bond issuance 101 · bond issuance 101 pima county community college district june 4, 2018 2325 e....
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BOND ISSUANCE 101
Pima County Community College District
June 4, 2018
2325 E. Camelback Road Suite 750 Phoenix, AZ 85016
ERIKA COOMBS Director
Phone: (602) 794-4030 Fax: (602) 794-4046 [email protected]
2325 E. Camelback Road Suite 750 Phoenix, AZ 85016
MARK READER Managing Director
Phone: (602) 794-4011 Fax: (602) 794-4046 [email protected]
2325 E. Camelback Road Suite 750 Phoenix, AZ 85016
RANDIE STEIN Director
Phone: (602) 794-4002 Fax: (602) 794-4046 [email protected]
Disclosure
2
Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated (“Stifel”) has prepared the attached materials. Stifel is providing the information for discussion purposes and is declaring that it has done so within the regulatory framework of MSRB Rule G-23 as a financial advisor, as defined therein, and not an underwriter to the issuer for this proposed issuance of municipal securities. A “financial advisory relationship” shall be deemed to exist when a firm enters into an agreement to render financial advisory or consultant services to or on behalf of an issuer with respect to the issuance of municipal securities, including advice with respect to the structure, timing, terms and other similar matters. Accordingly, any services provided by Stifel as they relate to our role as financial advisor should not be construed as those of an underwriter or placement agent. These materials have been prepared by Stifel for the client or potential client to whom such materials are directly addressed and delivered for discussion purposes only. All terms and conditions are subject to further discussion and negotiation. Stifel does not express any view as to whether financing options presented in these materials are achievable or will be available at the time of any contemplated transaction. These materials do not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or purchase any securities and are not a commitment by Stifel to provide or arrange any financing for any transaction or to purchase any security in connection therewith and may not relied upon as an indication that such an offer will be provided in the future. Where indicated, this presentation may contain information derived from sources other than Stifel. While we believe such information to be accurate and complete, Stifel does not guarantee the accuracy of this information. This material is based on information currently available to Stifel or its sources and are subject to change without notice. Stifel does not provide accounting, tax or legal advice; however, you should be aware that any proposed indicative transaction could have accounting, tax, legal or other implications that should be discussed with your advisors and /or counsel as you deem appropriate.
This presentation may not be distributed or duplicated without the permission of Stifel. Stifel invests significant time and effort in preparing these materials and requests that you respect our prerogative to limit distribution to our clients and as we deem consistent with our business plan.
Table of Contents
3
Section Description Page
I Municipal Market Overview 5
II Bond Process
A. Overview 12
B. Key Documents 17
C. Rating & Pricing 20
D. Closing & Post Closing 26
Glossary
SECTION I: Municipal Market Overview
MUNI MARKET OVERVIEW: What is a Municipal Bond?
5
• Mechanism for obtaining money today
–Conversion of expected future revenue stream of income (whether from tax receipts, general fund revenues or other sources) into currently available funds for capital projects
• Promise to repay money:
–On a date certain
–With interest at a specific rate
From specific revenues
• Issued by a “governmental” Issuer
• Generally tax-exempt
6
MUNI MARKET OVERVIEW: Tax Exemption
• Sixteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution created an income tax
• Because Municipal Bonds are generally tax-exempt, investors are willing to accept lower interest rates on tax-exempt debt
• It’s not what you earn, it’s what you get to keep!
• Concept of the “taxable yield equivalent”
Example: 3.00% tax-exempt interest rate = 3.75% equivalent taxable yield for investor in 20% tax bracket
7
MUNI MARKET OVERVIEW: U.S. Debt Markets
_______________________ (a) Data through April 2018. Source: Thomson Reuters (SIFMA) and The Bond Buyer.
$0.0
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
$450.0
$500.0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018(a)
Nu
mb
er
of
Issu
es
Bill
ion
s
Municipal Issuance: 2008 to 2018 (a)
Total GO and Revenue Issuance Number of Issues
0.0
5,000.0
10,000.0
15,000.0
20,000.0
25,000.0
30,000.0
35,000.0
40,000.0
45,000.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017B
illio
ns
Outstanding U.S. Debt Market: 2007 to 2017
Municipal TreasuryMortgage Related Corporate DebtFederal Agency Securities Money MarketsAsset-Backed
8
MUNI MARKET OVERVIEW: Holders
_______________________ (a) Includes mutual funds, money market funds, closed-end
funds and exchange traded funds. (b) Includes U.S. chartered depository institutions, foreign
banking offices in the U.S., banks in U.S. affiliated areas, credit unions, and broker dealers.
(c) Includes property-casualty and life insurance companies. (d) Includes nonfinancial corporate business, nonfinancial
noncorporate business, state and local governments and retirement funds, government-sponsored enterprises and foreign holders.
Source: Federal Reserve System (SIFMA).
Investors
Retail Investors
• High net-worth individuals Often older high tax
bracket
Institutional Investors
• Bond funds, mutual funds • Investment advisors • Commercial banks • Bank trust departments • Insurance companies
Individuals 41%
Mutual Funds (a) 25%
Banking Institutions (b)
15%
Insurance Companies (c)
14%
Other (d) 5%
Holders of U.S. Municipal Securities (2017)
Sample: Investor ParticipationYears to Maturity
Investor Type 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Money Market Funds
Money ManagersMunicipalities
Individual Retail
Bank Trusts
Bank Portfolios
Professional Retail
Large Investment Advisors (looking for larger block sizes)Short Bond Funds
Intermediate Bond Funds
Hedge Funds (looking for block sizes with liquidity)
Property & Casualty
Trading Accounts (across the curve)
9
MUNI MARKET OVERVIEW: Why Do Investors Buy Municipal Bonds?
• Generate tax-free income stream
• Wealth preservation (high credit quality)
• Predictable stream of income
• Diversification with a wide variety of choices
– Investment quality, maturity ranges
– Issuers, bond type, geography
• Liquidity
• Generally attractive to risk-averse investors
MUNI MARKET OVERVIEW: AZ Bond Issuance
10
$4,546 $4,369
$6,191 $6,059
$7,014
$5,488
$44 $200
$63
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(Mill
ion
s)
Arizona Bond Issuance
Long-Term Short-Term
$293
2017 Long-Term, Negotiated Arizona Issuance
Category Par Amount ($M) %
1 Education 2,029 37%
2 Transportation 972 18%
3 Healthcare 813 15%
4 Electric Power 735 13%
5 General Purpose 393 7%
6 Utilities 302 6%
7 Public Facilities 93 2%
8 Environmental Facilities 53 1%
9 Development 52 1%
10 Housing 47 1%
5,488
II. Bond Process – A. Overview
12
BOND PROCESS: Overview
Key Steps in Preparing for a Financing
Step 1: Develop Financing Program
• Engage financing team members
• Identify funding needs, repayment sources and appropriate bond structure
Step 2: Determine Financing Terms
• Bond documents outline security pledge and flow of funds
• Preliminary Official Statement (“POS”) describes security, issuer, project and any potential risks
Step 3: Rating agency and bond insurance conversations
• Introduce rating agency to issuer’s credit
• Secure rating(s) and solicit bond insurance pricing quotes, if applicable
Step 4: Board approvals
• Approve financing terms and related documents
• Formally appoint financing team and delegates authority to administration to execute final documents
• Send financing information to JCCR
Step 5: Bond marketing, pricing and closing
• Distribute POS to prospective investors
•
Establish interest rates and final principal amounts on day of pricing
• Execute documents and deliver funds at closing, typically two weeks after pricing
Step 6: Post closing
• Continuing disclosure, arbitrage rebate, budget setting, debt reports
Post Closing – Ongoing Items
Bond Marketing,
Pricing &Closing
Approvals
Rating Agency & Bond Insurer
Conversations
Determine Financing Terms
Develop Financing Program
13
BOND PROCESS: Structuring Considerations
Size of Financing
How much in bond proceeds is needed
When are proceeds needed
Federal tax law considerations: • 3 year reasonable expenditure
expectations • $15 million rebate exemption • Bank Qualified status for issuing less than
$10 million in calendar year
Bond capacity (GO Bonds)
Assessed value growth (GO Bonds)
Tax rate policy parameters
Principal repayment
Outstanding debt
Debt Payment Structure
Pace of bond funding needs
Level or escalating payments
Term of financing
Prepayment Options/Call Features
Add issuer flexibility
May impact pricing
Refinancing Existing Bonds
Savings
Modify structure and/or terms
14
BOND PROCESS: Overview – Participants (Public Sale)
• Advises Issuer on all matters regarding bond issuance
• Fiduciary duty to the Issuer
• Typically assembles Official Statement on behalf of Issuer
Financial Advisor
• Drafts Authorizing Resolution, Legal Opinion and closing documents
• Provides legal advice to issuer based on existing federal, State and local legislation and arbitrage/tax law
Bond Counsel
• Securities dealer; markets bonds, sets prices, sells bonds to investors
Underwriter
• Provides credit rating on Issuer’s bonds and existing obligations
Rating Agency
• Selects financing team
• Determines borrowing needs and key parameters of debt
• Authorizes issuance of bonds
Issuer
• Lend higher credit quality for a fee and guarantee debt service payment to bondholders, if applicable
Bond Insurance/Credit Enhancement
• Financial institution with trust powers; fiduciary capacity to facilitate the collection and distribution of funds for the benefit of the bondholder
• Maintains list of bondholders
Trustee, Bond Registrar and
Paying Agent
• Manages Due Diligence call and prepares Bond Purchase Agreement
• Advises Underwriter on legal issues
Underwriter’s Counsel
BOND PROCESS: Type of Bond Sales N
ego
tiat
ed
• Underwriter(s) selected up front
• Additional flexibility with sale date/timing
• Underwriter assists with structuring, pre-marketing and sale timing
• Broaden investor base/competition among investors
• Preferred with volatile markets, story bonds and less credits
• Gross spread negotiated
Pri
vate
Pla
cem
ent
• Typically one buyer
• Subject to negotiations with purchaser
• Potential purchaser may include banks with banking relationship with the Issuer
• Typically shorter amortization and smaller deal size than public sales
• Limited competition for bonds (limited number of banks depending on financing parameters)
Co
mp
etit
ive
• Financial Advisor provides comprehensive services to prepare the sale (ratings, structuring, terms, timing, etc.)
• Sealed bid submitted by underwriters - parameters set for bid & date chosen for sale
• Very limited ability to control who purchases the bonds (i.e. local residents)
• Utilized less often than negotiated sale method
• Works best with highest credit quality and stable markets
• Gross spread difference between price underwriter pays issuer and the price underwriter sells bonds to investors
Method of Sale is Selected in Light of Financial, Market, Transaction-Specific and Issuer-Related Conditions
15
Bond Process – B. Key Documents
17
BOND PROCESS: Key Documents
• Authorized by Governing Board
Debt Policies and Procedures
• Post Issuance Compliance • Tax Exemption Status • Continuing Disclosure
Authorizing Resolution
• Sets terms and parameters under which bonds can be issued, flow of funds, pledge of revenues
• Authorizes issuance • Formally appoints financing team participants • Delegates authority to administration to execute final documents
Draft Financing Documents
• Preliminary Official Statement Governing Board should review the POS, especially information
related to the District and the community • Continuing Disclosure Certificate • Registrar Contract • Depository Trust Agreement (if applicable) • Bond Purchase Agreement
Agenda Language • Provided by Bond Counsel
18
BOND PROCESS: Key Documents
Legal Opinion
Bond Counsel attesting to the validity of the bonds
Bond issuance consistent with applicable state and federal laws
Voter authorization to issue
Bond Counsel attesting to the tax status of the bonds
Bond Purchase Agreement
Contract between the underwriter and the issuer setting forth the final terms, prices and conditions of the underwriter’s purchase of the issuer’s bonds
Signature from Board Chair or Board Member
Continuing Disclosure Undertaking (“CDU”)
Issuer’s promise to keep investors informed about specific information/events and annual financial information and operating data
Preliminary Official Statement (“POS”)
S.E.C. Rule 15c2-12 = ISSUER’S DOCUMENT
Includes all material information needed to make an informed investment decision
S.E.C. Rule 10b-5
Does not include any untrue or misleading statements nor does it omit any material information
POS Deemed Final Certificate
Bond Process – C. Rating & Pricing
20
BOND PROCESS: Credit Quality
Decreasing
Credit Quality,
Increasing
Yields
LONG-TERM CREDIT RATING SCALE RISK GRADE
Aaa AAA AAA Highest quality
Inve
stm
ent Aa
1
AA
+
AA
+
Highest quality 2
3 - -
A
1
A
+
A
+
Highest quality 2
3 - -
Baa
1
BBB
+
BBB
+
Highest quality 2
3 - -
Ba, B BB, B BB, B Speculative
Jun
k
Caa, Ca CCC, CC, C CCC, CC, C Highly speculative
C D D Default
21
BOND PROCESS: Credit Quality
• Vary based on security type – all rating agencies provide information on their Rating Criteria
Credit Rating
Demand Analysis
(Geographic, competition)
Finances (revenues, expenditures, risk
management)
Liquidity
(Cash & Investments, unrestricted resources,
expendable resources)
Management & Governance
(Tenure, strategic plan & policies, Board
composition, track record)
Debt Load
(Debt Coverage, % annual operating
expenses, expendable resources to total
debt service)
Bond Provisions
(Security pledge, rate covenant, additional
bonds test)
22
BOND PROCESS: Credit Quality
Community College General Obligation Ratings (as of May 2018)
AAA 7%
AA+ 12%
AA- 26% AA
30%
A+ 18%
A- 2% A
4%
BBB 1%
Standard & Poor’s
Aaa 12%
Aa3 14%
Aa2 38%
Aa1 22%
A3 1% A1
13%
Moody’s
Internal Marketing
Distribute POS, rating report, maturity structure
internally
Receive feedback from underwriting / trading / sales teams on structure
Internal distributions to institutional and retail sales
teams
Distribute POS, rating reports, maturity structure
to investors
Credit Approval
Schedule individual meetings or calls with credit
analysts
Answer questions and receive feedback from
investors
Receive credit approvals for the transaction
Pricing Process
Review overall market conditions and municipal
flows
Review recent comparables and trading levels
Develop “price thoughts”
Pre-pricing call with Issuer and Underwriting Desk
Hold order period -- review order book with Issuer and
make adjustments as necessary
Obtain approval on final interest rate scale and
confirm orders with investors
BOND PROCESS: Negotiated Pricing
23
Underwriter
Underwriter takes orders from investors and work with the Issuer to adjust terms to react to their demands while still meeting objectives for the financing.
Institutional & Retail Investors
Issuer
Feedback
Decisions
Issuer can see the orders from investors. This allows them to time the sale and react to orders received from investors in real time.
• Underwriter evaluates market conditions at the open
• Order period commences, pricing wire(s) sent out
• Online Order Entry System – allows issuer to view orders as they are entered
• At conclusion of order period, a “pricing call” is typically held
– Conference call between issuer, banker and underwriter to discuss sale status
• Re-pricing Considerations
– Depending on investor demand, the Underwriter may propose slight adjustments to yields or coupons
• Concluding the Pricing
– When a significant number of bonds have been sold, the underwriter will commit to purchase all unsold bonds at proposed rates
– If the underwriter and issuer reach agreement on the final structure, interest rates (coupons) and yields of the bonds, then the terms are entered on a bond purchase agreement (BPA) presented for approval to the issuer
– The BPA is executed by the Issuer (authorized in Resolution) and the underwriter the day of the sale
– Investor orders are confirmed
BOND PROCESS: Negotiated Sale - Day of Pricing
Bond Process D. Closing & Post Closing
Day of Closing
Bond proceeds delivered to Trustee
BOND PROCESS: Closing
26
Example: Flow of Funds Closing Preparation (2-3 Weeks after pricing)
Official Statement electronically distributed to buyers with final pricing information
Closing documents reviewed Signatures obtained by Bond Counsel
(for those parties not physically attending the closing)
Closing memorandum prepared: • Location and date of closing • Final pricing numbers • Wire transfer instructions • Flow of funds
Underwriter
Bond Proceeds
Trustee
Acquisition Fund Costs of Issuance Fund
BOND PROCESS: Post Closing
27
Bond Issuance
Continuing Disclosure
Annual Hearings
and Forms
Surveillance
Tax Levy / Tax Rate Setting
Spending Exceptions / Private Use
Investment Earnings / Arbitrage
BOND PROCESS: Post Closing
28
Documents to come by or after closing
• Summary of Sale booklet
• Transcript CD from Bond Counsel
Arizona Department of Administration – Bonded Indebtedness Report
• Due in August
Continuing Disclosure Filings
• Issuer’s responsibility
IRS Tax Regulations, Arbitrage, Yield Restriction and Rebate
• IRS Form 8038-G filed at closing indicating existence of adopted federal tax compliance policies
• Federal tax laws generally restrict the ability to earn arbitrage in connection with tax-exempt bonds
• Certain exemptions and rebate requirements
• Use a qualified arbitrage rebate consultant to determine liability Documentation of appropriate interest earnings on bond proceeds Remittance of excess interest earnings on bond proceeds
• Violations can lead to IRS deeming the bonds taxable or sizable fines and restrictions
BOND PROCESS: Post Closing
29
Credit Rating Surveillance Calls
• Provide updates on economic, financial, etc. information, as requested
Private Placements
• Send transcript of lease agreements to rating agencies
Monitor Tax Levy and Tax Rate
Refinancing Opportunities
Adoption of Policies and Procedures Related to Debt Management
Record Retention / Assigned Responsibilities
Glossary
31
GLOSSARY: Useful Terminology
• Tax-Exempt Bond – Interest on most municipal securities is exempt from federal income taxes and income taxes for the state of the issuer.
Taxable Equivalent Yield: The yield on a theoretical taxable investment that, after subtracting income taxes, results in the tax exempt bond yield.
Taxable Equivalent Yield = Yield on the tax exempt bond ÷ (100% - Income Tax Bracket)
Example: Taxable Equivalent Yield for a 4.00% Tax-Exempt Bond Yield = 4.00% ÷ (100% - 30% Income Tax Bracket) = 4.00% ÷ 70% = 5.71%
• Taxable Bond – A security where the interest is not exempt from federal income taxes. However, state income taxes may or may not still apply. The IRS can declare original issue tax-exempt bonds to be taxable if federal tax laws are violated.
• New Money Bonds – Bonds issued for financing new capital, not refunding outstanding bonds.
• Refunding Bonds – Issuance of a new bond for the purpose of retiring an already outstanding bond issue, usually to reduce interest costs, restructure the amortization schedule or remove a restrictive covenants.
• Defeasance – Using available monies to provide for debt repayment prior to their stated maturity.
GLOSSARY: Pricing
32
Yield Curve
• Compilation of interest rates paid for different maturities
• Varying investor interest • Short term versus long term
rate
Yield – Market Return
• Varies over time • Shape of the yield curve • Short term versus long term
borrowing • Taxable versus tax-exempt
borrowing • Level of risk • Market supply and demand • Comparative prices
Call Features
• Allow bonds to be retired before scheduled maturity
• Specify period of call protection and prepayment penalty
Credit rating • Indicates credit quality • Allows price/rate comparison • Underlying and/or insured
Par/Annual Principal Amount
• Principal or face amount of borrowing
• Size matters (i.e. $1MM versus $55,000 maturity)
Coupon
• Rate at which interest is paid • Fixed rate: set at time of
pricing • Variable rate: may be reset
daily, weekly, monthly… • Interest is usually paid semi-
annually
Maturity
• Date at which principal is repaid
• Serial bond: principal is due on a particular date
• Term bond: principal is amortized over several years, may have sinking fund
GLOSSARY: Pricing
33
Principal
x
Price
= Issue Price
Maturity Dates
Final Maturity
Rate Issuer Pays
= Coupon
Investor’s Rate
of Return
Investor Pays
Premium Bond
Yield to
Maturity
Yield to Call
Par Bond
Discount Bond
Maturity Dates
Final Maturity
Rate Issuer Pays
= Coupon
Investor’s Rate
of Return
Investor Pays
Premium Bond
Yield to
Maturity
Yield to Call
Par Bond
Discount Bond
GLOSSARY: Basis Point
34
What does a basis point mean to you?
• Interest rates (and yields) are expressed in Basis Points (bp)
• 1 bp = 1/100 * 1.0% = 0.0001
– Difference between 4.50% and 4.49% = 0.01% = 1 Basis Point
• The dollar impact of 1 basis point is approximately $8,800 over the life of a 15-year, $10 million issue and $6,880 on a present value basis (i.e., change in price of the securities to investors)
35
GLOSSARY: Pricing
Comparable “AAA” MMD
Rate
Additional Interest Rate
Credit Spread
Tax-Exempt Bond Yield
Municipal Market Data (MMD) Thomson Reuters Municipal Market Data. A daily, generic, “AAA” rated general obligation benchmark yield curve for tax-exempt trading. • Benchmark interest rate for tax-exempt, generic “AAA” rated municipal bonds • Comparative sales shown during pricing will normally show a spread to MMD comparison
‘AAA’ Municipal Market Data Yields
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18
30-Year MMD
10-Year MMD
2-Year MMD
Source: Thomson Reuters. As of 5/17/18
GLOSSARY: Day of Pricing – Desk Speak
36
Bump Lower yield, higher dollar price.
Cheap Yields higher (dollar price lower) than reasonable for specific credit.
Rally Decreasing yields in market.
Tightening Delta of spreads diminishing between credit categories.
MMD Thomson Reuters Municipal Market Data. A daily, generic, “AAA” rated general obligation benchmark yield curve for tax-exempt trading.
Over-Subscribed
Number of orders exceeds the bonds available for a certain maturity
Cut Higher yield, lower dollar price.
Rich Opposite of cheap. Yields lower (dollar price higher) than reasonable for specific credit.
Selling Off Opposite of rally. Increasing yields in market.
Widening Opposite of tightening. Delta of spreads increasing between credit categories
Spreads Delta between different categories or between an index and specific bond yield. Most often quoted as spread to “AAA” MMD index.
Inventory Underwriter takes in unsold bonds
• Takedown ($/$1,000) – compensation to the underwriter for selling the securities (generally largest
component)
• Management fee – fee for structuring or could be fee paid to lead manager of a syndicate
• Underwriter’s Counsel
• DTC - Industry formula – utilized for settlement and clearance services of the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation
• CUSIP (Committee on Uniform Security Identification Procedures) - Industry formula – paid to obtain the unique identifiers for securities (9-digit alphanumeric)
• Wire fees – Industry formula - syndicate wires platform fee
• Electronic Order Entry/Order Monitor - Portion industry formula, portion investment bank formula
• Day Loan -Investment bank formula – funds to cover the period between the early morning transfer of funds and settlement on the day of closing)
• Marketing expenses – Investment bank formula – could include investor road show expenses
• Other/Miscellaneous - Some states have other industry standard fees (i.e. municipal advisory council)
GLOSSARY: Components of Underwriter’s Discount
Gross Spread (Underwriter’s Discount)