breakout perform grow and breakout presentation to deutsche bank asia pacific financial institutions...
TRANSCRIPT
Perform Grow and BreakoutBreakout
Presentation toDeutsche Bank Asia Pacific Financial Institutions Conference
London, 9-10 July 2001
Peter MarriottChief Financial Officer
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited
Page 2
ANZ - who we are• One of the ‘Big Four” Australian banks. • Provider of full range of financial services in
Australia (since 1835) and New Zealand (since 1840)
• Leadership in Corporate Banking, Credit Cards and Mortgage origination, a strong eCommerce position and an offshore network in Asia and Pacific.
• Assets A$181b (US$ 95b)
• Market Cap A$24.5b (US$ 12.7b)
• Profit (half year) A$895m (US$ 470m)
• Staff 22,815
• Credit Ratings AA-/Aa3
ANZ Headquarters100 Queen StreetMelbourne Note: figures as at 31/3/01, with exception of
market cap which is as at 28/6/01
Page 3
We are on track to deliver on our 3 year commitments
Measure
EPS growth
ROE
Cost-income ratio
Inner Tier 1
Credit rating
2003 Commitment
> 10%
> 20%
mid 40’s
6%
maintain AA category
Achievement
13%
19.1%
49.4%
6.2%
maintained
• We have also committed to improving customer satisfaction, and will publicly report our progress
Page 4
Building for the future - a distinctive strategy
Proposition
• Entrepreneurial specialists create more value
• Corporations must embrace new technologies
• Value depends on performance, growth and breaking out
Strategy
• Reconfigure ANZ as a portfolio of 16 specialist businesses
• An e-Bank with a human face
• Drive results, invest in growth businesses and create new paradigms/culture
Perform Grow& Break out
e-Transform
Specialise
Implications
• Specialist approach to customer and product businesses
• Transform the way we do business with IP technology
• Meet expectations, fund growth by cost reduction, transform
Page 5
Transforming ANZ through Perform, Grow and Breakout
Breakout
Grow
Perform
• Focus: long term ‘destiny’
• Benchmark: global industry/players
• Looking for: transforming moves
• Horizon: 5-10 years
• Success: dramatic market cap increase
• Focus: specialisation and out-growing the market
• Benchmark: competitors in each business
• Looking for: breakout moves in key businesses (eg QTV, Origin)
• Horizon: 3-4 years
• Success: 4-5 moves taking share andworth ~AUD1bn+ market
cap each
• Focus: performance
• Benchmark: market expectations
• Looking for: six monthly delivery
• Horizon: 1-2 years
• Success: meet/exceed expectations
consistently
Page 6
We are performing well - interim results
• NPAT from continuing operations $907m - up 18%
• EPS up 13% to 55.8 cents
• ROE of 19.1%, up from 17.8%
• Cost Income ratio down to 49.4%
• Continuing operations revenue up 10%, costs flat
• Credit quality sound:– ELP charge down to 35 bp’s – Total non-accruals down– Specific provisions flat - down overseas and up
domestically
• Profit on sale of holding in St George $99m ($65m after tax), offset by write downs in investments ($84m)
• Improved disclosure - financial information provided for each business unit
Page 7
Building a strong track record
625 717 817 895
930481 763
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
1998 1999 2000 200112
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20NPAT $m
NPAT/ROE
ROE %
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Sep-98 Mar-99 Sep-99 Mar-00 Sep-00 Mar-0146
48
50
52
54
56
58
60
62
64Expenses
Income
CTI
39.1
32.0
23.5
13.7
05
1015202530354045
ANZ WBC NAB CBA
Internet banking users as % of main relationships
Source: JP Morgan & Roy Morgan Research
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
1998 1999 2000 2001 1H0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Gross Non AccrualsNet Non AccrualsNon Accruals/Loans
Non-accrual loans
Cost to Income$m %
$m%
Page 8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Private Clien
ts
Pacific
Cap
ital Markets
Asia
Investm
ent M
gm
t
Foreig
n E
xchan
ge
Asset Fin
ance
Sm
all Busin
ess
Tran
saction S
ervices
Card
s
Corp
orate B
ankin
g
Reg
ional B
ankin
g
Stru
ctured
Finan
ce
Institu
tional
Mortg
ages
Metro
Ban
king
Good profit growth across a diversified portfolio Mar 00 v Mar 01
Personal
Corporate
International and subsidiaries
$m
Page 9
A strong performance culture
EVA focus
• Rigorous Risk v Reward discipline
• Driver based capital allocation
• Integrated model
Value Aspirations
Strategies
EVA targets
EVA performance
Rewards
Business Unit
Customer
Cost Control
• Part of culture
• Allocation of a scarce resource
• Ongoing re-engineering
• eTransformation
• Activity Value Analysis (AVA)
Leading Cost Income Ratio
Page 10
We continue to actively manage and reduce risk
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
ANZ1991
ANZ1996
ANZ2001
CBA NAB WBC
Lending Profile by Asset Type*
business
consumer
• Exiting higher risk businesses
• More emphasis on lower risk businesses
• Corporate balance sheet deliberately constrained – focus on fee income
• Risk based approach embedded through EVA
* CBA as at 31/12/00, NAB & WBC as at 30/9/00
Page 11
Total non-accrual loans continue to fall, but increase in Australia
1662
1543
13911295
872
727699657
900
428
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1H0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%Gross Non-Accrual Loans (LHS)
Net Non-Accrual Loans (LHS)
$mNon-Accrual Loans/Loans & advances (RHS)
Historic
858
59
749
8972
495
651681
457
0
200
400
600
800
1000 Mar-00
Sep-00
Mar-01
Aust InterNZ
Geographic
Gross Non-Accrual Loans$m
Page 12
Group risk grade profile continues to improve - but some signs of turning domestically
17.3% 17.3% 15.6%
19.2%15.8%
14.6%
41.5%45.3% 49.7%
16.2%
14.1%
14.7%
50.5%
16.9%16.2%14.8%
Sep 1998 Sep 1999 Sep-2000 Mar-01
$114.6bn $141.0bn$134.9bn$126.5bn
AAA to BBB+
BBB to BBB-
BB + to BB
BB-
> B
ELP (bp’s) 45 43 38 35
7.2%
5.4%3.9%
3.8%
>B = B, B-, CCC& non-accrual
Page 13
Provisioning in line with expectations
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Mar-00
Sep-00 Mar-01 Mar-00 Sep-00 Mar-01 Mar-00 Sep-00 Mar-01
Personal Corporate International & Subsidiaries
Actual SP v ELP charge ELP charge
SP charge
$m
• Slowing domestic economy likely to increase specific provisions
• ELP is a function of volume (on and off balance sheet), risk grade profile, and level of security
• Specific Provisions tend to be less volatile in Personal businesses and track more closely to ELP
….but increasing in Australia and New Zealand
Page 14
Provisioning levels remain strong
500
700
900
1100
1300
1500
1700
1373
241
(181)
27 1460
1012
2000 1H 2001 APRA Guideline
s
ELP charge
Net SP transfer
FX impact
ELP - Economic Loss Provision
SP - Specific Provision
$m
Surplus448
1.06
0.97
1.02
0.98
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
ANZMar-01
CBADec-00
NABJun-00
WBCJun-00
GP/Lending Assets*%
* includes acceptances
represents 3 years
expected losses
Page 15
We are developing a track record for building growth businesses
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Mar-00 Jun-00 Sep-00 Dec-00 Mar-018
10
12
14
16
10
11
12
13
14
15Mortgage market
share
FM inflows (LHS)
Deposit
market share (RHS)
15
20
25
30 Share of credit card spend
3.4
3.6
3.8
4.0
4.2
Mar-98 Sep-98 Mar-99 Sep-99 Mar-00 Sep-00
Personal customers - Australia
%%
%m
$m
95 0096 97 9998 01 95 0096 97 9998 01
Growing FM inflows
Page 16
Most businesses’ targeting revenue growth well in excess of expense growth
Plan Operating Expense Growth 01-03 CAGR
Pla
n R
evenue G
row
th 0
1-0
3 c
agr
Note: Bubble size approx. in proportion to 2001 forecast NPAT
Mortgages
GCM
Metro & Reg Banking
Inst. Bank
Private Clients
ANZ Investments
GSF
GFX
GTS
Asia
Pacific
Corporate
Small Bus
Asset Fin
NominalGDPGrowth
Low
High
Low High
Cost:Income falling
CardsCorporate
Personal
Int. & Subsidiaries
ILLUSTRATIVE
Page 17
We are developing a strong CRM capability
INFRASTRUCTURE CAPABILITIES
• Enterprise Customer Data Mart (ECDM)
• Tran$act database
• Customer scoring and decision engine
• Behavioural credit scoring systems
• Campaign Management System
• Interim front line screen delivery
• Full account and customer EVA
• Segmentation markers and profiles
• Propensity-to-buy scores
• Application/behavioural scores
• Multiple campaign management
• Call centre, ATM, and SSP integration
• anz.com integration
• Multi-product decisioning
• Full front line screen delivery
• Attrition scores by customer
• Recovery scores
• Automated, event-based campaigns
• Automated prospect list delivery (“My Sales”)
• “Optimal” strategy selection by customer (longer term)
In Pilot/Develop-
ment
In Pilot/Develop-
ment
In PlaceIn Place
Page 18
Substantial growth opportunities in Personal
Existing revenue $2.6b
10
0
Customer #’s (m)
40% 50%*
Peer Average
Share of Customer Wallet
Potential revenue $650m
* Average share of wallet for CBA, NAB, SGB, WBC - source: Roy Morgan Research
System Growth
• Underlying credit growth ~ 8-10% pa
Market Share
• Product businesses growing customer numbers and market share
• Customer #’s increasing by 1.0m - translates to $650m in additional revenue pa
Increase Wallet
• Customer businesses deepening wallet share
• $650m revenue gain by matching our peers
– Created customer businesses
- Sales programs- CRM
4
5
Potential revenue $650m
Total potential revenue growth - $1.5b
7.3
Increased wallet on higher share
$160m
Page 19
In Corporate, our main focus is on growing total wallet share
Grow wallet share
• New high value products
• New delivery mechanisms
• Improved cross-sell
• Increased sale of 3rd party products
FY 2000 revenue $1.7b
~5,000
0
# Customers
~20%* ~35%
Share of Customer Wallet
Potentialrevenue ~$1.3b
Focus on deeperpenetration of existing
CFS customer base
Total walletof ANZ customer
base ~$8.5b
* source: internal estimate
Page 20
Our breakout approach is differentiating us
Strategy
Staff
Customers
eTransformation
Risk
• Specialised businesses - open architecture• First class execution (no surprises)
• 91% of managers on individual contracts• 12% rise in staff satisfaction• Breakout cultural change program
• Establishment of Customer Charter, Customer Advocate and distinctive customer and community initiatives
• Leading cost income ratio• Highest internet banking penetration
• Leading financial disclosure & transparency• EVA embedded in culture
Page 21
Developing a breakout performance culture
Average
SuperiorDistinctive
* Benchmark - 33 Australasian companies surveyed over 1999-2000
Coordination and control
Distinctive (Top 10%)
Superior (Top 25%)
Average
Motivation+
where we are where we want to be
Targets/goals
Consequencemanagement
Mission/aspiration
Organisationalapproach
BU Performance feedback
Financial OperationalPeople Rewards &recognition
Opport-unities
Values
Page 22
ANZ’s aspiration
A high performing company, exceeding expectations• Revenue growth• Cost leadership • Risk mitigation• EPS• ROE
Positioned in growth markets
• Actively managed portfolio
• Annual investment in growth ideas
• Higher than peer revenue growth
More dynamic than competitors• High P/E rating• Performance culture• Lean and agile• The e-bank with a human face• A breakout mentality
Grow
Breakout
AND
Perform
Page 23
Summary
• We are performing well
• Cost management momentum – eTransformation has just begun…
• Risk reduction continues
• Our new strategy is creating value and better positioning us for growth
• We are differentiating ourselves through our Breakout program
We are on track
to achieve
our goals
Page 24
The material in this presentation is general background information about the Bank’s activities current at the date of the presentation. It is information given in summary
form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment
objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice when deciding if an investment is
appropriate.
For further information visit
www.anz.com
or contact
Philip GentryHead of Investor Relations
ph: (613) 9273 4185 fax: (613) 9273 4091 e-mail: [email protected]
Page 25
Economic outlook - cautiously optimistic
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Year ended, excluding dwellings and Olympics
Real GDP Growth incl. and excl. housing and Olympics (est)
%
-1.4-1.2-1.0-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.20.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
Index
Australia
US
Financial conditions in Australia more expansionary than US
Contractionary
Expansionary
• Retail sales continue to rebound
• Housing recovery continues
• But unemployment is still rising
• Forecast GDP growth for 2001 calendar year - 2%, rising to 4% in 2002
• Unlike the US, Australia did not experience contractionary financial conditions
• With domestic growth indicators strengthening, and early signs of rising inflation, the interest rate cycle has likely bottomed
Page 26
Copy of presentation available on
www.anz.com