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WHAT IS THE INFLUENCE OF RANDOMIZATION SEQUENCE
GENERATION AND ALLOCATION CONCEALMENT ON
TREATMENT EFFECTS OF PHYSICAL THERAPY TRIALS? A
META-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDY
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID: bmjopen-2015-008562
Article Type: Research
Date Submitted by the Author: 21-Apr-2015
Complete List of Authors: Armijo-Olivo, Susan; University of Alberta, faculty of rehabilitation Medicine Saltaji, Humam; University of Alberta, Department of Dentistry da Costa, Bruno; University of Bern, Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine Fuentes, Jorge; University of Alberta, Physical Therapy Ha, Christine; University of Alberta, Rehabilitation Medicine Cummings, Greta; University of Alberta, Faculty of Nursing
<b>Primary Subject Heading</b>:
Epidemiology
Secondary Subject Heading: Epidemiology, Evidence based practice, Rehabilitation medicine
Keywords: allocation concealment, sequence generation, physical therapy, meta-epidemiological, risk of bias
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Title: WHAT IS THE INFLUENCE OF RANDOMIZATION SEQUENCE 1
GENERATION AND ALLOCATION CONCEALMENT ON TREATMENT EFFECTS 2
OF PHYSICAL THERAPY TRIALS? A META-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDY 3 4
5
Authors: 6
Susan Armijo-Olivo, BSc. PT, MSc PT, PhD 7 Postdoctoral Fellow 8
CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership, Education and Research) Research Program 9
University of Alberta 10
5-115A Edmonton Clinic Health Academy (ECHA) 11
11405 – 87 Avenue 12
Edmonton, Alberta 13
T6G 1C9 14 Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, 15
3-48 Corbett Hall, Department of Physical Therapy, 16
University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada T6G 2G4 17
Email: [email protected] / [email protected] 18
19
Humam Saltaji, DDS, MSc (Ortho) 20 PhD Candidate and Resident 21
Orthodontic Graduate Program 22
School of Dentistry 23
University of Alberta 24
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada 25
E-mail: [email protected] 26
27
Bruno R. da Costa PT, BSc. PT, MSc PT, PhD 28
Department of Physical Therapy 29
Nicole Wertheim College of Nursing & Health Science 30
Florida International University 31
Miami, USA 32
34
35
Jorge Fuentes BPT, MSc PhD 36 Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine 37
University of Alberta 38
Edmonton, Alberta. Canada 39
Email: [email protected] 40
Catholic University of Maule 41
Department of Physical Therapy 42
Talca, Chile 43
44
Christine Ha, BSc 45 Rehabilitation Research Center 46
Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, 47
3-62 Corbett Hall, 48
University of Alberta, 49
Edmonton, Canada T6G 2G4 50
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E-mail: [email protected] 51
52
53
Greta G. Cummings, RN PhD FCAHS 54 Principal, CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership Education & Research) Research 55
Program 56
Centennial Professor, Faculty of Nursing, University of Alberta 57
Edmonton Clinic Health Academy | University of Alberta 58
11405-87 Ave, Edmonton, AB | Canada T6G 1C9 59
Email: [email protected] 60
61
62
Corresponding author: 63 Susan Armijo-Olivo, BSc.PT, MSc PT, PhD 64
Postdoctoral Fellow 65
CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership, Education and Research) Research Program 66
University of Alberta 67
5-115A Edmonton Clinic Health Academy (ECHA) 68
11405 – 87 Avenue 69
Edmonton, Alberta 70
T6G 1C9 71 Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, 72
3-48 Corbett Hall, Department of Physical Therapy, 73
University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada T6G 2G4 74
Email: [email protected] / [email protected] 75
76
77
Correspondence: 78
Name Susan Armijo-Olivo, BSc. PT, MSc PT, PhD
Department Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine,
3-48 Corbett Hall, Department of Physical Therapy
Institution University of Alberta,
Country Canada T6G 2G4
Tel 780-437-3521
Mob --
Fax 780-492-1626
Email [email protected] / [email protected]
79
80
Abbreviated title: Allocation concealment and randomization in physical therapy 81
Key words: Physical therapy; allocation concealment; randomization; meta-82
epidemiological approach; risk of bias 83 84
List of abbreviations: 85 RCTs: Randomized controlled trials 86
PT: Physical therapy 87
88
89
90
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Word Count: 275 words (Abstract) 91
3050 words (Introduction, Method, Results, and Discussion) 92
References: 58 93
Tables: 3 94
Figures: 6 95
Ethics approval: The University of Alberta Ethics Committee(s) approved this study. 96
Running head: Allocation concealment in physiotherapy 97 Study performed: CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership, Education and Research) 98
and Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, Department of Physical Therapy, University of 99
Alberta, Edmonton, Canada. 100
101
102
103 104
105
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ABSTRACT 106
Objective: to determine if adequacy of randomization and allocation concealment is 107
associated with changes in effect sizes when comparing physical therapy (PT) trials with and 108
without these methodological characteristics. 109
Design: Meta-epidemiological study. 110
Setting: NA 111
Participants: A random sample of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) included in meta-112
analyses in the PT discipline were identified. 113
Intervention: NA. Data extraction including assessments of random sequence generation and 114
allocation concealment was conducted independently by 2 reviewers. To determine the 115
association between sequence generation, and allocation concealment and effect sizes, a 2-116
level analysis was conducted using a meta-meta-analytic approach. 117
Primary and secondary outcome measures: association between random sequence 118
generation and allocation concealment and effect sizes in PT trials. 119
Results: 393 trials included in 43 meta-analyses, analyzing 44,622 patients contributed to this 120
study. Adequate random sequence generation and appropriate allocation concealment were 121
accomplished in only 39.7% and 11.5% of PT trials respectively. Although trials with 122
inappropriate allocation concealment tended to have an overestimate treatment effect when 123
compared with trials with adequate concealment of allocation, the difference was non-124
statistically significant (ES=0.12; 95%CI -0.06; 0.30). When pooling our results with those of 125
Nuesch et al., we obtained a pooled statistically significant value (ES= 0.14; 95%CI 0.02; 126
0.26). There was no difference in ES in trials with appropriate or inappropriate random 127
sequence generation (ES=0.02; 95%CI -0.12; 0.15). 128
Conclusion: Our results suggest that when evaluating risk of bias of primary RCTs in PT 129
area, systematic reviewers and clinicians implementing research into practice should pay 130
attention to these biases since they could exaggerate treatment effects. Systematic reviewers 131
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should perform sensitivity analysis including trials with low risk of bias in these domains as 132
primary analysis and/or in combination with less restrictive analyses. Authors and editors 133
should make sure that allocation concealment and random sequence generation are properly 134
reported in trial reports. (298 words) 135
136
Strengths and limitations of this study 137
Strengths 138
• As far of our knowledge, this is the first meta-epidemiological study using continuous 139
outcomes in allied health disciplines such as physical therapy (PT). 140
• This large meta-epidemiological study, which was based on 43 Cochrane reviews, 393 141
trials and 44,622 patients makes an important contribution to the field. 142
• This study provides with novel evidence regarding the association between adequacy 143
of randomization and allocation concealment methodological factors and treatment 144
estimates in PT. 145
Limitations 146
• We restricted our analysis to Cochrane systematic reviews in PT and results might not 147
be applicable to all Cochrane reviews or other reviews conducted in other areas of 148
research. 149
• For determining the association between random sequence generation and allocation 150
concealment, we limited our analysis to trials describing a true control group, or 151
placebo intervention, reducing our statistical power. 152
• It could be possible that other biases present in the studies interact with the 153
investigated biases and have an influence in the treatment effects. This should include 154
a multivariate analysis where several biases should be taken into consideration. Future 155
research should look into this. 156
157
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INTRODUCTION 158
Randomization and allocation concealment have been extensively investigated in the medical 159
literature as key methodological characteristics of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in 160
medical research.1-3
Allocation concealment is the most commonly evaluated quality 161
characteristic in reviews of RCTs due to its crucial role as a key marker of internal validity of 162
RCT.4 Moreover, it is firmly established the conventional wisdom that adequate 163
randomization sequence generation is an essential part of a valid clinical trial.5 164
165
There has been an extensive body of empirical research looking at the influence of random 166
sequence generation and allocation concealment on treatment effect estimates of health RCTs. 167
Several meta-epidemiological studies investigating the association between trial 168
characteristics and treatment effects have found an association between inadequate 169
randomization and/or allocation concealment and an overestimation of treatment effects.1-3,6-9
170
For example, inadequate random sequence generation can overestimate treatment effects by 171
12% (ROR 0.88, 95% CI 0.79,0.99).10
Inadequate allocation concealment can overestimate 172
treatment effects on average by 18%.3,8,11 In addition, Pidal et al. found that 2/3 of the 173
conclusions from meta-analyses were no longer supported if only trials with adequate 174
allocation concealment were included 12
and that 69% of meta-analyses lost statistical 175
significance when trials with unclear or inadequate allocation concealment were excluded.12
176
Over-estimates or underestimates of treatment effects can lead to biased or inaccurate results 177
and conclusions in systematic reviews and meta-analyses.3,12-15
These factors can ultimately 178
have repercussions on decision-making and quality of patient care since different assessments 179
could lead to different decisions for clinical practice. 180
181
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Most of the empirical evidence regarding the relationship between trial components, and 182
specifically random sequence generation and allocation concealment, and treatment effect 183
estimates comes from RCTs in medicine and is based mainly on dichotomous outcomes.3,8,11
184
No such studies using continuous outcomes have been conducted in other health areas such as 185
the allied health professions, including PT. Furthermore, although it has been reported that 186
the quality of reporting of PT trials has improved over time,16
a finer analysis of types of 187
random sequence generation and allocation concealment in PT trials is lacking. 188
189
Therefore, it is necessary to determine the extent to which randomization and allocation 190
concealment affect treatment effect estimates in PT trials to provide accurate results to the PT 191
clinical community. This information is urgently needed to develop guidelines for designing, 192
conducting, and implementing PT trials as well as providing clear benchmarks to assess the 193
quality and/or risk of bias of PT trials in systematic reviews and meta-analyses and ultimately 194
the strength of evidence for decision-making in PT. Therefore, our research questions were: 1) 195
are random sequence generation and allocation concealment adequately used and reported in 196
RCTs of PT; 2) do random sequence generation and allocation concealment have an effect on 197
estimates of treatment in PT trials; and 3) do effects sizes on PT trials differ depending on 198
some characteristics of the meta-analyses analyzed such as magnitude of the effect size, meta-199
analysis heterogeneity, type of outcome (subjective or objective), and whether the meta-200
analysis involved the musculoskeletal area. 201
METHOD 202
Design 203
Meta-epidemiological approach 204
205
206
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Study selection 207
A random sample of Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) included in meta-analyses in the 208
Physical therapy (PT) discipline were identified by searching the Cochrane Database of 209
Systematic Reviews from Jan 2005 to May 25 2011 on PT interventions. The search strategy 210
can be found elsewhere and can be provided upon request.17,18
Meta-analyses and RCTs 211
included in these meta-analyses were included if they met the following eligibility criteria: 1) 212
the meta-analysis included at least 3 RCTs comparing at least two interventions, with at least 213
one of the interventions being part of PT scope of practice according to the World 214
Confederation for Physical Therapy (WCPT)19
; and 2) the main outcome or the outcome of 215
the largest meta-analysis conducted in the review was continuous. 216
217
Assessment of Random sequence generation and Allocation Concealment domains 218
Assessments of random sequence generation and allocation concealment domains were 219
performed by two independent reviewers following the Cochrane collaboration guidelines.20
220
221
Random sequence generation assessment 222
In addition to the general evaluation of adequacy of random sequence generation, different 223
methods of random sequence generation were determined. We grouped these methods into 4 224
categories as follows: Category 1 included trials where random sequence generation was 225
unclear or not reported; category 2 included trials that had adequate randomization (e.g. use 226
of a computer software, random number table, and minimization); category 3 included trials 227
using acceptable methods of randomization, but less efficient than the previous category (e.g., 228
drawing lots, envelopes, shuffling cards, throwing a dice); category 4 involved trials used 229
inappropriate methods of sequence generation (e.g., date of birth, day of admission, hospital 230
record number). Categorization into one of these four categories was conducted in duplicate. 231
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To facilitate comparison with previous meta-analyses, these four categories were combined to 232
create two main groups: an "adequate sequence generation" group (combining categories 2 233
and 3) and an "inadequate or unclear sequence generation" group (combining categories 1 and 234
4). 235
236
Allocation Concealment assessment 237
As for allocation concealment assessment, we divided the methods of allocation concealment 238
used in the trials into the following categories: Category 1 comprised trials that used any type 239
of central randomization that (e.g., a remote telephone service or a central office); category 2 240
comprised trials that used sequentially numbered, opaque and sealed envelopes; category 3 241
comprised trials that used sealed envelopes without reporting any further details; and 242
category 4 comprised trials where allocation was clearly not hidden (e.g., being based on an 243
open list, odd or even days of the week, participant’s birth date, or the team on duty at 244
enrolment); and category 5 comprised trials were concealment of allocation was not reported 245
or unclear. Categorization into one of these five categories was conducted by two independent 246
assessors. To facilitate comparison with previous meta-analyses, these five categories were 247
combined to create two main groups: an "adequate concealment" group (combining categories 248
1 and 2) and an "inadequate or unclear concealment" group (combining categories 3, 4, and 249
5). 250
251
Data extraction of treatment estimates and trial characteristics 252
Two independent reviewers extracted specific data (e.g. type of interventions, type of 253
outcomes (i.e. objective, subjective), PT area) for all trials included in the meta-analyses as 254
well as data on means, standard deviations, and sample sizes. The primary outcome chosen 255
for the analysis was the main outcome of interest reported in the review or determined from 256
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the meta-analysis that contained the largest number of trials in the review. Details on the 257
reviewers’ panel and training process can be found elsewhere.17,18
258
259
Data Analysis 260
Data on sequence generation and allocation concealment were analyzed descriptively based 261
on the categories described previously. In order to determine whether random sequence 262
generation and allocation concealment domains affect treatment effect estimates, a 2-level 263
analysis was conducted using a meta-meta-analytic approach with a random-effects model to 264
allow for within and between meta-analyses heterogeneity as suggested by Sterne.21
265
We additionally stratified analyses accompanied by interaction tests according to the pre-266
specified characteristics: 1) treatment benefit in overall meta-analysis: small [ES greater that -267
0.5] versus large [ES ≤ to -0.5]; between-trial heterogeneity in overall meta-analysis (low [τ2 268
<0.06] versus high [τ2 ≥0.06]), nature of the outcome (subjective or objective) and if the 269
intervention was classified as musculoskeletal or other PT area. 270
271
In order to evaluate the effect of random sequence generation and allocation concealment on 272
treatment effect estimates, we limited the analyses to studies describing a true control group, 273
or placebo intervention as well as studies in which the direction of the expected treatment 274
effect was evident (i.e. standard care vs. standard care plus active intervention; and active 275
intervention 1 plus active intervention 2 vs. active intervention 1). 276
277
Finally, results of our analyses were pooled with results from the meta-epidemiological study 278
performed by Nuesch et al.1, which also investigated the effect of concealment of allocation 279
on treatment effects on osteoarthritis measured on a continuous scale. STATA statistical 280
software version 12 was used to perform these analyses. 281
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RESULTS 282
Selection and characteristics of meta-analyses and RCTs 283
The search identified 3901 Cochrane reviews, with 271 reviews potentially relevant to PT. Of 284
these, 68 reviews included a meta-analysis of at least three studies of PT interventions and 285
used a continuous outcome. We randomly selected 44 meta-analyses but excluded one 22
286
because it used follow-up data from the same group rather than a control group for 287
comparison (Figure 1). Forty-three meta-analyses including 393 trials and analyzing 44,622 288
patients contributed to this study. Table 1 summarizes the characteristics of the 43 Cochrane 289
reviews. Briefly, the reviews were published between 2008 and 2011 and included meta-290
analyses of the effectiveness of PT interventions for musculoskeletal (22 reviews)23-31
, 291
cardiorespiratory (9 reviews)32-40
, neurological (6 reviews)41-47
, and other areas of physical 292
therapy (6 reviews).47-52
A median number of 6 trials were included in the meta-analyses 293
(interquartile range 5-8). Most trials were parallel group trials (367; 93.4%), single-center 294
studies (298; 76%) and had active control interventions (362; 92%). The most common 295
intervention was exercise (n=282, 71.8%). Supplementary Table S1 (Appendix 1) lists the 296
characteristics of each of the 43 meta-analyses. 297
Sequence generation descriptive 298
From the 393 trials included in the 43 meta-analyses, 156 trials (39.7%) had appropriate 299
sequence generation and 237 (60.3%) had inappropriate sequence generation (229 were 300
classified as “unclear” and 8 as “high” risk of bias) according to the Cochrane Collaboration 301
guidelines. 302
When analyzing the sequence generation categories, we found that 229 trials (58.27%) did not 303
clearly report the mechanism of how the sequence was generated. One hundred and thirty two 304
trials (33.6%) generated the sequence through computer software, a table of random numbers, 305
or by minimization method. For a more specific sequence generation methods description, see 306
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Table 2. 307
In addition, simple randomization was reported in 34 trials, block randomization in 54 trials, 308
stratification in 62 trials, and unclear or not reported in 218 trials. The rest of the trials 309
reported other methods of random sequence generation. 310
311
Allocation Concealment descriptive 312
From the 43 meta-analysis and 393 trials, 45 trials (11.5%) had appropriate allocation 313
concealment and 348 (88.6%) had inappropriate concealment of allocation according to the 314
Cochrane Collaboration guidelines. Results of analysis of the allocation concealment within 315
each category were as follows: 282 trials (71.8%) had unclear method of allocation 316
concealment, 21 (5.34%) trials used central allocation, 24 (6.11%) trials used envelopes with 317
all 3 safe wards (opaque, sealed, and sequentially numbered), 15 (3.82%) trials used 318
envelopes without safeguards, and 51 (16.8%) trials used any other non-concealed methods. 319
Further details on allocation concealment methods are displayed in Table 3. 320
321
Sequence generation and treatment effects in PT trials 322
For the purpose of analyzing the effect of sequence generation on treatment effects, 22 meta-323
analyses including 257 trials and analyzing 30,287 patients contributed to this analysis. 324
Figure 2 shows the forest plot of the differences in effect sizes between trial with adequate 325
and inadequate random sequence generation. There was no statistically significant difference 326
between the ES of trials with adequate or inadequate random sequence generation (ES=0.02; 327
95%CI -0.12; 0.15). 328
The results of the stratified analyses are displayed in Figure 3. None of the meta-analyses 329
characteristics had a statistically significant interaction. 330
331
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Allocation Concealment and treatment effects in PT trials 332
For the purpose of analyzing the effect of allocation concealment on treatment effects, 17 333
meta-analyses including 198 trials and analyzing 27,011 patients contributed to this analysis. 334
Figure 4 shows the forest plot of the differences in effect sizes between trial with adequate 335
and inadequate allocation concealment. Although trials with inappropriate allocation 336
concealment tended to have an overestimate treatment effect when compared with trials with 337
adequate concealment of allocation, the difference was non-statistically significant (ES=0.12; 338
95%CI -0.06; 0.30). The results of the stratified analyses are displayed in Figure 5. None of 339
the meta-analyses characteristics had a statistically significant interaction. 340
341
Pooling results with a previous meta-epidemiological study 1 342
When pooling our results with those of Nuesch et al.1, who performed a meta-epidemiological 343
study with continuous outcomes as well, we obtained a pooled statistically significant value 344
(ES= 0.14; 95%CI 0.02; 0.26), meaning that trials with inappropriate concealment of 345
allocation had more beneficial effect than trials with appropriate concealment of allocation 346
(Figure 6). 347
348
DISCUSSION 349
Our findings showed that adequate allocation concealment and appropriate allocation 350
concealment were only accomplished in a low percentage of PT trials (39.7% and 11.5%, 351
respectively) despite the fact that both of the above-mentioned quality domains can be always 352
appropriately performed when conducting an RCT in any field. In addition, trials with 353
inappropriate concealment of allocation had an overestimation of treatment effects when 354
compared with trials with adequate concealment of allocation. However, no difference in 355
treatment effects in trials with appropriate or inappropriate sequence generation was found. 356
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These results confirm previous results obtained by several meta-epidemiological studies 357
investigating the influence of sequence generation and allocation concealment on several 358
areas of medicine using dichotomous outcomes.7,8,11,12,53
In addition, the pooled estimate 359
obtained from our study and that of Nuesch et al.,1 indicated that trials with inappropriate 360
allocation concealment had a more beneficial effect than those with appropriate. 361
These results have important implications for the research community in general as well as for 362
the discipline of PT. To our knowledge; this study is the first of its kind conducted in PT that 363
examined continuous outcomes. Thus, it provides novel evidence in a very specific area of 364
health. Most of the previous studies were looking at medical areas, such as pregnancy and 365
childbirth, circulatory conditions, infectious disease, surgery, and mental health trials. All of 366
these medical areas certainly differ from PT with respect to: type of intervention (being 367
mostly drugs), type of outcomes used, and specific area of study. 368
369
First, it is not surprising that a large number of trials did not clearly report either 370
randomization sequence or allocation concealment. Our findings showed that approximately 371
62% and 70% of studies were classified as ‘unclear/not reported’ in their reporting of 372
sequence generation and allocation concealment, respectively. This has also been observed in 373
a meta-epidemiological study investigating meta-analyses before 2005.2 The study found a 374
64% and 69% of “unclear” reporting of sequence generation and allocation concealment, 375
respectively.2 Thus, despite the efforts made to improve reporting of RCTs such as 376
introducing the CONSORT Statement, there is still inappropriate reporting and 377
implementation of these important characteristics in RCTs. This is in agreement with results 378
reported by Moseley et al., 16
who found little or no effect of the CONSORT Statement on the 379
quality of reports of physiotherapy trials. Quality of reporting has always been an issue when 380
trying to understand the association between trial characteristics and treatments effects since 381
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most of authors do not properly report their methods. Although inappropriate reporting does 382
not always reflect on weak trial conduct, 54
some studies such as Pildal et al.,12
found that 383
most trials with unclear allocation concealment had also unclear allocation concealment in 384
their protocol. Therefore, quality of reporting is related to assessment of risk of bias, but the 385
direction of this relationship is still unclear. Future studies should assess how, how much, and 386
in which direction trial reporting affects treatment effects. 387
388
The magnitude and direction of the effect found in our study is consistent and almost identical 389
with a previously published study performed in osteoarthritic trials investigating allocation 390
concealment. In our study, the average bias associated with lack of allocation concealment 391
corresponds to ¼ or ½ of a typical treatment effect found in PT interventions.55-58
As stated by 392
others,2,8
if allocation concealment is not accomplished, it is more likely that the results of the 393
trial are inaccurate because, intentionally or unintentionally, investigators could have 394
interfered with assigning subjects to different groups, favoring the effect of the intervention. 395
In addition, allocation concealment could be a proxy measure for other aspects of trial design 396
besides selection bias.2,8
397
398
Random sequence generation was found not to be significantly associated with distortion of 399
treatment effects in this study. Thus, it appears that random sequence generation does not 400
have such a strong influence on treatment effects in comparison with concealment of 401
allocation. Other meta-epidemiological studies have found similar results. 8,11,59
One of these 402
studies, performed by Balk et al., 59
has been questioned because of the high heterogeneity 403
between trials included in meta-analysis. This could introduce a higher noise to be able to 404
detect any effect of the trials characteristics. The other studies reported the same results argue 405
that sequence generation is still an important characteristic that ensures rigor in the trial by 406
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allowing a trial to be concealed.8,11
In addition, other authors have suggested that the 407
relationship between certain methodological characteristics and treatment effects varies 408
according to each health area 59,60
and more work should be done in other health areas to 409
confirm these results.59,60
410
411
Our stratified analysis for sequence generation and allocation concealment showed that none 412
of the meta-analysis characteristics presented with significant interaction. This is somehow 413
contrary to other meta-epidemiological studies. For example, Wood et al.,3 and Savovic et 414
al.,2 found that there was an overestimation of treatment effects that ranged between 22%-415
31% for subjective outcomes. We followed exactly the same definition for determining 416
outcomes as “objective and subjective” used by Wood et al., 3 to facilitate comparisons and 417
avoid misclassifications. Thus, it seems that for PT area, there is no evidence of bias 418
regarding random sequence generation or allocation concealment when subjective or 419
objective outcome are used. This could be attributed to the fact that both domains can be 420
performed in a trial regardless of the outcome analyzed. Thus, whether the outcome is 421
objective or subjective does not affect whether it is easier or not to predict patient’s prognosis 422
at the time of recruitment. 423
424
Study limitations 425
We analyzed the influence of random sequence generation and allocation concealment on 426
treatment effect estimates. It could be possible that other biases interact with these biases and 427
have an influence in the treatment effects. This should include a multivariate analysis where 428
several biases should be taken into consideration. Future research should look into this. 429
We limited our analysis to trials describing a true control group, or placebo intervention as 430
well as those studies in which the direction of expected treatment effect was evident. In this 431
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way, we could anticipate the direction of the bias in analyses. Combining effects of all trials 432
without clear direction of what would be the effect (i.e. in case of 2 similar active 433
interventions) would have increased noise in the analyses and heterogeneity limiting our 434
ability to find any significant effect of trials characteristics.61
However, limiting our analyses 435
to these trials, we also reduced the power of our study. 436
437
CONCLUSIONS 438
Trials with inappropriate concealment of allocation had an overestimation of treatment effects 439
when compared with trials with adequate concealment of allocation. Our results suggest that 440
when evaluating risk of bias of primary RCTs in PT area, systematic reviewers and clinicians 441
implementing trial findings into their clinical practice should pay attention to these 442
characteristics, especially allocation concealment since it can be associated with an 443
exaggeration of a treatment effect. Systematic reviewers should perform sensitivity analysis 444
including trials with low risk of bias in these domains as primary analysis and/or in 445
combination with less restrictive analyses. Authors and editors should make sure that 446
allocation concealment and random sequence generation are properly reported in trial reports. 447
(3160 words) 448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
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457
Acknowledgements: This project is funded the Canadian Institutes of Health Research 458
(CIHR), Alberta Innovates Health Solutions through a knowledge translation initiative grant, 459
the Knowledge Translation (KT) Canada research Stipend program, and the Physiotherapy 460
Foundation of Canada (PFC) through a B.E. Schnurr Memorial Fund Award. 461
The funding bodies had no input in the design, collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; 462
in the writing of the manuscript; and in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. 463
This Research protocol has been approved by the Ethics Board of the University of Alberta 464
(Pro00038172). 465
Dr. Susan Armijo-Olivo is supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) 466
through a full-time Banting fellowship, the Alberta Innovates Health Solution through an 467
incentive award, the STIHR Training Program from Knowledge Translation (KT) Canada, the 468
University of Alberta, and by the Faculty of rehabilitation Medicine, at the University of 469
Alberta, through the “Music and Motion Fellowship”. 470
Dr. Greta Cummings is holds a Centennial Professorship at the University of Alberta (2013-471
2020). 472
Dr. Fuentes is supported by the Government of Chile, University of Alberta through a 473
Dissertation fellowship, and the University Catholic of Maule. 474
Dr. Humam Saltaji is supported through a Clinician Fellowship Award by Alberta Innovates - 475
Health Solutions (AIHS), the Honorary Izaak Walton Killam Memorial Scholarship by the 476
University of Alberta, and the Honorary WCHRI Award by the Women and Children’s 477
Health Research Institute (WCHRI). 478
Competing Interest 479
The author(s) declare that they have no competing interests. 480
481
482
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Ethics approval: The University of Alberta Ethics Committee(s) approved this study 483
484
Authors’ contributions 485
486 SAO provided concept/idea/research design and writing. Performed the experiments: SAO, 487
CH, JF, HS. Interpretation of the results and review of the final manuscript: SAO, BRdaC, 488
GGC, CH, JF, HS. Analyzed the data: SAO, BRdaC. Wrote the paper: All authors critically 489
revised and provided final approval of the version to be published. 490
491
Justification that this study does not require a checklist: 492
This study is considered a meta-epidemiological research study. We feel that none of the 493
checklists is applicable for this type of study. 494
495
Figure Legends 496
Figure 1. Diagram for identification of studies 497
Figure 2. Forest plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 498
Adequate Sequence Generation 499
Figure 3. Forest Plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 500
Sequence Generation Stratified by Meta-analyses characteristics (Effect size Magnitude, 501
Heterogeneity, Type outcome, and PT area). 502
503
Figure 4. Forest plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 504
Adequate Concealment of Allocation 505
Figure 5. Forest Plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 506
Adequate Concealment of Allocation Stratified by Meta-analyses characteristics (Effect 507
size Magnitude, Heterogeneity, Type outcome, and PT area) 508
Figure 6. Pooled Data of the Effect of Concealment of Allocation on Treatment Effect 509
Estimates using Continuous Outcomes 510
511
512
513
514
515
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characteristics, and results in randomized controlled trials. Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 691
2011;92(2):306-315. 692
56. Dorstyn D, Mathias J, Denson L. Applications of telecounselling in spinal cord injury 693
rehabilitation: A systematic review with effect sizes. Clinical Rehabilitation. 694
2013;27(12):1072-1083. 695
57. Barker AL, Talevski J, Morello RT, Brand CA, Rahmann AE, Urquhart DM. 696
Effectiveness of aquatic exercise for musculoskeletal conditions: A meta-analysis. 697
Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 2014;95(9):1776-1786. 698
58. Pollock A, Baer G, Langhorne P, Pomeroy V. Physiotherapy treatment approaches for 699
the recovery of postural control and lower limb function following stroke: A 700
systematic review. Clinical Rehabilitation. 2007;21(5):395-410. 701
59. Balk EM, Bonis PAL, Moskowitz H, et al. Correlation of quality measures with 702
estimates of treatment effect in meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials. Journal 703
of the American Medical Association. 2002;287(22):2973-2982. 704
60. Verhagen AP, de Vet HCW, Willemsen S, Stijnen T. A meta-regression analysis 705
shows no impact of design characteristics on outcome in trials on tension-type 706
headaches. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 2008;61(8):813-818. 707
61. Hempel S. Detection of associations between trial quality and effect sizes. 2012; 708
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK84249/. 709
710 711
712
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713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
Table 1. Characteristics of the Selected Meta-analysis within Physical Therapy Areas 727 728
729
Musculoskeletal Cardio respiratory Neurology Other
Characteristics Number of meta-analyses 22 9 6 6 Median year of publication 2009 2010 2009 2009 Total number of trials included 194 78 52 69 Total number of patients included
19861 9015 2138 13608
Main intervention Exercise 13 7 3 5 Physical Agents 1 0 1 0 Acupuncture 2 0 0 0 Manual Therapy 1 0 0 0 Other 1 2 2 1 Outcomes Clinician assessed outcome 8 4 6 3 Self-reported outcome 11 4 0 2 Administrative data or automated outcome
3 1 0 1
730
731
732
733
Table 2. Methods of Sequence Generation in Physical therapy Trials 734
735
Sequence Generation Methods Number of trials (%)
Unclear/ Not reported 232 (59.03%)
Computer Software 65 (16.54%)
Random Number table 60 (13.49%)
Drawing of lots 12 (3.05%)
Shuffling cards or envelopes 9 (2.29%)
Minimization 6 (1.52%)
Other non-random methods 4 (4.33%)
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Coin Tossing 1 (0.25%)
Date of birth 1 (0.25%)
Day of admission 1 (0.25%)
Hospital/institution records number 1 (0.25%)
Throwing a dice 1 (0.25%)
Total 393 (100%)
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
Table 3. Methods of Allocation Concealment in Physical therapy Trials 743
744 Allocation Concealment Methods Number of trials (%)
Unclear/ Not reported 282 (71.76%)
Central Concealment 21 (5.34%)
Sequentially numbered, opaque and sealed envelopes
24 (6.11%)
Unsafe envelopes 15 (3.82%)
Non-safe methods of allocation 51 (12.98%)
Total 393 (100%)
745 746 747
748
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749 750
751 752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762 763 764 765
766 767 768
769
Figure 1. Diagram for identification of studies 770
771
772
773
774
775
776
Total number of Meta-analysis (MA) identified from Cochrane Library search
relevant to physical therapy = 271 MAs
Total number Meta-analysis (MA) and Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)
Selected from Cochrane Library search (Inclusion and Exclusion criteria)
78 MAs and 720 RCT
68 MAs (631 trials) had only continuous data and had > 3 trials in the main comparison
Total number of titles identified from Cochrane Library search =
3901
1 MA (8 trials) was excluded since it did not provide a control group
44 randomly selected MAs with 401 trials
43 MAs and 393 trials Finally Included
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Insert Figure 2 here 777
778
Figure 2. Forest plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 779
Adequate Sequence Generation 780 781
782 783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
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Figure 3. Forest Plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 806
Sequence Generation Stratified by Meta-analyses characteristics (Effect size Magnitude, 807
Heterogeneity, Type outcome, and PT area) 808
809 Figure 4. Forest plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 810
Adequate Concealment of Allocation 811
812
813
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814
Figure 5. Forest Plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 815
Adequate Concealment of Allocation Stratified by Meta-analyses characteristics (Effect 816
size Magnitude, Heterogeneity, Type outcome, and PT area) 817
818
819 820
Figure 6. Pooled Data of the Effect of Concealment of Allocation on Treatment Effect 821
Estimates using Continuous Outcomes 822
823
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1
Appendix 1. Characteristics of Selected Meta-analyses
Author Year # of trials
Pt in tx
Pt in control
# of Pt included
Outcome Outcome Source
Type of outcome
Area Specific Area
Pollock, A 2009 5 213 209 422 Functional
Independence Scale Clinician
assessment Ob Neuro Other
States, R 2009 6 195 186 381 Gait speed (m/s) (higher is better)
Clinician assessment
Ob Neuro Exercise
Schaafsma, F 2011 5 1057 Time to return to work (lower is better)
Administrative data
Ob MSK Exercise
Markes, M 2009 4 127 80 207 CR fitness (12 min
walking test), higher is better
Clinician assessment
Ob MSK Exercise
McNeely, M 2010 6 166 158 324 Shoulder flexion ROM
in degrees Clinician
assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Cramp, F 2010 27 1662 742 940 Fatigue Self-report Sub Other Exercise
Main, E 2010 7 201 Pulmonary function
(FEV1) Clinician
assessment Ob CR Chest PT
Davies, E 2010 9 1554 1555 3109 Health-related QoL Self-report Sub CR Exercise
Busch, A 2008 6 188 161 349 Tender points number
Clinician assessment (self-reported
pain at examination]
Sub MSK Exercise
Liu, C 2009 33 1076 1096 2172 Main function measure (higher is better)
Self-report (clinician
assessment] Sub MSK Exercise
Furlan, A 2011 3 188 168 356 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Acupuncture
Fransen, M 2009 5 102 102 204 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Exercise
Ostelo, R 2011 3 77 45 122 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Exercise
Taylor, R 2010 12 817 740 1557 Exercise capacity 3-12 mo (higher is better)
Clinician assessment
Ob CR Exercise
Harvey, L 2010 8 193 186 379 Active knee flexion
(ROM) Clinician
assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Mead, GE 2010 23 476 431 907 Reduction of
depression symptoms post-tx (lower is better)
Clinician assessment
Sub Neuro Exercise
Edmonds, M 2010 5 143 143 286 Chalder fatigue scale (higher is worse)
Self-report Sub MSK, educa
Exercise
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tion
Howe, TE 2008 5 140 164 304 Gait speed (20 min
walk test) (s), (lower is better)
Clinician assessment
Ob MSK Exercise
Fransen, M 2009 31 2074 1542 3616 Pain (higher is worse) Self-Report Sub MSK Exercise
Lin, CH 2008 8 513 Activity limitation
questionnaire (activity level) higher is better
Self-Report/performa
nce test Sub MSK
Exercise; other
Rutjes, AW 2010 5 177 143 320 Pain (higher is worse) Self-Report Sub MSK Exercise, other
Woodford, HJ 2009 5 47 44 91 Change in ROM (higher
is better) Clinician
Assessment Ob Neuro PA, exercise
Saunders, DH 2009 7 194 177 371 Gait speed (m/min) Clinician
Assessment Ob MSK Exercise
O'Brien , K 2010 5 145 131 276 Vo2 max (ml/kg/min) Clinician
Assessment Ob CR Exercise
Sirtoti, V 2009 6 96 88 184 Disability post-
intervention. (higher is better]
Clinician assessment
Sub Neuro Other
Hayden, J 2011 13 704 669 1373
Function measure (Oswestry low back pain disability, lower is
better)
Self-report Sub MSK Exercise, other
Orozco, LJ 2008 6 1668 1647 3315 Change in fasting
plasma glucose (mg/dl)
Laboratory measure
(physiological measures)
Ob Other Exercise, education
De Morton, N 2009 5 1621 1857 3478 Acute hospital length of
stay Administrative
data Ob MSK Other
Mehrholz, J 2010 7 76 77 153 Gait speed Clinician
assessment Ob Neuro Exercise
Shaw, K 2009 15 595 484 1079 Wt change in kilograms
(higher is worse) Clinician
assessment Ob CR Exercise
Handholl, H 2009 8 817 846 1663 Length of hospital stay Administrative
data Ob MSK Other
Effing, T 2009 6 381 317 698 HRQOL: SGRQ total (0-100, lower is better)
Self-report Sub
CR education, prevention
Education
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Bendermacher, B
2009 6 118 118 236 Maximal treadmill walking distance
Clinician assessment
Ob
Other (cardiovascular)
Exercise
Bonaiuti D, 2009 8 166 170 336 BMD Clinician
assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Foster, C 2009 17 4395 3203 7598
Change in self-reported physical activity
between BL and follow-up
Self-report Sub Other (GYN)
Other
Jolliffe, J 2009 8 610 588 1198 Total cholesterol Lab measure (physiological measures)
Ob CR Exercise
Katalinic, O 2010 7 96 97 193 Joint mobility (ROM) Clinician
assessment Ob MSK
Manual Therapy, exercise
Lacasse, Y 2009 11 326 292 618 Quality of Life (Fatigue) Self-report Sub CR Exercise
Puhan, M 2010 5 279 CRQ (higher is better] Self-report Ob CR Exercise
Kramer, M 2010 6 280 276 556 Birth weight (higher is
better] Clinician
assessment Ob Other Exercise
Rutjes, AW 2010 11 275 190 465 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK PA
Watson 2008 6 129 112 241 Treadmill walking
distance Clinician
assessment Ob Other Exercise
Manheimer E, 2010 7 902 871 1773 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Acupuncture, exercise
BL = baseline; BMD = bone mineral density; CR = cardiorespiratory; CRQ = Chronic respiratory disease questionnaire; FEV1 = ; GYN = gynaecological; Lab = laboratory; min = minute; mo = month(s); MSK = musculoskeletal; Neuro = neurology; Ob = objective; PA = physical agents; PT = physiotherapy; ROM = range of motion; Sub = subjective; tx = treatment; wt = weight; pt=patients
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WHAT IS THE INFLUENCE OF RANDOMIZATION SEQUENCE
GENERATION AND ALLOCATION CONCEALMENT ON
TREATMENT EFFECTS OF PHYSICAL THERAPY TRIALS? A
META-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDY
Journal: BMJ Open
Manuscript ID: bmjopen-2015-008562.R1
Article Type: Research
Date Submitted by the Author: 27-Jul-2015
Complete List of Authors: Armijo-Olivo, Susan; University of Alberta, faculty of rehabilitation Medicine Saltaji, Humam; University of Alberta, Department of Dentistry da Costa, Bruno; University of Bern, Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine Fuentes, Jorge; University of Alberta, Physical Therapy Ha, Christine; University of Alberta, Rehabilitation Medicine Cummings, Greta; University of Alberta, Faculty of Nursing
<b>Primary Subject Heading</b>:
Epidemiology
Secondary Subject Heading: Epidemiology, Evidence based practice, Rehabilitation medicine
Keywords: allocation concealment, sequence generation, physical therapy, meta-epidemiological, risk of bias
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Title: WHAT IS THE INFLUENCE OF RANDOMIZATION SEQUENCE 1
GENERATION AND ALLOCATION CONCEALMENT ON TREATMENT EFFECTS 2
OF PHYSICAL THERAPY TRIALS? A META-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDY 3 4
5
Authors: 6
Susan Armijo-Olivo, BSc. PT, MSc PT, PhD 7 Postdoctoral Fellow 8
CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership, Education and Research) Research Program 9
University of Alberta 10
5-115A Edmonton Clinic Health Academy (ECHA) 11
11405 – 87 Avenue 12
Edmonton, Alberta 13
T6G 1C9 14 Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, 15
3-48 Corbett Hall, Department of Physical Therapy, 16
University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada T6G 2G4 17
Email: [email protected] / [email protected] 18
19
Humam Saltaji, DDS, MSc (Ortho) 20 PhD Candidate and Resident 21
Orthodontic Graduate Clinic 22
School of Dentistry 23
University of Alberta 24
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada 25
E-mail: [email protected] 26
27
Bruno R. da Costa PT, BSc. PT, MSc PT, PhD 28
Department of Physical Therapy 29
Nicole Wertheim College of Nursing & Health Science 30
Florida International University 31
Miami, USA 32
34
35
Jorge Fuentes BPT, MSc PhD 36 Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine 37
University of Alberta 38
Edmonton, Alberta. Canada 39
Email: [email protected] 40
Catholic University of Maule 41
Department of Physical Therapy 42
Talca, Chile 43
44
Christine Ha, BSc 45 Rehabilitation Research Center 46
Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, 47
3-62 Corbett Hall, 48
University of Alberta, 49
Edmonton, Canada T6G 2G4 50
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E-mail: [email protected] 51
52
53
Greta G. Cummings, RN PhD FCAHS 54 Principal, CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership Education & Research) Research 55
Program 56
Centennial Professor, Faculty of Nursing, University of Alberta 57
Edmonton Clinic Health Academy | University of Alberta 58
11405-87 Ave, Edmonton, AB | Canada T6G 1C9 59
Email: [email protected] 60
61
62
Corresponding author: 63 Susan Armijo-Olivo, BSc.PT, MSc PT, PhD 64
Postdoctoral Fellow 65
CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership, Education and Research) Research Program 66
University of Alberta 67
5-115A Edmonton Clinic Health Academy (ECHA) 68
11405 – 87 Avenue 69
Edmonton, Alberta 70
T6G 1C9 71 Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, 72
3-48 Corbett Hall, Department of Physical Therapy, 73
University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada T6G 2G4 74
Email: [email protected] / [email protected] 75
76
77
Correspondence: 78
Name Susan Armijo-Olivo, BSc. PT, MSc PT, PhD
Department Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine,
3-48 Corbett Hall, Department of Physical Therapy
Institution University of Alberta,
Country Canada T6G 2G4
Tel 780-437-3521
Mob --
Fax 780-492-1626
Email [email protected] / [email protected]
79
80
Abbreviated title: Allocation concealment and randomization in physical therapy 81
Key words: Physical therapy; allocation concealment; randomization; meta-82
epidemiological approach; risk of bias 83 84
List of abbreviations: 85 RCTs: Randomized controlled trials 86
PT: Physical therapy 87
88
89
90
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Word Count: 275 words (Abstract) 91
3050 words (Introduction, Method, Results, and Discussion) 92
References: 58 93
Tables: 3 94
Figures: 6 95
Ethics approval: The University of Alberta Ethics Committee(s) approved this study. 96
Running head: Allocation concealment in physiotherapy 97 Study performed: CLEAR Outcomes (Connecting Leadership, Education and Research) 98
and Faculty of Rehabilitation Medicine, Department of Physical Therapy, University of 99
Alberta, Edmonton, Canada. 100
101
102
103 104
105
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ABSTRACT 106
Objective: to determine if adequacy of randomization and allocation concealment is 107
associated with changes in effect sizes when comparing physical therapy (PT) trials with and 108
without these methodological characteristics. 109
Design: Meta-epidemiological study. 110
Setting: NA 111
Participants: A random sample of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) included in meta-112
analyses in the PT discipline were identified. 113
Intervention: NA. Data extraction including assessments of random sequence generation and 114
allocation concealment was conducted independently by 2 reviewers. To determine the 115
association between sequence generation, and allocation concealment and effect sizes, a 2-116
level analysis was conducted using a meta-meta-analytic approach. 117
Primary and secondary outcome measures: association between random sequence 118
generation and allocation concealment and effect sizes in PT trials. 119
Results: 393 trials included in 43 meta-analyses, analyzing 44,622 patients contributed to this 120
study. Adequate random sequence generation and appropriate allocation concealment were 121
accomplished in only 39.7% and 11.5% of PT trials respectively. Although trials with 122
inappropriate allocation concealment tended to have an overestimate treatment effect when 123
compared with trials with adequate concealment of allocation, the difference was non-124
statistically significant (Effect size (ES) =0.12; 95%CI -0.06; 0.30). When pooling our results 125
with those of Nuesch et al., we obtained a pooled statistically significant value (ES= 0.14; 126
95%CI 0.02; 0.26). There was no difference in ES in trials with appropriate or inappropriate 127
random sequence generation (ES=0.02; 95%CI -0.12; 0.15). 128
Conclusion: Our results suggest that when evaluating risk of bias of primary RCTs in PT 129
area, systematic reviewers and clinicians implementing research into practice should pay 130
attention to these biases since they could exaggerate treatment effects. Systematic reviewers 131
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should perform sensitivity analysis including trials with low risk of bias in these domains as 132
primary analysis and/or in combination with less restrictive analyses. Authors and editors 133
should make sure that allocation concealment and random sequence generation are properly 134
reported in trial reports. 135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
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153
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Strengths and limitations of this study 157
Strengths 158
• As far of our knowledge, this is the first meta-epidemiological study using continuous 159
outcomes in allied health disciplines such as physical therapy (PT). 160
• This large meta-epidemiological study, which was based on 43 Cochrane reviews, 393 161
trials and 44,622 patients makes an important contribution to the field. 162
• This study provides with novel evidence regarding the association between adequacy 163
of randomization and allocation concealment methodological factors and treatment 164
estimates in PT. 165
Limitations 166
• We restricted our analysis to Cochrane systematic reviews in PT and results might not 167
be applicable to all Cochrane reviews or other reviews conducted in other areas of 168
research. 169
• For determining the association between random sequence generation and allocation 170
concealment, we limited our analysis to trials describing a true control group, or 171
placebo intervention, reducing our statistical power. 172
• It could be possible that other biases present in the studies interact with the 173
investigated biases and have an influence in the treatment effects. This should include 174
a multivariate analysis where several biases should be taken into consideration. Future 175
research should look into this. 176
177
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INTRODUCTION 178
Randomization and allocation concealment have been extensively investigated in the medical 179
literature as key methodological characteristics of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in 180
medical research.1-3
Allocation concealment is the most commonly evaluated quality 181
characteristic in reviews of RCTs due to its crucial role as a key marker of internal validity of 182
RCT.4 Moreover, it is firmly established the conventional wisdom that adequate 183
randomization sequence generation is an essential part of a valid clinical trial.5 184
185
There has been an extensive body of empirical research looking at the influence of random 186
sequence generation and allocation concealment on treatment effect estimates of health RCTs. 187
Several meta-epidemiological studies investigating the association between trial 188
characteristics and treatment effects have found an association between inadequate 189
randomization and/or allocation concealment and an overestimation of treatment effects.1-3,6-9
190
For example, inadequate random sequence generation can overestimate treatment effects by 191
12% (Ratio of Odds Ratios (ROR) 0.88, 95% CI 0.79,0.99).10
Inadequate allocation 192
concealment can overestimate treatment effects on average by 18%.3,8,11 In addition, Pidal et 193
al. found that 2/3 of the conclusions from meta-analyses were no longer supported if only 194
trials with adequate allocation concealment were included 12
and that 69% of meta-analyses 195
lost statistical significance when trials with unclear or inadequate allocation concealment were 196
excluded.12
Over-estimates or underestimates of treatment effects can lead to biased or 197
inaccurate results and conclusions in systematic reviews and meta-analyses.3,12-15
These 198
factors can ultimately have repercussions on decision-making and quality of patient care since 199
different assessments could lead to different decisions for clinical practice. 200
201
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Most of the empirical evidence regarding the relationship between trial components, and 202
specifically random sequence generation and allocation concealment, and treatment effect 203
estimates comes from RCTs in medicine and is based mainly on dichotomous outcomes.3,8,11
204
No such studies using continuous outcomes have been conducted in other health areas such as 205
the allied health professions, including Physical Therapy (PT). Furthermore, although it has 206
been reported that the quality of reporting of PT trials has improved over time,16
a finer 207
analysis of types of random sequence generation and allocation concealment in PT trials is 208
lacking. 209
210
Therefore, it is necessary to determine the extent to which sequence generation and allocation 211
concealment affect treatment effect estimates in PT trials to provide accurate results to the PT 212
clinical community. This information is urgently needed to develop guidelines for designing, 213
conducting, and implementing PT trials as well as providing clear benchmarks to assess the 214
quality and/or risk of bias of PT trials in systematic reviews and meta-analyses and ultimately 215
the strength of evidence for decision-making in PT. Therefore, our research questions were: 1) 216
are random sequence generation and allocation concealment adequately used and reported in 217
RCTs of PT; 2) do random sequence generation and allocation concealment have an effect on 218
estimates of treatment in PT trials; and 3) do effects sizes on PT trials differ depending on 219
some characteristics of the meta-analyses analyzed such as magnitude of the effect size, meta-220
analysis heterogeneity, type of outcome (subjective or objective), and whether the meta-221
analysis involved the musculoskeletal area. 222
METHOD 223
Design 224
Meta-epidemiological approach 225
226
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Study selection 227
A random sample of Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) included in meta-analyses in the 228
PT discipline were identified by searching the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 229
from Jan 2005 to May 25 2011 on PT interventions. The search strategy can be found 230
elsewhere and can be provided upon request.17,18
Meta-analyses and RCTs included in these 231
meta-analyses were included if they met the following eligibility criteria: 1) the meta-analysis 232
included at least 3 RCTs comparing at least two interventions, with at least one of the 233
interventions being part of PT scope of practice according to the World Confederation for 234
Physical Therapy (WCPT)19
; and 2) the main outcome or the outcome of the meta-analysis 235
with the largest number of trials conducted in the review was continuous. 236
237
Assessment of Random sequence generation and Allocation Concealment domains 238
Assessments of random sequence generation and allocation concealment domains were 239
performed by two independent reviewers following the Cochrane collaboration guidelines.20
240
241
Random sequence generation assessment 242
In addition to the general evaluation of adequacy of random sequence generation, different 243
methods of random sequence generation were determined. We grouped these methods into 4 244
categories as follows: Category 1 included trials where random sequence generation was 245
unclear or not reported; category 2 included trials that had adequate randomization (e.g. use 246
of a computer software, random number table, and minimization); category 3 included trials 247
using acceptable methods of randomization, but less efficient than the previous category (e.g., 248
drawing lots, envelopes, shuffling cards, throwing a dice); category 4 involved trials using 249
inappropriate methods of sequence generation (e.g., date of birth, day of admission, hospital 250
record number). Categorization into one of these four categories was conducted in duplicate. 251
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To facilitate comparison with previous meta-analyses, these four categories were combined to 252
create two main groups: an "adequate sequence generation" group (combining categories 2 253
and 3) and an "inadequate or unclear sequence generation" group (combining categories 1 and 254
4). 255
256
Allocation Concealment assessment 257
We divided the methods of allocation concealment used in the trials into the following 258
categories: Category 1 comprised trials that used any type of central randomization (e.g., a 259
remote telephone service or a central office); category 2 comprised trials that used 260
sequentially numbered, opaque and sealed envelopes; category 3 comprised trials that used 261
sealed envelopes without reporting any further details; and category 4 comprised trials where 262
allocation was clearly not hidden (e.g., being based on an open list, odd or even days of the 263
week, participant’s birth date, or the team on duty at enrolment); and category 5 comprised 264
trials were concealment of allocation was not reported or unclear. Categorization into one of 265
these five categories was conducted by two independent assessors. To facilitate comparison 266
with previous meta-analyses, these five categories were combined to create two main groups: 267
an "adequate concealment" group (combining categories 1 and 2) and an "inadequate or 268
unclear concealment" group (combining categories 3, 4, and 5). 269
270
Data extraction of treatment estimates and trial characteristics 271
Two independent reviewers extracted specific data (e.g. type of interventions, type of 272
outcomes (i.e. objective, subjective), PT area) for all trials included in the meta-analyses as 273
well as data on means, standard deviations, and sample sizes. The primary outcome chosen 274
for the analysis was the main outcome of interest reported in the review or determined from 275
the meta-analysis that contained the largest number of trials in the review. Details on the 276
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reviewers’ panel and training process can be found elsewhere.17,18
277
278
Data Analysis 279
Data on sequence generation and allocation concealment were analyzed descriptively based 280
on the categories described previously. In order to determine whether random sequence 281
generation and allocation concealment domains affect treatment effect estimates, a 2-level 282
analysis was conducted using a meta-meta-analytic approach with a random-effects model to 283
allow for within and between meta-analyses heterogeneity as suggested by Sterne.21
284
The first level analysis (within meta-analysis) was as follows: we derived effect sizes (ES) for 285
each trial by dividing the between-group difference in mean values by the pooled standard 286
deviation .22
A negative ES indicates a beneficial effect of the experimental intervention. If 287
some required data were unavailable, we used approximations as previously described.23
The 288
data from each trial were obtained from the meta-analyses included in our study. We followed 289
the classification used in the Cochrane reviews to classify the treatment arms as the 290
experimental treatment of interest or as the control group. In the case of studies appearing in 291
more than one review, the study was only considered once in the meta-analysis with the fewer 292
number of overall studies. We then calculated two pooled effect sizes for each meta-analysis: 293
one corresponding to the pooled effect size from studies having the characteristic of interest 294
(e.g., allocation concealment) and the other for studies that did not (e.g., no or unclear 295
allocation concealment). We used standard random-effects meta-analyses to combine ES 296
across trials and calculated the DerSimonian and Laird estimate of the variance to determine 297
heterogeneity between trials.1,24
Then, for each meta-analysis, we derived the difference 298
between pooled ES estimates from trials with and without the characteristic of interest (e.g., 299
allocation concealment). A negative difference in ES indicates that trials without the 300
characteristic of interest show a more beneficial effect for the experimental group. 301
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The second level analysis (between meta-analyses) involved pooling the results of the 302
previous analysis to describe the effect of each trial component across all meta-analyses. The 303
effect sizes were also combined at this stage using the DerSimonian and Laird random-effects 304
models 25
to allow for between meta-analysis heterogeneity. 305
Formal tests of interaction between adequate sequence generation and concealment of 306
allocation and estimated treatment benefits were performed separately for each meta-analysis 307
based on Z scores using the estimated difference in ES between trials with and without 308
adequate sequence and concealment of allocation and the corresponding standard error (SE). 309
We additionally stratified analyses accompanied by interaction tests according to the pre-310
specified characteristics as reported by Nuesch et al1 1) treatment benefit in overall meta-311
analysis: small [ES greater than -0.5] versus large [ES ≤ to -0.5]; between-trial heterogeneity 312
in overall meta-analysis (low [τ2 <0.06] versus high [τ
2 ≥0.06]), nature of the outcome 313
(subjective or objective) and if the intervention was classified as musculoskeletal or other PT 314
area. 315
316
In order to evaluate the effect of random sequence generation and allocation concealment on 317
treatment effect estimates, we limited the analyses to studies describing a true control group, 318
or placebo intervention as well as studies in which the direction of the expected treatment 319
effect was evident (i.e. standard care vs. standard care plus active intervention; and active 320
intervention 1 plus active intervention 2 vs. active intervention 1). 321
322
Finally, results of our analyses were pooled with results from the meta-epidemiological study 323
performed by Nuesch et al.1, which also investigated the effect of concealment of allocation 324
on treatment effects on osteoarthritis measured on a continuous scale. Stata statistical software 325
version 12 was used to perform these analyses. 326
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RESULTS 327
Selection and characteristics of meta-analyses and RCTs 328
The search identified 3901 Cochrane reviews, with 271 reviews potentially relevant to PT. Of 329
these, 68 reviews included a meta-analysis of at least three studies of PT interventions and 330
used a continuous outcome. We randomly selected 44 meta-analyses but excluded one 26
331
because it used follow-up data from the same group rather than a control group for 332
comparison (Figure 1). Forty-three meta-analyses including 393 trials and analyzing 44,622 333
patients contributed to this study. Table 1 summarizes the characteristics of the 43 Cochrane 334
reviews. Briefly, the reviews were published between 2008 and 2011 and included meta-335
analyses of the effectiveness of PT interventions for musculoskeletal (22 reviews)27-35
, 336
cardiorespiratory (9 reviews)36-44
, neurological (6 reviews)45-51
, and other areas of physical 337
therapy (6 reviews).51-56
A median number of 6 trials were included in the meta-analyses 338
(interquartile range 5-8). Most trials were parallel group trials (367; 93.4%), single-center 339
studies (298; 76%) and had active control interventions (362; 92%). The most common 340
intervention was exercise (n=282, 71.8%). Supplementary Table S1 (Appendix 1) lists the 341
characteristics of each of the 43 meta-analyses. 342
343
Sequence generation descriptive 344
From the 393 trials included in the 43 meta-analyses, 156 trials (39.7%) had appropriate 345
sequence generation and 237 (60.3%) had inappropriate sequence generation (229 were 346
classified as “unclear” and 8 as “high” risk of bias) according to the Cochrane Collaboration 347
guidelines. 348
When analyzing the sequence generation categories, we found that 229 trials (58.27%) did not 349
clearly report the mechanism of how the sequence was generated. One hundred and thirty two 350
trials (33.6%) generated the sequence through computer software, a table of random numbers, 351
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or by minimization method. For a more specific sequence generation methods description, see 352
Table 2. 353
In addition, simple randomization was reported in 34 trials, block randomization in 54 trials, 354
stratification in 62 trials, and unclear or not reported in 218 trials. The rest of the trials 355
reported other methods of random sequence generation. 356
357
Allocation Concealment descriptive 358
From the 43 meta-analysis and 393 trials, 45 trials (11.5%) had appropriate allocation 359
concealment and 348 (88.6%) had inappropriate concealment of allocation according to the 360
Cochrane Collaboration guidelines. Results of analysis of the allocation concealment within 361
each category were as follows: 282 trials (71.8%) had unclear method of allocation 362
concealment, 21 (5.34%) trials used central allocation, 24 (6.11%) trials used envelopes with 363
all 3 safe wards (opaque, sealed, and sequentially numbered), 15 (3.82%) trials used 364
envelopes without safeguards, and 51 (16.8%) trials used any other non-concealed methods. 365
Further details on allocation concealment methods are displayed in Table 3. 366
Sequence Generation and allocation concealment descriptive 367
Only 8.9% of the trials (n=35) had both appropriate sequence generation and appropriate 368
allocation concealment. A great percentage (51%; n=199) of the trials did not have either 369
appropriate sequence generation or appropriate concealment of allocation. 370
371
Sequence generation and treatment effects in PT trials 372
For the purpose of analyzing the effect of sequence generation on treatment effects, 22 meta-373
analyses including 257 trials and analyzing 30,287 patients contributed to this analysis. 374
Figure 2 shows the forest plot of the differences in effect sizes between trials with adequate 375
and inadequate random sequence generation. There was no statistically significant difference 376
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between the ES of trials with adequate or inadequate random sequence generation (ES=0.02; 377
95%CI -0.12; 0.15). The results of the stratified analyses are displayed in Figure 3. None of 378
the meta-analyses characteristics had a statistically significant interaction. 379
380
When analyzing trials belonging only to category 2 which included trials that had adequate 381
sequence generation (e.g. use of a computer software, random number table, and 382
minimization) vs. unclear or not reported sequence generation, no statistically significant 383
difference between the ESs of these trials was found (ES=0.10; 95%CI -0.04; 0.23). However, 384
trials with unclear or not reported sequence generation tended to overestimate the treatment 385
effect when compared with trials with adequate sequence generation from category 2. It was 386
not possible to conduct the subgroup analysis between trials of category 2 vs trials from 387
category 4 (using inappropriate methods to perform sequence generation such as date of 388
birth, day of admission, hospital record number) since there were not enough trials for such 389
analysis. 390
391
Allocation Concealment and treatment effects in PT trials 392
For the purpose of analyzing the effect of allocation concealment on treatment effects, 17 393
meta-analyses including 198 trials and analyzing 27,011 patients contributed to this analysis. 394
Figure 4 shows the forest plot of the differences in effect sizes between trial with adequate 395
and inadequate allocation concealment. Although trials with inappropriate allocation 396
concealment tended to have an overestimate treatment effect when compared with trials with 397
adequate concealment of allocation, the difference was non-statistically significant (ES=0.12; 398
95%CI -0.06; 0.30). The results of the stratified analyses are displayed in Figure 5. None of 399
the meta-analyses characteristics had a statistically significant interaction. When focusing on 400
trials with appropriate allocation concealment (category 1 and 2) vs. trials with clearly 401
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inappropriate methods of concealment (category 4), the difference was not statistically 402
significant (ES=0.26; 95%CI -0.04; 0.55). However, trials with clearly inappropriate methods 403
of concealment (category 4) tended to overestimate the treatment effects. The same was the 404
case when comparing the trials with appropriate allocation concealment (category 1 and 2) vs. 405
trials with unclear or unreported concealment of allocation (ES=0.20; 95%CI 0.05; 0.34). This 406
time, the difference between these trials was statistically significant. 407
408
Pooling results with a previous meta-epidemiological study 1 409
When pooling our results with those of Nuesch et al.1, who performed a meta-epidemiological 410
study with continuous outcomes as well, we obtained a pooled statistically significant value 411
(ES= 0.14; 95%CI 0.02; 0.26), meaning that trials with inappropriate concealment of 412
allocation had more beneficial effect than trials with appropriate concealment of allocation 413
(Figure 6). 414
415
DISCUSSION 416
Our findings showed that adequate sequence generation and appropriate allocation 417
concealment were only accomplished in a low percentage of PT trials (39.7% and 11.5%, 418
respectively). In addition only 8.9% of the trials (n=35) had both appropriate sequence 419
generation and appropriate allocation concealment despite the fact that both of the above-420
mentioned risk of bias domains can be always appropriately performed when conducting an 421
RCT in any field.57
In addition, trials with inappropriate concealment of allocation had an 422
overestimation of treatment effects when compared with trials with adequate concealment of 423
allocation. However, no difference in treatment effects in trials with appropriate or 424
inappropriate sequence generation was found. These results confirm previous results obtained 425
by several meta-epidemiological studies investigating the influence of sequence generation 426
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and allocation concealment on several areas of medicine using dichotomous 427
outcomes.7,8,11,12,58
In addition, the pooled estimate obtained from our study and that of 428
Nuesch et al.,1 indicated that trials with inappropriate allocation concealment had a more 429
beneficial effect than those with appropriate allocation concealment. 430
These results have important implications for the research community in general as well as for 431
the discipline of PT. To our knowledge; this study is the first of its kind conducted in PT that 432
examined continuous outcomes. Thus, it provides novel evidence in a very specific area of 433
health. Most of the previous studies were looking at medical areas, such as pregnancy and 434
childbirth, circulatory conditions, infectious disease, surgery, and mental health trials. All of 435
these medical areas certainly differ from PT with respect to: type of intervention (being 436
mostly drugs), type of outcomes used, and specific area of study. 437
438
First, it is not surprising that a large number of trials did not clearly report either 439
randomization sequence or allocation concealment or both. Our findings showed that 440
approximately 62% and 70% of studies were classified as ‘unclear/not reported’ in their 441
reporting of sequence generation and allocation concealment, respectively. This has also been 442
observed in a meta-epidemiological study investigating meta-analyses before 2005.2 The 443
study found a 64% and 69% of “unclear” reporting of sequence generation and allocation 444
concealment, respectively.2 Thus, despite the efforts made to improve reporting of RCTs such 445
as introducing the CONSORT Statement, there is still inappropriate reporting and 446
implementation of these important characteristics in RCTs. This is in agreement with results 447
reported by Moseley et al., 16
who found little or no effect of the CONSORT Statement on the 448
quality of reports of physiotherapy trials. Quality of reporting has always been an issue when 449
trying to understand the association between trial characteristics and treatments effects since 450
most of authors do not properly report their methods. Although inappropriate reporting does 451
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not always reflect on weak trial conduct, 59
some studies such as Pildal et al.,12
found that 452
most trials with unclear allocation concealment had also unclear allocation concealment in 453
their protocol. Therefore, quality of reporting is related to assessment of risk of bias, but the 454
direction of this relationship is still unclear. Future studies should assess how, how much, and 455
in which direction trial reporting affects treatment effects. 456
457
The magnitude and direction of the effect found in our study is consistent and almost identical 458
with a previously published study performed in osteoarthritic trials investigating allocation 459
concealment. In our study, the average bias associated with lack of allocation concealment 460
corresponds to ¼ or ½ of a typical treatment effect found in PT interventions.60-63
461
Furthermore, the overestimation of a treatment effect was even higher when only focusing the 462
analysis to trials with clearly inappropriate methods of allocation concealment. As stated by 463
others,2,8
if allocation concealment is not accomplished, it is more likely that the results of the 464
trial are inaccurate because, intentionally or unintentionally, investigators could have 465
interfered with assigning subjects to different groups, favoring the effect of the intervention. 466
In addition, allocation concealment could be a proxy measure for other aspects of trial design 467
besides selection bias.2,8
468
469
Random sequence generation was found not to be significantly associated with distortion of 470
treatment effects in this study. Thus, it appears that random sequence generation does not 471
have such a strong influence on treatment effects in comparison with concealment of 472
allocation based on the results of the present study. Other meta-epidemiological studies have 473
found similar results. 8,11,64
One of these studies, performed by Balk et al., 64
has been 474
questioned because of the high heterogeneity between trials included in meta-analysis. This 475
could introduce a higher noise to be able to detect any effect of the trials characteristics. The 476
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other studies reported the same results argue that sequence generation is still an important 477
characteristic that ensures rigor in the trial by allowing a trial to be concealed.8,11
In addition, 478
other authors have suggested that the relationship between certain methodological 479
characteristics and treatment effects varies according to each health area 64,65
and more work 480
should be done in other health areas to confirm these results.64,65
481
482
Our stratified analysis for sequence generation and allocation concealment showed that none 483
of the meta-analysis characteristics presented with significant interaction. This is somehow 484
contrary to other meta-epidemiological studies. For example, Wood et al.,3 and Savovic et 485
al.,2 found that there was an overestimation of treatment effects that ranged between 22%-486
31% for subjective outcomes. We followed exactly the same definition for determining 487
outcomes as “objective and subjective” used by Wood et al., 3 to facilitate comparisons and 488
avoid misclassifications. Thus, it seems that for PT area, there is no evidence of bias 489
regarding random sequence generation or allocation concealment when subjective or 490
objective outcome are used. This could be attributed to the fact that both domains can be 491
performed in a trial regardless of the outcome analyzed. Thus, whether the outcome is 492
objective or subjective does not affect whether it is easier or not to predict patient’s prognosis 493
at the time of recruitment. 494
495
Study limitations 496
We analyzed the influence of random sequence generation and allocation concealment on 497
treatment effect estimates. It could be possible that other biases interact with these biases and 498
have an influence in the treatment effects. This should include a multivariate analysis where 499
several biases should be taken into consideration. Future research should look into this. 500
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However, such analysis would require meta-analyses with a large number of included studies, 501
which are extremely rare; this makes such an analysis hard to be performed. 502
503
We limited our analysis to trials describing a true control group (i.e. group receiving no 504
treatment, or a waiting list), or placebo intervention as well as those studies in which the 505
direction of expected treatment effect was evident. In this way, we could anticipate the 506
direction of the bias in analyses. Combining effects of all trials without clear direction of what 507
would be the effect (i.e. in case of 2 similar active interventions) would have increased noise 508
in the analyses and heterogeneity limiting our ability to find any significant effect of trials 509
characteristics.66
However, limiting our analyses to these trials, we also reduced the power of 510
our study. 511
512
CONCLUSIONS 513
Trials with inappropriate concealment of allocation had an overestimation of treatment effects 514
when compared with trials with adequate concealment of allocation. Our results suggest that 515
when evaluating risk of bias of primary RCTs in PT area, systematic reviewers and clinicians 516
implementing trial findings into their clinical practice should pay attention to these 517
characteristics, especially allocation concealment since it can be associated with an 518
exaggeration of a treatment effect. Systematic reviewers should perform sensitivity analysis 519
including trials with low risk of bias in these domains as primary analysis and/or in 520
combination with less restrictive analyses. In addition, appropriate methods of sequence 521
generation as well as allocation concealment should be implemented. Authors and editors 522
should make sure that allocation concealment and random sequence generation are properly 523
reported in trial reports. 524
525
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Acknowledgements: This project is funded the Canadian Institutes of Health Research 526
(CIHR), Alberta Innovates Health Solutions through a knowledge translation initiative grant, 527
the Knowledge Translation (KT) Canada research Stipend program, and the Physiotherapy 528
Foundation of Canada (PFC) through a B.E. Schnurr Memorial Fund Award. 529
The funding bodies had no input in the design, collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; 530
in the writing of the manuscript; and in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. 531
This Research protocol has been approved by the Ethics Board of the University of Alberta 532
(Pro00038172). 533
Dr. Susan Armijo-Olivo is supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) 534
through a full-time Banting fellowship, the Alberta Innovates Health Solution through an 535
incentive award, the STIHR Training Program from Knowledge Translation (KT) Canada, the 536
University of Alberta, and by the Faculty of rehabilitation Medicine, at the University of 537
Alberta, through the “Music and Motion Fellowship”. 538
Dr. Greta Cummings is holds a Centennial Professorship at the University of Alberta (2013-539
2020). 540
Dr. Fuentes is supported by the Government of Chile, University of Alberta through a 541
Dissertation fellowship, and the University Catholic of Maule. 542
Dr. Humam Saltaji is supported through a Clinician Fellowship Award by Alberta Innovates - 543
Health Solutions (AIHS), the Honorary Izaak Walton Killam Memorial Scholarship by the 544
University of Alberta, and the Honorary WCHRI Award by the Women and Children’s 545
Health Research Institute (WCHRI). 546
In addition, the authors of this study thank the Alberta Research Center for Health Evidence 547
(ARCHE) at the University of Alberta and all research assistants who helped with data 548
collection 549
550
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Competing Interest 551
The author(s) declare that they have no competing interests. 552
553 Ethics approval: The University of Alberta Ethics Committee(s) approved this study 554
555
556
Authors’ contributions 557
558 SAO provided concept/idea/research design and writing. Performed the experiments: SAO, 559
CH, JF, HS. Interpretation of the results and review of the final manuscript: SAO, BRdaC, 560
GGC, CH, JF, HS. Analyzed the data: SAO, BRdaC. Wrote the paper: All authors critically 561
revised and provided final approval of the version to be published. 562
563
Data Sharing Statement 564
No additional data available 565
Justification that this study does not require a checklist: 566
This study is considered a meta-epidemiological research study. We feel that none of the 567
checklists is applicable for this type of study. 568
Figure Legends 569
Figure 1. Diagram for identification of studies 570
Figure 2. Forest plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 571
Adequate Sequence Generation 572
Figure 3. Forest Plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 573
Sequence Generation Stratified by Meta-analyses characteristics (Effect size Magnitude, 574
Heterogeneity, Type outcome, and PT area). 575
576
Figure 4. Forest plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 577
Adequate Concealment of Allocation 578
Figure 5. Forest Plot of the Differences in Effect sizes between Trials with and without 579
Adequate Concealment of Allocation Stratified by Meta-analyses characteristics (Effect 580
size Magnitude, Heterogeneity, Type outcome, and PT area) 581
Figure 6. Pooled Data of the Effect of Concealment of Allocation on Treatment Effect 582
Estimates using Continuous Outcomes 583
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63. Pollock A, Baer G, Langhorne P, Pomeroy V. Physiotherapy treatment approaches for 780
the recovery of postural control and lower limb function following stroke: A 781
systematic review. Clinical Rehabilitation. 2007;21(5):395-410. 782
64. Balk EM, Bonis PAL, Moskowitz H, et al. Correlation of quality measures with 783
estimates of treatment effect in meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials. Journal 784
of the American Medical Association. 2002;287(22):2973-2982. 785
65. Verhagen AP, de Vet HCW, Willemsen S, Stijnen T. A meta-regression analysis 786
shows no impact of design characteristics on outcome in trials on tension-type 787
headaches. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 2008;61(8):813-818. 788
66. Hempel S. Detection of associations between trial quality and effect sizes. 2012; 789
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK84249/. 790
791 792
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Table 1. Characteristics of the Selected Meta-analysis within Physical Therapy Areas 830 831
832
Musculoskeletal Cardio respiratory Neurology Other
Characteristics Number of meta-analyses 22 9 6 6 Median year of publication 2009 2010 2009 2009 Total number of trials included 194 78 52 69 Total number of patients included
19861 9015 2138 13608
Main intervention Exercise 13 7 3 5 Physical Agents 1 0 1 0 Acupuncture 2 0 0 0 Manual Therapy 1 0 0 0 Other 1 2 2 1 Outcomes Clinician assessed outcome 8 4 6 3 Self-reported outcome 11 4 0 2 Administrative data or automated outcome
3 1 0 1
833
834
835
836
Table 2. Methods of Sequence Generation in Physical therapy Trials 837
838
Sequence Generation Methods Number of trials (%)
Unclear/ Not reported 232 (59.03%)
Computer Software 65 (16.54%)
Random Number table 60 (13.49%)
Drawing of lots 12 (3.05%)
Shuffling cards or envelopes 9 (2.29%)
Minimization 6 (1.52%)
Other non-random methods 4 (4.33%)
Coin Tossing 1 (0.25%)
Date of birth 1 (0.25%)
Day of admission 1 (0.25%)
Hospital/institution records number 1 (0.25%)
Throwing a dice 1 (0.25%)
Total 393 (100%)
839
840
841
842
843
844
845
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Table 3. Methods of Allocation Concealment in Physical therapy Trials 846
847 Allocation Concealment Methods Number of trials (%)
Unclear/ Not reported 282 (71.76%)
Central Concealment 21 (5.34%)
Sequentially numbered, opaque and sealed envelopes
24 (6.11%)
Unsafe envelopes 15 (3.82%)
Non-safe methods of allocation 51 (12.98%)
Total 393 (100%)
848 849 850
851
852 853
854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864
865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872
873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880
881
882
883
884
885
886
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887
888
889
890
891
892 893
894
895
896
897 898
899
900
901
902
903
904
905
906
907
908
909
910
911
912
913
914
915
916
917
918
919
920
921 922
923
924
925
926
927
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
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937
938
939
940
941
942
943
944
945
946
947
948
949
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Appendix 1. Characteristics of Selected Meta-analyses Author Year # of
trials Pt in
tx Pt in
control # of Pt
included Outcome Outcome Source
Type of outcome Area Specific
Area
Pollock, A 2009 5 213 209 422 Functional Independence Scale
Clinician assessment Ob Neuro Other
States, R 2009 6 195 186 381 Gait speed (m/s) (higher is better)
Clinician assessment Ob Neuro Exercise
Schaafsma, F 2011 5 1057 Time to return to work (lower is better)
Administrative data Ob MSK Exercise
Markes, M 2009 4 127 80 207 CR fitness (12 min
walking test), higher is better
Clinician assessment Ob MSK Exercise
McNeely, M 2010 6 166 158 324 Shoulder flexion ROM in degrees
Clinician assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Cramp, F 2010 27 1662 742 940 Fatigue Self-report Sub Other Exercise
Main, E 2010 7 201 Pulmonary function (FEV1)
Clinician assessment Ob CR Chest PT
Davies, E 2010 9 1554 1555 3109 Health-related QoL Self-report Sub CR Exercise
Busch, A 2008 6 188 161 349 Tender points number
Clinician assessment
(self-reported pain at
examination]
Sub MSK Exercise
Liu, C 2009 33 1076 1096 2172 Main function measure (higher is better)
Self-report (clinician
assessment] Sub MSK Exercise
Furlan, A 2011 3 188 168 356 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Acupuncture
Fransen, M 2009 5 102 102 204 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Exercise
Ostelo, R 2011 3 77 45 122 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Exercise
Taylor, R 2010 12 817 740 1557 Exercise capacity 3-12 mo (higher is better)
Clinician assessment Ob CR Exercise
Harvey, L 2010 8 193 186 379 Active knee flexion (ROM)
Clinician assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Mead, GE 2010 23 476 431 907 Reduction of
depression symptoms post-tx (lower is better)
Clinician assessment Sub Neuro Exercise
Edmonds, M 2010 5 143 143 286 Chalder fatigue scale (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK,
educa Exercise
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tion
Howe, TE 2008 5 140 164 304 Gait speed (20 min
walk test) (s), (lower is better)
Clinician assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Fransen, M 2009 31 2074 1542 3616 Pain (higher is worse) Self-Report Sub MSK Exercise
Lin, CH 2008 8 513 Activity limitation
questionnaire (activity level) higher is better
Self-Report/performa
nce test Sub MSK Exercise;
other
Rutjes, AW 2010 5 177 143 320 Pain (higher is worse) Self-Report Sub MSK Exercise, other
Woodford, HJ 2009 5 47 44 91 Change in ROM (higher is better)
Clinician Assessment Ob Neuro PA, exercise
Saunders, DH 2009 7 194 177 371 Gait speed (m/min) Clinician Assessment Ob MSK Exercise
O'Brien , K 2010 5 145 131 276 Vo2 max (ml/kg/min) Clinician Assessment Ob CR Exercise
Sirtoti, V 2009 6 96 88 184 Disability post-
intervention. (higher is better]
Clinician assessment Sub Neuro Other
Hayden, J 2011 13 704 669 1373
Function measure (Oswestry low back
pain disability, lower is better)
Self-report Sub MSK Exercise, other
Orozco, LJ 2008 6 1668 1647 3315 Change in fasting plasma glucose (mg/dl)
Laboratory measure
(physiological measures)
Ob Other Exercise, education
De Morton, N 2009 5 1621 1857 3478 Acute hospital length of stay
Administrative data Ob MSK Other
Mehrholz, J 2010 7 76 77 153 Gait speed Clinician assessment Ob Neuro Exercise
Shaw, K 2009 15 595 484 1079 Wt change in kilograms (higher is worse)
Clinician assessment Ob CR Exercise
Handholl, H 2009 8 817 846 1663 Length of hospital stay Administrative data Ob MSK Other
Effing, T 2009 6 381 317 698 HRQOL: SGRQ total (0-100, lower is better) Self-report Sub
CR education,
prevention
Education
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Bendermacher, B 2009 6 118 118 236 Maximal treadmill
walking distance Clinician
assessment Ob
Other (cardiovascular)
Exercise
Bonaiuti D, 2009 8 166 170 336 BMD Clinician assessment Ob MSK Exercise
Foster, C 2009 17 4395 3203 7598
Change in self-reported physical activity
between BL and follow-up
Self-report Sub Other (GYN
) Other
Jolliffe, J 2009 8 610 588 1198 Total cholesterol Lab measure (physiological
measures) Ob CR Exercise
Katalinic, O 2010 7 96 97 193 Joint mobility (ROM) Clinician assessment Ob MSK
Manual Therapy, exercise
Lacasse, Y 2009 11 326 292 618 Quality of Life (Fatigue) Self-report Sub CR Exercise
Puhan, M 2010 5 279 CRQ (higher is better] Self-report Ob CR Exercise
Kramer, M 2010 6 280 276 556 Birth weight (higher is better]
Clinician assessment Ob Other Exercise
Rutjes, AW 2010 11 275 190 465 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK PA
Watson 2008 6 129 112 241 Treadmill walking distance
Clinician assessment Ob Other Exercise
Manheimer E, 2010 7 902 871 1773 Pain (higher is worse) Self-report Sub MSK Acupuncture, exercise
BL = baseline; BMD = bone mineral density; CR = cardiorespiratory; CRQ = Chronic respiratory disease questionnaire; FEV1 = ; GYN = gynaecological; Lab = laboratory; min = minute; mo = month(s); MSK = musculoskeletal; Neuro = neurology; Ob = objective; PA = physical agents; PT = physiotherapy; ROM = range of motion; Sub = subjective; tx = treatment; wt = weight; pt=patients
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