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COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM – POST COVID-19

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Page 1: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES

HANOI, 03 JULY 2020

Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi

BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM – POST COVID-19

Page 2: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

OUTLINE:

▪ BILATERAL TRADE OUTLOOK

▪ VIETNAM COAL OUTLOOK / DEMAND

▪ PRODUCTION AND EXPORT MARKET

▪ CHALLENGES

▪ THE ROLE OF THE INDONESIAN EMBASSY

Page 3: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

2017 2018 2019

Total Bilateral Trade 6.503.446 8.470.530 9.072.657

Export, Indonesia to Vietnam 3.639.836 4.936.839 5.703.429

Import, Indonesia from Vietnam 2.863.610 3.533.690 3.369.228

Trade Balance 776.225 1.403.148 2.334.201

6.503.446

8.470.530

9.072.657

3.639.836

4.936.839

5.703.429

2.863.610

3.533.690 3.369.228

776.225

1.403.148

2.334.201

0

1.000.000

2.000.000

3.000.000

4.000.000

5.000.000

6.000.000

7.000.000

8.000.000

9.000.000

10.000.000

INDONESIA AND VIETNAM TRADE FIGURES 2017-2019(in 000 US$)

Source: BPS, GSO

Page 4: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

TOP 10 MAIN EXPORT FROM INDONESIA TO VIETNAM IN 2019

Coal 2019: US$ 868 million2018: US$ 789 million

10%1

Motor Vehicle

2 2019: US$ 626 million2018: US$ 287 million

117%

Iron and Steel

2019: US$ 391 million2018: US$ 172 million3 127%

Computer and Components

2019: US$ 318 million2018: US$ 282 million 12%4

MotorVehicle

Spareparts

2019: US$ 237 million 2017: US$ 203 million5 16%

Animal and Vegetable Oil

2019: US$ 229 million 2018: US$ 299 million

23%6

Machine and Tools

2019: US$ 225 million2018: US$ 221 million7 1%

Base Metal

2019: US$ 225 million 2018: US$ 181 million8 24%

Paper2019: US$ 212 million 2018: US$ 261 million

18%9

Chemical Material10

2019: US$ 174 million 2018: US$ 224 million 22%

Source: GSO Vietnam, BPS

Page 5: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

No. KomoditiJanuari – Mei (US$) Perubahan

(%)2019 2020

1. Batubara 392.728.022 407.715.664 3,81

2. Kendaraan Bermotor 276.854.261 200.811.236 -27,46

3. Besi dan Baja 156.435.982 144.660.503 -7,52

4. Lemak minyak hewani dan nabati 83.570.804 116.284.682 39,14

5. Logam dasar 156.435.982 97.111.836 -37,92

6. Mesin dan peralatan mesin 89.543.611 85.522.563 -4,49

7. Kertas 82.062.428 83.640.316 1,92

8. Komputer, peralatan listrik, suku cadang dan komponen 123.609.892 70.711.033 -42,79

9. Bahan kimia 63.778.287 70.297.608 10,22

10. Suku cadang dan aksesoris kendaraan bermotor 87.136.634 68.500.789 -21,38

11. Produk hasil perikanan 49.830.191 49.721.090 -0,21

12. Produk-produk kimia 44.576.050 47.749.797 7,11

13. Benang (Yarn) 48.381.544 42.939.211 -11,24

14. Plastik 54.920.470 40.223.118 -26,76

15. Kacang mete 27.159.933 38.681.561 42,42

16. Fabrics 26.335.195 32.464.345 23,27

17. Pakan ternak dan bahan pakan ternak 29.828.960 31.435.045 5,38

18. Produk-produk elektrik dan suku cadang 25.814.143 24.809.248 -3,89

19. Karet 17.651.712 24.673.498 39,77

20. Pastrycooks, sweets and cereal products 28.798.886 23.560.420 -18,18

Komoditi ekspor utama Indonesia ke Vietnam (Jan-Mei) 2020

Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs

Page 6: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

POWER PLANTS IN VIETNAM

➢COAL-FIRED THERMAL POWER PLANT : 69 PROJECTS

(31 Operating; 9 Under construction; 29 Permitted/Pre-permit - Announced)

➢GAS TURBINE POWER PLANT : 27 PROJECTS

(11 Operating; 7 Permitted/Pre-permit; 9 Announced)

➢SOLAR POWER PLANT : 126 PROJECTS

➢WIND POWER PLANT : 73 PROJECTS

(10 operating; 22 Under construction; 41 Approved)

➢BIOMASS POWER PLANT : 9 PROJECTS

(7 operating; 1 Under construction; 1 Announced)

➢HYDROELECTRICITY: 105 PROJECTS

Page 7: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

LIST OF VIETNAM 31 COAL-FIRED THERMAL POWER

PLANTSStation Province Capacity (MW) Commission Date Sponsor/Owner Status

An Khanh 1 (Khanh Hoa power station) Thai Nguyen 2x58 2015 An Khanh Electricity JSC Operating

Cam Pha Phase I-II Quang Ninh 2x340 2011 VINACOMIN Operating

Cao Ngan Thai Nguyen 2x57.5 2006 VINACOMIN Operating

Dong Nai Formosa Unit 1-2 Dong Nai 2x150 2004 Hung Nghiep Formosa Operating

Dong Nai Formosa Unit 3 Dong Nai 150 2018 Hung Nghiep Formosa Operating

Duyen Hai 1 Tra Vinh 2x622 2015 EVN Operating

Duyen Hai 3 Tra Vinh 2x622 2016 EVN Operating

Ha Tinh Formosa Plastics Steel Complex

Unit 1,2,5 (Formosa Ha Tinh)Ha Tinh 3x150 2015-2020 Hung Nghiep Formosa Ha Tinh Operating

Hai Phong 1-2 Hai Phong 4x300 2011-2014 EVNGENCO No 2 Operating

Lee & Man Hau Giang 50 & 75 2018 Lee & Man Vietnam Paper LLC Operating

Mao Khe Quang Ninh 2x220 2013 VINACOMIN Operating

Mong Duong 1 Quang Ninh 2x540 2015 EVN Operating

Mong Duong 2 Quang Ninh 2x620 2015 AES-VCM Mong Dong Power Co Ltd Operating

Na Duong 1 Lang Son 2x55 2005 VINACOMIN Operating

Nghi Son 1 Thanh Hoa 2x300 2013-2014 EVNGENCO No 1 Operating

Ninh Binh Ninh Binh 4x25 1974 Ninh Binh Thermal Power JSC Operating

Nong Son 1 Quang Nam 30 2014 VINACOMIN Operating

Pha Lai 1 Hai Duong 4x110 1986 Pha Lai Thermal Power JSC Operating

Pha Lai 2 Hai Duong 2x300 2001 Pha Lai Thermal Power JSC Operating

Quang Ninh 1-2 Quang Ninh 2x300 2009-2014 Quang Ninh Thermal Power JSC Operating

Son Dong Bac Giang 2x110 2009 VINACOMIN Operating

Thai Binh 1 Thai Binh 2x300 2017 EVN Operating

Thang Long (Le Loi power station) Quang Ninh 2x300 2017-2018 Hanoi Export-Import Company Operating

Uong Bi I extension Quang Ninh 300 2007 EVNGENCO No 1 Operating

Uong Bi I Quang Ninh 50 & 55 1975-1976 EVNGENCO No 1 Operating

Uong Bi II extension Quang Ninh 330 2014 EVNGENCO No 1 Operating

Vedan Vietnam Cogeneration Dong Nai 60 2015 Vedan Vietnam JSC Operating

Vinh Tan 1 Binh Thuan 2x600 2018-2019 China Southern Power Grid, Vinacomin Operating

Vinh Tan 2 Binh Thuan 2x622 2014 EVNGENCO No 3 Operating

Vinh Tan 4 Binh Thuan 2x600 2017-2018 EVN Operating

Vung Ang 1 Ha Tinh 2x600 2014-2015 PetroVietnam Power Corp Operating

Page 8: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Station ProvinceCapacity

(MW)

Commission

Date

Sponsor/Own

erStatus Note Ref

Duyen Hai 2 Tra Vinh 2x600 2021-2022Janakuasa

SDN BHDConstruction

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row IV.3

Duyen Hai 3

ExtensionTra Vinh 660 2019 EVN Construction

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row I.9

Hai Duong (Hai

Duong BOT plant)Hai Duong 2x600 2021

JAKS

Resources,

China Power

Engineering

Consulting

Group

ConstructionReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row IV.2

Long Phu 1 Soc Trang 2x600 2023-2024PetroVietnam

Power CorpConstruction

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row II.2

Na Duong 2 Lang Son 110 2022 VINACOMIN ConstructionReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row III.1

Nghi Son 2 Thanh Hoa 2x600 2022

Korean

Electric Power

Corporation

and Marubeni

Group

ConstructionReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row IV.5

Song Hau 1 Hau Giang 2x600 2021PetroVietnam

Power CorpConstruction

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row II.3

Thai Binh 2 Thai Binh 2x600 2021-2022PetroVietnam

Power CorpConstruction

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row II.1

Vinh Tan 4

extensionBinh Thuan 600 2019 EVN Construction

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row I.12

LIST OF VIETNAM 9 COAL-FIRED THERMAL POWER PLANTS

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

Source : Initial query from Coal Tracker,updated with data from MOIT 2019 Report 58/BC-CBT

Page 9: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Vung Ang 3 Ha Tinh 2x600 2031

Samsung

Construction &

Trading Corporation

ShelvedReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.13

Cong Thanh Thanh Hoa 600 2024Cong Thanh

Thermal Power JSCPermitted

Report 58/BC-CBT annex

row V.3

Nam Dinh 1 (Hai Hau

power station)Nam Dinh 2x600 2024-2025

Taekwang Vina

Industry JSC, First

National Operation

& Maintenance Co.

(NOMAC)

PermittedReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.4

Quang Trach 1 Quang Binh 2x600 2022-2023 EVN PermittedReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row I.17

Quynh Lap 1 Nghe An 2x600 2026 VINACOMIN PermittedReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row III.3

Song Hau 2 Hau Giang 2x1000 2024Toyo Engineering &

ConstructionPermitted

Report 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.7

Van Phong 1 Khanh Hoa 2x660 2023-2024Sumitomo

CorporationPermitted

Report 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.10

Vung Ang 2 Ha Tinh 2x600 2023-2024 OneEnergy Co. PermittedReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.6

An Khanh - Bac Giang

(Luc Nam power station)Bac Giang 650 2023

An Khanh - Bac

Giang

Thermoelectric JSC

Pre-permitReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row V.4

Duc Giang - Lao Cai

ChemicalLao Cai 2x50 2020

Duc Giang - Lao Cai

Chemicals JSCPre-permit [40]

Ha Tinh Formosa Plastics

Steel Complex Unit

6,7,10 (Formosa Ha Tinh)

Ha Tinh 3x150 2015-2020Hung Nghiep

Formosa Ha TinhPre-permit [10]

Hai Ha CHP 1-4 (Dong

Phat Hai Ha (CHP))Quang Ninh 2100 2019-2030

Texhong Hai Ha

Industrial Park Co.Pre-permit

Report 58/BC-CBT annex

row V.2

Hai Phong 3 Unit 1-2 Hai Phong 2x600 2028-2029 VINACOMIN Pre-permitReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row III.4

Long Phu 2 Soc Trang 2x660 2029-2030 Tata Group Pre-permitReport 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.8

Quang Tri 1 Quang Tri 2x660 2026-2027EGAT International

(EGATi)Pre-permit

Report 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.11

Vinh Tan 3 Binh Thuan 3x660 2024-2025OneEnergy, EVN,

and Pacific GroupPre-permit

Report 58/BC-CBT annex

row IV.9

LIST OF VIETNAM 29 COAL-FIRED THERMAL POWER PLANTS

PERMITTED/PRE-PERMIT - ANNOUNCED

Page 10: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

LIST OF VIETNAM 29 COAL-FIRED THERMAL POWER PLANTS

PERMITTED/PRE-PERMIT –ANNOUNCED (Cont.)

Dung Quat Special

Economic Zone (J-

Power) Phase I-II

Quang Ngai 2400 & 2000 2028-2030 J-Power Announced

Long An Phase I Long An 2x600 no investor AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row VI.1

Long An Phase II Long An 2x800 no investor AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row VI.2

Long Phu 3 Soc Trang 3x600PVN proposed

to transferAnnounced

Report 58/BC-CBT

annex row II.4

Quang Ninh 3 Quang Ninh 2x600 no investor AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row VI.4

Quang Trach 2 Quang Binh 2x600 2026 EVN AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row I.18

Quang Tri 2 Quang Tri 2x600 2024Korea Western

Power CoAnnounced

Quynh Lap 2 Nghe An 2x600 2027-2028 POSCO AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row IV.14

Rang Dong

cogeneration100 2025 Announced

Decision 428/QD-TTg

annex 1 Table 2,

"Projects in operation

from 2025" row 4

Tan Phuoc 1 Tien Giang 2x600 EVN AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row I.15

Tan Phuoc 2 Tien Giang 2x600 EVN AnnouncedReport 58/BC-CBT

annex row I.16

Thai Binh 3 Thai Binh 440 VINACOMIN Announced

Vung Ang 3 2x600 Announced

Decision 428/QD-

TTg: Reserve power

plants for renewable

energy power

stations’ failure of

schedule and output

expected

Page 11: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Tahun Volume Impor(Dalam Ton)

Kebutuhan Batubara di Vietnam (Dalam Ton)

2019 32 juta 54,3 juta 2020 40,3 juta 60 juta 2025 70,3 juta 86 juta 2030 100 juta 110 juta

Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs

Vietnam Coal Demand

In 2019 coal-fired power stations generated almost 40%

of Vietnams electricity and about a quarter of the coal was imported

Page 12: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

NegaraTahun 2018 Tahun 2019 Perubahan (%)

Nilai: US$ Volume: Ton Nilai: US$ Volume: Ton Nilai Volume

Australia 850.542.327 6.111.360 1.566.139.012 15.712.124 84,13 157,10

Indonesia 789.233.386 11.164.931 868.629.669 15.413.752 10,06 38,06

Rusia 291.518.732 2.846.770 633.816.943 7.151.372 117,42 151,21

RRT 311.544.280 957.489 241.638.850 854.835 -22,44 -10,72

Malaysia 15.983.488 278.801 1.063.478 13.135 -93,35 -95,29

Largest Coal Import by Country 2018-2019

Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs

Page 13: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Negara

Jan – Mei 2019 Jan-Mei 2020 Perubahan (%)

Nilai: US$ Volume:

Ton

Nilai: US$ Volume:

Ton

Nilai Volume

Australia 627.301.817 5.466.128 789.809.222 8.959.985 25,91 63,92

Indonesia 392.728.022 6.248.518 407.715.664 8.164.531 3,82 30,66

Rusia 267.495.671 2.968.010 282.089.306 3.444.970 5,46 16,07

RRT 138.488.633 471.715 28.060.825 101.203 -79,74 -78,55

Malaysia 188.423 956 - - - -

Largest Coal Import by Country Jan-May 2020

Page 14: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Year Value in US$ Volume in Tonnage

2014 US$ 122,090,137 1,568,089 ton

2015 US$ 111,954,432 1,947,793 ton

2016 US$ 141,722,852 2,945,671 ton

2017 US$ 404,730,848 6,089,688 ton

2018 US$ 788,954,104 11,165,157 ton

2019 US$ 868,629,669 15,413,752 ton

2020 (Jan-May) US$ 407.715.664 8.164.531 ton

Indonesia’s Coal Export to VIETNAM

Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs

Page 15: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Challenges of Indonesia’s Coal Export to VIETNAM

1. Logistic challenges on the compulsory utilization of nationalmaritime transportation and insurance for Indonesia’sexport of coal.

2. Regulation on the utilization of local inspector / verificator.

3. Close partner and reliable supplier.

Page 16: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Roles of Indonesian Embassy in Hanoi

1. Facilitating business matching between Indonesiancompanies and Vietnamese importer.

2. Business Forum on Coal Cooperation, Hanoi, 3 May 2019

3. Webinar on Coal Export to Vietnam and Its Challenges,Indonesian Embassy Hanoi, 3 July 2020

Page 17: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES
Page 18: BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES IN VIETNAM ......COAL EXPORT TO VIETNAM AND ITS CHALLENGES HANOI, 03 JULY 2020 Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Hanoi BRIEFING SERIES ON OPPORTUNITIES

Thank You