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Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008

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Page 1: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Board Business Meeting Packet

February 18, 2008

Page 2: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Action Items

Page 3: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008

BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing

PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO

DESCRIPTION: The District has two bond issues outstanding that could be refinanced resulting in a savings to the taxpayer.

FISCAL NOTE: If refinancing is approved, dependent on the actual new interest rates, the District will be able to lower the mill rate required for debt service. The savings are not available for other uses.

STRATEGIC PLAN: The potential mill rate reduction will help reduce local taxes..

RECOMMENDATION: Recommend approval

ACTION TAKEN:

Page 4: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Racine Unified School District

February 11, 2008

Keith A. Kolb, Managing Director [email protected] 777 East Wisconsin Avenue Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202 800-792-2473 / 414-298-7354 Fax

Page 5: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Recommended Refinancing Plan

February 11, 2008

G.O. Municipal Interest RatesBond Buyer-20 Index

1980-Present

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

11.00%

12.00%

13.00%

14.00%

Jan-80

Jun-81

Dec-82

Jun-84

Nov-85

May-87

Nov-88

May-90

Oct-91

Apr-93

Oct-94

Mar-96

Sep-97

Mar-99

Aug-00

Feb-02

Aug-03

Feb-05

Aug-06

Jan-08

Source: The Bond Buyer

Current Rate01/31/2008 - 4.39%

Interest Rate Update (see G.O. Municipal Interest Rates graph)

1999 Taxable Bonds Being Refunded Amount: $12,035,000 •

Current Rates: 7.35 – 7.55% % •

• Maturities: 2014 – 2019 • Callable: April 1, 2010

Refinance higher rate debt with lower rate debt

• nds deposited into escrow

t

tual Savings Net) • Gross (after costs) ................................................ $1,246,851 • Present Value of Savings........................................ $743,513 • Present Value Savings................................................6.868%

Refunding Schedule • Establish required savings amount (Percentage or Dollar

Savings) • Direct Baird to work with staff to prepare necessary

documents • Target sale date for refunding bonds • If required savings available on target date, Baird will lock

in rates for board approval • If required savings are not available on target date, Baird

will continue to monitor market and keep District posted

Refunding Process •

(estimated 3.55% to 5.10%) Proceeds from refunding bo

• Payoff interest and principal of Refunded Bonds on calldate District pays the interest and principal of the lower rate Refunding Bonds

O her Considerations • State Aid

Partial Refunding •

Estimated Savings (Ac

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Page 6: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

PreliminaryTaxable - Select Maturities

Racine Unified School DistrictSummary of Refinancing

BEFORE REFUNDING * AFTER REFUNDING*

$23,475,000 * $23,475,000 $12,035,000 TOTAL DEBTTaxable G.O. Refunding Bonds * Taxable G.O. Refunding Bonds Taxable G.O. Refunding Bonds NEW DEBT SERVICE

Dated September 1, 1999 * Dated September 1, 1999 Dated April 1, 2008 SERVICE SAVINGSCalendar PRINCIPAL RATE INTEREST TOTAL * PRINCIPAL RATE INTEREST TOTAL PRINCIPAL RATE INTEREST TOTAL

Year (4/1) (4/1 & 10/1) * (4/1) (4/1 & 10/1) (4/1) (4/1 & 10/1)***

2008 $970,000 7.050% $1,276,250 $2,246,250 * $970,000 7.050% $871,618 $1,841,618 $278,715 $278,715 $2,120,333 $125,9182009 $1,035,000 7.100% $1,205,315 $2,240,315 * $1,035,000 7.100% $396,050 $1,431,050 $255,000 3.550% $552,904 $807,904 $2,238,954 $1,3612010 $1,110,000 7.150% $1,128,890 $2,238,890 * $1,110,000 7.150% $319,625 $1,429,625 $265,000 3.600% $543,608 $808,608 $2,238,233 $6582011 $1,195,000 7.200% $1,046,188 $2,241,188 * $1,195,000 7.200% $236,923 $1,431,923 $275,000 3.750% $533,681 $808,681 $2,240,604 $5842012 $1,285,000 7.250% $956,586 $2,241,586 * $1,285,000 7.250% $147,321 $1,432,321 $285,000 3.950% $522,896 $807,896 $2,240,218 $1,3692013 $1,380,000 7.300% $859,635 $2,239,635 * $1,380,000 7.300% $50,370 $1,430,370 $295,000 4.150% $511,146 $806,146 $2,236,516 $3,1192014 $1,485,000 7.350% $754,691 $2,239,691 * *** $1,770,000 4.300% $466,970 $2,236,970 $2,236,970 $2,7212015 $1,600,000 7.400% $640,918 $2,240,918 * *** $1,850,000 4.550% $386,828 $2,236,828 $2,236,828 $4,0902016 $1,725,000 7.450% $517,461 $2,242,461 * *** $1,940,000 4.700% $299,150 $2,239,150 $2,239,150 $3,3112017 $1,855,000 7.500% $383,643 $2,238,643 * *** $1,615,000 4.800% $214,800 $1,829,800 $1,829,800 $408,8432018 $2,000,000 7.550% $238,580 $2,238,580 * *** $1,695,000 5.000% $133,665 $1,828,665 $1,828,665 $409,9152019 $2,160,000 7.550% $81,540 $2,241,540 * *** $1,790,000 5.100% $45,645 $1,835,645 $1,835,645 $405,895

*$17,800,000 $9,089,696 $26,889,696 * $6,975,000 $2,021,906 $8,996,906 $12,035,000 $4,490,008 $16,525,008 $25,521,914 $1,367,783

CALLABLE MATURITIES *** TO BE REFUNDED WITH 2008 ISSUE. LESS TRANSFER FROM PRIOR ISSUE D/S FUND… ($125,918)ROUNDING AMOUNT................................................. $4,986

Sources Of Funds GROSS SAVINGS.....................................……........... $1,246,851Par Amount of Bonds $12,035,000Transfers from Prior Issue D/S Funds $125,918 PRESENT VALUE SAVINGS...................……………… $743,513

PV SAVINGS %...............…………………………….... 6.868%Total Sources $12,160,918

Uses Of Funds Deposit to Net Cash Escrow Fund $11,984,894Total Underwriter's Discount (0.750%) $90,263Gross Bond Insurance Premium ( 30.0 bp) $49,575Bond Counsel (Estimate) $15,000Rating Agency Fee (Estimate) $10,000Rounding Amount $4,986Escrow Agent Fee (Estimate) $2,500CPA Verification Fee (Estimate) $2,500POS/Official Statement $1,200

Total Uses $12,160,918

Prepared by Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated S:\school district\racine unified sd\existing debt\ar7 racine sd.xls /prh 2/7/2008

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Page 7: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Recommended Refinancing Plan

February 11, 2008

G.O. Municipal Interest RatesBond Buyer-20 Index

1980-Present

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

11.00%

12.00%

13.00%

14.00%

Jan-80

Jun-81

Dec-82

Jun-84

Nov-85

May-87

Nov-88

May-90

Oct-91

Apr-93

Oct-94

Mar-96

Sep-97

Mar-99

Aug-00

Feb-02

Aug-03

Feb-05

Aug-06

Jan-08

Source: The Bond Buyer

Current Rate01/31/2008 - 4.39%

Interest Rate Update (see G.O. Municipal Interest Rates graph)

2001 Bonds Being Refunded Amount: $4,045,000 •

Current Rates: 5.00% – 5.50 % •

• Maturities: 2016 – 2021 • Callable: April 1, 2011

Refinance higher rate debt with lower rate debt

• onds deposited into escrow

t

tual Savings Net) • Gross (after costs) ................................................... $135,805 • Present Value of Savings.......................................... $86,179 • Present Value Savings................................................2.320%

Refunding Schedule • Establish required savings amount (Percentage or Dollar

Savings) • Direct Baird to work with staff to prepare necessary

documents • Target sale date for refunding bonds • If required savings available on target date, Baird will lock

in rates for board approval • If required savings are not available on target date, Baird

will continue to monitor market and keep District posted

Refunding Process •

Estimated 3.00% - 4.00%) Proceeds from refunding b

• Payoff interest and principal of Refunded Bonds on calldate District pays the interest and principal of the lower rate Refunding Bonds

O her Considerations • State Aid

Partial Refunding •

Estimated Savings (Ac

mfeick
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Page 8: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

PreliminaryTax Exempt - Select Maturities

Racine Unified School DistrictSummary of Refinancing

BEFORE REFUNDING * AFTER REFUNDING*

$10,985,000 * $10,985,000 $4,045,000 TOTAL DEBTGeneral Obligation Refunding Bonds * General Obligation Refunding Bonds General Obligation Refunding Bonds NEW DEBT SERVICE

Dated November 1, 2001 * Dated November 1, 2001 Dated April 1, 2008 SERVICE SAVINGSCalendar PRINCIPAL RATE INTEREST TOTAL * PRINCIPAL RATE INTEREST TOTAL PRINCIPAL RATE INTEREST TOTAL

Year (4/1) (4/1 & 10/1) * (4/1) (4/1 & 10/1) (4/1) (4/1 & 10/1)***

2008 $695,000 4.000% $339,745 $1,034,745 * $695,000 4.000% $242,595 $937,595 $76,681 $76,681 $1,014,276 $20,4692009 $390,000 4.000% $318,045 $708,045 * $390,000 4.000% $123,745 $513,745 $40,000 3.000% $152,763 $192,763 $706,508 $1,5382010 $410,000 3.900% $302,250 $712,250 * $410,000 3.900% $107,950 $517,950 $40,000 3.000% $151,563 $191,563 $709,513 $2,7382011 $425,000 4.000% $285,755 $710,755 * $425,000 4.000% $91,455 $516,455 $40,000 3.000% $150,363 $190,363 $706,818 $3,9382012 $445,000 4.100% $268,133 $713,133 * $445,000 4.100% $73,833 $518,833 $45,000 3.250% $149,031 $194,031 $712,864 $2692013 $470,000 4.250% $249,023 $719,023 * $470,000 4.250% $54,723 $524,723 $45,000 3.250% $147,569 $192,569 $717,291 $1,7312014 $490,000 4.400% $228,255 $718,255 * $490,000 4.400% $33,955 $523,955 $45,000 3.250% $146,106 $191,106 $715,061 $3,1942015 $515,000 4.500% $205,888 $720,888 * $515,000 4.500% $11,588 $526,588 $45,000 3.500% $144,588 $189,588 $716,175 $4,7132016 $540,000 5.500% $179,450 $719,450 * *** $585,000 3.500% $133,563 $718,563 $718,563 $8882017 $570,000 5.500% $148,925 $718,925 * *** $605,000 3.750% $111,981 $716,981 $716,981 $1,9442018 $600,000 5.500% $116,750 $716,750 * *** $625,000 3.750% $88,919 $713,919 $713,919 $2,8312019 $635,000 5.000% $84,375 $719,375 * *** $620,000 4.000% $64,800 $684,800 $684,800 $34,5752020 $665,000 5.000% $51,875 $716,875 * *** $640,000 4.000% $39,600 $679,600 $679,600 $37,2752021 $705,000 5.000% $17,625 $722,625 * *** $670,000 4.000% $13,400 $683,400 $683,400 $39,225

*$7,555,000 $2,796,093 $10,351,093 * $3,840,000 $739,843 $4,579,843 $4,045,000 $1,570,925 $5,615,925 $10,195,768 $155,325

CALLABLE MATURITIES *** TO BE REFUNDED WITH 2008 ISSUE. LESS TRANSFER FROM PRIOR ISSUE D/S FUND…… ($20,469)ROUNDING AMOUNT.................................................... $949

Sources Of Funds GROSS SAVINGS.....................................…….............. $135,805Par Amount of Bonds $4,045,000Reoffering Premium $61,015 PRESENT VALUE SAVINGS...................……………… $86,179Transfers from Prior Issue D/S Funds $20,469 PV SAVINGS %...............……………………………....... 2.320% Total Sources $4,126,484

Uses Of Funds Deposit to Net Cash Escrow Fund $4,046,067Total Underwriter's Discount (0.750%) $30,338Gross Bond Insurance Premium ( 50.0 bp) $28,080Bond Counsel (Estimated) $8,000Rating Agency Fee (Estimated) $6,850Escrow Agent Fee (Estimated) $2,500CPA Verification Fee (Estimated) $2,500POS/Official Statement $1,200Rounding Amount $949

Total Uses $4,126,484

Prepared by Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated S:\school district\racine unified sd\existing debt\ar7 racine sd.xls /prh 2/7/2008

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Page 9: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008

Facilities and Operations AGENDA ITEM: Resolution Authorizing the Borrowing of Not to Exceed $1,728,000; and Providing

for the Issuance and Sale of Taxable General Obligation Qualified Zone Academy Promissory Notes Therefore

PRESENTING: Mark Lindem, COO DESCRIPTION: Listed above is the title of the Resolution that has been prepared for consideration

by the District’s Bond Council at the February 18, 2008. School Board meeting. There are two resolutions. If the loan can be placed with a vendor by Monday, the first resolution will be used. If the issue is not placed by Monday, the second will be used and an additional Resolution will be needed at the time of placement. Attached are both resolutions.

FISCAL NOTE: The bond payments will come from general operations. RECOMMENDATION: Approve the Resolution for the QZAB.

Page 10: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

(Resolution if Purchaser is not Identified)

RESOLUTION NO. ____

RESOLUTION AUTHORIZING THE BORROWING OF NOT TO EXCEED $1,728,000; AND

PROVIDING FOR THE ISSUANCE AND SALE OF TAXABLE GENERAL OBLIGATION QUALIFIED ZONE ACADEMY

PROMISSORY NOTES THEREFOR WHEREAS it is necessary that funds be raised by the Racine Unified School District, Racine County, Wisconsin (the "District") for the public purpose of paying the cost of safety-related projects at certain schools in the District including closed captioned television, keyless entry systems, and acquisition of related security-modernization equipment (the "Project"), and there are insufficient funds on hand to pay said costs; WHEREAS the District hereby finds and determines that the Project is within the District’s power to undertake and serves a "public purpose" as that term is defined in Section 67.04(1)(b) of the Wisconsin Statutes; WHEREAS school districts are authorized by the provisions of Section 67.12(12) of the Wisconsin Statutes to borrow money and to issue general obligation promissory notes for such public purposes; and

WHEREAS, the School Board of the District heretofore has directed its financial advisor, McLiney And Company, ("McLiney") to assist the District in selling the general obligation promissory notes as taxable general obligation qualified zone academy promissory notes (the "Notes").

NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the School Board of the District, that; Section 1. Authorization of the Notes. For the purpose of paying the cost of the Project, there shall be borrowed pursuant to Section 67.12(12) of the Wisconsin Statutes, the principal sum of not to exceed ONE MILLION SEVEN HUNDRED TWENTY-EIGHT THOUSAND DOLLARS ($1,728,000) from a purchaser to be determined by subsequent resolution of the School Board (the "Purchaser"). Section 2. Sale of the Notes. To evidence such indebtedness, the District President and District Clerk are hereby authorized, empowered and directed to make, execute, issue and sell to the Purchaser, on behalf of and in the name of the District, the Notes. Section 3. Notice to Electors. Pursuant to Section 67.12(12)(e)2 of the Wisconsin Statutes, the District Clerk shall, within ten (10) days of adoption of this Resolution, cause public notice of such adoption to be given to the electors of the District by publishing a notice in The Journal Times, the official newspaper of the District. The notice to electors shall be in substantially the form attached hereto as Exhibit A and incorporated herein by this reference (the "Notice").

QBACTIVE\6086177.1

Page 11: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

- 2 - QBACTIVE\6086177.1

Section 4. Award of the Notes. Following receipt of the purchase proposal from the Purchaser specifying the terms of and interest rates on the Notes, the School Board shall consider taking further action to provide the details of the Notes and to levy a direct annual irrepealable tax to pay the principal of and interest on the Notes as required by law. Any such further action shall be subject to the condition that no petition for referendum on the question of the issuance of the Notes has been filed within thirty (30) days of publication of the Notice. Section 5. Conflicting Resolutions; Severability; Effective Date. All prior resolutions, rules or other actions of the School Board or any parts thereof in conflict with the provisions hereof shall be, and the same are, hereby rescinded insofar as the same may so conflict. In the event that any one or more provisions hereof shall for any reason be held to be illegal or invalid, such illegality or invalidity shall not affect any other provisions hereof. The foregoing shall take effect immediately upon adoption and approval in the manner provided by law.

Adopted and recorded February 18, 2008.

______________________________ District President

Attest:

______________________________ District Clerk

Page 12: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

- 3 - QBACTIVE\6086177.1

EXHIBIT A

NOTICE TO THE ELECTORS OF THE

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT RACINE COUNTY, WISCONSIN

NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the School Board of the above-named School District, at a regular meeting duly called, noticed, held and conducted on February 18, 2008, adopted a resolution entitled:

RESOLUTION AUTHORIZING THE BORROWING OF NOT TO EXCEED $1,728,000; AND PROVIDING FOR THE ISSUANCE AND SALE OF TAXABLE GENERAL

OBLIGATION QUALIFIED ZONE ACADEMY PROMISSORY NOTES THEREFOR

Said Resolution was adopted pursuant to the provisions of Section 67.12(12) of the Wisconsin Statutes to authorize a borrowing for the public purpose of paying the cost of safety-related projects at certain schools in the District including closed captioned television, keyless entry systems, and acquisition of related security-modernization equipment. Copies of said Resolution are on file in the District office, located at 2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404 and may be inspected weekdays, except holidays, between the hours of 9:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. Section 67.12(12)(e)2 of the Wisconsin Statutes provides in part that a referendum is required on the question of this borrowing only if a petition is filed within 30 days after this publication signed by at least 7,500 District electors or 20% of the District electors voting for Governor at the last general election, whichever is the lesser. If no such petition is filed, then the Resolution shall be effective without a referendum. Dated this ____ day of February, 2008.

BY THE ORDER OF THE SCHOOL BOARD

Gretchen L. Warner District Clerk

Published this ____ day of February, 2008 in The Journal Times.

Page 13: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

(Resolution if Purchaser is Identified)

RESOLUTION NO. ____

RESOLUTION AUTHORIZING THE BORROWING OF NOT TO EXCEED $1,728,000; AND

PROVIDING FOR THE ISSUANCE AND SALE OF TAXABLE GENERAL OBLIGATION QUALIFIED ZONE ACADEMY

PROMISSORY NOTES THEREFOR WHEREAS, it is necessary that funds be raised by the Racine Unified School District, Racine County, Wisconsin (the "District") for the public purpose of paying the cost of safety-related projects at certain schools in the District including closed captioned television, keyless entry systems, and acquisition of related security-modernization equipment (the "Project"), and there are insufficient funds on hand to pay said costs; WHEREAS, the District hereby finds and determines that the Project is within the District’s power to undertake and serves a "public purpose" as that term is defined in Section 67.04(1)(b) of the Wisconsin Statutes; WHEREAS, school districts are authorized by the provisions of Section 67.12(12) of the Wisconsin Statutes to borrow money and to issue general obligation promissory notes for such public purposes;

WHEREAS, the School Board of the District heretofore has directed its financial advisor, McLiney And Company, ("McLiney") to assist the District in selling the general obligation promissory notes as taxable general obligation qualified zone academy promissory notes (the "Notes");

WHEREAS, the Gilmore Middle School, Jerstad Middle School, McKinley Middle School, Starbuck Middle School, Mitchell Middle School, O Brown Elementary, Fratt Elementary, Giese Elementary, Goodland Elementary, Janes Elementary, Jerstad Elementary, Johnson Elementary, Dr. Jones Elementary, Knapp Elementary, Mitchell Elementary, NorthPark Elementary, Red Apple Elementary, Roosevelt Elementary, Schulte Elementary, Julian Thomas Elementary, Wadewitz Elementary, West Ridge Elementary and Wind Point Elementary (collectively, the "Schools") at which the Project will be undertaken have been established by and are operated under the supervision of the District to provide education below the postsecondary level, and (i) the Schools are designed in cooperation with business, (ii) students at the Schools are subject to the same academic standards as other students educated by the District, (iii) the comprehensive education plan of the Schools are approved by the District, and (iv) the District reasonably expects that at least 35% of the students attending the Schools are and will continue to be eligible for free or reduced-cost lunches (collectively, the "Qualified Zone Academy Tests");

WHEREAS, the District expects that the Schools will meet the Qualified Zone Academy Tests for the entire term of the issue of the Notes;

WHEREAS, the District has heretofore received a qualified zone academy bond allocation in support of the Project with respect to the Notes, in the amount of $1,728,000 from

QBACTIVE\6084350.1

Page 14: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

the Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction ("DPI"), as evidenced by an allocation letter from DPI dated May 8, 2007;

WHEREAS, the District on behalf of the School has heretofore received and reviewed written commitments from one or more private entities to make qualified contributions (as defined in Section 1397E(d)(2)(B) of the Internal Revenue Service Code of 1986, as amended (the "Code") (the "Contributions") having a present value (as of the issue date of the Notes) of not less than 10% of the proceeds of the Notes;

WHEREAS, the Project to be financed through the issuance of the Notes does not include expenditures for new construction or to enlarge or acquire existing District buildings; and

WHEREAS, the District Clerk, in consultation with McLiney, prepared an Official Terms of Offering (a copy of which is attached hereto and incorporated herein by this reference) setting forth the details for the aforesaid general obligation promissory notes.

NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the School Board of the District that:

Section 1A. Notice to Electors. Pursuant to Section 67.12(12)(e)2 of the Wisconsin Statutes, the District Clerk shall, within ten (10) days of adoption of this Resolution, cause public notice of such adoption to be given to the electors of the District by publishing a notice in The Journal Times, the official newspaper of the District. The notice to electors shall be in substantially the form attached hereto as Exhibit A and incorporated herein by this reference (the "Notice").

Section 1B. Ratification of the Official Terms of Offering; and Award of the Notes; Award Conditioned on Expiration of Referendum Petition Period. The School Board of the District hereby ratifies and approves the details of the Notes set forth in the Official Terms of Offering attached hereto as Exhibit B as and for the details of the Notes. The Official Terms of Offering and other offering materials prepared and distributed by McLiney are hereby ratified and approved in all respects. All actions taken by officers of the District and McLiney in connection with the preparation and distribution of the Official Terms of Offering are hereby ratified and approved in all respects. The Bid of the Purchaser (a copy of said Bid is attached hereto as Exhibit C and incorporated herein by this reference) offering to purchase the Notes for the sum and pursuant to the terms set forth on the Bid, is hereby accepted; provided, however, that the acceptance of such Bid and the closing on the Notes is expressly subject to the condition that no petition for referendum on the question of the issuance of the Notes has been filed within 30 days of publication of the Notice.

Section 2. Terms of the Notes. (a) The Notes shall be designated "Taxable General Obligation Qualified Zone Academy Promissory Notes" in compliance with Section 1397E(d)(1)(C)(i) of the Code. The Notes shall be dated the date of issuance; shall be in the denomination of $.01; and shall be numbered beginning with R-1. The Notes shall bear interest at the rates per annum set forth in the Bid and shall be payable in installments as set forth on the debt service schedule attached hereto as Exhibit D and incorporated herein by this reference (the "Schedule"). Such maturity date complies with the Bid, which specifies a maturity date equal to the maximum term determined by the Secretary of the United States Treasury Department and

-2- QBACTIVE\6084350.1

Page 15: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

applicable on the date hereof, being the date on which there is a binding contract in writing for the sale of the Notes.

(b) An Eligible Taxpayer (as defined in Section 1397E(d)(6) of the Code) holding a Note on the Credit Allowance Date (as defined in Section 1397E(i)(1) of the Code) will be eligible to receive an annual federal income tax credit. The Credit Allowance Date shall be the last day of the one-year period beginning on the date of issuance of the Notes and the last day of each successive 1-year period thereafter until maturity. Subject to the limitations set forth in Section 1397E(c) of the Code, the amount of the annual federal income tax credit shall equal the product of the applicable credit rate determined by the Secretary of the Treasury for the date indicated on the Notes, multiplied by the face amount of the Note held by the Eligible Taxpayer on the Credit Allowance Date. Pursuant to Section 1397E(j) of the Code, the amount of the annual federal income tax credit shall be included in gross income, and pursuant to Treas. Reg. § 1.1397E-1(f), such credit shall be treated as interest income.

Section 3. Redemption Provisions. (a) The Notes shall not be subject to optional redemption prior to maturity.

(b) The Notes shall be subject to mandatory redemption, as a whole or in part, at a price

equal to the par amount redeemed, plus accrued interest to the date of redemption, to the extent that less than 95% of the proceeds of the Notes are not expended by the end of the five-year period beginning on the date of issuance of the Notes (or, if an extension has been granted under Section 1397E(f)(2) of the Code, then by the close of the extended period), which redemption shall occur within 90 days of the end of such five-year period or extended period.

(c) The Notes shall be subject to mandatory redemption, as a whole and not in part, at a price equal to the par amount redeemed, plus accrued interest to the date of redemption, on the earliest practicable date for which notice can be given in the event that the Internal Revenue Service issues a ruling notice or final determination reducing the annual federal income tax credit described in Section 2, above, as a result of a breach or inaccuracy of any covenants or representations of the District contained in this Resolution or the closing documents executed by the District in connection with the issuance of the Notes.

Section 4. Form of the Notes. The Notes shall be issued in registered form and shall be executed and delivered in substantially the form attached hereto as Exhibit D and incorporated herein by this reference.

Section 5. Direct Annual Irrepealable Tax Levy. (a) For the purpose of paying the principal of and any interest on the Notes as the same becomes due, the full faith, credit and resources of the District are hereby irrevocably pledged, and there is hereby levied upon all of the taxable property of the District a direct annual irrepealable tax in the years and in the amounts set forth on the Schedule.

(b) The direct annual irrepealable tax hereby levied shall be carried onto the tax roll and collected in addition to all other taxes and in the same manner and at the same time as other taxes of the District for said years are collected. So long as any part of the principal of or any interest on the Notes remains unpaid, the tax hereinabove levied shall be and continues irrepealable

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except that the amount of tax carried onto the tax roll may be reduced in any year by the amount of any surplus in the Debt Service Fund Account for the Notes created below.

Section 6. Segregated Debt Service Fund Account. There is hereby established in the District treasury a fund account separate and distinct from all other funds or accounts of the District designated "Debt Service Fund Account for $1,728,000 Racine Unified School District Taxable General Obligation Qualified Zone Academy Promissory Notes," which fund account shall be used solely for the purpose of paying the principal of and interest on the Notes. There shall be deposited in said fund account all accrued interest paid on the Notes at the time the Notes are delivered to the Purchaser, any premium, all money raised by taxation pursuant to Section 5 hereof, and all other sums as may be necessary to pay principal of and interest on the Notes as the same become due. Said fund account shall be used for the sole purpose of paying the principal of and interest on the Notes, shall be maintained for such purpose until such indebtedness is fully paid or otherwise extinguished, and shall at all times be invested in a manner that conforms with the provisions of the Code, and any applicable income tax regulations (the "Regulations") including temporary regulations published July 13, 2007 (TD9339, 26 CFR Parts 1 and 602).

Section 7. Borrowed Money Fund; Reimbursement. (a) The proceeds of the Notes (the "Note Proceeds") (other than any premium and accrued interest which must be paid at the time of the delivery of the Notes into the Debt Service Fund Account created above) shall be deposited into an account separate and distinct from all other funds and disbursed solely for the purposes for which borrowed or for the payment for the principal of and the interest on the Notes.

(b) The District declares its reasonable expectation to reimburse itself from the Note Proceeds for expenditures relating to the Project which it pays from other funds of the District prior to receipt of the Note Proceeds no more than 60 days prior to the date this resolution is adopted. The District may also reimburse itself for preliminary expenditures relating to the Project (such as architectural, engineering, surveying, soil testing, costs of issuance and similar costs but not including land acquisition, site preparation and similar costs incident to the commencement of construction) which are in an amount which is less than 20% of the issue price of the Notes. This declaration and the Resolution of which it is a part, shall be publicly available in the official books, records or proceedings of the School Board.

Section 8. Qualified Zone Academy Promissory Note Covenants. (a) The District hereby covenants and agrees that it will take all necessary steps and perform all obligations required to ensure that the Notes are "qualified zone academy bonds" as described in Section 1397E of the Code, such that an Eligible Taxpayer holding such Note on the Credit Allowance Date will be eligible to receive an annual federal income tax credit. The District Clerk or other officer of the District charged with the responsibility of issuing the Notes shall provide an appropriate certificate of the District as of the Closing, for inclusion in the transcript of proceedings, certifying that it can and covenanting that it will comply with the provisions of the Code and the Regulations (including the Temporary Regulations).

(b) Further, it is the intent of the District to take all reasonable and lawful actions to comply with any new tax laws enacted so that the Notes will continue to be "qualified zone academy bonds," such that an Eligible Taxpayer holding such Note on the Credit Allowance

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Date will remain eligible to receive such annual federal income tax credits throughout the term of the Notes.

(c) The Contributions specified in the written commitments heretofore received and reviewed by the District consist of property and services specified and solicited by the District to support the Project and the qualification of the Notes as qualified zone academy bonds.

Section 9. No Arbitrage Covenants. (a) The District shall not take any action with respect to the Note Proceeds which, if such action had been reasonably expected to have been taken, or had been deliberately and intentionally taken on the date of the delivery of and payment for the Notes (the "Closing"), would cause the Notes to be "arbitrage bonds" within the meaning of Section 148 of the Code and the Regulations (including the Temporary Regulations).

(b) The Note Proceeds may be temporarily invested in legal investments until needed, provided however, that the District hereby covenants and agrees that so long as the Notes remain outstanding, moneys on deposit in any fund or account created or maintained in connection with the Notes, whether such moneys were derived from the Note Proceeds or from any other source, will not be used or invested in a manner which would cause the Notes to be "arbitrage bonds" within the meaning of the Code or Regulations (including the Temporary Regulations). The District covenants that it will not invest in any obligation if such investment would violate the "prohibited payment" requirement of Section 148 of the Code.

(c) The District Clerk, or other officer of the District charged with responsibility for issuing the Notes, shall provide an appropriate certificate of the District, for inclusion in the transcript of proceedings, setting forth the reasonable expectations of the District regarding the amount and use of the Note Proceeds and the facts and estimates on which such expectations are based, all as of the Closing.

Section 10. Additional Tax Covenants; Small Issuer Exemption from Rebate. (a) The District hereby further covenants and agrees that it will take all necessary steps and perform all obligations required by the Code and Regulations (including the Temporary Regulations) (whether prior to or subsequent to the issuance of the Notes) to assure that the Notes meet the requirements of Section 148 of the Code, as required by Section 1397E(g) of the Code, throughout the term of the Notes. The District further covenants that it will not take any action, omit to take any action or permit the taking or omission of any action within its control (including, without limitation, making or permitting any use of the proceeds of the Notes) if taking, permitting or omitting to take such action would cause any of the Notes to be an arbitrage bond or a private activity bond within the meaning of the Code. The District Clerk or other officer of the District charged with the responsibility of issuing the Notes, shall provide an appropriate certificate of the District as of the Closing, for inclusion in the transcript of proceedings, certifying that it can and covenanting that it will comply with the provisions of the Code and Regulations (including the Temporary Regulations).

(b) Further, it is the intent of the District to take all reasonable and lawful actions to comply with any new tax laws enacted so that the Notes will continue to comply with Sections 1397E(g) of the Code (and Section 103(a) of the Code), throughout the term of the Notes.

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(c) The District covenants that it is a governmental unit with general taxing powers and that the Notes are not "private activity bonds" as defined in Section 141 of the Code.

(d) In accordance with Section 148(f)(D) of the Code, the District covenants that ninety-five percent (95%) or more of the net proceeds of the Notes shall be used for local governmental activities of the District which are "qualified purposes" within the meaning of Section 1397E(5) of the Code. The District covenants that the Note proceeds shall be used for such qualified purposes for the entire term of the Note issue, meaning that, for such period (i) the Project shall be used for the purposes of the School, and (ii) the School shall retain its status as a qualified zone academy.

(e) The District covenants that the aggregate face amount of the Notes plus all other qualified zone academy bonds and all tax-exempt obligations (other than "private activity bonds") issued by the District, including all subordinate entities of the District, during calendar year 2008 will not exceed $10,000,000 of which no more than $5,000,000 will be used to finance expenditures other than for public school capital expenditures. If for any reason the District does not qualify for the small issuer exemption from the rebate requirements of the Code, the District covenants that it would take all necessary steps to comply with such requirements.

Section 11. Execution of the Notes. The Notes shall be prepared in typewritten or printed form, executed on behalf of the District by the manual or facsimile signatures of the District President and District Clerk, authenticated, if required, by its fiscal agent, if any, sealed with its official or corporate seal, if any, or a facsimile thereof and delivered to the Purchaser upon payment to the District of the purchase price thereof, plus accrued interest to the date of delivery. In the event that either of the officers whose signatures appear on the Notes shall cease to be such officers before the delivery of the Notes, such signatures shall, nevertheless, be valid and sufficient for all purposes to the same extent as if they had remained in office until such delivery. The aforesaid officers are hereby authorized to do all acts and execute all documents as may be necessary and convenient for effectuating the Closing.

Section 12. Payment of the Notes. The principal of and any interest on the Notes shall be paid in lawful money of the United States of America by the District Clerk or District Treasurer.

Section 13. Persons Treated as Owners; Transfer of Notes. (a) The District shall keep books for the registration and for the transfer of the Notes. The person in whose name any Note shall be registered shall be deemed and regarded as the absolute owner thereof for all purposes and payment of either principal or interest on any Note shall be made only to the registered owner thereof. All such payments shall be valid and effectual to satisfy and discharge the liability upon such Note to the extent of the sum or sums so paid.

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(b) Any Note may be transferred by the registered owner thereof by surrender of the Note at the office of the District Clerk, duly endorsed for the transfer or accompanied by an assignment duly executed by the registered owner or his attorney duly authorized in writing. Upon such transfer, the District President and District Clerk shall execute and deliver in the name of the transferee or transferees a new Note or Notes of a like aggregate principal amount, series and maturity and the District Clerk shall record the name of each transferee in the registration book. No registration shall be made to bearer. The District Clerk shall cancel any Note surrendered for transfer.

(c) The District shall cooperate in any such transfer, and the District President and District Clerk are authorized to execute any new Note or Notes necessary to effect any such transfer.

Section 14. Conflicting Resolutions; Severability; Effective Date. All prior resolutions, rules or other actions of the School Board or any parts thereof in conflict with the provisions hereof shall be, and the same are, hereby rescinded insofar as the same may so conflict. In the event that any one or more provisions hereof shall for any reason be held to be illegal or invalid, such illegality or invalidity shall not affect any other provisions hereof. The foregoing shall take effect immediately upon adoption and approval in the manner provided by law.

Adopted and recorded February 18, 2008.

District President

ATTEST: District Clerk

(SEAL)

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TABLE OF CONTENTS OF EXHIBITS

Exhibit A – Notice to Electors

Exhibit B - Official Terms of Offering

Exhibit C – Winning Bid

Exhibit D – Debt Service Schedule Exhibit E – Form of Note

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EXHIBIT A

NOTICE TO THE ELECTORS OF THE

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT RACINE COUNTY, WISCONSIN

NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the School Board of the above-named School District, at a regular meeting duly called, noticed, held and conducted on February 18, 2008, adopted a resolution entitled:

RESOLUTION AUTHORIZING THE BORROWING OF NOT TO EXCEED $1,728,000; AND PROVIDING FOR THE ISSUANCE AND SALE OF TAXABLE GENERAL

OBLIGATION QUALIFIED ZONE ACADEMY PROMISSORY NOTES THEREFOR

Said Resolution was adopted pursuant to the provisions of Section 67.12(12) of the Wisconsin Statutes to authorize a borrowing for the public purpose of paying the cost of safety-related projects at certain schools in the District including closed captioned television, keyless entry systems, and acquisition of related security-modernization equipment. Copies of said Resolution are on file in the District office, located at 2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404 and may be inspected weekdays, except holidays, between the hours of 9:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. Section 67.12(12)(e)2 of the Wisconsin Statutes provides in part that a referendum is required on the question of this borrowing only if a petition is filed within 30 days after this publication signed by at least 7,500 District electors or 20% of the District electors voting for Governor at the last general election, whichever is the lesser. If no such petition is filed, then the Resolution shall be effective without a referendum. Dated this ____ day of February, 2008.

BY THE ORDER OF THE SCHOOL BOARD

Gretchen L. Warner District Clerk

Published this ____ day of __________, 2008 in The Journal Times.

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EXHIBIT B (TO THE AWARD RESOLUTION)

OFFICIAL TERMS OF OFFERING

(See Attached)

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EXHIBIT C (TO THE AWARD RESOLUTION)

WINNING BID

(See Attached Rate Lock Letter from the Purchaser)

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EXHIBIT D (TO THE AWARD RESOLUTION)

DEBT SERVICE SCHEDULE

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EXHIBIT E (TO THE AWARD RESOLUTION)

FORM OF BOND

REGISTERED NO. R-___

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA STATE OF WISCONSIN

RACINE COUNTY RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT TAXABLE GENERAL OBLIGATION

QUALIFIED ZONE ACADEMY PROMISSORY NOTE

DOLLARS

$________

MATURITY DATE: ORIGINAL DATE OF ISSUE:

INTEREST RATE: CREDIT RATE:

________________ __________, 2008 _____% _____%

CREDIT RATE AND MATURITY DETERMINATION DATE: February 18, 2008

CREDIT ALLOWANCE DATE: ____________, 2008 AND EACH ____________

THEREAFTER UNTIL MATURITY

REGISTERED OWNER: ____________, __________, _________

PRINCIPAL AMOUNT: __________________________________ DOLLARS ($__________)

KNOW ALL MEN BY THESE PRESENTS, that the Racine Unified School District, Racine County, Wisconsin (the "District"), hereby acknowledges itself to owe and for value received promises to pay to the registered owner identified above (or to registered assigns), in annual installments of principal and interest in the amounts shown on the attached Schedule, all subject to the provisions set forth herein regarding redemption prior to maturity.

Both the principal of and any interest on this Note are payable in lawful money of the United States by the District Clerk or District Treasurer.

This Note is payable as to principal upon presentation and surrender hereof at the office of the District Clerk or District Treasurer. Payment of each installment of principal and interest, shall be made to the registered owner hereof who shall appear on the registration books of the District maintained by the District Clerk or District Treasurer. The payment of the last installment of principal shall be made only upon surrender of this Note to the District. Payments shall be paid by check or draft of the District mailed to such registered owner at his address as it appears on such registration books or at such other address as may be furnished in writing by such registered owner to the District Clerk or District Treasurer.

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An Eligible Taxpayer (as defined in Section 1397E(d)(6) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the "Code")) holding this Note on the Credit Allowance Date (as defined in Section 1397E (i)(1) of the Code) will be entitled to receive an annual federal income tax credit. The credit allowance dates (as defined in Section 1397E(i)(1) of the Code), shall be on the last day of the one-year period beginning on the date of issuance of the Notes and the last day of each successive one-year period thereafter until maturity. Subject to the limitations set forth in Section 1397E(c) of the Code, the amount of the annual federal income tax credit granted on the credit allowance date shall equal the product of the applicable credit rate determined by the Secretary of the Treasury for the Credit Allowance Date specified above, multiplied by the principal amount above. Pursuant to Section 1397E(j) of the Code, the amount of the annual federal income tax credit shall be included in gross income, and pursuant to Treas. Reg. § 1.1397E-1(f), such credit shall be treated as interest income.

For the prompt payment of this Note together with interest hereon, if any, and for the levy of taxes sufficient for that purpose, the full faith, credit and resources of the District are hereby irrevocably pledged.

This Note is issued by the District pursuant to the provisions of Chapter 67, Wisconsin Statutes, for the purpose of paying the cost of safety-related projects at certain schools in the District including closed captioned television, keyless entry systems, and acquisition of related security-modernization equipment as authorized by a resolution of the School Board duly adopted by said governing body at a meeting held on February 18, 2008. Said resolution is recorded in the official minutes of the School Board for said dates.

This Note is not subject to optional redemption prior to maturity.

This Note is subject to mandatory redemption, as a whole or in part, at the price of par plus accrued interest to the date of redemption to the extent that less than 95% of the proceeds of the issue of which this Note is a part is not expended by the end of the five-year period beginning on the date of issuance of this Note (or, if an extension has been granted under Section 1397E(f)(2) of the Code, then by the close of the extended period), which redemption shall occur within 90 days of the end of such five-year period (or extended period).

This Note is subject to mandatory redemption, as a whole and not in part, at the price of par plus accrued interest to the date of redemption on the earliest practicable date for which notice can be given in the event that the Internal Revenue Service issues a ruling notice or final determination reducing the annual federal income tax credit described in the Award Resolution, as a result of a breach or inaccuracy of any covenants or representations of the District contained in the resolutions or the closing documents executed by the District in connection with the issuance of the Notes.

The Notes are issued in registered form in denominations of $.01. This Note may be exchanged at the office of the District Clerk or District Treasurer for a like aggregate principal amount of Notes of the same maturity in other authorized denominations.

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This Note is transferable by a written assignment duly executed by the registered owner hereof or by such owner's duly authorized legal representative. Upon such transfer a new registered Note, in authorized denomination or denominations and in the same aggregate principal amount, shall be issued to the transferee in exchange hereof.

The District may deem and treat the registered owner hereof as the absolute owner hereof for the purpose of receiving payment of or on account of principal hereof, premium, if any, hereon and interest, if any, due hereon and for all other purposes, and the District shall not be affected by notice to the contrary.

It is hereby certified and recited that all conditions, things and acts required by law to exist or to be done prior to and in connection with the issuance of this Note have been done, have existed and have been performed in due form and time; that the aggregate indebtedness of the District, including this Note and others issued simultaneously herewith, does not exceed any limitation imposed by law or the Constitution of the State of Wisconsin; and that a direct annual irrepealable tax has been levied sufficient to pay this Note, together with the interest thereon, if any, when and as payable.

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IN WITNESS WHEREOF, the Racine Unified School District, Racine County, Wisconsin, by its governing body, has caused this Note to be executed for it and in its name by the manual or facsimile signatures of its duly qualified District President and District Clerk; and to be sealed with its official or corporate seal, if any, all as of the ___ day of ___________, 2008.

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT, RACINE COUNTY, WISCONSIN By: District President By: District Clerk

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ASSIGNMENT

FOR VALUE RECEIVED, the undersigned sells, assigns and transfers unto ________________________________________________________________________ (Name and Address of Assignee)

________________________________________________________________________ (Social Security or other Identifying Number of Assignee)

the within Note and all rights thereunder and hereby irrevocably constitutes and appoints ______________________________________, Legal Representative, to transfer said Note on the books kept for registration thereof, with full power of substitution in the premises.

Dated: _____________________

Signature Guaranteed:

(e.g. Bank, Trust Company (Depository or Nominee Name) or Securities Firm)

NOTICE: This signature must correspond with the name of the Depository or Nominee Name as it appears upon the face of the within Note in every particular, without alteration or enlargement or any change whatever.

(Authorized Officer)

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Board Development

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BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008

BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: 2008/09 Enrollment Projections

PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO

DESCRIPTION: Overview of the 2008/09 Enrollment projections. These projections are the first step in building next years budget and are a key assumption for the District’s revenue.

FISCAL NOTE: The Budget department will use these projections to develop the revenue side of the budget. Actual enrollments will not be known until the third Friday counts in September of 2008.

STRATEGIC PLAN: The projections beyond 2008/09 will help guide long term planning and resource allocation.

RECOMMENDATION: Recommend to review then receive and file

ACTION TAKEN:

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BUDGET SUPPLEMENT

Enrollment Projection 2008-09

February 11, 2008 Prepared by:

Roger J Dickson Public Business Consulting Group, Inc.

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This budget supplement has been prepared by Public Business Consulting Group, Inc. under the direction of the Racine Unified School District Office of Budget and Finance, David Hazen, Chief Financial Officer. Responsibility for accuracy of data used in its preparation and actions and conclusions reached rests with the school district. This budget supplement is intended for internal use for developing the annual budget and assisting with long range planning. This supplement is one of several forms of documentation to support the budget. Interpretation of data without an understanding of programs, legal requirements for operation of the district, policies the School Board, and practices of the district could lead to erroneous conclusions. This document is accurate as of the date of preparation. Management, the School Board or regulatory agencies may take action that could render this document inaccurate or incomplete.

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District Enrollment Enrollment is the basis for revenue and resource allocations. All resource allocations, human, fiscal, physical space, materials and supplies, are dependent on the number of students the district has responsibility for educating; including students who are in physical attendance at one of the district’s schools, regardless of residence, or students attending a school in other than a district school at the expense of the district. Enrollment projections are used for both short and long-term planning. This first step in developing the annual operating budget is to project enrollments for the subsequent school year. Projections are made for the district as a whole and for each school building. The district uses a cohort survival methodology. The method calculates four separate survival ratios using actual enrollment data from the current year and most current past four years. Projections are compared to prior year data to derive an error factor. The projection that generates the lowest error is used as the basis for the subsequent year’s projection. Racine Unified has used this methodology only two years and, as such, does not have sufficient longitudinal data to ascertain its validity. Enrollment data is collected and summarized by the Information Services department. The district uses data from the 3rd Friday in September. Initial 3rd Friday data for the year assumes a certain number of students who are not in attendance on the 3rd Friday, but who have attended at least one day prior to the 3rd Friday, will attend at least one more day before the end of the year. All data is reviewed in December and adjustments are made to the initial 3rd Friday in September data as necessary to reflect actual attendance trends. An amended enrollment report is filed in December to establish the “official” count for the year. This official enrollment count is subject to an independent audit. The following table shows summarized enrollment data for the current and past four years with a projection for the next five years. The total number of students in physical attendance at district schools is projected to decrease by 131 between the current and next school year. This decrease will be offset somewhat by an increase in the number of resident students who will attend school in another school district, resulting in an overall decrease of 85. Enrollment is projected to decrease for the 2008-09 and 2009-10 school year, then start to increase thereafter.

1

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Total Enrolled Non- Total TotalPRE - K 4K 5K 1 - 12 Enrolled Change Attending Count Change

Historical Data

2003-04 113 306 1,587 19,127 21,133 232 21,3652004-05 301 172 1,518 19,183 21,174 41 236 21,410 452005-06 310 222 1,603 18,934 21,069 (105) 300 21,369 (41)2006-07 298 864 1,557 18,913 21,632 563 343 21,975 6062007-08 288 919 1,575 18,682 21,464 (168) 472 21,936 (39)

Projection

2008-09 307 934 1,669 18,422 21,333 (131) 518 21,851 (85)2009-10 317 948 1,696 18,311 21,272 (60) 562 21,834 (17)2010-11 327 964 1,723 18,329 21,343 70 613 21,955 1212011-12 334 979 1,750 18,397 21,460 117 657 22,117 1622012-13 340 994 1,778 18,558 21,670 210 706 22,376 259

Total enrolled includes pupils enrolled for attendance in one of the district's schools or sponsored programs (e. g. off-site 4 year old kindergarten) regardless of residence status. Projections for future years is based on a cohortsurvival method with greatest weight given to initial grade data (4 year old kindergarten).

Non-attending represents resident pupils who attend school in another school district, mostly under the state'sopen enrollment law. School district revenues in the State of Wisconsin are subject to a revenue limit. The revenue limit restricts the total amount of revenue raised from property taxes and general state aid to a specified per pupil amount. For purposes of determining revenues, enrollment is adjusted for residency status and full-time equivalency. The following table converts enrollment to membership and is used to project revenues. Total membership is projected to decrease by 102 pupils. This is caused primarily by the loss of full-time students at the upper grades.

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Full DaySummer PRE - K 4K 5K 1 - 12 Total

2007-08Total enrolled 288 919 1,575 18,682 21,464Pupil count adjustments 0

Additions 0Open enrollment out 3 22 447 472Tuition waivers 15 15

Other 26 17 43 Sub-total 3rd Friday count 314 939 1,597 19,144 21,994Youth Challenge Academy 1Summer school 456 456 Sub-total 456 314 939 1,597 19,145 22,450

SubtractionsOpen enrollment in 2 2 10 14Tuition waivers 0Part-time students 0Incarcerated pupils 26 26Other 1 25 2 47 75 Total pupil count for aid 456 313 912 1,593 19,062 22,335

Membership factor 40% 50% 60% 100% 100%Membership 182 157 547 1,593 19,062 21,541

2008-09Total enrolled 307 934 1,669 18,422 21,333Pupil count adjustments 0

Additions 0Open enrollment out 3 22 493 518Tuition waivers 15 15

Other 26 17 0 0 43 Sub-total 3rd Friday count 333 954 1,691 18,931 21,909Youth Challenge AcademySummer school 456 456 Sub-total 456 333 954 1,691 18,931 22,365

SubtractionsOpen enrollment in 0 2 2 10 14Tuition waivers 0 0 0 0 0Part-time students 0 0 0 0 0Incarcerated pupils 0 0 0 26 26Other 1 25 2 47 75 Total pupil count for aid 456 332 927 1,687 18,848 22,250

Membership factor 40% 50% 60% 100% 100%Membership 182 166 556 1,687 18,848 21,440

Sept FTE 21,257Increase (decrease) in membership (102)

3

Page 37: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

School Enrollment An individual projection is made for each school as well as the district as a whole. Due to the difference in the size of the statistical universe for the district as a whole and each individual school, the projection of total enrollment will vary. For purposes of estimating revenues and resource needs, the projection for the larger universe, the district as a whole, is used. For purposes of setting initial budget and personnel allocations by school, the school projection is used. The following table provides information on enrollment for the current year with a projection for the budget year with a summary comparison to the district as a whole projection. The variance between individual school and district as a whole is less than 1%, The following tables show that elementary schools are projected to increase 47 students, whereas middle and high schools will decrease 340. Individual school projections are displayed following the summary pages.

4

Page 38: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

2007-08 Enrollment Full Time 4K PK

Total Enrollment Change

SCHOOLS106 - Bull Fine Arts 309 310 0 0 310 1111 - B Jones 490 438 33 22 494 4112 - Olympia Brown 504 401 47 56 504 0113 - Off Site Kindergarten 231 235 0 235 4114 - Racine EEC 215 190 25 215 0118 - Fratt 541 544 0 0 544 3119 - Gifford 925 897 63 17 977 52120 - Julian Thomas 342 382 0 0 382 40121 - Giese 305 285 0 0 285 (20)122 - Goodland 390 298 59 26 384 (6)130 - Janes 421 397 31 0 428 7132 - Jefferson Lighthouse 543 533 0 0 533 (10)134 - Jerstad 376 354 45 9 407 31136 - Johnson 538 578 0 0 578 40138 - Knapp 562 530 38 17 584 22148 - Mitchell 481 417 31 4 452 (29)150 - North Park 500 494 0 16 510 10154 - Roosevelt 470 420 0 0 420 (50)162 - Wadewitz 627 559 31 34 623 (4)164 - West Ridge 461 457 0 0 457 (4)166 - Schulte 409 389 0 0 389 (20)168 - Wind Point 324 291 29 0 320 (4)174 - Red Apple 430 295 49 63 407 (23) Total Elementary 10,394 9,271 881 289 10,441 47

280 - Gilmore 756 743 743 (13)282 - Jerstad Middle 761 770 770 9284 - McKinley 809 807 807 (2)286 - Mitchell 748 645 645 (103)288 - Starbuck 799 807 807 8310 - Walden III 514 518 518 4375 - REAL School 242 260 260 18491 - J.I. Case 2,018 1,984 1,984 (34)492 - Horlick 2,156 2,104 2,104 (52)494 - Washington Park 2,264 2,089 2,089 (175) Total MS, HS and Special 11,067 10,727 0 0 10,727 (340)

Total projection by school 21,461 19,998 881 289 21,168 (293) Open enrollment out 518 Total with open enrollment out 21,687 District projection 21,851 Variance (164)

-0.8%PROGRAMS

390 - Alternative Education Center 80 120 120 40755 - County Detention Center 0 0

2008-09 Projection

5

Page 39: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

4K PK 5K 1 2 3 4 5 ChangeSCHOOLS

106 - Bull Fine Arts 309 0 0 60 52 49 50 51 49 310 1111 - B Jones 490 33 22 71 71 75 72 80 69 494 4112 - Olympia Brown 504 47 56 83 72 68 57 54 66 504 0113 - Off Site Kindergarten 231 235 0 235 4114 - Racine EEC 215 190 25 215 0118 - Fratt 541 0 0 89 95 92 99 87 82 544 3119 - Gifford 925 63 17 174 173 151 140 125 134 977 52120 - Julian Thomas 342 0 0 78 68 69 62 61 44 382 40121 - Giese 305 0 0 55 50 54 49 41 36 285 (20)122 - Goodland 390 59 26 57 52 50 52 40 47 384 (6)130 - Janes 421 31 0 75 74 49 76 63 60 428 7132 - Jefferson Lighthouse 543 0 0 49 88 99 100 99 98 533 (10)134 - Jerstad 376 45 9 64 58 57 53 61 61 407 31136 - Johnson 538 0 0 95 111 84 87 96 105 578 40138 - Knapp 562 38 17 96 94 90 87 87 77 584 22148 - Mitchell 481 31 4 68 64 69 71 72 73 452 (29)150 - North Park 500 0 16 71 80 82 106 82 73 510 10154 - Roosevelt 470 0 0 70 69 71 74 73 63 420 (50)162 - Wadewitz 627 31 34 90 92 98 94 85 100 623 (4)164 - West Ridge 461 0 0 71 74 85 87 63 77 457 (4)166 - Schulte 409 0 0 57 55 63 69 69 76 389 (20)168 - Wind Point 324 29 0 43 45 44 45 55 58 320 (4)174 - Red Apple 430 49 63 63 45 42 53 51 42 407 (23) Total Elementary 10,394 881 289 1,579 1,583 1,540 1,583 1,495 1,491 10,441 47

6 7 8 9 10 11 12280 - Gilmore 756 247 259 237 743 (13)282 - Jerstad Middle 761 256 263 251 770 9284 - McKinley 809 267 277 263 807 (2)286 - Mitchell 748 198 197 250 645 (103)288 - Starbuck 799 247 270 290 807 8310 - Walden III 514 75 75 76 80 77 69 67 518 4375 - REAL School 242 46 40 46 45 22 22 40 260 18491 - J.I. Case 2,018 487 488 488 521 1,984 (34)492 - Horlick 2,156 528 527 506 544 2,104 (52)494 - Washington Park 2,264 455 489 491 654 2,089 (175) Total MS, HS and Special 11,067 1,335 1,381 1,413 1,595 1,601 1,575 1,826 10,727 (340)

4K PK Elem Sec Total Chg Total projection by school 21,461 881 289 9,271 10,727 21,168 (293) Open enrollment out 518 Total with open enrollment out 21,687 District projection 21,851 Variance (164)

-0.8%

390 - Alternative Education Center 80 120 120755 - County Detention Center 0 0 0

PROGRAMS

2007-08 Enrollment

2008-09 Enrollment ProjectionTotal

Enrollment

6

Page 40: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Enrollment / Membership ProjectionBull

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 57 52 49 75 50 42 325 0 3252004-05 0 52 51 52 49 76 49 329 0 3292005-06 0 65 48 48 49 51 75 336 0 3362006-07 0 55 52 50 50 50 48 305 0 3052007-08 0 59 50 50 50 50 50 309 0 309

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.91 0.89 1.00 1.00 1.01 0.982005-06 1.25 0.92 0.94 0.94 1.04 0.992006-07 0.85 0.80 1.04 1.04 1.02 0.942007-08 ##### 1.07 0.91 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00Average ##### 1.02 0.88 0.99 1.00 1.02 0.98% +/- ##### 0.02 -0.12 -0.01 0.00 0.02 -0.02Weighted ##### 1.02 0.88 0.99 1.00 1.02 0.98% +/- ##### 0.02 -0.12 -0.01 0.00 0.02 -0.02

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.025 IGD (5K) Average = 0.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.017 Absolute Error = 0.0314K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.09 0.03 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.022008-09 0 58 52 49 50 51 49 3082009-10 0 56 51 51 49 51 50 3082010-11 0 55 49 50 51 50 50 3052011-12 0 53 48 49 50 52 49 3012012-13 0 52 47 48 49 51 51 297

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.017 Absolute Error = 0.0314K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.09 0.03 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.022008-09 0 58 52 49 50 51 49 3082009-10 0 56 50 51 49 51 50 3072010-11 0 55 49 50 51 50 50 3042011-12 0 53 48 48 50 52 49 3002012-13 0 52 47 47 49 51 51 296

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.015 Absolute Error = 0.02894K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.08 0.03 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.022008-09 0 60 52 49 50 51 49 3102009-10 0 60 52 51 49 51 50 3132010-11 0 61 53 52 51 50 50 3162011-12 0 61 53 52 52 52 49 3192012-13 0 62 54 53 52 52 51 323

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.015 Absolute Error = 0.0284K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.08 0.03 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.022008-09 0 60 52 49 50 51 49 3102009-10 0 60 52 51 49 51 50 3132010-11 0 61 53 51 51 50 50 3152011-12 0 61 53 52 52 52 49 3182012-13 0 62 54 52 52 52 51 322

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 60 52 49 50 51 49 310 02009-10 0 60 52 51 49 51 50 313 02010-11 0 61 53 51 51 50 50 315 02011-12 0 61 53 52 52 52 49 318 02012-13 0 62 54 52 52 52 51 322 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 60 52 49 50 51 49 310 02009-10 0 60 52 51 49 51 50 313 02010-11 0 61 53 51 51 50 50 315 02011-12 0 61 53 52 52 52 49 318 02012-13 0 62 54 52 52 52 51 322 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Bull rjd 2/8/20087

Page 41: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJones

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 62 72 78 70 77 81 440 20 4602004-05 75 61 73 75 74 73 431 34 4652005-06 70 76 67 72 81 70 436 26 4622006-07 33 68 72 79 64 70 78 464 19 4832007-08 32 69 72 74 77 69 75 468 22 490

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.21 0.98 1.01 0.96 1.06 0.952005-06 0.93 1.01 1.10 0.99 1.08 0.952006-07 0.97 1.03 1.04 0.96 0.97 0.962007-08 0.97 1.01 1.06 1.03 0.97 1.08 1.07Average 0.97 1.03 1.02 1.04 0.97 1.05 0.98% +/- -0.03 0.03 0.02 0.04 -0.03 0.05 -0.02Weighted 0.39 1.00 1.03 1.04 0.97 1.04 1.00% +/- -0.61 0.00 0.03 0.04 -0.03 0.04 0.00

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.025 IGD (5K) Average = 1.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.023 Absolute Error = 0.0324K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.01 0.04 -0.02 0.01 0.03 0.092008-09 33 71 70 75 72 81 68 4692009-10 33 72 72 74 73 75 79 4792010-11 34 74 74 75 71 76 74 4792011-12 35 76 76 77 73 75 75 4872012-13 36 78 78 79 75 77 73 496

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.018 Absolute Error = 0.0274K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.01 0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.03 0.072008-09 33 71 71 75 72 80 69 4722009-10 34 72 73 74 73 75 81 4832010-11 35 74 75 76 72 76 75 4842011-12 36 76 77 78 74 75 76 4932012-13 38 78 79 80 76 77 76 503

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.031 Absolute Error = 0.03684K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.04 0.04 -0.02 0.01 0.03 0.092008-09 33 71 70 75 72 81 68 4692009-10 33 73 72 74 73 75 79 4792010-11 34 74 74 75 71 76 74 4792011-12 35 76 76 77 73 75 75 4872012-13 36 78 78 79 75 77 73 495

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.026 Absolute Error = 0.0324K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.04 0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.03 0.072008-09 33 71 71 75 72 80 69 4722009-10 34 73 73 74 73 75 81 4832010-11 35 74 75 76 72 76 75 4842011-12 36 76 77 78 74 75 76 4932012-13 38 78 79 80 76 77 76 503

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 33 71 71 75 72 80 69 472 222009-10 34 72 73 74 73 75 81 483 222010-11 35 74 75 76 72 76 75 484 222011-12 36 76 77 78 74 75 76 493 222012-13 38 78 79 80 76 77 76 503 22

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 33 71 71 75 72 80 69 472 222009-10 34 72 73 74 73 75 81 483 222010-11 35 74 75 76 72 76 75 484 222011-12 36 76 77 78 74 75 76 493 222012-13 38 78 79 80 76 77 76 503 22

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Jones rjd 2/8/20088

Page 42: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Enrollment / Membership ProjectionO Brown

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 81 64 54 64 56 79 398 68 4662004-05 65 73 71 56 70 60 395 48 4432005-06 66 54 69 72 59 66 386 69 4552006-07 62 71 59 55 70 71 54 442 65 5072007-08 53 81 67 57 53 68 69 448 56 504

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.80 0.90 1.11 1.04 1.09 1.072005-06 1.02 0.83 0.95 1.01 1.05 0.942006-07 1.08 0.89 1.02 1.01 0.99 0.922007-08 0.85 1.14 0.94 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97Average 0.85 1.01 0.89 1.01 1.01 1.03 0.98% +/- -0.15 0.01 -0.11 0.01 0.01 0.03 -0.02Weighted 0.34 1.06 0.90 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.96% +/- -0.66 0.06 -0.10 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.026 IGD (5K) Average = 0

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

X IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.001 Absolute Error = 0.0504K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.10 0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 0.002008-09 47 83 72 68 57 54 66 4482009-10 42 85 74 73 68 59 53 4552010-11 38 88 76 75 74 70 57 4772011-12 34 90 78 77 75 75 68 4982012-13 30 92 80 79 77 77 74 510

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.010 Absolute Error = 0.0414K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.10 0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0.012008-09 48 83 73 66 57 53 65 4462009-10 43 85 75 72 66 57 51 4502010-11 39 88 77 74 72 67 55 4712011-12 35 90 79 76 74 73 64 4912012-13 32 92 81 78 76 74 70 503

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.005 Absolute Error = 0.05334K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.12 0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 0.002008-09 47 81 72 68 57 54 66 4462009-10 42 81 72 73 68 59 53 4492010-11 38 81 72 73 74 70 57 4652011-12 34 81 72 73 74 75 68 4772012-13 30 81 72 73 74 75 74 479

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.014 Absolute Error = 0.0454K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.12 0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0.012008-09 48 81 73 66 57 53 65 4442009-10 43 81 73 72 66 57 51 4442010-11 39 81 73 72 72 67 55 4592011-12 35 81 73 72 72 73 64 4702012-13 32 81 73 72 72 73 70 472

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 47 83 72 68 57 54 66 448 562009-10 42 85 74 73 68 59 53 455 562010-11 38 88 76 75 74 70 57 477 562011-12 34 90 78 77 75 75 68 498 562012-13 30 92 80 79 77 77 74 510 56

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 47 83 72 68 57 54 66 448 562009-10 42 85 74 73 68 59 53 455 562010-11 38 88 76 75 74 70 57 477 562011-12 34 90 78 77 75 75 68 498 562012-13 30 92 80 79 77 77 74 510 56

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) O Brown rjd 2/8/20089

Page 43: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Enrollment / Membership ProjectionFratt

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 82 91 85 90 102 93 543 5432004-05 0 81 91 90 82 90 99 533 5332005-06 0 98 84 89 88 88 86 533 5332006-07 0 85 98 83 87 94 89 536 5362007-08 0 90 92 100 85 84 90 541 541

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.99 1.11 0.99 0.96 1.00 0.972005-06 1.21 1.04 0.98 0.98 1.07 0.962006-07 0.87 1.00 0.99 0.98 1.07 1.012007-08 ##### 1.06 1.08 1.02 1.02 0.97 0.96Average ##### 1.03 1.06 0.99 0.99 1.03 0.97% +/- ##### 0.03 0.06 -0.01 -0.01 0.03 -0.03Weighted ##### 1.02 1.05 1.00 0.99 1.02 0.97% +/- ##### 0.02 0.05 0.00 -0.01 0.02 -0.03

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.007 IGD (5K) Average = 2

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.012 Absolute Error = 0.0384K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.04 -0.06 -0.022008-09 0 89 95 91 99 87 82 5442009-10 0 89 94 95 90 101 85 5542010-11 0 88 94 94 93 93 99 5602011-12 0 87 93 93 93 96 90 5522012-13 0 87 92 93 92 95 93 552

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.012 Absolute Error = 0.0364K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.03 -0.06 -0.022008-09 0 89 95 92 99 87 82 5442009-10 0 89 94 95 91 102 85 5552010-11 0 88 93 94 94 93 99 5622011-12 0 87 93 93 93 96 91 5542012-13 0 87 92 92 93 95 94 553

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.015 Absolute Error = 0.04094K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.04 -0.06 -0.022008-09 0 92 95 91 99 87 82 5462009-10 0 94 97 95 90 101 85 5622010-11 0 96 99 97 93 93 99 5762011-12 0 98 101 99 95 96 90 5792012-13 0 100 104 101 97 98 93 593

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.014 Absolute Error = 0.0394K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.03 -0.06 -0.022008-09 0 92 95 92 99 87 82 5472009-10 0 94 97 95 91 102 85 5632010-11 0 96 99 97 94 93 99 5782011-12 0 98 101 99 96 96 91 5812012-13 0 100 103 101 98 98 94 594

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 89 95 92 99 87 82 544 02009-10 0 89 94 95 91 102 85 555 02010-11 0 88 93 94 94 93 99 562 02011-12 0 87 93 93 93 96 91 554 02012-13 0 87 92 92 93 95 94 553 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 89 95 92 99 87 82 544 02009-10 0 89 94 95 91 102 85 555 02010-11 0 88 93 94 94 93 99 562 02011-12 0 87 93 93 93 96 91 554 02012-13 0 87 92 92 93 95 94 553 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Fratt rjd 2/8/200810

Page 44: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Enrollment / Membership ProjectionGifford

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 152 143 140 113 143 142 833 10 8432004-05 0 137 142 146 145 115 137 822 16 8382005-06 0 152 164 152 155 148 123 894 15 9092006-07 56 145 133 126 135 116 130 841 16 8572007-08 62 170 155 139 131 138 113 908 17 925

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.90 0.93 1.02 1.04 1.02 0.962005-06 1.11 1.20 1.07 1.06 1.02 1.072006-07 0.95 0.88 0.77 0.89 0.75 0.882007-08 1.11 1.17 1.07 1.05 1.04 1.02 0.97Average 1.11 1.03 1.02 0.98 1.01 0.95 0.97% +/- 0.11 0.03 0.02 -0.02 0.01 -0.05 -0.03Weighted 0.44 1.07 1.02 0.96 1.00 0.94 0.96% +/- -0.56 0.07 0.02 -0.04 0.00 -0.06 -0.04

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.022 IGD (5K) Average = 4.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

X IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.059 Absolute Error = 0.0594K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.13 0.05 0.07 0.03 0.07 0.002008-09 63 174 173 151 140 125 134 9602009-10 64 178 177 169 152 133 121 9952010-11 66 182 181 173 170 145 129 10452011-12 67 186 185 177 174 162 141 10912012-13 68 190 189 181 178 166 157 1128

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.065 Absolute Error = 0.0654K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.13 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.08 0.012008-09 63 174 174 150 139 123 133 9552009-10 65 178 178 168 149 130 118 9862010-11 66 182 182 171 167 140 125 10342011-12 68 186 186 175 171 157 135 10782012-13 69 190 190 179 175 161 151 1116

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.067 Absolute Error = 0.06684K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.17 0.05 0.07 0.03 0.07 0.002008-09 63 175 173 151 140 125 134 9612009-10 64 179 178 169 152 133 121 9972010-11 66 184 182 174 170 145 129 10492011-12 67 188 187 178 175 162 141 10972012-13 68 193 192 183 179 166 157 1137

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.073 Absolute Error = 0.0734K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.17 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.08 0.012008-09 63 175 174 150 139 123 133 9562009-10 65 179 179 168 149 130 118 9882010-11 66 184 183 172 167 140 125 10382011-12 68 188 188 177 172 157 135 10842012-13 69 193 192 181 176 161 151 1125

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 63 174 173 151 140 125 134 960 172009-10 64 178 177 169 152 133 121 995 172010-11 66 182 181 173 170 145 129 1045 172011-12 67 186 185 177 174 162 141 1091 172012-13 68 190 189 181 178 166 157 1128 17

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 63 174 173 151 140 125 134 960 172009-10 64 178 177 169 152 133 121 995 172010-11 66 182 181 173 170 145 129 1045 172011-12 67 186 185 177 174 162 141 1091 172012-13 68 190 189 181 178 166 157 1128 17

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Gifford rjd 2/8/200811

Page 45: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJ Thomas

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 31 65 60 59 48 58 41 362 0 3622004-05 26 59 54 52 48 43 41 323 0 3232005-06 0 71 59 52 53 56 38 329 0 3292006-07 0 90 64 64 57 47 51 373 0 3732007-08 0 72 67 58 59 49 37 342 0 342

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.91 0.83 0.87 0.81 0.90 0.712005-06 1.20 1.00 0.96 1.02 1.17 0.882006-07 1.27 0.90 1.08 1.10 0.89 0.912007-08 ##### 0.80 0.74 0.91 0.92 0.86 0.79Average ##### 1.04 0.87 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.82% +/- ##### 0.04 -0.13 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.18Weighted ##### 1.03 0.85 0.97 0.98 0.93 0.84% +/- ##### 0.03 -0.15 -0.03 -0.02 -0.07 -0.16

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.097 IGD (5K) Average = 1.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.119 Absolute Error = 0.1194K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.37 -0.12 -0.05 -0.04 -0.09 -0.032008-09 0 79 63 64 56 56 40 3582009-10 0 87 69 60 62 53 46 3762010-11 0 95 75 66 58 59 44 3962011-12 0 104 83 72 63 55 48 4252012-13 0 115 91 79 69 60 45 459

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.120 Absolute Error = 0.1204K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.37 -0.11 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.052008-09 0 79 61 65 57 55 41 3582009-10 0 87 67 59 64 53 46 3762010-11 0 95 74 65 58 59 44 3962011-12 0 104 81 71 64 54 50 4252012-13 0 115 89 78 70 60 45 457

X IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.095 Absolute Error = 0.09474K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.23 -0.12 -0.05 -0.04 -0.09 -0.032008-09 0 74 63 64 56 56 40 3532009-10 0 76 64 60 62 53 46 3602010-11 0 77 66 61 58 59 44 3642011-12 0 79 67 63 59 55 48 3712012-13 0 81 69 64 60 56 45 375

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.096 Absolute Error = 0.0964K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.23 -0.11 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.052008-09 0 74 61 65 57 55 41 3532009-10 0 76 63 59 64 53 46 3602010-11 0 77 64 61 58 59 44 3642011-12 0 79 66 62 60 54 50 3712012-13 0 81 67 64 61 56 45 374

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 74 63 64 56 56 40 353 02009-10 0 76 64 60 62 53 46 360 02010-11 0 77 66 61 58 59 44 364 02011-12 0 79 67 63 59 55 48 371 02012-13 0 81 69 64 60 56 45 375 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 4 5 5 6 5 4 292009-10 4 5 5 6 5 4 292010-11 4 5 5 6 5 4 292011-12 4 5 5 6 5 4 292012-13 4 5 5 6 5 4 29

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 78 68 69 62 61 44 382 02009-10 0 80 69 65 68 58 50 389 02010-11 0 81 71 66 64 64 48 393 02011-12 0 83 72 68 65 60 52 400 02012-13 0 85 74 69 66 61 49 404 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) J Thomas rjd 2/8/200812

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionGiese

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 68 57 45 55 53 62 340 0 3402004-05 0 68 61 58 46 51 57 341 0 3412005-06 0 76 59 56 55 45 50 341 0 3412006-07 0 67 60 52 45 51 42 317 0 3172007-08 0 59 59 55 46 37 49 305 0 305

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.00 0.90 1.02 1.02 0.93 1.082005-06 1.12 0.87 0.92 0.95 0.98 0.982006-07 0.88 0.79 0.88 0.80 0.93 0.932007-08 ##### 0.88 0.88 0.92 0.88 0.82 0.96Average ##### 0.97 0.86 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.99% +/- ##### -0.03 -0.14 -0.07 -0.09 -0.09 -0.01Weighted ##### 0.94 0.85 0.92 0.89 0.90 0.97% +/- ##### -0.06 -0.15 -0.08 -0.11 -0.10 -0.03

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.064 IGD (5K) Average = -2.25

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.034 Absolute Error = 0.0424K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.06 0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.09 -0.032008-09 0 55 51 55 50 42 37 2902009-10 0 52 47 47 50 46 42 2842010-11 0 48 44 44 43 46 45 2722011-12 0 45 42 41 41 40 45 2542012-13 0 42 39 39 38 37 39 234

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.020 Absolute Error = 0.0294K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.012008-09 0 55 50 54 49 41 36 2852009-10 0 52 47 46 48 44 40 2762010-11 0 48 44 43 41 43 42 2622011-12 0 45 41 40 38 37 42 2432012-13 0 42 39 38 36 34 35 224

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.053 Absolute Error = 0.06024K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.17 0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.09 -0.032008-09 0 57 51 55 50 42 37 2912009-10 0 55 49 47 50 46 42 2882010-11 0 52 47 45 43 46 45 2792011-12 0 50 45 44 42 40 45 2652012-13 0 48 43 42 40 38 39 250

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.038 Absolute Error = 0.0484K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.17 0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.012008-09 0 57 50 54 49 41 36 2872009-10 0 55 48 46 48 44 40 2802010-11 0 52 46 44 41 43 42 2692011-12 0 50 45 43 39 37 42 2552012-13 0 48 43 41 38 35 35 240

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 55 50 54 49 41 36 285 02009-10 0 52 47 46 48 44 40 276 02010-11 0 48 44 43 41 43 42 262 02011-12 0 45 41 40 38 37 42 243 02012-13 0 42 39 38 36 34 35 224 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 55 50 54 49 41 36 285 02009-10 0 52 47 46 48 44 40 276 02010-11 0 48 44 43 41 43 42 262 02011-12 0 45 41 40 38 37 42 243 02012-13 0 42 39 38 36 34 35 224 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Giese rjd 2/8/200813

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionGoodland

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 52 44 66 56 44 66 328 11 3392004-05 49 51 47 55 59 48 309 16 3252005-06 55 43 46 41 48 48 281 24 3052006-07 55 51 50 46 52 49 41 344 27 3712007-08 65 57 47 56 39 50 50 364 26 390

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.94 0.98 1.07 0.83 1.05 1.092005-06 1.12 0.88 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.812006-07 0.93 0.91 1.07 1.13 1.20 0.852007-08 1.18 1.12 0.92 1.12 0.85 0.96 1.02Average 1.18 1.03 0.92 1.04 0.92 1.02 0.94% +/- 0.18 0.03 -0.08 0.04 -0.08 0.02 -0.06Weighted 0.47 1.04 0.91 1.06 0.94 1.02 0.94% +/- -0.53 0.04 -0.09 0.06 -0.06 0.02 -0.06

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.008 IGD (5K) Average = 1.25

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.020 Absolute Error = 0.0644K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.10 0.00 0.08 -0.07 -0.06 0.082008-09 60 57 53 49 52 40 47 3572009-10 55 58 53 55 45 53 38 3562010-11 51 58 53 55 50 46 50 3642011-12 47 59 54 56 51 51 43 3612012-13 43 59 54 56 51 52 49 364

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.017 Absolute Error = 0.0674K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.10 0.01 0.06 -0.09 -0.06 0.082008-09 59 57 52 50 52 40 47 3582009-10 54 58 53 55 46 54 37 3572010-11 50 58 53 56 52 48 50 3662011-12 46 59 53 56 52 53 45 3632012-13 42 59 54 56 52 53 49 366

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.025 Absolute Error = 0.06934K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.13 0.00 0.08 -0.07 -0.06 0.082008-09 60 58 53 49 52 40 47 3582009-10 55 60 54 55 45 53 38 3582010-11 51 61 55 56 50 46 50 3692011-12 47 62 56 57 51 51 43 3682012-13 43 63 57 58 53 53 49 376

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.022 Absolute Error = 0.0724K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.13 0.01 0.06 -0.09 -0.06 0.082008-09 59 58 52 50 52 40 47 3592009-10 54 60 53 55 46 54 37 3602010-11 50 61 54 56 52 48 50 3712011-12 46 62 56 57 53 53 45 3712012-13 42 63 57 59 54 54 49 377

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 59 57 52 50 52 40 47 358 262009-10 54 58 53 55 46 54 37 357 262010-11 50 58 53 56 52 48 50 366 262011-12 46 59 53 56 52 53 45 363 262012-13 42 59 54 56 52 53 49 366 26

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 59 57 52 50 52 40 47 358 262009-10 54 58 53 55 46 54 37 357 262010-11 50 58 53 56 52 48 50 366 262011-12 46 59 53 56 52 53 45 363 262012-13 42 59 54 56 52 53 49 366 26

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Goodland rjd 2/8/200814

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJanes

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 75 69 62 64 51 63 384 0 3842004-05 75 75 68 64 60 51 393 0 3932005-06 74 71 73 66 66 55 405 0 4052006-07 36 50 73 65 73 62 61 420 0 4202007-08 32 75 50 75 67 64 58 421 0 421

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.03 0.94 1.002005-06 0.99 0.95 0.97 0.97 1.03 0.922006-07 0.68 0.99 0.92 1.00 0.94 0.922007-08 0.89 1.50 1.00 1.03 1.03 0.88 0.94Average 0.89 1.04 0.98 0.98 1.01 0.95 0.94% +/- -0.11 0.04 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 -0.05 -0.06Weighted 0.36 1.10 0.99 0.98 1.01 0.93 0.93% +/- -0.64 0.10 -0.01 -0.02 0.01 -0.07 -0.07

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.079 IGD (5K) Average = 0

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.067 Absolute Error = 0.0934K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.39 0.02 0.05 0.02 -0.07 -0.012008-09 31 69 74 49 76 63 60 4222009-10 31 64 68 72 49 72 60 4152010-11 30 59 62 66 73 47 68 4042011-12 30 54 58 61 67 69 44 3822012-13 29 50 53 56 61 63 65 378

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.069 Absolute Error = 0.0884K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.39 0.01 0.05 0.02 -0.06 0.002008-09 32 69 74 49 76 62 60 4212009-10 31 64 68 72 49 71 58 4132010-11 31 59 63 67 73 46 66 4032011-12 30 54 58 61 67 68 43 3812012-13 30 50 53 56 62 63 64 377

X IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.058 Absolute Error = 0.08374K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.33 0.02 0.05 0.02 -0.07 -0.012008-09 31 75 74 49 76 63 60 4282009-10 31 75 74 72 49 72 60 4322010-11 30 75 74 72 73 47 68 4382011-12 30 75 74 72 73 69 44 4362012-13 29 75 74 72 73 69 65 456

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.060 Absolute Error = 0.0794K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.33 0.01 0.05 0.02 -0.06 0.002008-09 32 75 74 49 76 62 60 4272009-10 31 75 74 72 49 71 58 4312010-11 31 75 74 72 73 46 66 4372011-12 30 75 74 72 73 68 43 4362012-13 30 75 74 72 73 68 64 456

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 31 75 74 49 76 63 60 428 02009-10 31 75 74 72 49 72 60 432 02010-11 30 75 74 72 73 47 68 438 02011-12 30 75 74 72 73 69 44 436 02012-13 29 75 74 72 73 69 65 456 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 31 75 74 49 76 63 60 428 02009-10 31 75 74 72 49 72 60 432 02010-11 30 75 74 72 73 47 68 438 02011-12 30 75 74 72 73 69 44 436 02012-13 29 75 74 72 73 69 65 456 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Janes rjd 2/8/200815

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJefferson

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 53 95 101 96 95 103 543 0 5432004-05 0 58 94 102 98 97 94 543 0 5432005-06 0 61 100 100 100 100 100 561 0 5612006-07 0 51 99 98 100 100 100 548 0 5482007-08 0 50 97 100 99 98 99 543 0 543

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.09 1.77 1.07 0.97 1.01 0.992005-06 1.05 1.72 1.06 0.98 1.02 1.032006-07 0.84 1.62 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.002007-08 ##### 0.98 1.90 1.01 1.01 0.98 0.99Average ##### 0.99 1.76 1.03 0.99 1.00 1.00% +/- ##### -0.01 0.76 0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.00Weighted ##### 0.96 1.77 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00% +/- ##### -0.04 0.77 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.058 IGD (5K) Average = -0.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.025 Absolute Error = 0.0444K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.04 0.15 -0.02 0.02 -0.02 -0.012008-09 0 47 88 100 99 99 98 5322009-10 0 44 83 91 99 99 100 5162010-11 0 42 78 85 90 99 100 4932011-12 0 39 73 80 84 90 100 4672012-13 0 37 69 76 80 85 90 436

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.025 Absolute Error = 0.0374K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.04 0.13 -0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.012008-09 0 47 88 99 100 99 98 5312009-10 0 44 83 90 98 99 99 5152010-11 0 42 78 85 90 98 100 4932011-12 0 39 74 80 85 90 98 4662012-13 0 37 70 75 80 84 90 436

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.012 Absolute Error = 0.04314K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.04 0.15 -0.02 0.02 -0.02 -0.012008-09 0 49 88 100 99 99 98 5342009-10 0 49 86 91 99 99 100 5232010-11 0 48 85 89 90 99 100 5112011-12 0 47 84 88 88 90 100 4972012-13 0 46 83 87 87 89 90 481

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.012 Absolute Error = 0.0364K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.04 0.13 -0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.012008-09 0 49 88 99 100 99 98 5332009-10 0 49 87 90 98 99 99 5232010-11 0 48 86 89 90 98 100 5102011-12 0 47 85 87 89 90 98 4952012-13 0 46 83 86 87 88 90 481

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 49 88 99 100 99 98 533 02009-10 0 49 87 90 98 99 99 523 02010-11 0 48 86 89 90 98 100 510 02011-12 0 47 85 87 89 90 98 495 02012-13 0 46 83 86 87 88 90 481 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 49 88 99 100 99 98 533 02009-10 0 49 87 90 98 99 99 523 02010-11 0 48 86 89 90 98 100 510 02011-12 0 47 85 87 89 90 98 495 02012-13 0 46 83 86 87 88 90 481 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Jefferson rjd 2/8/200816

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJerstad El

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 65 55 55 60 68 58 361 0 3612004-05 0 55 50 51 54 51 73 334 0 3342005-06 33 61 46 51 46 55 73 365 0 3652006-07 67 57 53 52 43 44 54 370 12 3822007-08 52 61 51 50 54 50 49 367 9 376

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.85 0.77 0.93 0.98 0.85 1.072005-06 1.11 0.84 1.02 0.90 1.02 1.432006-07 0.93 0.87 1.13 0.84 0.96 0.982007-08 0.78 1.07 0.89 0.94 1.04 1.16 1.11Average 0.78 0.99 0.84 1.01 0.94 1.00 1.15% +/- -0.22 -0.01 -0.16 0.01 -0.06 0.00 0.15Weighted 0.31 1.01 0.86 1.01 0.95 1.04 1.13% +/- -0.69 0.01 -0.14 0.01 -0.05 0.04 0.13

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.028 IGD (5K) Average = -1

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.051 Absolute Error = 0.0844K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.09 0.05 -0.06 0.10 0.17 -0.042008-09 44 59 51 51 47 54 58 3642009-10 37 58 50 52 48 47 62 3532010-11 31 56 49 50 49 48 54 3372011-12 26 55 47 49 47 48 55 3282012-13 22 53 46 47 46 47 56 317

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.041 Absolute Error = 0.0714K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.09 0.03 -0.07 0.09 0.12 -0.022008-09 45 59 53 52 47 56 57 3692009-10 39 58 51 53 49 49 64 3632010-11 33 56 50 52 50 51 56 3482011-12 29 55 48 50 49 53 58 3422012-13 25 53 47 49 48 51 60 332

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.044 Absolute Error = 0.07714K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.05 0.05 -0.06 0.10 0.17 -0.042008-09 44 60 51 51 47 54 58 3652009-10 37 59 51 52 48 47 62 3552010-11 31 58 50 51 49 48 54 3402011-12 26 57 49 50 48 48 55 3342012-13 22 56 48 49 47 48 56 326

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.034 Absolute Error = 0.0644K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.05 0.03 -0.07 0.09 0.12 -0.022008-09 45 60 53 52 47 56 57 3692009-10 39 59 52 53 49 49 64 3652010-11 33 58 51 52 50 51 56 3522011-12 29 57 50 52 50 53 58 3472012-13 25 56 49 51 49 52 60 341

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 45 60 53 52 47 56 57 369 92009-10 39 59 52 53 49 49 64 365 92010-11 33 58 51 52 50 51 56 352 92011-12 29 57 50 52 50 53 58 347 92012-13 25 56 49 51 49 52 60 341 9

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 4 5 5 6 5 4 292009-10 4 5 5 6 5 4 292010-11 4 5 5 6 5 4 292011-12 4 5 5 6 5 4 292012-13 4 5 5 6 5 4 29

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 45 64 58 57 53 61 61 398 92009-10 39 63 57 58 55 54 68 394 92010-11 33 62 56 57 56 56 60 381 92011-12 29 61 55 57 56 58 62 376 92012-13 25 60 54 56 55 57 64 370 9

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Jerstad El rjd 2/8/200817

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJohnson

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 90 64 89 63 80 97 483 0 4832004-05 58 89 57 74 53 77 408 0 4082005-06 36 99 97 100 76 93 77 578 0 5782006-07 0 75 94 92 97 88 100 546 0 5462007-08 0 94 87 85 89 95 88 538 0 538

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.64 0.99 0.89 0.83 0.84 0.962005-06 1.71 1.67 1.12 1.33 1.26 1.452006-07 0.76 0.95 0.95 0.97 1.16 1.082007-08 ##### 1.25 1.16 0.90 0.97 0.98 1.00Average ##### 1.09 1.19 0.97 1.03 1.06 1.12% +/- ##### 0.09 0.19 -0.03 0.03 0.06 0.12Weighted ##### 1.13 1.18 0.96 1.03 1.07 1.11% +/- ##### 0.13 0.18 -0.04 0.03 0.07 0.11

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.011 IGD (5K) Average = 1

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.027 Absolute Error = 0.0924K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.19 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.08 -0.122008-09 0 95 112 84 87 94 107 5792009-10 0 96 113 108 86 92 106 6022010-11 0 97 114 110 111 91 104 6272011-12 0 98 116 111 112 118 103 6572012-13 0 99 117 112 114 119 132 692

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.025 Absolute Error = 0.0894K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.19 -0.02 -0.06 -0.06 -0.10 -0.112008-09 0 95 111 84 87 96 105 5782009-10 0 96 112 107 86 94 106 6012010-11 0 97 113 108 110 92 104 6242011-12 0 98 115 109 111 118 102 6532012-13 0 99 116 110 112 119 131 687

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.024 Absolute Error = 0.09474K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.21 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.08 -0.122008-09 0 95 112 84 87 94 107 5792009-10 0 96 113 108 86 92 106 6022010-11 0 97 114 110 111 91 104 6272011-12 0 98 116 111 112 118 103 6572012-13 0 99 117 112 114 119 132 692

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.022 Absolute Error = 0.0934K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.21 -0.02 -0.06 -0.06 -0.10 -0.112008-09 0 95 111 84 87 96 105 5782009-10 0 96 112 107 86 94 106 6012010-11 0 97 113 108 110 92 104 6242011-12 0 98 115 109 111 118 102 6532012-13 0 99 116 110 112 119 131 687

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 95 111 84 87 96 105 578 02009-10 0 96 112 107 86 94 106 601 02010-11 0 97 113 108 110 92 104 624 02011-12 0 98 115 109 111 118 102 653 02012-13 0 99 116 110 112 119 131 687 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 95 111 84 87 96 105 578 02009-10 0 96 112 107 86 94 106 601 02010-11 0 97 113 108 110 92 104 624 02011-12 0 98 115 109 111 118 102 653 02012-13 0 99 116 110 112 119 131 687 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Johnson rjd 2/8/200818

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionKnapp

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 33 67 75 72 88 70 73 478 11 4892004-05 34 86 75 73 69 91 72 500 16 5162005-06 53 88 85 73 75 76 84 534 13 5472006-07 30 99 105 94 77 73 73 551 19 5702007-08 36 90 93 89 85 78 74 545 17 562

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.28 1.12 0.97 0.96 1.03 1.032005-06 1.02 0.99 0.97 1.03 1.10 0.922006-07 1.13 1.19 1.11 1.05 0.97 0.962007-08 1.20 0.91 0.94 0.85 0.90 1.01 1.01Average 1.20 1.09 1.06 0.98 0.99 1.03 0.98% +/- 0.20 0.09 0.06 -0.02 -0.01 0.03 -0.02Weighted 0.48 1.03 1.04 0.96 0.98 1.02 0.98% +/- -0.52 0.03 0.04 -0.04 -0.02 0.02 -0.02

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.113 IGD (5K) Average = 5.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.090 Absolute Error = 0.1014K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.22 -0.12 -0.13 -0.08 -0.02 0.032008-09 38 100 95 91 88 88 77 5762009-10 40 111 106 93 89 90 86 6172010-11 43 124 118 104 92 92 89 6612011-12 45 138 132 115 102 95 90 7172012-13 48 154 146 128 114 105 93 788

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.082 Absolute Error = 0.0934K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.22 -0.10 -0.12 -0.08 -0.01 0.032008-09 38 100 94 90 87 87 77 5722009-10 39 111 105 90 88 89 85 6072010-11 41 124 116 101 89 90 87 6472011-12 43 138 129 112 99 90 88 6992012-13 45 154 144 125 110 101 89 766

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.059 Absolute Error = 0.06934K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.04 -0.12 -0.13 -0.08 -0.02 0.032008-09 38 96 95 91 88 88 77 5722009-10 40 102 102 93 89 90 86 6022010-11 43 107 108 99 92 92 89 6292011-12 45 113 114 105 98 95 90 6602012-13 48 119 120 111 103 101 93 694

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.051 Absolute Error = 0.0624K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.04 -0.10 -0.12 -0.08 -0.01 0.032008-09 38 96 94 90 87 87 77 5672009-10 39 102 100 90 88 89 85 5932010-11 41 107 106 96 89 90 87 6162011-12 43 113 112 102 94 90 88 6422012-13 45 119 118 108 100 96 89 674

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 38 96 94 90 87 87 77 567 172009-10 39 102 100 90 88 89 85 593 172010-11 41 107 106 96 89 90 87 616 172011-12 43 113 112 102 94 90 88 642 172012-13 45 119 118 108 100 96 89 674 17

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 38 96 94 90 87 87 77 567 172009-10 39 102 100 90 88 89 85 593 172010-11 41 107 106 96 89 90 87 616 172011-12 43 113 112 102 94 90 88 642 172012-13 45 119 118 108 100 96 89 674 17

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Knapp rjd 2/8/200819

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionMitchell

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 97 82 71 66 70 65 451 3 4542004-05 92 74 78 68 74 68 454 3 4572005-06 92 77 79 78 64 78 468 4 4722006-07 30 83 80 70 70 79 70 482 2 4842007-08 36 75 73 73 71 71 78 477 4 481

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.95 0.76 0.95 0.96 1.12 0.972005-06 1.00 0.84 1.07 1.00 0.94 1.052006-07 0.90 0.87 0.91 0.89 1.01 1.092007-08 1.20 0.90 0.88 0.91 1.01 1.01 0.99Average 1.20 0.94 0.84 0.96 0.96 1.02 1.03% +/- 0.20 -0.06 -0.16 -0.04 -0.04 0.02 0.03Weighted 0.48 0.93 0.86 0.95 0.97 1.01 1.03% +/- -0.52 -0.07 -0.14 -0.05 -0.03 0.01 0.03

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.089 IGD (5K) Average = -5.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.002 Absolute Error = 0.0334K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.01 0.04 -0.05 0.05 -0.01 -0.042008-09 30 68 63 70 70 73 73 4472009-10 25 62 57 60 68 72 75 4192010-11 21 57 52 55 58 69 74 3862011-12 18 52 48 50 53 59 71 3502012-13 15 47 43 46 48 54 61 314

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.002 Absolute Error = 0.0274K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.01 0.02 -0.03 0.05 0.00 -0.042008-09 31 68 64 69 71 72 73 4482009-10 26 62 59 61 67 71 74 4202010-11 23 57 53 55 59 67 74 3882011-12 19 52 49 50 54 59 70 3532012-13 17 47 44 46 49 54 61 318

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.030 Absolute Error = 0.06124K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.18 0.04 -0.05 0.05 -0.01 -0.042008-09 30 70 63 70 70 73 73 4482009-10 25 64 58 60 68 72 75 4222010-11 21 59 54 56 58 69 74 3902011-12 18 53 49 51 54 59 71 3552012-13 15 48 44 47 50 55 61 319

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.031 Absolute Error = 0.0554K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.18 0.02 -0.03 0.05 0.00 -0.042008-09 31 70 64 69 71 72 73 4492009-10 26 64 60 61 67 71 74 4232010-11 23 59 55 56 59 67 74 3922011-12 19 53 50 52 54 59 70 3582012-13 17 48 45 47 50 55 61 323

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 31 68 64 69 71 72 73 448 42009-10 26 62 59 61 67 71 74 420 42010-11 23 57 53 55 59 67 74 388 42011-12 19 52 49 50 54 59 70 353 42012-13 17 47 44 46 49 54 61 318 4

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 31 68 64 69 71 72 73 448 42009-10 26 62 59 61 67 71 74 420 42010-11 23 57 53 55 59 67 74 388 42011-12 19 52 49 50 54 59 70 353 42012-13 17 47 44 46 49 54 61 318 4

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Mitchell rjd 2/8/200820

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionNorth Park

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 66 72 71 59 53 60 381 16 3972004-05 58 69 74 76 67 52 396 17 4132005-06 61 60 63 79 79 60 402 19 4212006-07 71 88 83 77 92 84 495 11 5062007-08 70 74 99 76 75 90 484 16 500

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.88 1.05 1.03 1.07 1.14 0.982005-06 1.05 1.03 0.91 1.07 1.04 0.902006-07 1.16 1.44 1.38 1.22 1.16 1.062007-08 ##### 0.99 1.04 1.13 0.92 0.97 0.98Average ##### 1.02 1.14 1.11 1.07 1.08 0.98% +/- ##### 0.02 0.14 0.11 0.07 0.08 -0.02Weighted ##### 1.04 1.16 1.15 1.05 1.06 0.99% +/- ##### 0.04 0.16 0.15 0.05 0.06 -0.01

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.055 IGD (5K) Average = 1

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.069 Absolute Error = 0.0744K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.07 -0.10 0.01 -0.15 -0.10 0.002008-09 0 74 80 82 106 82 73 4972009-10 0 78 84 89 88 114 80 5342010-11 0 82 89 94 95 95 112 5672011-12 0 87 94 99 100 102 93 5752012-13 0 92 99 104 106 108 100 609

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.075 Absolute Error = 0.0754K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.07 -0.12 -0.03 -0.14 -0.09 -0.012008-09 0 74 81 85 104 81 74 4992009-10 0 78 86 94 90 111 80 5372010-11 0 82 91 99 99 95 109 5742011-12 0 87 96 104 104 104 94 5892012-13 0 92 101 110 110 110 103 625

X IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.058 Absolute Error = 0.06184K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.00 -0.10 0.01 -0.15 -0.10 0.002008-09 0 71 80 82 106 82 73 4942009-10 0 72 81 89 88 114 80 5242010-11 0 73 82 90 95 95 112 5472011-12 0 74 83 91 96 102 93 5402012-13 0 75 84 93 98 104 100 554

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.063 Absolute Error = 0.0634K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.00 -0.12 -0.03 -0.14 -0.09 -0.012008-09 0 71 81 85 104 81 74 4962009-10 0 72 82 94 90 111 80 5282010-11 0 73 84 95 99 95 109 5542011-12 0 74 85 96 100 104 94 5532012-13 0 75 86 98 101 106 103 569

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 71 80 82 106 82 73 494 162009-10 0 72 81 89 88 114 80 524 162010-11 0 73 82 90 95 95 112 547 162011-12 0 74 83 91 96 102 93 540 162012-13 0 75 84 93 98 104 100 554 16

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 71 80 82 106 82 73 494 162009-10 0 72 81 89 88 114 80 524 162010-11 0 73 82 90 95 95 112 547 162011-12 0 74 83 91 96 102 93 540 162012-13 0 75 84 93 98 104 100 554 16

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) North Park rjd 2/8/200821

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionRoosevelt

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 68 85 75 55 72 70 425 0 4252004-05 0 68 73 84 79 62 70 436 0 4362005-06 0 74 77 76 72 82 58 439 0 4392006-07 0 83 80 76 78 70 66 453 0 4532007-08 0 76 79 84 83 76 72 470 0 470

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.00 1.07 0.99 1.05 1.13 0.972005-06 1.09 1.13 1.04 0.86 1.04 0.942006-07 1.12 1.08 0.99 1.03 0.97 0.802007-08 ##### 0.92 0.95 1.05 1.09 0.97 1.03Average ##### 1.03 1.06 1.02 1.01 1.03 0.94% +/- ##### 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.03 -0.06Weighted ##### 1.02 1.04 1.02 1.02 1.00 0.94% +/- ##### 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.06

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.058 IGD (5K) Average = 2

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.018 Absolute Error = 0.0884K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.16 -0.11 0.03 0.08 -0.05 0.092008-09 0 80 81 80 85 85 71 4822009-10 0 85 85 82 81 87 80 5002010-11 0 90 90 87 82 83 81 5142011-12 0 95 96 92 87 85 78 5322012-13 0 101 101 97 92 90 79 561

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.014 Absolute Error = 0.0774K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.16 -0.09 0.03 0.07 -0.03 0.092008-09 0 80 79 81 86 83 71 4802009-10 0 85 84 81 83 86 78 4962010-11 0 90 88 86 83 83 81 5102011-12 0 95 94 91 87 83 78 5272012-13 0 101 99 96 92 87 77 553

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.003 Absolute Error = 0.07324K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.07 -0.11 0.03 0.08 -0.05 0.092008-09 0 78 81 80 85 85 71 4802009-10 0 80 83 82 81 87 80 4922010-11 0 82 85 84 82 83 81 4982011-12 0 84 87 86 85 85 78 5042012-13 0 86 89 88 87 87 79 516

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.001 Absolute Error = 0.0624K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.07 -0.09 0.03 0.07 -0.03 0.092008-09 0 78 79 81 86 83 71 4782009-10 0 80 81 81 83 86 78 4882010-11 0 82 83 83 83 83 81 4942011-12 0 84 85 85 85 83 78 4992012-13 0 86 87 87 87 85 77 510

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 78 79 81 86 83 71 478 02009-10 0 80 81 81 83 86 78 488 02010-11 0 82 83 83 83 83 81 494 02011-12 0 84 85 85 85 83 78 499 02012-13 0 86 87 87 87 85 77 510 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 -8 -10 -10 -12 -10 -8 -582009-10 -8 -10 -10 -12 -10 -8 -582010-11 -8 -10 -10 -12 -10 -8 -582011-12 -8 -10 -10 -12 -10 -8 -582012-13 -8 -10 -10 -12 -10 -8 -58

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 70 69 71 74 73 63 420 02009-10 0 72 71 71 71 76 70 430 02010-11 0 74 73 73 71 73 73 436 02011-12 0 76 75 75 73 73 70 441 02012-13 0 78 77 77 75 75 69 452 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Roosevelt rjd 2/8/200822

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionWadewitz

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 119 94 88 91 92 75 559 55 6142004-05 33 100 95 89 93 83 95 588 22 6102005-06 34 85 83 99 92 95 91 579 19 5982006-07 35 91 85 85 99 89 84 568 21 5892007-08 32 96 94 92 86 99 94 593 34 627

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.84 0.80 0.95 1.06 0.91 1.032005-06 0.85 0.83 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.102006-07 1.07 1.00 1.02 1.00 0.97 0.882007-08 0.91 1.05 1.03 1.08 1.01 1.00 1.06Average 0.91 0.95 0.92 1.02 1.03 0.98 1.02% +/- -0.09 -0.05 -0.08 0.02 0.03 -0.02 0.02Weighted 0.37 1.00 0.96 1.04 1.02 0.99 1.01% +/- -0.63 0.00 -0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.01 0.01

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.030 IGD (5K) Average = -5.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.051 Absolute Error = 0.0564K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.08 0.12 0.06 -0.01 0.02 0.042008-09 29 93 88 96 94 84 101 5862009-10 27 90 85 90 99 92 85 5692010-11 25 88 83 87 92 96 94 5642011-12 22 85 80 85 90 90 98 5502012-13 21 83 78 82 87 87 92 529

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.041 Absolute Error = 0.0434K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error 0.08 0.07 0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.052008-09 31 93 92 98 94 85 100 5922009-10 29 90 89 96 100 92 86 5832010-11 28 88 87 93 98 98 93 5852011-12 27 85 84 90 95 96 99 5772012-13 26 83 82 88 92 93 97 561

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.036 Absolute Error = 0.04364K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.01 0.12 0.06 -0.01 0.02 0.042008-09 29 90 88 96 94 84 101 5832009-10 27 85 83 90 99 92 85 5602010-11 25 79 77 85 92 96 94 5472011-12 22 73 72 79 87 90 98 5212012-13 21 67 67 74 81 85 92 486

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.027 Absolute Error = 0.0314K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.01 0.07 0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.052008-09 31 90 92 98 94 85 100 5892009-10 29 85 87 96 100 92 86 5742010-11 28 79 81 90 98 98 93 5682011-12 27 73 76 85 92 96 99 5482012-13 26 67 70 79 86 91 97 516

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 31 90 92 98 94 85 100 589 342009-10 29 85 87 96 100 92 86 574 342010-11 28 79 81 90 98 98 93 568 342011-12 27 73 76 85 92 96 99 548 342012-13 26 67 70 79 86 91 97 516 34

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 31 90 92 98 94 85 100 589 342009-10 29 85 87 96 100 92 86 574 342010-11 28 79 81 90 98 98 93 568 342011-12 27 73 76 85 92 96 99 548 342012-13 26 67 70 79 86 91 97 516 34

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Wadewitz rjd 2/8/200823

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionWest Ridge

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 67 78 72 72 73 75 437 0 4372004-05 0 73 69 85 68 79 78 452 0 4522005-06 0 67 63 79 94 67 77 447 0 4472006-07 0 73 78 58 79 91 66 445 0 4452007-08 0 69 82 83 63 79 85 461 0 461

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.09 1.03 1.09 0.94 1.10 1.072005-06 0.92 0.86 1.14 1.11 0.99 0.972006-07 1.09 1.16 0.92 1.00 0.97 0.992007-08 ##### 0.95 1.12 1.06 1.09 1.00 0.93Average ##### 1.01 1.05 1.05 1.03 1.01 0.99% +/- ##### 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.01 -0.01Weighted ##### 1.00 1.07 1.04 1.05 1.00 0.97% +/- ##### 0.00 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.00 -0.03

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.031 IGD (5K) Average = 0.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.003 Absolute Error = 0.0504K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.09 0.08 0.01 0.05 -0.01 -0.062008-09 0 71 72 86 86 64 78 4582009-10 0 73 74 76 89 87 63 4632010-11 0 76 77 78 79 91 86 4862011-12 0 78 79 81 81 80 90 4882012-13 0 80 82 83 84 82 79 490

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.003 Absolute Error = 0.0404K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.09 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.00 -0.042008-09 0 71 74 85 87 63 77 4572009-10 0 73 76 77 90 87 61 4642010-11 0 76 79 79 81 89 84 4882011-12 0 78 81 82 83 81 87 4922012-13 0 80 84 84 86 83 78 496

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.003 Absolute Error = 0.04334K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.05 0.08 0.01 0.05 -0.01 -0.062008-09 0 70 72 86 86 64 78 4562009-10 0 70 73 76 89 87 63 4582010-11 0 71 73 77 79 91 86 4762011-12 0 71 74 77 79 80 90 4702012-13 0 72 74 78 80 80 79 462

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.004 Absolute Error = 0.0334K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.05 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.00 -0.042008-09 0 70 74 85 87 63 77 4562009-10 0 70 75 77 90 87 61 4592010-11 0 71 75 78 81 89 84 4782011-12 0 71 76 78 82 81 87 4742012-13 0 72 76 79 82 81 78 468

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 71 74 85 87 63 77 457 02009-10 0 73 76 77 90 87 61 464 02010-11 0 76 79 79 81 89 84 488 02011-12 0 78 81 82 83 81 87 492 02012-13 0 80 84 84 86 83 78 496 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 71 74 85 87 63 77 457 02009-10 0 73 76 77 90 87 61 464 02010-11 0 76 79 79 81 89 84 488 02011-12 0 78 81 82 83 81 87 492 02012-13 0 80 84 84 86 83 78 496 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) West Ridge rjd 2/8/200824

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionSchulte

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 64 64 62 67 72 63 392 0 3922004-05 0 58 60 67 62 76 77 400 0 4002005-06 0 69 64 70 73 63 70 409 0 4092006-07 0 70 68 67 71 76 59 411 0 4112007-08 0 58 60 68 65 76 82 409 0 409

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.91 0.94 1.05 1.00 1.13 1.072005-06 1.19 1.10 1.17 1.09 1.02 0.922006-07 1.01 0.99 1.05 1.01 1.04 0.942007-08 ##### 0.83 0.86 1.00 0.97 1.07 1.08Average ##### 0.98 0.97 1.07 1.02 1.07 1.00% +/- ##### -0.02 -0.03 0.07 0.02 0.07 0.00Weighted ##### 0.96 0.95 1.05 1.01 1.06 1.00% +/- ##### -0.04 -0.05 0.05 0.01 0.06 0.00

IGD (5K) Percent = -0.012 IGD (5K) Average = -1.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.056 Absolute Error = 0.0844K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.19 -0.11 -0.07 -0.05 0.00 0.082008-09 0 57 56 64 69 69 76 3922009-10 0 57 56 60 65 74 69 3812010-11 0 56 55 59 61 69 74 3752011-12 0 55 54 59 60 65 69 3632012-13 0 55 54 58 60 64 65 355

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.049 Absolute Error = 0.0784K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.19 -0.10 -0.05 -0.04 0.01 0.082008-09 0 57 55 63 69 69 76 3892009-10 0 57 55 58 64 73 69 3752010-11 0 56 54 57 59 67 73 3672011-12 0 55 53 57 58 62 68 3532012-13 0 55 53 56 57 61 62 345

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.063 Absolute Error = 0.09044K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.23 -0.11 -0.07 -0.05 0.00 0.082008-09 0 57 56 64 69 69 76 3912009-10 0 55 55 60 65 74 69 3782010-11 0 54 53 58 61 69 74 3702011-12 0 52 52 57 60 65 69 3552012-13 0 51 50 55 58 63 65 343

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.055 Absolute Error = 0.0854K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.23 -0.10 -0.05 -0.04 0.01 0.082008-09 0 57 55 63 69 69 76 3892009-10 0 55 54 58 64 73 69 3722010-11 0 54 52 57 59 67 73 3622011-12 0 52 51 55 57 62 68 3452012-13 0 51 50 54 56 60 62 332

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 57 55 63 69 69 76 389 02009-10 0 57 55 58 64 73 69 375 02010-11 0 56 54 57 59 67 73 367 02011-12 0 55 53 57 58 62 68 353 02012-13 0 55 53 56 57 61 62 345 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 0 57 55 63 69 69 76 389 02009-10 0 57 55 58 64 73 69 375 02010-11 0 56 54 57 59 67 73 367 02011-12 0 55 53 57 58 62 68 353 02012-13 0 55 53 56 57 61 62 345 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Schulte rjd 2/8/200825

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionWind Point

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total2003-04 0 46 56 50 35 46 52 285 0 2852004-05 0 33 48 45 43 30 40 239 0 2392005-06 0 50 44 54 48 44 34 274 0 2742006-07 38 50 51 50 56 59 57 361 0 3612007-08 27 42 45 45 54 55 56 324 0 324

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.72 1.04 0.80 0.86 0.86 0.872005-06 1.52 1.33 1.13 1.07 1.02 1.132006-07 1.00 1.02 1.14 1.04 1.23 1.302007-08 0.71 0.84 0.90 0.88 1.08 0.98 0.95Average 0.71 1.02 1.07 0.99 1.01 1.02 1.06% +/- -0.29 0.02 0.07 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.06Weighted 0.28 1.01 1.04 1.00 1.04 1.05 1.08% +/- -0.72 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.08

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.018 IGD (5K) Average = -1

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

X IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.096 Absolute Error = 0.1194K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.21 -0.17 -0.10 0.07 -0.04 -0.112008-09 29 43 45 44 45 55 58 3202009-10 31 44 46 45 45 47 59 3152010-11 33 44 47 45 45 46 49 3102011-12 36 45 48 46 46 46 49 3152012-13 39 46 48 47 47 47 49 322

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.105 Absolute Error = 0.1184K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.21 -0.14 -0.12 0.04 -0.07 -0.132008-09 28 43 44 45 47 57 60 3232009-10 29 44 44 44 47 49 61 3182010-11 30 44 45 44 45 49 53 3122011-12 31 45 46 45 46 48 53 3152012-13 32 46 47 46 47 49 52 318

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.096 Absolute Error = 0.11924K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.21 -0.17 -0.10 0.07 -0.04 -0.112008-09 29 41 45 44 45 55 58 3192009-10 31 40 44 45 45 47 59 3102010-11 33 39 43 43 45 46 49 2992011-12 36 38 42 42 44 46 49 2972012-13 39 37 41 41 43 45 49 294

IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.105 Absolute Error = 0.1184K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.21 -0.14 -0.12 0.04 -0.07 -0.132008-09 28 41 44 45 47 57 60 3212009-10 29 40 43 44 47 49 61 3132010-11 30 39 41 42 45 49 53 3012011-12 31 38 40 41 44 48 53 2962012-13 32 37 39 40 43 47 52 291

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 29 43 45 44 45 55 58 320 02009-10 31 44 46 45 45 47 59 315 02010-11 33 44 47 45 45 46 49 310 02011-12 36 45 48 46 46 46 49 315 02012-13 39 46 48 47 47 47 49 322 0

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 29 43 45 44 45 55 58 320 02009-10 31 44 46 45 45 47 59 315 02010-11 33 44 47 45 45 46 49 310 02011-12 36 45 48 46 46 46 49 315 02012-13 39 46 48 47 47 47 49 322 0

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Wind Point rjd 2/8/200826

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionRed Apple

Historical DataYear 4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK Total P-COC2003-04 14 59 50 49 46 47 43 308 119 4272004-05 47 58 50 51 49 46 46 347 107 4542005-06 52 70 49 46 49 47 46 359 109 4682006-07 71 73 55 48 44 51 44 386 99 4852007-08 67 62 43 53 51 44 47 367 63 430 67

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.98 0.85 1.02 1.00 1.00 0.982005-06 1.21 0.84 0.92 0.96 0.96 1.002006-07 1.04 0.79 0.98 0.96 1.04 0.942007-08 0.94 0.85 0.59 0.96 1.06 1.00 0.92Average 0.94 1.02 0.77 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.96% +/- -0.06 0.02 -0.23 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 -0.04Weighted 0.38 0.99 0.73 0.97 1.00 1.00 0.95% +/- -0.62 -0.01 -0.27 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.05

IGD (5K) Percent = 0.031 IGD (5K) Average = 0.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.061 Absolute Error = 0.0844K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.21 -0.18 -0.01 0.07 0.00 -0.042008-09 51 64 48 42 53 51 42 3512009-10 39 66 49 46 42 53 49 3442010-11 30 68 51 48 46 42 51 3342011-12 23 70 52 49 47 46 40 3272012-13 18 72 54 51 49 47 44 334

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.054 Absolute Error = 0.0734K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.21 -0.14 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.032008-09 49 64 45 42 53 51 42 3452009-10 35 66 46 43 42 53 49 3342010-11 26 68 48 45 44 42 51 3222011-12 19 70 49 46 45 44 40 3122012-13 13 72 51 48 46 45 41 317

IGD = Average Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.053 Absolute Error = 0.07584K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.17 -0.18 -0.01 0.07 0.00 -0.042008-09 51 63 48 42 53 51 42 3492009-10 39 64 48 46 42 53 49 3402010-11 30 64 49 47 46 42 51 3282011-12 23 65 49 47 46 46 40 3172012-13 18 66 50 48 47 46 44 319

X IGD = Average Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.046 Absolute Error = 0.0654K 5K 1 2 3 4 5

Error -0.17 -0.14 0.00 0.06 0.00 -0.032008-09 49 63 45 42 53 51 42 3442009-10 35 64 45 43 42 53 49 3312010-11 26 64 46 44 44 42 51 3162011-12 19 65 47 44 44 44 40 3022012-13 13 66 47 45 45 44 41 302

School Level Projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 49 63 45 42 53 51 42 344 632009-10 35 64 45 43 42 53 49 331 632010-11 26 64 46 44 44 42 51 316 632011-12 19 65 47 44 44 44 40 302 632012-13 13 66 47 45 45 44 41 302 63

Adjustment4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted school level projection4K 5K 1 2 3 4 5 Total PK

2008-09 49 63 45 42 53 51 42 344 632009-10 35 64 45 43 42 53 49 331 632010-11 26 64 46 44 44 42 51 316 632011-12 19 65 47 44 44 44 40 302 632012-13 13 66 47 45 45 44 41 302 63

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Red Apple rjd 2/8/200827

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionGilmore

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 Total2003-04 311 287 321 9192004-05 256 283 283 8222005-06 255 253 282 7902006-07 238 259 257 7542007-08 261 237 258 756 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.82 0.91 0.992005-06 1.00 0.99 1.002006-07 0.93 1.02 1.022007-08 1.10 1.00 1.00Average 0.96 0.98 1.00% +/- -0.04 -0.02 0.00Weighted 1.00 0.99 1.00% +/- 0.00 -0.01 0.00

IGD (6) -0.06 IGD (6) Average = -12.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.05 Absolute Error = 0.0536 7 8

Error 0.14 0.02 0.002008-09 247 255 237 7382009-10 233 241 255 7292010-11 220 228 241 6882011-12 208 215 227 6502012-13 196 203 215 614

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0 Absolute Error = 0.0496 7 8

Error 0.14 0.00 0.002008-09 247 259 237 7432009-10 233 244 259 7362010-11 220 231 245 6952011-12 208 218 231 6572012-13 196 206 218 620

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.02 Absolute Error = 0.0206 7 8

Error 0.04 0.02 0.002008-09 249 255 237 7402009-10 236 243 255 7342010-11 224 231 243 6972011-12 211 218 230 6602012-13 199 206 218 623

IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.01 Absolute Error = 0.0166 7 8

Error 0.04 0.00 0.002008-09 249 259 237 7452009-10 236 246 259 7422010-11 224 234 247 7042011-12 211 222 234 6672012-13 199 209 222 630

School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 247 259 237 7432009-10 233 244 259 7362010-11 220 231 245 6952011-12 208 218 231 6572012-13 196 206 218 620

Adjustment6 7 8 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 247 259 237 7432009-10 233 244 259 7362010-11 220 231 245 6952011-12 208 218 231 6572012-13 196 206 218 620

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Gilmore rjd 2/8/200828

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionJerstad Mid

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 Total2003-04 285 282 249 8162004-05 272 276 264 8122005-06 241 282 264 7872006-07 258 242 276 7762007-08 262 256 243 761 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.95 0.97 0.942005-06 0.89 1.04 0.962006-07 1.07 1.00 0.982007-08 1.02 0.99 1.00Average 0.98 1.00 0.97% +/- -0.02 0.00 -0.03Weighted 1.00 1.00 0.98% +/- 0.00 0.00 -0.02

IGD (6 -0 IGD (6) A -5.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, then use smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average 0.01 Absolute Error = 0.0206 7 8

Error 0.02 -0.01 0.042008-09 261 262 248 7722009-10 261 262 254 7772010-11 260 261 253 7752011-12 260 261 253 7742012-13 260 260 252 772

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average 0 Absolute Error = 0.0176 7 8

Error 0.02 -0.01 0.022008-09 261 263 251 7752009-10 261 262 257 7812010-11 260 262 257 7792011-12 260 261 256 7782012-13 260 261 256 776

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average 0.01 Absolute Error = 0.0176 7 8

Error -0.01 -0.01 0.042008-09 256 262 248 7662009-10 251 256 254 7612010-11 245 251 248 7442011-12 239 245 243 7272012-13 233 239 237 710

X IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average 0.00 Absolute Error = 0.0146 7 8

Error -0.01 -0.01 0.022008-09 256 263 251 7702009-10 251 257 257 7652010-11 245 251 252 7482011-12 239 245 246 7302012-13 233 240 240 713

School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 256 263 251 7702009-10 251 257 257 7652010-11 245 251 252 7482011-12 239 245 246 7302012-13 233 240 240 713

Adjustment6 7 8 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 256 263 251 7702009-10 251 257 257 7652010-11 245 251 252 7482011-12 239 245 246 7302012-13 233 240 240 713

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Jerstad Mid rjd 2/8/200829

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionMcKinley

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 Total2003-04 320 316 352 9882004-05 285 308 318 9112005-06 270 263 290 8232006-07 252 265 275 7922007-08 280 261 268 809 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.89 0.96 1.012005-06 0.95 0.92 0.942006-07 0.93 0.98 1.052007-08 1.11 1.04 1.01Average 0.97 0.98 1.00% +/- -0.03 -0.02 0.00Weighted 1.00 0.99 1.01% +/- 0.00 -0.01 0.01

IGD (6) Percent = -0.05 IGD (6) Ave = -10

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have sameAverage Error, then use smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Er 0.0709 Absolute Error = 0.07096 7 8

Error 0.14 0.06 0.012008-09 267 273 261 8012009-10 254 260 274 7882010-11 242 248 261 7512011-12 231 236 248 7152012-13 220 225 237 681

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Er 0 Absolute Error = 05K 1 2

Error 0.14 0.05 0.002008-09 267 277 263 8072009-10 254 264 279 7972010-11 242 252 266 7602011-12 231 240 253 7242012-13 220 228 241 689

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Er 0.0447 Absolute Error = 0.04475K 1 2

Error 0.06 0.06 0.012008-09 270 273 261 8042009-10 260 263 274 7972010-11 250 254 264 7672011-12 240 244 254 7382012-13 230 234 244 708

IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Er 0.0381 Absolute Error = 0.03815K 1 2

Error 0.06 0.05 0.002008-09 270 277 263 8102009-10 260 267 279 8062010-11 250 257 269 7762011-12 240 247 259 7472012-13 230 237 249 717

School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 267 277 263 8072009-10 254 264 279 7972010-11 242 252 266 7602011-12 231 240 253 7242012-13 220 228 241 689

Adjustment6 7 8 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 267 277 263 8072009-10 254 264 279 7972010-11 242 252 266 7602011-12 231 240 253 7242012-13 220 228 241 689

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) McKinley rjd 2/8/200830

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionMitchell Mid

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 Total2003-04 306 338 338 9822004-05 286 318 334 9382005-06 301 288 302 8912006-07 318 302 297 9172007-08 211 259 278 748

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.93 1.04 0.992005-06 1.05 1.01 0.952006-07 1.06 1.00 1.032007-08 0.66 0.81 0.92Average 0.93 0.97 0.97% +/- -0.07 -0.03 -0.03Weighted 0.89 0.93 0.97% +/- -0.11 -0.07 -0.03

IGD (6) Percent = -0.06 IGD (6) Ave = #

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have sameAverage Error, then use smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.207 Absolute Error = 0.20686 7 8

Error -0.42 -0.15 -0.052008-09 198 204 252 6542009-10 186 192 198 5762010-11 175 180 186 5422011-12 165 169 175 5092012-13 155 159 165 479

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0 Absolute Error = 05K 1 2

Error -0.42 -0.12 -0.052008-09 198 197 250 6452009-10 186 185 190 5612010-11 175 174 179 5282011-12 165 163 168 4962012-13 155 154 158 467

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.274 Absolute Error = 0.27455K 1 2

Error -0.62 -0.15 -0.052008-09 187 204 252 6432009-10 164 181 198 5432010-11 140 158 176 4742011-12 116 135 154 4052012-13 92 112 131 336

IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.261 Absolute Error = 0.26115K 1 2

Error -0.62 -0.12 -0.052008-09 187 197 250 6342009-10 164 175 190 5282010-11 140 152 169 4612011-12 116 130 147 3942012-13 92 108 126 326

School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 198 197 250 6452009-10 186 185 190 5612010-11 175 174 179 5282011-12 165 163 168 4962012-13 155 154 158 467

Adjustment6 7 8 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 198 197 250 6452009-10 186 185 190 5612010-11 175 174 179 5282011-12 165 163 168 4962012-13 155 154 158 467

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Mitchell Mid rjd 2/8/200831

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionStarbuck

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 Total2003-04 289 278 264 8312004-05 282 283 274 8392005-06 248 293 307 8482006-07 229 229 288 7462007-08 258 266 275 799 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.98 0.98 0.992005-06 0.88 1.04 1.082006-07 0.92 0.92 0.982007-08 1.13 1.16 1.20Average 0.98 1.03 1.06% +/- -0.02 0.03 0.06Weighted 1.00 1.05 1.09% +/- 0.00 0.05 0.09

IGD (6) Percent = -0.04 IGD (6) Ave = -7.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, then use smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.1416 Absolute Error = 0.14166 7 8

Error 0.15 0.14 0.142008-09 247 265 283 7942009-10 236 253 281 7702010-11 225 242 269 7362011-12 215 231 257 7032012-13 206 221 246 672

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0 Absolute Error = 06 7 8

Error 0.15 0.11 0.112008-09 247 270 290 8072009-10 236 258 295 7892010-11 225 247 282 7542011-12 215 236 269 7202012-13 206 225 257 688

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.1184 Absolute Error = 0.11846 7 8

Error 0.08 0.14 0.142008-09 250 265 283 7982009-10 243 257 281 7812010-11 235 249 273 7572011-12 227 241 265 7322012-13 219 233 256 708

IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.1021 Absolute Error = 0.10216 7 8

Error 0.08 0.11 0.112008-09 250 270 290 8112009-10 243 262 295 7992010-11 235 254 286 7752011-12 227 246 277 7502012-13 219 238 268 725

School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 247 270 290 8072009-10 236 258 295 7892010-11 225 247 282 7542011-12 215 236 269 7202012-13 206 225 257 688

Adjustment6 7 8 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 Total

2008-09 247 270 290 8072009-10 236 258 295 7892010-11 225 247 282 7542011-12 215 236 269 7202012-13 206 225 257 688

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Starbuck rjd 2/8/200832

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionWalden

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total2003-04 72 73 75 78 73 63 55 4892004-05 75 74 74 76 70 75 60 5042005-06 72 74 74 78 72 59 75 5042006-07 75 75 74 84 77 68 58 5112007-08 74 76 74 83 74 69 64 514

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.04 1.03 1.01 1.01 0.90 1.03 0.952005-06 0.96 0.99 1.00 1.05 0.95 0.84 1.002006-07 1.04 1.04 1.00 1.14 0.99 0.94 0.982007-08 0.99 1.01 0.99 1.12 0.88 0.90 0.94Average 1.01 1.02 1.00 1.08 0.93 0.93 0.97% +/- 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.03Weighted 1.00 1.02 1.00 1.10 0.93 0.91 0.97% +/- 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.10 -0.07 -0.09 -0.03

IGD (6) Percent = 0.018 IGD (6) Average = 0.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % AveragAverage Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.016 Absolute Error = 0.0286 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error -0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.032008-09 75 75 76 80 77 69 67 5192009-10 77 77 75 82 74 71 67 5232010-11 78 78 77 81 76 69 69 5282011-12 79 79 78 83 76 71 67 5322012-13 81 81 79 84 77 70 69 541

IGD = % WeighWeighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.016 Absolute Error = 0.0226 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error -0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.02 -0.05 -0.02 -0.032008-09 75 75 76 81 77 68 67 5192009-10 77 77 75 83 76 70 65 5232010-11 78 78 76 83 77 69 68 5292011-12 79 79 78 84 77 71 67 5342012-13 81 81 79 86 78 70 68 542

X IGD = Ave AveragAverage Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.013 Absolute Error = 0.02466 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.032008-09 75 75 76 80 77 69 67 5182009-10 75 76 75 82 74 71 67 5212010-11 76 76 76 81 76 69 69 5232011-12 76 77 76 82 76 71 67 5242012-13 77 77 77 82 76 70 69 528

IGD = Ave WeighWeighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.013 Absolute Error = 0.0196 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.02 -0.05 -0.02 -0.032008-09 75 75 76 81 77 68 67 5182009-10 75 76 75 83 76 70 65 5202010-11 76 76 76 83 77 69 68 5242011-12 76 77 76 83 77 71 67 5262012-13 77 77 77 84 77 70 68 530

School Level Projection6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 75 75 76 80 77 69 67 5182009-10 75 76 75 82 74 71 67 5212010-11 76 76 76 81 76 69 69 5232011-12 76 77 76 82 76 71 67 5242012-13 77 77 77 82 76 70 69 528

Adjustment6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 75 75 76 80 77 69 67 5182009-10 75 76 75 82 74 71 67 5212010-11 76 76 76 81 76 69 69 5232011-12 76 77 76 82 76 71 67 5242012-13 77 77 77 82 76 70 69 528

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Walden rjd 2/8/200833

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionREAL

Historical DataYear 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total2003-04 20 66 25 27 19 15 27 1992004-05 23 20 65 24 23 24 17 1962005-06 47 23 25 50 27 22 26 2202006-07 46 45 21 26 42 25 16 2212007-08 41 44 46 24 21 40 26 242

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.15 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.85 1.26 1.132005-06 2.04 1.00 1.25 0.77 1.13 0.96 1.082006-07 0.98 0.96 0.91 1.04 0.84 0.93 0.732007-08 0.89 0.96 1.02 1.14 0.81 0.95 1.04Average 1.27 0.98 1.04 0.98 0.91 1.02 1.00% +/- 0.27 -0.02 0.04 -0.02 -0.09 0.02 0.00Weighted 1.17 0.97 1.03 1.02 0.89 0.98 0.96% +/- 0.17 -0.03 0.03 0.02 -0.11 -0.02 -0.04

IGD (6) Percent = 0.260 IGD (6) Average = 5.25

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.060 Absolute Error = 0.1196 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error -0.41 -0.02 -0.02 0.16 -0.10 -0.07 0.042008-09 52 40 46 45 22 22 40 2662009-10 65 51 42 45 41 22 21 2872010-11 82 64 53 41 41 42 22 3442011-12 103 80 66 52 37 42 42 4222012-13 130 101 84 65 47 38 41 507

IGD = % WeighWeighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.048 Absolute Error = 0.1056 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error -0.41 -0.01 -0.01 0.12 -0.08 -0.02 0.082008-09 52 40 45 47 21 21 39 2642009-10 65 50 41 46 41 21 20 2852010-11 82 63 52 42 41 41 20 3402011-12 103 80 65 53 37 40 39 4172012-13 130 100 82 66 47 36 39 501

X IGD = Ave AveragAverage Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.000 Absolute Error = 0.06116 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.16 -0.10 -0.07 0.042008-09 46 40 46 45 22 22 40 2602009-10 52 45 42 45 41 22 21 2682010-11 57 50 47 41 41 42 22 3002011-12 62 56 53 46 37 42 42 3372012-13 67 61 58 51 42 38 41 358

IGD = Ave WeighWeighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.012 Absolute Error = 0.0476 7 8 9 10 11 12

Error 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.12 -0.08 -0.02 0.082008-09 46 40 45 47 21 21 39 2592009-10 52 45 41 46 41 21 20 2662010-11 57 50 46 42 41 41 20 2962011-12 62 55 52 47 37 40 39 3322012-13 67 60 57 52 42 36 39 353

School Level Projection6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 46 40 46 45 22 22 40 2602009-10 52 45 42 45 41 22 21 2682010-11 57 50 47 41 41 42 22 3002011-12 62 56 53 46 37 42 42 3372012-13 67 61 58 51 42 38 41 358

Adjustment6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 46 40 46 45 22 22 40 2602009-10 52 45 42 45 41 22 21 2682010-11 57 50 47 41 41 42 22 3002011-12 62 56 53 46 37 42 42 3372012-13 67 61 58 51 42 38 41 358

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) REAL rjd 2/8/200834

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionCase

Historical DataYear 9 10 11 12 Total2003-04 526 532 487 402 19472004-05 500 543 513 488 20442005-06 474 479 504 531 19882006-07 503 471 477 527 19782007-08 495 493 482 548 2018 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.95 1.03 0.96 1.002005-06 0.95 0.96 0.93 1.042006-07 1.06 0.99 1.00 1.052007-08 0.98 0.98 1.02 1.15Average 0.99 0.99 0.98 1.06% +/- -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.06Weighted 1.00 0.98 0.99 1.08% +/- 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 0.08

IGD (K) Percent = 0.000 IGD (K) Average = -7.75

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.027 Absolute Error = 0.0419 10 11 12

Error -0.02 -0.01 0.05 0.092008-09 495 491 482 510 19782009-10 495 491 480 510 19762010-11 496 491 480 508 19742011-12 496 491 480 508 19752012-13 496 491 480 508 1975

IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.020 Absolute Error = 0.0319 10 11 12

Error -0.02 0.00 0.03 0.072008-09 495 488 488 521 19922009-10 495 488 483 527 19932010-11 495 488 483 522 19882011-12 496 488 483 522 19882012-13 496 488 483 522 1989

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.023 Absolute Error = 0.0459 10 11 12

Error -0.03 -0.01 0.05 0.092008-09 487 491 482 510 19702009-10 480 483 480 510 19522010-11 472 475 472 508 19272011-12 464 468 465 500 18962012-13 456 460 457 492 1865

X IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.016 Absolute Error = 0.0359 10 11 12

Error -0.03 0.00 0.03 0.072008-09 487 488 488 521 19842009-10 480 480 483 527 19702010-11 472 472 475 522 19412011-12 464 465 468 513 19102012-13 456 457 460 505 1879

School Level Projection6 7 8 9 Total

2008-09 487 488 488 521 19842009-10 480 480 483 527 19702010-11 472 472 475 522 19412011-12 464 465 468 513 19102012-13 456 457 460 505 1879

Adjustment9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 487 488 488 521 19842009-10 480 480 483 527 19702010-11 472 472 475 522 19412011-12 464 465 468 513 19102012-13 456 457 460 505 1879

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Case rjd 2/8/200835

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionHorlick

Historical DataYear 9 10 11 12 Total2003-04 549 534 504 438 20252004-05 542 516 513 552 21232005-06 545 535 520 568 21682006-07 564 602 548 483 21972007-08 528 528 531 569 2156 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 0.99 0.94 0.96 1.102005-06 1.01 0.99 1.01 1.112006-07 1.03 1.10 1.02 0.932007-08 0.94 0.94 0.88 1.04Average 0.99 0.99 0.97 1.04% +/- -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 0.04Weighted 0.98 1.00 0.96 1.02% +/- -0.02 0.00 -0.04 0.02

IGD (K) Percent = -0.001 IGD (K) Average = -5.25

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.053 Absolute Error = 0.0539 10 11 12

Error -0.07 -0.06 -0.09 0.002008-09 528 524 511 554 21162009-10 527 523 507 533 20912010-11 527 523 507 529 20862011-12 527 523 507 529 20852012-13 526 522 506 528 2083

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.048 Absolute Error = 0.0559 10 11 12

Error -0.07 -0.06 -0.08 0.012008-09 528 527 506 544 21042009-10 527 526 504 518 20762010-11 527 526 504 517 20742011-12 527 526 504 517 20722012-13 526 525 503 516 2071

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.056 Absolute Error = 0.0569 10 11 12

Error -0.08 -0.06 -0.09 0.002008-09 523 524 511 554 21112009-10 518 519 507 533 20772010-11 512 513 502 529 20572011-12 507 508 497 524 20362012-13 502 503 492 518 2015

IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.050 Absolute Error = 0.0579 10 11 12

Error -0.08 -0.06 -0.08 0.012008-09 523 527 506 544 20992009-10 518 521 504 518 20612010-11 512 516 499 517 20442011-12 507 511 494 512 20242012-13 502 506 489 507 2003

School Level Projection6 7 8 9 Total

2008-09 528 527 506 544 21042009-10 527 526 504 518 20762010-11 527 526 504 517 20742011-12 527 526 504 517 20722012-13 526 525 503 516 2071

Adjustment9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 528 527 506 544 21042009-10 527 526 504 518 20762010-11 527 526 504 517 20742011-12 527 526 504 517 20722012-13 526 525 503 516 2071

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Horlick rjd 2/8/200836

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Enrollment / Membership ProjectionPark

Historical DataYear 9 10 11 12 Total2003-04 591 594 521 468 21742004-05 603 571 549 576 22992005-06 561 601 544 608 23142006-07 512 574 594 655 23352007-08 489 507 559 709 2264 Note: Includes Winslow/Mack students

Survival Ratios2004-05 1.02 0.97 0.92 1.112005-06 0.93 1.00 0.95 1.112006-07 0.91 1.02 0.99 1.202007-08 0.96 0.99 0.97 1.19Average 0.95 0.99 0.96 1.15% +/- -0.05 -0.01 -0.04 0.15Weighted 0.94 1.00 0.97 1.17% +/- -0.06 0.00 -0.03 0.17

IGD (K) Percent = -0.069 IGD (K) Average = -25.5

X equals projection with smallest Average Error. If two or more projections have same Average Error, thenuse smallest Absolute Error.

IGD = % Average Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.019 Absolute Error = 0.0219 10 11 12

Error 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.042008-09 455 486 487 644 20722009-10 424 452 467 561 19032010-11 394 421 434 538 17872011-12 367 392 404 500 16632012-13 341 365 376 466 1548

X IGD = % Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = 0.011 Absolute Error = 0.0169 10 11 12

Error 0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.022008-09 455 489 491 654 20892009-10 424 455 473 575 19272010-11 394 423 441 554 18122011-12 367 394 410 516 16862012-13 341 366 382 480 1570

IGD = Ave Average Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.012 Absolute Error = 0.0399 10 11 12

Error -0.10 0.00 0.01 0.042008-09 464 486 487 644 20812009-10 438 461 467 561 19262010-11 413 435 442 538 18282011-12 387 410 418 510 17252012-13 362 385 394 482 1621

IGD = Ave Weighted Survival Ratio Average Error = -0.020 Absolute Error = 0.0349 10 11 12

Error -0.10 -0.01 0.00 0.022008-09 464 489 491 654 20982009-10 438 463 473 575 19502010-11 413 438 449 554 18532011-12 387 412 424 525 17482012-13 362 387 399 496 1644

School Level Projection6 7 8 9 Total

2008-09 455 489 491 654 20892009-10 424 455 473 575 19272010-11 394 423 441 554 18122011-12 367 394 410 516 16862012-13 341 366 382 480 1570

Adjustment9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 02009-10 02010-11 02011-12 02012-13 0

Adjusted School Level Projection9 10 11 12 Total

2008-09 455 489 491 654 20892009-10 424 455 473 575 19272010-11 394 423 441 554 18122011-12 367 394 410 516 16862012-13 341 366 382 480 1570

FY09 - Enrollment Projections (Final) Park rjd 2/8/200837

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Board Consent Agenda

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RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

OFFICIAL PROCEEDINGS

Tony Baumgardt, President Gretchen L. Warner, Clerk

Racine, Wisconsin January 28, 2008

The Board of Education of the Racine Unified School District of Racine County Wisconsin, was called to order at 6:32 p.m. on Monday, January 28, 2008.

2. ROLL CALL The following members were present: Tony Baumgardt, Brian Dey (left the meeting at 10:26 p.m. and returned at 10:40 p.m.), Melvin Hargrove, Susan F. Kutz, Julie L. McKenna, Don J. Nielsen, William S. Van Atta. Absent: Gretchen L. Warner (arrived at 6:32 p.m.); Russell O. Carlsen (arrived at 6:40 p.m.). Also present: Jack Parker, Interim Superintendent of Schools; David Hazen, Chief Financial Officer; Mark Lindem, Chief Operations Officer; Patrick Starken, Manager, Transportation; Board of Education candidates, Pamala Handrow, David Thurwanger, Dennis Wiser and John Leiber and Darlene Gallup, Executive Assistant.

3. ADOPT AGENDA Mr. Dey moved; Mrs. Kutz seconded, and with no objections heard, the agenda was approved.

4. RECOGNITIONS None

5. BOARD MEMBER REMARKS None Dr. Warner arrived at 6:32 p.m.; Dr. Carlsen arrived at 6:40 p.m.

6. PUBLIC COMMENTS Alfonso Gardner Spoke regarding the referendum 1941 Brougham Lane Racine, WI 53406 Jarasha Williams Spoke regarding Martin Luther King holiday 2520 Charles Street Racine, WI 53402 Beverly Hicks Spoke regarding Martin Luther King holiday NAACP President Racine, WI 53403 Jessika White Spoke regarding Martin Luther King holiday 1835 Blake Avenue Racine, WI 53404 Yoshanil Daniel Spoke regarding Martin Luther King holiday

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1613 Thurston Avenue Racine, WI 53405 Bianca Quintero Spoke regarding Martin Luther King holiday 1628 Edgewood Avenue Racine, WI 53404 Mike Rupnow Spoke regarding Case High School tennis courts Case High School David Isaacson Spoke regarding the referendum 5138 Starlight Drive Racine, WI 53402 Jay Hammes Spoke regarding the referendum 4738 Lighthouse Drive Racine, WI 53402 Sylvia Krause/Dan Cabush Melwyn Turner Spoke regarding additional taxes 4144 Brandywine Racine, WI 53404 Norb Trottier Spoke regarding the referendum 5111 Douglas Avenue Racine, WI 53402 Jim Morrison Spoke regarding the referendum 620 North Street Racine, WI 53402 Kathy Mahony Spoke regarding the superintendent search 2429 Thor Avenue Racine, WI 53405

7. ACTION ITEMS

a. Bus Contract Renewal Mr. Dey moved; Mrs. McKenna seconded to have Requests for Proposals (RFPs) sent out for bids on bus services. Dr. Carlsen moved; Mr. Van Atta seconded for a substitute motion to extend the Durham contract for 1 year and conduct an RFP bidding process in September and, by January, have administration make their recommendation to the Board. Ayes – 6 (Carlsen, Hargrove, Kutz, Van Atta, Warner, Baumgardt). Noes – 3 (Dey, McKenna, Nielsen).

b. Maintenance Referendum

1. Dr. Carlsen moved; Mr. Nielsen seconded to adopt the resolution authorizing the school district budget to exceed revenue limit by $3,300,000 per year for five years for non-recurring purposes. Ayes – 8 (Baumgardt, Carlsen, Hargrove, Kutz, McKenna, Nielsen, Van Atta, Warner). Noes – 1 (Dey).

2. Mr. Nielsen moved; Mrs. Kutz seconded to adopt the resolution providing for a referendum

election on the question of the approval of a resolution authorizing the school district budget

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to exceed revenue limit by $3,300,000 per year for five years for non-recurring purposes consisting of acquiring, remodeling and maintaining facilities including upgrading security systems; and acquiring and installing fixtures. Ayes – 8 (Baumgardt, Carlsen, Hargrove, Kutz, McKenna, Nielsen, Van Atta, Warner). Noes – 1 (Dey).

c. Approval of E-Rate Contract for Phone Service e. Approval of RAMAC/ISO Consulting Agreement f. Approval of Professional Bilingual Staffing Contract g. Approval of Wireless Phone Service Agreement Dr. Carlsen moved; Dr. Warner seconded to approve the agenda items 7(c-g). Mr. Dey moved; Mr. Nielsen seconded for a substitute motion to pull out item 7(d) from Dr.

Carlsen’s motion to approve items 7(c-g). The vote was unanimous. The motion to approve agenda items 7(c, e, f, and g) was unanimously approved. d. Approval of Aspen Group Contract Mr. Van Atta moved; Mrs. Kutz seconded to approve the Aspen Group contract. Mr. Van Atta called the question. Ayes – 9 (Baumgardt, Carlsen, Dey, Hargrove, Kutz, McKenna,

Nielsen, Van Atta, Warner). Vote on motion to approve the Aspen Group contract: Ayes – 7 (Baumgardt, Carlsen, Hargrove, Kutz, Nielsen, Van Atta, Warner). Noes – 2 (Dey,

McKenna).

h. Discussion and Decision on the Community Communication Outline Mr. Dey moved; Mr. Nielsen seconded to approve the Community Communication Outline as amended at the Board’s Communication Committee meeting on January 28, 2008. All were in favor.

8. MONITORING REPORTS

a. Results (Ends) - None b. Operations Performance (EL) 1. EL-3 Treatment of People 2. EL-7 Asset Protection c. Board Performance (GP) 1. GP-3(2) Board Job Description 2. GP-9(3) Board Members’ Code of Conduct Mr. Nielsen moved; Mrs. McKenna seconded to approve as compliant those monitoring report

points that received unanimous agreement: (GP-3.2); (EL-3.1, EL-3.3, EL-3.4, EL-3.5); (EL-7.1, EL-7.2, EL-7.3, EL- 7.6, EL-7.8, EL-7.9, EL-7.10, EL-7.11).

Dr. Carlsen made a substitute motion; Mrs. Kutz seconded to approve as compliant those

monitoring report points that received unanimous agreement: (GP-3.2); (EL-3.1, EL-3.3, EL-3.4, EL-3.5); (EL-7.1, EL-7.2, EL-7.3, EL- 7.6, EL-7.8, EL-7.9, EL-7.10, EL-7.11) excluding GP-9.3. The vote was unanimous.

Dr. Carlsen moved; Mr. Dey seconded to discuss GP-9.3 with the Aspen Group in a future

Board work session. All were in favor.

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Dr. Carlsen and Mr. Dey agreed to amend the motion to include, dependant on the Board’s calendar, that by April 1, 2008, modifications to GP-9.3 be presented to the Board. All were in favor.

9. BOARD DEVELOPMENT

a. None

10. REPORT OF BOARD COMMITTEES Consensus of the Board was for future DWSIC meeting minutes to be included in the Board business meeting packets. In addition, brief written committee updates should be turned in to the Board’s executive assistant by the Monday before the Board business meeting and be compiled for inclusion in the Board meeting packets. This will include updates on WASB, CESA, and Parks and Recreation. a. All Means All Update Mrs. Kutz reported the AMA group met on January 17, 2008, and talked about a number of

points including chairperson positions, customer satisfaction standards, Payday meetings and goals for the upcoming LAP conference work.

c. Audit

Mr. Dey reported on the recent meeting at which time discussion took place on what the next audit report will look like.

d. Legislative

Mr. Dey talked about efforts in getting state legislators and County executives to meet together. e. Policy Governance

Dr. Carlsen said there was no report. f. Communications

Mr. Van Atta talked about the January 9, 2008, Linking and Listening session and work in process for communicating with the public. Discussion followed on methods for communicating positive staff and student information.

g. Search Mrs. Kutz talked about superintendent search advertisements, purchase orders and small group and community forums being conducted by PROACT Search, Inc.

h. Redistricting Update Dr. Parker talked about progress taking place on the redistricting issue. A small group has met to develop principles and values. A facilitator has been secured. The facilitator has developed a group to work on the process of the commission and its makeup. February 21, 2008, will be the commission’s first meeting. There will then be a full-day workshop for the commission to work out details of the phases or steps to be taken toward redistricting.

11. BOARD CONSENT AGENDA

a. Board Meeting Minutes of November 19 and December 17, 2007 b. Special Board Meeting Minutes of December 20, 2007; January 10 and January 14, 2008 c. Work Session Minutes of December 10, 2007, at 3:30 p.m. and 6:30 p.m. (Attachment A, B) d. Audit Committee Minutes of October 22, 1007 (Attachment C) e. Executive Search Committee Minutes of November 29, 2007 (Attachment D) Mrs. Kutz moved; Mr. Dey seconded to approve Board Consent Agenda items 12(a-e) as presented. Without objection the items were unanimously approved.

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12. RECEIVE AND FILE

a. Incidents by Students to Staff for December 2007. Without objection the Incidents by Students to Staff for December 2007 was received and filed.

13. CEO CONSENT AGENDA

a. Personnel Changes b. Overnight Field Trips c. Disbursements and Receipts-November 2007 Mr. Nielsen moved; Mrs. Kutz seconded and with no objection heard, the CEO Consent Agenda items 14(a-c) were approved.

14. REFERRALS

There were no referrals made.

15. BOARD DEBRIEFING OF THIS EVENING’S MEETING Ms. Gallup collected the debriefing forms. (Mr. Dey briefly left the meeting at 10:26 p.m.)

16. ADJOURN TO EXECUTIVE SESSION

Mr. Nielsen moved; Mrs. Kutz seconded to adjourn to Executive Session per Wisconsin Statute l9.85 (1)(c)(e)(f) to consider:

a. Student Expulsions. b. Personnel Matter

1. Consideration of Preliminary Notice of Non-Renewal Ayes – 8 (Baumgardt, Carlsen, Hargrove, Kutz, McKenna, Nielsen, Van Atta, Warner). Noes – 0. Absent – 1 (Dey). The meeting was adjourned at 10:38 p.m.

(Mr. Dey returned at 10:40 p.m.)

EXECUTIVE SESSION The Board of Education Executive Session was called to order at 10:48 p.m. on Monday, January 28, 2008, with the following members present: Tony Baumgardt, Russell O. Carlsen, Brian Dey, Melvin Hargrove, Susan F. Kutz, Julie L. McKenna, Don J. Nielsen, William S. Van Atta and Gretchen L. Warner. Also present: Steve Hejnal, Executive Director, Human Resources; Jack Parker, Interim Superintendent of Schools; David Hazen, Chief Financial Officer and Darlene Gallup, Executive Assistant. a. Student Expulsions

The Student Expulsions were unanimously approved as presented.

b. Personnel Matter 1. Consideration of Preliminary Notice of Non-Renewal

Mr. Hejnal reviewed considerations of preliminary notices of non-renewal.

Mr. Van Atta moved; Mrs. Kutz seconded, and with no objection heard, the Executive Session was adjourned at 11:05 p.m.

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Signed: ____________________________ Gretchen L. Warner, Clerk Signed: ____________________________ Jackson Parker, Secretary

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ATTACHMENT A

Racine Unified School District Board of Education

2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404-2597

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT BOARD OF EDUCATION

WORK SESSION

DECEMBER 10, 2007 3:30 p.m.

Racine Marriott A work session of the Board of Education of the Racine Unified School District of Racine County, Wisconsin was called to order by Dr. Carlsen at 3:30 p.m. on Monday, December 10, 2007. Discussion on Difference Between Coherent Governance and Current Policy Governance Board members discussed with the Aspen Group a draft of new policies with language that better clarifies the policies. These polices are referred to as Coherent Policies. Changes to the policy labels within the policies would be: Governance Process (GPs) would become Governance Culture (GCs) Board/CEO Relationship (B/CRs) remain B/CRs Executive Limitations (ELs) would become Operational Expectations (OEs) Ends (Es) become Results (Rs). Comments and suggestions during the discussion included: • “Annual targets” could be changed to “goals” • Aspen Group (if their contract is renewed) will convert Racine Unified’s policies into the new Coherent

Governance policies • Aspen Group would work with the current Board and the new Board candidates on

training/familiarization on the new policies • Need to get information out to the community on Policy Governance/Coherent Governance so trust

can be gained - Perhaps develop a Board newsletter

o How often, how long (size needs to be considered) - Include information for the public

o on the District website o in the Listening and Linking Session brochure about the Coherent Governance policy

changes • Eliminate the label of “Policy Governance” - instead refer to it as the District’s Governing Policies Consensus of Board members was to individually review the Coherent Governance document, take steps to renew the Aspen Group contract and then schedule a work session to discuss accepting the new language of Coherent Governance. Adjourn The session was adjourned at 4:06 p.m. Also present: Respectfully submitted, Jack Parker, Interim Superintendent Linda Dawson, Aspen Group Tony Baumgardt Randy Quinn, Aspen Group Sue Kutz

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Darlene Gallup, Recording Secretary Don Nielsen Gretchen Warner Russell Carlsen Melvin Hargrove, Board Elect Julie McKenna (Arrived at 3:40 p.m.) Brian Dey (Absent) William Van Atta (Absent)

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ATTACHMENT B

Racine Unified School District Board of Education

2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404-2597

RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT BOARD OF EDUCATION

WORK SESSION

DECEMBER 10, 2007 6:30 p.m.

Administrative Offices, Board Room A work session of the Board of Education of the Racine Unified School District of Racine County, Wisconsin was called to order by Mr. Baumgardt at 6:34 p.m. on Monday, December 10, 2007. Discussion on Reasonable Interpretation and Indicators for Ends Policies E-4 (Global Citizenship) and E-5 (Life Skills) Dr. Parker talked about indicators that could be used as baselines for E-4 and E-5. E-4 (Global Citizenship) and E-5 (Life Skills) Dr. Parker reviewed the draft changes he made to the E-4 and E-5 begun a year ago. He provided his input on language changes and Mr. Baumgardt recommended the Policy Governance Committee review and take action on the changes affecting policy language. Dr. Parker provided input and Board members discussed the draft “CEO Interpretation,” possible baseline data, methods for reporting/collecting data, the possible indicators that could be used (e.g., activities such as volunteer work, Co-op Program participation, and service learning opportunities), and potential targets. Extended discussion took place on difficulties that would take place in collecting data on a number of these items. Next steps -Consider budget issues -Consider the time spent versus value back -Consider conducting a student exit survey -As data is disaggregated, it may be evident that not all students are being reached Dr. Parker will make the recommended changes to the drafts and bring the documents back for additional review at a later date (February/March). Adjourn The session was adjourned at 8:11 p.m. Also present: Respectfully submitted, Jack Parker, Interim Superintendent Tony Baumgardt

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David Hazen, Chief Financial Officer Julie McKenna Marguerite Vanden Wyngaard, Chief Academic Officer Sue Kutz Darlene Gallup, Recording Secretary Bill Van Atta Melvin Hargrove, Board Elect Don Nielsen Russell Carlsen Brian Dey (Absent) Gretchen Warner (Absent)

10

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ATTACHMENT C

Board of Education Racine Unified School District 2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404-2597

BOARD OF EDUCATION AUDIT COMMITTEE

Monday, October 22, 2007

6:30 p.m. Board Room

MINUTES

Call to Order The Audit Committee meeting of Monday, October 22, 2007, was called to order at 6:29 p.m. Committee members present were: Don Nielsen, Brian Dey, Julie McKenna. Also present: Board members William Van Atta, Susan Kutz, Tony Baumgardt (arrived at 6:49 p.m.) and Gretchen Warner (arrived at 6:59 p.m.); Jack Parker, Interim Superintendent; David Hazen, Chief Financial Officer; and Darlene Gallup, Recording Secretary. Approval of July 31 and October 1, 2007, Audit Committee Minutes Mrs. McKenna moved; Mr. Dey seconded, and without objection, the minutes of the July 31 and October 1, 2007, Audit Committee minutes were approved. Discuss and Make Recommendation of In-House Counsel to Board Mr. Dey moved; Mrs. McKenna seconded to recommend the Board of Education consider the restoration of a half-time, in-house, legal counsel position. The vote was unanimous. (Mr. Baumgardt arrived at 6:49 p.m.; Dr. Warner arrived at 6:59 p.m.) Discuss and Make Recommendation to Board on Purview of Audit Committee, i.e., Previous Duties of Business Committee Mrs. McKenna moved; Mr. Dey seconded to recommend the Board of Education add language to Policy Governance stating the duties of the Audit Committee include review of all monthly financial statements as presented by administration. All were in favor. Adjourn Mr. Dey moved; Mrs. McKenna seconded to adjourn. Without objection, the meeting was adjourned at 7 p.m. Respectfully submitted: Don Nielsen, Chair Brian Dey Julie McKenna Tony Baumgardt, Ex-Officio

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ATTACHMENT D

Board of Education Racine Unified School District 2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404-2597

BOARD OF EDUCATION

EXECUTIVE SEARCH COMMITTEE

Thursday, November 29, 2007 3:30 p.m.

Board Room

MINUTES Call to Order The Executive Search Committee meeting of Thursday, November 29, 2007, was called to order at 3:36 p.m. Committee Members Present: Tony Baumgardt, Brian Dey, Susan Kutz, Julie McKenna (arrived at 3:40 p.m.), Don Nielsen, Gretchen Warner (arrived at 3:45 p.m.). Also present: Jack Parker, Superintendent of Schools; Steve Hejnal, Executive Director, Human Resources and Darlene Gallup, Recording Secretary. Presentations by Search Committee Finalists with Question and Answer Periods Search Committee finalist representatives from School Exec Connect, Inc. and PROACT Search, Inc. provided presentations to the Search Committee. They each answered questions from the Committee. Discussion and Action. Search Committee Recommendation for Search Firm to be Presented to Board of Education for Approval The search firm presentations and responses to questions were discussed and scored. Mr. Hejnal collected the scoring. Dr. Warner moved; Mr. Dey seconded to recommend PROACT Search, Inc. be presented to the Board of Education for approval pending contract finalization. Approval of the November 20, 2007, Search Committee Minutes Mrs. Kutz moved; Dr. Warner seconded, to approve the minutes of the November 20, 2007, Search Committee Minutes. All were in favor. Public Comments There were no public comments made. Adjourn Mr. Nielsen moved; Mr. Dey seconded, and without objection, the meeting was adjourned at 7:47 p.m. Respectfully submitted: Susan Kutz, Chair Brian Dey Julie McKenna Don Nielsen Gretchen Warner

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13

Tony Baumgardt, Ex-Officio

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are needed to see this picture.BOARD OF EDUCATION

Board of Education COMMUNITY LISTENING AND LINKING SESSION

MUNICIPAL LEADERS

January 9, 2008 Administrative Services Center

6:30 p.m.

SESSION PARTICIPANT RESPONSE NOTES Present: James Chaplin William Bensman Mike Mikula Jordan Buth

Jen Whited Robin Gaiaro Bill Schalk Kathy Burton

Gale Morgan Jim Morrison John Leiber

Also present: School Board Members - Susan Kutz, Tony Baumgardt, Julie McKenna and Melvin Hargrove Recording Secretary, Darlene Gallup Mrs. Kutz introduced Board members and gave a brief explanation of the objectives of the Listening and Linking sessions: • Engage members of target audiences, listen to their concerns and ideas and integrate that feedback into

the Board of Educations’ deliberations and actions • Increase awareness of Board of Education activities, decisions, progress and obstacles toward improved

academic achievement • Educate audiences about the rationale behind and he benefits of the Board of Education deliberations

and actions • Engage audiences to speak and act in support of District activities and decisions Mrs. Kutz explained the focus is to gain feedback on those issues and choices being faced by the District in its efforts toward improving academic achievement and the District’s focus on its Ends Policies – “Educate Every Student to Succeed,” Academic Performance, Workplace Skills, Global Citizenship and Life Skills. Mrs. Kutz gave a brief update on the newly formed Redistricting Commission, the superintendent search process and plan and stakeholder engagement plan. The following questions were asked of audience members and their responses included: What are the strengths of Racine Unified School District?

- good teaching organization - dedicated teachers - $250 million budget - last few years ability to try creative ideas in educational field (QDM, Continuous Progress)

What do you think is the single most important issue that RUSD must address?

- Security - Over crowding

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- Discipline problems/Lack of classroom control/Disruptive students - Need for tutoring/extra help opportunities - Teacher stress - Truancy - More accessibility for students and parents to see what students are doing (Access records on Skyward) - Improved technology for teachers in the classroom - Budget - Busing - Academic achievement - Communication to the public about the positive achievements in the district - Need for sharing of information between law enforcement areas on recurrent issues and repeat offenders - People need to feel secure about their schools

Would you support building new elementary schools to allow for grade reconfiguration at the high schools? Why or Why not?

- What did your previous facilities master plan say? - This question puts the cart before the horse – you are probably running schools in buildings that should be

shut down. - Yes, reconfiguration would give teachers more time to spend with students one on one - Important to know the reconfiguration is only for space - When we went to four-year high school, there was no contingency plan for students who were failing. We

need to have a school within a school concept to successfully transition students - Need to look at establishing career oriented high schools, this would help with overcrowding - We need to look at having a fourth high school- it could add to achievement - Yes

Would you support building new facilities vs. updating existing facilities? Why or why not?

- Yes, in favor of building elementary schools so we can expand further out into the community - Don’t forget the inner city. Yes, I support new elementary schools - Without municipality support this will not go further. We need to look at the bigger picture.

Would you support building new facilities outside of the city of Racine, within the city, or both? Why or why not?

- No, increased growth is in the outside of the city not in the city - Yes, most schools in inner city are too old - Yes, costs 3 times more per square foot to heat Walden than any other school. Program is great. - Need to see map of the demographics before I answer this - Yes, but one problem with inner city schools is they have no property to expand - I am torn between the two - If the data (demographics/costs) support building outside of Racine, yes, I would support it

Gaining community support for an upcoming referendum will be contingent upon_.

- Facts - Intelligent Plan - Visible progress in the issues/concerns above - Safety issue resolved - Relate the money to the safety - Communicate what is going on (Annual report and more frequent) - Superintendent go out to community representatives to update them - Key communicators - Proactive role from both sides – community and district - Fix the trust issue – explain where the money will go

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- Talk to students about getting involved in Board meetings - Ask students what they think

Open comments - I said Case was too big to build when it was being considered

- Get your facts straight, talk to people, get rid of policy governance, set budget priorities, have measurable goals for the superintendent and hold him accountable

- Going to local municipality at least semi annually will help each get to know each other and be of value to each other

- Talk to at risk students Mrs. Kutz closed the session by thanking the municipality leaders and other participants for attending and provided information about how to learn about and get information on the district and Board including Channel 20 airing of Board business meetings, and district website information including: Board packets, press releases not used by the newspapers. She said the superintendent’s annual report will be in February. A key communicator parent group is being established. Those who are interested should contact Stephanie Kratochvil or the superintendent’s office.

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Receive and File

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Racine Unified School District

Board of Education

February 2008

Support Services Agenda Item: Tabulation of Reported Incidents by Students to Staff Presenting: Marie Pascoe Craig, Director of Support Services Description: During the time period January 1 through January 31, 2008 there were 23

total reported incidents. There were 7 incidents reported at the elementary level, 12 at the middle school level, and 4 at the senior high level.

During the time period January 1, through January 31, 2007, there were

35 total reported incidents. There were 16 incidents reported at the elementary level, 18 at the middle school level, and 1 at the senior high level.

Of the total number of incidents this month 30% involved special

education students. These 7 special education students represent .0018% of the total special education population. Regular education students were involved in 70% of the incidents reported. These 16 regular education students represent .0036% of the total regular education population.

The total number of incidents to date for the 2007-2008 school year is 115

(2006-2007) school year is 111).

Recommendation: Approval of the incidents report as presented. Action Taken:

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Tabulation of Reported Incidents by Students to Staff2007-2008 School Year

2008 January

Victim Race Grade Level of Offending Student4K K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

01/01/08to 01/31/08 To

tal

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.

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.

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Elementary 7 6 1 2 4 1 1 3 1 1 1Middle 12 8 4 8 4 1 3 2 4 2High 4 3 1 1 2 1Total 23 17 1 4 0 1 0 3 14 6 0 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 0 4 2 0 0Previous Total 92 46 2 32 8 1 3 25 54 13 0 0 3 1 5 9 1 1 2 9 0 20 2 5 2 7 1 4 3 9 0 4Total to Date 115 63 3 36 8 2 3 28 68 19 0 0 4 1 8 9 2 1 3 9 0 20 2 6 3 10 3 4 7 11 0 4

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Tabulation of Reported Incidents by Student to Staff2007-2008 School Year

January 2008

School Date of Incident

Name of Victim Tchr

SubTchr Aide Admin Secy Other Race Grade Spl. Ed.

North Park Elementary 01/16/08 KH 1 H 2 -North Park Elementary 01/15/08 DB 1 B 3 -Roosevelt Elementary 01/16/08 DL 1 W K -Schulte Elementary 01/16/08 KH 1 W 5 EBDJulian Thomas Elementary 01/03/08 SH 1 B 1 -Julian Thomas Elementary 01/04/08 SH 1 B 1 -Julian Thomas Elementary 01/04/08 SH 1 B 1 -Gilmore Middle 01/14/08 NB 1 B 8 SLDGilmore Middle 01/09/08 DM 1 H 6 OHI/CDSGilmore Middle 01/09/08 LV 1 H 6 OHI/CDSGilmore Middle 01/09/08 LV 1 H 6 OHI/CDSJerstad Middle 01/24/08 TP 1 H 8 -Jerstad Middle 01/22/08 KC 1 B 8 -McKinley Middle 01/08/08 BA 1 B 8 -McKinley Middle 01/09/08 DS 1 B 7 -Starbuck Middle 01/23/08 SG 1 B 7 -Starbuck Middle 01/23/08 SG 1 B 8 -Starbuck Middle 01/15/08 MM 1 B 6 -Starbuck Middle 01/09/08 SB 1 B 8 SLDCase High 01/11/08 DS 1 B 10 CDSCase High 01/11/08 TB 1 W 12 -Case High 01/14/08 RC 1 H 10 -Case High 01/31/08 SL 1 B 11 -Totals 17 1 4 0 1 0

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CEO Consent Agenda

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CLASSIFIED STAFF Schedule of Personnel Changes (Financial Report)RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

February, 2008From From From To To To

Name Assignment From % Lvl-Step Salary Assignment To % Lvl-Step Salary Benefits EffectiveNEW (Existing Authorized Position(s))

EDUCATIONAL ASSISTANT(S)Gina Wisialowski Jerstad El/P5 4 Yr Old 52% 2-1 $9,098 $4,913 2/4/08Aaron Walmsley Case HS/Hall Monitor 100% 2-1 $17,399 $9,395 1/28/08Katherine Cowan Case HS/Hearing Interpreter Tech 100% HI-1 $26,870 $14,510 1/28/08Gina Vanderheyden Gifford El/Playground 36% 2-1 $6,275 $3,389 1/23/08Elizabeth Brazeau Wadewitz El/Literacy 47% 2-12 $7,959 $4,298 1/21/08Albert Justvig Case HS/Closed Lunch Hall Monitor/COFY 80% 2-1 $13,920 $7,517 1/10/08Michele Fernelius Case HS/Hearing Interpreter Tech 100% HI-3 $30,625 $16,538 1/18/08BUILDING SERVICE EMPLOYEE(S)Randy Szejna B&G/Custodial Float 100% 3-1 $32,802 $17,713 2/6/08

RESIGNATION(S)EDUCATIONAL ASSISTANT(S)Shelli Farnsworth REEC/SpEd EC 100% M-3 $22,032 ($11,897) 2/8/08

RETIREMENT(S)BUILDING SERVICE EMPLOYEE(S)Russell Kwapil B&G/Custodial Float 100% 3-4 $35,318 ($19,072) 2/11/08Larry Venne Wadewitz El/Custodian 100% 3-4 $35,318 ($19,072) 3/28/08

REQUEST(S) FOR LEAVE OF ABSENCEEDUCATIONAL ASSISTANT(S)Talisha Kyle Wadewitz El/Reading 47% 2-1 $7,959 ($4,298) 1/22/08SECRETARIES/CLERK(S)Sonia Ervin ASC/Transportation Clerk 100% 6-5 $27,914 ($15,073) 1/23/08BUILDING SERVICE EMPLOYEE(S)Willie Thornton Park HS/Custodian 100% 3-4 $35,418 ($19,126) 9/26/07

RETURN FROM LEAVE(S) OF ABSENCEEDUCATIONAL ASSISTANT(S)Stacey Karnowski SpEd Sp/Language 50% M-3 $11,078 $5,982 1/21/08

CHANGE(S) OF ASSIGNMENT (Existing Authorized Position(s))EDUCATIONAL ASSISTANT(S)William Maryland REAL Schl/Literacy 46% 2-1 $7,959 REAL Schl/O. Brown El/Literacy/SpEd 100% 2-1/M-1 $20,368 $6,701 1/9/08Beverly Fitch Roosvelt El/Title I 100% 2-12 $12,406 REEC/SpEd EC 100% M-2 $21,440 $4,878 1/22/08Teryl Bramow Jerstad El/4 Yr Old K 52% 2-1 $9,098 Horlick HS/SpEd 100% 2-1 $12,790 $1,994 1/9/08Beth Jeppesen Gifford El/Playground 27% 2-1 $4,590 Gifford El/4 Yr Old K 52% 2-1 $19,300 $7,943 1/7/08SECRETARIES/CLERK(S)Sandra Cape ASC/Payroll Clerk 100% 5-2 $22,714 SAME 100% 5-4 $24,315 $865 9/20/05Sandra Cape ASC/Payroll Clerk 100% 5-4 $24,315 SAME 100% 7-1 $27,456 $1,696 7/1/07BUILDING SERVICE EMPLOYEE(S)Michael VanLaningham B&G/Electronic Tech 100% 10-2 $47,174 SAME 100% 10-3 $48,381 $652 12/25/07

GRAND TOTALS: $292,215 $330,076 $17,038

Page 1

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PROFESSIONAL STAFF Schedule of Personnel Changes (Financial Report)RACINE UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

February 18, 2008

From From From To To ToName Assignment From % Lvl-Step Salary Assignment To % Lvl-Step Salary Benefits Effective

NEW (Existing Authorized Position(s))ADMINISTRATOR(S)

Harris, Mark Gilmore-Assistant Principal 100% 4/1 $66,000 $35,640 2/19/2008 Irish, Kathleen ASC-Controller 100% 6/2 $73,080 $39,463 1/7/2008

TEACHERS(S) Casebolt, Michael Red Apple-Sp. Ed. EC 100% 4-3 $37,606 $20,307 2/1/2008 Hart, Nancy Dr. Jones-Grade 1 100% 7-4 $44,121 $23,825 2/11/2008 Jacques, Andrew J-A MS-Math 100% 4-3 $37,606 $20,307 1/28/2008 Kosterman, Eric Horlick-Health 100% 4-1 $35,906 $19,389 1/28/2008 Lange, Diane Horlick-FACE 100% 4-6 $41,206 $22,251 1/28/2008 Neymark, Julie Gilmore/J.Thomas-Speech Path 100% 9-3 $46,197 $24,946 1/28/2008 Zeien, Melissa McKinley-French 30% 4-3 $11,282 $6,092 1/28/2008

RESIGNATION(S)TEACHER(S)Cobb, Octavia From Leave $0 $0 1/29/2008Miner, Richard From Leave $0 $0 6/14/2007

RETIREMENT(S)ADMINISTRATOR(S)Sager, Tom Case-Directing Principal 100% 9-6 ($102,175) ($55,175) 6/30/2008

EARLY RETIREMENT(S)TEACHER(S)Comello, Cynthia Schulte-Grade1 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 7/14/2008Dresen, Nancy Giese/ASC-PE/PE Coord 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/20/2008Floyd, Patricia REAL-Sp. Ed. ED/LD 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008Griffin, Darice Park-Mathematics 100% 6-13 ($52,883) ($28,557) 6/16/2008Hardiman, Linda Goodland-Speech Pathologist 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008Johnson, Patricia Janes YRE-Social Worker/Couns 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/25/2008Kania, Christine Red Apple - Sp. Ed. EC 100% 6-13 ($52,883) ($28,557) 7/1/2008Kirchenberg, Anna Gilmore-Grade 6 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008Klaus, Theresa Goodland-Grade 1 100% 6-13 ($52,883) ($28,557) 6/16/2008McCarthy, Edward Horlick-Science 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008Molbeck, James From Leave $0 $0 6/16/2008Murphy, Mary School Psychologist 100% C-6 ($66,697) ($36,016) 6/16/2008Steker, Jane Walden-Math/Coordinator 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008Strobach, Barbara Roosevelt-Grade 1 100% 6-13 ($52,883) ($28,557) 6/16/2008Surratt, Derek Case-Sp. Ed. CDS 100% 6-13 ($52,883) ($28,557) 6/16/2008Ulrich, Cecily Mitchell MS-Literacy 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008Venzant, Henry Park-Techonology Education 100% 9-13 ($63,497) ($34,288) 6/16/2008

REQUEST(S) FOR LEAVE OF ABSENCETEACHER(S)Helmke, Lori J-A ES-Title I 50% 7-11 ($27,711) Medical ($14,964) 1/25/2008Molbeck, James Horlick-Science 100% 9-13 ($63,497) Personal ($34,288) 8/29/2008

CHANGE(S) OF ASSIGNMENT (Existing Authorized Position(s))TEACHER(S)Cascio, Joseph Case-Business Education 100% 7-4 ($44,121) Case-Business Education 80% 7-4 $35,297 $42,886 1/29/2008

GRAND TOTALS: ($1,203,586) $428,301 ($371,003)

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Please approve the following disbursements for January 1 - January 31, 2008

Beginning EndingAccount Check Number Check Number Amount

General Fund 12968 14290 10,653,735.12Payroll 97713334 97717199 8,236,287.50Flexible Benefits pd thru Wage Works 83,174.61Agency wires 2,799,420.45

Total Disbursements 21,772,617.68

Please approve the following receipts for January 1 - January 31, 2008

Account AmountGeneral Fund 25,385,572.12 includes interest 72,546.89

Capital Projects 3,742.61 includes interest 3,742.61

Debt Service 1,839.14 includes interest 1,839.14

Total Receipts 25,391,153.87

Detailed reports are available for review at the School District offices in the Business Services area.All disbursements and receipts noted above are within the limitations described in Board PolicyExecutive Limitation - 6 and legally delegated to the administration through the Chief Executive Officeror his/her delegate.

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2/15/2008

2006-07 2007-08 Jan JanActual Budget Month Year to Date Variance CHANGE

Revenues by source Property taxes $62,298,590 $63,835,955 $0 $63,836,219 $263.95 0.00% Local & Intermediate sources 5,892,897 5,816,659 92,527 1,751,191 (4,065,467.83) -69.89% State sources 148,028,190 150,383,766 965,560 118,814,610 (31,569,156.41) -20.99% Federal sources 16,955,848 23,128,828 2,504,876 3,661,355 (19,467,472.27) -84.17% Other sources 892,468 1,048,371 42,748 218,141 (830,230.00) -79.19% Total revenues 234,067,993 244,213,579 3,605,710 188,281,516 (55,932,062.56) -22.90%

Expenditures by functionInstruction Regular instruction 89,636,156 95,096,139 7,971,580 41,963,494 (53,132,645) -55.87% Vocational instruction 49,085,686 4,625,886 301,810 1,432,974 (3,192,912) -69.02% Special instruction 38,843,111 38,894,960 3,394,050 15,889,186 (23,005,774) -59.15% Other instruction 6,358,963 6,478,558 506,664 2,566,619 (3,911,939) -60.38% Total instruction 139,743,916 145,095,543 12,174,104 61,852,273 (83,243,270) -57.37%

Support service Pupil services 11,658,793 12,369,007 1,061,631 5,209,943 (7,159,064) -57.88% Libraries & instructional support 8,720,394 13,591,141 829,087 4,204,994 (9,386,146.55) -69.06% Administration 15,001,087 14,859,555 1,020,074 8,405,868 (6,453,686.87) -43.43% Buildings & grounds 20,612,356 21,407,839 1,132,856 8,157,038 (13,250,800.93) -61.90% Transportation 10,143,781 9,832,895 1,237,529 4,814,832 (5,018,063.12) -51.03% Debt payments 6,172,109 6,588,831 24,542 128,094 (6,460,736.62) -98.06% Other support services 11,833,534 12,399,611 868,564 4,878,365 (7,521,246.48) -60.66% Food Service 5,945,765 6,680,984 1,040,144 3,269,415 (3,411,568.58) -51.06% Community Service 162,549 742,204 90,489 653,296 (88,908.31) -11.98% Total support services 90,250,368 98,472,067 7,304,915 39,721,846 (58,750,221.45) -59.66% Total expenditures 229,994,284 243,567,610 19,479,019 101,574,118 (141,993,491.66) -58.30%

Excess (deficiency) ofrevenues over expenditures 4,073,709 645,969 -15,873,309 86,707,398

Other financing sources (uses) 2,824,416 25,135 0 0

Total excess (deficiency) ofrevenues over expenditures andother financing sources (uses) 6,898,125 671,104

Fund balance beginning of year 16,372,639 23,270,764Fund balance end of year $23,270,764 $23,941,868

All Governmental & Proprietary FundsCombined Statement of Revenues, Expenditures and Changes in Fund Balance

Revenues by Source, Expenditures by FunctionORIGINAL BUDGET

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Overtime 7/1 thru 1/08 2/08 thru 6/08 est.*Operations 269,000$ 200,000$ Grounds/Maintenance/Warehouse 80,000$ 50,000$

Total

Salt/Ice Melt/Sand 7/1 thru 1/08 2/08 thru 6/08 est.Total 40,899$ 14,000$

Utilities 7/1 thru 1/08 2/08 thru 6/08 est.**Gas 743,017$ 1,075,000$ Electric 875,687$ 663,000$ Water 52,103$ 52,000$ Sewer 54,754$ 60,000$

Total

* Based on an approximate average of the two previous years expenditures. Last year's total was high due ** Part of the regular supply budgets, no specific budget allocation for just Salt/Ice Melt/Sand.*** Based on prior year expenditures.

Utility Projection Used BilledJanuary FebruaryFebruary MarchMarch AprilApril MayMay June

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Total Wages Add WRS & SS Total Labor Budget (Over)/Under469,000$ 85,593$ 554,593$ 130,000$ 23,725$ 153,725$ 599,000$ 109,318$ 708,318$ 600,000$ ($108,318)

Total Budget** (Over)/Under54,899$ ($54,899)

Total Budget (Over)/Under1,818,017$ 1,849,328$ 31,311$ 1,538,687$ 1,473,672$ (65,015)$

104,103$ 115,000$ 10,897$ 114,754$ 151,000$ 36,246$

3,575,561$ 3,589,000$ 13,439$

to a large amount of hours in various activities ($607,000) including summer cleaning, athletic and othe

EstimatedGas Electric

Amount Amount400,000$ 188,000$ 400,000$ 125,000$ 175,000$ 100,000$ 75,000$ 125,000$ 25,000$ 125,000$

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er activities. The prior year's total appeared to be low ($371,000).

Page 104: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

Division of Teaching and Learning Area Superintendents

BOARD OF EDUCATION

Board of Education

Racine Unified School District 2220 Northwestern Avenue, Racine, Wisconsin 53404 (262) 631-7062

February 18, 2008

DATE: February 18, 2008 ITEM: Overnight Field Trips PRESENTING: José Martínez, Area Superintendent, Cluster 3 Bethel Cager, Area Superintendent, Cluster 2 Dona Sens, Area Superintendent, Cluster 1 DESCRIPTION: See attached database. FISCAL NOTE: See attached database. RECOMMENDATION: Approval of the Overnight Field Trips as listed. ACTION TAKEN:

Page 105: Board Business Meeting Packet February 18, 2008€¦ · BOARD OF EDUCATION February 18, 2008 BUDGET and FINANCE AGENDA ITEM: Debt Refinancing PRESENTING: David Hazen, CFO DESCRIPTION:

SCHOOL TEACHERTUDENT GROUDESTINATIDATES LODGING VENT MULTI-GENDE No. of DAYSDISTRICTSTUDENT COST ANNUAL OBJECTIVE/PURPOSMALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALECHAPERONES YES/NOSUBS LOST COST* (Before fund raising TRIP?

Case D. Peterson Girls Soccer Gurnee, IL 4/4-5/08 Keylime Hotel 0 30 2 1 0 1 NA 0 0 $0.00 $60.00 Yes Team UnityCase A. Miller Skills USA Madison, WI 4/8-9/08 Holiday Inn 18 0 2 0 0 0 NA 2 2 $333.00 $0.00 Yes CompetitionHorlick T. Ingram Skills USA Madison, WI 4/8-9/08 Holiday Inn 7 0 1 0 0 0 NA 1 2 $166.50 $525.00 Yes Skilll USA ContestRed Apple S. Forbes 4th & 5th Grade East Troy, W 5/21-23/08 Camp Timberlee 53 38 0 5 9 7 Yes 0 0 $0.00 $120.00 Yes Enviornmental educationWalden T. Feeney Canoe Class Spring Green 5/28-30/08 Camp 12 12 1 0 2 1 NA 1 3 $249.75 $65.00 Yes Outdoor/ecology/photoga

$0.00TOTAL $749.25

2/18/2008

No. of Students No. of Staff No. of Non-Staff

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1

District-Wide School Improvement Council January 16, 2008

Racine Education Association Conference Room

MINUTES OBJECTIVES: 1) Review of study Proposals

2) Assess DWSIC processes 3) Discuss issues of district-wide importance

1) Call to Order

Mr. Weiss called the meeting to order at 4:08 p.m. 2) Roll Call

Present: Jeff Weiss Cheryl Swiatko Dr. Jose Martinez Jaclyn Kusters Norma Cortese Sharon Campbell Doug Clum Betsy George Les Hunt Amy Gehrke Pete Knotek Julie McKenna Peggy Ruetz Dona Sens Jodi Gatzke Bonnie Chady Lillie Ramos Susan Barbee Julie Ticer

Absent: Dr. Bethel Cager, Annie Groh, Gary Jackson, Sue Evans, Kerry Sett.

Also present: Tony Rollins and Deb Winking Panasonic, Jane Barbian

3) Adopt Agenda

Jeff Weiss requested a motion to, and with no objection heard, Pete Knotek moved and Norma Cortese seconded to adopt the agenda. All were in favor.

4) Approve Minutes 12/13/07

Mr. Pete Knotek requested and Norma Corteses seconded and the minutes were unanimously approved after spelling correction and inclusion of additional DWSIC members to meeting.

5) Council Development

a. Flow Chart Modification by Annie Groh will moved to the February meeting. b. Project Approval – 3rd Step was discussed by Jeff Weiss in approval process. Discussion was taken and questions were conducted by members and explanations were done by Pete Knotek. Amy Gehrke motioned and Norma Cortese seconded the motion to accept the draft portion of 3rd step Project Approval by DWSIC.

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2

6) New Business

Next Step Rubric- Elementary Reading Adoption by Jane Barbian was introduced to group. Jane Barbian presented to group studies of the new textbook adoption and results concluded the following: * Trego Process * Differentiation * Small groups/mastery learning benchmarks * Thematic learning * Classroom achievement/Best Practices * Reading/Writing * Technology sources * Student Engagement * Consumer Satisfaction * Timeline * Top Two Publishers (Harcourt School Publishers and Macmillan/McGraw Hill * Professional Development * Tech Support * Implementation in Fall, 2008

Discussion was conducted. Jeff Weiss asked the group to rate the proposal from Jane Barbian on the rubric and then the votes were tallied and the proposal was passed fourteen to three. 7) Items for Discussion

Reports on Lunch/Learn and DPI Peer Review were tabled until the next meeting in February, 2008. Meeting adjourned at 5:34 pm.