bp 2q 2009 results presentation...5 the economy and oil supply/demand source: iea for oil demand, jp...

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BP 2Q 2009 Results 28th July 2009

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Page 1: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

BP 2Q 2009 Results

28th July 2009

Page 2: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

Fergus MacLeod

Head of Investor Relations

Page 3: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

3

Forward Looking Statements -

Cautionary StatementThis presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward looking statements, particularly those regarding global economic recovery; GDP growth; effective tax rate; improved efficiency and effectiveness across the Fuels Value Chains; expected

quarterly charges; production growth and impact of seasonal turnarounds; costs; capital expenditure; disposal proceeds; capital efficiency in the upstream; continuing downstream turnaround; refocus and simplification of Alternative Energy; continuing corporate efficiency; dividend payments; investments and use of balance sheet capacity. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend

on circumstances that will or may occur in the future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors, including the timing of bringing new fields on stream; future levels of industry product supply; demand and pricing; operational problems; general economic conditions; political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the

world; changes in laws and governmental regulations; exchange rate fluctuations; development and use of new technology; changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions; the actions of competitors; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this presentation.

Reconciliations to GAAP -

This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). A quantitative reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP can be found on our website at www.bp.com

Cautionary Note to US Investors -

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil

and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “resources”

and “non-proved reserves”, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-06262, available from us at 1 St James’s Square, London SW1Y 4PD. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.

July 2009

Cautionary Statement

Page 4: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Page 5: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

5

The economy and oil supply/demand

Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth

OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption

y-o-y growth, mmbbl/d

(4)

(3)

(2)

(1)

0

1

2

2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

GDP growth (rhs)

y-o-y growth (%)

(6.0)

(4.5)

(3.0)

(1.5)

0.0

1.5

Page 6: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

6

The US gas market

y-o-y

change, Bcf/d

US manufacturing and gas consumption US gas production

y-o-y

change, Bcf/dy-o-y

change (%)

(3)

(2)

(1)

0

1

2

3

4

2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

Manufacturing growth (rhs)

(3)

(2)

(1)

0

1

2

3

4

2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09(16)

(14)

(12)

(10)

(8)

(6)

(4)

(2)

0

Industry gas use

Source: US DOE, EcoWin, JP Morgan

Page 7: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

7

1H 2009: Financial results

Replacement cost profit $5.5bn

Post-tax operating cash flow $12.3bn

Organic capex* of $9.4bn

Divestments of $1bn

Dividend−

28 cents per share

$5.2bn

* Organic capital expenditure, excluding acquisitions and asset

exchanges

Page 8: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

8

Operational momentum

Safe and reliable operations

50 entities now on our Operating Management System (OMS)

Continuous improvement

Building capability

Right people, right place, right skills

Deepening expertise

Reward for performance

Upstream growth

Volumes up by more than 3% in 1H09

Downstream turnaround

Refining availability 93% in 1H09, up by more than 4%

Page 9: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

9

Strategic delivery Upstream growth

New access for future growth−

Iraq: Rumaila−

Egypt: new acreage awarded−

Indonesia: coal bed methane JV−

Azerbaijan –

memorandum of understanding signed with SOCAR

Continued exploration and appraisal success−

Angola –

17th/18th

discoveries−

Gulf of Mexico –

Mad Dog South

Major project start-ups−

Tangguh−

King South/Dorado, Thunder Horse ramp-up−

Uvat, Kamennoye

Sanctioned developments−

Angola –

Block 15 Clochas

Mavacola−

Trinidad –

Serette

new field development

Page 10: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

10

Strategic delivery Downstream turnaround

Safe operations and OMS

Behaviours and core processes

Refocused R&M head office

Iberia back office go-live

Restoring missing revenues

Refining availability at highest level since 1Q05

Texas City is running at full economic capability

Business simplification

Exited US convenience retail operations

Sale of Greek ground fuels marketing

Repositioning cost efficiency

Cash costs in 1H more than 15% below 1H08

Page 11: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

11

Strategic delivery Corporate efficiency

Alternative Energy

Focused and disciplined

Restructuring and delayering

More than 5,000 reduction in headcount

Organization

Deepening expertise

Embedded functional model

Cash costs down by more than $2bn in 1H09

Page 12: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

Byron Grote

Chief Financial Officer

Page 13: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

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Trading environmentLiquids realization Gas realization

Refining indicator margin

Average realizations 2Q YTD

Liquids $/bbl (52)% (53)%

Natural gas $/mcf (57)% (48)%

Total hydrocarbons $/boe (54)% (52)%

Refining indicator margin $/bbl (39)% (12)%

Change vs 2008$/bbl

0

3

6

9

12

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q

2008 2009

$/bbl

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q2008 2009

$/mcf

0

4

8

12

16

20

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q2008 2009

Page 14: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

14

Financial highlights All earnings figures are adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

($bn) 2Q’08 2Q’09

Exploration & Production 13.1 4.4

Refining & Marketing 0.8 1.0

Other businesses & corporate (0.2) (0.5)

Consolidation Adjustment (0.2) 0.1

Replacement cost profit before interest and tax

13.5 4.9

Interest & minority interest (0.3) (0.4)

Tax (4.7) (1.6)

Replacement cost profit 8.5 2.9

Earnings per share ($c) 45.3 15.7

Cash from operations ($bn) 6.7 6.8

Share buybacks ($bn) 1.0 -

Dividend ($bn) 2.5 2.6

Dividend per share ($c) 14.0 14.0

Capital expenditure excl acquisitions ($bn)

5.5 4.8

Replacement cost profit before interest and tax 2Q09 vs 2Q08 ($bn)

R&ME&P 2Q092Q08 OB&C Co/Adj0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Page 15: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

15

Exploration & Production

Weaker environment

Production growth

(1)%2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

0%

1%

2%

3%

2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

Average hydrocarbon realizations ($/bbl) ($bn)

(2)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Production growth YoY(4 quarter rolling average)Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Pre-tax replacement cost profit

US Non-US

Average Hydrocarbon realizations ($/bbl)

TotalTNK-BP

Lower costs

Higher DD&A

Page 16: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

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Refining & Marketing

Weaker refining environment •

Significantly improved refinery

operations•

Lower costs

Refining availabilitySolomon availability (%)Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Pre-tax replacement cost profit

US Non-US Refining MarginsTotal2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

84

86

88

90

92

94

Refining indicator margin ($/bbl)($bn)

2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09(1.0)

(0.5)

0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Page 17: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

17

Other Businesses & Corporate

Pre-tax replacement cost profit

Foreign exchange effects

Weaker environment

Lower corporate costs

2009 underlying quarterly charges expected to average $400-$500m

Adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09

($bn)

(0.8)

(0.6)

(0.4)

(0.2)

0

0.2

Page 18: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

18

Sources & uses of cash$bn

post tax

Sources Uses Sources Uses

Disposals

Operations

Inorganic capex

Buybacks

Dividends

Organic capex

Disposals

Operations

Dividends

Organic capex

1H 08 1H 09

12.3

17.6

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Page 19: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

19

Net debt ratio

Net debt ratio = net debt / (net debt + equity)Net debt includes the fair value of associated derivative financial instruments used to hedge finance debt

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 20: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

20

2009 Outlook

* Change versus 2008** Organic capital expenditure, excluding acquisitions and asset exchanges

2009 guidance 1H 09

Production* Growth More than 3%

Refining availability* Higher More than 4%

Cash cost reduction* More than $3bn More than $2bn

Capex** Below $20bn $9.4bn

Divestments Around $2-3bn $1.0bn

Page 21: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Page 22: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

22

BP strategy

Upstream

profit growth, cost and capital efficiency

Downstream

turnaround, cost efficiency

Alternative Energy; focused and disciplined

Corporate

efficiency

Page 23: BP 2Q 2009 Results presentation...5 The economy and oil supply/demand Source: IEA for oil demand, JP Morgan for GDP growth OPEC production Non-OPEC production Global Consumption y-o-y

23

Q&A

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Andy Inglis

Chief Executive Exploration & Production

Byron Grote

Chief Financial Officer

Iain Conn

Chief Executive Refining & Marketing

Fergus MacLeod

Head of Investor Relations