bivariate model: traits a and b measured in twins cbca

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Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins c b c a

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Page 1: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins

cb ca

Page 2: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Questions• Do the genes that influence trait B also influence trait A?

• Are there genes that are unique to trait A?

• Is the phenotypic correlation caused by genetic correlation?

• What is the genetic correlation? (ie the genetic covariance /genetic SD(A)*genetic SD(B)

• The same questions apply to environmental (shared and uqniue) influences.

Page 3: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

What is the variance for traits A and B?What is the covariance between A and B?What are the MZ and DZ twin covariances for A and B?What are the twin cross-covariances (A in twin 1 with B in twin 2)?

cb ca

Page 4: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

What is the variance for traits A and B?

A: h2a + h2

ca + e2a and B : h2

cb+ e2b

cb ca

Page 5: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

What is the covariance for MZ and DZ twins for traits A and B?

MZ Covar(A) : h2ca + h2

a and MZ Covar(B) : h2cb

DZ Covar(A) : 0.5 h2ca + 0.5 h2

a and DZ Covar(B) : 0.5 h2cb

cb ca

Page 6: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

What is the covariance between traits A and B?

Covar(A,B) : hca * hcb

cb ca

Page 7: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

What is the cross-covariance for MZ and DZ twins (A1 with B2)?

MZ Covar(A1, B2) : hca * hcb

DZ Covar(A1, B2) : 0.5(hca * hcb)

cb ca

Page 8: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Kendler & Eaves (1986; see also Eaves 1982) describe 3 models for how genes and environment may jointly influence a phenotype:

-Contribution of genes and environment is additive-Genes and environments are correlated: genes alter exposure to the relevant environmental factors

-Genes and environment interact: Genes control sensitivity to the environment; or: the environment controls gene expression

:

Eaves LJ (1984) Genetic Epidemiology , 215-228Kendler KS, Eaves LJ (1986) American J Psychiatry, 279-289

Page 9: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

-Contribution of genes and environment is additive

P = G + E (P = hG + eE)

Var (P) = Var G + Var (E) (Var (P) = h2 + e2)

:

Page 10: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Genes and environments are correlated:

P = G + E

Var (P) = Var (G) + Var (E) + 2 Cov (G,E)

Page 11: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Genotype-environment interaction I:

Influences of genotype and environment on a trait can be

estimated conditional on environmental exposure

(e.g. mariatal status; religious upbringing, SES).

*No GxE interaction: influence of genes and environment

is the same for subjects with different degrees of exposure.

*GxE interaction: genetic effects are modified by exposure:

heritabilities differ between exposure-positive and

exposure-negative groups.

Page 12: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Genotype-environment interaction II:

Evidence for GxE interaction based on differences in heritabilities does not tell us if the same genes are expressed in different groups.

To address this issue, data from twins discordant for environmental exposure are required, or longitudinal data from twins measured under different environmental conditions.

Page 13: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Genotype-environment interaction III:

Longitudinal data available: GxE interaction can then be detected from the genetic correlation between traits. If the genetic correlation is high, then trait values in the two environments are determined by the same genes. If the genetic correlation is low, then the trait is influenced by different genes in different environments.

Falconer DS (1989) Introduction to Quantitative Genetics (3rd ed.), Longman, London.

Page 14: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Suppose A and B are the same trait measured on the same subjects under different (experimental) conditions; e.g. depression assessed before and after Ss participated in an exercise program.How many twins would we need to measure to test if the same genes are expressed before and after exercise?

cb ca

Page 15: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Mx exercise 1

• Simulate bivariate data in twins

• Fit the correct model to the simulated data

• Fit the wrong model to the data: – no genetic covariance (different genes)– genetic correlation = 1 (same genes)

Page 16: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Mx exercise 2

• Analyze bivariate data in twins: brain size (MRI) and IQ

• Fit the model to raw data– for IQ 233 pairs– for MRI 111 pairs– in addition to data from twins there are also data

from their siblings

Page 17: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Mx exercise 1: F:\dorret\2002

• Simulate bivariate data : bivarSimulajob

• Fit the correct model: bivarTruejob

• Fit the wrong model to the data: – no genetic covariance: change bivarTruejob– genetic correlation = 1: bivarConstrainjob– genetic correlation = 0: change bivarConstrainjob

• NB no data file because data are simulated in the first job

Page 18: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Mx exercise 1: F:\dorret\2002

1) bivarTruejob: chi2 = 0 (df=11)2) no genetic covariance: chi2 = 3.17 (df=12)3) genetic correlation = 1: chi2 = 2.97 (df=15),

power is 41%4) genetic correlation = 0: chi2 = 3.17 (df=15),

power is 42%ANALYSES 2 AND 4 GIVE THE SAME

ANSWER WHY ARE THE DF DIFFERENT?

Page 19: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

MRI-IQ dataset

Phenotypic correlations

Working memory – gray matter volume 0.27

Working memory – white matter volume 0.28

Posthuma et al. Nature Neuroscience, Feb 2002

Page 20: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

MRI-IQ dataset

Twin and sibling correlations (npairs)

WM BBGM BBWM

MZ 0.72 (102) 0.86 (54) 0.89 (54)

DZ 0.27 (131) 0.45 (57) 0.34 (57)

Twin1-sib 0.13 (129) 0.53 (30) 0.58 (30)

Twin2-sib 0.39 (129) 0.43 (31) 0.58 (31)

Page 21: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

MRI-IQ dataset

WM = working memory

BBGM = gray matter volume of the cerebrum

BBWM = white matter volume of the cerebrum

(Variables have already been corrected for the effects of age and sex)

Mx job: MRI_IQx.mx (f:\dorrret\2002)

Data file: mri3.dat (f:\dorrret\2002)

Page 22: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

IQ-MRI

• What is the genetic correlation between brain size (MRI) and IQ?

• What is the correlation of common E factors?

• What is the correlation of unique E factors?

• What are h2 c2 and e2 ?

• What determines the phenotypic correlation?

Page 23: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

IQ-MRI

• genetic correlation: 0.29

• correlation of common E factors: .99

• correlation of unique E factors: .05MRI IQ

• h2 = .65 .87

• c2 = .00 .00

• e2 = .35 .13

• What determines the phenotypic correlation?

Page 24: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Other bivariate models: Causal Model

Page 25: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca
Page 26: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Causality: for example the association of

regular physical exercise and depression

Regular exercise psychological well-being

Regular exercise psychological well-being

Regular exercise psychological well-being

Environment Heredity

Regular exercise psychological well-being

Page 27: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Genetic & environmental correlation

Ere Cre Are Epw Cpw Apw

Regular Exercise Psychological Well-being

ere cre are epw cpw apw

RgRc

Estimate Rc, Rg and path coefficients from MZ and DZ (cross) correlations

Page 28: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Cross-sectional approach to causality in twins

Twin 1 Twin 2

If A B: r(A1, B2) =(ha rg ha ha )* i:

i.e. the cross-correlation in twinsIs a function of the heritability of A

If BA then …

Page 29: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Cross-sectional modeling of causality in twins

A1 1A2 ha

2 1 B1 i i ha

2 1B2 i ha

2 i hb2+i2ha

2 1

A1 1A2 .5ha

2 1 B1 i .5i ha

2 1B2 .5i ha

2 i .5hb2+.5i2ha

2 1

A1 A2 B1 B2

MZ

DZ

A1 1A2 ha

2+j2hb2 1

B1 j j hb2 1

B2 j hb2 j hb

2 1

A1 1A2 .5ha

2+.5j2hb2 1

B1 j .5j hb2 1

B2 .5j hb2 j .5hb

2 1

MZ

DZ

Twin 1 Twin 2

Page 30: Bivariate Model: traits A and B measured in twins cbca

Bivariate models and direction of causality.

The casual model is nested under the general bivariate model; however, the issue of measurement error is a very critial one in establishing the direction of causality (or reciprocal interaction).