black economic empowerment: how does the western cape fare?

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Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare? Colin Reddy: BEE Director BusinessMap Foundation

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Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?. Colin Reddy: BEE Director BusinessMap Foundation . What we will discuss………. Performance of the market… The future…. The Market’s BEE response…deal flow 1996 - 2002. Source: BusinessMap Foundation. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Colin Reddy: BEE DirectorBusinessMap Foundation

Page 2: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

What we will discuss………..

• Performance of the market…• The future…..

Page 3: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The Market’s BEE response…deal flow 1996 - 2002

0.000

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

R-m

illio

n

Source: BusinessMap Foundation

Page 4: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The Market’s BEE response…sector profile

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2000 2001 2002

R m

illio

n

Financial servicesTelecommsMining

Source: BusinessMap Foundation

Page 5: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The Market’s BEE response…Listed BEE Controlled Companies

Total number of companies on JSE is about 500

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Oct-97

Nov-97

Feb-98

J ul-98

Sep-98

Nov-98

J an-99

Apr-99

Aug-99

Nov-99

Feb-00

May-00

Aug-00

Nov-00

Feb-01

Mar-02

J un-02

Sep-02

Dec-02

Mar-03

Period

Num

ber o

f Com

pani

es

Source: BusinessMap Foundation

Page 6: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The Market’s BEE response…market caps of black controlled companies

Total JSE market capitalisation is about R 1.3 trillion

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Oct-97

Nov-97

Feb-98

J ul-98

Sep-98

Nov-98

J an-99

Apr-99

Aug-99

Nov-99

Feb-00

May-00

Aug-00

Nov-00

Feb-01

Mar-02

J un-02

Sep-02

Dec-02

Mar-03

Period

% o

f Tot

al J

SE M

arke

t Cap

Source: BusinessMap Foundation

Page 7: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The Market’s BEE response…black controlled market cap by value

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

O ct-97

Nov-97

Feb-98

Jul-98

Sep-98

Nov-98

Jan-99

Apr-99

Aug-99

Nov-99

Feb-00

May-00

Aug-00

Nov-00

Feb-01

Mar-02

Jun-02

Sep-02

Dec-02

Mar-03

Period

Mar

ket c

ap (R

bn)

Source: BusinessMap Foundation

Page 8: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The Market’s BEE response…BusinessMap Foundation BEE

index

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

Equally weighted

Market cap weighted

MTN/Alsi Relative

Source: BusinessMap Foundation

Page 9: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Black ownership studies..

SectorBlack beneficial holdings of total shares in

issue *

High case Low case

Resources 14.18% 12.34%

Banking 14.86% 12.61%

Support Services 17.04% 14.57%

Diversified Industrials 12.24% 10.69%

Food Producers & Processors

17.50% 15.13%

[Source: The BusinessMap Foundation] * Based on total shares in issue, including foreign shares

Page 10: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Listed BEE companies based in the Cape…

Company Share price (c) – 28 Feb 2003

Share price (c) – 1 Mar 2002

Share price change (%)

Brimstone 65 34 91.2

Brimstone-N 65 34 91.2

Cape Empowerment Trust 12 10 20.0

Casey 25 1 2,400

HCI 345 232 48.7

LA Group 160 135 18.5

LA Group-N 140 140 0.0

Oceana 1,390 1,400 (0.7)

Sekunjalo Investments 41 20 105.0

[Source: The BusinessMap Foundation]

Page 11: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Some definitions..

• Black refers to African, Coloured and Indians

• Western Cape has….• Coloureds (and Indians) = 55%• African = 23%• White = 22%• 4.35m people

Page 12: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

A case study - Sekunjalo

• Black-controlled by about 74%• A strong share price performance –105% rise in year to

February• Has healthcare and fishing subsidiaries • Latest results: Turnover = R346m, Net profit = R17m

and cash flow = R22m.• The main shareholder is fully operationally involved. • It boasts a 90% composition of black managers and

staff. 70 % of the procurement budget is spent on black suppliers. 2.5% of profits are spent on CSI initiatives.

Page 13: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

A case study – Mastercurrency - Unlisted

• 51% owned by KK Combi Inv.• KK Combi is exec chairman.• Exec management are 71% of HDSA• Turnover = R35.5m, Net income = R7.2m• Net profit = R4.1m (for 6 months to Dec 2002)• Has a risk committee, internal audit committee. • 58% black managers, 73% HDSA.• Future leaders programme. • 6% of net profit on CSI• 25% of procurement expenditure

Page 14: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Persons Banked versus Un-banked

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Banked Un-banked

WhiteBlack

Source: SAtoZ

Sample size = 2 895 982

Page 15: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Are there senior black employees in your business?

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

There AreSenior BlackEmployees

There Aren'tSenior BlackEmployees

Don't Know

WhiteBlack

Source: SAtoZ

Sample = 1139

Page 16: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Management

Source: SAtoZ

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

ManagePeople

Don't ManagePeople

WhiteBlack

Page 17: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Do black people have shares in your business?

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Black White

They Have Shares They Don't Have SharesDon't Know

Source: SAtoZ

Page 18: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Working?

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Blacks Whites

Earn Something Not Earning

Source: SAtoZ

Page 19: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Living standards?

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Blacks Whites

Source: SAtoZ

Page 20: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Western Cape: Property ownership?

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Black homes White homes

Owned Rented Company Owned

Source: SAtoZ

Page 21: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Entrepreneurship

• Start-up activity is highest among Coloured (5.0%) and Indian (4.5%) adults, followed by Black (3.8%) and White (3.8%) adults.

• In contrast, new firms are more likely to be owned by White adults (3.6%), followed by Coloured adults (3.0%).

• Established firms are far more likely to be owned by White adults (6.8%) than any other group.

Source: GEM

Page 22: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Racial classification of respondents that believe they have the requisite skills to start a business, 2002

Source: GEM

African Coloured Indian White

No matric 17.1 34.1 24.4 38

Matric 27.6 64.7 51.7 45

Tertiary 30.1 51.9 75 65

Page 23: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Experts’ opinions of the most important factors restricting entrepreneurship in decreasing order…

• Education & Training• Financial Support• Cultural & Social norms• Government Policy• Government Programmes• Market Openness• R&D Transfer• Access to Physical• Infrastructure• Commercial & Professional Infrastructure

Page 24: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Is BEE advancing in the Western Cape?

• Significant number of black listed company presence.

• However this is within a very small active black presence in JSE – about 3%

• Property ownership – somewhat more positive than other factors

Page 25: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Is BEE advancing in the Western Cape?

• Large number of un-banked

Page 26: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Is BEE advancing in the Western Cape?

• Large number of unemployed, but WC unemployment rate is about 19% compared to the national average of about 30%.

Page 27: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

Is BEE advancing in the Western Cape?

• Lower LSMs still occupied by black people– indicates little economic interest

• Still a lack of meaningful BEE

Page 28: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

However, the following requires investigation….for conclusiveness

• Success of Western Cape government’s preferential procurement – pendulum shifting towards blacks

• Is the licensing and quota system furthering BEE? – deeper problem of capacity to handle fishing quotas

• The status of staff training in the Western Cape? Increasing towards blacks

• Is SMME development furthering BEE in the Western Cape?

Page 29: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

The solution….•Grow the WC economy

•Organic growth

•Capture from other provinces

Page 30: Black Economic Empowerment: How does the Western Cape fare?

[email protected]

Questions?