bottlenecks – where and why
TRANSCRIPT
Bottlenecks – where and why?Challenges and opportunities facing the future Nordic electricity market
Jussi Jyrinsalo
Trends affecting the electricity market
2011 2012 2013 201405
1015202530
Wind power generation in Nordic countries
[TWh]• Long-term main trends – More and more subsidized wind power– Decommissioning of conventional production– No significant increase in electricity demand– Import from Russia has collapsed
• Summer and autumn 2015– Extraordinarily high precipitation– Lack and sudden outages of transmission
capacity have strong market impacts
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
15
35
55
Yearly average electricity price per country [€/MWh]
Sweden NorwayDenmark Finland
More grid congestions and price differences
Bot
tom
-up
scen
ario
s Top-down scenarios
But what will the transmission needs be in 2030?Visions are prepared and grid is planned in a more centralized way, but power generation planning is becoming more and more decentralized!