Industrial proven technology -> License model, • Technology provider should have a sufficient P&L and balance sheet • Long term contracts for supply of feedstock and off take of products (5-10 years)
• Cellulosic sales price of ± 1100 euro/ton is roughly twice is much is 1 G ethanol price • Current business case not “intrinsic economical” • RED II is critical to achieve ±1100 euro/ton pricing structure
Critical Risks
What to do to make an “intrinsic economical business case”??
• Valorize lignin ±270.000 ton/yr (115 Euro/ton “internal transfer price”) • Valorize CO2 ±100.000 ton/yr (10 euro/ton “internal transfer price”) • Develop add-on technologies for that
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Business Case
Risk mitigation
Cellulosic Ethanol base configuration Phase I: Financial scenario reflections
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BioRefinery: Lignin valorization
The Attis Organosolv process, recovers the lignin in a very unique Liquid / Melt Flowing Form
25% Attis Lignin in Polypropylene
• Applications in Plastics, Adhesives, Fuels • Bioliquid phase (butylacetate, furfural etc) • Purified lignin (price 600-800 euro/ton)
Attis Technology potential
• Extra ±4500 ton cellulosic ethanol • Extra ±4500 ton CO2 production • Extra Bio-liquid stream with value • Upgraded lignin stream (100.000M ton) • Capex 60 Mio Euro for ± 800 ton/day unit • In principle allows you to lower cellulosic ethanol price to ±700 euro/ton • And thus …. Intrinsic sound economics
But…
• TRL level 6-7, demo plant 2 ton/day • 2 US-based Attis plants 200 ton/day in place in 2021 • Need significant marketing effort in EU to sell 100.000 ton/yr of lignin
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BioRefinery: valorization of Lignin and sewage sludge (TCR®)
Thermal Catalytic Reforming platform (TCR®)
Char in hard coal quality
•Dry, storable and transportable
•Hard coal quality in fixed carbon content
•Free of volatile organics
Char
Clean, hydrogen rich syngas
•Tar and dust free
•Free of aromatics
•Up to 50% hydrogen content, green hydrogen
•Syngas suitable for gas fermenations to produce bio-chemicals
Syngas Bio blendstock
Engine quality oil • No tar or wax • High heating
value • Low acidity • Blends with
regular fuels • Hydrotreated
oils meet EN590 spec for transport fuels
Soil Conditioning
Technical
Applications
Engines
Fuels
Power
Heat
Chemical precursors
H2
Hydrogen
www.tosynfuel.eu
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4 x 1.5 t/h
61000 t/year 70% DM
48000 t/year 90% DM
16 MJ/kg
1.7 MW thermal (from process heat
recovery*)
Bio -oil** Biochar*** Syngas
3300 ton/year (33MJ/kg)
19000 ton/year (15 MJ/kg)
9700 ton/year (25 MJ/kg)
TCR® Reactor
Hydrogen Feedstock, dry
Dryer
Feedstock, fresh
H2
Power
Heat
750 ton/year
2.8 MW (8000 h)
Up to 2.6 MW (8000 h)
BioRefinery: Lignin valorization (TCR®) Illustrative scenario TCR® Plant
Capacity (dry) 6 t/h
Power capacity 4 MW el.
Investment Approx. 25 Mio Eur
Result 1000 EUR/a
Ø EBITDA 4605
Ø Depreciation 2388
Ø EBIT 2217
Return on equity
10 years Approx. 18%
20 years Approx. 23%
Assumptions:
• Biochar @ 200 EUR/t (29 EUR/MWh)
• Bio oil @ 500 EUR/t
• Power @ 114 EUR/MWh
• Heat @ 30 EUR/MWh (50% utilization)
• Hydrogen @ 3,5 EUR/kg
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BioRefinery: CO2 valorization utilizing CCU
Windmills on/off shore
Biondoil Bio Refinery
SOEC
Fischer-Tropsch
Bio-CO2
H2
E-fuels Bio-Wax
Some Considerations • Installed capacity 20 MWel • FT-products generation ±7.500 Mton • Bio- CO2 consumption ± 17.000 Mton • CO2 transfer price: 10 Euro/Mton • Capex co-SOEC + FT: 40 Mio Euro • Price indication E-fuels and Bio-Wax: ± 2000 Euro/Mton
Electricity price major cost contribution
flex
Power to gas
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Biondoil: Disruptive business concept: Emission Free Fueling of Electric Vehicles
Biondoil Bio Refinery
Injection Molded SOFC with intrinsic CO2 capture
Cellulosic Ethanol TCR® Bio-oils Attis Bio-liquid E-fuels
Tank station CO2-filled Cartridge
CO2 - Cartridge
CO2 - Cartridge
CO2 -filled Cartridge
3D stack model
CO2-circularity
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1. Direct use of liquid bio-fuels (instead of hydrogen)
3. Ultra-fast charging without loading the power grid
4. Highest electrical efficiency
5. SOFC’s emit pure CO2
6. This offers intrinsic ‘energy free CO2 capture
7. Efficient recovery of CO2 possible via solid carrier
8. Reuse of the (Bio) CO2 for CCU fuel production
2. High energy density of the liquid fuel
New Injection molding SOFC Technology Enables
Free thermal expansion
interconnect
cathode
anode
electrolyte
Option for CO2 neutrality
Unique selling points of non-sinter bonding:
• Inexpensive ceramic mass production injection molding routes • Existing factory infrastructure available in NL • Reliable and safe operation • Robust design offers optimal capability for mobile use
Former Philips
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Biondoil: Closing the Bio Carbon Cycle
Phase I 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2033 2034 2035Basic configuration BioRefineryFEED TrajectoryEngineeringProduct&Market assesment FIDBuilding&Construction plantProduction 30% 80% 100%
Phase II 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2033 2034 2035Attis Technology additionTechnology development/ scale upProduct&Market assesment FIDBuilding&Construction plantProduction 30% 80% 100%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2033 2034 2035TCR Technology additionTechnology development/ scale upProduct&Market assesment FIDBuilding&Construction plantProduction 30% 80% 100%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2033 2034 2035E-fuels and other FT-productsTechnology development/ scale upProduct&Market assesment FIDBuilding&Construction plantProduction 30% 80% 100% 100%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2033 2034 2035Emission Free fueling of cars (SOFC)Prototyping Demonstration in automotive applicationsRegulatory/certification etc…Product&Market assesmentImplementation supply chain, operational infrastructure
FID
Commercialization 30% 80% 100% 100% 15
Biondoil BioRefinery projected time-line
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QUESTIONS????
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
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Working principle and internal reforming of HELP-SOFC
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