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  • 8/8/2019 Breast Cancer Market1

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    The Cancer Market

    Outlook to 2014

    Competitive landscape, market size,

    pipeline analysis and growth

    opportunities

    1995/2885/$3835

    December 2009

    Report Price

    Publication date

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    F o r a c l e a r e r m a r k e t p e r s p e c t i v e

  • 8/8/2019 Breast Cancer Market1

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    The Cancer Market Outlook to 2014

    Competitive landscape, market size, pipeline analysis and growth opportunities

    Business Insights portfolio of healthcare reports is designed to help you make

    well informed and timely business decisions. We understand the problems

    facing today's pharmaceutical and healthcare executives when trying to drive

    your business forward, and appreciate the importance of accurate, up-to-date,incisive product, market and company analysis. We help you to crystallize your

    business decisions.

    Business Insights reports are authored by independent experts and contain findings from dedicated primary

    research. Our authors' leading positions secure them access to interview key executives and to establish which

    issues will be of greatest strategic significance for the industry.

    Our healthcare portfolio of reports can be used across a wide range of business functions to assess market

    conditions and devise future strategy. Our reports cover key areas including strategy, industry analysis,

    market outlook, new business opportunities and strategic insight.

    Pages 194

    Figures 15

    Tables 76

    This report provides wide

    coverage across the major

    cancer markets, and provides

    an analysis of marketed and

    pipeline drugs. It also

    analyzes the growth trends

    and future market leaders,

    forecasting revenues andepidemiology through the

    period 2008-14...

    In the current decade, oncology has been one of the most important growth

    segments among the pharmaceutical markets with a major focus on targeted

    agents. Most innovation in oncology over the past 10 years has been driven by

    scientific advances, particularly in genomics, transcriptomics and proteomics. In

    the current environment, the successful oncology players of the future will be

    those that can anticipate protocol evolution and design the most relevant clinical

    trials. In recent years, biotech companies have fuelled innovation in oncology

    more than ever before. Partnering with biotech companies is a key (but

    expensive) source of innovation for many pharma companies as approximately

    75% of phase II, III and pre-registration innovative drugs are of biotech origin.

    At $47.7bn, cancer is one of the largest and fastest growing markets in the

    pharmaceutical industry. However, pricing risk remains the key investment

    concern in oncology. The key concern, however, is not price erosion driven by

    competitive forces, but price cuts imposed by payors irrespective of the fact that

    such unilateral price cuts by payors have never occurred in any of the major

    developed markets and would surely jeopardize the premise on which the entire

    biopharmaceutical industry has been built.

    This report provides coverage of over 95% of the total market for cancer products and enables the reader to

    understand the issues behind the market-leading products of today and forecasts the market-leading products of

    tomorrow. The report allows the reader to understand which pharmaceutical companies will be the dominant forces in

    the cancer arena, and which products will be the strongest performers over the period 2009-14.

    About Us

    Report Overview

  • 8/8/2019 Breast Cancer Market1

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    The Cancer Market Outlook to 2014

    Competitive landscape, market size, pipeline analysis and growth opportunities

    Key Findings

    Use this report to...

    In 2008, antineoplastic mAbs delivered huge sales

    of $13.6bn with a market share of 28.6% of total

    sales. The key antineoplastic mAbs which contributed to the

    higher market share of this class in 2008 were MabThera(11.0%), Avastin (10.3%), Herceptin (9.7%) and Erbitux (3.4%).

    Forecast sales of the total antineoplastics market are

    estimated at $65.2bn in 2014.

    Roche is the global market leader in cancer,

    holding the highest market share of 29.2%

    ($14.0bn sales) in 2008 based on sales from (MabThera,

    Avastin, Herceptin, Tarceva and Xeloda). Roches strength

    in the cancer market has been bolstered by its acquisition of

    Genentech and purchase of majority stakes in Chugai, whichhas provided additional breadth to its portfolio.

    Eli Lillys acquisition of ImClone will increase the

    formers flow of high-quality, innovative new

    therapies. The transaction will immediately enable Eli Lilly to

    offer physicians and their patients a complementary portfolio of

    leading oncolytic agents and targeted therapies including Gemzar, Alimta and Erbitux.

    Pfizers axitinib, Dendreons Provenge and GSK/Genmabs Arzerra are expected to be the top sellers

    among late stage pipeline oncolytic agents.

    Figure 4.7: Key drugs in late-stage

    development or that have been recently

    launched

    More than $47.7bn worth of cancer drugs were soldglobally in 2008 with US making up for 39.1% of these

    sales. The value of novel targeted therapies, their

    combinations with chemotherapy, and the potential of

    adjuvant therapy have demonstrated to improve survival

    rates, notably in breast, lung and colon cancers

    Develop insight into patient potential with

    the reports coverage of major indications in the

    cancer segment, the seven largest geographic

    pharmaceutical markets and 10 largest

    companies active in the cancer segment today

    Quickly understand how recent events are

    affecting the performance of major products,

    and how their marketers are confronting

    competitive changes in cancer marketplace

    Gain up-to-date competitive intelligence

    across the cancer indications and understand

    the major issues affecting key

    pharmaceutical/biotech players

    Understand which indications have the

    greatest potential to provide franchise

    growth, and how pharmaceutical companies

    are attempting to exploit these opportunities

    Compare the franchises of toppharmaceutical marketers across major

    indications, and understand how market share

    of leading companies will change over the next

    6 years

    Use head-to head comparisons of the leading

    cancer pipeline compounds to understand

    which companies will have a presence among

    key indications over the next 6 years

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    The Cancer Market Outlook to 2014

    Competitive landscape, market size, pipeline analysis and growth opportunities

    Key issues...

    Discover...

    FDA approves Cervarix for cervical cancer: In October 2009, FDA approved GSKs Cervarix for the

    prevention of pre-cancerous lesions caused by human papillomavirus (HPV) type 16 & 18 in women aged

    1025 years. Cervarixs inclusion in childrens vaccine program is a major step towards securing reimbursement.

    Cervarix, expected to launch by the end of 2009, faces direct competition from Mercks Gardasil and will help toreduce the incidence of cervical cancer in future.

    Mercks Gardasil adds US indication of genital warts for boys and men: On 16th October 2009,

    Gardasils US label was extended to include its use in both men and boys aged 926 years of age. The

    pivotal trial results showed an efficacy of 90.4% while preventing external genital lesions of HPV types

    6/11/16/18. In addition, Merck also planned to extend its vaccine patient assistance program providing free

    Gardasil to 1926 year old uninsured males meeting eligibility criteria but unable to afford the vaccine.

    Roches Avastin filed for first-line breast cancer in Japan: In October 2009, Roches Japanese

    subsidiary, Chugai has filed a Japanese approval for Avastin in the first-line treatment of advanced orrecurrent breast cancer. The filing in first-line breast cancer was supported by an international Phase III trial (first-

    line setting), which showed a significant improvement in PFS. This in turn was supported by Japanese Phase II

    safety and efficacy data. Approval of the product will expand Avastins purview beyond colon cancer in the

    country, becoming growth driving event.

    Eisai to file first in-house breast cancer drug in major markets: Eisai is planning to file its in-house

    developed chemotherapy drug eribulin for pre-treated breast cancer (advanced or metastatic) in all the

    major markets (US, 5EU & Japan) by March 2010. Preliminary results from the key Phase III trial demonstrated a

    significant improvement in overall survival, the primary endpoint.

    What will be the major growth indications in

    the cancer segment over the period 200814?

    Which companies were the winners and losers

    in the cancer segment in 2008?

    How have recent major launches from

    companies such as Roche, Sanofi-Aventis,

    AstraZeneca, Novartis and Eli Lilly performed?

    Which companies will become the key players

    in the cancer segment over the period

    200814?

    Which products will be impacted by generic

    competitors over the period 200814?

    Which pipeline products will be the growth

    drivers of the future?

    Which indications are forecast to have the

    highest levels of market potential over the

    period 200814?

    What will the competitive landscape in lung,

    breast, colorectal, ovarian, prostate, lymphoma

    and pancreatic cancer in 2014?

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    The Cancer Market Outlook to 2014

    Competitive landscape, market size, pipeline analysis and growth opportunities

    Table of Contents

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Epidemiology of Cancer

    Global Market Analysis

    Pipeline Analysis

    Competitive Landscape

    CHAPTER 1 SCOPE AND

    METHODOLOGY

    Scope

    Methodology

    CHAPTER 2 OVERVIEW AND

    EPIDEMIOLOGY OF CANCER

    INDICATIONS Summary

    Introduction

    Overview

    Cancer risk factors

    Lung cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology- NSCLC

    - SCLC

    - Forecast epidemiology- NSCLC

    - SCLC

    Colorectal cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Breast cancer

    - Overview- Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Ovarian cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Uterine and cervical cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management- Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Leukemia

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Prostate cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment andmanagement

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Pancreatic cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Lymphomas

    - Overview- Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    Head and neck cancer

    - Overview

    - Diagnosis, treatment and

    management

    - Epidemiology

    - Forecast epidemiology

    CHAPTER 3 GLOBAL MARKET

    ANALYSIS

    Summary

    Introduction

    Market analysis by country

    Market analysis by drug class

    Leading brand dynamics

    - MabThera (rituximab)

    Roche/Genentech

    - Avastin (bevacizumab)

    Roche/Genentech

    - Herceptin (trastuzumab)

    Roche/Genentech/Chugai

    - Glivec/Gleevec (imatinib)

    Novartis- Taxotere (docetaxel) Sanofi-

    Aventis

    Leading brands by type of cancer

    Key recent events in the cancer

    market

    - FDA approves Cervarix for

    cervical cancer

    - Merck's Gardasil adds US

    indication of genital warts for

    boys and men

    - Roche's Avastin is filed for first-line breast cancer in Japan

    - Eisai to file first in-house breast

    cancer drug in major markets

    - Novartis's Tasigna bolsters its

    CML franchise

    Antineoplastics

    - Competitive dynamics of

    antineoplastics

    - Leading brands of

    antineoplastics

    - Antineoplastic mAb marketanalysis- Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Antineoplastic protein kinase

    inhibitors- Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Vinca alkaloid market analysis- Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Anti-metabolites- Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Platinum compounds- Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Antineoplastic sales forecast

    Cytostatic hormonal therapies

    - Competitive dynamics of

    cytostatic hormonal therapies

    - Leading brands of cytostatic

    hormonal therapies

    - Cytostatic gonad hormone

    analog market analysis

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    Table of Contents

    - Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Aromatase inhibitors- Market dynamics

    - Key brands analysis

    - Anti-androgens- Market dynamics

    - Key brand analysis

    - Cytostatic hormonal therapy

    sales forecast

    - Global cancer market sales

    forecast

    CHAPTER 4 PIPELINE ANALYSIS

    Summary

    Introduction

    Key trends in R&D

    - Targeted therapies are changing

    the treatment regimen of cancer

    - Biomarkers are personalizing

    oncology treatment

    - Cancer vaccines enhance the

    body's immune response

    - Pricing is becoming a major

    issue for cancer patients

    - Combination treatments are

    becoming the treatment ofchoice

    Leading drugs in development

    - Phase III and pending approval

    compounds- Enzastaurin Eli Lilly

    - BiovaxID Biovest International

    and Accentia Biopharmaceuticals

    - Recentin (cediranib) AstraZeneca

    - Zactima (vandetanib)

    AstraZeneca

    - Axitinib (AG-13736) Pfizer

    - Provenge (sipuleucel-T) Dendreon

    - Recently approved/marketed

    drugs- Arzerra (ofatumumab)

    GSK/Genmab

    - Afinitor (everolimus) Novartis

    - Iressa (gefitinib) AstraZeneca

    - Tykerb/Tyverb (lapatinib) GSK

    - Votrient (pazopanib) GSK

    Pipeline forecast of key compounds

    - Factors affecting forecasts

    CHAPTER 5 COMPETITIVE

    LANDSCAPE

    Summary

    Introduction

    - Sales performance of leading

    players

    Roche

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    SanofiAventis- Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    AstraZeneca

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio- Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    Novartis

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    Eli Lilly

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    Pfizer

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    Takeda

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    Bristol-Myers Squibb

    - Sales focus by drug class

    - Regional sales distribution

    - Marketed product portfolio

    - Pipeline analysis

    - Strategic and growth analysis- Drivers of growth

    - Resistors of growth

    CHAPTER 6 APPENDIX

    IMS Data

    - Antineoplastic and

    immunomodulating agents- L1: Antineoplastics

    - L2: Cytostatic hormone therapy

    - Forecast factors

    - Glossary- Abbreviations used in this report

    - Index

    LIST OF FIGURES

    Types of breast cancers

    Types of leukemia

    Chemotherapy options forHodgkin's disease

    Head and neck cancers and their

    risk factors

    Worldwide cancer market share by

    region, 2008

    Current pharmacological treatment

    options for cancer

    Key drugs in late-stage

    development or that have been

    recently launched

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    Table of Contents

    Contribution of the top 10 players

    to growth of the global cancer

    market, 200708

    Roche's cancer sales by drug class,2008

    SanofiAventis's cancer sales by

    drug class, 2008

    AstraZeneca's cancer sales by drug

    class, 2008

    Novartis's cancer sales by drug

    class, 2008

    Pfizer's cancer sales by drug class,

    2008

    Takeda's cancer sales by drug class,

    2008 BMS' cancer sales by drug class,

    2008

    LIST OF TABLES

    Estimated prevalence of NSCLC

    across seven major markets, 2008

    Estimated prevalence of SCLC

    across seven major markets, 2008

    Forecast epidemiology of NSCLC

    across seven major markets,

    200814

    Forecast epidemiology of SCLC

    across seven major markets,

    200814

    Estimated prevalence of colorectal

    cancer across seven major markets,

    2008

    Forecast epidemiology of colorectal

    cancer across seven major markets,

    200814

    Estimated prevalence of breast

    cancer across seven major markets,

    2008

    Forecast epidemiology of breast

    cancer across seven major markets,

    200814

    Estimated prevalence of ovarian

    cancer across seven major markets,

    2008

    Forecast epidemiology of ovarian

    cancer across seven major markets,

    200814

    Estimated prevalence of uterine and

    cervical cancer across seven major

    markets, 2008

    Forecast epidemiology of uterineand cervical cancer across seven

    major markets, 200814

    Estimated prevalence of leukemia

    across seven major markets, 2008

    Forecast epidemiology of leukemia

    across seven major markets,

    200814

    Estimated prevalence of prostate

    cancer across seven major markets,

    2008

    Forecast epidemiology of prostatecancer across seven major markets,

    200814

    Estimated prevalence of pancreatic

    cancer across seven major markets,

    2008

    Forecast epidemiology of

    pancreatic cancer across seven

    major markets, 200814

    Estimated prevalence of lymphomas

    across seven major markets, 2008

    Forecast epidemiology oflymphomas across seven major

    markets, 200814

    Estimated prevalence of head and

    neck cancer across seven major

    markets, 2008

    Forecast epidemiology of head and

    neck cancer across seven major

    markets, 200814

    Global cancer market by geography,

    2008

    Breakdown of the global cancermarket by drug class, 2008

    Leading brands in the global cancer

    market, 2008

    Leading brands in breast cancer,

    2008

    Leading brands in colon cancer,

    2008

    Leading brands in prostate cancer,

    2008

    Leading brands in lung cancer, 2008

    Breakdown of the global

    antineoplastic market by drug class,

    2008

    Leading brands in globalantineoplastics market, 2008

    Chronology of new indication

    approvals for Eloxatine

    Antineoplastic sales forecast,

    200814

    Breakdown of the global cytostatic

    hormonal therapies by drug class,

    2008

    Leading brands in global cytostatic

    hormonal therapies market, 2008

    Cytostatic hormonal therapy salesforecast, 200814

    Global cancer market sales forecast,

    200814

    An overview of enzastaurin

    An overview of BiovaxID

    An overview of Recentin

    The Horizon Study Program

    An overview of Zactima

    Overview of Zactimas Phase III

    development plan

    An overview of axitinib

    An overview of Provenge

    An overview of Arzerra

    An overview of Afinitor

    An overview of Iressa

    An overview of Tykerb/Tyverb

    An overview of Votrient

    Key pipeline and recently approved

    products sales forecast, 200814

    Leading players in the global cancer

    market, 200814 Regional sales distribution of Roche,

    2008

    Roche's cancer product portfolio,

    2008

    Roche's cancer R&D product

    pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of Sanofi-

    Aventis, 2008

    SanofiAventis's cancer product

    portfolio, 2008

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    Table of Contents

    Sanofi-Aventis's cancer R&D

    product pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of

    AstraZeneca, 2008 AstraZeneca's cancer product

    portfolio, 2008

    AstraZeneca's cancer R&D product

    pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of

    Novartis, 2008

    Novartis' cancer product portfolio,

    2008

    Novartis's cancer R&D product

    pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of Eli

    Lilly, 2008

    Eli Lilly's cancer product portfolio,

    2008

    Eli Lilly's cancer R&D product

    pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of Pfizer,

    2008

    Pfizer's cancer product portfolio,

    2008

    Pfizer's cancer R&D product

    pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of

    Takeda, 2008

    Takeda's cancer product portfolio,

    2008

    Takeda's cancer R&D product

    pipeline, October 2009

    Regional sales distribution of BMS,

    2008

    BMS' cancer product portfolio, 2008

    BMS' cancer R&D product pipeline,October 2009

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